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will-bitcoin-price-be-above-16870-a-06dd2cda324b

1130.7418480634979

Will Bitcoin price be above $16870 at Dec 23 10pm ET?

1671854340000

jaZO796uPBTFgSA4VwwKK7XuVcI2

cpmm-1

0

2.3589441713371535

True

play

NO

public

1671803700403

Gene Fama

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note that the market closes an hour after the referenced time Resolution according to price shown in Coinmarketcap https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin", "type": "text"}]}]}

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1671899898769

250

GeneFama

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will-i-get-into-a-car-accident-on-m

2810.9249440164913

Will I get into a car accident on my way to Florida?

1671848506622

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cpmm-1

0

5.690087512251216

True

play

NO

public

1671804229961

Carson Gale

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1671848506622

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CarsonGale

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1671848498826

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will-duelyst-ii-have-a-higher-allti

461.2864204350542

Will Duelyst II have a higher All-Time Peak Users than Duelyst I?

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cpmm-1

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2.2372152694159473

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Pacc

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will-stronger-minds-be-a-gwwc-top-c

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Will StrongMinds be a GWWC top charity in 2025?

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cpmm-1

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Nathan Young

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conditional-on-their-being-no-ai-ta

1891.7348449140582

Conditional on their being no AI takeoff before 2030, will the majority of AI researchers believe that AI alignment is solved?

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cpmm-1

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Duncn

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conditional-on-their-being-no-ai-ta-d1033091d963

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1671808489061

Duncn

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Duncn

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which-of-these-us-banks-will-pay-th

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Which of these US banks will pay the most in fines/settlements to the SEC in 2023?

1682972499936

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.985601068603798

True

play

CANCEL

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1671808715075

Yaakov Saxon

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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YaakovSaxon

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DISABLED

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1682972486731

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0.7600000000000001

in-texas-will-there-be-highprofile

170.7433652124403

In Texas, will there be a high-profile case of a transgender child being separated from their parents before 2025?

1735624740000

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cpmm-1

0.0065143839675939

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play

public

1671809910553

Elspeth

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Elspeth

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will-destiny-watch-a-drmike-video-o

2142.766407775455

Will Destiny watch a DrMike video on stream before January 16th?

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cpmm-1

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1.0217824115156755

True

play

NO

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1671810101712

babu

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1673881437379

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babu

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will-sbf-make-an-escape-attempt-bef

1811.7074808309158

Will SBF make an escape attempt before 2024?

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cpmm-1

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2.8390003432632405

True

play

NO

public

1671810804015

Cactus

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will-i-consider-a-transfer-to-anoth

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cpmm-1

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Eli but Chad

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elibutchad

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cpmm-1

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4.751365427438833

True

play

NO

public

1671811416936

Eli but Chad

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elibutchad

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will-fighting-resume-in-the-ethiopi

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Will fighting resume in Ethiopia’s Tigray War in 2023?

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cpmm-1

0.08602644900788947

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NO

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1671813525882

DismalScientist

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trump-indictedwhat-month

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Trump Indicted—what month?

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.622951648719809

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Gigacasting

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1680217082746

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Gigacasting

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ANYONE

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True

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will-an-ai-have-20-million-twitter

833.7712381766974

Will an AI have >20 million Twitter followers by the 2025?

1735711140000

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

9.686085539122118

False

basic

public

1671813977500

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tweets written by model; relevant to trends/events ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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1000

Gigacasting

1703137318337

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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

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21

0

https://firebasestorage.…f9e-908b7394b25b

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0.10288836451434819

0.5

1703137318208

1671814005989

False

0.3689461162554521

n5XKOgsXgbIRyQCGs7xm

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0.3626885412515821

ai-will-someone-opensource-a-1b-mod

491.98325409190033

AI: Will someone open-source a $1B model by 2030?

1893477540000

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

9.6324496123085

False

basic

public

1671814158589

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Weights. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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1000

Gigacasting

1696956213005

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

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10

0

https://firebasestorage.…cc6-162bf68c3e2e

2

[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1671814158940}]

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0.5

1696956212727

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0.2601279309068707

will-iran-be-a-democracy-in-2030

526.4761604855025

Will Iran be a democracy in 2030?

1893455940000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0

9.619169692051901

False

basic

public

1671814701929

DismalScientist

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BINARY

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1000

DismalScientist

1712937835494

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1682172224784

0.3336653884663918

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will-china-be-a-democracy-in-2050

530.6398541749884

Will China be a democracy in 2050?

2556143940000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0

9.607641207333481

False

basic

public

1671814747893

DismalScientist

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BINARY

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1000

DismalScientist

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0.22936307595524624

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will-russia-be-a-democracy-in-2030

1092.4200617630265

Will Russia be a democracy in 2030?

1924991940000

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cpmm-1

0

9.598523045768845

False

basic

public

1671814787981

DismalScientist

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1000

DismalScientist

1683814994156

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will-india-be-a-democracy-in-2050

992.1194922269876

Will India be a democracy in 2050?

2556143940000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0

9.70852457415537

False

basic

public

1671814836147

DismalScientist

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BINARY

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DismalScientist

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will-the-us-be-a-democracy-in-2050

2682.3377457058596

Will the US be a democracy in 2050?

2556143940000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0

8.919688537332316

False

basic

public

1671814878440

DismalScientist

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DismalScientist

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https://firebasestorage.…14c-b0f1be13b8b4

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0.578592116936949

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will-nigeria-be-a-democracy-in-2040

563.962800580162

Will Nigeria be a democracy in 2040?

2240611140000

St3vtMdJQMYTxAqhvGglvJL3S2D2

cpmm-1

0.02122082850374954

9.761589448655954

False

basic

public

1671814919757

DismalScientist

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BINARY

{"day": -8.881784197001252e-16, "week": -8.881784197001252e-16, "month": -8.881784197001252e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1000

DismalScientist

1697794920622

1.1

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will-sam-trabucco-plead-guilty

262.214582071126

Will Sam Trabucco plead guilty?

2019707940000

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cpmm-1

0.17615440577020494

9.796019471666458

False

basic

public

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BINARY

{"day": 4.996003610813204e-16, "week": 4.996003610813204e-16, "month": 4.996003610813204e-16}

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1000

Gigacasting

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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

1

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[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1671815357937}]

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will-the-eu-interest-rate-be-above

3471.918999567354

Will the EU interest rate be above 3.3% at the end of 2023?

1704063540000

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cpmm-1

0.3341186084457178

1.6014242370402623

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play

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MAcs 19R1

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will-i-be-home-for-christmas

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Will I be home for Christmas?

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3.521220165230031

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1671816811126

Unconditional Probability

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will-steve-davis-be-the-next-twitte

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Will Steve Davis be the next Twitter CEO?

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cpmm-1

0

2.0293345642026708

True

play

NO

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1671817254612

J. F. Jurchen

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will-the-uk-government-issue-a-sect

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Will the U.K. government issue a Section 35 order to block the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill?

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cpmm-1

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4.13923845157187

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Lisa Marsh

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Will Trevor Bauer still be on the Los Angeles Dodgers roster on January 7, 2023.

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