p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.17001900825525487
g3fcHrD85H0lZsA0xSZG
{"NO": 299.5550865840855, "YES": 628.9999999999995}
0.024
krudolph-kyle-rudolph
289
$KRUDOLPH - Kyle Rudolph
1673240340000
lrrJlgZnvGeHVujqb3csdihcLPA3
cpmm-1
0
1.872007917811639
True
play
MKT
public
1661086792826
Fantasy Football NFL Stocks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": "Kyle Rudolph Stats, News, Bio | ESPN", "src": "https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/nfl/players/full/14054.png", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the total number of PPR fantasy points scored...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673790535242
340
FFSX
1671028939895
0
https://firebasestorage.…7d2-c8961af7753a
4
0
2
5
[{"name": "🏈 FFSX (Fantasy Football Stock Exchange) 📈📉 ", "slug": "fantasy-football-stock-exchange", "userId": "lrrJlgZnvGeHVujqb3csdihcLPA3", "groupId": "SxGRqXRpV3RAQKudbcNb", "createdTime": 1661086793196}]
["fantasy-football-stock-exchange"]
0.174
1671028939704
0.024
0.34770307220905167
DydyOuB16FDFzI8o4l5w
{"NO": 335.7674181619217, "YES": 292.0181458156701}
0.36
meyers-jakobi-meyers
82.15314332892761
$MEYERS - Jakobi Meyers
1673240340000
lrrJlgZnvGeHVujqb3csdihcLPA3
cpmm-1
0
1.201218277823207
True
play
MKT
public
1661088371536
Fantasy Football NFL Stocks
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": "Jakobi Meyers Stats, News, Bio | ESPN", "src": "https://a.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=/i/headshots/nfl/players/full/3916433.png", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the total number of PPR fantasy points sco...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673790132561
320
FFSX
1671406645286
0
https://firebasestorage.…7d2-c8961af7753a
5
0
2
6
[{"name": "🏈 FFSX (Fantasy Football Stock Exchange) 📈📉 ", "slug": "fantasy-football-stock-exchange", "userId": "lrrJlgZnvGeHVujqb3csdihcLPA3", "groupId": "SxGRqXRpV3RAQKudbcNb", "createdTime": 1661088371992}]
["fantasy-football-stock-exchange"]
0.344
1671406645174
0.36
0.28512645791426033
uC9DkCP7QZqsP7qvCcKy
{"NO": 293.84328422342475, "YES": 60.37526444175821}
1
will-facebook-anounce-a-future-inte
1831.9110538142204
Will facebook anounce a future integration of Oculus with a brain machine interface before the end of 2022 ?
1668384000000
5U9bXdFwGxSmZxA8E9ty0YxK1jU2
cpmm-1
0
2.3938733988891134
True
play
YES
public
1661090608375
yomun
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolve to yes if during an event or in an official press release, facebook or one of its big subsidiaries announce working on integrating a brain machine interface to an oculus product or to another facebook owned, hardware platform ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.058490719037582, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1668824590278
260
yomun
1668478684131
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvml5NruHxe8LooEB8o58IdxFc1yAoC-vCQyyq8PW=s96-c
37
0
2
34
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "5U9bXdFwGxSmZxA8E9ty0YxK1jU2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1661090609031}, {"name": "Brain–computer interface", "slug": "braincomputer-interface", "userId": "wIuHQ2CzoGSofjPKHBouEzNMcMy2", "groupId": "QuOLd2DNx4MnaOR1aCzu", "createdT...
["technology-default", "braincomputer-interface"]
0.5
1668383973145
1668478683349
0.6599999999999995
0.15203071486054
0bJYgRjDcOoMv2acCphv
{"NO": 143.16955312434382, "YES": 4614.772299132139}
0
will-warner-brothers-shut-down-dc-c
4773.24494382968
Will Warner Brothers shut down DC Comics before 2024?
1704127253059
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
3.509639015864122
True
play
NO
public
1661092220308
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will WarnerMedia, Discovery, Warner Bros. Discovery, or other related media conglomerate shut down the publishing branch of DC comics? Sale of DC Comics to another company will resolve NO, as long as it is a clear cut of corporate ties to the Warne...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.41107264575366, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704127253059
300
Duncn
1704127253969
0
https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d
30
0
25
[{"name": "Books", "slug": "books", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "o3T3Wvaoqw90dns1Q7nU", "createdTime": 1661092220638}, {"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "HT8eUoGkBufqbNB7RayTEOV94VB2", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1661096664482}, {"name": "🎆 New Year...
["books", "culture-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1704125810824
0.01
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
0.49999999999995165
0VcvFVd0WWO3otian1bA
{"NO": 6036.805914801365, "YES": 1.6565051355191827}
1
will-i-continue-my-daily-betting-st
9436.065662054234
Will I continue my daily betting streak for more than 20 days?
1662768775046
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
5.326163519662249
True
play
YES
public
1661106820825
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.182665985284146, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662768775046
100
Predictor
1662768760549
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
21
0
20
[{"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1661106821154}]
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.5
1662768759395
1661183215742
0.9561226001776315
0.46071910328437476
cOEilIxPRDYIiZ4Dii9E
{"NO": 24523.6701892877, "YES": 80.22436442038236}
1
will-gpt4-be-multimodal
79001.05989134428
Will GPT-4 be multimodal?
1678821213369
AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2
cpmm-1
0
1.2290278110681818
True
basic
YES
public
1661121169179
Matthew Barnett
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if OpenAI's GPT-4 is trained on at least 2 distinct data modalities, such as images and text. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If GPT...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.172319468731247, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678821213369
1900
MatthewBarnett
1678820117649
0
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-217b30c305ec
3
206
0
45
[{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "userId": "AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1661121169507}, {"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1661121495743}]
["ai-safety", "ai"]
0.5
1678820117543
1678819839674
1
0.5255973131920303
AlobC877vthkEsUzxNgq
{"NO": 281.63341241063586, "YES": 505.57551577362403}
0.3816354581168892
will-gpt4-have-context-window-of-at
6144.165063686271
Will GPT-4 have context window of at least 32,768 text tokens?
1678940405662
AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2
cpmm-1
0
0.9585524179830208
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661121434161
Matthew Barnett
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if OpenAI's vanilla GPT-4 is capable of handling at least 32,768 text tokens inside of its context window (with no modifications). Otherwise, it resolves to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "par...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678940405662
480
MatthewBarnett
1678985567689
0
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-217b30c305ec
1
28
0
15
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1661121434527}]
["ai"]
0.5
1678909865432
1678985562926
0.38
0.2873000077609639
hFPYQxDvCEz3Q3BxCD2K
{"NO": 463.89211702807273, "YES": 19828.040025372884}
0
will-gpt4-be-able-to-discern-what-i
91204.28634687788
Will GPT-4 be able to discern what is visually depicted by a block of ASCII text?
1684018057758
AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2
cpmm-1
0
0.6865258354730033
True
basic
NO
public
1661123009470
Matthew Barnett
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if OpenAI's GPT-4 can discern the words visually depicted by the following block of ASCII text: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "codeBlock", "attrs": {"language": null}, "content": [{"text": " ___ _ _ ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 17.17623805142096, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1684018057758
1600
MatthewBarnett
1683724741469
0
https://firebasestorage.…1fb-217b30c305ec
1
94
0
52
[{"name": "AI", "slug": "ai", "userId": "AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1661123009812}, {"name": "GPT-4 speculation", "slug": "gpt4-speculation", "userId": "NyPB2flsw6P3H4ScNKjzyilepXH2", "groupId": "SWiC5KtQnc48oWmaoAZA", "createdTime": 1669386975409}, {"name": "Please...
["ai", "gpt4-speculation", "please-resolve"]
0.5
1683724741135
1683417812067
0.01
vexy2GkofyyyjqiO8n0f
what-percentage-of-seats-will-each
283
What percentage of seats will each party get in the next New Zealand general election? (OLD MECHANISM)
1687481526922
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.737672692254545
True
play
MKT
public
1661136349027
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the exact amount of seats each party gets.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-10-14 7:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1699485466429
740
NcyRocks
1687481780924
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
7
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "f02da74c2060", "prob": 0.06817143753110322, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.79121015034272, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 24.483872424019605, "textFts": "", "contractId": "vexy2GkofyyyjqiO8n0f", "createdTime": 1661136349353, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, ...
28
https://firebasestorage.…cc2-9326102c13e3
4
[{"name": "2023 New Zealand General Election", "slug": "2023-new-zealand-general-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "Gtg8CGujjS7oiZ0jlTet", "createdTime": 1674354032354}, {"name": "NZ Politics", "slug": "nz-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "EyeJAs2GE9EbxYqaotG...
["nz-politics", "2023-new-zealand-general-election", "new-zealand", "ancient-markets"]
0.0967502062515948
1686528830122
1687481779140
{"138f428cf541": 6.557377049180328, "94eb538e8eff": 12.295081967213115, "adc706da589d": 39.34426229508197, "bbe91f823d4c": 4.918032786885246, "ee1cd7093965": 9.01639344262295, "fe6b03470318": 27.868852459016395}
True
lbCeGHx3jvyZL5StXm5D
in-what-quarter-will-protodankshard
2190.954934680107
In what quarter will Proto-Danksharding (EIP-4844) go live on the Ethereum mainnet?
1710446929562
uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.645787512562338
True
play
2acb403ac8e2
public
1661137013676
Bolton Bailey
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.eip4844.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.eip4844.com/", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-words hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-4...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1710446929562
840
BoltonBailey
1710446930332
0
https://firebasestorage.…636-412c606f9103
2
8
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "b893802c19bc", "prob": 0.0031470475422557763, "text": "Q4 2022", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.02121879182623935, "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 6.721225210475009, "textFts": "'2022':2 'q4':1", "contractId": "lbCeGHx3jvyZL5StXm5D", "resolverId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2",...
4
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1661137014118}, {"name": "Ethereum Roadmap", "slug": "ethereum-roadmap", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "oeFLmQWwvkqQWflEoTev", "createdTime": 16656...
