p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.42537849173018316 | hvp7sbEH6VwCQ333xmq6 | {"NO": 169.81292432794586, "YES": 167.7264120362476} | 0.4284032090953845 | would-you-rather-receive-5-billion | 99.00285853728492 | Would You Rather [receive 5 billion instantly and the person you love the most dies instantly] or [refuse offer and nothing happens]? | 1672549140000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9023241735752807 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670552439052 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Buy \"Yes\" if you would rather receive 5 billion instantly and the person you love the most dies instantly", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Buy \"No\" if you would refuse the offer ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672583491909 | 170 | AmmonLam | 1670939163030 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "No resolution", "slug": "no-resolution", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "C06T5cKa32YfIZD4Jfhv", "createdTime": 1670779280388}] | ["no-resolution"] | 0.5 | 1670939162853 | 1670720571790 | 0.43 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8224609974724137 | RSUzRaRURgOdZZontcN8 | {"NO": 373.84835485381086, "YES": 124.63770823975935} | 1 | 1-will-joe-biden-be-the-potus-at-9p | 435.3008408840516 | #1: Will Joe Biden be the POTUS at 9PM tonight? | 1670562475585 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6062233299277624 | True | play | YES | public | 1670553679627 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 9:07 pm", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670562602079 | 210 | zoli | 1670562438410 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670553679809}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1691181863656}] | ["vancouver-games-night", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1670562438240 | False | 0.93 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41911028663886307 | 8XRwBrTt6GrBGwJQCSpM | {"NO": 1246.6856416401529, "YES": 7.748961870174071} | 1 | will-brazil-score-3-or-more-goals-a | 5149.0734552231515 | Will Brazil score 3 or more goals against Croatia? | 1670608402134 | UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.715502089485251 | True | play | YES | public | 1670553757109 | Wobbles | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Brazil scores 3 or more goals on Croatia on Dec 9th. Shoot-out goals DO COUNT.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:39 am", "type": "text"}, {"ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670608402134 | 390 | Wobbles | 1670616422271 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Misleading Title", "slug": "misleading-title", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "XgaJI0Vl00egR0t3LjXC", "createdTime": 1670611846329}, {"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "UYweIbdiPNcBgBlTBpKUbV3a6lp1", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime":... | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "misleading-title", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1670608041427 | 1670616419354 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BEn8JYaCovU0YkeDl8Lr | when-will-dearmoon-launch | 1678.3747112559874 | When will dearMoon launch? | 1717225356119 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | f4c090c2c7d3 | public | 1670554018405 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Year, or NOT BY 2030 ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.05147884669328, "platformFee": 0.1750374912222506, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717225356119 | 1000 | Gigacasting | 1717225356119 | 0 | 11 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "72ef70525024", "prob": 0.0004079197683321697, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.22625909935396749, "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 554.4394298890853, "textFts": "", "contractId": "BEn8JYaCovU0YkeDl8Lr", "resolverId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "createdTime": 16... | 6 | [{"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1670554018638}] | ["space"] | 1717218088177 | 1717218556524 | {"f4c090c2c7d3": 100} | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2685839030810688 | 3glXU7YTcdCz3zRDE72R | {"NO": 109.8289139383887, "YES": 184.763538703485} | 0 | 2-will-this-cube-i-toss-show-the-si | 178.45837886263078 | #2: Will this cube I toss show the silver side (1/6) | 1670559680497 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0017345420534536 | True | play | NO | public | 1670554061513 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 8:21 pm", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670559715578 | 170 | zoli | 1670559652406 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670554061687}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.5 | 1670559652262 | 1670554212894 | 0.18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6292042657916318 | 1UbT6GMWIE0QaHBEN9EG | {"NO": 0.5579881602848218, "YES": 2367.3494520174413} | 0 | will-joe-beat-epic | 11005.660925997789 | Will Joe beat epic? | 1670715671498 | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.724278325639902 | True | play | NO | public | 1670554257407 | Andrew G | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://gchess.ca", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://gchess.ca/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " results.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670715671498 | 130 | AndrewG | 1670715666871 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670554258091}, {"name": "Gravity Chess", "slug": "gravity-chess", "userId": "H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2", "groupId": "sYZVNt8Sk39UxMTDo1KL", "createdTime": 1670612918457}] | ["us-politics", "gravity-chess"] | 0.5 | 1670715666754 | 1670711162060 | 0.52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6417027343248336 | G3pmwm6FVWixMI78dhO2 | {"NO": 358.9565622569362, "YES": 318.49366586314} | 0.6837668026156632 | 3-how-many-beads-are-in-that-glass | 395.34249768558846 | #3: How many beads are in that glass jar over there | 1670562461734 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1450743000457462 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670554391833 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 9:07 pm", "ty... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670562638743 | 370 | zoli | 1670562457921 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670554392013}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.6276976164320451 | 1670562457723 | 0.6837668026156632 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | WGuKb1KXQEyqXUZqclrZ | {"NO": 60, "YES": 41.666666666666686} | 0.5901639344262294 | 5-how-many-indexed-markets-will-i-m | 10 | #5: How many indexed markets will i make tonight? | 1670555003544 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.409209369267685 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670554873755 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670555003544 | 70 | zoli | 1670554895706 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670554873965}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.5 | 1670554895451 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5234298882997611 | DoucGNSGkASg2RxBUDLn | {"NO": 139.53949153722465, "YES": 130.8235769551134} | 0 | 7-does-the-vancouver-greater-area-h | 249.712358905703 | #7: Does the Vancouver Greater area have more population than Toronto proper according to google | 1670562429784 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2238034527024766 | True | play | NO | public | 1670555258355 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 9:07 pm", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670562768464 | 170 | zoli | 1670562290567 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670555258608}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.5 | 1670562290402 | 0.54 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.497240434378306 | R0EJGaT64ZFD3BHvnlsQ | {"NO": 999.5395306652929, "YES": 997.5778099672439} | 0.49773156014677444 | will-anyone-get-married-due-to-a-ma | 283.68929801607055 | Will anyone get married due to a Manifold marriage proposal by the end of 2026? | 1798779600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.57633035492703 | False | basic | public | 1670555690300 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sequel to:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/CarsonGale/will-anyone-accept-a-marriage-propo", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5229318276325845, "platformFee": 0.5229318276325845, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1714919818961 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670555690848}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1714919814276 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8253265047564746 | J5UGV6Y0zDt1vwndUsIt | {"NO": 286.7849269364126, "YES": 113.08923046337036} | 1 | 9-will-any-question-have-more-than | 781.4277747854142 | #9: Will any question have more than M$400 invested after it closes | 1670562413308 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.989406302110373 | True | play | YES | public | 1670555791954 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 9:06 pm", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670643371294 | 150 | zoli | 1670643368875 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670555792163}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.5 | 1670562257770 | 1670643366042 | 0.92 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6164042868625668 | 5ta4N6w77ozjc59azwmC | {"NO": 575.0979583384945, "YES": 3972.097750201048} | 0.18874349606386362 | will-any-macbook-have-a-touchscreen | 7090.477445292944 | Will any Macbook have a touchscreen by the end of 2026? | 1798779600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.975574279428077 | False | basic | public | 1670556048611 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.7537043900518627, "platformFee": 2.7537043900518627, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 2005 | IsaacKing | 1716215839286 | 0 | 4 | 107 | 0 | 79 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1670556049226}, {"name": "Apple", "slug": "apple", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1673564543128}, {"name": "💻 Ma... | ["technology-default", "apple", "-mac"] | 0.5 | 1716215836001 | 1715486767983 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7606269471696548 | VBnkbtH9yGLHlu0lANKt | {"NO": 220.41236233344583, "YES": 120.76198781880056} | 1 | 13-will-most-markets-participants-b | 146.33245851843765 | #13: Will most markets participants bet correctly in at least six different markets? | 1670562409418 | U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.012024123448219 | True | play | YES | public | 1670557212149 | keri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Please don't bet in this market if you're not physically present at the Vancouver Prediction Market Madness event", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-08 9:06 pm", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670642759430 | 150 | zoli | 1670557654546 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Vancouver - Games Night!", "slug": "vancouver-games-night", "userId": "U9CcCHe2DKh5giW0vdekowBv2Wo2", "groupId": "Mxbq3zmE7sVlAFaU2aQm", "createdTime": 1670557212452}] | ["vancouver-games-night"] | 0.5 | 1670557654003 | 1670557651233 | 0.85 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23050940886130988 | 4sLvSmyvBmowUwdXJwXG | {"NO": 258.2098976274443, "YES": 2271.1585434401395} | 0 | will-bitcoin-price-be-above-17200-a | 5098.0712663080885 | Will Bitcoin price be above $17200 at Dec 10 10pm ET? | 1670731140000 | jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4760958252543595 | True | play | NO | public | 1670558646069 | Gene Fama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670734060575 | 530 | GeneFama | 1670730753158 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c | 26 | 0 | 1 | 26 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670558646829}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146... | ["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"] | 0.5 | 1670730752977 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4787509042139526 | 0wda2F39q4kNGti40Gbl | {"NO": 52.78838578147101, "YES": 1265.539402103211} | 0 | will-bitcoin-price-be-above-17200-a-eed5f531b122 | 1655.8676864813233 | Will Bitcoin price be above $17200 at Dec 11 10pm ET? | 1670817243044 | jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3657672094533457 | True | play | NO | public | 1670558650815 | Gene Fama | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670817243044 | 270 | GeneFama | 1670817137600 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670558651412}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146... | ["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"] | 0.5 | 1670817137487 | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6262659913494438 | SYyjUWnsyPgWUpAYZJOR | {"NO": 60.52542548173791, "YES": 561.6526911314229} | 0 | is-lizzo-a-better-floutist-than-ben | 653.018253240215 | Is lizzo a better floutist than Ben Shapiro is at violin | 1670677487913 | qK2Os09UuzR0zFXcqfAlL65BAQF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9958997479953369 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670558878782 | Harry Seaton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Over 50% Lizzo is better, yes wins under 50% Shapiro is better no wins", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670677487913 | 250 | HarrySeaton8da7 | 1670754599069 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5P5PrUENf7W1Qea1u6xu1-kbDIE6uXt8rtmHq4=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "qK2Os09UuzR0zFXcqfAlL65BAQF2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670558879224}, {"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1670778285848}] | ["destinygg", "whale-watching"] | 0.5 | False | 1670677446344 | 1670754594643 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4899282759756971 | Z2yWYL3pcDbUT5R0qC46 | {"NO": 143.0810971477713, "YES": 28297.116900222274} | 0 | will-sbf-take-a-plea-deal | 86858.89200208607 | Will SBF take a plea deal? | 1698971941072 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0.006003194588901092 | 1.0476662593925905 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670559015191 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1698971941072 | 2015 | Gigacasting | 1704326331296 | 4.6 | 8 | 320 | 0 | 230 | [{"name": "Gigacasting", "slug": "gigacasting", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "ypoGbkBreEXiPzcUAruE", "createdTime": 1671059028916}, {"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "qjyDZaspY7fjbOsSZ00Hrw1KwXn1", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1672389018954}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "sl... | ["gigacasting", "ftx", "sbf-trial"] | 0.2531702024026246 | 0.5 | 1698971689410 | 1698969715773 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16676364153626783 | mGTZna0Lle0anUv7U8Ki | {"NO": 969.3917269860427, "YES": 1071.9799029629803} | 0.1532501629930415 | will-congress-do-anything-about-twi | 800.9620765540856 | Will Congress do anything about “Twitter files”? | 1735711140000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.802206147707889 | False | basic | public | 1670559182803 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to PROB based on doing anything material ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Eg social media neutrality laws = 100, committee hearing ~0-15)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Gigacasting | 1704114363106 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670559183335}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1704114363009 | 1673733802909 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6509816184942903 | wKXDKqSwjtswG6vuHouD | {"NO": 1604.3781905987034, "YES": 2393.1293115979506} | 0.56 | trolley-problem-classic | 25124.085749458925 | Trolley Problem Classic | 1704085140000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0.0002144162995374206 | 0.11570193891458583 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1670559190215 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Buy \"Yes\" if you think one should pull the switch", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Buy \"No\" if you think one should not pull the switch", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704088899884 | 2105 | AmmonLam | 1704088901034 | 2.5 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 1 | 148 | 0 | 1 | 41 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1670779236703}, {"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 1... | ["philosophy", "selfresolving", "whale-watching", "nonpredictive", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.1585507595411436 | 0.5 | False | 1704085138636 | 1697765844412 | True | 0.56 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2722982015834794 | gkzbT0Cwg2JbIhwmM4IT | {"NO": 120.39165409558471, "YES": 1288.9987520609009} | 0 | i-get-a-trustworthy-badge-on-manifo | 1209.9649975691782 | I get a trustworthy badge on Manifold before the end of 2023 | 1704067140000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0.17303466812874133 | 2.3232413804948764 | True | play | NO | public | 1670559294787 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704072753437 | 250 | Alana | 1704072754154 | 1.1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672112480137}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670559295503}, {"na... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manibadges", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.1047534627270787 | 0.5 | 1704058265618 | 0.03 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Zdh4fES9VGoAo5Mdpxhm | crimes-sbf-is-charged-with | 178.62649417430333 | Crimes SBF is charged with | 1670965952425 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.785092787913419 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670559635481 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to all that are filed, by SDNY or initial federal filing ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670965952425 | 580 | Gigacasting | 1670947477444 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "56f9b674b52d", "prob": 0.1378130177996642, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.6527071333079055, "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 29.10830621356942, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Zdh4fES9VGoAo5Mdpxhm", "createdTime": 1670559635866, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, ... | 6 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670559635722}] | ["ftx"] | 1670947477273 | 1670893761703 | {"1d07904b5c46": 23.054219326057602, "4950f90bc6cb": 22.460293613739008, "d1b46adca08d": 27.13558234996494, "e91dc5e7eb7c": 27.34990471023846} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12657178127842258 | ROAyfjpgIjEKUX29iLAR | {"NO": 746.2393634986704, "YES": 4372.0399120438} | 0 | will-aoc-be-sanctioned-by-the-house | 4668.034976696435 | Will AOC be sanctioned by the House Committee on Ethics? | 1719809940000 | ElTd9ncvmfbX9HdIm1khfX2lBq13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.354718690540441 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670559672721 | Nick Allen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Details are sparse. Will there be any official sanction or censure as a result of this investigation?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://ethics.house.gov/press-releases/statement-acting-c... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.047348666065335, "month": -0.04734866606533503} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.709095859979062, "platformFee": 0.050049100517082126, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719810015911 | 1000 | NickAllen | 1719809940000 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNickAllen%2Fdomg0lHxgK.12?alt=media&token=852e8060-987e-4aaf-a86c-45d7a4b96bd1 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "ElTd9ncvmfbX9HdIm1khfX2lBq13", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670559673292}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130770017}] | ["politics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1719809509039 | 1719809780035 | 0.02 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7294606282175902 | bnsKMDJRfWBNLwmQaVYo | {"NO": 7422.431034100791, "YES": 148.92413680607535} | 1 | will-sbf-testify | 13611.403820787995 | Will SBF testify? | 1698430630657 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9171866861378422 | True | play | YES | public | 1670560556916 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At his trial. N/A if no trial. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1698430630657 | 510 | Gigacasting | 1698418571620 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670560557151}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1696356780615}] | ["ftx", "sbf-trial"] | 0.5 | 1698418571473 | 1698369312928 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13764462176698145 | 4mPKYdGGUM4jgYsN60zx | {"NO": 270.0264138592439, "YES": 2006.6307222195} | 0 | will-destiny-get-unbanned-from-twit-77cb9cf3fa26 | 2067.9515778240225 | Will Destiny get unbanned from twitter tomorrow? | 1670647740000 | WNqWTc8uzGZs5CHQlbL7myNdLJu1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.34529410293427 | True | play | NO | public | 1670561293697 | nmwood _ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Destiny get unbanned from twitter tomorrow? ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-09 11:49 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670648685892 | 390 | nmwood_ | 1670647537786 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2KOteOLTPsnSZA68SUJWWVH8V1ZrvaS22ALblm=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "WNqWTc8uzGZs5CHQlbL7myNdLJu1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670561294359}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670647537604 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.80556478909234 | p6wfd44DBBM39ZR2JB4I | {"NO": 7709.09112569818, "YES": 303.1895611354765} | 1 | will-there-be-25-or-more-traders-on | 10170.059539151516 | Will there be 25 or more traders on this market? | 1670724000000 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4820329249642858 | True | play | YES | public | 1670564754733 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The resolution will be based on the number of traders on this market at the specified closing time. The closing time shall not change.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Shown below is the method... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670727279033 | 670 | XComhghall | 1670723803558 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 33 | [{"name": "Self-resolving", "slug": "selfresolving", "userId": "WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2", "groupId": "9cUlgUS6fDN3LIyavEam", "createdTime": 1670564755026}] | ["selfresolving"] | 0.5 | 1670723803396 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
