p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.5384201155632894
hASlXzzBxo4EPNU4OCgd
{"NO": 69.31597471781157, "YES": 2830.766108398474}
0
will-manifold-publish-info-about-ma
4388.815186628616
Will Manifold publish info about Mana (Ṁ) supply?
1704063540000
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
cpmm-1
0
1.7336038090221682
True
play
NO
public
1671215018727
Tomek ⚡ K
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There is currently no info on Ṁana dollars\\supply", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will resolve to YES, if at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "manifold.markets", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "at...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704214284991
610
itsTomekK
1704214285228
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c
3
32
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…417-c6dd63c4fb8f
14
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1671215019460}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130169977}]
["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1703904845734
1704214276796
0.03
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
0.32509533735745605
JxXvTrSyADLdr3mu0nee
{"NO": 60.436006972820906, "YES": 15888.702118991841}
0
will-sam-trabucco-former-coceo-of-a-a0e338b481e4
29252.612647957616
Will Sam Trabucco (former co-CEO of Alameda Research) be arrested before March 31st 2023?
1680325140000
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
cpmm-1
0
1.9942234260728653
True
play
NO
public
1671215298802
Marcus Abramovitch
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1680326172886
410
MarcusAbramovitch
1680295953785
0
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
0
21
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…4e7-8043d43cfd53
17
[{"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1671215314897}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime...
["us-politics", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "polymarket"]
0.5
1680295953673
1672837461893
0
0.7493454685781822
pDGmEEB4AB6QPumnwUz8
{"NO": 5363.887077442995, "YES": 109.64910776224042}
1
will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra
17297.35504010989
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2023?
1698112235533
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
2.6104797290097825
True
play
YES
public
1671216284787
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1698112235533
310
IsaacKing
1698112229235
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
16
0
https://firebasestorage.…3e9-7695a6460baa
7
[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216285143}]
["crypto-prices"]
0.5
1698112228950
1698106083754
0.99
0.5590015051559426
hhrpjYbVwHZ12SSEQyCQ
{"NO": 193.81638785601592, "YES": 121.005609250791}
0.67
will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra-9bf0e71e50b2
103.6031818389425
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2025?
1767254400000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671216298351
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
IsaacKing
1684830935509
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
2
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…810-7e602705b3a6
7
[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216298598}]
["crypto-prices"]
0.5
1684830935081
1672129675632
0.5741347066095491
LpmotrGgBdBJCuXJEArT
{"NO": 133.59845165207543, "YES": 161.51317404476416}
0.5272212887288064
will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra-f266e7c50c7b
72.15349262190264
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028?
1861948800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671216310122
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
IsaacKing
1684553942326
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
5
0
https://firebasestorage.…26f-c97686066d21
2
[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216310343}]
["crypto-prices"]
0.5
1684553942129
1671293913310
0.5225495193833923
7Teiw1WG7211OAuE4T66
{"NO": 119.02127322811124, "YES": 181.99746700120028}
0.41716283097598655
will-the-bitcoin-to-usd-exchange-ra-657cb09b0b56
84.55625460626717
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030?
1925020800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671216322792
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
IsaacKing
1683666081779
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
5
0
https://firebasestorage.…030-a2ede4cbf2f0
3
[{"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1671216323017}]
["crypto-prices"]
0.5
1683666081655
0.29030341950470856
1ndmmc7PoxaCS4YoYFdb
{"NO": 313.87205062581484, "YES": 299.57727692599235}
0.24
how-many-people-will-attend-pears-w
132.4937531345403
How many people will attend PEARs Winter Solstice 2022?
1671439800000
F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42
cpmm-1
0
1.3585540950387822
True
play
MKT
public
1671216351370
Amaryllis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Attend\" means visit the building on the 18th, and eat an olives worth of food.", "type": "text"}]}]}
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671481890220
310
Amaryllis
1671295354926
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2j31d1kIbC6pIFYbWAI1pkquDheFj06csGbOo3=s96-c
1
5
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…f46-f2fb38ae2183
5
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671216352140}]
["world-default"]
0.3
1671295354804
0.24
0.7946962701764112
nz8Omt8L4j8Ap8kGfdC4
{"NO": 16890.091774259745, "YES": 940.2267768095377}
1
will-manifold-markets-be-mentioned
21492.354197118646
Will Manifold Markets be mentioned on the Wikipedia page about prediction markets at the end of February 2023?
1677657600000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0.4997374609172889
True
basic
YES
public
1671217120871
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must have been there consistently for at least 2 weeks. (Not counting an edit removing it that was reverted almost immediately.)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677737723516
1790
IsaacKing
1677693684232
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
3
89
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…45a-6cb9b08f1ebe
68
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1671217121236}, {"name": "Wikipedia", "slug": "wikipedia", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "E7MBK2i8kaRN0KpBofH3", "createdTime": 1675977284904}]
["manifold-6748e065087e", "wikipedia"]
0.5
1677650585247
1677693681005
0.99
0.3936887767812834
XYqorDTfCjSvIrmVhK78
{"NO": 1755.0882115026347, "YES": 17.13528181433219}
1
will-there-be-a-second-trump-nft-co
2574.0352045833715
Will there be a second Trump NFT collection by June 1st, 2023?
1682558550706
aff1K6Xh6ZXzyqBppAV9n1d5sVB2
cpmm-1
0
3.3110560328948475
True
play
YES
public
1671217346048
Brooke
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trump's first NFT collection has sold out by the end of it's first day, proving a success monetarily for Trump. Trump has also drawn large criticism for his NFT collection.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1682558550706
290
Brooke
1682559335116
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Vm8eGBOfnKEZSuiMjc0Pa_6FpSJgnJKjy4zau=s96-c
15
0
https://firebasestorage.…4ed-d256a08c6576
13
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "aff1K6Xh6ZXzyqBppAV9n1d5sVB2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1671217347145}]
["us-politics"]
0.5
1682558160053
1682559331850
0.99
0.5013253421408126
Wm0gZVtsyi21h6j9j6MQ
{"NO": 229.98972939796687, "YES": 1310.2026377030006}
0
will-my-father-find-the-prediction
1957.613317778299
Will my father find the prediction market resources I send him interesting?
1700907250207
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
0.8676390357966004
True
play
NO
public
1671217646296
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My dad is a ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "professor of mathematics at UF", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://people.clas.ufl.edu/squash/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ". I asked him some quest...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1700907250207
590
IsaacKing
1700907243013
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
29
0
3
https://firebasestorage.…012-a4f20e663452
15
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1671217647088}]
["personal-goals"]
0.5
1700907243013
1700907231528
0.15
0.13960684514249652
PsrwzT6FIBOTQvrcLe4L
{"NO": 777.399858331629, "YES": 3027.3697373766827}
0.04000000000000005
will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-rea-749220fb226d
6975.6598968718845
Will Joe Biden's approval rating reach 50% in his first term?
1737349140000
080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1
cpmm-1
0
10.166504501942608
False
basic
public
1671218248804
Tom
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve YES if Biden's approval rating as measured by FiveThirtyEight (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.4905802252090155, "platformFee": 1.0501715241065726, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
toms
1718237708840
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyROwZbCmjGRzf3ZLeOX03LPKjQD0KMzh4qmOWA=s96-c
35
0
https://firebasestorage.…3ff-4ca60eafcecd
19
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "080G8XlxbEVuIRYNWIssI8bJ4sj1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671218249513}, {"name": "FiveThirtyEight", "slug": "fivethirtyeight", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "8DP8g4cqyxNkl3AgVjdB", "createdTime": 1684595148690},...
["politics-default", "fivethirtyeight", "us-politics"]
0.5
1718237705727
False
0.34000000000000014
q5e5bdth0RrCoBy561sM
{"NO": 27.97839337988862, "YES": 287.36739653252505}
0
will-bnb-the-house-token-of-binance
336.0700780485699
Will BNB, the house token of Binance, close the year under $200?
