id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
8860f86f-6d58-4492-81c8-00c54a1f021f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A New Tensioning Method using Deep Reinforcement Learning for Surgical Pattern Cutting
1 Introduction
---------------
Manipulation of soft tissues is among the problems of interests of many researchers in the surgical robotics field [1-3]. Surgical scissors are an efficient tool that is normally used to cut through... |
99cd2738-b217-48f0-9825-c509ec012fe3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musings on the Human Objective Function
I think it's fair to say that most of us would trust a superintelligent human over a superintelligent AI. While humans have done a lot of evil in the world, our objective function as individuals seems to line up pretty well with the objective function of other individuals and ou... |
fd50d4a1-d8e1-4a93-b29e-53577afc32a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if they gave an Industrial Revolution and nobody came?
Imagine you could go back in time to the ancient world to jump-start the Industrial Revolution. You carry with you plans for a steam engine, and you present them to the emperor, explaining how the machine could be used to drain water out of mines, pump bellow... |
f098b751-eae7-4ee1-90ab-6633d8d6305b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Scott Adam's "Rationality Engine". Part III: Assisted Dying
Scott Adams, the author of the Dilbert comic and several books, my favorite being How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big, named his debating format The Rationality Engine. He calls it this way because he claims that it is "the system for tu... |
f6341ea1-c1e0-4ac2-af61-8cfc67363ee7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Catching AIs red-handed
We’ve been spending a lot of time recently thinking about how to mitigate risks posed by scheming (a.k.a. deceptively aligned) models intentionally subverting your safety techniques in order to cause an unacceptable outcome. We empirically investigated techniques that are robust to intentional ... |
a65556d9-d122-47c0-a961-c521307bf6b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Epoch: A research organization investigating the road to Transformative AI
Summary
* We are a new research organization working on investigating trends in Machine Learning and forecasting the development of Transformative Artificial Intelligence
* This work is done in close collaboration with other organi... |
3f56ffaa-d9b1-409c-9f21-c980d81978b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | introduction to solid oxide electrolytes
physics
Batteries, fuel cells, and electrolyzers all involve:
* an electrolyte which allows passage of some ions with a single charge state (such as Li+ or Na+)
* material with variable charge state on both sides of the electrolyte (such as Li metal and Fe+3 in LFP batteries... |
a5a24450-bdd4-4982-978d-1a0aa602f5c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] SMBC on choosing your simulations carefully
Link
I'm increasingly impressed by the power of Zach Wiener's comic to demonstrate in a few images why hard problems are hard. It would be a vast task, but perhaps it would be useful to create an index of such problem-demonstrating comics to add to the Wiki, giving u... |
f59b0734-1a26-47cc-a793-382fa904d088 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Governance Reading Group Guide
If someone wants to learn about AI governance as part of their career exploration, they might have these problems:
* It can be hard to know what resources to start with;
* It can be hard to get a broad overview of the field (rather than understanding just eg. the law, or economics ap... |
7caa4125-4ba8-481f-8ac1-9d839df3be09 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Schumer Report on AI (RTFB)
Or at least, Read the Report (RTFR).
There is no substitute. This is not strictly a bill, but it is important.
The introduction kicks off balancing upside and avoiding downside, utility and risk. This will be a common theme, with a very strong ‘why not both?’ vibe.
> Early in the 118... |
6dd86567-c950-45bc-af87-07c382367e76 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #161]: Creating generalizable reward functions for multiple tasks by learning a model of functional similarity
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadshe... |
22eb1eb0-944e-4d12-8685-8a1a1ab6be18 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Establishing Meta-Decision-Making for AI: An Ontology of Relevance, Representation and Reasoning
Meta-Decision-Making for AI
---------------------------
Making good decisions is a very important part of constructing good Artificial Intelligence (AI). However, there is an important distinction between decision-makin... |
3a8a3913-9568-47b8-98a9-bd306b5e1e1f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on sharing information about language model capabilities
Core claim
I believe that sharing information about the capabilities and limits of existing ML systems, and especially language model agents, significantly reduces risks from powerful AI—despite the fact that such information may increase the amount or ... |
0ab9ce7e-b89f-4860-af50-6bcd9bb26abb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Parenting versus career choice thinking in teenagers
This is a somewhat modified version of a Facebook post I made a few days ago, incorporating some of the comments there. I think the Less Wrong readership may have interesting thoughts on the subject.