s7EWmmJ8Z9YDtpUWFEYX | pepe-vs-yee-daily-e01b4a1b2aad | 763.602035361207 | PEPE VS YEE DAILY | 1670734740000 | 2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.6792534402824355 | True | play | 7337e1d094bd | public | 1670565272591 | DoppioFrog | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "BE ADVISED, THE FORMAT HAS CHANGED!", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "INSTEAD OF BEING DECIDED BY THE MARKET ITSELF, NOW THE OUTCOME WILL BE DECIDED BY ME ASKING A RANDOM DGG'ER IN DGG CHAT AFTER THE MARKET CLOSES TO CHOSE PEPE VS... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670738911445 | 520 | BettersonMcgee | 1720053161621 | 0 | 14 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7337e1d094bd", "prob": 0.5011523387747212, "text": "PEPE", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 259.9993094990642, "userId": "2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 258.8036359979925, "textFts": "'pepe':1", "contractId": "s7EWmmJ8Z9YDtpUWFEYX", "createdTime": 1670565272591, "probChang... | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670565273022}] | ["destinygg"] | 1670727655119 | 1670739050078 | {"7337e1d094bd": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6014524769250917 | VnsvCkMR85ggFeX55685 | {"NO": 120.01960784313727, "YES": 71.2408799748109} | 1 | gbtc-to-btc112024 | 32 | GBTC to BTC—1/1/2024 | 1704088740000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.208164689823492 | True | play | YES | public | 1670565565627 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 53% of (expected) net assets ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "where does it trade on 1/1/2024; (any trading halt resolves to black market price!)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704226436237 | 90 | Gigacasting | 1704226436474 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670565565917}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737... | ["crypto-speculation", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1684948077557 | 1704226409738 | 0.72 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7178210093592093 | niz4P246ytwny1tBicu7 | {"NO": 490.2395187935633, "YES": 66.87606784334544} | 0.9491038804565245 | gbtc-to-btc112025 | 496.9913248191212 | GBTC to BTC—1/1/2025 | 1735711140000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670565597668 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 53% of (expected) net assets ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "where does it trade on 1/1/2025; (any trading halt resolves to black market price!)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.06930178300181705, "platformFee": 0.06930178300181705, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 130 | Gigacasting | 1713975350321 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670565597984}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1713975346922 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6255804695015131 | AV1YnVJZt5kuNRovoe9O | {"NO": 395.9999999999999, "YES": 34.686729053524104} | 0.950185925284343 | gbtc-to-btc112030 | 322.35845869335736 | GBTC to BTC—1/1/2030 | 1893477540000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670565649569 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 53% of (expected) net assets ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "where does it trade on 1/1/2030; (any trading halt resolves to black market price!)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 90 | Gigacasting | 1710238701886 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670565649874}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1710238698605 | 1680537204332 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12832595831667726 | FCUiv7qOHdmrA2mQO737 | {"NO": 308.4675455831644, "YES": 31773.45591978041} | 0 | will-china-declare-the-zero-covid-p | 46906.68157564883 | Will China declare the Zero COVID policy again by March 2023? | 1680656400000 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.892201560412472 | True | play | NO | public | 1670566450921 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will China declare the Zero COVID policy again, after temporarily easing restrictions and 'living with COVID', by the end of March 2023?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the cent... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680678397380 | 630 | XComhghall | 1710206835924 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe"}, {"name": "📈 Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li"}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7"}, {"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbf... | ["world-default", "global-macro", "china", "covid-d7a9361d772d", "please-resolve", "less-than-zero-covid", "zero-covid"] | 0.5 | 1680649824025 | 1680640712323 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1837223399493339 | pdDNisOAbXqcqT6RI1pd | {"NO": 219.23120068548087, "YES": 49267.03862631554} | 0 | will-there-be-protests-in-china-due | 49389.46405694698 | Will there be protests in China due to rising COVID cases by June 2023? | 1688778900000 | WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2 | cpmm-1 | 0.023496976828626046 | 0.43250878648379043 | True | play | NO | public | 1670567378409 | XComhghall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The November–December protests were against the Zero COVID policy and because of draconian government actions. Now that Xi decided on the complete opposite, experts in China estimate that 80–90% of the nation will contract the disease (compared wit... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1688778914029 | 650 | XComhghall | 1710206846536 | 1.3 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 18 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe"}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7"}, {"name": "COVID", "slug": "covid-d7a9361d772d", "groupId": "QVtAndZbd4jbfuKPSEDS"}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d"}, {"name":... | ["world-default", "china", "covid-d7a9361d772d", "asia", "less-than-zero-covid", "zero-covid"] | 0.17275077459719468 | 0.5 | 1688778890772 | 1688778850256 | False | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3314117729780705 | cCBDJGaSPj7nwlksmHIj | {"NO": 432.3780194621526, "YES": 454.3727161094156} | 0 | is-pineapple-on-pizza-a-sin | 1902.663916581549 | Is pineapple on pizza a sin? | 1670677042170 | qK2Os09UuzR0zFXcqfAlL65BAQF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9253011556381775 | True | play | NO | public | 1670571063984 | Harry Seaton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "60 and up resolves yes 40 and under resolves no in between resolves na go degenerates", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670677042170 | 470 | HarrySeaton8da7 | 1670676934097 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5P5PrUENf7W1Qea1u6xu1-kbDIE6uXt8rtmHq4=s96-c | 24 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "Food Sins", "slug": "food-sins", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "fxpqVeFg7DMY4ix937XC", "createdTime": 1672123436648}, {"name": "Food", "slug": "food", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1672123435101}, {"name": "Self-resolving", ... | ["food", "food-sins", "selfresolving"] | 0.5 | 1670676933922 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.48611175241574894 | Q2nd7HWRwK7TXiJdiNEw | {"NO": 191.80396266232455, "YES": 186.46254014635102} | 0.4931694691832958 | will-blackstone-have-the-largest-es | 53.232317999884316 | Will Blackstone have the largest est. dry powder of any private fund manager by the end of 2026? | 1798790340000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670572823014 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per the Preqin league tables on 12/31/26. As of market creation (12/8/22), the top 5 private fund managers in order of estimated dry powder are as follows: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "cont... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | CarsonGale | 1684599997166 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 1670572823392}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "cr... | ["private-markets", "carsons-important-markets"] | 0.5 | 1684599997054 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6166868267137194 | qku21BTvhmZwUSWtOJfi | {"NO": 1035.2212069148807, "YES": 971.6127974527947} | 0.6315616169077458 | will-any-fund-eclipse-the-size-of-t | 133.96750324763553 | Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030? | 1925020740000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.662461345090406 | False | basic | public | 1670573123380 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves if, per Preqin, a fund is raised with over $98,583M of commitments (the size of the SoftBank vision fund) by 12/31/30. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of market creation, the next... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | CarsonGale | 1692217654236 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 1670573124045}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "cr... | ["private-markets", "carsons-important-markets"] | 0.5 | 1692217654111 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49544637597625185 | 2Nv9TAUhpbHgum8I9hC1 | {"NO": 187.23426966550082, "YES": 234.0660120810552} | 0.43992718771915507 | will-the-investment-corporation-of | 66.8404448959572 | Will the Investment Corporation of Dubai hold the largest PE allocation by 2025? | 1767254340000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670573540673 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per the Investors league table in Preqin as of 12/31/25, ranking by private equity allocation. The Investment Corporation of Dubai is currently the largest private equity holder, at $168B.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 210 | CarsonGale | 1718790252960 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 1670573540929}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "DytWRqmLs1y5KMo3oBhi", "cr... | ["private-markets", "carsons-important-markets"] | 0.5 | 1700836311157 | 1718790251824 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5122038634564331 | WFKbt2HoD7hNFFFR2Okz | {"NO": 395.00000000000017, "YES": 245.06879504532156} | 0.6285898380974851 | what-will-be-the-final-net-irr-for-063a3bbcc62c | 86.99999999999996 | What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100) | 2240639940000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 1.0004123471051605e-15 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670574142771 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per Preqin at fund liquidation. Market close may be extended to accommodate the ultimate fund term. The final % answer will be multiplied by 100 for purposes of this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 310 | CarsonGale | 1687730227138 | 0.1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Fund Performance Forecasting", "slug": "fund-performance-forecasting", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "7bOJDvQzInompgvmPjRW", "createdTime": 1670574143021}, {"name": "Carson's Important Markets", "slug": "carsons-important-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "... | ["fund-performance-forecasting", "carsons-important-markets", "ancient-markets"] | 0.0900578847540965 | 0.5 | 1687730227011 | 1679703079216 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5468985520762915 | 0Md0kr5KfPugA81YFGOG | {"NO": 198.70750042251936, "YES": 182.29644492350235} | 0.5681597722414962 | will-blackstone-ix-hit-its-fundrais | 37.253034713363085 | Will Blackstone IX hit its fundraising target of $30B? | 1767254340000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670574340659 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The last fund, Fund VIII, was oversubscribed at $26B (relative to a target of $20B). Fund IX is on its first close. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | CarsonGale | 1680964940890 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "PE Fundraising", "slug": "pe-fundraising", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "YU6c4WBVinFSf52OeU73", "createdTime": 1670574523084}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 16705743409... | ["private-markets", "pe-fundraising", "carsons-important-markets"] | 0.5 | 1680964940798 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pBGzVk6jGVnOzrHyLpQu | who-will-win-the-2023-philadelphia | 5056.451239357333 | Who will win the 2023 Philadelphia Democratic Mayoral nomination? | 1684379341668 | tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.62828189615122 | True | play | bd9fc81f9707 | public | 1670575540591 | MaybeNotDepends | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If someone else wins, this market will resolve at 11% for everyone (except for the Warren Bloom who will be awarded 12% based on alphabetic order, by last name).", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "iframe", ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1684379341668 | 820 | MaybeNotDepends | 1684369576183 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4VO4XW87xPohAfyLBK7tQTItTIigYkEipdDBlN=s96-c | 2 | 12 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "bd151b749b00", "prob": 0.0001, "text": "Warren Bloom Sr.