Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
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mechanism
string
startPool
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totalBets
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dailyScore
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elasticity
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isResolved
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marketTier
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resolution
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visibility
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createdTime
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creatorName
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description
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outcomeType
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probChanges
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subsidyPool
string
totalShares
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collectedFees
string
phantomShares
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volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
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totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
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popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
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likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
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coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
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followerCount
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freshnessScore
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groupLinks
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groupSlugs
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importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
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isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
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lastCommentTime
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loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
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matchCreatorId
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nonPredictive
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resolutionProbability
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resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
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unlistedById
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username
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viewCount
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wasDpm
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0.6501652237106106
hM5yY1OsYv1Wrf9WfflL
{"NO": 383.423289105492, "YES": 188.52125012389845}
0.93
commercial-inorbit-refueling-by-203
297.4710830075786
Commercial in-orbit refueling by 2036? [Early Resolution via Metaculus]
1683410400000
4w7ZYpvZ3OfE0A8fuWttBVZWvRR2
cpmm-1
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1.5729068510179913
True
play
MKT
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1671035834204
Johnny Ten-Numbers
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BINARY
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in-what-year-will-an-openai-natural-8a2a7b9255fb
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In what year will an OpenAI natural language processing model be more competent than me in my area of expertise?
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EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2
cpmm-1
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Eli but Chad
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PSEUDO_NUMERIC
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Which team will win the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup?
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cpmm-multi-1
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Andrew G
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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What will MIT's acceptance rate be for the class of 2027?
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cpmm-1
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arae
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PSEUDO_NUMERIC
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Will South America host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
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cpmm-1
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Will Morocco host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
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Will China host the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
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Will Destiny go on Fresh & Fit again this year?
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Will Destiny debate another Black Pill content creator like WheatWaffles this year?
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Will the US government shut down on Oct 1st, 2023 because Congress fails to pass a budget?
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Will the R0 of Omicron be revised downwards in light of the coming Chinese wave?
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Will anyone donate to the linked fundraiser for my kids' school as a result of this market?
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "if anyone makes a donation on this page with a comment mentioning \"manifold\" this will resolve YES, otherwise NO. I assure you it's a very worthy cause. Great caring school that could really use the money.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph...
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Isaac King
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Will Messi score a goal during the FIFA 2022 Finals?
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will-the-manifold-dream-bot-post-ag-4fcc47eb7fa4
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Will the Manifold Dream bot post again before the end of 2022?
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cpmm-1
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5.150356550237237
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how-much-mana-will-i-be-able-to-buy
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How much mana will I be able to buy from other traders by the end of 2022?
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cpmm-1
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2.6108067470707184
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1671058262477
Isaac King
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Will the party make it past the ramp this session?
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2.0895978155047903
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Shaved DogsAss
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War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 105,000 troops by the end of 2022?
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cpmm-1
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Tomek ⚡ K
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Will brain death be reversible by 2070?
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cpmm-1
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poll-do-you-prefer-the-current-symb
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Poll: Do you prefer the current symbol for mana?
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cpmm-1
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cpmm-1
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will-ukraine-control-any-territory-e64578a2c24a
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Will Ukraine control any territory near Azov sea by end of March 2023?
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0.7701979877843259
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NO
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1671061837218
Jenny
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1681016627983
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Jenny
1680970525240
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will-julian-alvarez-score-a-goal-du
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Will Julián Álvarez score a goal during the FIFA 2022 Finals?
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cpmm-1
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2.23084253508052
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Marcus Abramovitch
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MarcusAbramovitch
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will-sbf-complain-about-his-prison
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Will SBF complain about his prison condition in Bahamas?
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2.050333893927882
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YES
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1671062567978
Ammon Lam
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AmmonLam
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will-anyone-be-criminally-prosecute
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Will anyone be criminally prosecuted for producing a deepfake video of the president of the US in 2023?
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1.5558878892592944
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1671062949902
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will crinimal charges result in fine, improsonment, or probation for any person or organization due to the production of a deepfake video of the US president before the end of 2023? ", "type": "text"}]}]}
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1704126747367
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0.9797946018451085
True
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1671063206120
Duncn
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Will Scoria be slain by the end of Tombs of Scoria episode 92?
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2.9269210715105363
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1671064539155
humblestumble
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