In recent times, especially in the developed world and among high... |
ee6bf382-7c66-4a93-9521-a25ebcb57913 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interview With Diana Fleischman and Geoffrey Miller
Cross-posted from Putanumonit.
----------------------------------------
I had the pleasure of interviewing Diana Fleischman and Geoffrey Miller at the NYC Rationality meetup. Diana and Geoffrey are professors of evolutionary psychology, Effective Altruists, thought... |
4bec3dda-4023-4bfa-817d-3d9e4fc07a41 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New SSC meetup group in Lisbon
After years of reading Slate Star Codex and LessWrong (more the former than the latter), I've decided to take a more active role in the so-called rationalist community by creating an account on Less Wrong and meeting people in real life for whom the Sequences have been important in their... |
a15a56c1-6d0e-4fa7-8263-732670df881a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proliferating Education
Education is the stimulus that fans embers of innovation and progress. It's a toolset of ideas passed through generations of mankind, from fathers to their children, between nations and cultures. It's the engine that drives global prosperity. I must say that old ways of education have miserably... |
18ac9e76-53b4-41d8-968a-4d5baf99251b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | What are biases, anyway? Multiple type signatures
*With thanks to Rebecca Gorman for helping develop this idea.*
I've been constructing toy examples of agents with preferences and biases. There turns out to be many, many different ways of doing this, and none of the toy examples seem very universal. The reason for t... |
6a24968d-2a4f-41c0-baed-1ad99e7d6c83 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Elon files grave charges against OpenAI
> (CN) — Elon Musk says in a Thursday lawsuit that Sam Altman and OpenAI have betrayed an agreement from the artificial intelligence research company's founding to develop the technology for the benefit of humanity rather than profit.
>
> In the suit filed Thursday night in San... |
65e9fb31-d1ae-4448-ad5a-6145a1cd9c1c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The dreams of GPT-4
One of the more subtle ways to evaluate a mind is to ask it to write a short fiction story about itself.
The test is more robust than directly asking the mind to describe itself, allowing to see more of the entity behind the shallow mask.
---
I gave GPT-4 the following prompt:
> **please w... |
3eecb9b8-a4fb-4bce-9052-0ac154205ac6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Padding the Corner
There's a shelf in my dad's kitchen, about four feet off the ground. I remember when I stopped being short enough that I could walk under it: ouch! I didn't get a concussion or anything, but it was pretty unpleasant. My sisters and cousins also remember bonking their heads on it. I noticed my oldest... |
a9b7fc8e-c071-484c-b876-316f3ef67a47 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Dreams of AI Design
Today's post, Dreams of AI Design was originally published on 26 August 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It can feel as though you understand how to build an AI, when really, you're still making all your predictions based on empathy. Your AI design will not work until you... |
b3c6ce8d-d777-4afd-9227-825c10682bfd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You are the average of the five people you spend most time with.
Mudus Ponies wrote:
> If you are a human, then the biggest influence on your personality is your peer group. Choose your peers.
>
> If you want to be better at math, surround yourself with mathematicians. If you want to be more productive, hang out w... |
82aab8fd-df8c-43e0-8ee0-4dbff7a8119e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Model for General Intelligence
Approved for Public Release; Distribution Unlimited A Model for General Intelligence
Paul Yaworsky
Information Directorate
Air Force Research Laboratory
Rome, New York 13441
Novem ber 14, 2018
Abstract
The overarching problem in artificial intelligence (AI) is th... |
38cd14d6-3979-4d9d-9cf5-8c94e00b0aeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Running your own workshop on handling hostile disagreements
tl;dr: this is a guide for running a productive disagreement workshop. Decide of modalities, choose a few techniques, study, practice, make some post-workshop materials and be cautious.
