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2d554206-76f9-4364-a5c8-633c49bdacd0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Retrospective Look at the Guild of Servants: Alpha Phase Executive Summary The Guild of Servants is an organization founded in August 2020 aimed at providing structure and community to rationalists, and others with similar ambitions, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The Alpha Phase of the project recently conc...
c87c9288-76a7-4582-8d26-789a61972885
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Alignment - Path to AI as ally, not slave nor foe More thoughts resulting from my previous [post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CNN7dboyQ3AEQsvke/half-baked-alignment-idea) I'd like to argue that rather than trying hopelessly to fully control an AI that is smarter than we are, we should rather treat it as an ind...
36ea5279-c3d0-4be2-92e5-a32fda541f18
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Perceiver AR: general-purpose, long-context autoregressive generation Over the last few years, autoregressive Transformers have brought a steady stream of breakthroughs in generative modeling. These models generate each element of a sample – the pixels of an image, the characters of a text (typically in “token” chunks...
79f578b3-3c8e-40e9-89f6-d81e551ae19b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Unbounded linear utility functions? The LW community seems to assume, by default, that "unbounded, linear utility functions are reasonable."  That is, if you value the existence of 1 swan at 1.5 utilons, then 10 swans should be worth 15, etc. Yudkowsky in his post on scope insensitivity argues that nonlinearity of pe...
2b613101-5b12-4095-a1f6-a0a054a833e2
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Interview with Nectome CEO Robert McIntyre - Brain Preservation, Personal Identity, AGI, and More This is cross-posted from my blog and is written more for a general audience rather than LessWrong people who will be more familiar with some of the relevant concepts. Robert McIntrye is an all-around smart and interesti...
2e5b2b48-1cd7-4466-8b6a-93fd80877c8c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Importance of Judging: A Reflection on Rational Thought Epistemic status: Mostly sorting out my own thoughts here. Feel free to try to convince me I am wrong. In earlier drafts of this post, I held the belief that "judging people is bad." I even went to great lengths to avoid passing judgment and occasionally adj...
779f5e03-97c1-4537-b007-e071c47710a6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Interpretations of "probability" (Written for Arbital in 2016.) ---------------------------------------- What does it mean to say that a flipped coin has a 50% probability of landing heads? Historically, there are two popular types of answers to this question, the "frequentist" and "subjective" (aka "Bayesian") ans...
0d4e81a4-3b9e-4418-9db5-9417c3d97e56
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Persuasion Tools: AI takeover without AGI or agency? *[epistemic status: speculation]* > I'm envisioning that in the future there will also be systems where you can input any conclusion that you want to argue (including moral conclusions) and the target audience, and the system will give you the most convincing argu...
191537d4-c731-4dac-a85d-5ecb4c5b25fd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Alignment solutions for weak AI don't (necessarily) scale to strong AI "We do not know, and probably aren't even close to knowing, how to align a superintelligence. And RLHF is very cool for what we use it for today, but thinking that the alignment problem is now solved would be a very grave mistake indeed." - Sam Alt...
e95d7c56-d8fb-43b4-af43-ab68cf68b351
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Economic Thinking Economics is often portrayed as a dismal science. It seems to be about a small group of experts talking mostly about monetary policy. I want to argue that this is not true and that there is an elegant, natural and simple interpretation that admits far-reaching applications. Finite thinking First, w...
593bba94-b5bb-48f4-8bd0-f70272f87679
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
LLMs for Alignment Research: a safety priority? A recent short story by Gabriel Mukobi illustrates a near-term scenario where things go bad because new developments in LLMs allow LLMs to accelerate capabilities research without a correspondingly large acceleration in safety research. This scenario is disturbingly clo...
398683e2-42f5-4cfe-baee-a78faca8a8eb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Money-generating environments vs. wealth-building environments (or "my thoughts on the stock market") Crossposted. Very interested in whether you think I'm right; also interested in the ways you think I'm wrong. This post is going to include a discussion of the stock market, which means that I am obligated to begin ...
eaf87a68-8ea9-40bd-b378-66c43d637e5c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
DeepMind x UCL RL Lecture Series - Deep Reinforcement Learning #1 [12/13] today i'll be discussing an exciting era of research that's been instrumental to many recent successes in reinforcement learning and this is uh typically referred to as deep reinforcement learning so this is the combination of reinforcement lear...
19e3cc82-4713-4a29-9188-8d61007666be
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Learning to play Minecraft with Video PreTraining Video PreTraining (VPT): Learning to Act by Watching Unlabeled Online Videos Bowen Bakery bowen@openai.comIlge Akkayay ilge@openai.comPeter Zhokhovy peterz@openai.comJoost Huizingay joost@openai.com Jie Tangy jietang@openai.comAdrien Ecoffety adrien@openai.comBra...
13a768ab-94f7-437e-b38f-a35daf43fb83
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Vienna Meetup Discussion article for the meetup : Vienna Meetup WHEN: 17 August 2013 03:00:00PM (+0100) WHERE: Universitätsstraße 7, 1010 Wien The Meetup will be held at the NIG, room 2G on the second floor, Universitätsstraße 7, 1010 Wien. This time, the discussion will be led by Andreas, focusing on the...
