p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.24087308152328482 | CFWQAZEartIk1IL1GZ6k | {"NO": 671.5031328429928, "YES": 1926.157447818585} | 0.09960129757272099 | will-any-ftxff-employees-testify-in | 2858.4881104424544 | Will any FTXFF employees testify in a court case regarding SBF? | 1738367940000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.894467420008606 | False | basic | public | 1670891506151 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-01-31 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -8.326672684688674e-17, "week": -8.326672684688674e-17, "month": -8.326672684688674e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GeorgeVii | 1705007466722 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670891672961}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1670891506917... | ["ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "sbf", "sbf-trial"] | 0.5 | 1705007466569 | 1685293118522 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5524029253085685 | d7Lat25DQw0b0Hmh1Mit | {"NO": 612.4873638025255, "YES": 15618.068258399662} | 0 | next-two-months-does-he-finish-fact | 408168.6879290553 | In The Next Two Months does he (Destiny) finish playing Factorio | 1676236186459 | JpanZsXz3AS4GCGfTw5XUU3omjH2 | cpmm-1 | 0.2880338742609396 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670891817895 | PryingMind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Criteria is when Destiny stops playing Factorio --> I'm not sure if there is an end to this mod but this Manifold is pretty much determined by when he finishes playing it ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1676236186459 | 3883 | PryingMind | 1710218586144 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3_6Qwjb0VcwEHtUmAtmXb4AjEbbdUJBbSiBWwE=s96-c | 8 | 712 | 0 | 512 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1676229605174 | 1676310717308 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23077407979532297 | YNLEOIaQ3kcP5oAO2KDT | {"NO": 81.37351956340505, "YES": 587.3378850432722} | 0 | will-any-other-member-of-the-gale-f | 799.6591455293207 | Will any other member of the Gale family overtake Carson in total number of markets created by the end of 2023? | 1704085200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6775258714276124 | True | play | NO | public | 1670891895164 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I hope you don't mind me making markets on your family. Will resolve N/A if asked. :)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704177827743 | 150 | IsaacKing | 1704177828025 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Gale Family", "slug": "gale-family", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "KunXfiULYjO4H7qF7mV6", "createdTime": 1670891895422}, {"name": "Markets About Carson", "slug": "markets-about-carson", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "QF1b8oZcjh8UqJO0VKAa", "createdTime": 1679174... | ["gale-family", "markets-about-carson", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.5 | 1704012862218 | 1671641593683 | 0.04 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7275125467657013 | X1HVKldUAVlXFLAlhBpJ | {"NO": 994.5794909559419, "YES": 663.8553902554643} | 0.8 | when-will-sbf-be-extradited-to-the | 5729.595051389469 | When will SBF be extradited to the US? | 1671765518768 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.3681993834841415 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670892057349 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution to:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "100% if SBF are extradited and physically arrives US before Dec 20th, 2022", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "80% if SBF are extradited and physically ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671765518768 | 810 | AmmonLam | 1685456749208 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 1 | 40 | 0 | 23 | [{"name": "SBF", "slug": "sbf", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "svyYtbhviU1lv8aMS9E1", "createdTime": 1670892057564}, {"name": "Pseudopseudonumeric", "slug": "pseudopseudonumeric", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "jlLRcBK59mhhZPhiysUE", "createdTime": 1671058625238}] | ["sbf", "pseudopseudonumeric"] | 0.5 | 1671758825844 | 1685456745434 | 0.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3247458617853842 | 8BxYIaXlMfMDAKAqJkC1 | {"NO": 114.9437319242174, "YES": 10419.450149151207} | 0 | conditional-on-legislative-approval | 22865.477173484356 | Conditional on legislative approval, will the Chilean people approve the new proposal for a constitution? | 1702918800000 | oq8O6NlqklaCa9WQfWDdIHgA8Ce2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.941601919672022 | True | play | NO | public | 1670892397435 | Agus | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Update: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "This market resolves strictly according to the official results of the Chilean National Plebiscite on Sunday 17th of December.