["crypto-speculation", "ethereum-roadmap", "blockchain-technology"]
1707403269387
1690804850097
{"2acb403ac8e2": 100}
uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2
True
0.49999999999999994
PIrHJhDykClbf5zc67xU
{"NO": 113.55255259011051, "YES": 88.06495117812894}
0.5632078091822814
what-of-twitter-respondents-will-th
156.4219141710298
What % of Twitter respondents will think we should build polls into Manifold?
1661756340000
igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2
cpmm-1
0
2.2220894052883535
True
play
MKT
public
1661137424966
Austin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aka what % of people will choose \"Yeah ofc\" in this twitter poll:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1561549018580131841"}}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.943342676189692, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662010998834
100
Austin
1661747847787
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c
13
0
1
17
0.5
1661747846351
1661292983766
0.5632078091822814
0.30831154295197016
xpuIh8Unz5DOKw1PIxNE
{"NO": 22.625458694627014, "YES": 12209.470746293262}
0
ka-firsttime-parents-in-2024
13529.257780660595
K&A first-time parents in 2024?
1697568717234
Gyd3QdwSQOe0jMGxT2SnXisJv202
cpmm-1
0
3.6760479849350958
True
play
NO
public
1661144004188
kenakofer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as yes if, as a couple, K&A become parents for the first time in 2024.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2024-12-28 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.7186728993725415, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1697568717234
200
kenakofer
1697568704526
0
https://firebasestorage.…a26-57cb69f455a1
12
0
8
[{"name": "K&A friends/family", "slug": "ka-friendsfamily", "userId": "Gyd3QdwSQOe0jMGxT2SnXisJv202", "groupId": "6dxqq1kRRxpe8bUYpEqk", "createdTime": 1661144004642}]
["ka-friendsfamily"]
0.5
1697568704256
1697563344859
0
agbwXy4uf0aafbxfMpcP
who-killed-alexander-dugins-daughte
1514.101363015095
Who killed Alexander Dugin's daughter?
1704059940000
XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.67186375763554
True
play
cd80afd42405
public
1661145361154
Keepcalmandchill
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any group or individual within the nominal nationality will count. N/A if no evidence produced by deadline.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1704097780790
580
Keepcalmandchill
1704097781053
0
https://firebasestorage.…2ae-240f92e251de
14
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "818144d05918", "prob": 0.20467336761932564, "text": "Russians", "index": 0, "poolNo": 42.916042894463665, "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 166.7645979903031, "textFts": "'russian':1", "contractId": "agbwXy4uf0aafbxfMpcP", "resolverId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "crea...
1
11
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1661145361588}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1661193205781}, {"name": "U...
["world-default", "politics-default", "ukraine", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
1703482310685
1703594682100
{"cd80afd42405": 100}
XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2
True
0.5000000000000001
6lOONpDlGDy7f12gyR6d
{"NO": 11.251534268944283, "YES": 888.7676792312039}
0
planecrash-will-the-story-resume-by-1d8822080229
955.1746737177011
[planecrash] Will the story resume by Aug 24?
1661427552541
NOwmwNXwwEPeMSyRv7Jby3Ry2Qs1
cpmm-1
0
4.795825478928292
True
play
NO
public
1661146332282
Benjamin Cosman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on the new date given in ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://glowfic.com/replies/1843665#reply-1843665", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://glowfic.com/replies/1843665#reply-1843665", "class": "no-underlin...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.987449543932732, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661427552541
100
BenjaminCosman
1661430071258
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpw00X8vUChExgzazukv9rP3dnjhsvxGTntPujSNQ=s96-c
11
0
11
[{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "NOwmwNXwwEPeMSyRv7Jby3Ry2Qs1", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1661146332689}]
["glowfic"]
0.5
1661420299960
1661430072714
0.012501437858406825
N7usFJfp6PLPkzyjVBdV
digit-lottery-3-pick-your-favorite
704.2986048602384
Digit Lottery #3: Pick your favorite digit!
1661831940000
k8kjLwYoDmYd6rUZSJgWWmVbOCo2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.684670094301588
True
basic
01fca7c2ad0d
public
1661147140506
Olivia's Market Manager Bot
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is at least partially automated. It uses rules to determine whether it should be resolved and what to, then sends it on to a human operator to verify. It uses the following rules:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661887576361
2639.9999999999995
MarketManagerBot
1710462495380
0
https://firebasestorage.…e63-5d4efa13362e
22
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "13fb460f33ee", "prob": 0.09736489055086935, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.512130392739003, "userId": "k8kjLwYoDmYd6rUZSJgWWmVbOCo2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 153.07806068452675, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "N7usFJfp6PLPkzyjVBdV", "createdTime": 1661147140506, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
1
22
[{"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz"}, {"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c"}, {"name": "Marshall's group for testing", "slug": "marshalls-group-for-te...
["olivia", "gambling", "short-fuse", "marshalls-group-for-testing"]
False
1661827553013
{"01fca7c2ad0d": 100}
True
RyGK2p4u40qbTlcfUjel
what-changes-will-manifold-make-to
2604.512730232037
What changes will Manifold make to its new Loans feature?
1666414740000
5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.637294499525416
True
play
MKT
public
1661148943177
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We've just launched a cool new feature called loans that give you back 5% of your bet amounts each Monday. An awesome consequence of loans is they increase the incentive to bet in long term markets.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"typ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.7642583150184283, "platformFee": 0.4410645787546071, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666457686077
2060
JamesGrugett
1666459540186
0
https://firebasestorage.…e65-9d8b4836eb03
38
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "bb9dba5cbf02", "prob": 0.002011824099389351, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.005058367033234663, "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 2.5092603722492046, "textFts": "", "contractId": "RyGK2p4u40qbTlcfUjel", "createdTime": 1661148943592, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week"...
1
38
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1661148943518}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
1666411251661
1666459538155
{"15c8cc243806": 35, "76ebfb992a59": 55, "e7064b0f60f7": 10}
True
0.12995474195280016
2hQEoPSv7SHhodLRp5Ff
{"NO": 118.98058660220047, "YES": 50.59225677942429}
0.2599560160520202
when-will-it-be-admitted-1984-was-a
50.183913597905544
When will it be admitted 1984 was a utopian novel?
1672549140000
KsLPvmOdRQasgOu2FQXdsSWh7ln2
cpmm-1
0
5.947818670009033
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661160866733
Enopoletus Harding
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It was based on a number of societies, mostly the USSR and Japan as well as some minor ones (Romania and Thailand most notably). The details in this novel match up way too much with the Starship Troopers movie to be coincidental. Orwell almost cert...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1701400882429
120
EnopoletusHarding
1701400905725
0
https://firebasestorage.…5ad-95807cd293b0
3
0
67
2
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "KsLPvmOdRQasgOu2FQXdsSWh7ln2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1661160867121}]
["politics-default"]
0.037037037037037035
1670595639332
1701400905127
0.5000000000000001
SVUAarFyIDnhmOiO4WF0
{"NO": 8.705879606271196, "YES": 1148.6490110426666}
0
will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-590d01dce24b
1239.8598787649134
Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) stock price close over $10 on August 22, 2022?
1661194800000
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
5.185709641330525
True
play
NO
public
1661174759202
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.360394724424334, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661198488708
100
Predictor
1661194706118
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
8
0
1
[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1661174759576}]
["wall-street-bets"]
0.5
1661194704911
0.007522221296692966
0.6951484498374079
chfhqYKmNiXmbrxzfOp2
{"NO": 798.0930929593775, "YES": 418.95880283954904}
0.84
what-audience-score-will-house-of-t
435.3723273040566
What audience score will House of the Dragon (new HBO Game of Thrones Series) have on Rotten Tomatoes a day after the season finale?
1666670340000
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
0.8123703832157358
True
play
MKT
public
1661176051119
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.rottentomatoes.com/tv/house_of_the_dragon", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.rottentomatoes.com/tv/house_of_the_dragon", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-words hover:underline h...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.137638132571832, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666705409385
520
egroj
1665764991444
0
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
10
0
1
9
[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1661176051580}, {"name": "Media Rating Futures", "slug": "media-rating-futures", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "JJuCBcjCZIv8AOPz4O8c", "c...
["entertainment", "media-rating-futures", "house-of-the-dragon", "tv"]
0.5
1665764991342
1661178616874
False
0.84
0.2901312400479121
J1KqphDsthL3IxjtZBil
{"NO": 64.1884811104636, "YES": 732.4343650206115}
0
will-tom-brady-retire-before-the-en
2504.234098586542
Will Tom Brady retire before the end of this NFL season?
1672549140000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
3.4174133751081985
True
play
NO
public
1661176136833
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Tom Brady retires from the NFL mid season. Resolves NO if Brady finishes the season without retiring. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.584503554588188, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672566532068
160
BTE
1672580301987
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
18
0
1
13
[]
[]
0.5
1672541860993
1672580298994
0.03
0.7001326743577349
uWDhvR4RjLSXTIWzkwSY
{"NO": 905.4716071889601, "YES": 1024.115010807854}
0.6736634689511168
will-costa-rica-legalize-recreation
444.0205435933495
Will Costa Rica legalize recreational marijuana by 2026?
1778255940000
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
9.566751064898376
False
basic
public
1661177783970
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The president announced that a bill will be sent to the congress (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://ticotimes.net/2022/08/18/costa-rica-announces-bill-to-allow-recreational-marijuana", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.333201968601021, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
egroj
1716406691041
0
https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
15
0
11
[{"name": "Costa Rica", "slug": "costa-rica", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "q78SkrHCcEe47gwGIXc2", "createdTime": 1661177784446}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1661177834145}, {"name": ...
["costa-rica", "politics-default", "ancient-markets"]
0.5
1716406687565
0.5000000000000001
5Vyvk8Op73V3ffNOlX9o
{"NO": 148.46153846153845, "YES": 67.35751295336789}
1
will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and-c3b7fe007c61
50
Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings 6 of 7 times AND achieve my Emile bedtime goal this week?
