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0.7220017452090817 | GnJ4j6pFOSd8LaA6hgEv | {"NO": 3800.999999999998, "YES": 68.21140198014689} | 1 | when-will-avraham-eisenberg-tweet-a | 3491 | How many days from Dec 29th, 2022 will Avraham Eisenberg tweet again? | 1703890740000 | W5dtB2cQekRSc4GTqqJaiA7gSJS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2827859153780397 | True | play | MKT | public | 1672310276996 | Franek Żak | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/avi_eisen", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/avi_eisen", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Avraham has reportedly been... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1703979694282 | 310 | FranekZak | 1703979694655 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giu-jDdu0qUhUs4WMYNTCeGDxzYZfojXayhjegvsrk=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "W5dtB2cQekRSc4GTqqJaiA7gSJS2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1672310277241}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130493161}] | ["crypto-speculation", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.4931506849315068 | 1703879366503 | 1703850939359 | 1 | W5dtB2cQekRSc4GTqqJaiA7gSJS2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.4795316883398399 | 3yc2qVsmNU0oUYXECvA6 | {"NO": 93.16583369492629, "YES": 86.17040174246479} | 0 | conditional-on-apple-releasing-a-de | 22.500832971740365 | Conditional on Apple releasing a device named "iPhone 15" before the resolution date of this market, will I purchase an iPhone 15? | 1704067140000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.000665287630114 | True | play | NO | public | 1672348812709 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If no device is called the \"iPhone 15\" by Apple by the resolution date of this market, then this market will resolve N/A. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704072613566 | 90 | Alana | 1704072613952 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1672348813535}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 16807372913... | ["technology-default", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1683756628065 | 1691011355883 | 0.5 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8315464225060245 | 1lOc5QLFwPsx79ipqftm | {"NO": 7320.622966091674, "YES": 257.09908523633544} | 1 | will-i-lose-my-trustworthy-ish-badg | 52721.48693453152 | Will Manifold deem me unworthy of a "Trustworthy. Ish." badge by the end of 2023? | 1683416517087 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4858334667333817 | True | basic | YES | public | 1672348941329 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This only counts Manifold deciding to take it away from me personally. It does not count Manifold choosing to remove the \"Trustworthy. Ish.\" badge from all traders, or reword the general criteria that badge-holders must meet, nor a bug that makes... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683416517087 | 1590 | IsaacKing | 1683372721054 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 0 | 26 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1672348941732}, {"name": "Manibadges", "slug": "manibadges", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "YGk89aVeKcgK8RDHT4bp", "createdTime": 1672350254516}] | ["personal-goals", "manibadges"] | 0.5 | 1683372720895 | 1683202636114 | 0.99 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1756088602801383 | 7Xn5PBtCteHhRuCSzJU4 | {"NO": 41.12267305257958, "YES": 10387.601009631726} | 0.0008425837944765289 | will-fbifemboy-still-be-a-heron-at | 10574.70071651708 | Will fbifemboy still be a heron at the end of 2023? | 1704096000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.236794231867446 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1672349027536 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/0xfbifemboy", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/0xfbifemboy", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.goog... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704145821946 | 170 | IsaacKing | 1704152358419 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703132603311}, {"name": "Barcalona", "slug": "barcalona", "groupId": "7f0a1921-3916-4c3a-97d8-eaba883d6d78", "createdTime": 1703708502793}] | ["new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.5 | 1704095949505 | 1704152357825 | 0 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8444361939605382 | QpmaqPUQOr5fSpU2Pxtn | {"NO": 1299.5456366376134, "YES": 275.98828124650663} | 1 | will-i-be-employed-for-at-least-a-m | 1363.5977453605947 | Will I be employed for at least a month in 2023? | 1704095940000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.0753959762309133 | True | play | YES | public | 1672349046224 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Employment must be full-time to count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Both internships and contractor positions qualify. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704098373081 | 390 | Alana | 1704098373376 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 6 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1672349047074}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680737291931... | ["economics-default", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1698686194527 | 1684953896514 | 0.96 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5340931510915935 | vWKE3ebtTub0ad7AKXi0 | {"NO": 120.85724601262936, "YES": 136.67757248533368} | 0 | are-there-any-manifold-market-users-ed3ca248eb8c | 60 | Are there any Manifold market users with 5d or above rank in Go (Baduk)? | 1674968340000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3073476094952015 | True | play | NO | public | 1672349104929 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if any manifold users with 5d or above rank in Go (Baduk) in any major online Go platform (OGS/KGS/IGS/DGS/Tygem/Foxwq/WBaduk) verifies their account to me before market closes. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675011497854 | 130 | AmmonLam | 1672843171944 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1672349105130}] | ["chess"] | 0.5 | 1672843170797 | 0.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4444700003680161 | lctS3DRKJsZu7ljRRDHt | {"NO": 92.19025755506476, "YES": 135.00000000000006} | 0 | are-there-any-manifold-market-users-ba21b8e5a7f8 | 25 | Are there any Manifold market users with 6d or above rank in Go (Baduk)? | 1674968340000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.6506307172447947 | True | play | NO | public | 1672349113163 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if any manifold users with 6d or above rank in Go (Baduk) in any major online Go platform (OGS/KGS/IGS/DGS/Tygem/Foxwq/WBaduk) verifies their account to me before market closesbefore market closes. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "par... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675179823358 | 110 | AmmonLam | 1674915241343 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | [{"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1672349113360}] | ["chess"] | 0.5 | 1674915241207 | 1673917507425 | 0.35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32602337684132204 | J06Y9ltMJjD1MU3Oj9xm | {"NO": 111.8925802389961, "YES": 245.00000000000006} | 0 | are-there-any-manifold-market-users-7e9f5465ab64 | 95 | Are there any Manifold market users with 7d or above rank in Go (Baduk)? | 1674968340000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.466432301152042 | True | play | NO | public | 1672349120758 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve to Yes if any manifold users with 7d or above rank in Go (Baduk) in any major online Go platform (OGS/KGS/IGS/DGS/Tygem/Foxwq/WBaduk) verifies their account to me before market closesbefore market closes. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "par... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1675011557006 | 150 | AmmonLam | 1674547353627 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1672349120956}] | ["chess"] | 0.5 | 1674547353467 | 0.18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8202690787575725 | CpPUjnS1DlTjJfPD78gu | {"NO": 405.8003684058845, "YES": 134.57730267249676} | 1 | ive-decided-on-a-number-between-1-a | 687.7005730746325 | I've decided on a number between 1 and 900. Market resolves YES if someone writes it in the comments. Market closes January 3rd. | 1672382823363 | FzpgR5aK88WvlbER2dKykybnDn42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.360092893516492 | True | play | YES | public | 1672349686965 | Levi Bankman Finkelstein | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "1 and 900 are included in the interval.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If some trusted person wants to receive the number for safekeeping let me know.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672382823363 | 190 | levifinkelstein | 1672406335256 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Meta-Forecasting", "slug": "metaforecasting", "userId": "FzpgR5aK88WvlbER2dKykybnDn42", "groupId": "aWVjDvevw8dDKKbURvgx", "createdTime": 1672349687332}] | ["metaforecasting"] | 0.5 | 1672377825669 | 1672406332425 | 0.97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
enIe9pyf4KFPqx7QcDQG | who-will-win-the-next-yee-vs-pepe-o | 1251.5849674099866 | Who will win the next YEE vs PEPE Olympics? | 1738358400000 | TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1672349709478 | Alex... | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AlexLiesman | 1720053161621 | 1.1 | 17 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "8a4957b49ad7", "prob": 0.6887878448941905, "text": "YEE", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 460.754468405685, "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 208.18078041024708, "textFts": "'yee':1", "contractId": "enIe9pyf4KFPqx7QcDQG", "createdTime": 1672349709478, "probChanges... | 9 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE"}] | ["destinygg", "ancient-markets"] | 0.1300260370745566 | 1715023754069 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6836356177837699 | 1ArV4EWMwg9QIZCyYYav | {"NO": 68218.62992270855, "YES": 287.58620800051807} | 1 | will-i-be-on-lex-fridmans-podcast-i | 137307.34050259565 | Will I be on Lex Fridman's podcast in 2023? | 1676057705186 | 9AkFpivhbtXhTapLVJ2UCjuziLy2 | cpmm-1 | -0.00291031121040497 | True | basic | YES | public | 1672349913217 | Aella | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Lex Fridman publishes a podcast with me as either a full or partial guest before the end of 2023, this will resolve 'yes'", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1676057705186 | 1990 | Aella | 1676166800654 | 0 | 6 | 384 | 0 | 335 | [{"name": "Lex Fridman", "slug": "lex-fridman", "userId": "ps3zKQSRuzLJVMzDQMAOlCDFRgG2", "groupId": "2iNyihPoqG4WWv4TIQkH", "createdTime": 1675168630807}, {"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLaZqnfLaLA0", "createdTime": 1675313048472}] | ["lex-fridman", "podcasts"] | 0.5 | 1676057678735 | 1676166795503 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7630588932736825 | Se62Lml2ofieM1krPT1i | {"NO": 152.573036190719, "YES": 1044.1295063306086} | 0 | will-any-serious-marketcreator-on-m | 3750.466868350331 | Will any serious market-creator on Manifold cherry-pick by the end of 2023? | 1704096000000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.0465797066116491 | True | play | NO | public | 1672350416316 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any market creator with at least 500 total traders resolves a m... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1705357866728 | 820 | IsaacKing | 1705357866975 | 0 | 7 | 57 | 0 | 3 | 13 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1672350417248}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703130644500}, {"name": "... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "barcalona"] | 0.1095225300795213 | 0.5 | 1704091970024 | 1705357862588 | 0.32 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2972820784491944 | pqRiGGhilgwCQHaweUk7 | {"NO": 113.30608226033064, "YES": 2497.3581632583464} | 0 | will-there-be-functionality-on-mani | 2301.665377832289 | Will there be functionality on Manifold to create SubGroups within Manifold Groups by end of 2023? | 1704088740000 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.183857042457384 | True | play | NO | public | 1672351003261 | Carson Gale | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I would really like this feature. See my \"", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Private Markets", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/group/private-markets", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704132167165 | 310 | CarsonGale | 1704132167563 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1672351003496}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 17031286... | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1704087905502 | 0.02 | 4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1 |
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