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.00012445066713337224, "userId": "tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1.2443822206665889, "textFts": "'bloom':2 'sr':3 'warren':1", "contractId": "pBGzVk6jGVnOzrHyLpQu", "createdTime": 1670575540591, "prob... | 6 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670575541350}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1672792614981}, {"name"... | ["politics-default", "us-politics", "philadelphia"] | 1684349287804 | 1684369573295 | {"bd9fc81f9707": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5486441885435205 | IDcVAMnWvfUPOn4c77Gr | {"NO": 29.382830848694425, "YES": 922.9523798757906} | 0 | will-amanda-mcillmurray-win-one-of | 1266.657719421655 | Will Amanda Mcillmurray win one of the five Democratic nominations for Philadelphia City Council At-Large in 2023? | 1684380500231 | tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9297844042485 | True | play | NO | public | 1670576662349 | MaybeNotDepends | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 9, 4:04am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Amanda Mcillmurray win one of the five Democratic nominations for Philadelphia City Council At-Large in 2023?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will Amanda Mcillmurray w... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1684380500231 | 210 | MaybeNotDepends | 1684379456100 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4VO4XW87xPohAfyLBK7tQTItTIigYkEipdDBlN=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670576663106}, {"name": "Philadelphia", "slug": "philadelphia", "userId": "tL0ppFfrhjT5RfqdBZ547QZtiHx2", "groupId": "TpIc8WbEa33Q1CmuSzwA", "createdTime": 1681092574801}, {"name"... | ["us-politics", "philadelphia", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1684379456000 | 1678335431985 | 0.04 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5122786089659478 | LxpnOdyX4Y1NQeZTSChn | {"NO": 111.17878235385857, "YES": 147.02534283101522} | 1 | will-chinese-antitrust-authorities | 103.88048202306042 | Will Chinese antitrust authorities block Intel's acquisition of Tower Semiconductor? | 1692270435668 | Acv189qBlCTT4POzQifpJ5keLz63 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.316274485383426 | True | play | YES | public | 1670579882946 | ersatz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2024-01-01 12:59 am", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1692270435668 | 130 | ersatz | 1710222342526 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej"}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO"}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5"}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83A... | ["technology-default", "economics-default", "stocks", "finance", "china", "semiconductors"] | 0.5 | 1679622510664 | 1692270452879 | 0.44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8033783539606042 | 0mI0KsfcCn4ZRfNHwXiz | {"NO": 5681.606732039558, "YES": 217.0188859424933} | 1 | will-a-liberal-candidate-win-the-20 | 11086.526150092686 | Will a liberal candidate win the 2023 Wisconsin Supreme Court election? | 1680680633304 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9491604905303643 | True | play | YES | public | 1670584166916 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Wisconsin Supreme Court elections are officially non-partisan, but the justices still have political leanings. I will resolve based on what reliable sources say about whether the new justice is liberal or conservative (or equivalently Democrat-alig... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680680633304 | 450 | lisamarsh | 1680672013840 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670584167350}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1680661842028 | 1680672010334 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17388517831519468 | L1KFD5xlbeuDu5DWjQQQ | {"NO": 947.6634332136426, "YES": 1169.3594763021836} | 0.1457226689283702 | will-i-have-a-research-position-at-814174e80a45 | 376.789900557147 | Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025? | 1767225540000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.790954880491828 | False | basic | public | 1670585304188 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "MIRI: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Alana/will-i-have-a-research-position-at", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Conjecture: ", "type... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0507078689386165, "platformFee": 0.0507078689386165, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Alana | 1716307584944 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670585375952}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670585380528}] | ["ai", "personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1716307581547 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.27794612004403585 | tjS0LKeFsuXNxf7ExYoR | {"NO": 275.3036394511256, "YES": 21820.481179084945} | 0 | will-kyrsten-sinema-win-the-2024-se | 28581.50598891378 | Will Kyrsten Sinema win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona? | 1709759927300 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0807258242423954 | True | play | NO | public | 1670588677357 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if Kyrsten Sinema wins the 5 November 2024 US Senate election in Arizona, regardless of whether it is as a Democrat, Republican, independent or member of another party. Resolves to NO if she does not stand or fails to win.", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1709759927300 | 970 | lisamarsh | 1709759928005 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 31 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670588677946}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.12388174301481487 | 0.5 | 1709745729806 | 1709734634458 | 0 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07260071526428166 | lblF3HZ1AQGNzjUXoITi | {"NO": 852.5467018196041, "YES": 2299.860332004038} | 0.028201176571238443 | will-president-roberto-campos-neto | 2725.977469744758 | Will President Roberto Campos Neto get a second consecutive term at the Brazilian Central Bank? | 1738292340000 | H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1670591060761 | MP | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Roberto Campos Neto gets a second consecutive term at the BCB (his current term ends in Dec 2024), this market resolves to YES.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -6.938893903907228e-18, "week": -6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -0.0006590421385605748} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4282694543983558, "platformFee": 1.328095994131226, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MP | 1718588145794 | 0.2 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMP%2FJMyU-Pb-y4.51?alt=media&token=445f6754-d875-41a9-ad73-c272a1e866bf | 13 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "userId": "H8mXkmJcikfoYF0rQQ83qsHEWRn1", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1670591061081}] | ["brazil-3292d24d179f"] | 0.10453094134231278 | 0.5 | 1718588142653 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
yJWZCXhKD8PO6RKZaGz3 | who-will-sit-in-dianne-feinsteins-u | 85 | Who will sit in Dianne Feinstein's US Senate seat starting in 2024? | 1670689016118 | nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.853776548250242 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670591252067 | Matt P | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to whoever is sworn as US Senator from California, in 2024, in the seat currently occupied by Dianne Feinstein. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Duplicate answers will be ignored in f... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670689016118 | 300 | MattP | 1670689153674 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "463539b80578", "prob": 0.07304601899196493, "text": "Dianne Feinstein", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.870739443616085, "userId": "nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 36.42968353948813, "textFts": "'diann':1 'feinstein':2", "contractId": "yJWZCXhKD8PO6RKZaGz3", "createdTime": 1670591252067, "p... | 2 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670591252525}, {"name": "Dianne Feinstein", "slug": "dianne-feinstein", "userId": "8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2", "groupId": "fmWEl6Ut4HSZ40Gzjjp7", "createdTime": 1684398856528},... | ["us-politics", "dianne-feinstein", "california"] | 1670638796592 | 1670689152485 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5747292125658997 | Eo4kxwtCSnzfA8IVqUKR | {"NO": 28.955537911814417, "YES": 1447.289119014351} | 0 | will-any-foreigner-be-found-guilty | 1534.1045785137585 | Will any foreigner be found guilty of premarital or extramarital sex in Indonesia in 2022 or 2023? | 1704067140000 | iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6690059662529375 | True | play | NO | public | 1670592367511 | JuJumper | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704548782772 | 290 | JuJumper | 1704548782957 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 10 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670592368212}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132872455}] | ["politics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.10075719865573886 | 0.5 | 1703784771824 | 1704546671790 | 0.03 | iqqXdh6REfbbLnvuqvCX5Hu0gxL2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.337118500961908 | EDbc6X0e5rt9rnlOSJZg | {"NO": 180.1938837191434, "YES": 2372.2905325781844} | 0 | planecrashrot13-jvyy-xrygunz-qrfgeb | 2526.6332319477697 | [planecrash][rot13] Jvyy Xrygunz qrfgebl Puryvnk orsber nfpraqvat gb tbqubbq? | 1680915347500 | qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3717627631018727 | True | play | NO | public | 1670593154419 | Elspeth | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Question deciphered: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Keltham destroy Cheliax before ascending to godhood?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "spoiler"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolve... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680915347500 | 490 | Elspeth | 1680506765341 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c | 24 | 0 | 20 | [{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1670593154876}, {"name": "Planecrash", "slug": "planecrash", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "1jDuEPpS0Qs4HCseSxdv", "createdTime": 1670593165450}] | ["glowfic", "planecrash"] | 0.5 | 1680506765197 | 1680355938160 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15114764910329478 | SsJpeY0fuDs0UAN8y8tp | {"NO": 861.505155890348, "YES": 1777.8064514518155} | 0.07943250857516551 | will-malaria-be-erradicated-before | 3093.8151043022285 | Will malaria be erradicated before 2030? | 1893391140000 | qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.969225733688912 | False | basic | public | 1670594438754 | Elspeth | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes in the case that the WHO or an equivalent organization declares that malaria has been erradicated before 2030.