1672504951171
QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2
cpmm-1
0
4.751412496206582
True
play
NO
public
1671218667701
crystal ball
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Determined by the price of the closing tick on CoinGecko.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Dec 16, 8:25pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will BNB, the house token of Binance, trade under $200 on 31st Dec 2022?", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672504951171
70
duck
1672492169037
0
https://firebasestorage.…23f-d21632687c4b
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…a87-156ad0a3f8bd
2
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671218668528}, {"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "QgcNtH4CCeTnIezZGVNvv80tPbq2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1671218753342}]
["crypto-speculation", "finance"]
0.5
1672492168836
0.05
0.3306878306878307
UcWiyeyCpwmdL37SdFB8
{"NO": 62.72727272727275, "YES": 149.99999999999997}
0
have-i-ever-had-zika-or-dengue
60
Have I ever had Zika or dengue?
1672556340000
xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2
cpmm-1
0
3.6459264321917306
True
play
NO
public
1671219627574
Gavriel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll be screening for a ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Zika challenge trial", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/kKidKRiCcZ5uGJ6w5/maybe-you-should-think-about-getting-zika", "clas...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1679510972835
90
GavrielK
1671221791223
0
https://firebasestorage.…deb-cc3393d3e476
2
0
17
https://firebasestorage.…ecd-2f40ba3890f8
3
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1671219627871}]
["personal-goals"]
0.5
1671221790028
0.17
QQqraQ48l5fTHIyPENjM
which-millennium-prize-problem-will-4ca1ee1ba54b
222
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
2209017600000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671220027478
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
480
IsaacKing
1714768619089
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
2
8
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "3c0add88569e", "prob": 0.1193214699074074, "text": "The Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.198529429712888, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 60.51106186240653, "textFts": "'birch':2 'conjectur':7 'dyer':6 'swinnerton':5 'swinnerton-dy':4", "cont...
https://firebasestorage.…c7c-38ea003a9d68
5
[{"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1671220027708}, {"name": "Millennium Prize Problems", "slug": "millenium-prize-problems", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "wS8Ust85K2AYijmPEJDY", "createdTime"...
["mathematics", "millenium-prize-problems"]
0.08891309785306006
1714768615464
1687482646914
True
True
0.6774314882744611
LRvbfO7RHrjITcObKXKc
{"NO": 330.1626336679813, "YES": 30.809585834676902}
1
will-i-land-before-socrates
255
Will I land before Socrates?
1671230239200
EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2
cpmm-1
0
4.873071364130487
True
play
YES
public
1671221154676
Eli but Chad
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671230239200
90
elibutchad
1671230227841
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…424-cb66e9391122
3
[{"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 1671221155492}]
["philosophy"]
0.5
1671230227679
1671227876353
0.91
0.7783686397010986
UPUytGuLxcbmpR2kecbE
{"NO": 52879.568453316235, "YES": 90.11300806395593}
1
will-any-manifold-market-about-magi
62248.070614526834
Will any Manifold market about Magic: The Gathering get at least 100 traders by the end of 2023?
1694319921115
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
1.0308622198204445
True
play
YES
public
1671222238744
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/group/magic-the-gathering", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/group/magic-the-gathering", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1694319921115
390
IsaacKing
1694319913991
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
22
0
https://firebasestorage.…3bd-bbd2d679b29e
14
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1671222248347}, {"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1...
["magic-the-gathering", "manifold-6748e065087e", "metaforecasting"]
0.5
1694319913830
1694317018586
1
0.06657605695859478
OMqEwI0s4ZgEvBuQ8yM0
{"NO": 911.9649664436259, "YES": 2275.766637619798}
0.027787580046768828
will-mike-lees-bill-to-outlaw-all-p
1800.4499151828604
Will Mike Lee's Bill to outlaw all porn nationwide pass the house?
1735707540000
v6VYBaoYvSceXorepYKUseiPFYb2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1671223443700
hambie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.newsweek.com/republican-senator-pushes-law-effectively-outlaw-online-porn-nationwide-1767819", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.newsweek.com/republican-senator-pushes-law-effectively-outlaw-onlin...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.02463788517578416}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.074921036032015, "platformFee": 0.31370017152329377, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
hambie
1718369661051
0.1
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fhambie%2F97R_KWRCtf.0?alt=media&token=a2fd6e54-c505-445f-b7b4-6ea08c81d6fc
1
15
0
10
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "v6VYBaoYvSceXorepYKUseiPFYb2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1671223444443}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1683511345943}, {...
["us-politics", "ancient-markets", "pornography"]
0.10353009279759469
0.5
1718369658008
0.21007319853478695
Dqv138W6WXSVqRuCi9SA
{"NO": 89.28232232983791, "YES": 639.31503919181}
0
will-ethereums-price-be-above-1300-66767640f129
623.9513548642925
Will Ethereum's price be above $1300 on December 23rd 2022?
1671839940000
b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3
cpmm-1
0
3.7609956028673754
True
play
NO
public
1671223844303
Marcus Abramovitch
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves on December 23rd at 11:59PM EST according to the median of Coinmarketcap, Coingecko and the ETH/BUSD spot market.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/", "type": "te...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671866077063
150
MarcusAbramovitch
1671829533415
0
https://firebasestorage.…9a5-f31d5ed47031
7
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…34a-446890a41912
5
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671223845080}]
["crypto-speculation"]
0.5
1671829533227
0.04
0.5420370356691755
YCOkUMiIPKlgmLZCHDgy
{"NO": 96.80237139809924, "YES": 37.20106759142692}
0.7548927924970154
will-vladimir-putin-be-president-of
38
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?
1671225523628
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.1588194863489
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224187437
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 2023 ACX prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671225523628
90
IsaacKing
1671225524246
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…746-45cf2cf514cc
3
[{"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1671229378129}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671224188199}, {"name": "Putin L...
["politics-default", "russia", "putin-assassination-markets", "ukrainerussia-war"]
0.5
1671224457097
1671225521113
False
0.75
0.5
KsiSQJsz6unaGivrNhLb
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-ukraine-control-the-city-of-se
0
Will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol at the end of 2023?
1671225532698
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224263067
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 2023 ACX prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671225532698
50
IsaacKing
1671225533178
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…65c-72587fc1487d
1
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671224263623}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182226613}]
["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war"]
0.5
1671225530027
False
0.5
0.5
RGam2jmm9tWTMgXDAbh2
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-ukraine-control-the-city-of-lu
0
Will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk at the end of 2023?
1671225515500
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224288655
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 2023 ACX prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671225515500
50
IsaacKing
1671225514992
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…08b-4a950854aa9b
1
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671224289148}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182226727}]
["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war"]
0.5
1671225512822
False
0.5
0.5
aYgteATRLM5RdVivJ7fp
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-ukraine-control-the-city-of-za
0
Will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia at the end of 2023?
1671225505586
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224303440
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 2023 ACX prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671225505586
50
IsaacKing
1671225505424
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…49a-11b487102895
1
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671224303933}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182226810}]
["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war"]
0.5
1671225502973
False
0.5
0.4992686853260645
m4i86HyFJ6JOU9NJgVRg
{"NO": 42.06882748381674, "YES": 60.402160817150055}
0.4098360655737706
will-there-be-a-lasting-ceasefire-i
10
Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war at the end of 2023?
1671225496017
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.388040262524463
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224337373
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question is from ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the 2023 ACX prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671225496017
70
IsaacKing
1671225494595
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b6-dd4d37cb7555
2
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671224337888}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182226940}]
["politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war"]
0.5
1671224636847
1671225491771
False
0.41
0.8664379884999482
MpCeU1CGfTnboXiIlGOE
{"NO": 23019.98730106096, "YES": 124.8860973544397}
1
will-15500-be-raised-by-manifold-us
25136.92736424195
Will $15,500 be raised by Manifold users for Charity before Dec 20?
1671487016445
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
2.610650629052116
True
play
YES
public
1671224642827
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/charity", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/charity", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671487016445
290
AmmonLam
1671487012521
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
15
0
https://firebasestorage.…81e-4d67fc428d72
15
[{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1671224643043}]
["whale-watching"]
0.5
False
1671487012365
1671486409503
0.99
0.7591926387782478
CSN0wXHdNNyKJIRPuc1q
{"NO": 21076.135917821717, "YES": 34.26730024196877}
1
will-16000-be-raised-by-manifold-us
21103.20707361227
Will $16,000 be raised by Manifold users for Charity before Dec 30?
