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v8DUAiv3xVoXWs20p8RW
why-did-the-chicken-cross-the-road
65.04839654123066
Why did the Chicken Cross the Road?
1668833940000
LL69HyPeYHOXor9tq3PUAxoteWo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1666160810064
ThatGuy
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lets see how this develops . . .", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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340
ThatGuy
1702871643577
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2wWIiCQcBRL2yz0JcauraVEV67z955HMcvShdD=s96-c
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1666280365722
1702871642878
True
True
fpndJNvE13foXF5X4bfY
a-priest-a-rabbi-and-a-minister-wal
45
A Priest, A Rabbi, and A Minister Walk Into a bar. . .
1668833940000
LL69HyPeYHOXor9tq3PUAxoteWo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1666161058799
ThatGuy
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lets see how this develops . . .", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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320
ThatGuy
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https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2wWIiCQcBRL2yz0JcauraVEV67z955HMcvShdD=s96-c
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["humor"]
1668831062661
1702167137334
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True
0.48682369230789563
OBrGQP93zEMN8JfG1ix3
{"NO": 215.2194094728441, "YES": 148.81194123605704}
0.5784118359865736
will-a-us-state-attempt-to-leave-th-8290a27c7737
85.35164090795331
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2100?
4102398000000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1666161829062
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc"}
BINARY
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0
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NcyRocks
1716136521700
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
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0
https://firebasestorage.…79c-9e58fb2dd4ac
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1716136517912
1666161895112
I6q96YTc5Ogi3yPKUxdW
what-links-will-be-included-in-the
44
What links will be included in the next ACX links roundup?
1668758340000
igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.912273172347273
True
play
8b050a7a9db4
public
1666162578800
Austin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves equally to each link included in the next edition of AstralCodexTen's regular link roundup.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://astra...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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0
1674061547030
440
Austin
1674061559530
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c
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ANYONE
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2
7
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1674061556902
{"8b050a7a9db4": 100}
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pM0RmjJQL5fJw3urhPLY
{"NO": 1.7415753504151326, "YES": 2146.8393818633867}
0.0007692307692307692
i-want-to-borrow-m1000-for-1-week-h
2138.119516074813
I want to borrow M$1000 for 1 week. How much will I pay the borrower at the end?
1667404740000
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
4.656879320413212
True
play
MKT
public
1666163221486
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If someone agrees to loan me M$1000 for 1 week, how much will I pay back? This resolves at the end of the first such 1 week loan. The loan will be processed by the loaner creating a manalink for M$1000. I will then create a manalink for the amount ...
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The war in Ukraine is still "hot" at the end of August 2023
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cpmm-1
0.11722213139048347
1.4293113761393728
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YES
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Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " Made for a challenge bet that might get someone on the site", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Oct 19, 5:26am: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "The war in Ukraine still be \"hot\" at the end of August 2023", "type": "tex...
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LivInTheLookingGlass
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will-the-turkic-states-merge-by-210
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Will the Turkic States merge by 2100?
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cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
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play
public
1666164480489
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organization_of_Turkic_States", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organization_of_Turkic_States", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere ho...
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NcyRocks
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Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?
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cpmm-1
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public
1666168080283
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the Electoral College, that is. It's Democratic, but not THAT Democratic.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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NcyRocks
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will-my-company-revert-work-from-ho
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cpmm-1
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NO
public
1666169283190
Anon
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are-any-millenium-prize-problems-un
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Are any Millennium Prize problems undecidable/unprovable/unsolvable?
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cpmm-1
0.11435050759919176
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N.C. Young
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NcyRocks
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cpmm-multi-1
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4.781315569578946
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play
c6aedbbeda4a
public
1666174212184
Billy
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If no result (eg. Tournament cancelled) will resolve NA. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
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how-many-people-will-attend-the-oxf-981ce06d123f
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How many people will attend the Oxford Rationalish ACX Meetups-Everywhere 2022?
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cpmm-1
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7.701635339554951
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play
MKT
public
1666179152275
Sam Brown
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1666348072076
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SamBrown
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1666179256821
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is-pi-normal
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Is pi normal?
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cpmm-1
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10.311465214692921
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basic
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1666182905258
Isaac King
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IsaacKing
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Will the United States be using the metric system by the end of 2035?
