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0.32509533735745605 | JxXvTrSyADLdr3mu0nee | {"NO": 60.436006972820906, "YES": 15888.702118991841} | 0 | will-sam-trabucco-former-coceo-of-a-a0e338b481e4 | 29252.612647957616 | Will Sam Trabucco (former co-CEO of Alameda Research) be arrested before March 31st 2023? | 1680325140000 | b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9942234260728653 | True | play | NO | public | 1671215298802 | Marcus Abramovitch | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680326172886 | 410 | MarcusAbramovitch | 1680295953785 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 17 | [{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1671215314897}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime... | ["us-politics", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "polymarket"] | 0.5 | 1680295953673 | 1672837461893 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7493454685781822 | pDGmEEB4AB6QPumnwUz8 | {"NO": 5363.887077442995, "YES": 109.64910776224042} | 1 | will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra | 17297.35504010989 | Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2023? | 1698112235533 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6104797290097825 | True | play | YES | public | 1671216284787 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1698112235533 | 310 | IsaacKing | 1698112229235 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216285143}] | ["crypto-prices"] | 0.5 | 1698112228950 | 1698106083754 | 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5741347066095491 | LpmotrGgBdBJCuXJEArT | {"NO": 133.59845165207543, "YES": 161.51317404476416} | 0.5272212887288064 | will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra-f266e7c50c7b | 72.15349262190264 | Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028? | 1861948800000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1671216310122 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | IsaacKing | 1684553942326 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216310343}] | ["crypto-prices"] | 0.5 | 1684553942129 | 1671293913310 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5225495193833923 | 7Teiw1WG7211OAuE4T66 | {"NO": 119.02127322811124, "YES": 181.99746700120028} | 0.41716283097598655 | will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra-657cb09b0b56 | 84.55625460626717 | Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030? | 1925020800000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1671216322792 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | IsaacKing | 1683666081779 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216323017}] | ["crypto-prices"] | 0.5 | 1683666081655 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29030341950470856 | 1ndmmc7PoxaCS4YoYFdb | {"NO": 313.87205062581484, "YES": 299.57727692599235} | 0.24 | how-many-people-will-attend-pears-w | 132.4937531345403 | How many people will attend PEARs Winter Solstice 2022? | 1671439800000 | F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.3585540950387822 | True | play | MKT | public | 1671216351370 | Amaryllis | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Attend\" means visit the building on the 18th, and eat an olives worth of food.", "type": "text"}]}]} | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671481890220 | 310 | Amaryllis | 1671295354926 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2j31d1kIbC6pIFYbWAI1pkquDheFj06csGbOo3=s96-c | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671216352140}] | ["world-default"] | 0.3 | 1671295354804 | 0.24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7946962701764112 | nz8Omt8L4j8Ap8kGfdC4 | {"NO": 16890.091774259745, "YES": 940.2267768095377} | 1 | will-manifold-markets-be-mentioned | 21492.354197118646 | Will Manifold Markets be mentioned on the Wikipedia page about prediction markets at the end of February 2023? | 1677657600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0.4997374609172889 | True | basic | YES | public | 1671217120871 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must have been there consistently for at least 2 weeks. (Not counting an edit removing it that was reverted almost immediately.)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677737723516 | 1790 | IsaacKing | 1677693684232 | 0 | 3 | 89 | 0 | 1 | 68 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1671217121236}, {"name": "Wikipedia", "slug": "wikipedia", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "E7MBK2i8kaRN0KpBofH3", "createdTime": 1675977284904}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "wikipedia"] | 0.5 | 1677650585247 | 1677693681005 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3936887767812834 | XYqorDTfCjSvIrmVhK78 | {"NO": 1755.0882115026347, "YES": 17.13528181433219} | 1 | will-there-be-a-second-trump-nft-co | 2574.0352045833715 | Will there be a second Trump NFT collection by June 1st, 2023? | 1682558550706 | aff1K6Xh6ZXzyqBppAV9n1d5sVB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3110560328948475 | True | play | YES | public | 1671217346048 | Brooke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trump's first NFT collection has sold out by the end of it's first day, proving a success monetarily for Trump. Trump has also drawn large criticism for his NFT collection.