1671486782453
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.394434831135964
True
play
YES
public
1671224668702
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/charity", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/charity", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671486782453
190
AmmonLam
1671486778943
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
9
0
https://firebasestorage.…205-9be7d3683b09
9
[{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1671224668926}]
["whale-watching"]
0.5
False
1671486778803
1671486434793
0.97
3ph1id4ZdxZGTQ3R2bwS
if-i-organise-a-150-person-ballceil
51
If I organise a 150+ person ball/ceilidh, will more than 100 people buy reasonably priced ticket?
1693609140000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.900324273278573
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671224751243
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-09-01 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1693739461415
380
NathanpmYoung
1693607710063
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "58578361465a", "prob": 0.4306097685774015, "text": "I organise, more than 100 buy", "index": 0, "poolNo": 94.86655901308025, "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 125.44093500055851, "textFts": "'100':5 'buy':6 'organis':2", "contractId": "3ph1id4ZdxZGTQ3R2bwS", "createdTime": ...
1
https://firebasestorage.…52d-2200938e7bfe
4
[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1671224752048}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737253292...
["economics-default", "ancient-markets"]
1693607709936
True
0.39120816167159156
3MdLtoKVfTfxaNnk9cvc
{"NO": 182.07008601479006, "YES": 1070.8739936858774}
0
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest
766.1165251839876
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will there be controversy over whether someone playing on blind mode cheated?
1714546800000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1671224988541
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "ACX 2023 prediction contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", will...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.7678325826540073, "platformFee": 1.7678325826540073, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716833599612
390
IsaacKing
1714546800000
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
18
0
6
https://firebasestorage.…c0b-755764430b2a
11
[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1671224988757}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671229551619}]
["metaforecasting", "acx"]
0.5
1714365321723
1716770527452
0.1
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
0.15483097413915084
BAaZ7U5xlZU8J6G4wvfW
{"NO": 233.57752185492214, "YES": 3981.0456436112913}
0
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest-1b0e37bda1a1
4102.992926978577
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will Manifold do better than all entrants?
1711123342653
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
2.2063117951762483
True
play
NO
public
1671225329161
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragra...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1711123342653
390
IsaacKing
1711123342653
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
21
0
https://firebasestorage.…029-de21c1f1b3eb
11
[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1671225329434}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671229502089}]
["metaforecasting", "acx"]
0.5
1710799190670
1711123328273
0.01
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
0.5726774932574675
71OkPo1x2OkxFxyV5gkw
{"NO": 965.3777806293888, "YES": 808.2511610571419}
0
will-any-of-the-events-in-the-acx-2
6677.469467854423
Will any of the events in the ACX 2023 prediction contest occur before February 1st?
1709280000000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
9.999853107557211
True
play
NO
public
1671225739073
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "blockqu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716834155365
970
IsaacKing
1716834224745
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
7
50
0
18
https://firebasestorage.…7b7-1ad7a5f4c8bc
38
[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1671225739305}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671229522787}, {"name": "🎆 New...
["metaforecasting", "acx", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]
0.5
1707460644026
1716834223162
0.62
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
0.7976106227577497
jkVl439PSOjt5Uk6TReu
{"NO": 2313.411800279886, "YES": 232.13943008447131}
1
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest-5228d3a003cc
2117.403590982089
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will anyone who filled out all questions get into the top 5% of entrants?
1713215096115
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
1.7294628116442712
True
play
YES
public
1671225868522
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "blockqu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.024829797323076996}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713215096115
390
IsaacKing
1713215096115
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
18
0
https://firebasestorage.…acc-c60b09f931d5
14
[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1671225868751}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671229561539}]
["metaforecasting", "acx"]
0.5
1709626493233
1713179230431
0.98
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
0.5380323930465893
V21iwxavu1Zw2G4QjGvz
{"NO": 20258.907384312803, "YES": 56.82475978901711}
1
in-the-acx-2023-prediction-contest-d819b7d08e28
26760.616011988663
In the ACX 2023 prediction contest, will the average response among all entrants be within the top 10% of entrants if scored as an entrant itself?
1711916513502
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
1.3703244681034574
True
basic
YES
public
1671225910862
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/2023-prediction-contest", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1711916513502
1040
IsaacKing
1711916513502
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
58
0
https://firebasestorage.…b8e-e9a4b1180676
42
[{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1671225911072}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671229570377}]
["metaforecasting", "acx"]
0.5
1711911423977
1711916508463
1
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
0.05714027647654742
MoYevUahRWjiZ8bwoZMw
{"NO": 442.99595686310926, "YES": 1783.723777891416}
0
will-the-world-population-decrease
2090.633932817701
Will the world population decrease in 2023?
1704067140000
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
3.619985512934424
True
play
NO
public
1671226308662
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704127060385
510
Duncn
1704127060769
0.1
https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d
2
25
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…6c6-6540696d70c0
13
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671226309466}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132967428}]
["world-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.1070165639964605
0.5
1701821707693
1671227987532
0.01
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
0.061467879408038335
lOb1JtD3mo69Sai8jigp
{"NO": 940.6264303074995, "YES": 1564.9153519594684}
0.037875358673441724
will-the-world-population-decrease-54271af474b7
1452.7348050936762
Will the world population decrease before 2025?
1767225540000
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1671226335105
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday), and this is not due to a technical glitch or recalculation of previously false ...
BINARY
{"day": -4.85722573273506e-17, "week": -4.85722573273506e-17, "month": -4.85722573273506e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Duncn
1697107979376
0
https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d
22
0
https://firebasestorage.…52e-97b8f3ba846b
9
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671226335857}]
["world-default"]
0.5
1697107979109
1671316644803
0.21111596976905614
dhMIsj5BdGufBFWroJct
{"NO": 935.2549686409484, "YES": 1167.2462359316767}
0.1765650562296093
will-the-world-population-decrease-0c6c4bc66aca
1634.6094380485554
Will the world population decrease before 2030?
1893455940000
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
9.683572425973317
False
basic
public
1671226355084
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday), and this is not due to a technical glitch or recalculation of previously false ...
BINARY
{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Duncn
1712337784850
0
https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d
1
48
0
https://firebasestorage.…82d-1052025be2af
18
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671226356246}]
["world-default"]
0.5
1712337781300
1683420814169
0.25628392611757433
FfTYGjJgObaqrIbviYJA
{"NO": 960.7796507060455, "YES": 1084.3003778637135}
0.23391800152225864
will-the-world-population-decrease-bd4694be726a
1459.1441550199443
Will the world population decrease before 2035?
2082758340000
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
9.594134587503781
False
basic
public
1671226374944
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a credible population counter run in reverse to the point that the population at the end of the week is lower than the start (7 day rolling, not Sunday to Sunday), and this is not due to a technical glitch or recalculation of previously false ...
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.598422669353728, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Duncn
1717524217844
0
https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d
2
42
0
https://firebasestorage.…88d-9a66295737e4
17
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1671226375649}]
["world-default"]
0.10921780181058274
0.5
1717524214711
1685275621438
0.7355438643379014
8wKhsnFYqLt7S7JzdKoL
{"NO": 4640.6125320257415, "YES": 403.0238500125848}
1
will-the-polish-government-implemen
4960.039544399664
Will the Polish government implement a subsidised housing loan project in 2023?
1688570922806
W5dtB2cQekRSc4GTqqJaiA7gSJS2
cpmm-1
1.6439608402928678
0.8670897049147461
True
play
YES
public
1671229329348
Franek Żak
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The polish govt announced today a plan to subsidise mortgages for first time home buyers, with a guaranteed 2% interest for ten years, with a limit of up to 600k PLN.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1688570922806
810
FranekZak
1688570911539
2.2
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giu-jDdu0qUhUs4WMYNTCeGDxzYZfojXayhjegvsrk=s96-c
15
0
https://firebasestorage.…0b4-7610e034f0d0
5
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "W5dtB2cQekRSc4GTqqJaiA7gSJS2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671229330065}, {"name": "Poland", "slug": "poland", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "eGQaygk9D261Iu1uBpDA", "createdTime": 1671370144496}]
["politics-default", "poland"]
0.3083520334433513
0.5
1688570908445
1686735479072
0.97
0.2446355558493124
QltHonDjJ81jBG6z7HPa
{"NO": 206.7948555558957, "YES": 3559.143182399594}
0
by-the-end-of-2023-will-richard-han
4497.18228300117
By the end of 2023, will Richard Hanania begin spending a significant amount of time working on AI risk?