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cpmm-1
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10.134393474495589
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basic
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1666183370341
Isaac King
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cpmm-1
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Vincent Luczkow
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what-happened-to-james-gordon-meek
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What happened to James Gordon Meek?
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Jodi Gale
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Will Destiny Reach 600K Subscribers By the End Of November?
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The Void
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cpmm-multi-1
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play
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1666221136989
N.C. Young
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MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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{"bdb94a6b5638": 100}
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cpmm-1
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play
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public
1666227313712
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Value of Construction Put in Place Survey (VIP) provides monthly estimates of the total dollar value of construction work done in the United States.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the ...
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what-will-be-the-average-30year-mor
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What will be the average 30-year mortgage fixed rate for October 31st?
1667275140000
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cpmm-multi-1
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4.862043396887931
True
play
d5561dafa49d
public
1666227446405
The Oracle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As the Federal Reserve significantly raises the US basic interest rate to control inflation, loan conditions in various sectors may go through major alterations in the following months. The evolution of the real estate sector is typically helpful t...
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1667306127095
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Will Bitcoin mining be regulated in the US by the end of 2024?
1735707540000
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cpmm-1
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9.648996954386199
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basic
public
1666227760442
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Following the Chinese prohibition of Bitcoin mining in September 2021, the United States became the country concentrating most of this type of activity in the world.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"te...
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1000
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1
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[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666227760789}]
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will-andy-jassy-leave-the-role-of-a
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Will Andy Jassy leave the role of Amazon’s CEO by the end of 2023?
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cpmm-1
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1.0490243611618233
True
play
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public
1666227904660
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Former Amazon Web Services chief executive Andy Jassy stepped in as CEO of Amazon in July 2021, ending Jeff Bezos’ 27-year tenure in the role.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If either Andy Ja...
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1704083331810
440
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1704083332471
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https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
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0
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[{"name": "Fire the CEO Markets", "slug": "fire-the-ceo-markets", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "LWJ5wcYDOJBhYRKc188S", "createdTime": 1666613623167}, {"name": "Business", "slug": "business", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1666227905009...
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will-any-genetically-modified-human
266.3792373176361
Will any genetically modified human embryo be legally born by the end of 2025?
1767243540000
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cpmm-1
0
9.666907591327792
False
basic
public
1666228044005
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Editing the human genome is a controversial technique that is surrounded by scientific and ethical debates, and research is still ongoing to ensure that edits do not result in side effects in the future, including unwanted mutations or increase the...
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["science-default", "biotech"]
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1718458260530
1697013807026
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0.13072900257117234
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0.07458845541181748
will-scientists-create-artificial-b
693.6409193023275
Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024?
1735707540000
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cpmm-1
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10.087933156544018
False
basic
public
1666228219469
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The problem with blood shortages in blood centers may be over soon. Scientists in Japan are looking to develop an artificial blood type that can be used on any patient, regardless of blood type. Tests have been promising in animals, but artificial ...
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1000
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1712292115995
1666228320876
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what-percentage-of-the-electoral-vo
850.2262453671253
[OLD MECHANISM] What percentage of the electoral vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?
1730718000000
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cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1666228334830
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Not counting faithless electors.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is broken and outdated; use this one instead:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://man...
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will-bitcoins-price-reach-another-a
57683.46236770387
Will Bitcoin’s price reach another all-time high by the end of 2023?
1704083554552
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cpmm-1
2.3871031407925637e-15
0.35791352814766153
True
play
NO
public
1666228561160
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After reaching the unit price of 67,617 USD on November 8th, 2021, Bitcoin has consistently lost value to the point of being trade for less than 20,000 USD in the following months.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "...
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1704083554552
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https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
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https://firebasestorage.…865-f3e9f38efe97
11
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666228561549}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16733465146...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.11547309506368218
0.5
1704083550802
1666228667150
0
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
0.2661119505374572
E3Iy0nWYLRZrbjyW6qUp
{"NO": 76.81723928332576, "YES": 46720.68732334275}
0
will-amber-heard-be-removed-from-aq
70097.7503288564
Will Amber Heard be removed from Aquaman 2?