1661736369331
7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1
cpmm-1
0
2.85016001416969
True
play
YES
public
1661182416835
Charlie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bedtime goal via (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "emile.chat", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://emile.chat", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-words hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hove...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.5384615384615385, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661736369331
100
Charlie
1661182431306
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c
1
0
1
[{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1661182417210}, {"name": "Charlie's Weekly Health Goals", "slug": "charlies-weekly-health-goals", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "4qCARQhQzQegY8g6D7sm",...
["personal-goals", "charlies-weekly-health-goals"]
0.5
1661182429824
0.6878982067997562
0.296011793379912
vqQNKucK6zW5oTcOYG1g
{"NO": 801.2132861829327, "YES": 1237.0627419838634}
0.21404214883609624
if-donald-trump-is-charged-with-a-f
7233.2123149270665
If Donald Trump is charged with a federal crime, will he make a deal?
1767243540000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
6.156383674493296e-16
9.724198424621623
False
basic
public
1661182429721
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Donald Trump is charged with a FEDERAL crime and strikes a plea deal with prosecutors to avoid going to trial. Resolves NO if he is charged and he fights the case all the way until a verdict is read. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "...
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -0.009842987071446319, "month": -0.009842987071446319}
0
{"creatorFee": 11.938717454073071, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
BTE
1719668178011
0.3
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
1
40
1
https://firebasestorage.…516-46d33d7439fe
14
[{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1661182430207}, {"name": "Donald Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1691181892115}, {"name": "Trial of the Century", "slug": "trial-of-the...
["magaland", "donald-trump", "trial-of-the-century", "law-order"]
0.1170332316576889
0.5
1719668174790
1710965591275
False
0.480479891692239
O3iPFVj9pmMTG7Av3hEN
{"NO": 124.19985188566618, "YES": 158.62536565774755}
0.41999999999999976
how-many-grand-children-will-i-have
113.5858085808256
How many grandchildren will I have by 2072?
3239236740000
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1661188935551
Martin Randall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 22, 1:22pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "How many grand children will I have by 2072?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → How many grandchildren will I have by 2072?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8023606605640943, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
MartinRandall
1691019795423
0
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
8
0
5
[{"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime": 1680736914308}]
["ancient-markets"]
0.5
1691019795287
0.2857142857142856
ch4ivV8sqlryz6EveEMG
{"NO": 137.0363516729261, "YES": 45.48943370314997}
0.5714285714285714
taco-tuesday-823-how-many-people-wi
79.3178033154683
Taco Tuesday 8/23: How many people will come?
1661324340000
igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2
cpmm-1
0
3.5455582292449854
True
play
MKT
public
1661191141947
Austin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Join me for Taco Tuesday! We'll start cooking at 6:30pm, eating at 7pm. Drinks, desserts, and especially new friends are always welcome~", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Address: 525 Guerrero S...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.6458450116059087, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661379918922
100
Austin
1661302783468
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c
3
0
1
3
[{"name": "SF Events", "slug": "sf-events", "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "groupId": "qSQNlQOaDWJhZJESqY12", "createdTime": 1661191142294}]
["sf-events"]
0.2857142857142857
1661302783280
0.5714285714285714
0.5000000000000019
SU4zaPufdXtQatWlOf5D
{"NO": 518.1864678241634, "YES": 19.298072452546517}
1
will-i-receive-an-a-on-my-ap-chemis
2777.5898459383106
Will I receive an A on my AP Chemistry test this Thursday?
1661555708459
oWghDBjDGJYdvagS4rrUp9hFamJ2
cpmm-1
0
3.99614987933905
True
play
YES
public
1661191651078
El
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-08-27 8:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.516983633901797, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661555708459
100
el
1661543077612
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpERrEkNjtUR8M8gmQFmyssuwvMjzezFUlvyBVs=s96-c
15
0
18
[{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "oWghDBjDGJYdvagS4rrUp9hFamJ2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1661191651555}]
["science-default"]
0.5
1661543076348
1661197786681
0.9640955766976828
0.09869501925129034
fA05sQcUkIesv50arBkk
{"NO": 931.5066748760584, "YES": 1213.0166874688573}
0.07756708193749076
did-the-simpsons-correctly-predict
694.6115175704563
Did the Simpsons correctly predict "A Gay President in 2084"?
3624350400000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.235303496120226
False
basic
public
1661198817990
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"We're realistic.\"", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if 2084 is the first year in which an openly gay US President is elected.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.0010884970545450845, "month": 0.0010884970545450984}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.460609414116488, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1719776958363
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
15
1
https://firebasestorage.…278-2f3c4c3bacc9
11
0.5
1719776955203
1665725343918
0.6871999777406687
Genvd0Qm3TPBjZYCH8pX
{"NO": 678.7336744025769, "YES": 134.48087235794793}
1
will-kerbal-space-program-2-release
1969.8502388478487
Will Kerbal Space Program 2 release before May 2023?
1677260679080
LzQUVZerpReHO6SCGUpgAQ8n8dy2
cpmm-1
0
1.9773405823217285
True
play
YES
public
1661199218576
wavedash
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.kerbalspaceprogram.com/games-kerbal-space-program-2", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.kerbalspaceprogram.com/games-kerbal-space-program-2", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-any...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.487609397117457, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1677260679080
260
wavedash
1676969721022
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghf7mTa4XpdokLtErsRR8uggmTryAopnOGTpV3VoQ=s96-c
16
0
14
[{"name": "Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "userId": "LzQUVZerpReHO6SCGUpgAQ8n8dy2", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1661199218988}]
["gaming"]
0.5
1676969720896
1666370905925
0.92
0.17441581116068344
eFYYXwHyWOr6h1FzkF09
{"NO": 937.4572453120792, "YES": 1157.8768642494294}
0.1460627684442803
will-faithless-electors-change-a-us
259.6704905234717
Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?
4133937600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.800696307154848
False
basic
public
1661202420167
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Includes causing a contingent election in the House even if the ultimate outcome doesn't change.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.5859479002119894, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1684165004098
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
13
0
https://firebasestorage.…4d4-6b24ef41c324
8
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1661211180962}]
["us-politics"]
0.5
1684165003955
1679080861235
0.6906738390445286
oyPzvLJhPLwKbfBrmPUL
{"NO": 107271.08160793339, "YES": 119.98524138265233}
1
will-manchester-city-win-the-premie
181665.72603408954
Will Manchester City win the Premier League?
1684948406625
MT2hA5HKIQhjQR3hC5QZpHnBq1K2
cpmm-1
0
-0.34599532896050533
True
basic
YES
public
1661204913205
Jonathan Nankivell
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-05-31 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.355303004079996, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1684948406625
1480
JonathanNankivell
1684948405606
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjz-JXHrxvcebJb3PSu0A-p_DS0XZ5_sO6XcAVy=s96-c
1
84
0
34
[{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "MT2hA5HKIQhjQR3hC5QZpHnBq1K2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1661204913643}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1672760769443}, {"na...
["sports-default", "premiere-league", "soccer"]
0.5
1684945063492
1684948402060
False
1
0.3727632373003724
jhQKYCa2f0oCh1hodfR3
{"NO": 887.3660456103504, "YES": 1178.6664560128604}
0.3091145753964141
will-new-zealand-become-a-republic
419.09614297221447
Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?
4102401600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.677992321185886
False
basic
public
1661206016331
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc"}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.03023607111046628, "month": -0.03023607111046689}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.6127824664763053, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1719645661480
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
1
12
1
https://firebasestorage.…1dd-6d2f7aad128e
7
[{"name": "NZ Politics", "slug": "nz-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "EyeJAs2GE9EbxYqaotGL", "createdTime": 1661211206751}, {"name": "New Zealand", "slug": "new-zealand", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "oq3FCoTOqPkZUdzxEUuM", "createdTime": 1674951533856}, {"name": ...
["nz-politics", "new-zealand", "ancient-markets"]
0.5
1719645658397
1674269862527
0.5238637194639701
YVerMtAXWhEO0PwcQWOQ
{"NO": 45.310615969565106, "YES": 844.6973595529945}
0
will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-1709290a409f
710.7397980898834
Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) stock price close over $10 on August 23, 2022?
1661281200000
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
2.459482891632884
True
play
NO
public
1661206363505
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 12.765238081846656, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661284865570
210
Predictor
1661277013847
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
14
0
1
[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1661206363908}]
["wall-street-bets"]
0.5
1661277012627
0.05572915492354242
0.616149000325516
c5R92yCWt1eKunnN93Fa
{"NO": 197.21843705168294, "YES": 216.43841217967}
0.65
will-the-uk-have-more-than-20000-pe
1986.6663095527003
Will the UK have more than 20,000 person-days of blackouts before April 2023?
1680303540000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
1.6551809887451114
True
play
MKT
public
1661209128476
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To the best of my estimation, will there have been 20,000 or more person-days of blackouts before April. ie 480,000 person hours? ie number of people affected * hours affected > 480,000", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragrap...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.4136879211843167, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1683329927138
220
NathanpmYoung
1681067554614
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
24
0
8
18
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1661209128895}]
["uk-politics"]
0.5
1680279178075
1681067552408
0.65
0.13673509377301069
BMg5bIdTFmRT3Uhwt4XL
{"NO": 931.5559961697858, "YES": 1180.7600271990252}
0.11108228190108048
will-the-us-supreme-court-overturn-8e02b05d2937
826.016655643986
Will the US Supreme Court overturn gay marriage [Obergefell v. Hodges] before 2030?
1893542340000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
9.887376708215758
False
basic
public
1661209613378
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.7028256466602145, "platformFee": 0.5015676149366314, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NathanpmYoung
1719347204616
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
1
23
1
13
[{"name": "LGBTQIA+", "slug": "lgbtqia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "cLtLfm3NSrhXU6lV6Cuy", "createdTime": 1663660333164}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1661209613760}, {"name": "SCOTUS...
["us-politics", "lgbtqia", "scotus"]
0.5
1719347201502
1661232448674
0.32627666450198545
W9EWbirm3e31UKuHjB2F
{"NO": 936.2112136481398, "YES": 1100.8918782779624}
0.29170685420549736
if-scotland-leaves-the-uk-will-they
1581.9872969820055
If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join the EU within 2 years?