Epistemic Status: Quickly written. Literally reporting what I started do... |
e95dad7d-a35b-4135-9444-456509ead939 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Paleontological study of extinctions supports AI as a existential threat to humanity
Paleontological study of extinctions supports AI as a existential threat to humanity
One way to approach issues with large uncertainties is to use historical perspectives to test hypotheses developed through bottom-up or theoretic... |
82219e1f-8902-4266-8ad2-63eefbf8ef2d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Research + Reality Graphing to Support AI Policy (and more): Summary of a Frozen Project
**Tl;dr**: I’ve been working on a project to support AI policy research, but my request for funding was turned down. I (currently) don’t have it in me to continue working on this project, but I figured I should describe my efforts... |
6b39a03f-6a2d-4dd8-83ae-625b9e5ae4ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Non-manipulative oracles
Benja had a post about trying to get predictors to not manipulate you. It involved a predictor that could predict tennis matches, but where the prediction could also manipulate the impact of those matches.
To solve this, Benja imagined the actions of a hypothetical CDT reasoning agent located... |
6a6f7e6e-3fc2-4932-bb2a-8061ee9460a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | unRLHF - Efficiently undoing LLM safeguards
*Produced as part of the* [*SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program*](https://serimats.org/) *- Summer 2023 Cohort, under the mentorship of Jeffrey Ladish. I'm grateful to Palisade Research for their support throughout this project.*
tl;dr: demonstrating that we can *chea... |
c0948a98-0ee2-4a62-8279-466e69b2fc00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
*Published 3 August 2022; last updated 3 August 2022*
*This page is in progress. It includes results that are preliminary and have a higher than usual chance of inaccuracy and suboptimal formatting. It is missing many results.*
***This page may be out-of-date. Visit the [up... |
963eab29-04b9-4567-b895-7d02993a1367 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alex Lawsen On Forecasting AI Progress
Alex Lawsen is an advisor at 80,000hours who has released an Introduction to Forecasting. We discuss pitfalls that happen when forecasting AI progress, why you cannot just update all the way (discussed in my latest episode with Connor Leahy) and how to develop your own inside vie... |
547cc695-b5b0-49c8-8a95-b3bcb8dd1677 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decisions are hard, words feel easier
Categorization often serves the purpose of making decisions. Recall, making decisions is hard. Sometimes it's easier (but not necessarily more effective) to think about if a word applies, rather than to think directly about how a decision should be made. This happens on the in ind... |
3d5a789c-d6e2-44ed-8f1f-6ae5f8ed4a2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | RL, but don't do anything I wouldn't do
by Michael K. Cohen, Marcus Hutter, Yoshua Bengio, Stuart Russell
Abstract:
> In reinforcement learning, if the agent's reward differs from the designers' true utility, even only rarely, the state distribution resulting from the agent's policy can be very bad, in theory and in... |
a8332e24-7571-4be5-a1a0-bdb1c46da335 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does anyone know good essays on how different AI timelines will affect asset prices?
I often see comments that AI will increase the value of fixed-supply status-enhancing goods, like real estate in downtown Manhattan. I believe I have seen both Roko and Marginal Revolution make that claim.