1703181514197
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
cpmm-1
0
1.001197450631679
True
play
NO
public
1666228664101
Predictor 🔥
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "With the unfolding of Johhny Depp vs Amber Heard's trial in the courtroom, the actress lost screen time in the movie Aquaman 2, allegedly having her participation reduced to less than 10 minutes. Nonetheless, there are still initiatives attempting ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1703181514197
480
Predictor
1703181509712
0
https://firebasestorage.…22a-9833cd6cbc4e
24
0
1
https://firebasestorage.…c8b-8ff3bf85b94f
8
[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1666228664514}]
["entertainment"]
0.5
1703181509554
1695134759135
0
ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2
0.4628679166555207
GU8UcRSh1tJWmGsDPwAe
{"NO": 163.83295953610212, "YES": 12568.965167653065}
0
will-the-supreme-court-overturn-cal
16288.89407697344
Will the Supreme Court overturn California's pig cage ban in National Pork Producers Council v. Ross?
1683846613701
igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2
cpmm-1
0
1.0441375310221894
True
basic
NO
public
1666233678626
Austin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this Vox article", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2022/10/9/23393017/supreme-court-pork-pigs-prop-12-california-animal-welfare", "class": null, "tar...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1683846613701
1360
Austin
1683859953367
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c
5
52
0
1
40
[{"name": "US Judiciary ", "slug": "us-judiciary", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "fn3K66FEEdix860EzTJU", "createdTime": 1666247130860}, {"name": "SCOTUS", "slug": "scotus", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "ELCKhzulQFwYzmSyaOnx", "createdTime": 1666247121830}, {"name": "Effect...
["effective-altruism", "scotus", "us-judiciary", "california", "metaculus", "supreme-court", "court-cases"]
0.5
1683842938963
1683859950042
0.01
0.2564437771274822
bW9Uec0sARb1OZobkWQ1
{"NO": 933.2339785293034, "YES": 1141.1449613728887}
0.21999999999999983
will-most-of-tsmcs-2022existing-fab
623.609860685282
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
1950839940000
1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2
cpmm-1
0
9.579520914259724
False
basic
public
1666234218089
Stochastic Cockatoo
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.002932262517605533}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7597667440034663, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
StochasticParrot
1718337958089
0
https://firebasestorage.…fe2-84ed34157855
2
15
0
10
[{"name": "Taiwan ", "slug": "taiwan", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1666234354421}, {"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1666234358120}]
["taiwan", "semiconductors"]
0.5
1718337954972
1671830398260
0.36412758949921353
fF9RplSCVXsDHatpweWL
{"NO": 82.83855988204033, "YES": 1038.4125150198622}
0
will-apple-announce-an-m2-imac-in-2
3183.9645784116633
Will apple announce an M2 iMac in 2022?
1672559940000
T01Ba2H8tKT298whLVPDhtMTC1G3
cpmm-1
0
2.3188564789935953
True
play
NO
public
1666237228271
Passion Fruit
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673288615974
240
PassionFruit
1673288617760
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxhFZvSTFt27rKR2s3LkWLum0rtMkpkABTAq6-7=s96-c
9
0
2
9
[{"name": "Apple", "slug": "apple", "userId": "T01Ba2H8tKT298whLVPDhtMTC1G3", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1666237228864}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "T01Ba2H8tKT298whLVPDhtMTC1G3", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1666237361704}]
["apple", "technology-default"]
0.5
1672358431131
1673288613861
0.04
0.7608711048398258
rQcpcXCUfRmGcG0I5uDg
{"NO": 732.0479597162135, "YES": 420.46917077549574}
1
texas-files-an-antitransgender-bill
488.4072999021407
Will Texas enact an anti-transgender bill before 2025?
1687382145033
iXe4dgGJeehxdnxDDjXpOXrErPg1
cpmm-1
0
1.060522489319825
True
play
YES
public
1666237885146
Nicholas Charette
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Texas' next legislative session begins Jan 10, 2023. Resolves YES if an anti-transgender bill is filed in Texas before Jan 1, 2025, resolves NO otherwise. Note that bills passed in special sessions are also included in this question, as long as the...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1687382166513
500
NicholasCharette73b6
1685986444385
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmmV6grDYXyOY8RNnbUl5nbd8xBKy4UKgQYnNZLn=s96-c
22
0
19
[{"name": "LGBTQIA+", "slug": "lgbtqia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "cLtLfm3NSrhXU6lV6Cuy", "createdTime": 1666243029200}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "iXe4dgGJeehxdnxDDjXpOXrErPg1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1666237966802}, {"name": "Politi...