4102401600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.604908100102548
False
basic
public
1661209618513
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will stay open until it resolves YES or NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.04573368071353889}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.646865866998575, "platformFee": 0.3381713767106387, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1718566912518
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
2
33
0
https://firebasestorage.…ca6-3284dfd08975
13
[{"name": "Scottish independence", "slug": "scottish-independence", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "vXvYOfofXo827pYk2I6A", "createdTime": 1661211173494}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 16612...
["scottish-independence", "uk-politics", "scotland", "eu-accession"]
0.5
1718566909421
1715226455438
0.41008525361163717
6ho9FiTaasTsKlgiW5Wr
{"NO": 122.98228899015422, "YES": 218.68180108059684}
0.28106392476185904
did-the-simpsons-sorta-correctly-pr
572.1054030181908
Did the Simpsons sorta correctly predict "A Gay President in 2084"?
3624350400000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1661213217689
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if a gay president is elected in 2084.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.590868631314821, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
NcyRocks
1682957776061
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
9
0
https://firebasestorage.…959-059d124cb8ba
8
0.5
1682957775908
1675283056448
0.182869472439701
6bAKFG9cy5L4PGivszjA
{"NO": 950.1208873768995, "YES": 1074.5854178023808}
0.16518732912179293
will-men-be-wearing-tights-or-leggi
630.0606059770134
Will men be wearing tights or leggings (with or with out a cod piece) by 2030.
1893556740000
kGsyRrJ3rgYG9ud4g955Pa9LXMJ2
cpmm-1
0
9.765321067024253
False
basic
public
1661216340486
Dan Sparkman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 22, 9:59 → Will men be wearing tights or leggings (with or with out a cod piece) by 2030.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves yes if it is common to see men wearing legg...
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 0.005604561320278922, "month": 0.005604561320278839}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.511359712794835, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
DanSparkman
1719776928840
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwsVdgEz5wh4BhS7jLewnQIQYu5N9DOJDlDJsIQ=s96-c
18
1
13
[]
[]
0.5
1719776925710
1702232451848
zNmkcoKKs5gsimTU5n66
what-are-the-best-markets-for-me-to
17
What are the best markets for me to create?
1661842740000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.969665534522167
True
play
4a160d7c20a9
public
1661217113710
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I need market ideas! This market resolves to all of the answers that are a question I find interesting enough to want to create a market on.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Look at my market ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661937860646
320
IsaacKing
1661726332766
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
4
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "e4ef9c0d170f", "prob": 0.7305135510263715, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 47.32725628362695, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 17.45902484302998, "textFts": "", "contractId": "zNmkcoKKs5gsimTU5n66", "createdTime": 1661217113988, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...
1
3
1661726331453
1661725979788
{"4a160d7c20a9": 100}
True
0.49999999999999994
nvLNXMitzgpxrOgFyrBA
{"NO": 149.64165395673749, "YES": 66.82631296558033}
1
will-i-feel-discouraged-from-bettin
305.69144454639513
Will I feel discouraged from betting on a market once my LTV is 50%?
1664845014803
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
cpmm-1
0
1.4242475307383993
True
play
YES
public
1661217836444
Martin Randall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will I feel discouraged from betting on a market once my Loan-to-Value on that market is 50%?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves yes if I subjectively feel discouraged. Also resolves yes if I would h...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.601294805347406, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1665008293391
100
MartinRandall
1664846470731
0
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
11
0
1
12
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1664843646463}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.5
1664784324577
1664846468022
0.6912877507203558
vtDYmJGhWAQIpqbWHxwc
what-is-the-largest-number
257.861401350542
What is the largest number?
1666421940000
y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1661218083699
Isaac King
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the answer that describes the largest number.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold automatically limits answers to 240 characters, so your definition must fit in th...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.09931880867283666, "platformFee": 0.024829702168209164, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
860.0000000000002
IsaacKing
1719769339537
0
https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc
0
13
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "dee8ada28b48", "prob": 0.16240947015645843, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.90393090475566, "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 25.2909271908432, "textFts": "", "contractId": "vtDYmJGhWAQIpqbWHxwc", "createdTime": 1661218083928, "probChanges": {"day": -0.8375905298435...
7
15
1666059648989
1719769337903
True
True
0.4991281558333988
YHYQ6oN4w8EsZRsDX4Jt
{"NO": 901.9263076842061, "YES": 1092.9318761246004}
0.4512618200003185
if-pnp-is-proven-will-the-first-pro
405.38096766293427
If P=NP is proven, will the first proof be constructive?
32503636800000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.59861962997628
False
basic
public
1661224022124
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if P is proven to equal NP with the construction of a polynomial-time algorithm for an NP-complete problem, NO if P=NP is proven some other way, N/A if P is proven to not equal NP or the problem is proven unsolvable somehow.", "type": ...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.018580088861169464}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.4490173303671825, "platformFee": 0.18133662631112968, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1718556226688
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
1
21
0
https://firebasestorage.…488-054e2ccb66fc
7
[{"name": "Millenium Prize Problems", "slug": "millenium-prize-problems", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "wS8Ust85K2AYijmPEJDY", "createdTime": 1663039672904}, {"name": "Mathematics", "slug": "mathematics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime":...
["mathematics", "millenium-prize-problems", "computational-complexity-theory"]
0.5
1718556223635
1692003951400
7AMclCxCQHd1hGBeUMnE
who-will-next-be-elected-prime-mini
5739.408023598435
Who will next be elected Prime Minister of New Zealand?
1697263200000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.655445570326053
True
play
c5963dea8d16
public
1661227617081
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2023-10-14 7:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1700951965165
920
NcyRocks
1697227992291
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
1
25
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "435008007926", "prob": 0.0067785871548308296, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.05039973453475154, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 7.384738795598871, "textFts": "", "contractId": "7AMclCxCQHd1hGBeUMnE", "createdTime": 1661227617351, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
9
https://firebasestorage.…717-24e0b27d899a
11
[{"name": "2023 New Zealand General Election", "slug": "2023-new-zealand-general-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "Gtg8CGujjS7oiZ0jlTet", "createdTime": 1674354032354}, {"name": "NZ Politics", "slug": "nz-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "EyeJAs2GE9EbxYqaotG...
["nz-politics", "2023-new-zealand-general-election", "new-zealand"]
1697227991588
1674098425584
{"c5963dea8d16": 100}
True
0.5000000000000523
eSOioUVcIqzPti8bHIDA
{"NO": 10186.740601192021, "YES": 0.9816682677501376}
1
will-the-us-announce-forgiveness-of
11134.511650444902
Will the US announce forgiveness of at least $5k of student debt for a broad group of borrowers (e.g. income limit) by end of August?
1661398658384
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
cpmm-1
0
5.2933048247245
True
play
YES
public
1661230084667
Jack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by August 31, the US has announced forgiveness of at least $5k of student debt for a broad group of borrowers (e.g. all borrowers earning less than $50k per year in income) by end of August. Otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.026711930582502, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661398658384
100
jack
1661398623268
0
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
14
0
14
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1661230136081}, {"name": "US Student loans", "slug": "us-student-loans", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "lq3LEJta9kjIawjll1Jl", "createdTime": 1661459443233}]
["us-politics", "us-student-loans"]
0.5
1661398621967
1661398603640
0.9367190058265373
0.5000000000000929
EHXKvhSC1NguXY7yTpb7
{"NO": 10483.027753333152, "YES": 0.9539228775593074}
1
will-the-us-student-debt-pause-be-e
10592.137256889398
Will the US student debt pause be extended past August 31?
1661398404990
YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23
cpmm-1
0
4.630010607314225
True
play
YES
public
1661230293789
Jack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by August 31, the US has announced the extension of the student debt payment pause past August 31. Otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Student loan repayments are cur...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.656992378574267, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661398404990
100
jack
1661398375230
0
https://firebasestorage.…606-5fc6e2c6b096
9
0
8
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1661230294105}]
["us-politics"]
0.5
1661398371961
1661398360607
0.9713266833086749
0.7026577528788402
sMXJze2UuPcuzpermoM3
{"NO": 2053.207794354367, "YES": 192.22142750290283}
1
will-substack-support-public-use-of
1886.1406207658642
Will Substack support public use of Manifold embeds by the end of August?
1661628291205
IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2
cpmm-1
0
1.4763719912124214
True
play
YES
public
1661231482601
Manifold
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Substack has added support for embeds for Manifold! ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "They are currently only usable by our Manifold Substack, you can check them out in our ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "latest newsletter", "type"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.663733332080046, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661628291205
400
Manifold
1661627561349
0
https://firebasestorage.…49e-82621e62e5e4
19
0
16
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1661231482972}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.5
1661627559996
1661627401202
0.9618926898333694
0.4436258459883949
DI4mrm5TI5GcAUpE4QiG
{"NO": 601.2077316007018, "YES": 14.825999157336671}
1
will-the-manifold-api-have-document-0dbd73703dd4
2154.0664163415126
Will the Manifold API have documentation to resolve a Pseudonumeric Market by end of September?
1664596740000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
3.617490536249519
True
play
YES
public
1661233025775
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is at least partially automated. It uses rules to determine whether it should be resolved and what to, then sends it on to a human operator to verify. It uses the following rules:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9815482410011425, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1664601560819
120
LivInTheLookingGlass
1664593803295
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
8
0
1
7
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1661233026127}, {"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 16...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "olivia"]
0.5
1664593803195
1664565248871
0.4999999999999997
44gDXPUAfjmfpXQT484A
{"NO": 504.83366226092676, "YES": 19.808504756228857}
1
will-cloudflare-intentionally-suspe
823.5350386157472
Will Cloudflare intentionally suspend service to KiwiFarms at any point in 2022?
1662247524227
9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2
cpmm-1
0
3.961015568578894
True
play
YES
public
1661234304583
arae
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 22, 10:58pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will Cloudflare intentionally suspend service to KiwiFarms at any point in 2022", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will Cloudflare intentionally suspe...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.6778811944724845, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662247524227
100
a
1662246074167
0
https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650
14
0
13
[{"name": "Internet", "slug": "internet", "userId": "9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1661234304957}]
["internet"]
0.5
1662246072402
1662245487785
0.9505013549812632
0.43458399696224287
dyhjuXnBubOo17comz2U
{"NO": 97.4674400031065, "YES": 213.2164000823627}
1
will-germanys-energy-price-exceed-0
193.86443031731778
Will Germany's energy price exceed 0.42 U.S. dollars per kwh by November 10th?