1704096000000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0.049650125117051615
1.649090000030875
True
play
NO
public
1671229684175
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/links-and-best-of-twitter-129", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/links-and-best-of-twitter-129", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1706374988157
430
IsaacKing
1706376868804
1.1
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
25
0
6
https://firebasestorage.…43e-d0f903f76e50
13
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1671229685013}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703129056642}, {"name": "Barcalona", "slug": "barc...
["ai", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"]
0.12813490880217038
0.5
1704095945543
1706376867095
0.02
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
0.8511959686701137
A0mP4dO64ErHapYfAmcV
{"NO": 2232.152451045018, "YES": 260.58093234163323}
1
will-a-majority-of-these-eight-jour-dcd5adb92dad
6426.410559520464
Will a majority of these eight journalists who criticized Elon Musk be unbanned from Twitter by January 1, 2023?
1672559940000
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
cpmm-1
0
2.182756308171165
True
play
YES
public
1671229930251
Conflux
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This Rolling Stone article", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/elon-musk-twitter-journalists-banned-1234648351/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " lists eigh...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672605716481
430
Conflux
1710451900239
0
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
21
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…398-9d68d8f0090d
19
[{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}]
["twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.5
1672557433032
1671294540738
False
0.98
0.5
p9DBZ7fk1zH9njaPxWHo
{"NO": 50, "YES": 50}
0.5
will-richard-hanania-be-a-democrat
0
Will Richard Hanania be a Democrat by the end of 2026?
1671230880644
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
4.3944491546724365
True
play
CANCEL
public
1671230139133
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inspired by ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/reflections-on-2022", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/reflections-on-2022", "class": null, "target":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671230880644
50
IsaacKing
1671230139133
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
0
https://firebasestorage.…abf-6cf679a91c43
1
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1671230139559}]
["us-politics"]
0.5
0.5
0.7872216831164086
SWB2RzaeCEseijcqpFwn
{"NO": 3647.9389838078223, "YES": 373.79730436170667}
1
will-destiny-cover-the-rich-campbel
5213.638376474575
Will Destiny cover the Rich Campbell sexual assault allegations on stream?
1671682153213
9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13
cpmm-1
0
1.1484984944635692
True
play
YES
public
1671232133921
johnleoks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For context", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.reddit.com/r/LivestreamFail/comments/znnn2r/rich_campbell_accused_of_sexual_assa...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671682153213
730
johnleoks
1710218563444
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c
37
0
https://firebasestorage.…313-5276e5a848c7
34
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]
["destinygg"]
0.5
1671682077580
1671681429487
0.97
rf6PMlBnsPcvkJ9SWwGI
will-destiny-side-with-rich-campbel
6391.338889425804
Will Destiny side with Rich Campbell or Azalia Lexi over the sexual assault allegations?
1671695011647
9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.626835297638042
True
basic
b07b13ebed79
public
1671232599482
johnleoks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Twitlonger of the accusation from Azalia.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "http://www.twitlonger.com/show/n_1ss6utn", "type": "text", "ma...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671695011647
1320
johnleoks
1720053161621
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c
54
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "05aee2139196", "prob": 0.10544483922415553, "text": "Rich", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 23.16937958385876, "userId": "9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 196.56047874145105, "textFts": "'rich':1", "contractId": "rf6PMlBnsPcvkJ9SWwGI", "createdTime": 1671232599482, "probCha...
https://firebasestorage.…0e9-5f41ac5791de
54
[{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}]
["destinygg"]
1671694991239
1671682138904
{"b07b13ebed79": 100}
True
0.6578824930921371
Y1y24qdqC2mosEkVYB6g
{"NO": 3300.5455699259483, "YES": 38.65376330158733}
1
will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16590-a
3387.1272753509397
Will Bitcoin price be above $16590 at Dec 17 11am ET?
1671289469620
jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2
cpmm-1
0
3.7789870618617165
True
play
YES
public
1671234096618
Gene Fama
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671289469620
210
GeneFama
1671289408633
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…3d3-7f2fa4252161
11
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671234097351}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1671289407405
0.81
0.5902328192086006
cZMk2vNfG09LQJb53GBS
{"NO": 3503.980872507879, "YES": 17.402119410299747}
1
will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16590-a-8550db91e4c8
3637.4260077485696
Will Bitcoin price be above $16590 at Dec 17 10pm ET?
1671332624571
jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2
cpmm-1
0
4.282088568775215
True
play
YES
public
1671234103651
Gene Fama
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671332624571
170
GeneFama
1671332621114
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1GEeRbwZqE7UHQDOFTfeRDZLPJwUA9z6BKLDT-=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…f99-a9df20484620
7
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1671234104354}]
["crypto-speculation"]
0.5
1671332620912
0.92
0.3229353172615839
SdvBzX4OPdHRrCYwojuU
{"NO": 982.7780406267549, "YES": 1023.0550119386779}
0.3142164426927663
will-the-first-commercial-fusion-re
396.07068993546227
Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
4102473600000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
1.2312767348986591e-15
9.578950868181376
False
basic
public
1671234177367
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves N/A if it uses both or neither.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 4.996003610813204e-16, "week": 4.996003610813204e-16, "month": 4.996003610813204e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1687467516787
0.1
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
20
0
https://firebasestorage.…015-a5aa65501c3e
19
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671234177656}, {"name": "Fusion Energy", "slug": "fusion-energy", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "hxlU6VBs9NexTi7Y7j6L", "createdTime": 1676503606649},...
["technology-default", "fusion-energy", "nuclear"]
0.09975568217678088
0.5
1687467516661
False
0.2516579469175886
TMujCeLu1WBgwpgbkWJ1
{"NO": 163.59713824118035, "YES": 2227.2423705158863}
0
will-trump-be-sued-for-reason-relat
2435.0825154903137
Will Trump be sued for reason related to his NFT collection before 2024?
1704085140000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
1.9541790719196235
True
play
NO
public
1671234591902
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-nft-digital-trading-cards-bring-in-millions-of-dollarsand-gop-ridicule-11671216029", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wsj.com/articles/trumps-nft-digital-trading-cards-bri...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704086796853
330
AmmonLam
1704086798007
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
17
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…d04-ecc550295374
10
[{"name": "Donald Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1671234592124}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130356308}]
["donald-trump", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1704076694088
0.02
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.5826373260724089
5m4OS1p0zJk7xb9kXZ11
{"NO": 6710.681581963848, "YES": 146.19477720429612}
1
will-apples-first-arvr-headset-have
16154.264994070678
Will Apple's first AR/VR headset have an outward facing screen that shows your eyes?
1685995032137
Xwq5UdgdzQVJQSNsomfgQK4KbXQ2
cpmm-1
0
1.274141137552435
True
basic
YES
public
1671234940812
Kronopath
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This has been rumoured for much of this year: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.imore.com/apples-mixed-reality-headset-could-have-external-screen-show-people-your-facial-expressions", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"hr...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1685995032137
1170
Kronopath
1686010695172
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiFA_cmkxQLkd1vmxPB96iPeUZyz47VricbU4GDVA=s96-c
3
60
0
https://firebasestorage.…b86-2adc3866d6de
40
[{"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "userId": "Xwq5UdgdzQVJQSNsomfgQK4KbXQ2", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF", "createdTime": 1671311770205}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "Xwq5UdgdzQVJQSNsomfgQK4KbXQ2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 16712349416...
["technology-default", "virtual-reality", "apple"]
0.5
1685993373370
1686010692587
0.98
0.6527493440883643
v5KWLI76gMZWjNSoXtBF
{"NO": 724.1316430888047, "YES": 76.1023251343344}
1
will-i-go-to-oxford-over-nye
694.6418960883238
Will I go to Oxford over NYE?
