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Franklin Baldo
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-17 12:00 am", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-12-18 8:40 am", "type": "text"}]...
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1671304108689
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Will I complete the Cambridge Half Marathon on 5th March 2023 in less than 1 hour and 35 minutes?
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Jonny Spicer
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1671304523736
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Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?
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Luca Parodi
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How much will Rethink Priorities raise by the end of 2023?
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Nathan Young
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Will I be able to tweet a Mastodon link on 2023-01-01?
1672531140000
lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2
cpmm-1
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0.36826212301929484
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YES
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1671309830252
Collected Over Spread
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will-i-find-a-partner-in-2023-c204a37c789a
9676.385869857117
Will I find a partner in 2023?
1673202008288
aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2
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1.5560713080645368
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Tassilo Neubauer
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Will any 2022 Effective Ideas Blog Prize winners be announced before Jan 31, 2023?
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3.2242502385640046
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Who will be the winners of the 2022 Effective Ideas Blog Prize?
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Cc0aoacvTbY8BzI9Dk99TnSMfjj1
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5.003055295544427
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will-twitter-have-fewer-daily-activ
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Will Twitter have fewer daily active users in March than they do today?
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Connor McCormick
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will-i-think-running-redwood-resear
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Will I think running the Redwood Research Mechanistic Interpretability Experiment (REMIX) was +EV on March 1st 2023?
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will-buck-think-running-the-redwood
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7rOJimfGo9ZrZL7JoXrFm2YIWRR2
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1671314454343
Ryan Greenblatt
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1677816148661
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will-spindle-traunche-any-markets-b
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Will Spindle traunche any markets before the end of 2022?
1671657230163
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will-destiny-get-banned-on-twitter
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Will Destiny get banned on Twitter again by April 1st, 2023?
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0.39229748925386954
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Will Greta Gerwig's Barbie be rated at least 8.0 in IMDB at the end of 2023?
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Gustavo Mafra
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Which team will roll higher on a 100-sided FairlyRandom die by EOY 2022?
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Which samba school will be the champion of Rio Carnival 2023?
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4.82915348008501
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1671324367115
Franklin Baldo
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1671326344570
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1671326636214
Franklin Baldo
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1704085140000
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cpmm-1
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1.9371978260675244
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Will SBF be in the Metropolitan Detention Center On Jan 15th 2023?
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cpmm-1
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