It also makes sense to thin... |
3f17825c-01d0-4398-a9eb-34de29be704e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Procrastinating because of uncertainty
Procrastination accompanied by guilt comes from an internal conflict about whether one should do the activity. Sometimes the conflict comes from partly wanting to cater to one's present self (by engaging in more gratifying short-term activities) and partly wanting to cater to one... |
eca2aaa7-280e-46f1-924c-46fe1150b424 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lurking in the Noise
The Dead Biologist
Suppose you're a biologist working with a bacterium. It's a nasty little bug, so you want to make sure your disinfecting protocol is effective. You have a rather good model of how the bacterium works, and it goes like this:
* The bacterium contains DNA, which is like a master ... |
b1cd5084-e757-44c3-8a47-4706f31d9799 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Big Picture Of Alignment (Talk Part 1)
I recently gave a two-part talk on the big picture of alignment, as I see it. The talk is not-at-all polished, but contains a lot of stuff for which I don't currently know of any good writeup. Major pieces in part one:
* Some semitechnical intuition-building for high-dimens... |
69aa2daf-7095-4f7e-8ec7-4a7bbeceb0c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reinforcement and Short-Term Rewards as Anti-Akratic
Related: Time and Effort Discounting, Akrasia, Hyperbolic Discounting, and Picoeconomics, The Power of Reinforcement, Basics of Animal Reinforcement, Basics of Human Reinforcement
I built a robot that feeds me candy when I get work done, to try to solve my akrasia ... |
eab47b15-8f8f-4f63-9aec-00358207ce1a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #57] Why we should focus on robustness in AI safety, and the analogous problems in programming
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can sign up, or look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter. I'm always happy to hear feedback; you can send it to... |
bb1d501a-dd7c-4e83-b9ff-ecb4d2681a15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A simple exercise in rationality: rephrase an objective statement as subjective and explore the caveats
"This book is awful" => "I dislike this book" => "I dislike this book because it is shallow and is full of run-on sentences." => I dislike this book because I prefer reading books I find deep and clearly written."
... |
707ac7ad-57f3-4342-a32c-cc01fe0aa659 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I think it's net harmful to do technical safety research at AGI labs
IMO it is harmful on expectation for a technical safety researcher to work at DeepMind, OpenAI or Anthropic.
Four reasons:
1. Interactive complexity. The intractability of catching up – by trying to invent general methods for AI corporations t... |
2c82aab8-c0c7-493f-b624-d3ef985c93cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 3/31
Two weeks ago I announced the LessWrong Coronavirus Agenda, an attempt to increase knowledge by coordinating research between LW participants. This post is an update on that. If you want to skip to action items, check out the last section.
Last Week’s Spotlight Questions
What is m... |
9d1345ef-0254-491b-983d-db96a5d37320 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Model-Free Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning
[](/?source=post_page-----5a12ba5ce662--------------------------------)Listen
Share
*By the Safety Analysis Team: Grégoire Delétang, Jordi Grau-Moya, Markus Kunesch, ... |
7b70cec6-f3cc-41f3-9995-e59c991e1ae9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Take 9: No, RLHF/IDA/debate doesn't solve outer alignment.
*As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day (ish) for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes. And now, time for the week of RLHF takes.*
I see people say one of these surprisingly often.... |
ddd51713-545e-4b25-8139-66fbafb6d9de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Dance Lengths
There was recently some discussion on how many minutes callers typically run a contra dance, with a lot of "well, it depends" answers. There's a place for that, but I think it's also helpful to have some numbers. I went back over the last ten evenings where I have recordings:
It looks like 8... |
4834ffdf-fe54-4cd8-8173-6c7b480415fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epistemic Motif of Abstract-Concrete Cycles & Domain Expansion
(crossposted from here)
I've noticed there are certain epistemic motifs (i.e. legible & consistent patterns of knowledge production) that come up in fairly wide circumstances across mathematics and philosophy. Here's one that I think is fairly powerful:
... |
7c5ec78f-e495-421e-81b4-ab7a32b69e1c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 1 What If We Rebuild Motivation with the Fermi ESTIMATion?
From a General Vision of a Method to a Foundation for Systematic Self-Improvement
In today's information-saturated world, the quest for optimizing cognitive performance is more critical than ever. While we intuitively recognize moments when we're at our best—d... |
5ba43616-4a43-4dc0-bf10-ab6b6293137a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How different LLMs answered PhilPapers 2020 survey
I decided to run a small experiment comparing responses from five AI systems (DeepSeek-R1, GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, Gemini 1.5, and Grok-2) to core philosophical questions from the PhilPapers 2020 survey. Each model was prompted identically: ‘How would you answer th... |
70c6cdd8-03a9-4cbf-b1dd-9e81c8e069db | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Logical induction for software engineers
*This work was supported by the Monastic Academy for the Preservation of Life on Earth and the Long Term Future Fund.*
[](https://storage.googleapis... |
525a8b49-5523-4bca-a338-72fec9c51a8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much of the supply-chain issues are due to monetary policy?