1672266019377
EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2
cpmm-1
0
2.6142556452779058
True
play
YES
public
1671236089456
Eli but Chad
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672266019377
170
elibutchad
1672398052904
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Felibutchad%2F2pSRjKONzf.15?alt=media&token=84d5a63c-36b7-46e7-9758-3d2e1ce647c3
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…20c-5aaf853264bc
7
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "EWQ8opj5cZg46jsjlXCJsAk2Xpj2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1671236090169}]
["personal-goals"]
0.5
1672266008372
1672398049909
0.84
0.4058174633125067
mOwe5KHsqHOVSXscVCLX
{"NO": 228.35437674753743, "YES": 581.1014522380639}
0
will-scott-alexander-be-active-on-t
556.9912289282565
Will Scott Alexander be active on Tumblr just before EoY 2023?
1702685640000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
1.1622049208235599
True
play
NO
public
1671236098787
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if he makes any post there within 2 weeks of the new year", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-12-15 7:14 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704087632319
370
LivInTheLookingGlass
1704087641926
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
0
19
0
4
https://firebasestorage.…398-d8a3a094846b
3
[{"name": "Fediverse", "slug": "fediverse", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "eDgkmJd7TbqSU9kPcGJ7", "createdTime": 1671236113320}, {"name": "ACX", "slug": "acx", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "UCM2uiHxr7Rftaa1KB29", "createdTime": 1671236109095}, {"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun"...
["acx", "fediverse", "fun", "ancient-markets"]
0.5
1702585028567
1704087641252
0.21
9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2
0.8707024919537864
kpNCa2jsrIj95WaLMkpc
{"NO": 1263.5968090866866, "YES": 211.40627513707938}
1
will-a-majority-of-these-eight-jour-77142f95809a
3241.3688595613226
Will a majority of these eight journalists who criticized Elon Musk be unbanned from Twitter by December 23?
1671782340000
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
cpmm-1
0
3.083019962051112
True
play
YES
public
1671236840729
Conflux
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This Rolling Stone article", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/elon-musk-twitter-journalists-banned-1234648351/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " lists eigh...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671814186929
370
Conflux
1710451945380
0
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
18
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…d5a-6b0da72c3516
16
[{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH"}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre"}]
["twitter", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.5
1671778019231
1671814181945
False
0.98
0.5194151574497845
V9EkqeEwOdXoSh3sfmpP
{"NO": 154.41884167832762, "YES": 180.8035470894954}
0
will-wysas-ai-behavioral-therapy-ap
255.64766351729943
Will Wysa's AI Behavioral Therapy app receive FDA clearance by June 1, 2023?
1685678340000
zRMxfUt51RcEIcZkuw6ySiNJYBE3
cpmm-1
0
1.833076064807583
True
play
NO
public
1671237673086
Algorithmovigilance
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "FDA granted ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Wysa", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wysa.io/", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " \"fast track\" status in May 2022 which means he company will ge...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1694298586282
170
algorithmovigilance
1694298589749
0
https://firebasestorage.…263-3088e8472773
1
8
0
20
https://firebasestorage.…724-6ac21d7c26ce
4
[{"name": "Medical Grade AI", "slug": "rsna-2022", "userId": "zRMxfUt51RcEIcZkuw6ySiNJYBE3", "groupId": "zKIoIMNi1hwtg3l5m5Mn", "createdTime": 1671237673312}]
["rsna-2022"]
0.5
1679067547648
1694298589036
0.48
0.7592998492278411
Nh7UIPO3GOitNTqvZ1pg
{"NO": 1137.0268639199462, "YES": 425.26294406839224}
1
planecrash-jvyy-ppf-grzcgngvba-bs-c
1416.3404235208993
[Planecrash] Jvyy PP'f grzcgngvba bs CC fhpprrq
1681599540000
vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2
cpmm-1
0
10.429053871361535
True
play
YES
public
1671237768008
Mike Blume
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will CC's temptation of PP succeed", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I realize that this is incredibly vague and not very operationalized. I don't know what the temptation is going to be. If the...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714442078049
550
MichaelBlume
1681599540000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5v7H-1kFkIa9wgaAZZ6vxS4zu6qCzfHKTitxBwg=s96-c
28
0
77
https://firebasestorage.…18b-cff0f8ef207f
26
[{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1671237781690}, {"name": "Planecrash", "slug": "planecrash", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "1jDuEPpS0Qs4HCseSxdv", "createdTime": 1671237785802}]
["glowfic", "planecrash"]
0.5
1680827762790
1697593293750
0.89
vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2
0.2695776458857244
pZ3cA0LU6c3J58Nz5xjY
{"NO": 470.9885967905213, "YES": 691.4693990796717}
1
jvyy-cvyne-cvarqn-erznva-n-fynir-bs
721.9335117096393
[Planecrash] Jvyy Cvyne Cvarqn erznva n fynir bs Nfzbqrhf
1679353140000
vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2
cpmm-1
0
0.8991347164213229
True
play
YES
public
1671238050644
Mike Blume
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Pilar Pineda remain a slave of Asmodeus", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if Pilar Pineda ceases to consider herself a slave of Asmodeus while both still exist.", "type": "text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1700892257281
530
MichaelBlume
1700892237626
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi5v7H-1kFkIa9wgaAZZ6vxS4zu6qCzfHKTitxBwg=s96-c
26
0
50
https://firebasestorage.…224-43920456ca27
24
[{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1671238088630}, {"name": "Planecrash", "slug": "planecrash", "userId": "vJBqfkBNMyNkhynhKtCOHuovGbY2", "groupId": "1jDuEPpS0Qs4HCseSxdv", "createdTime": 1671238091001}]
["glowfic", "planecrash"]
0.5
1679255791987
1700892236926
0.2
0.3404285498339257
gkafCpTblHzrhFGMnhkt
{"NO": 200.10335582104153, "YES": 366.17645837299744}
1
will-the-seattle-seahawks-make-the
362.6401549679742
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2022 NFL playoffs?
1672876800000
2Pynf5ibeuXpyfITCcZ7K0HYW7Q2
cpmm-1
0
1.5566067444062837
True
play
YES
public
1671238487189
Puntabulous
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Seattle is currently 7-7 with three games remaining and second place in the NFC West standings (behind the San Francisco 49ers, who they just lost to for the second time this season). Their remaining games are at Kansas City (currently 10-3 and lea...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673238152808
250
puntabulous
1673238146430
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3NYCK3mfhiffTOJSNGVFAcruy_Zbf2iMOZKh5o3A=s96-c
13
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…88b-bb29c0e60ab5
13
[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "2Pynf5ibeuXpyfITCcZ7K0HYW7Q2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1671238487541}]
["sports-default"]
0.5
1672697225343
1673238145238
0.22
0.5315642354197819
hv9i2antpAfxrXVm0MYm
{"NO": 105.91568122142658, "YES": 5363.685316623242}
0
will-there-be-more-hurricanes-in-th
23508.194664830782
Will there be more hurricanes in the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane season than in the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane season?
1704052800000
A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2
cpmm-1
1.585816086541474e-15
1.2901264557589025
True
play
NO
public
1671243395808
octothorpe
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question covers the Atlantic hurricane season beginning on June 1, 2023, and ends on November 30, 2023, and resolves YES if there are more than eight hurricanes (the number in 2022).", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704055474613
930
octothorpe
1704055475241
0.4
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6tbDKXAhRdj3ZSPc-7TND1_UeF-7xC_S1mdQ1V=s96-c
6
50
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…793-83ec224037af
5
[{"name": "Weather", "slug": "weather", "userId": "A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1671243396055}, {"name": "2023 Hurricane Season", "slug": "2023-hurricane-season", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "QsUuBJ6NtclsnGucs4OG", "createdTime": 1685863591108...
["weather", "2023-hurricane-season", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.10209915340728344
0.5
1702491407799
1701267026224
0.02
A6omDpe59ueNOlyqCgYhgbCL05I2
GiylhhqjJJTeMpLeElzJ
where-will-season-3-of-white-lotus
958.7992359826735
Where will season 3 of White Lotus be set?
1693531140000
UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.675040144451151
True
play
4c08d946487c
public
1671243634115
Radicalia
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will only resolve to the name of a country (Eg, Indonesia, not Bali). Resolves to the country where the characters spend most of their screen time, if ambiguous. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704536618647
699.9999999999999
Radicalia
1704536658957
0
https://firebasestorage.…ba5-e00750294173
0
9
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "7508cc76b59b", "prob": 0.01527170167387826, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.1394679329933565, "userId": "UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 8.992974277550328, "textFts": "", "contractId": "GiylhhqjJJTeMpLeElzJ", "resolverId": "UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2", "createdTime": 16712...