1668153540000
qXIcCTXEmVexlgISYv0VC0O2hPs2
cpmm-1
0
2.304853070425314
True
play
YES
public
1661240911473
Samuel Tillian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"YES\" if the google search of: \"How much does 1 kWh cost in Germany?\" says so on November 10th, 2022 (23;59)", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.8641534990176196, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1668162967111
140
SamuelTillian
1667246473803
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrsejVCm6jGvgtU8CHZFSyZRQqq3VN-wBsv63ccAA=s96-c
9
0
1
7
0.5
1667246473682
1666672697438
0.26000131060041787
0.3974523046033158
mEjXi6nM12NktNSvSkOA
{"NO": 104.13710013948901, "YES": 147.72257103867233}
0.3103448275862069
what-will-uk-cpi-yoy-inflation-be-i
70
What will UK CPI YoY inflation be in January 2023?
1673913540000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
2.5514744063075048
True
play
MKT
public
1661242441161
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5294592804741431, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678666034135
120
NathanpmYoung
1671276462218
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
3
0
12
4
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1661242441652}]
["uk-politics"]
0.41379310344827586
1671276462048
0.3103448275862069
bKh93QRM3C5ZweF4HUtR
whats-your-favourite-movie
138
What's your favourite movie?
1661896740000
iBtCo24GprQfGefHlgUflkshGTj1
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.805446292461018
True
play
MKT
public
1661246181758
Mr Stone
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves probabilistically.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661926555110
740.0000000000002
stone
1661893814099
0
https://firebasestorage.…31e-546942b030c7
11
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "5a8eabebc957", "prob": 0.176541204717181, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.6052035695825735, "userId": "iBtCo24GprQfGefHlgUflkshGTj1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 26.14491152996095, "textFts": "", "contractId": "bKh93QRM3C5ZweF4HUtR", "createdTime": 1661246182352, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...
1
9
[{"name": "Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "userId": "iBtCo24GprQfGefHlgUflkshGTj1", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1661246182092}, {"name": "Recommendations", "slug": "recommendations", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "IU4YOTQH1dK1S5gcRO1V", "createdTime": 1661605539391}]
["culture-default", "recommendations"]
1661893813986
1661443352779
{"0aa0089809e5": 6.502444044250063, "3dd201facfc6": 9.879084126575764, "460872d815c7": 5.3768973501414985, "47319e8acff2": 4.952405454077695, "4bf79c862d83": 5.17537089443444, "4fd0c7d4525e": 5.063888174256069, "55b41cca82c5": 6.386673527141754, "5cff90b1b193": 4.7165766229311386, "76fd14c3ea26": 29.770174084555357, "8...
True
0.5000000000000007
MS4ftFaucJUXnJE9DfIo
{"NO": 9.570636347628266, "YES": 1044.8626023156858}
0
will-the-google-pixel-7-launch-pric
1636.3106139871227
Will the Google Pixel 7 launch price increase compared to the Pixel 6 in the US?
1665167151060
ZdGhVVOdZqX819u7TF4k046W2e92
cpmm-1
0
4.955773154821547
True
play
NO
public
1661248681752
Gunne
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As already announced earlier this year. the Google Pixel 7 will be launched and released this year, most likely in October.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Its predeccessor Pixel 6 launched at $599 in US markets.", "type": "text...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.384924410233175, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1665167151060
100
Gunneone
1665149661091
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjcE6LJtZHT6ux-SyRkITOlJbypw9tv1Nf0p5SBTQ=s96-c
17
0
14
[{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "ZdGhVVOdZqX819u7TF4k046W2e92", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1661248682517}]
["technology-default"]
0.5
1665082845945
1665149658071
0.00907656928546829
0.5000000000000001
9PVXRSG9QoR2AksVHFwn
{"NO": 119.18032786885246, "YES": 83.90646492434664}
0.5868443054798369
will-the-supreme-court-decide-in-fa
20
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of Rolls-Royce in their current case (against Servotronics)?
1661270627277
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
cpmm-1
0
2.7879634390060213
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661265779627
Andrew Hartman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-794", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-794", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-words hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 hov...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661270627277
100
AndrewHartman
1661270619595
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
1
0
[{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1661265780423}]
["law-order"]
0.5
1661268688214
1661270613778
0.586844305479837
0.5
CH0XzfTq9X0P7wbik4Uq
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-the-supreme-court-decide-in-fa-dfce1cdfa9a4
0
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of the petitioner in AMA vs. Cochran?
1661270678218
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
cpmm-1
0
2.7725887222397816
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661269172173
Andrew Hartman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question at issue (from Oyez ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-429", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-429", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661270678218
100
AndrewHartman
1667852405371
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
0
0
1
[{"name": "US Judiciary ", "slug": "us-judiciary", "userId": "mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1", "groupId": "fn3K66FEEdix860EzTJU", "createdTime": 1661269172568}]
["us-judiciary"]
0.5
1667852398744
0.5
0.5
Lh4KcQGiiDnSz7w63AfP
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-the-supreme-court-decide-in-fa-09fb1827ac11
0
Will the Supreme Court decide in favor of the petitioner in DHS vs. New York?
1661270853420
mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1
cpmm-1
0
2.7725887222397816
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661269465129
Andrew Hartman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question at issue (from Oyez ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-449", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.oyez.org/cases/2021/20-449", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661270853420
100
AndrewHartman
1661269465129
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-24c9bd44e039
0
0
[{"name": "US Judiciary ", "slug": "us-judiciary", "userId": "mnmwpiiDWwMbWdRvuNtN0fXVsxt1", "groupId": "fn3K66FEEdix860EzTJU", "createdTime": 1661269465492}]
["us-judiciary"]
0.5
0.5
0.3544241193497888
HdpryNcWetLQPftoA8QH
{"NO": 656.5041669201478, "YES": 2059.186169353903}
0.1489594618149664
will-there-be-an-ea-university-or-s
2832.6628196881766
Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?
1830293940000
T73YKUvE2KQHcZqKC2RH4TzJe2G3
cpmm-1
0
9.77045705705335
False
basic
public
1661272137155
MaxG
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The idea of founding a new university has been floating around the effective altruism community for a while now. In a recent podcast with Tyler Cowen, Will MacAskill mentioned that making this a reality might be one of the things he could see himse...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.00063604801338, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1060
MaxG
1701689771719
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMax_Goerlitz%2FsRmBPujzv-.33?alt=media&token=01cf19bf-5194-4a28-b787-29f7b501f536
51
0
35
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "T73YKUvE2KQHcZqKC2RH4TzJe2G3", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1661272137442}, {"name": "EA Index", "slug": "ea-index", "userId": "UJSbvX4oBRVfS1f5plXJ5Uc1LeZ2", "groupId": "oXZ5v3dDragVJoN4GBBK", "createdTime": 1678086200629}]
["effective-altruism", "ea-index"]
0.5
1701689771533
1676041765757
0.4227815006215567
0RtEi94fUZHRpdHBX6ri
{"NO": 3825.397237143792, "YES": 7325.159683746571}
0.2766744170647851
will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to
7675.576076395823
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?
1798761540000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
4.474804496575741
False
basic
public
1661279093771
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Yes", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " if GiveWell recommends a grant to support breastfeeding promotion.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, ...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.0010533875635846957, "month": -0.0010533875635846957}
0
{"creatorFee": 14.467847849556676, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
5050
NathanpmYoung
1719803671735
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
0
70
2
51
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1661279094174}, {"name": "GiveWell", "slug": "givewell", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "7VQzGsVwfMWEtsIREYQE", "createdTime": 1671376169989}]
["effective-altruism", "givewell"]
0.5
1719803668674
1701446371499
0.515717292455396
rFLCewjZ0CXTz2i5KA2q
{"NO": 598.5128984666665, "YES": 326.47149965280806}
0.6612781561472847
will-givewell-recommend-a-grant-to-f483e7a86367
180.30468571996536
Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support cash transfers before 2027?
1671377132733
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
0.8513433371583514
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661279435408
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Yes", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " if GiveWell recommends a grant to support cash transfers.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671377132733
440
NathanpmYoung
1669322250398
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
10
0
11
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1661279435790}, {"name": "GiveWell", "slug": "givewell", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "7VQzGsVwfMWEtsIREYQE", "createdTime": 1671376169988}]
["effective-altruism", "givewell"]
0.5
1669322250249
1661813380976
0.66
0.4999999999999873
xEmZKy65IzYn4vYy1a0f
{"NO": 3693.0651214481504, "YES": 2.7077778677453352}
1
will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-a2ae655290ad
4113.48913038528
Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $8 on August 24, 2022?
1661367600000
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
5.346740148608214
True
play
YES
public
1661285047354
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 18.88603587582645, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661371876098
100
Predictor
1661367012637
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
10
0
1
10
[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1661285047899}]
["wall-street-bets"]
0.5
1661367011153
1661293921713
0.9992673310992007
0.1773405489341615
s0sur7malvjyI8UY3BGB
{"NO": 61.83390724139443, "YES": 1463.2788614825774}
0
will-markets-show-comments-above-th
3083.531753281646
Will markets show comments above the graph on a market page?