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.005101333462504187} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1779971759493715, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Elspeth | 1718345068816 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2YW8OqjQHKeOg__RKSHtatt46deQK-sc3X4I5x=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "qJXuygUKaOPZy1CQjW2mdGO6Wpt1", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1670594438990}] | ["health"] | 0.5 | 1718345065749 | 1683516742153 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3192545909300779 | rZdLMLaIizQpu08IDJOD | {"NO": 532.8382398639297, "YES": 605.4524535778465} | 0.275 | how-many-hair-clips-in-the-jar | 324.8206679922465 | How many hair clips in the jar? | 1671253140000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7632983191556539 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670595072475 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Below is picture of the jar (from two different angle)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will count how many hair clips are inside after market close.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671253944330 | 570 | AmmonLam | 1671247101709 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670595072868}] | ["fun"] | 0.375 | 1671247100497 | 0.275 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.839018703847621 | 1c1m6tOXDgnAdYwzhSfB | {"NO": 1905.290030711267, "YES": 838.4569714286371} | 0.9221390206400032 | will-kyrsten-sinema-caucus-with-the | 1553.5571865603538 | Will Kyrsten Sinema caucus with the Senate Democrats on November 1, 2024? | 1730505540000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0.17625531053644772 | 9.947295033606096 | False | basic | public | 1670597056879 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if on November 1, 2024 Kyrsten Sinema is listed on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.democrats.senate.gov/about-senate-dems/our-caucus", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.democrats.senate... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jack | 1709670446694 | 2.2 | 27 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670597057691}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.14505154052467967 | 0.5 | 1709670446514 | 1670600859751 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
cyqEArTm9O6kshuWGH96 | who-will-hold-the-c02race-world-rec | 286.59851813234764 | Who will hold the C02-Race world record on February 1, 2023? | 1675227600000 | JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.777339218692213 | True | play | 1781f597bdb6 | public | 1670599688953 | Ibozz91 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://tmnf.exchange/trackshow/2331", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://tmnf.exchange/trackshow/2331", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1676914754970 | 460 | Ibozz91 | 1675254702699 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b8ccb25c3c9c", "prob": 0.12450757266716757, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.2258099573066845, "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 29.71437429640998, "textFts": "", "contractId": "cyqEArTm9O6kshuWGH96", "createdTime": 1670599689288, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 4 | 3 | [{"name": "Trackmania", "slug": "trackmania", "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "groupId": "OLB194lFbKJFt2EBwqjo", "createdTime": 1670599689153}] | ["trackmania"] | 1675100163701 | 1675254696791 | {"1781f597bdb6": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8742242366987394 | wCBi4StwlpZ6bySFuibs | {"NO": 30941.062990054095, "YES": 101.34880610819164} | 1 | will-senate-democrats-hold-a-strict | 30978.714522467606 | Will Senate Democrats hold a strict majority of the Appropriations committee on March 1, 2023? | 1677681982965 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 3.091090250468601 | True | play | YES | public | 1670600573320 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves based on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.appropriations.senate.gov/about/members", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677681982965 | 230 | jack | 1677681974066 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670600574044}, {"name": "118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "tO4QDTtyRZabZeGGiUJg", "createdTime": 1672782679488}] | ["us-politics", "118th-congress"] | 0.5 | 1677681973925 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8416560390300671 | xtT4JPBi2Pmasgggn3iE | {"NO": 5366.620852762079, "YES": 268.7470071217713} | 1 | will-kyrsten-sinema-caucus-with-the-61c791744288 | 5866.466191885416 | Will Kyrsten Sinema caucus with the Senate Democrats on March 1, 2023? | 1680458278651 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.019740531782177 | True | play | YES | public | 1670600678912 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if on March 1, 2023 Kyrsten Sinema is listed on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.democrats.senate.gov/about-senate-dems/our-caucus", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.democrats.senate.go... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680458278651 | 450 | jack | 1680458271642 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670600679512}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1680458270497 | 1680457122682 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6347675313206304 | Vw0xeYfLiBxeOF0qeZUO | {"NO": 161.08655796862436, "YES": 83.62607972223799} | 0.7700000000000001 | yourrage-stock-permanent | 98.13393576796419 | YourRAGE Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036420 | JcW0XadJyTdp8BooVCuPXNnvBsD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670602598847 | Tarb | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | Tabx | 1713586926441 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3xFmZpvNI_MP1hSO7pPzkMQmph0yTNDgCP439VEA=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1713586925609}, {"name":... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1686752720975 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17140169966373484 | cvlrTXoJ8SuftZvHb6d2 | {"NO": 200.7764200953716, "YES": 1225.2218795675315} | 0 | will-a-company-announce-a-major-pro | 955.2218795675315 | Will a company announce a major production issue stemming from something that was actually authored by something like ChatGPT or GitHub Copilot by then end of the year? | 1672531140000 | OQpegLbJDfaPpK2s6CfZYLO8GP43 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.416004298177703 | True | play | NO | public | 1670602608375 | Sophia Pung | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680824584021 | 290 | SophiaPung | 1680825926361 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0A66e3smJGc_1l-eUz6SiNmFQstDZqMkv7NAIo=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 20 | 14 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "OQpegLbJDfaPpK2s6CfZYLO8GP43", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1670602609026}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1672478808283 | 1680825924152 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | n12wZAxeRuoKWnfYOVIZ | {"NO": 93.75, "YES": 26.666666666666686} | 0 | daho | 110 | daho | 1670603264941 | qMno1RM4o7Z0e5cMcRTIQsE60nS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.568163242858972 | True | play | NO | public | 1670603199470 | Banaa naa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "zcxczx", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670603264941 | 70 | Banaanaa | 1670603221803 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Y9MDs7X_T-xHxflIA3vYeZvgUXl24dhO1a-ET=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1670603221513 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | J8qmqLlllfgUUacWRF5d | {"NO": 38.31780223674064, "YES": 65.24382543012598} | 0 | sdadasads | 262.603516522455 | sdadasads | 1670603416835 | qMno1RM4o7Z0e5cMcRTIQsE60nS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.425860108855146 | True | play | NO | public | 1670603331739 | Banaa naa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "VOTE NO", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670603416835 | 70 | Banaanaa | 1670603415730 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Y9MDs7X_T-xHxflIA3vYeZvgUXl24dhO1a-ET=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 1670603415385 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | ZWeME8flURMuSslig7p1 | {"NO": 46.87499999999994, "YES": 53.333333333333314} | 0 | u-owe-me-tonyw | 295 | u owe me tonyw | 1670603554738 | qMno1RM4o7Z0e5cMcRTIQsE60nS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.396300149714326 | True | play | NO | public | 1670603504984 | Banaa naa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "vote no", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670603554738 | 70 | Banaanaa | 1670603526933 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1Y9MDs7X_T-xHxflIA3vYeZvgUXl24dhO1a-ET=s96-c | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1670603526811 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18348092321777984 | i4yQJrtwW50QDMwkS9Xy | {"NO": 161.15410622686548, "YES": 1589.3798644310036} | 0 | will-croatia-win-the-world-cup | 2464.8877023212444 | Will Croatia win the World Cup? | 1670965011161 | xCyLI5fehphbYouDIa2EIdZWeb42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.705790414940114 | True | play | NO | public | 1670608734921 | Nikola | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670965011161 | 290 | Nikola | 1670964997668 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyZyMsfKN2f5Cu0B5dLudgzAwBQvK_3Gg4FanNoQg=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "xCyLI5fehphbYouDIa2EIdZWeb42", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670608735334}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670964997562 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32575920248306106 | YoaYpHo4uX6uu0sFHQSL | {"NO": 49.85883327854959, "YES": 167.89841130117085} | 0.1254730330377061 | will-croatia-win-the-2022-world-cup | 158.64444741610973 | Will Croatia win the 2022 world cup? | 1670611963997 | xCyLI5fehphbYouDIa2EIdZWeb42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.071256059361715 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670608977855 | Nikola | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670611963997 | 150 | Nikola | 1670611962013 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyZyMsfKN2f5Cu0B5dLudgzAwBQvK_3Gg4FanNoQg=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "xCyLI5fehphbYouDIa2EIdZWeb42", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1670609207555}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670610571916 | 1670611960763 | 0.13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40150318581632144 | 0YYQjhXgPCtuFUUPzLPF | {"NO": 53.53868659710896, "YES": 114.26052114885924} | 0.2391614484992765 | will-croatia-win-the-world-cup-22f39a20b4cf | 218.69434686506065 | Will Croatia win the World Cup? | 1670612007790 | xCyLI5fehphbYouDIa2EIdZWeb42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.674493583098756 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670608979656 | Nikola | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670612007790 | 150 | Nikola | 1670612009286 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyZyMsfKN2f5Cu0B5dLudgzAwBQvK_3Gg4FanNoQg=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0.5 | 1670609810744 | 1670612006968 | 0.24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22719036409265886 | x2IT1LPwwSXt9tNw5rUe | {"NO": 244.72478343964778, "YES": 3163.060257828295} | 0 | will-gamestock-gme-stock-price-be-a | 9472.610955350594 | Will Gamestop (GME) stock price be above $25 at the end of 2022? | 1672531140000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5483156053327027 | True | play | NO | public | 1670610089464 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the close price of Gamestop is strictly above $25 on the last trading day of 2022, according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GME/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672604036411 | 470 | jack | 1672524984046 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 25 | [{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1670610170755}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 16706101735... | ["wall-street-bets", "economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1672524983901 | 1671552763462 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45897241161598834 | EYQUTqFqWDnpyAXDWcdM | {"NO": 1210.931888511528, "YES": 33976.035308012055} | 0 | will-astral-codex-ten-share-my-arti | 76959.62223971299 | Will Astral Codex Ten share my article on prediction markets? | 1673165550326 | 7FapPTAhOfZonLfCWpKPJV65MSH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.1783140399778098 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670610643365 | Daniel Parris | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as yes if Scott Alexander and/or Astral Codex Ten features the following piece on social of some sort (substack, social media, etc.): ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.stat... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673165550326 | 5850 | DanielParris | 1673170647163 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1-b5OvEJdaCRezr5zsscYKiwBGwCo2ohDB_BFR=s96-c | 33 | 0 | 29 | [{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "7FapPTAhOfZonLfCWpKPJV65MSH3", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670610685515}, {"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "7FapPTAhOfZonLfCWpKPJV65MSH3", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670610665054}, {"name": "ACX",... | ["acx", "crypto-speculation", "fun"] | 0.5 | 1673127360696 | 1673170642993 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8779730072816425 | NUYla7S2fcTGDVVhlnBG | {"NO": 450.8661368274318, "YES": 359.76818085918717} | 0.9001672395256463 | will-scott-alexander-account-for-st | 510.1864365113486 | Will Scott Alexander account for stock split when resolving "Will Gamestop’s stock price still be above $100 at the end of 2022?" | 1680321540000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.238067329936553 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670610829474 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if when resolving ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "VW2VQqJE5145R24WlgRO", "label": "/ACXBot/will-gamestops-stock-price-still-be"}}, {"text": " , ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680349378213 | 390 | jack | 1679359777822 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1670610829822}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1670729232553}] | ["metaforecasting", "acx"] | 0.5 | 1679339875661 | 1679359771403 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.12488159155864263 | pInIhzicWSAClnhIfhei | {"NO": 318.37887548658546, "YES": 5424.912467381826} | 0 | will-the-chicago-cubs-win-the-2023 | 22715.6568959603 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2023 MLB World Series? | 1696356213007 | tC6xAhBnywTTpYlyskxCW2RxrMJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2081066227486374 | True | play | NO | public | 1670612370239 | squirrelfish | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 9, 1:02pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2023 World Series?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2023 MLB World Series?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1696356225255 | 490 | squirrelfish | 1696274935875 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0tfD3XqdXE3iIKHF275TeMXB30pQdIIi8xaRtS=s96-c | 1 | 26 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "tC6xAhBnywTTpYlyskxCW2RxrMJ3", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1670612370766}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.11620612064496344 | 0.5 | 1696274935595 | 1678655647437 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2526514756867795 | pStTjo1KBY2Bf5L8T8xe | {"NO": 171.00363431295986, "YES": 1132.4314866392456} | 0 | will-elden-ring-dlc-be-announced-by | 1033.5948473592025 | Will Elden Ring DLC be announced by the end of 2022? | 1672531140000 | aagOAjav23e5pjirCFEahcl0ob72 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.935690422499492 | True | play | NO | public | 1670613239462 | Jeremy Carter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Elden Ring won GOTY! Will much-anticipated downloadable content be announced for the game by the end of this year?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Important points:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672531892002 | 290 | JeremyCarter | 1672509222565 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0Sw82B09kqd8v4gyb5DvJn-AK6hilPQrwPmetlcQ=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "aagOAjav23e5pjirCFEahcl0ob72", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1670613240216}] | ["entertainment"] | 0.5 | 1672509222396 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6707508986781877 | EXMZyQdGu96u4D5ScGeZ | {"NO": 116.55021744053369, "YES": 98.21688410720037} | 0.7073870683060718 | dick-masterson-stock-permanent-e4d4df19d411 | 115.44978255946629 | Dick Masterson stock (Permanent) | 33217163036410 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670614893318 | Red | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Host of The Dick Show and Biggest Problem in the Universe", "type": "text"}]}]} | STONK | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | Rederth | 1713587224522 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1681226374775 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.24395276727707274 | LF1Uc1rYeQXq6rPrsFZ1 | {"NO": 333.8527049213167, "YES": 323.631440897335} | 0.33 | what-will-be-the-gender-ratio-at-th | 257.10904460668485 | What will be the gender ratio at the Manifold meetup tonight? | 1670637600000 | xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4301394601073016 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670615750718 | Gavriel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold is hosting a meetup in Austin, TX; the main publicity has been sending the info to Austin LessWrong (and there's a Meetup.com event). Market resolves to the percent of attendees, including Manifold staff, who are women or nonbinary.", "typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670690278242 | 340 | GavrielK | 1670636962608 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670615751123}, {"name": "Manifold Markets Austin Meetup", "slug": "manifold-markets-austin-meetup", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "1qhyVZrWKUq0RFGdfH... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-markets-austin-meetup"] | 0.5 | 1670636962442 | 0.33 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5776626445268209 | 4OLzsJ0eVSjCqXIxoMLL | {"NO": 136.86369997493586, "YES": 152.4939031544967} | 0.5510827846311988 | hbombergy-stock-permanent | 188.81726401115986 | hbomberguy stock (Permanent) | 33217163036407 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | cpmm-1 | 4.421429385306094e-16 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670615970771 | Red | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock related to hbomberguy", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@hbomberguy", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@hbomberguy", "class"... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | Rederth | 1713585945208 | 0.2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.09241041289945684 | 0.5 | False | False | 1703380594999 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6621568214908691 | RjzgBhpKGdvwaCGSeESD | {"NO": 359.67695311558765, "YES": 252.9488834380734} | 0.7359336268986957 | contrapoints-stock-permanent | 1096.122489763817 | Contrapoints stock (Permanent) | 33217163036417 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670616261686 | Red | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock related to ContraPoints", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@ContraPoints", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@ContraPoints", "class": null,... | STONK | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 290 | Rederth | 1713585336912 | 0.2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50"}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredicti... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.10430400334497109 | 0.5 | False | False | 1711553733960 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6993431041311993 | HcnUHcu2OeLCKdhDe9Bc | {"NO": 1053.7643174542611, "YES": 373.78602777849085} | 0.8676814428424139 | will-the-manifold-markets-apps-have | 7539.624288866364 | Will the Manifold Markets apps have over 30 5-star reviews? | 1670738340000 | IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9181518912804532 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670616407500 | Manifold | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At our Austin TX meetup, we will be offering out free T-shirts in exchange for a review of our app.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/SG/will-more-than-25-people-attend-our", "frameBorder": 0, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671471962639 | 630 | Manifold | 1671472081070 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 2 | 30 | [{"name": "Manifold Markets Austin Meetup", "slug": "manifold-markets-austin-meetup", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "1qhyVZrWKUq0RFGdfHoh", "createdTime": 1670616407841}] | ["manifold-markets-austin-meetup"] | 0.5 | 1670735398129 | 1671472078176 | 0.87 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | jr0LY2nh3iW6LuteCYwL | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 1 | how-many-brothers-will-die-this-epi | 0 | How many brothers will die this episode | 1670616538197 | rsvye6NAMCMbDjX2lRmvN2fbsSq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | YES | public | 1670616519004 | Hc Hc | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670616538197 | 50 | HcHc | 1670616519004 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu20EvwfCFRQQ8E29PM3BTSG4Q_7U0V42YFcF2g2=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x7u3Oa4wX5jHCyWYNSnw | how-many-brothers-will-die | 100 | How many brothers will die | 1670630340000 | rsvye6NAMCMbDjX2lRmvN2fbsSq1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.837765190619555 | True | play | 952eac5efb1d | public | 1670616562410 | Hc Hc | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670694900602 | 320 | HcHc | 1670618470937 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu20EvwfCFRQQ8E29PM3BTSG4Q_7U0V42YFcF2g2=s96-c | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "952eac5efb1d", "prob": 0.37500000000000006, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 52.28527517380014, "userId": "rsvye6NAMCMbDjX2lRmvN2fbsSq1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 87.1421252896669, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "x7u3Oa4wX5jHCyWYNSnw", "createdTime": 1670616562410, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 1 | 3 | 1670618470844 | {"952eac5efb1d": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6003463076716653 | bABY4NlJgcUBtug1c6ur | {"NO": 571.8106805533889, "YES": 519.6435741052838} | 0.6230638241279778 | alex-jones-stock-permanent | 2904.0099749469255 | Alex Jones stock (Permanent) | 33217163036423 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670616792650 | Red | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Permanent stock for Alex Jones the host of Infowars", "type": "text"}]}]} | STONK | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.17428471969125026} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.353562229840742, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 550 | Rederth | 1718067278870 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e"}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-m... | ["politics-default", "destinygg", "all-stonks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.5 | False | False | 1718067273472 | 1704937243532 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6980329392154028 | nus6qQzLiYGTpOEOAbSN | {"NO": 295.9230607452794, "YES": 475.36477883305173} | 1 | can-chatgpt-do-rot13 | 403.9556516266154 | Can ChatGPT do rot13? | 1670695668831 | Gyd3QdwSQOe0jMGxT2SnXisJv202 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0493185326699352 | True | play | YES | public | 1670618205556 | kenakofer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if someone comments with a template for a prompt to ChatGPT that makes it decode a 3 random words rot13 phrase, at least half of the time.