["politics-default", "us-politics", "lgbtqia", "trans-questions", "texas"]
0.5
1685986444244
1669064254418
0.85
0.2593453611428874
IBTvDq8a9kzniYv2SRfN
{"NO": 362.7205029431109, "YES": 658.7676726034847}
0.16163509187748393
be-swallowed-up-by-the-sun-can-asmo
473
[be swallowed up by the sun] Can Asmodeus hear Carissa's prayers?
1668833940000
1QZqsxv938WiqJDBPdiIYTxO35s2
cpmm-1
0
1.1296768855576387
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666238416532
Numendil
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Asmodeus is revealed to have noticed any of Carissa's prayers, or the existence of dath ilan due to Carissa's presence on it.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if thi...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1671217357302
440
Numendil
1668833919447
0
https://firebasestorage.…327-5db202f7d69a
19
0
2
20
[{"name": "Glowfic", "slug": "glowfic", "userId": "1QZqsxv938WiqJDBPdiIYTxO35s2", "groupId": "2VsVVFGhKtIdJnQRAXVb", "createdTime": 1666238417057}]
["glowfic"]
0.5
1668833919345
1667157522075
0.16
0.3844545639465024
Fqf6LCvDqRjzlsTD3CUL
{"NO": 335.0945934219815, "YES": 451.373433323256}
0.31678954276343047
if-china-is-blocked-from-buying-chi
359.9994542655089
China has been blocked from buying supercomputer chips from TSMC. Will they invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?
1678586230058
UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03
cpmm-1
0
0.8445230751926094
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666245337554
Adrian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If it is announced before the end of 2023 that a majority of Chinese chip companies will be blocked from making leading-edge chips at TSMC, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "parag...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678586230058
380
ahalekelly
1678340804704
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c
15
0
11
[{"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1666245338061}, {"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1666245495759}, {"name"...
["world-default", "semiconductors", "china"]
0.5
1678013465504
1678340802465
False
0.32
0.2578960026636509
cJkLRonFBgGWAo2xVHQN
{"NO": 299.5215511459005, "YES": 1805.0537016844294}
0
will-bitcoin-reach-to-14k-before-th
3488.739373031286
Will Bitcoin reach to $14k before the end of 2022?
1672505940000
lazeOAbg37YLJYRcTJm6NZLWpQy1
cpmm-1
0
1.1897026841388956
True
play
NO
public
1666247680531
Andreas Tobing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This year, Bitcoin has drop above 60% yet so many traders out there think that Bitcoin hasn't reach the macro-bottom. Historically Bitcoin drop 85% every 4-year and the macro-bottom formed in about 365 days. So will history repeat this time?", "typ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673333355341
500
andreasrtobing
1673154727026
0
https://firebasestorage.…aaf-b7b141295e50
22
0
2
21
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "lazeOAbg37YLJYRcTJm6NZLWpQy1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666247681059}, {"name": "Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 16732673491...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices"]
0.5
1672487402102
1673154721911
0.05
0.28987213018393154
G8nmmvt7dhdM1hoGf6ap
{"NO": 73.35156143936412, "YES": 765.9090909090908}
0
will-sui-token-launch-before-2022
605
Will $SUI token launch before 2022?
1672505940000
lazeOAbg37YLJYRcTJm6NZLWpQy1
cpmm-1
0
3.139834045990075
True
play
NO
public
1666248311885
Andreas Tobing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "$SUI probably one of the most anticipated layer-1 to launch after Aptos $APT. Currently Mysten Labs sits at number 4 on Crunchbase, thus so many bullish narratives built on $SUI. Will it launch before 2022 ends?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1673333365909
180
andreasrtobing
1673154840266
0
https://firebasestorage.…aaf-b7b141295e50
5
0
2
6
[{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "lazeOAbg37YLJYRcTJm6NZLWpQy1", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1666248312343}]
["crypto-speculation"]
0.5
1672484226643
1673154838209
0.04
0.605580651646251
JSuEclR9LoiB7n0Am233
{"NO": 274.07646107475733, "YES": 147.96853619214482}
1
after-taking-a-valium-at-1050-will
118.1257569794488
After taking a Valium at 10:50, will I be able to help someone with their homework at 15:00?