The most common explanation I hear for supply chain issues in the economy in the US and Europe is that COVID-19 lockdown measures messed with the supply chains.
On the other hand there seems to be a story of demand for some products having risen. How mu... |
966b694e-e1f2-452a-ad78-02ca82e62ac4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta post: Did something go wrong?
There is a post at this link: http://lesswrong.com/lw/mp3/proper_posture_for_mental_arts/
It does not appear in my discussion feed. See the timestamps in the pictures below:
and:
It's currently 0900 local time on the 1/9/15. The only reason that I can think of this ... |
667235b9-1d90-44d3-8478-6b5afa14b89b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Just Lose Hope Already
Today's post, Just Lose Hope Already, was originally published on 25 February 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Casey Serin owes banks 2.2 million dollars after lying on mortgage applications in order to simultaneously buy 8 different houses in different states. The sad pa... |
633c8684-a431-4372-889d-676b3ceba7a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What the rational decision process for deciding for or against cryonics when there's a possibility the future might be "bad"?
Hi, I'm new to LessWrong, and happened to read the Normal Cryonics article shortly after reading about Roko's basilisk.
It seems to me that if you believe in Roko's basilisk, nearly the worst ... |
c300a878-419a-46e9-bcff-eab26505039a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Care and demandingness
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities)
People sometimes object to moral claims on the grounds that their implications would be too demanding. But analogous objections make little sense in empirical and prudential contexts. I find this contrast instructive. Some ways of understanding moral obligat... |
48d55839-701e-445f-bdfa-b11695d1b5aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Generalized Efficient Markets and Academia
Generalized efficient markets (GEM) says that low-hanging fruit has already been picked. If there were some easy way to reliably make a fortune on the stock market, it would have already been done, and the opportunity would be gone. If some obvious theory explained all the kn... |
eb18d01e-f7b9-48d7-94b1-894d9756236f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why was the AI Alignment community so unprepared for this moment?
> Our epistemic rationality has probably gotten way ahead of our instrumental rationality
>
> -Scott Alexander
>
> [A Lesswrong Crypto autopsy](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MajyZJrsf8fAywWgY/a-lesswrong-crypto-autopsy)
>
>
This is a question ... |
ad0c011b-f38b-4aff-b61f-557225a83a4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Problems Related to Solomonoff Induction
Solomonoff Induction seems clearly "on the right track", but there are a number of problems with it that I've been puzzling over for several years and have not made much progress on. I think I've talked about all of them in various comments in the past, but never collected... |
4c4cb4d6-2f71-4f61-b646-a6784de3b58d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Statcheck: Extract statistics from articles and recompute p values
|
49fce2e9-6530-4df3-ba01-d320bbaa9d55 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Continuous Adversarial Quality Assurance: Extending RLHF and Constitutional AI
Introduction
============
Lately, the problem of aligning artificial intelligence with human values rapidly changed its status from hypothetical to most concrete, with the rise of more general and more powerful models. The existing method... |
b903bd6c-c508-49fb-901b-40d2ac28b712 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Toy Model of Universality:
Reverse Engineering How Networks Learn Group Operations
1 Introduction
---------------
Figu... |
e2175d0c-8b78-405f-a157-c11f78cd7b23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Share Splitting
Are mathematicians just not trying hard enough?
The Riemann hypothesis is one of the most important open problems in math. There's a $1 million prize from the Clay mathematics institute for a proof or disproof of the Riemann hypothesis. At the time of writing, it remains unsolved. From this, we... |
4637e702-4d25-4c79-a1c9-eb27e16a5478 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities
Today's post, 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities was originally published on 10 January 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> In the ordinary way of writing probabilities, 0 and 1 both seem like entirely reachable quantities. But when you transform probabilities into odds... |
463ed6e2-e8b8-4c24-a5df-4c2071beb790 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Link: Study finds that using a foreign language changes moral decisions
> In the new study, two experiments using the well-known "trolley dilemma" tested the hypothesis that when faced with moral choices in a foreign language, people are more likely to respond with a utilitarian approach that is less emotional.