26
8
[{"name": "White Lotus", "slug": "white-lotus", "userId": "UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2", "groupId": "83BXPDtbOYUmsLCPdvsN", "createdTime": 1672863601730}, {"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 16712...
["entertainment", "white-lotus"]
1692359804615
1704536653537
{"4c08d946487c": 100}
UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2
True
0.14225149345820387
ph1RExKvbEH1Vst3XH71
{"NO": 238.50259305752377, "YES": 585.352043476112}
0
conditional-on-trump-getting-indict
2713.6682324255707
Conditional on Trump getting indicted, will the first instance occur on a January 6th?
1681844028658
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
2.6453724133431114
True
play
NO
public
1671248090292
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES iff any of the following:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He is indicted on the 6th", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "conte...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1681844028658
290
LivInTheLookingGlass
1710456603638
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
2
15
0
https://firebasestorage.…2ff-c01fe7c2d51e
8
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J"}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1"}, {"name": "🐘 Republican P...
["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "magaland", "fun", "law-order", "olivia", "conditional-markets"]
0.5
1681157227479
1679155568648
0.06
0.7347916152599108
lOYF6AuIuECPryCcGP7f
{"NO": 288.411366675682, "YES": 227.66618275591878}
0.7782640218854615
usa-stock-permanent
360.0079050080195
USA Stock (Permanent)
33217163036428
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248686989
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
250
LarsDoucet
1713585639837
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
12
0
https://firebasestorage.…e0c-79b34d2e0567
9
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248687241}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250870736}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1685081303693
1671403649644
False
0.6845572788843032
kZG5Xzq9HZf6UdGAYAxv
{"NO": 238.7502929615532, "YES": 114.81656004851148}
0.8185980191468505
norway-stock-permanent
136.0192237194762
Norway Stock (Permanent)
33217163036428
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248707998
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
LarsDoucet
1713586732620
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
7
0
https://firebasestorage.…4d5-35fb134df1fd
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248708193}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250858187}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1684630573650
False
0.42501171775122537
3oeXSq2uhoxptY8vKGIP
{"NO": 194.64249836273436, "YES": 180.06810762114702}
0.44413335721344377
china-stock-permanent
290.76377016896805
China Stock (Permanent)
33217163036406
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248722667
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.0441333572134438}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5834346812642636, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
190
LarsDoucet
1717849653553
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
0
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…4b2-a5804834fa08
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248722975}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250864935}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717849650403
False
0.6211137512419442
ORGz0WWIMqwLaTPRZ0tp
{"NO": 201.3860747332164, "YES": 122.08963611198052}
0.7300244353390055
india-stock-permanent
98.81690877253246
India Stock (Permanent)
33217163036415
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248733482
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
LarsDoucet
1713585885212
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…d5c-ab5d25ab5acd
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248733687}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250861452}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1695779664466
False
0.5845921450151056
v4VZcGbi26tNbYEBirXE
{"NO": 110.00000000000001, "YES": 47.77777777777779}
0.7641509433962262
indonesia-stock-permanent
40
Indonesia Stock (Permanent)
33217163036436
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248744159
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
70
LarsDoucet
1713587275396
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…5ef-c139b5959c5d
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248744366}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250835136}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "-manifans", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1682822144242
False
0.6452885097819921
BV39BhzeFE2gdNyHsX9a
{"NO": 154.8950615421999, "YES": 86.19244956902705}
0.7657663627691638
nigeria-stock-permanent
65.10493845780016
Nigeria Stock (Permanent)
33217163036409
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248754400
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
110
LarsDoucet
1713587015797
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
4
0
https://firebasestorage.…7b4-a12fe6e75fbd
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248754582}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250838454}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1691334385530
1682946683690
False
0.5502109063474566
awqtredrikHViaqKpGMU
{"NO": 129.1589589930401, "YES": 93.37278966852898}
0.6285419402552064
kenya-stock-permanent
124.84104100695994
Kenya Stock (Permanent)
33217163036423
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0.003454349726387427
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248764663
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
110
LarsDoucet
1713587058475
1.1
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
4
0
https://firebasestorage.…5b9-46299295f8e9
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248764844}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250831570}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "ancient-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.08131944195524987
0.5
False
False
1711956078938
False
0.5099467487582533
gixQJgva1AIptT9rRbuR
{"NO": 259.7208194189729, "YES": 239.89625349037433}
0.5297630151842891
uk-stock-permanent
229.8919895092673
UK Stock (Permanent)
33217163036426
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248775418
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
250
LarsDoucet
1713585679005
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…42c-b40009960b22
4
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248775714}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250828605}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.09529458018849428
0.5
False
False
1706577834701
False
0.6588713368280223
Jql8H7NFPS67WmOdNKFQ
{"NO": 130.96141427948484, "YES": 121.86684455159218}
0.6748584369424162
germany-stock-permanent
118.75704257982683
Germany Stock (Permanent)
33217163036413
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248789543
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.025141563057583527}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.2296104422125542, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1718583033724
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…c0c-91dde529e629
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248789747}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250822254}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1718583030658
False
0.6022904434737797
AkUJIM3ILJjLVzw4Khll
{"NO": 158.650591230646, "YES": 111.07424609469358}
0.6838502992588364
japan-stock-permanent
77.52922918045836
Japan Stock (Permanent)
33217163036409
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248797924
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713586834787
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…976-2f98e09a618c
4
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248798131}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250825638}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1680420682684
1672074796688
False
0.5625282047462183
cAQkgLlLkn0WbVWDvFiw
{"NO": 127.83260391654784, "YES": 130.27359583104337}
0.5578679870558995
south-korea-stock-permanent
42.09505740036131
South Korea Stock (Permanent)
33217163036423
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248807178
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 4.440892098500626e-16, "week": 4.440892098500626e-16, "month": 4.440892098500626e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713587062049
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
4
0
https://firebasestorage.…165-b94f70060738
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248807393}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250818872}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1686002826039
False
0.7134286987461698
JeYGGrrFUPrRb2UAg9gc
{"NO": 399.86351125062953, "YES": 198.54670428732993}
0.8337157763343346
ukraine-stock-permanent
645.8467692752284
Ukraine Stock (Permanent)
33217163036413
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248817211
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
250
LarsDoucet
1713585484017
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…849-d842a4c1bb0f
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248817402}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250815805}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.10282251366370125
0.5
False
False
1703776100128
False
0.23287304706067444
byYYp4nIZdfI8YXnWK4d
{"NO": 238.22367035753476, "YES": 340.4355188737967}
0.1752055170317808
russia-stock-permanent
835.5701859851742
Russia Stock (Permanent)
33217163036423
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248827673
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 0.032666346494170495}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7792226913658344, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
270
LarsDoucet
1717849711684
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
14
0
https://firebasestorage.…340-304d45cd065a
6
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248827851}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250809274}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717849708569
False
0.6308120349485695
mK6d9IbaxTO7qq9JQ2Oa
{"NO": 193.59126108928854, "YES": 98.80417470315827}
0.7699999999999996