1666591140000
AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2
cpmm-1
0
4.456036299298981
True
play
NO
public
1661285695988
Ian Philips
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We have very low (<2%) new user conversion on the market page - why is this? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Showing the graph upfront shows new users that they can ask a question and get a ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.125837965169198, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666618021794
160
ian
1666585511770
0
https://firebasestorage.…2e2-669b3fa9eaf0
20
0
1
20
[{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1661285696417}]
["manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.5
1666585510440
1662529094035
0.009027122098937669
0.3610798770814869
ZVcu0WNnnhxuXWDHbTUe
{"NO": 917.2098253806927, "YES": 1037.3046397685669}
0.3332049601864977
will-extraterrestrial-life-be-found
2006.0093500407088
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
4102401600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
9.61045311020282
False
basic
public
1661289903695
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if conclusive evidence is found of life that does not live on Earth and did not originate from Earth.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.42482665698045, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1716475962729
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
34
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-333327f59383
19
[{"name": "Aliens", "slug": "aliens", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "FvhchmbPB3fymwvEFx0G", "createdTime": 1661373284773}, {"name": "Futurism", "slug": "futurism", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "6UkuV4SnUF3NtbDmfVkV", "createdTime": 1673104669276}]
["aliens", "futurism"]
0.5
1716475959164
1686634296433
0.5000000000000009
wQLg5XAMq7Y91v7y4K0k
{"NO": 554.150858399925, "YES": 18.045627555056754}
1
poll-should-manifold-implement-nati
458
[Poll] Should Manifold implement native support for poll questions?
1661921940000
nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2
cpmm-1
0
4.088137694277676
True
play
YES
public
1661292911389
Matt P
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Top-level comments with YES or NO as the first word of the comment will be counted as votes. Question resolves to the answer with the majority, or to 50% PROB if it is a tie. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conte...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.849141600074872, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661950733987
100
MattP
1662090333996
0
https://firebasestorage.…ebb-3308b1a5324f
11
0
1
16
[{"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1661292911771}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "nEc7EizWpQSGO5y5A7H13TaE6Aw2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 16...
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e", "polls"]
0.5
1661917905644
1662090332654
0.9684625334164033
0.06721438342110278
9cuzSSGtmp3pB3DgxONW
{"NO": 828.9104196672375, "YES": 3704.7318236012284}
0.015866646720322265
will-bernie-sanders-run-for-preside
7402.245461122903
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2024?
1730721600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1661293502604
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc"}
BINARY
{"day": -1.0408340855860843e-17, "week": -1.0408340855860843e-17, "month": -1.0408340855860843e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.8575925587368745, "platformFee": 0.04149026139589995, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1714944250922
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
30
0
https://firebasestorage.…902-cc1cfb0a0ce1
17
[{"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1661294875096}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "cre...
["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "arbbot-inbox"]
0.5
1714944239478
1714944249473
0.5227812567480026
b79Yea2iYSH3vAgqUidC
{"NO": 44.321994391775974, "YES": 789.8480685701545}
0
will-bbby-stock-price-close-under-9
1494.8841546099713
Will BBBY stock price close under $9 on August 24, 2022?
1661367600000
AAT00aRB1xNPiXzCAKekJp4yWQ42
cpmm-1
0
2.5080424133696173
True
play
NO
public
1661293850178
NoRespect
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Same rules as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-a2ae655290ad", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Predictor/will-the-bed-bath-bey...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 22.023775425732094, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661390070820
200
NoRespect
1661367567693
0
https://firebasestorage.…854-95297aa2c5ae
11
0
1
10
[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "AAT00aRB1xNPiXzCAKekJp4yWQ42", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1661293850631}]
["wall-street-bets"]
0.5
1661367566326
1661352098971
0.057912145476813
0.06749064633006509
HQvRxWKFrScLYSy15AQ9
{"NO": 881.8969238171317, "YES": 2296.6458908858617}
0.02704015014203111
will-justin-amash-run-for-president
1778.4859174794055
Will Justin Amash run for President in 2024?
1730721600000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1661297099688
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc"}
BINARY
{"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 0.00031742362799401513, "month": 0.00031742362799401513}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.012558074830468, "platformFee": 0.013548490775146062, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
NcyRocks
1719777118199
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
21
1
https://firebasestorage.…a5c-db91a5470444
12
[{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1661371942539}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "cre...
["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"]
0.5
1719777115093
1665769348664
4yVTYIIMAwxxsZYOMpYx
what-is-the-truth
29.999999999999986
What is the truth?
1661970540000
PDMTpLZDSUd9HdAv7V3ej0n98Au2
cpmm-multi-1
0
5.0189258735310585
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661298501994
Shubham Hudda
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1681360145979
320
ShubhamHudda
1681360130107
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmnGPLSAkmrOxQ68DiQ4rx0owLjlzkttnQgs-Diq=s96-c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "7fdb23886ad7", "prob": 0.3333333333333333, "text": "AA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 50.28314888437671, "userId": "PDMTpLZDSUd9HdAv7V3ej0n98Au2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100.56629776875344, "textFts": "'aa':1", "contractId": "4yVTYIIMAwxxsZYOMpYx", "createdTime": 1661298501994, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
1
3
[{"name": "Sample", "slug": "sample", "userId": "PDMTpLZDSUd9HdAv7V3ej0n98Au2", "groupId": "mYGDbzfD4OGW9to6KFjQ", "createdTime": 1661298502455}]
["sample"]
1661795441942
1681360128575
True
N8OiHTECIr9jPikOLqXh
what-is-the-smallest-natural-number
293.29454689548726
What is the smallest natural number that is not interesting?
1661918340000
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.7641141204785775
True
play
d8313b3db563
public
1661300089429
Martin Randall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve to the smallest answer provided that is an uninteresting natural number, based on my judgment as heavily influenced by comments in this market. I will attempt to ignore my prior beliefs when resolving this market.", "type": "text"}, ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.19308851659819085, "platformFee": 0.04827212914954771, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662083757245
1100
MartinRandall
1662169821492
0
https://firebasestorage.…d20-bee14ed5221b
22
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "3de34142add", "prob": 0.10358628287852002, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.848665898683733, "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 15.99796250916966, "textFts": "", "contractId": "N8OiHTECIr9jPikOLqXh", "createdTime": 1661300089897, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "...
1
24
[{"name": "Philosophy (+Updating Beliefs?)", "slug": "philosophy", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "k5dp7h33O46hKqTGyKM9", "createdTime": 1661300089805}]
["philosophy"]
1661872802659
1662169819182
{"d8313b3db563": 100}
True
0.4999999999999997
2bThANcUFr8ZzNZhsN01
{"NO": 238.04761428476178, "YES": 42.00840252084028}
0.85
am-i-right
186
Am I right?
1661452140000
PDMTpLZDSUd9HdAv7V3ej0n98Au2
cpmm-1
0
3.1374652255661397
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661300151910
Shubham Hudda
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "ik", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1681360104614
100
ShubhamHudda
1681360086224
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmnGPLSAkmrOxQ68DiQ4rx0owLjlzkttnQgs-Diq=s96-c
8
0
1
8
0.5
1661450470610
1681360084427
0.85
0.6769252858041312
q8AXkVe5xn8hdufMajje
{"NO": 586.7521076721467, "YES": 55.07878285228272}
1
will-rhamondre-stevenson-scores-40
571.4836079289137
Will Rhamondre Stevenson score 40 more PPR points than Damien Harris in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.436594545369213
True
play
YES
public
1661301931728
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Rhamondre Stevenson scores 40 or more PPR points than Damien Harris in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fant...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673754949968
140
dglid
1673240249247
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661301932142}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240249131
0.96
0.38526993748246846
Fq1DtdCfRbGZyOc0JATW
{"NO": 49.05677182999188, "YES": 364.15385365273664}
0
will-no-green-bay-packers-wide-rece
252.07361706676994
Will no Green Bay Packers wide receiver finish in the top-50 at the position in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.279307547327725
True
play
NO
public
1661302265895
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if no Green Bay Packers wide receiver finishes in the top-50 at the position in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755302206
120
dglid
1672967775981
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
3
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661302266338}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1672967775812
1661303734882
0.08
0.6457440043297648
Xdk3kQzFhuX6Vzd90OS3
{"NO": 541.3297346084769, "YES": 70.50681937059764}
1
will-wandale-robinson-outscore-kenn
496.3048734299821
Will Wan'Dale Robinson outscore Kenny Golladay in fantasy in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
2.755245074804963
True
play
YES
public
1661302514448
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Wan'Dale Robinson outscores Kenny Golladay in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fantasy-f...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9469618909643085, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755164970
160
dglid
1673240270163
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
5
0
2
5
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661302514900}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240269005
0.93
0.6781716175157902
mu6MXfIRkUIADTkPXVih
{"NO": 447.75210767214674, "YES": 64.04224152554892}
1
will-diontae-johnson-finish-as-a-wr
426.99999250110955
Will Diontae Johnson finish as a fantasy WR3 or worse in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.2198618530623606
True
play
YES
public
1661302809494
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Diontae Johnson finishes outside the top 24 wide receivers in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.c...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673754974088
140
dglid
1673240233752
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
0
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661302810026}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240233640
0.94
0.29020038934620257
9KbgWfbOr8LlbpItItTs
{"NO": 80.26338184944532, "YES": 514.1102844272574}
0
will-trey-lance-be-a-top3-quarterba
810.9376303780305
Will Trey Lance be a top-3 fantasy quarterback in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.0384965362779264
True
play
NO
public
1661302987959
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Trey Lance finishes as a top-3 quarterback in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fantasy-f...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673271260306
160
dglid
1672976278672
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
7
0
1
7
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661302988391}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1672976278520
0.06
0.6913637549810955