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670695668831 | 450 | kenakofer | 1670704089590 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "Gyd3QdwSQOe0jMGxT2SnXisJv202", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670618205895}] | ["ai"] | 0.5 | 1670693009114 | 1670704086071 | 0.59 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7843260353554051 | JkbaXUJwq5ICNWC8viLz | {"NO": 643.1025750429137, "YES": 185.65753123672098} | 1 | will-germanys-floating-lng-terminal | 615.748567344603 | Will Germany's floating LNG terminal officially launch by the end of the year? | 1671387425888 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1821489749845098 | True | play | YES | public | 1670618517194 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Project was delayed weeks from initial early December launch. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671387425888 | 270 | BTE | 1671384933102 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1670618517451}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "userId": "jsw8EBZRimdX6B8i10UVuDgiTDf2", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1671121909053}] | ["global-macro", "germany"] | 0.5 | 1671384932990 | 1671384378827 | 0.93 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5429582689247384 | XLSC4LbrVPS1E7JBAoPT | {"NO": 7987.228321645737, "YES": 98.09106980937759} | 1 | will-hades-ii-out-perform-hades-on | 10559.881363715842 | Will Hades II out perform Hades on steam charts by the end of 2024? | 1715353660672 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1670619023713 | Red | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hades II was announced by Supergiant games 8 Dec 2022. This market will resolve YES if steamcharts.com shows Hades II to have a higher all time player peak than Hades which is 37,586 concurrent players. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.30407983570961, "platformFee": 24.30407983570961, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715353660672 | 750 | Rederth | 1715353776897 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 0 | 18 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1670619023910}, {"name": "Rogue-lites", "slug": "roguelites", "userId": "MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2", "groupId": "KZSaJ63FBymFXxLLMPZq", "createdTime": 1670619082582}] | ["gaming", "roguelites"] | 0.5 | 1715353640933 | 1715353775375 | 0.99 | MT3fY2DpzJgtGFfd8pizQ0vz8ed2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2985599603374251 | KQ37bsaMb5bGwyc36HQh | {"NO": 122.20658674114651, "YES": 319.52588144695085} | 0 | will-the-lviv-schedule-of-planned-p | 314.6849144158596 | Will the Lviv schedule of planned power outages change? | 1673215140000 | h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3907774086941846 | True | play | NO | public | 1670619538637 | Benjamin Ikuta | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the Lviv schedule of planned power outages change? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Or will it stay the same? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673338290725 | 170 | benjaminIkuta | 1673278583163 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0TvmmGbK73DdJTIzbPglxO5Kw0RadvK6CxhwXeFg=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "userId": "h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1670619538997}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "userId": "h8mrjj5GRDb363eGYxhaKR8hzAF2", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1670759430509}] | ["ukraine", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.5 | 1673213667576 | 1673278580993 | 0.14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.061334715561520224 | KJ1JHyFvOOXmVkYDyQSE | {"NO": 721.9082669865339, "YES": 1525.204556677436} | 0.03000000000000031 | will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t | 6772.636120112521 | Will “The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom” get an expansion pack? | 1798714800000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1670619703113 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I.e. paid DLC on the scale of the one \"Breath of the Wild\" got. New costumes and weapons aren't enough; new story or locations will probably suffice.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO once a new main Zel... | BINARY | {"day": -3.469446951953614e-18, "week": -3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -3.469446951953614e-18} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.33425534872778884, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NcyRocks | 1717275513990 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1672096913523}, {"name": "Nintendo", "slug": "nintendo", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "RP9YmNIFe88Grg68Ivp2", "createdTime": 1670619703369}, {"name": "Entertainment a... | ["nintendo", "gaming", "entertainment", "the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-the-ki"] | 0.5 | 1717275510849 | 1694043093340 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8516969989172991 | arcgadi3b6Mf2ENGcsh4 | {"NO": 1532.2158860724528, "YES": 312.36113950315064} | 1 | will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates-456c75992558 | 2023.4313072768796 | Will the Fed raise benchmark rates in February? | 1674842400000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9470165351843212 | True | play | YES | public | 1670622533233 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 31/Feb 1", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675290738522 | 430 | Gigacasting | 1674830444616 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 21 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670622538983}, {"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1671110404674... | ["economics-default", "federal-reserve"] | 0.5 | 1674830444496 | 1671814250052 | 0.97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6328991985654946 | iVOBDsIvLQ0ykcZZvTAy | {"NO": 654.8702280225746, "YES": 183.79514887071764} | 1 | will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates-05eda889c248 | 474.11474156760426 | Will the Fed raise benchmark rates by 25bps in February? | 1674842400000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4079464275925864 | True | play | YES | public | 1670622591821 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jan 31/Feb 1", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675290757142 | 310 | Gigacasting | 1674830405040 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670622592133}, {"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1671110421321... | ["economics-default", "federal-reserve"] | 0.5 | 1674830403801 | 1670685052816 | 0.86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7939172637215459 | X15ze5u0C49oe5cXbpk3 | {"NO": 745.7841602162529, "YES": 766.3930323222667} | 1 | will-the-fed-raise-benchmark-rates-1102ff6b1a79 | 21141.28645884958 | Will the Fed raise benchmark rates in March? | 1679508000000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.7297682591369097 | True | play | YES | public | 1670622690013 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "March 21-22", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679508134845 | 870 | Gigacasting | 1679508211092 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670622690395}, {"name": "Federal reserve", "slug": "federal-reserve", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "Dtx5Ll2hayivzG8YPHbE", "createdTime": 1671110424404... | ["economics-default", "federal-reserve"] | 0.5 | 1679507967583 | 1679508207973 | 0.79 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.24744962586698768 | U5Cw6cdn12RurMwLGLgL | {"NO": 114.60488425212986, "YES": 4365.836907320123} | 0 | will-argentina-vs-croatia-be-decide | 6656.72937266925 | Will Argentina vs Croatia be decided via penalty shoot-out? | 1670964987512 | 7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1613604145228607 | True | play | NO | public | 1670623299896 | nickten 💙💦🐬 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670964987512 | 350 | nickten | 1670964934649 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670623300362}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670964933421 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6378451735254368 | AEKSl5IT5fnTHRkGaGMa | {"NO": 32479.41809311197, "YES": 398.3928311989596} | 1 | will-argentina-eliminate-croatia-at | 108714.3176954067 | Will Argentina eliminate Croatia at the semi-finals of the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | 1670964935907 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.6232016478686369 | True | basic | YES | public | 1670623326272 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Argentina wins their match or ties and wins the penality shoot-out against Croatia in their semi-final match on December 9.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670964935907 | 1970 | egroj | 1670974020721 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 106 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670623326774}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670964934962 | 1670973996437 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4594201419724667 | ZNpmJNsuuwSIRo6Tdp3o | {"NO": 15.727587382761008, "YES": 3731.678754008322} | 0 | argentina-vs-croatia-will-more-than | 11929.145050529583 | Argentina vs Croatia - Will more than 3 goals be scored? | 1670964974825 | 7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.005651623232761 | True | play | NO | public | 1670623642242 | nickten 💙💦🐬 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "0, 1, 2 or 3 combined goals = NO", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "4 or more = YES", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Overtime/extra time goals do count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "pa... