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#5: How many indexed markets will i make tonight?
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#7: Does the Vancouver Greater area have more population than Toronto proper according to google
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#13: Will most markets participants bet correctly in at least six different markets?
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will-bitcoin-price-be-above-17200-a-eed5f531b122
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Will Bitcoin price be above $17200 at Dec 11 10pm ET?
1670817243044
jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2
cpmm-1
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2.3657672094533457
True
play
NO
public
1670558650815
Gene Fama
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]}
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GeneFama
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is-lizzo-a-better-floutist-than-ben
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Is lizzo a better floutist than Ben Shapiro is at violin
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cpmm-1
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1.9958997479953369
True
play
MKT
public
1670558878782
Harry Seaton
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will-sbf-take-a-plea-deal
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Will SBF take a plea deal?
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wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
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1.0476662593925905
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basic
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Will Congress do anything about “Twitter files”?
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cpmm-1
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public
1670559182803
Gigacasting
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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
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cpmm-1
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0.11570193891458583
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1670559190215
Ammon Lam
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i-get-a-trustworthy-badge-on-manifo
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I get a trustworthy badge on Manifold before the end of 2023
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cpmm-1
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2.3232413804948764
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play
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Alana
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cpmm-multi-1
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play
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will-aoc-be-sanctioned-by-the-house
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Will AOC be sanctioned by the House Committee on Ethics?
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cpmm-1
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basic
NO
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Nick Allen
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cpmm-1
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play
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1670560556916
Gigacasting
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will-destiny-get-unbanned-from-twit-77cb9cf3fa26
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Will Destiny get unbanned from twitter tomorrow?
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cpmm-1
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nmwood _
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will-there-be-25-or-more-traders-on
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Will there be 25 or more traders on this market?
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cpmm-1
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1.4820329249642858
True
play
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1670564754733
XComhghall
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cpmm-multi-1
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DoppioFrog
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gbtc-to-btc112024
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GBTC to BTC—1/1/2024
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cpmm-1
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Gigacasting
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Gigacasting
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1713975350321
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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…a86-2ae780675e2f
3
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1713975346922
0.6255804695015131
AV1YnVJZt5kuNRovoe9O
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gbtc-to-btc112030
322.35845869335736
GBTC to BTC—1/1/2030
1893477540000
wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670565649569
Gigacasting
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently 53% of (expected) net assets ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "where does it trade on 1/1/2030; (any trading halt resolves to black market price!)", "type": "text"}]}]}
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Gigacasting
1710238701886
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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b
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https://firebasestorage.…1cd-4ff9c7960ae3
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1710238698605
1680537204332
0.12832595831667726
FCUiv7qOHdmrA2mQO737
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will-china-declare-the-zero-covid-p
46906.68157564883
Will China declare the Zero COVID policy again by March 2023?
1680656400000
WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2
cpmm-1
0
0.892201560412472
True
play
NO
public
1670566450921
XComhghall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will China declare the Zero COVID policy again, after temporarily easing restrictions and 'living with COVID', by the end of March 2023?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the cent...
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XComhghall
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will-there-be-protests-in-china-due
49389.46405694698
Will there be protests in China due to rising COVID cases by June 2023?
1688778900000
WEBvWg01hyONJrwEDcGvId9Uq0e2
cpmm-1
0.023496976828626046
0.43250878648379043
True
play
NO
public
1670567378409
XComhghall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The November–December protests were against the Zero COVID policy and because of draconian government actions. Now that Xi decided on the complete opposite, experts in China estimate that 80–90% of the nation will contract the disease (compared wit...
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1688778890772
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is-pineapple-on-pizza-a-sin
1902.663916581549
Is pineapple on pizza a sin?
1670677042170
qK2Os09UuzR0zFXcqfAlL65BAQF2
cpmm-1
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0.9253011556381775
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play
NO
public
1670571063984
Harry Seaton
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "60 and up resolves yes 40 and under resolves no in between resolves na go degenerates", "type": "text"}]}]}
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HarrySeaton8da7
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will-blackstone-have-the-largest-es
53.232317999884316
Will Blackstone have the largest est. dry powder of any private fund manager by the end of 2026?
1798790340000
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670572823014
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per the Preqin league tables on 12/31/26. As of market creation (12/8/22), the top 5 private fund managers in order of estimated dry powder are as follows: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "cont...
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CarsonGale
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will-any-fund-eclipse-the-size-of-t
133.96750324763553
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4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
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9.662461345090406
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basic
public
1670573123380
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves if, per Preqin, a fund is raised with over $98,583M of commitments (the size of the SoftBank vision fund) by 12/31/30. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of market creation, the next...
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66.8404448959572
Will the Investment Corporation of Dubai hold the largest PE allocation by 2025?
1767254340000
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
public
1670573540673
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per the Investors league table in Preqin as of 12/31/25, ranking by private equity allocation. The Investment Corporation of Dubai is currently the largest private equity holder, at $168B.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type...
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86.99999999999996
What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100)
2240639940000
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cpmm-1
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1670574142771
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves per Preqin at fund liquidation. Market close may be extended to accommodate the ultimate fund term. The final % answer will be multiplied by 100 for purposes of this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}...
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1767254340000
4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1670574340659
Carson Gale
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The last fund, Fund VIII, was oversubscribed at $26B (relative to a target of $20B). Fund IX is on its first close. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
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cpmm-multi-1
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bd9fc81f9707
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1670575540591
MaybeNotDepends
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If someone else wins, this market will resolve at 11% for everyone (except for the Warren Bloom who will be awarded 12% based on alphabetic order, by last name).", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "iframe", ...
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will-amanda-mcillmurray-win-one-of
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Will Amanda Mcillmurray win one of the five Democratic nominations for Philadelphia City Council At-Large in 2023?
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cpmm-1
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NO
public
1670576662349
MaybeNotDepends
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 9, 4:04am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Amanda Mcillmurray win one of the five Democratic nominations for Philadelphia City Council At-Large in 2023?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will Amanda Mcillmurray w...
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will-chinese-antitrust-authorities
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Will Chinese antitrust authorities block Intel's acquisition of Tower Semiconductor?
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cpmm-1
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2.316274485383426
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YES
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1670579882946
ersatz
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2024-01-01 12:59 am", "type": "text"}]}]}
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will-a-liberal-candidate-win-the-20
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Will a liberal candidate win the 2023 Wisconsin Supreme Court election?
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1670584166916
Lisa Marsh
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Wisconsin Supreme Court elections are officially non-partisan, but the justices still have political leanings. I will resolve based on what reliable sources say about whether the new justice is liberal or conservative (or equivalently Democrat-alig...
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Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
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will-kyrsten-sinema-win-the-2024-se
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Will Kyrsten Sinema win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona?
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1.0807258242423954
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will-any-foreigner-be-found-guilty
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[planecrash][rot13] Jvyy Xrygunz qrfgebl Puryvnk orsber nfpraqvat gb tbqubbq?
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