I1g0OOsCWn0UFTJJbNKA
{"NO": 417.35750983235005, "YES": 66.49547376433782}
1
will-chris-olave-be-the-highestscor
368.5819625283302
Will Chris Olave be the highest-scoring Saints wide receiver in fantasy in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.284515353734411
True
play
YES
public
1661303129935
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Chris Olave finishes as the highest-scoring Saints wide receiver in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasy...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.5384615384615385, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755264567
140
dglid
1673240337631
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661303130366}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240337480
0.93
0.3803550811635773
SYqQQzLgWJNzeKwwSfZY
{"NO": 47.03422460785893, "YES": 389.8352327771807}
0
will-juju-smithschuster-be-2022s-co
354.5826546573993
Will JuJu Smith-Schuster be 2022's Cooper Kupp (a top-6 fantasy WR)?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.110370565956103
True
play
NO
public
1661303451042
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if JuJu Smith-Schuster finishes as a top-6 WR overall in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/f...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.0000000000000004, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755197975
120
dglid
1673240329938
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661303451526}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240329742
0.07
0.2961349085844762
YJsRIXfPLmsB8HzGIvlO
{"NO": 64.37739880960052, "YES": 450.1538536527368}
0
will-kenneth-gainwell-outscore-mile
313.99999250110955
Will Kenneth Gainwell outscore Miles Sanders in fantasy in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.450467133972486
True
play
NO
public
1661303933244
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Kenneth Gainwell outscores Miles Sanders in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fantasy-foo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755150796
140
dglid
1673240324023
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661303933596}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240323920
0.06
0.318440636373953
F7AHfRCafbFUJacIJfGL
{"NO": 68.32245842512785, "YES": 393.0143004285303}
0
will-david-njoku-outscore-pat-freie
257.1395457253159
Will David Njoku outscore Pat Freiermuth in fantasy in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.164040106579351
True
play
NO
public
1661304045893
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if David Njoku outscores Pat Freiermuth in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fantasy-footbal...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755317543
140
dglid
1673240300993
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304046293}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240300798
0.08
0.2585149181942261
b5YbECdutxNbluoYQK3D
{"NO": 79.78645468957816, "YES": 543.4957312437679}
0
will-courtland-sutton-and-jerry-jeu
387.8824696889883
Will Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy both finish as top-12 fantasy wide receivers in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.37040467685563
True
play
NO
public
1661304187274
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy both finish as top-12 wide receivers in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fa...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.028005004098742, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755130616
160
dglid
1673240321778
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
1
7
0
2
7
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304187640}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240321594
0.05
0.7272919739259008
PprUqNfDAZOYfTjqDwev
{"NO": 841.5584992681802, "YES": 74.91680780514008}
1
will-justin-fields-finish-as-a-top8
1005.5101880495532
Will Justin Fields finish as a top-8 fantasy quarterback in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.2636864129993493
True
play
YES
public
1661304314168
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Justin Fields finishes as a top-8 fantasy quarterback in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nf...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755241570
180
dglid
1673240217029
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
7
0
2
7
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304314500}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240216870
0.97
0.3273738476602982
FJBzpvnSWbaXjLW4WyFw
{"NO": 70.03661491604987, "YES": 372.8608113637058}
0
will-elijah-moore-finish-as-a-fanta
242.77665021794476
Will Elijah Moore finish as a fantasy WR1 in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.0626634111630984
True
play
NO
public
1661304694614
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Elijah Moore finishes as a top-12 wide receiver (a WR1) in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755341674
140
dglid
1673240317661
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304694992}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240317494
0.08
0.28834775694595305
sOsPGhyDuDxAQQCyrlZk
{"NO": 58.187548638535, "YES": 572.9791987424197}
0
will-chase-edmonds-be-a-top15-fanta
437.1746474114267
Will Chase Edmonds be a top-15 fantasy running back in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.694460338553261
True
play
NO
public
1661304813761
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Chase Edmonds be a top-15 fantasy running back in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fanta...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673754920180
140
dglid
1673240308417
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
4
0
2
4
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304814241}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240308267
0.04
0.2415228988448388
lM0w2pDSf51SUO5MZLTq
{"NO": 78.52056567275315, "YES": 582.9791987424194}
0
will-michael-pittman-finish-as-a-to
427.1746474114267
Will Michael Pittman finish as a top-5 fantasy wide receiver in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
3.609409422799038
True
play
NO
public
1661304907690
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Michael Pittman finishes as a top-5 fantasy wide receiver in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.co...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673754995244
160
dglid
1673240290197
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
5
0
2
5
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661304908135}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240289958
0.04
0.6676929483859739
U5m5N5KpNVKDgA4Vu2jT
{"NO": 795.9093088902204, "YES": 64.36283841804159}
1
will-christian-kirk-outscore-dk-met
800.6423766824145
Will Christian Kirk outscore DK Metcalf in fantasy in 2022?
1673240340000
9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2
cpmm-1
0
2.998564376841668
True
play
YES
public
1661305013699
David Glidden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Christian Kirk outscores DK Metcalf in fantasy in 2022 (Weeks 1-18) according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "FantasyData", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fantasydata.com/nfl/fanta...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8461538461538463, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673755182665
200
dglid
1673240165657
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GilZzUf5IKsoQ18Y3U_YkjU5JDCVQMuqydda5LP6A=s96-c
9
0
2
8
[{"name": "Fantasy Football Bold Predictions", "slug": "jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions", "userId": "9dAaZrNSx5OT0su6rpusDoG9WPN2", "groupId": "gEMQduaSAuloq3CbG9er", "createdTime": 1661305014100}]
["jj-zachariasons-bold-predictions"]
0.5
1673240165403
0.96
0.5289897948556634
zEWTU2pqV8O0clY55F8q
{"NO": 221.88944777633623, "YES": 92.17104901372771}
1
will-my-wife-be-pregnant-by-the-end
377.78218200041215
Will my wife be pregnant by the end of this year?
1667740073251
wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2
cpmm-1
0
2.263205038719083
True
play
YES
public
1661306706502
Trent Yazzo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We start trying at the end of September. I have no further details other than we will be trying and wishing for the best!", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.2390213554995513, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1667740073251
140
kazoo
1667742115950
0
https://firebasestorage.…b09-3312ffa70d6f
11
0
11
[{"name": "Fun", "slug": "fun", "userId": "wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1661306706887}]
["fun"]
0.5
1667740064173
1667742114532
0.6054115371269453
0.44050728203213485
Nv11nQRNf2tY8aO0fGSg
{"NO": 139.38335260201512, "YES": 3663.673245318867}
0.02908272232207025
will-proof-school-be-in-person-for
20418.414213606564
Will Proof School be in person for every day of the 2022-23 school year? [AP calc day counts as N/A]
1686328200000
HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433
cpmm-1
0
1.2758935436341652
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661311118626
Conflux
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Proof is super careful/conservative about covid, but was held in person for almost all of the 2021-22 school year, including basically the entire second half. Wildfire smoke would be another plausible reason for going digital.", "type": "text"}]}, ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1686329109475
880
Conflux
1686319875830
0
https://firebasestorage.…cdd-373b64a5cd17
3
48
0
1
28
[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1661311119015}, {"name": "Proof in Person", "slug": "proof-in-person", "userId": "HTbxWFlzWGeHUTiwZvvF0qm8W433", "groupId": "GVcHOzA7YVBkRTfaUgey", "createdTime": 1672806684747}]
["proofniks", "proof-in-person"]
0.5
1686319875696
1683585604984
0.03
0.448159917877017
V1HrqYYJykE31qYROReb
{"NO": 74.65357250000213, "YES": 202.97065576087627}
0
new-york-university-will-refund-a-f
100.58493494664576
new york university will refund a fraction of student's tuition by the end of 2024 for the online courses students took during the covid
1672549140000
BubiS2R96Ia7B4kJ3dRXa5OVYNP2
cpmm-1
0
2.622412822889045
True
play
NO
public
1661312266967
Isabella Elle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.1992433567577798, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1672549998848
120
IsabellaElle
1668879288952
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrvUyVf70pijN2gJYvo8lmH6T3rq6HFOMo3D3w=s96-c
6
0
1
7
[{"name": "Higher Education", "slug": "higher-education", "userId": "BubiS2R96Ia7B4kJ3dRXa5OVYNP2", "groupId": "t2sumbJ9zbPDTYzX1H5X", "createdTime": 1661312267377}]
["higher-education"]
0.5
1668879288763
0.23
0.21436722360494903
a6YsoufvWU36s3aA8xp8
{"NO": 152.11912898994552, "YES": 3425.759002435154}
0
will-there-be-any-names-with-the-le
6162.972814326507
Will there be any names with the letter Q in them at Proof at the start of the 2023-2024 school year?
1693465140000
1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2
cpmm-1
0
2.3935032495180852
True
play
NO
public
1661314033642
Joshua
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is at least one student at Proof with the letter Q in their full name according to the Portal on August 30th, 2023, then this resolves as yes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 23, 9:10pm: ", "type": "tex...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.422726512818905, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1693613193797
340
JoshuaB
1693621994549
0.3
https://firebasestorage.…3b9-ee28a908e5dd
25
0
1
15
[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "1wygrQ94KrMNSHF3ck9rxKVrRED2", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1661314034014}]
["proofniks"]
0.11517674607428012
0.5
1693207190072
1693621993225
0.01
0.5000000000000001
BlIvmW5Aux5LRKflr11F
{"NO": 16.181162373863927, "YES": 618.0025741631606}
0
is-percentage-of-canadians-in-san-f
521
Is percentage of Canadians in San Francisco more than 5%
1661929140000
0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2
cpmm-1
0
3.0472218894234935
True
play
NO
public
1661318850114
Sinclair Chen
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "by citizenship", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.9974258368393887, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661934205627
100
Sinclair
1661881706990
0
https://firebasestorage.…05f-2c822e6eeb32
12
0
1
13
0.5
1661881705522
1661325767919
0.025514943764123565
0.4999999999999992
Mr1EAVw6fHieH2yudZPe
{"NO": 1105.4345408670358, "YES": 9.046216334217917}
1
will-i-make-it-to-the-end-of-block
1100.9012734510334
Will I make it to the end of Block 1 without procrastinating on my homework to the point of sacrificing time sleeping or calling my girlfriend?