vietnam-stock-permanent
215.65241812154517
Vietnam Stock (Permanent)
33217163036429
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248836348
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713586841820
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
0
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…51b-d582def442f4
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248836805}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250812456}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1701216060778
False
0.5845452682021457
Y7nE9QG7y97pFi2QNnkJ
{"NO": 109.93325034933457, "YES": 75.6475360636203}
0.6715599717253684
phillipines-stock-permanent
40.06674965066542
Phillipines Stock (Permanent)
33217163036422
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248845377
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
90
LarsDoucet
1713587125690
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
0
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…cb7-3ce79c00e760
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248845579}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250805622}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1680420662606
False
0.5127733102425043
U2EI1YTQAY3SSftxMju1
{"NO": 100.04561792587977, "YES": 81.27585543130186}
0.5643613519039622
brazil-stock-permanent
21
Brazil Stock (Permanent)
33217163036417
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248870893
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.05454399800928389}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.3451640698523171, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
90
LarsDoucet
1717850028763
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
2
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…fea-32c9532dc439
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248871110}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250800090}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717850025639
False
0.4583892646885158
tm4Co5K9EVWfnnINHWCT
{"NO": 244.7171239203115, "YES": 138.07666056939956}
0.5999999999999999
turkey-stock-permanent
372.47665553262607
Turkey Stock (Permanent)
33217163036435
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248917365
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
190
LarsDoucet
1713585928880
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…a31-019e9da88a9b
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248917574}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250778241}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1696530613899
1695737487578
False
0.4423979900316056
5FVGytQe5nhWtmEzZKlv
{"NO": 209.6200974079672, "YES": 166.29594717410208}
0.500023064962702
israel-stock-permanent
165.73754544393333
Israel Stock (Permanent)
33217163036407
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248929419
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
190
LarsDoucet
1713586716122
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…c09-bb749d7d193c
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248929686}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250781391}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1702705071299
False
0.6081705436644905
WwjcypnZP7FJRhzoK4fu
{"NO": 135.520691038528, "YES": 123.29356677245333}
0.6304586093923058
palestine-stock-permanent
55.06674965066541
Palestine Stock (Permanent)
33217163036421
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248937921
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713587050900
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
4
0
https://firebasestorage.…095-754c1c218a2c
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248938117}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250774742}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1702855291267
False
0.6126072199467493
22W5nEqHtNMLrHzxuXAc
{"NO": 245.01616544265434, "YES": 187.08797901868917}
0.6743728370488625
mexico-stock-permanent
526.3027667505961
Mexico Stock (Permanent)
33217163036405
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248962978
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.016281646946530226}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.2510892520978605, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
210
LarsDoucet
1717849950298
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
12
0
https://firebasestorage.…e5e-180edae79703
8
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248963188}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250771125}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717849947180
False
0.47709445031213704
XN3xeWVCXkmAzJ3Hqh7X
{"NO": 81.47279695093623, "YES": 99.80613028426954}
0.4268666368729534
pakistan-stock-permanent
30.19386971573043
Pakistan Stock (Permanent)
33217163036421
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248976265
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
90
LarsDoucet
1713587330936
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
0
2
0
https://firebasestorage.…dcc-60ff8678cccf
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248976464}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250764691}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1680420631525
False
0.544395560914948
27m8XKwObJUiEoWNP4Sq
{"NO": 96.63610770951286, "YES": 118.40275800205407}
0.4937282246723332
bangladesh-stock-permanent
214.2124178386025
Bangladesh Stock (Permanent)
33217163036405
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671248996196
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
110
LarsDoucet
1713586944399
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
5
0
https://firebasestorage.…4ac-6b0c8b99a9ac
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671248996403}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250767908}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1705927157481
False
0.4981567113696027
6BUF7rhSVpcp4WnDPofM
{"NO": 663.0122511701294, "YES": 42.783623939489274}
0.9389612251653009
france-stock-permanent
694.7399705374459
France Stock (Permanent)
33217163036407
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249043109
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0.013027505747170598, "month": 0.44896122516530107}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.479775114219342, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
170
LarsDoucet
1719748815428
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
10
1
https://firebasestorage.…471-df5edc731a21
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249043337}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250761143}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1719748812227
False
0.5663846815834911
aYL1IwSLnMVb9zTC96s0
{"NO": 109.44719827193832, "YES": 75.64944585339965}
0.6539500467333184
canada-stock-permanent
72.16899054086846
Canada Stock (Permanent)
33217163036423
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249051863
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.05926710517864231}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.3838111871931983, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
90
LarsDoucet
1717850057517
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
3
0
https://firebasestorage.…a7a-81fd680652d3
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249052055}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250757410}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717850054392
False
0.5835905001468065
36AFPTwqEXGSiHC3F10R
{"NO": 146.8016442215174, "YES": 117.10533881779074}
0.6372709641591953
italy-stock-permanent
43.39519102258863
Italy Stock (Permanent)
33217163036406
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249060970
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713586830405
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…e2d-45866be6f806
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249061233}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250753610}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1699651215347
1697332097708
False
0.6197822323525262
615j4oFz82CLxBi7Fw6J
{"NO": 394.2370771511527, "YES": 264.5828897037433}
0.7083578525187111
australia-stock-permanent
482.1244716405235
Australia Stock (Permanent)
33217163036407
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.573869495330957
False
play
public
1671249081473
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.0487867566412208, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
310
LarsDoucet
1717485569825
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
17
0
https://firebasestorage.…065-41ce48efa1dd
7
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249081698}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250731195}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717485566568
1671250747560
False
0.4624965066850364
RBJo9lPNfpRSoEGoxeus
{"NO": 155.89805227937916, "YES": 187.06223023865388}
0.4176238698241451
iran-stock-permanent
102.17803588143126
Iran Stock (Permanent)
33217163036416
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249103222
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
170
LarsDoucet
1713586881911
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
6
0
https://firebasestorage.…720-014708ab5564
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249103425}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250712579}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "ancient-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1713039326473
False
0.7960815184145991
x8fj5NWeH0dJ1hF7MaCi
{"NO": 991.2131149651503, "YES": 208.35239190216055}
1
will-scott-alexander-be-natively-on
1854.9310521238372
Will Scott Alexander be natively on Mastodon in any capacity before EoY 2023?
1675307895544
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
2.0431337603026676
True
play
YES
public
1671249109475
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if an account is submitted to this market which can confirm to be run by Scott Alexander, officially represent Astral Codex 10, or any similar thing", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1675307895544
330
LivInTheLookingGlass
1675307883591
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
17
0
https://firebasestorage.…957-c810175ce324
16
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1671249166070}, {"name": "Twitter", "slug": "twitter", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1671249162954}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "t...
