CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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will-manifold-actually-enforce-my-b

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Will manifold actually enforce my block against the image bot on my markets by the end of January 2023?

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NotEnoughSpeed

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Franklin Baldo

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will-any-participant-be-expelled-fr

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Will any participant be expelled from Big Brother Brasil 2023?

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5.00819514794313

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Franklin Baldo

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What pranks will Manifold do for April Fool's Day 2023?

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Franklin Baldo

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something-wholesome-vs-dead-weight

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Something Wholesome vs Dead Weight

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Harlemz

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Will Katja Grace be No. 1 on the All Time Profit Leaderboard at any point before 2024?

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IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2

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1671113636691

GeorgeVii

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Will there be a Tornado Warning in Orlando on 12/15?

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Radicalia

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will-manifold-provide-referrer-cont-4fc92f296b8b

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Will Manifold provide referrer context on referral links by 2023-06-14?

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Will @pmarca tweet through Christmas?

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Cimorene Blume

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What was the largest 5-minute swing on a serious market?

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Jenny

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cpmm-1

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will-i-be-convinced-that-recreation

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Will Messi win the "Man of the Match" award during the 2022 FIFA World Cup Finals?

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Marcus Abramovitch

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cpmm-1

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which-option-will-have-the-lowest-p-b71d09a78fc8

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Which option will have the lowest percentage?

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.695468680811559

True

play

MKT

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Jonathan Chiang

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will-bitcoins-peak-during-december

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Will Bitcoin's peak during December be above $18250?

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cpmm-1

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2.026874257544832

True

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1671135877894

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will-there-be-more-goals-scored-dur

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Will there be more goals scored during the World Cup Final than the Third Place Play-Off?

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2.6873144497975465

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By the end of 2032, will GiveWell have retroactively reduced their estimates of the effectiveness of AMF between 2014 and 2019 by at least a factor of 2?

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Manifold bans "Permanent Stock" markets before 2030

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Harrison Lucas

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will-a-moderate-become-speaker-of-t

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Will a moderate become Speaker of the House through a deal struck by GOP and Dem members?

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will-kevin-mccarthy-drop-out-of-the

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Will Kevin McCarthy drop out of the race to be Speaker allowing for others to emerge and compete for it?

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cpmm-1

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0.9692548968692405

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Salem/CSPI Tournament: Will someone have more money than the next two users together?

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