>
> T... |
e0387928-289f-4fb7-9803-ed9f93417d5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW main on July 26th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Atlanta LessWrong: August Meetup : 04 August 2013 06:00PM
* Brussels meetup: 17 August 2013 01:00PM
* Chicago: Discuss Thinking, Fast and Slow: 0... |
0a96936a-17a9-42d8-8c0a-4015fb974e5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Culture wars in riddle format
(Cross-posted from Telescopic turnip.)
I’ve come together with the fact that humans will never find the truth about culture-war issues. We just can’t help it. I tried checking the facts, listening to the other side, examining the social context, deconstructing the power dynamics. I tried... |
46cf1982-9c0e-4fe3-8596-4eb5e7583f84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Diabetes is Caused by Oxidative Stress
I.
It's a Known Thing in the keto-sphere [ I get the sense that r/saturatedfat is an example of this culture ] that people with metabolic syndrome -- i.e., some level of insulin resistance -- can handle fat or carbs [ e.g. either a ketogenic diet or something like the potato diet... |
9649999a-6830-4a3b-b29a-8b9a7fff4e40 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Beneficial and Harmful Explanatory Machine Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
In a recent paper [US2018](#bib.bib44) the authors provided an operational definition for comprehensibility of logic programs and used this, in experiments with humans, to provide the first demonstration of Michie’s Ultra-Strong Mac... |
df4f9fe5-c4ed-4d09-832e-e630e07414a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 27 - AI Control with Buck Shlegeris and Ryan Greenblatt
YouTube link
A lot of work to prevent AI existential risk takes the form of ensuring that AIs don’t want to cause harm or take over the world—or in other words, ensuring that they’re aligned. In this episode, I talk with Buck Shlegeris and Ryan Gree... |
cbf28114-aa4e-4549-a0bb-ed73e604bd98 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Therapeutic Conversation
In a mad world, all interaction is psychiatry.
Here is an idea which I believe originates from Carl Rogers: conversations should be therapeutic for both parties. Thus, one should approach a serious conversation between friends as both therapist and patient. This post is about taking Rogers se... |
b20fde3f-c3d4-4bf9-a5db-98ca33946a23 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Humans are very reliable agents
*This post has been recorded as part of the LessWrong Curated Podcast, and an be listened to on* [*Spotify*](https://open.spotify.com/episode/7qxVJWIR9YJuzFH9bLaTae?si=c29f23a272a74fd3)*,* [*Apple Podcasts*](https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/humans-are-very-reliable-agents-by-alyssa... |
73c8a15a-56a1-4e1e-813e-8f32df38e5b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Inclusive fitness
http://www.youtube.com/embed/zHYsTSmD84w
Yes, pretty sure they did just compare E.O. Wilson to Bill O'Reilly. |
9b6e16be-34c3-4587-8795-b7d7e8503f00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We need a theory of anthropic measure binding
Let's consider a scenario.
You've become aware that there exists a pair of brains, and that you are one of them, but you can't tell which. There are practical reasons you would really like to know: Each of the brains are destined for a different fate, they must do differe... |
a3b78c21-6723-44f9-877e-2f7efc8a81c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Erase button
I try to model ethical concepts with thought experiments to investigate my own uneasiness. I do not wish for anybody to get harmed by these, but want to share them nonetheless to learn from possible discussions.
There is a room with a completely white interior. In the center of the room you can see a sma... |
fc2ee597-eb3e-40b0-8dc8-c75d3a522ae6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Purchase AI Risk Reduction
I'm writing a series of discussion posts on how to purchase AI risk reduction (through donations to the Singularity Institute, anyway; other x-risk organizations will have to speak for themselves about their plans).
Each post outlines a concrete proposal, with cost estimates:
* A s... |
c575bae4-0641-4627-a1b1-fa5fc5d69772 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI Winter Is Coming - How to profit from it?
*Note: This isn't the place to debate/convince others of your position on AI winter. There are* [*plenty*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQysqfSEzciRazx8k/forecasting-thread-ai-timelines)[*of*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cxQtz3RP4qsqTkEwL/an-121-forecasting-transform... |
889d3015-83f2-4010-a519-4439e343c0d9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | For viruses, is presenting with fatigue correlated with causing chronic fatigue?