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1682558550706 | 290 | Brooke | 1682559335116 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Vm8eGBOfnKEZSuiMjc0Pa_6FpSJgnJKjy4zau=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 13 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "aff1K6Xh6ZXzyqBppAV9n1d5sVB2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1671217347145}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1682558160053 | 1682559331850 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5013253421408126 | Wm0gZVtsyi21h6j9j6MQ | {"NO": 229.98972939796687, "YES": 1310.2026377030006} | 0 | will-my-father-find-the-prediction | 1957.613317778299 | Will my father find the prediction market resources I send him interesting? | 1700907250207 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8676390357966004 | True | play | NO | public | 1671217646296 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My dad is a ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "professor of mathematics at UF", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://people.clas.ufl.edu/squash/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ". I asked him some quest... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1700907250207 | 590 | IsaacKing | 1700907243013 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 15 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1671217647088}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1700907243013 | 1700907231528 | 0.15 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13960684514249652 | PsrwzT6FIBOTQvrcLe4L | {"NO": 777.399858331629, "YES": 3027.3697373766827} | 0.04000000000000005 | will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-rea-749220fb226d | 6975.6598968718845 | Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term? | 1737349140000 | 080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.166504501942608 | False | basic | public | 1671218248804 | Tom | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if Biden's approval rating as measured by FiveThirtyEight (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.4905802252090155, "platformFee": 1.0501715241065726, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | toms | 1718237708840 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c | 35 | 0 | 19 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671218249513}, {"name": "FiveThirtyEight", "slug": "fivethirtyeight", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "8DP8g4cqyxNkl3AgVjdB", "createdTime": 1684595148690},... | ["politics-default", "fivethirtyeight", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1718237705727 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34000000000000014 | q5e5bdth0RrCoBy561sM | {"NO": 27.97839337988862, "YES": 287.36739653252505} | 0 | will-bnb-the-house-token-of-binance | 336.0700780485699 | Will BNB, the house token of Binance, close the year under $200? | 1672504951171 | QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.751412496206582 | True | play | NO | public | 1671218667701 | crystal ball | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Determined by the price of the closing tick on CoinGecko.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 16, 8:25pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will BNB, the house token of Binance, trade under $200 on 31st Dec 2022?", "typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672504951171 | 70 | duck | 1672492169037 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671218668528}, {"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1671218753342}] | ["crypto-speculation", "finance"] | 0.5 | 1672492168836 | 0.05 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5098205161123074 | m6MBgpHfZQXqpxir2Ids | {"NO": 269.8099599500932, "YES": 228.26804328603828} | 0.5514384719431529 | otk-stock-permanent | 436.2846456283863 | OTK Stock (Permanent) | 33217163036428 | 9DVzoDI4rWV7EPWhqRXaXP9eAvj1 | cpmm-1 | 0.11096275429659282 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1671258806144 | cosmicturtle333 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One True King, legally OTK Media, Inc., is a gaming organization based in Austin, Texas. The organization primarily focuses on online content creation and previously competed professionally in World of Warcraft.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBre... | STONK | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 250 | cosmicturtle333 | 1713585626233 | 2.3 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu34BAUJAm3Cf1GUfUPUlpulst_Uw_C-iP5gZL9mKQ=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9DVzoDI4rWV7EPWhqRXaXP9eAvj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1671258806634}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e", "createdTime": 1689991030737}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpred... | ["destinygg", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.12770799308930653 | 0.5 | False | False | 1688772620957 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5717114772518729 | qbbSaZsAtfrZrabSMsuA | {"NO": 46.15870214332124, "YES": 818.61363148323} | 0 | short-will-the-wikipedia-page-thurs | 1498.6119011779774 | [SHORT] Will the wikipedia page "Thursday Night Massacre" still exist as the page's title in four days? | 1671300203694 | 9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.285167274875234 | True | play | NO | public | 1671262423697 | L | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thursday_Night_Massacre", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thursday_Night_Massacre", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671300203694 | 250 | L | 1671404294796 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671262424400}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1671300185226 | 1671404292881 | 0.03 |
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