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1702919477002 | 707.5 | agucova | 1702907872560 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu-w7PQ9sunB62AqBurBomUefakPsjN3yBMv4zMuSW8=s96-c | 2 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "oq8O6NlqklaCa9WQfWDdIHgA8Ce2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1670892682366}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "oq8O6NlqklaCa9WQfWDdIHgA8Ce2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670892663877}, {"name": "C... | ["chile", "politics-default", "world-default", "law-order"] | 0.5 | 1702907871924 | 1702858680257 | 0.01 | oq8O6NlqklaCa9WQfWDdIHgA8Ce2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3149273946033387 | OdYC7AoldEgCbwmLRS84 | {"NO": 171.5006041101562, "YES": 296.5837073665243} | 0 | is-alana-credibly-accused-of-incorr-8b24f68286e8 | 308.9178081674082 | Is Alana credibly accused of incorrect, fraudulent, or misjudged market resolution on Manifold Markets by the end of 2023? | 1704085200000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8828045036622898 | True | play | NO | public | 1670892790178 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Duplicating ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "their market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Alana/is-alana-credibly-accused-of-incorr", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " since self... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704186878524 | 210 | IsaacKing | 1704186878809 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [{"name": "Meta-markets on improper resolution", "slug": "metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "jwv3Gi8dUGyA7coNlK2g", "createdTime": 1670892805450}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "... | ["metamarkets-on-improper-resolution", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.5 | 1701689282685 | 1704183340965 | 0.21 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25291686992565876 | M1q78hjjCDi2kfR6cQrN | {"NO": 1166.9078246317856, "YES": 59837.24664069062} | 0 | does-sbf-get-a-lifesentence | 142839.2587807762 | Does SBF get a sentence of 50 years or more? | 1711656338324 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.30700444248723624 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670892799219 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "That is, a sentence >=50 years", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 22, 5:02pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Does SBF get a life-sentence?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Does SBF get ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1711656338324 | 3210 | GeorgeVii | 1711656338324 | 0 | 4 | 161 | 0 | 61 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1670893165155}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime":... | ["law-order", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "sbf", "sbf-wtf", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"] | 0.14043336197220718 | 0.5 | 1711655903105 | 1711643334554 | 0.01 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4705080679049412 | wUK9kDHVfviXNeSnG3Wu | {"NO": 291.62519012496017, "YES": 3492.440433208294} | 0.06907463796641386 | does-caroline-ellison-get-4-year-se | 15468.834899772832 | Does Caroline Ellison get >4 year sentence? | 1767225540000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.746654647743851 | False | basic | public | 1670892892543 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/GeorgeVii/does-caroline-ellison-get-1-years-s", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-1... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.013804156552986474} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 41.99071707847094, "platformFee": 21.240106533526884, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GeorgeVii | 1719558691800 | 0 | 59 | 1 | 30 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1670892893404}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime":... | ["law-order", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"] | 0.5 | 1719558688661 | 1702942373694 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2567587117204187 | 1uH1w1nswNaDYrJbDOZS | {"NO": 942.1313396237224, "YES": 977.9305667726426} | 0.24970655475126152 | does-gary-wang-get-4-years-sentence | 1673.2328198240866 | Does Gary Wang get >4 years sentence? | 1767225540000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.642726202526166 | False | basic | public | 1670892912087 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/GeorgeVii/does-gary-wang-get-1-years-sentence", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-1... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.195525003888761, "platformFee": 2.195525003888761, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GeorgeVii | 1716314804175 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1670893194301}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime":... | ["law-order", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx"] | 0.5 | 1716314800750 | 1698807066411 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.244450015883192 | Pf5uOIsTShUwdBI75I70 | {"NO": 992.8504848855885, "YES": 861.5217667517238} | 0.27159300232869726 | does-nishad-singh-get-4-years-sente | 2301.8316449156587 | Does Nishad Singh get >4 years sentence? | 1738367940000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.629588458338606 | False | basic | public | 1670892940647 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/GeorgeVii/does-nishad-singh-get-1-years-sente", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2024-0... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.7853979475749986, "platformFee": 3.7853979475749986, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GeorgeVii | 1716314518158 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 10 | [{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670893229841}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1670892941325}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Cr... | ["law-order", "ftx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022"] | 0.5 | 1716314514602 | 1671683594104 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37186440984455205 | PTLImORLDJq075RbAFAk | {"NO": 98.76100269048635, "YES": 120.18489345535627} | 0.327270720092652 | does-sam-trabucco-get-4-years-sente | 71.99999999999989 | Does Sam Trabucco get >4 years sentence? | 1767225540000 | IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670892962047 | GeorgeVii | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/GeorgeVii/does-sam-trabucco-get-1-year-senten", "frameBorder": 0, "allowFullScreen": true}}]} | BINARY | {"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | GeorgeVii | 1681014968957 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1670894642992}, {"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "IEVDP2LTpgMYaka38r1TVZcabWS2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1670894639821... | ["law-order", "ftx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "sbf"] | 0.5 | 1681014968798 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.21029211148831795 | YIfhL1i8TnFEqIpqd7hI | {"NO": 988.4978777850027, "YES": 784.4074064366667} | 0.2512592378879586 | how-many-years-will-sbf-be-sentence | 1259.1700246076368 | How many years will SBF be sentenced in US as of 2025-01-01? | 1735707540000 | IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.700179058523933 | False | play | public | 1670896756021 | morewings | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On 2025-01-01, this resolves to the most up-to-date criminal sentence given by a US judge against SBF resulting from the SDNY investigation. If higher than 100 years this resolves to 100 years. If no imprisonment penaly this resolves to 0 years.", ... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | morewings | 1711644741001 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 17 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1670896813979}, {"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "userId": "IaG9fHfTJhS8dz5dTeaD3FoGXgz2", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1670896787106}, {"name": "F... | ["sbf", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "ftx", "crime", "crypto-speculation", "crypto-news", "sbf-trial", "sbf-trial-sentence"] | 0.01 | 1711644737728 | 1671597563445 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.40025860750171893 | j9gOp4AvbXpHmzJJUWIp | {"NO": 164.84311212053944, "YES": 10891.373612947324} | 0 | will-tesla-trade-below-100-at-any-p | 21535.299895392985 | Will Tesla trade below $100 at any point during 2023? | 1703958392708 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0.005208799379071188 | 1.1845927260790652 | True | basic | NO | public | 1670954920854 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1703958392708 | 1375 | BTE | 1710451942282 | 1.2 | 3 | 75 | 0 | 34 | [{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}] | ["new-years-resolutions-2024", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"] | 0.15229020692496364 | 0.5 | 1703958386022 | 1703958342586 | 0.02 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.767675975306442 | hOQ6ihJSDQQbgJ8JZIsC | {"NO": 4544.264485325359, "YES": 151.6743814250849} | 1 | will-us-yearonyear-inflation-be-5-f | 6099.546619648745 | Will US year-on-year inflation be <= 5% for any month in 2023? | 1681344624665 | VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4271114124196846 | True | play | YES | public | 1670955305970 | Johnny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "source data: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inflation-cpi", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1681344624665 | 370 | TheSkeward | 1681344581217 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gj4aU69N8prXAd7lwmlS3dHW-lp_SfATAlIRGkJtg=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "VfvvoZdf0nZ6zM63ogTgeuPWSSo1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1670955306641}] | ["economics-default"] | 0.5 | 1681344402491 | 1681344579228 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2352941176470588 | DkpTX9mw3VZ5yRhQNqNx | {"NO": 250, "YES": 250} | 0 | taco-tuesday-1213-how-many-people-w | 0 | Taco Tuesday 12/13: How many people will come? | 1671004740000 | igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8700091612217402 | True | play | MKT | public | 1670955396259 | Austin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Join us for Taco Tuesday! We'll start cooking at 6:30pm, eating at 7pm. Drinks, desserts, and especially new friends are always welcome~", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Address: 15th St & Land... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671496077890 | 250 | Austin | 1670955396259 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | [{"name": "SF Events", "slug": "sf-events", "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "groupId": "qSQNlQOaDWJhZJESqY12", "createdTime": 1670955396468}] | ["sf-events"] | 0.2352941176470588 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3486470918576585 | xUnSuJsZiqn30Snc1CyM | {"NO": 963.6185841994624, "YES": 1060.7047250099256} | 0.3271761978211477 | what-year-will-there-be-a-cure-for-6843bf0c0c19 | 4287.295759522324 | What year will there be a cure for aging? | 253402300740000 | xNWBOH84z0Tqw6z7DMycr2plf793 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.56397493000239 | False | play | public | 1670956464788 | thursday | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When an intervention is widely and credibly reported to cure ageing, I will run a poll asking whether it is sufficient for this poll to resolve. If I am dead then resolution is in the hands of Manifold Markets moderators.", "type": "text"}]}]} | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.01613038388172866} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.332568424286725, "platformFee": 10.186336935303286, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ines | 1717936132741 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FInes%2F4nRKL6z5HY.02?alt=media&token=554ef401-4a15-46d9-bbbf-493731232557 | 42 | 0 | 28 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "xNWBOH84z0Tqw6z7DMycr2plf793", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1670956507208}, {"name": "Medicine ", "slug": "medicine", "userId": "xNWBOH84z0Tqw6z7DMycr2plf793", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1670956465046}, {"name":... | ["medicine", "technology-default", "science-default"] | 0.33 | 1717936129626 | 1671898729550 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3128296780259182 | eJuaTlWQFCivv74AQdO1 | {"NO": 221.92794948457595, "YES": 4405.432609956556} | 0 | will-50mm-worth-of-sbf-political-do | 7723.641889062014 | Will $50mm worth of SBF political donations be clawed back or voluntarily returned by the end of 2023? | 1704085140000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2215305919583384 | True | play | NO | public | 1670956654257 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As I understand it these are among the most likely funds to be returned during bankruptcy proceedings. Marco Rubio I believe has already returned his contribution from SBF. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704085648902 | 590 | BTE | 1704085649446 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "SBF", "slug": "sbf", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "svyYtbhviU1lv8aMS9E1", "createdTime": 1670956654437}, {"name": "SBF Trial", "slug": "sbf-trial", "groupId": "4fb66c1a-82d9-4346-8a4d-668980166ef9", "createdTime": 1696356825734}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new... | ["sbf", "sbf-trial", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703301914407 | 1703301527346 | 0.02 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6760106488688095 | N8K3UmdFayN5bD0DhUyZ | {"NO": 68483.13147497579, "YES": 354.9448687981919} | 1 | will-gpt4-be-released-before-march | 465204.5839687286 | Will GPT-4 be released before March 31st, 2023? | 1678836106131 | EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.06154343445463617 | True | basic | YES | public | 1670957604147 | Eli but Chad | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Stuff like beta access, alpha access, early access, etc. counts.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.", "type": "text"}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1678836106131 | 1990 | elibutchad | 1678836089676 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3 | 17 | 860 | 0 | 522 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "lTpavg0WRJeT4kdonyUQ0QuCKKm1", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1671112556971}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1670957604926}, {"name": "GPT-4 specu... | ["technology-default", "ai", "gpt4-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1678835752781 | 1678836084914 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38076382140992865 | OgBauyVbR15ufQS0bW2s | {"NO": 412.63081736761615, "YES": 264.07975669205445} | 0.48999999999999977 | ai-when-will-a-phone-outdrive-a-hum | 138.49813722445305 | AI: When will a phone out-drive a human? | 2209010340000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670958157237 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lower accident rate across all conditions ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Does not count lidars, Teslas, or zooxes--only \"cell phone like\" aftermarket devices) ", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 350 | Gigacasting | 1685511823024 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1670958157552}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1681659906824}] | ["ai", "ancient-markets"] | 0.35 | 1685511822831 | 1670968475196 |
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