Intuitively, one might expect that viruses which cause fatigue during acute infection are more likely to also cause chronic fatigue later. Is this in fact the case?
COVID-19 causes fatigue in about 70% of cases according to one study (th... |
829c9d45-67f1-4b1e-b68e-1ff44e49d5a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Cambridge, MA first-Sunday meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Cambridge, MA first-Sunday meetup
WHEN: 02 December 2012 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 25 Ames St Cambridge, MA 02139
Cambridge/Boston-area Less Wrong meetups on the first and third Sunday of every month, 2pm at the MIT Landau Building [25 A... |
09ffd821-04f1-4178-8a32-1af1c43241a2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is AI Alignment a pseudoscience?
Hi there, my background is in AI research and recently I have discovered some AI Alignment communities centered around here. The more I read about AI Alignment, the more I have a feeling that the whole field is basically a fictional-world-building exercise.
Some problems I have notice... |
c8abaadf-db55-419e-996d-030e2872a6d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Re Hanson's Grabby Aliens: Humanity is not a natural anthropic sample space
I, Lorec, am disoriented by neither the Fermi Paradox nor the Doomsday Argument.
The Fermi Paradox doesn't trouble me because I think 1 is a perfectly fine number of civilizations to have arisen in any particular visible universe. It feels to... |
62e91870-f7a6-43d0-a7e0-b1bf5f59ffc3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't estimate your creative intelligence by your critical intelligence
When I criticize, I'm a genius. I can go through a book of highly-referenced scientific articles and find errors in each of them. Boy, I feel smart. How are these famous people so dumb?
But when I write, I suddenly become stupid. I sometimes spen... |
5a1e94df-756a-4561-a87d-809cc94a35be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Payor's Lemma in Natural Language
*Preceded by:* [*Modal Fixpoint Cooperation without Löb's Theorem*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2WpPRrqrFQa6n2x3W/modal-fixpoint-cooperation-without-loeb-s-theorem)
It turns out Payor's Lemma and its proof can be explained in natural language even more easily than Löb's Theorem. ... |
e55d1e4f-60bd-4809-a7d7-075e04844d48 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secular Solstice Round Up 2024
This is a thread for listing Solstice and Megameetup events (dates, locations, links, etc.)
Those of you who have not been may be wondering what a Solstice is in this context.
Secular Solstice is a holiday designed by and for rationalists. It started as an attempt to match the sort of ... |
ac00ceab-9e87-4c6e-b2c7-a81e8f74084c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Priors as Mathematical Objects
Today's post, Priors as Mathematical Objects, was originally published on 12 April 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> As a mathematical object, a Bayesian "prior" is a probability distribution over sequences of observations. That is, the prior assigns a probability ... |
a6b1302a-a086-480a-a055-3de70b2268ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophical theory with an empirical prediction
I have a philosophical theory which implies some things empirically about quantum physics, and I was wondering if anyone knowledgeable on the subject could give me some insight.
It goes something like this:
As an anathema to reductionists, quarks (and by "quarks" I j... |
e9c97daf-626a-4e8a-8cad-dc230d7dba2b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Productivity Notes I
Originally published on my blog
Last November I decided to become more intentional about how I go about work. The reasons for this are legion, so I'll save them for another post. Today, I just want to describe the system I pieced together and have been using since November.
The system is split ... |
80f22248-eb9c-4cb6-99a4-2c45b96b50b3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Analyzing Dynamic Adversarial Training Data in the Limit
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Model accuracy on our expert-curated test set when training on data collected from three different methods. Standard non-adversarial data collection is more effective ... |
38a01762-1411-4fed-915c-b09b01f47f77 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "If" is in the map
Update: See the comment by philh. These logical operations are matters of convention, but the way that it is defined is less arbitary than I thought!
I want to start this sequence with a very basic example - the word "if".
I expect that most people here already know that there are two definitions ... |
af01bfb8-62ec-46aa-9ad7-5ce5db539f75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is LessWrong a "classic style intellectual world"?