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670964974825 | 330 | nickten | 1670964930359 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670623642587}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670964930206 | 0.41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5866876630955483 | FXhWZGAADAJqf90jz1ME | {"NO": 146.64891714972532, "YES": 85.02508934441299} | 0.7099999999999999 | will-the-milady-floor-go-above-10k | 156.17439443386763 | Will the Milady floor go above $10k? | 1893477540000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670623708145 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | Gigacasting | 1709057841341 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1670623708389}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737213550}] | ["culture-default", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1709057841186 | 1684270698047 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41456044926769325 | WjoqEFlWvn60xcOqQgmh | {"NO": 82.63290838448283, "YES": 158.8729134748985} | 0.26916941033067565 | will-the-milady-floor-go-above-100k | 103.21702249838577 | Will the Milady floor go above $100k? | 1893477540000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670623732221 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | Gigacasting | 1684270705866 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1670623732449}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1681975042916}] | ["culture-default", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1684270705747 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2895426176083113 | 5DZTSHXVNAT4TV7ev6tI | {"NO": 127.73176886352792, "YES": 3423.3770885896247} | 0 | will-england-vs-france-be-decided-v | 7869.321257714515 | Will England vs France be decided via penalty shoot-out? | 1670706131974 | 7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.037593476512754 | True | play | NO | public | 1670624380351 | nickten 💙💦🐬 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670706131974 | 450 | nickten | 1670706118025 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "7zrgCUnRxNec0U45P15f05GVjCB2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670624380777}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670706117879 | 1670645798042 | 0.19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.41873450121309913 | 19g4bMPcIMJesGdR6goB | {"NO": 3319.7734117621703, "YES": 20.960716388420565} | 1 | will-the-world-cup-final-be-decided | 8750.843460313577 | Will the World Cup final be decided by penalty kicks? | 1671385715156 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0863915581945847 | True | play | YES | public | 1670625434154 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671385715156 | 570 | BTE | 1671385598598 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 22 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1670625434590}, {"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1691182013009}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup", "sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1671385598500 | 1670626195256 | False | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42695075076742145 | 1O8PIBA55LADp3oUQsIx | {"NO": 12.09735740895843, "YES": 365.98912263840987} | 1 | test1 | 977.44 | Test1 | 1670625771926 | ouefijevBAh03AWf6ncljkSWLeq2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.63613996320281 | True | play | YES | public | 1670625486896 | NL AR | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Test2", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-10 12:39 am", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670625771926 | 90 | NLAR | 1670625617282 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6himMeCArrxWTVvKHJwJoVYvX8eyO4W2ZHUdQ6=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 4 | [] | [] | 0.5 | 1670625617090 | 0.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6319678521791434 | Ql3sKIWxBhbpT6wIN9O5 | {"NO": 230.12512689591958, "YES": 164.81962238557523} | 0 | will-there-be-6-or-more-goals-on-de-f2edffd9725a | 98.63324029797536 | Will there be 6 or more goals on Dec 10 at the FIFA World Cup? | 1670630340000 | hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8594588762117974 | True | play | NO | public | 1670627064428 | Rafael Zamora | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolved to YES if the total of goals score ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "during the 90 minutes plus 30 minutes extra time ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "(if any)", "type": "text"}, {"text": " ", "type": "text", "ma... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670713178188 | 190 | RafaelZamora | 1670630264419 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GggL6q5Ycr6GnEmC_K4agbZHBpHXNfbvyGJd6v7SwA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "hjzq8luemQPG6rxPIG1XUPTZPrK2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1670627064951}] | ["sports-default"] | 0.5 | 1670630263993 | 0.71 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6641371974800192 | En09qBkMK88qqFkr5NiO | {"NO": 352.3658421173767, "YES": 26.03672691120954} | 0 | will-destiny-stream-after-tos | 1495.2060950664613 | Will Destiny Stream after ToS (this friday) | 1670631134898 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.071722987982518 | True | play | NO | public | 1670630851598 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 9, 6:09pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Destiny Stream after ToS", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will Destiny Stream after ToS (this friday)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670631134898 | 490 | PryingMind | 1670631221310 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670630852298}, {"name": "Improperly Resolved", "slug": "improperly-resolved", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "H4pCAtNjKfKA1dq7NCBl", "createdTime": 167063697902... | ["destinygg", "improperly-resolved"] | 0.5 | 1670631131105 | 1670631217904 | 0.59 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ya7FPn6OEdaaKYTiAUAP | give-me-mana | 30020.671731897273 | Give me Mana | 1679028493097 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.862329709360282 | True | play | c57bbf32008e | public | 1670630881236 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market to an answer that I will create seconds before.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679028493097 | 460 | FranklinBaldo | 1679028470264 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "dca1d2468f60", "prob": 0.31637398920854437, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 17.217966308742923, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 37.204858879308006, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Ya7FPn6OEdaaKYTiAUAP", "createdTime": 1670630882006, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0... | 7 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670630881879}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "cjVGiGuaQaVn5Ck9uW19Vz8tWXX2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1670631339631}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "fun"] | 1679028470119 | 1674185780032 | {"c57bbf32008e": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000009 | Mzzs71FdDEd7KFBp5W9D | {"NO": 91.42460913011246, "YES": 27.344935064935072} | 0.769764755348154 | am-i-a-scammer-for-resolving-last-m | 237.28 | AM I A SCAMMER FOR RESOLVING LAST MARKET AS NO ( I WILL RESOLVE NA) | 1670631762177 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.5546949262168495 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670631597243 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670631762177 | 130 | PryingMind | 1670631726147 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1670637005029}] | ["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution"] | 0.5 | 1670631725975 | 0.89 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32157367984653035 | r03B2GtaqPpY8TpHnsIg | {"NO": 70.98826309330553, "YES": 1908.9966725599497} | 0 | will-destiny-stream-in-a-hour-start | 7406.116832617206 | Will Destiny Stream In A hour ( starting from now ) | 1670635421253 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8089414801332167 | True | play | NO | public | 1670631953925 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670635421253 | 870 | PryingMind | 1670635421077 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 43 | 0 | 39 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670631954653}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670635420949 | 1670635108219 | 0.17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35353836645201125 | s91vwCTaLzD71C4z9tnZ | {"NO": 33.35767534148711, "YES": 1407.3241154054035} | 0 | will-congress-pass-a-bill-to-raise | 2028.5192527460272 | Will Congress pass a bill to raise the debt ceiling in the lame duck session? | 1672772756239 | A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.025837786963202 | True | play | NO | public | 1670632176563 | octothorpe | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to YES if the 117th Congress (ending January 3, 2023) passes a bill that raises, suspends, or repeals the US debt ceiling (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_debt_ceiling", "type": "te... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672772756239 | 130 | octothorpe | 1672683299889 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6tbDKXAhRdj3ZSPc-7TND1_UeF-7xC_S1mdQ1V=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670632177293}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670632195680}] | ["politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1672683299705 | 0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8076183104926622 | XLuQS4f8ySt07q0DVnLf | {"NO": 2334.606348200051, "YES": 161.18007951893725} | 1 | will-the-manifold-markets-iphone-ap | 2198.667476202836 | Will the Manifold Markets iPhone app have a rating >4.5 stars by January 1st, 2023? | 1672607346438 | HPm3o7nFq7W034PKTvKJZZ8x58t2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.56094424889862 | True | play | YES | public | 1670633071956 | Konstantine | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves based on the Manifold Market Apple App store rating at 12:00pm, January 1st, 2023", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672607346438 | 290 | cherrvak | 1672604010509 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "HPm3o7nFq7W034PKTvKJZZ8x58t2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670633072711}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "HPm3o7nFq7W034PKTvKJZZ8x58t2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 167068597481... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1672604010395 | 0.98 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07114670253306854 | Eyco1Ap7Wlw0Qi0BZxhl | {"NO": 297.83081035866655, "YES": 201.85971808995302} | 0.10153773086040471 | fbi-employees-fired-for-election-in | 38.99999999999952 | FBI Employees Fired For Election Interference | 1679813240023 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.502285543281813 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1670633619806 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " In re: social media manipulation. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FG-MExLi7f8.jpeg?alt=media&token=6dc90088-6b5d... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1679813240023 | 290 | Gigacasting | 1670844561898 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1670633620063}] | ["twitter"] | 0.06624662542948935 | 1670844561716 | 1670637528148 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.09737499643623357 | LrUOIHkefhkjocFzdcs2 | {"NO": 303.69784562635107, "YES": 600.9004126923032} | 0 | -will-someone-die-because-they-got | 2113.8334271999793 | > Will Someone die because they got sick at the Dgg Canvasing event | 1672531140000 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.093607923843433 | True | play | NO | public | 1670633664054 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ends at December 31st", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-31 5:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672531534201 | 350 | PryingMind | 1672441367606 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1670633664759}, {"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670634732090}] | ["health", "destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672441367500 | 1670714724673 | 0.05 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8332414344331271 | 7q2ub8FVUZhnJmZaRXKI | {"NO": 3046.4996084477452, "YES": 126.84056414866254} | 1 | will-destiny-stream-this-friday | 6408.706620971839 | Will Destiny Stream ( This Friday ) | 1670638218298 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.524738011197038 | True | play | YES | public | 1670635590033 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I Mean Today this friday is meme LULW", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670638218298 | 630 | PryingMind | 1670638215982 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 31 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670635591016}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1670638215804 | 1670638061776 | 0.99 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.