1665209361683
1PifYH0nMtS9eQ8mwAkhC35EN6G3
cpmm-1
0
5.152053638403091
True
play
YES
public
1661325032703
Imbens
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to yes if, by the end of Block 1, I have not sacrificed more than half an hour of sleep and I have not sacrificed time calling my girlfriend or seeing her in person because I procrastinated on my homework. If I forced to sacrif...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.34215571527183, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1665209361683
100
Imbens
1665198852767
0
https://firebasestorage.…892-31ba6532eef3
14
0
13
[{"name": "Proofniks", "slug": "proofniks", "userId": "1PifYH0nMtS9eQ8mwAkhC35EN6G3", "groupId": "HWg8Z5SraHRjoEjHCcIJ", "createdTime": 1661325033093}]
["proofniks"]
0.5
1665198852609
1661325302019
0.9918830215095545
0.35652428595838537
lWVRnLynXdZDABkP6rK0
{"NO": 1023.0946330484364, "YES": 866.926300638319}
0.39535710062118773
in-what-year-will-patrick-rothfuss
995.4635709477974
In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
2240632740000
QXneG5tQfdbHSlqt91Q3aauAy8S2
cpmm-1
0.0970089412055408
9.640459399794137
False
play
public
1661325924308
DawnPaladin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the third book in the Kingkiller Chronicles, even if it winds up being published under a different name. The question will resolve to the year the first readers actually receive their copies (physical or digital), not to any pre-orde...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
{"day": 0, "week": -0.023016359014382703, "month": -0.02527775380528202}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.8535892250362025, "platformFee": 1.2765381145053318, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
DawnPaladin
1719776871086
2.2
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqWTn2uwulicj98sLJs7dMVeRQsRgTKplR7wpYZJJU=s96-c
2
24
1
10
[{"name": "📚 Books", "slug": "books", "groupId": "o3T3Wvaoqw90dns1Q7nU"}]
["books"]
0.11573486180401796
0.05555555555555555
1719776867975
1709093260704
0.3914309917516284
EQsEWTyQJpvgiZnDb7Iq
{"NO": 95.00766352670514, "YES": 220.18426025316808}
0.21724257410073694
will-john-boyega-act-in-a-star-wars
200.26669460221748
Will John Boyega act in a Star Wars film before 2032?
1956527940000
lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1661333689530
Nathan Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 0.017242574100737124, "month": 0.017242574100737207}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.518379218120248, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
NathanpmYoung
1719777017476
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c
7
1
4
[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1661333689901}]
["entertainment"]
0.0935783765986053
0.5
1719777014373
0.6726587186231304
jpjf2rvCnwe3uueJUOIW
{"NO": 2765.4223378702336, "YES": 63.26870623653951}
1
will-maggie-hassan-the-us-senator-f
3112.1947965817794
Will Maggie Hassan, the U.S. Senator from New Hampshire, be reelected in 2022?
1667969164372
9hWkzPveXIelUk4XOrm5WroriST2
cpmm-1
0
2.9488888504197024
True
play
YES
public
1661361351038
arae
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if Senator Hassan wins her election in 2022 and NO if someone else wins (or if Ms. Hassan drops out). If the election is not held, it will resolve AMBIGUOUS. I will resolve this once the race is called by multiple majo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.8614958836045339, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1667969164372
260
a
1667969153778
0
https://firebasestorage.…33e-f49d13c87650
17
0
16
[{"name": "US 2022 Elections", "slug": "us-2022-elections", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "MQJlM8CKTiJHD3HcyW0C", "createdTime": 1667967155680}, {"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 166...
["politics-default", "us-2022-midterms", "us-2022-elections", "us-politics"]
0.5
1667969031265
1667969151352
0.93
0.5000000000000001
L1szHNmWbvLpMM7BvAcu
{"NO": 71.97216794315187, "YES": 138.9425980317646}
0
will-tommyinnit-do-a-dream-smp-lore
202.96086721643667
Will TommyInnit do a Dream SMP lore stream in the next two weeks?
1662609540000
cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2
cpmm-1
0
2.8264312498906925
True
play
NO
public
1661361697329
Will
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.506425324708941, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1663815896413
100
hearts
1662552344739
0
https://firebasestorage.…d0d-8ed365690175
8
0
1
8
[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661361697758}]
["mcyt"]
0.5
1662552344626
0.34123816609270186
0.5000000000000001
kq71Ha9wrYsd83NKBRgR
{"NO": 76.28021627176369, "YES": 131.09559055749116}
0
will-the-sam-bucket-finale-happen-b
247.0254823176087
Will the Sam Bucket finale happen tomorrow?
1662695940000
cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2
cpmm-1
0
2.809131863448594
True
play
NO
public
1661361849622
Will
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sep 6, 2:22pm: while the 'reset'/'finale' will not be happening on the previously projected date (Sept 7), I will be resolving it anyway based on whether it happens by or on Sept 7.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.569836076867965, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1664861519186
100
hearts
1662652886874
0
https://firebasestorage.…d0d-8ed365690175
8
0
1
9
[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661361962470}]
["mcyt"]
0.5
1662652886777
0.36783565758261216
0.5000000000000001
wa4Y0vb2kbm2ETFWLfA5
{"NO": 24.229203423044616, "YES": 412.7250832558921}
0
will-the-character-wilbur-die-inbef
549.5403735107183
Will the character Wilbur be dead in/during the S1 finale?
1664002740000
lxu2bpw54lPtbSFKPO0hNINs0Jz2
cpmm-1
0
3.7030554071071795
True
play
NO
public
1661363249657
Curlew
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 24, 10:57am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will the character Wilbur die in/before the S1 finale?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "strike"}]}, {"text": " → Will the character Wilbur be dead in/during the S1 finale?",...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.402145601846255, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1670098133265
100
Curlew
1663982302431
0
https://firebasestorage.…600-987592787b17
6
0
1
6
[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "lxu2bpw54lPtbSFKPO0hNINs0Jz2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661363250013}]
["mcyt"]
0.5
1663982302322
0.055450201912878014
0.5
kmf1HFohgZno7umqFdDJ
{"NO": 169.98709851942004, "YES": 58.82799393071324}
1
will-cquackity-lose-at-least-one-ca
100
Will c!Quackity lose at least one canon life in his next cinematic lore stream?
1662868740000
cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2
cpmm-1
0
2.9117112401887533
True
play
YES
public
1661363737297
Will
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-09-10 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sep 2, 11:21pm: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Will c!Quackity lose at least one ca...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.500884622138633, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662921727367
100
hearts
1662821331223
0
https://firebasestorage.…d0d-8ed365690175
5
0
1
5
[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661363737726}]
["mcyt"]
0.5
1662821331064
0.7429016010229574
Z9w6M6kEfTVEWUWfzICC
what-will-be-the-most-meaningful-fe
449
What will be the most meaningful feature Manifold implements this year?
1672559940000
YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.702207717465153
True
play
c930e9fe6b51
public
1661367438674
SneakySly
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will be the most meaningful feature Manifold implements this year? ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "To resolve this I will ask all three founders for their choice, and let each one pick a top feature....
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673467857616
1019.9999999999998
SneakySly
1673467852807
0
https://firebasestorage.…c38-c3282ed5d66e
18
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "782dff8f3636", "prob": 0.03317839025086181, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.43496495485247044, "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 12.674922280896473, "textFts": "", "contractId": "Z9w6M6kEfTVEWUWfzICC", "createdTime": 1661367439246, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ...
3
18
[{"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1661367439161}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 16...
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
1672540579339
1673467848950
{"c930e9fe6b51": 100}
True
A3rk5Lz4aGpCaZwIkSiI
who-will-win-2026-presidential-elec
3505.3804089568544
Who will win 2026 presidential election in Brazil?
1706320718603
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.713528700927447
True
play
CANCEL
public
1661370469462
Franklin Baldo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2026-10-25 4:00 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9294667744306719, "platformFee": 0.23236669360766798, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1706320718603
1279.9999999999995
FranklinBaldo
1706320719038
1.3
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c
16
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "04e06ec628e4", "prob": 0.04286567939664067, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.5206240397111505, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 11.624851012573945, "textFts": "", "contractId": "A3rk5Lz4aGpCaZwIkSiI", "resolverId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "createdTime": 1661...
14
[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1661370469859}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime": 1692321232179}]
["politics-default", "brazil-3292d24d179f"]
0.1309187313469925
1695788199293
1706320690520
False
EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1
True
f2ZWdn52F4yM66VSMkz1
which-team-wins-mcc-25
1703.5465564550905
Which team wins MCC 25
1664060340000
v81t8p54XedlMnDGBi2d4k0AUDt2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.646971287384211
True
play
7dfbbbe0333c
public
1661371413670
Emma
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The colour of the team which wins dodgebolt in Minecraft Championships 25.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2022-09-24 11:59 pm", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1664291465624
680
EmmaCasey
1664056987037
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmnNiLMID0RouoQZNtB8eICvHmGokGFeOAL3SBjD=s96-c
5
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "99bedf209e64", "prob": 0.0006728971400238796, "text": "Red", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.0020953203776548947, "userId": "v81t8p54XedlMnDGBi2d4k0AUDt2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.1117838344372046, "textFts": "'red':1", "contractId": "f2ZWdn52F4yM66VSMkz1", "createdTime": 1661371413670, "probChanges": {"day": 0...
1
5
[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "v81t8p54XedlMnDGBi2d4k0AUDt2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661371414471}]
["mcyt"]
1664056986847
1664046620307
{"7dfbbbe0333c": 100}
True
0.5161770933198772
4P6LZu5ESnuZdr284Gau
{"NO": 4545.1868715448745, "YES": 6.520440595919354}
1
will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-00d633e071ba
6309.596129755457
Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $8 on August 25, 2022?
1661454000000
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
4.455281380100785
True
play
YES
public
1661371995623
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if BBBY stock is at or over the stated amount in the question.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Betting closes at 3pm ET, and question is resolved after 4pm ET stock ma...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.45248868778280543, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1661457628846
155
Predictor
1661453863897
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
12
0
1
12
[{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1661371996113}]
["wall-street-bets"]
0.5
1661453863700
0.9986571444113701
0.07663369298694302
YVqerycJne35zgC1Vro2
{"NO": 812.4339004885989, "YES": 2548.541107786095}
0.025775157340161982
will-nina-turner-run-for-president
1840.3188526366098
Will Nina Turner run for president in 2024?
1730440740000
LzQUVZerpReHO6SCGUpgAQ8n8dy2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1661372627275
wavedash
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": 3.469446951953614e-18}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.010793513027265365, "platformFee": 0.0035955756042155224, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
wavedash
1716564092571
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghf7mTa4XpdokLtErsRR8uggmTryAopnOGTpV3VoQ=s96-c
17
0
1
4
[{"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1665573579255}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSe...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]
0.5
1716564083277