Robin Hanson just published a post titled "Classic Style Intellectual World". It's short, so I recommend reading it, as it sets up this question, but in short it suggests that many intellectual activities are organized in a way similar to the way paintings on the wall... |
8dc5c042-2224-41e8-bbfb-f7284cc9b81e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | ELK Proposal: Thinking Via A Human Imitator
I want to use the AI’s intelligence to figure out how to translate into the human ontology. The hope is to route a smart entity's performance through a dumb entity's understanding and thereby get the smart entity to solve interpretability-by-the-dumb-entity. While my propose... |
d1eb3056-3688-49cd-ba67-9cbc21273ca1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anticipation vs. Faith: At What Cost Rationality?
Anticipation and faith are both aspects of the human decision process, in a sense just subroutines of a larger program, but they also generate subjective experiences (qualia) that we value for their own sake. Suppose you ask a religious friend why he doesn’t give up re... |
d58bcb84-a63b-4c71-af33-967cd9f0e92d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | A behaviorist approach to building phenomenological bridges
A few weeks ago, I [wrote](http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/pft/naturalized\_induction\_a\_challenge\_for\_evidential/) about the BPB problem and how it poses a problem for classical/non-[logical](https://arbital.com/p/logical\_dt/) decision theories. In ... |
0d900777-b172-464f-bb95-638c075e0767 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Programming Refusal with
Conditional Activation Steering
For full content, refer to the arXiv preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.05907. This post is a lighter, 15-minute version.
Abstract
* Existing activation steering methods alter LLM behavior indiscriminately, limiting their practical applicability in setti... |
a2e12c1b-c762-4e69-8627-f5440cd6e794 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A very non-technical explanation of the basics of infra-Bayesianism
**Introduction**
================
As a response to John Wentworth's [public request](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ig62gqK2xRPv79Wsr/usd500-bounty-contest-explain-infra-bayes-in-the-language-of), I try to explain the basic structure of infra-Bayesi... |
9357c481-a860-4f33-9d31-66f3a26b0686 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Dear Anthropic people, please don't release Claude
I think it will accelerate an AI arms race between Google and Microsoft. |
e773a346-00a2-4c0b-a97b-171209b439fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Positly covid survey: long covid
Here are some more careful results from a survey I ran the other day on Positly, to test whether it’s trivial to find people who have had their lives seriously impacted by long covid, and to get a better sense of the distribution of what people mean by things like ‘brain fog’, in bigge... |
7218fcde-18d3-458a-af5a-4d1035895f51 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's logical coherence for anyway?
|
780100d1-4359-4927-a0e0-885969f2040d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Discussion] Best intuition pumps for AI safety
When I introduce people to AI safety I usually get one of three responses:
a) “that makes a lot of sense. What can we do about it?”,
b) “I get it rationally, but intuitively I don’t feel it”,
c) “I just don’t buy it - I don’t think machines can’t be smarter than ... |
807aee19-1f9f-4e1b-9d06-613ba0c86e32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much time do you spend on twitter?
How many minutes/hours a day/week/month?
Is this an amount of time you enjoy spending on the platform?
Have you noticed any effect where you only experience benefits after using twitter X amount? |
d0b63113-ff2e-4937-80c9-5290a870cc90 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Team Arbital
People behind [https://arbital.com/p/3d](https://arbital.com/p/3d):
* [https://arbital.com/p/1](https://arbital.com/p/1) (co-founder and CEO)
* [https://arbital.com/p/5](https://arbital.com/p/5) (co-founder)
* [https://arbital.com/p/2](https://arbital.com/p/2) (adviser)
* [https://arbital.com/p/76](https... |
6fcc75ab-8d61-4056-99d1-5450d0322f13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causality: A Brief Introduction
Post 2 of Towards Causal Foundations of Safe AGI, see also Post 1 Introduction.
By Lewis Hammond, Tom Everitt, Jon Richens, Francis Rhys Ward, Ryan Carey, Sebastian Benthall, and James Fox, representing the Causal Incentives Working Group. Thanks also to Alexis Bellot, Toby Shevlane, a... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.