Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.7332241893532273
cN8drTnbkr6A3Re2kCkZ
{"NO": 8121.229281816813, "YES": 331.9192416340261}
1
will-alphabet-release-a-service-sim
15511.012531759538
Will Alphabet release a service similar to ChatGPT before Jan 1st, 2024?
1688651428853
VmQTaAzJfMPAcBJUljxtEztW8sO2
cpmm-1
0
1.0038379484925546
True
play
YES
public
1670335642963
rocket
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A service similar to ChatGPT released by Alphabet should satisfy the following conditions:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph",...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1688651428853
810
rocket
1688651382616
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Frocketsan%2F-iB5IWaeIW.41?alt=media&token=90a8ad79-bbe6-4379-a0ef-f704eedaf4cb
3
42
0
https://firebasestorage.…99f-97c76567f7bf
30
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "VmQTaAzJfMPAcBJUljxtEztW8sO2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670335909554}, {"name": "ChatGPT ", "slug": "chatgpt", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1670388175591}]
["ai", "chatgpt"]
0.5
1688648935703
1688651379924
0.99
0.20805899673293188
yG3TvdUW508XdRnBZ0PA
{"NO": 303.00660331629035, "YES": 1057.622477203067}
0
will-morewings-markets-will-sbf-be
2022.647439778775
☠️ Death markets: Will morewings' markets "Will SBF be dead..." be dead before the end of 2023?
1704063540000
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
cpmm-1
0
1.4848374126534032
True
play
NO
public
1670336339421
Tomek ⚡ K
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES, if before the end of 2023, at least one of these markets (death markets on Sam Bankman-Fried, by @morewings) is not active, ie. banned, resolved, etc.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "gridCardsC...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704214110801
410
itsTomekK
1704214111019
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c
2
20
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…e96-3c7ab2a01b90
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[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670341044786}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1670341043578...
["death-markets", "sbf", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "tomeks-specials", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1694888746018
1670336417539
0.07
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
0.7750290528384938
WV21wzMjSCOI3n17cex0
{"NO": 1805.8603306538103, "YES": 94.30804061370796}
1
will-xi-jinping-visit-saudi-arabia-effe21bf1837
1646.923059642963
Will Xi Jinping visit Saudi Arabia by the end of 2022?
1670458560232
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
3.282748427484649
True
play
YES
public
1670338028912
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rumors have been floating for months that Xi will be visiting Saudi Arabia, but so far only rumors. Resolves YES if Xi visits by the end of 2022. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670458560232
210
BTE
1670458553851
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
10
0
https://firebasestorage.…9eb-2696dc426370
9
[{"name": "Who does Xi think he is?", "slug": "who-does-xi-think-he-is", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "GPloP7NvYNOoTpTWZhpJ", "createdTime": 1670338029136}]
["who-does-xi-think-he-is"]
0.5
1670435729323
1670458548225
0.99
0.809366989899415
lX9p3EWHrPa1UwbS7fCC
{"NO": 4740.531231642646, "YES": 321.1354773705817}
1
will-destiny-take-another-break-fro
5285.692277038401
Will Destiny take another break from streaming this year?
1671191705520
9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13
cpmm-1
0
1.447851677630386
True
play
YES
public
1670340034588
johnleoks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A break would have to be at least 1 day off from streaming.", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671191705520
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johnleoks
1710218602874
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c
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0
https://firebasestorage.…5f2-6e7c4c8f4861
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[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1671191672539
1671191698539
0.98
0.3251139125816771
bVO6zZxoQ16UnCiWb45S
{"NO": 995.3693232069734, "YES": 7444.862758298098}
0
will-xqc-beat-forsens-minecraft-rec
28495.742571980278
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft record before 2023?
1672527540000
WOnVZ3AMkzYBtTD6h9UCzUq1vJs1
cpmm-1
0
0.31423018406436576
True
basic
NO
public
1670341390046
PieFreak
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Forsen and xQc are both variety streamers who often play competitive games. But sometimes they take a break to play more creative and fun titles. One of the games both decided to try out when their own favorites got stale was Minecraft. But Forsen ...
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0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672528182490
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PieFreak
1673822601304
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https://firebasestorage.…08e-790c3a23fd6d
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0
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https://firebasestorage.…e78-c5da2efe0d71
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["destinygg", "xqc", "forsen"]
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1672526948988
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0.06
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{"NO": 68.07086385619596, "YES": 1088.2899269819154}
0
will-black-adams-domestic-box-offic
988.9659801392736
Will Black Adam's Domestic Box Office surpass 180million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.7276843387031673
True
play
NO
public
1670342254140
Ammon Lam
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BINARY
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1672583608744
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AmmonLam
1672414960205
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will-black-adams-domestic-box-offic-4abfae04bde6
1187.620542341013
Will Black Adam's Domestic Box Office surpass 170million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
2.775339538489661
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NO
public
1670342409971
Ammon Lam
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BINARY
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1672583604177
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AmmonLam
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will-black-adams-domestic-box-offic-018e16cab5a1
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Will Black Adam's Domestic Box Office surpass 175million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
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2.7547563594193614
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1670342420894
Ammon Lam
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BINARY
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AmmonLam
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{"NO": 39.696075427381885, "YES": 907.3042661515789}
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will-black-panther-wakanda-forevers
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Will Black Panther: Wakanda Forever's Domestic Box Office surpass 450million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
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3.2979952602681877
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NO
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1670342579502
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3573908993/?ref_=bo_da_table_1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "...
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AmmonLam
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Will Black Panther: Wakanda Forever's Domestic Box Office surpass 480million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
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cpmm-1
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Ammon Lam
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Will Black Panther: Wakanda Forever's Domestic Box Office surpass 500million USD by Dec 31?
1672549140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
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2.3543393227997864
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NO
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Ammon Lam
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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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AmmonLam
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{"NO": 109.01760016101387, "YES": 1034.7618904402984}
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Will Quora have a policy to ban ChatGPT generated answers as of 2022-12-31?
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cpmm-1
0
2.2835694613402513
True
play
NO
public
1670342854245
morewings
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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morewings
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[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670342854561}, {"name": "ChatGPT ", "slug": "chatgpt", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1670388175591}]
["ai", "chatgpt"]
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{"NO": 1834.4928487888105, "YES": 221.84682181180233}
1
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Will StackOverflow have a policy to ban ChatGPT generated answers as of 2022-12-31?
1672502340000
IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2
cpmm-1
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3.120868485297761
True
play
YES
public
1670342947915
morewings
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
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morewings
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0
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https://firebasestorage.…1af-ed2c43765650
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[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670342948163}, {"name": "ChatGPT ", "slug": "chatgpt", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1670388175591}]
["ai", "chatgpt"]
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{"NO": 1379.3159405701588, "YES": 215.37959786646488}
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