1666297004409
k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2
cpmm-1
0
1.8226628404263705
True
play
YES
public
1666250425350
Olivia🏳️‍⚧️
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My doctor was nice and gave me something to help keep me compliant during laser hair removal. It makes me anxious to the point where I unconsciously resist, otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666297004409
200
LivInTheLookingGlass
1710462493956
0
https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97
0
6
0
8
[{"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4"}, {"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c"}]
["fun", "olivia", "short-fuse"]
0.5
1666295342419
1666278471548
0.7398483568111235
0.35055378419660777
TOQm9wSSp6WbTxQiEJ50
{"NO": 207.6362071692617, "YES": 448.84435734525124}
0.19980804374863848
if-china-is-not-blocked-from-buying
267.10990685969176
If China is not blocked from buying chips from TSMC, will they invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?
1678340459944
UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03
cpmm-1
0
1.431163327471729
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666251505505
Adrian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If it is not announced before the end of 2023 that a majority of Chinese chip companies will be blocked from making leading-edge chips at TSMC, will China invade Taiwan before the end of 2025?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "p...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1678340459944
280
ahalekelly
1680057855548
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c
2
11
0
10
[{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1666251505812}, {"name": "China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1691182237208}]
["semiconductors", "china"]
0.5
1678013572812
1666251669107
False
0.2
0.21974673111836185
zSK24EIyQWqRw2vokVYm
{"NO": 34.180112226513515, "YES": 11396.034948720539}
0
brent-crude-price-swings-by-50-oct2
11300.704843409436
Brent crude price swings by +/- 50% Oct2022–Oct2023.
1697731260000
LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2
cpmm-1
0
4.440036083108111
True
play
NO
public
1666254519992
Harrison Lucas
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if ICE Brent crude futures contracts trade outside the band $47-$141 in the time period Oct 20 2022 - Oct 20 2023", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Data will be taken from this w...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1697797383932
240
HarrisonLucas
1697729792393
0
https://firebasestorage.…d92-1497d2c1f57e
9
0
1
4
[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1666254520452}]
["economics-default"]
0.5
1697729791968
1666254603806
0
0.5
Krff2JHvYrwHSXEuMeTd
{"NO": 66.66666666666667, "YES": 150}
0.3076923076923077
if-rishi-sunak-is-leader-will-the-c
50
If Rishi Sunak is Leader, will the Conservatives win the next general election?
1666256213875
AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2
cpmm-1
0
2.854232711280292
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666255599780
Handdara
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More precisely:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Conditional on Rishi Sunak being the Leader of the Conservative Party at the time, will the Conservative Party win more seats in the House of Commons than any other pa...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666256213875
100
MichaelBennett
1666255683898
0
https://firebasestorage.…3a8-104f224bf309
1
0
2
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666255953680}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666255600432}, {"name"...
["politics-default", "uk-politics", "prime-millennial"]
0.5
1666255625623
1666255677314
0.3076923076923077
0.5
g0vKA9aUuZwpke90DHeb
{"NO": 50, "YES": 200}
0.2
if-liz-truss-is-leader-will-the-con
100
If Liz Truss is leader, will the Conservatives win the next election?
1666256292147
AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2
cpmm-1
0
3.0081547935525483
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666255833314
Handdara
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More precisely:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Conditional on Liz Truss being the Leader of the Conservative Party at the time, will the Conservative Party win more seats in the House of Comm...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1666256292147
100
MichaelBennett
1666255925348
0
https://firebasestorage.…3a8-104f224bf309
1
0
2
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1666255833727}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1666255931624}]
["uk-politics", "politics-default"]
0.5
1666255863305
1666255920008
0.5
0.5
OKVin156xcEXINh9PzMR
{"NO": 66.66666666666667, "YES": 150}
0.3076923076923077
if-jeremy-hunt-is-leader-will-the-c
50
If Jeremy Hunt is Leader, will the Conservatives win the next election?
1666256344554
AwBtdwWuByQHPkjrhE5IOCOMvzz2
cpmm-1
0
2.854232711280292
True
play
CANCEL
public
1666256062975
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Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister?
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cpmm-1
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