["olivia", "acx", "fediverse", "technology-default", "twitter", "fun", "culture-default"]
0.5
1675307883417
1675207036377
0.95
0.5935512996374653
Qfn2AC01Z2mREFdEXENG
{"NO": 201.4557713898988, "YES": 120.16331031451917}
0.7099999999999999
spain-stock-permanent
148.5190950669484
Spain Stock (Permanent)
33217163036416
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249114548
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
150
LarsDoucet
1719039109302
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
8
0
https://firebasestorage.…1a2-aca5d95746a9
3
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249114758}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250707246}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.09277429696008928
0.5
False
False
1719039106265
False
0.6785615730911514
Qz9qqPbPivpxFlhwk9tw
{"NO": 114.0524263932718, "YES": 125.44477039237172}
0.6574524259346944
taiwan-stock-permanent
312.4609131380418
Taiwan Stock (Permanent)
33217163036416
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249134164
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713586791123
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
7
0
https://firebasestorage.…db4-f52d20648829
1
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249134382}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250703679}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1709470944482
False
0.6472213277370226
T5u5pEiYAQTYzXJFoMcI
{"NO": 449.72662310293, "YES": 263.0890376889955}
0.7582290675638332
sweden-stock-permanent
6549.139650348177
Sweden Stock (Permanent)
33217163036417
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0.0812108947034842
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249143150
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
330
LarsDoucet
1713585238136
2.4
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
17
0
https://firebasestorage.…fc7-76f9bedf522b
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249143342}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250696113}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.14204419565680568
0.5
False
False
1704478438481
False
0.684796381784694
HkomHYIs4jYF9ULY8Bpg
{"NO": 171.5908519460579, "YES": 105.12207053464384}
0.7800389429571521
denmark-stock-permanent
332.8683271306726
Denmark Stock (Permanent)
33217163036412
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249152316
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713586767860
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
7
0
https://firebasestorage.…2bd-31a9a7dca4ca
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249152508}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250699696}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "-manifans", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1706577827754
False
0.6968514011131445
l9vHcoRqhvwl1w7eJ2ZU
{"NO": 232.65692660810487, "YES": 334.5904212793511}
0.6151486687490725
texas-stock-permanent
5801.2276250259
Texas Stock (Permanent)
33217163036428
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
3.6591139740464226e-16
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249160650
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.2671516038192685, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
310
LarsDoucet
1716693869712
0.2
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
18
0
https://firebasestorage.…5c2-f3f37748a2f8
8
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250690096}, {"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249160837}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "texas", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.11823266300194184
0.5
False
False
1716693866003
1698470250562
False
0.5302281580681512
H5dPvWOCCrKt4rKn99q5
{"NO": 466.97733455990146, "YES": 335.3041383839292}
0.6111866515218727
florida-stock-permanent
8278.260286536375
Florida Stock (Permanent)
33217163036412
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0.9700852047799253
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249170383
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
410
LarsDoucet
1713585059151
1.3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
21
0
https://firebasestorage.…b18-575815239d8c
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249170583}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250683063}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.18515277574538372
0.5
False
False
1704477869203
False
0.6755854065613242
WTCHBUcb1HLNIVHRXBU7
{"NO": 148.58809541998988, "YES": 340.08175806446195}
0.4764048484961779
california-stock-permanent
3920.5743855454207
California Stock (Permanent)
33217163036421
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0.11613937768562366
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249182256
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
270
LarsDoucet
1713585464124
1.4
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
14
0
https://firebasestorage.…d5f-ace438365a7e
5
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249182459}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250649783}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.1305104319692001
0.5
False
False
1704478316207
False
0.6059223414261115
fI52Nvdv28i1FIEydBxx
{"NO": 356.6949045377132, "YES": 341.261036608372}
0.6164333850785613
new-york-stock-permanent
888.703331197205
New York Stock (Permanent)
33217163036425
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249194177
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.016433385078561402}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.4003513357610982, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
350
LarsDoucet
1717850189367
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
1
17
0
https://firebasestorage.…ce7-003cd405d9ea
4
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249194393}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250679030}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717850186263
1686190770323
False
0.5612620363232608
sNrbyMufw6PRbe8wF8k8
{"NO": 140.98897085854455, "YES": 120.96934499589324}
0.5985507141921549
botswana-stock-permanent
41.01102914145549
Botswana Stock (Permanent)
33217163036435
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249405889
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
130
LarsDoucet
1713587099505
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
2
4
0
https://firebasestorage.…595-c2b735b16ed5
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249406102}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250639115}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1703179033921
False
0.47051296276741245
VbTFTFt63qWiCxpTpccs
{"NO": 178.60899648581062, "YES": 242.43616003776856}
0.39564975267306085
uganda-stock-permanent
1411.3618194994299
Uganda Stock (Permanent)
33217163036418
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249416150
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
210
LarsDoucet
1713585734052
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
10
0
https://firebasestorage.…45b-b775625b9575
4
[{"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250635183}, {"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249416384}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "nonpredictive-profits", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1704325831307
False
0.3045466315443128
GBjOOuh35Z63hZwyKGSE
{"NO": 181.01957315527554, "YES": 183.06493298964554}
0.3021721617281653
south-africa-stock-permanent
311.33923149297647
South Africa Stock (Permanent)
33217163036411
fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671249425503
Lars Doucet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = Buy", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "No = Short", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see ...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.06409823954867369}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.8767061620957091, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
190
LarsDoucet
1717849912779
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c
2
11
0
https://firebasestorage.…eb6-3c6426eb6e4e
2
[{"name": "Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1671249425717}, {"name": "Permanent Markets", "slug": "permanent-markets", "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "groupId": "2T4mM0N5az2lYcaN5G50", "createdTime": 1671250642799}, {"name"...
["stocks", "permanent-markets", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.5
False
False
1717849909618
1679902316357
False
0.2867727188806784
RVgTjtZu3O9pjTOWWAOA
{"NO": 286.2733651756809, "YES": 395.20067742959907}
0
will-the-la-rams-beat-the-green-bay
1240.8542209285513
Will the LA Rams beat the Green Bay Packers on Monday night?
1671498900000
uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2
cpmm-1
0
1.3609891210234282
True
play
NO
public
1671250205650
BCG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Green Bay is at home and is favored by 7 points.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671512188836
330
BruceGrugett
1671494472730
0
https://firebasestorage.…832-adff2729ad86
17
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…c13-f47a0023a4fe
17
[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "uPEbZ90qG8YH1k4JlkfOzFZEcuR2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1671250205993}]
["sports-default"]
0.5
1671494472573
0.23
0.029198682267255086
TGXInmvJWnVUwV5a7WCW
{"NO": 925.3587445530233, "YES": 3062.140369127066}
0.009007171770605713
will-human-brains-be-weaker-than-ai-81148c3e0489
12009.863815800501
Will human brains be weaker than AI in every way by the end of 2024?
1735718400000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1671252635659
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a duplicate of ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "f9hT7F6HcSRSpxAkBPNd", "label": "/L/will-human-brains-be-weaker-than-ai"}}, {"text": ", but for 2024. It resolves according to my interpretation of the same cr...
BINARY
{"day": -5.204170427930421e-18, "week": -5.204170427930421e-18, "month": -5.204170427930421e-18}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
IsaacKing
1699629952459
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
1
42
0
https://firebasestorage.…745-bd1cd5a57b49
36
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1671252636051}]
["technology-default"]
0.5
1699629952312
1676670204136
0.5098205161123074
m6MBgpHfZQXqpxir2Ids
{"NO": 269.8099599500932, "YES": 228.26804328603828}
0.5514384719431529
otk-stock-permanent
436.2846456283863
OTK Stock (Permanent)
33217163036428
9DVzoDI4rWV7EPWhqRXaXP9eAvj1
cpmm-1
0.11096275429659282
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1671258806144
cosmicturtle333
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One True King, legally OTK Media, Inc., is a gaming organization based in Austin, Texas. The organization primarily focuses on online content creation and previously competed professionally in World of Warcraft.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBre...
STONK
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
250
cosmicturtle333
1713585626233
2.3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu34BAUJAm3Cf1GUfUPUlpulst_Uw_C-iP5gZL9mKQ=s96-c
12
0
https://firebasestorage.…31d-9fdc8d3b6daf
5
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "9DVzoDI4rWV7EPWhqRXaXP9eAvj1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1671258806634}, {"name": "all stonks", "slug": "all-stonks", "groupId": "82a3ffe0-4f06-4a64-a341-963e9767d08e", "createdTime": 1689991030737}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpred...
["destinygg", "all-stonks", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.12770799308930653
0.5
False
False
1688772620957
False
pGHT9X0W1FkjMKPLOyzE
pepe-vs-yee-daily-163fbe1ce226
713
PEPE VS YEE DAILY
1671425940000
2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.6747684877689
True
play
aa7d8f96147c
public
1671259904842
DoppioFrog
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "BE ADVISED, THE FORMAT HAS CHANGED!", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "INSTEAD OF BEING DECIDED BY THE MARKET ITSELF, NOW THE OUTCOME WILL BE DECIDED BY ME ASKING A RANDOM DGG'ER IN DGG CHAT AFTER THE MARKET CLOSES TO CHOSE PEPE VS...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671433330837
540
BettersonMcgee
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.…0cc-49129eb5afbe
16
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "177657f1f14f", "prob": 0.6959070697718047, "text": "PEPE", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 239.21154146827902, "userId": "2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 104.52909842307747, "textFts": "'pepe':1", "contractId": "pGHT9X0W1FkjMKPLOyzE", "createdTime": 1671259904842, "probCha...
1
https://firebasestorage.…739-1a69802e69b1
16
[{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "2ZR1o4tadeRI26q9TuDqQHA024i1", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1671259905358}]
["destinygg"]
1671412815209
1671433418675
{"aa7d8f96147c": 100}
True
0.5717114772518729
qbbSaZsAtfrZrabSMsuA
{"NO": 46.15870214332124, "YES": 818.61363148323}
0
short-will-the-wikipedia-page-thurs
1498.6119011779774
[SHORT] Will the wikipedia page "Thursday Night Massacre" still exist as the page's title in four days?
1671300203694
9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983
cpmm-1
0
2.285167274875234
True
play
NO
public
1671262423697
L
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thursday_Night_Massacre", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thursday_Night_Massacre", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671300203694
250
L
1671404294796
0
https://firebasestorage.…776-643c9417e854
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…837-b6bf24761c3e
12
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "9pFTkULGUKcRZ8IQq3WHWNY5i983", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1671262424400}]
["politics-default"]
0.5
1671300185226
1671404292881
0.03