82a2d5ef-16fa-4854-9584-86c3f86f1791
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Living in Many Worlds Today's post, Living in Many Worlds was originally published on 05 June 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > The many worlds of quantum mechanics are not some strange, alien universe into which you have been thrust. They are where you have always lived. Egan's Law: "It all ...
e4461143-b9b1-42e6-9b4e-859d3e3ccb50
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Wise Sayings Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Wise Sayings WHEN: 25 October 2015 03:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: National Portrait Gallery Crossposted from mailing list. Meeting in courtyard, gathering from 3:00 to 3:30 to start at 3:30. We'll be meeting to share and discu...
f6098d6e-d95d-40b0-9a24-5a7340277f59
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Don't try to solve the entire alignment problem On first approaching the [alignment problem](https://arbital.com/p/2v) for [advanced agents](https://arbital.com/p/2c), aka "[robust](https://arbital.com/p/2l) and [beneficial](https://arbital.com/p/3d9) [AGI](https://arbital.com/p/42g)", aka "[Friendly AI](https://arbit...
3e2416f0-f832-41a4-8646-4c02ef35e56c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Autocurricula and the Emergence of Innovation from Social Interaction: A Manifesto for Multi-Agent Intelligence Research The Problem Problem ------------------- \tcolorbox Highlights * [leftmargin=\*] * General intelligence is connected to the ability to adapt and prosper in a wide range of environments. * Generat...
c87ce1c5-fdb1-4441-ab34-6b63c1dc263c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Winners of the AI Safety Nudge Competition The AI Safety Nudge Competition aims to encourage people to do things related to AI Safety today instead of procrastinating it into the future by allowing them to enter into a draw if they complete the goal that they set for themselves.   Participants defined a specific goa...
c378e333-4a06-4689-a4af-cf531691894f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Will OpenAI's work unintentionally increase existential risks related to AI? [The original question was "Is OpenAI increasing the existential risks related to AI?" I changed it to the current one following a discussion with Rohin in the comments. It clarifies that my question asks about the consequences of OpenAI's wo...
d23e4149-6354-4f0b-a5a5-192b09622a06
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What is the theory of change behind writing papers about AI safety? Papers in AIS highlight some partial solutions to AIS-related problems (like machine unlearning), make progress on some approaches to the core problems of AI safety, like machine interoperability or are just about some safety failures of current AI sa...
68cef836-a101-4a46-9689-ca00c991561d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
LW Beta Feature: Side-Comments LessWrong now has side-comments. This feature is in beta; you can turn it on for yourself on individual posts using the triple-dot menu below the post title, or enable it for all posts by going to your user settings and checking the "Opt into experimental features" checkbox in the Site C...
9cc3b9f8-844d-405b-ae1d-dbec3655730d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Draft: Reasons to Use Informal Probabilities > If I roll 15 fair 6-sided dice, take the ones that rolled 4 or higher, roll them again, and sum up all the die rolls... what is the probability that I drop at least one die on the floor? There are two different ways of using probability. When we think of probability, we ...
5e3166ab-602d-41ca-892f-26ec8f13d2ce
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What time in your life were you the most productive at learning and/or thinking and why? Example answers include “high school math camp, because we were forced to do X and because there was an atmosphere of amicable competition” or “that day when I locked myself in a room with a textbook” or “the day when I studied X,...
3cdf5e72-eedf-4001-96e4-87bcdbcad565
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On polytopes [Epistemic status: slightly ranty. This is a lightly edited slack chat, and so may be lower-quality.] I am surprised by the perennial spikes in excitement about "polytopes" and "tropical geometry on activation space" in machine learning and interpretability[1]. I'm not going to discuss tropical geometry ...
ba2fab0c-6c13-4d94-8e58-3493aeb5ff05
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Notes on Loyalty This post examines the virtue of loyalty. It is meant mostly as an exploration of what other people have learned about this virtue, rather than as me expressing my own opinions about it, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, according to my own inclinations. I wrote th...
b7993aa1-6af5-4fe3-8406-c188a1001d02
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Powerless Moral Evaluation [Disclaimer: this is my first post on Less Wrong. Comments and criticism appreciated, but constructive criticism especially appreciated. The below is a reactionary argument/a reactionary conceptual frame, though I would not describe myself as a reactionary.] One prominent way to assess the ...
34c0937a-b3fa-4a43-96dd-c2af93ebffb4
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Occam's razor is insufficient to infer the preferences of irrational agents Occam’s razor is insufficient to infer the preferences of irrational agents S¨oren Mindermann\*y Vector Institute University of Toronto soeren.mindermann@gmail.comStuart Armstrong\*z Future of Humanity Institute University of Oxford stuart.arm...
2c714c42-4efc-4110-b58c-daff90b32bab
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] Bystander Apathy Today's post, Bystander Apathy was originally published on 13 April 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > The bystander effect is when groups of people are less likely to take action than an individual. There are a few explanations for why this might be the case. Discuss the po...
7adb5322-3bb4-498e-8090-bc48651cfbc0
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
AI Safety Info
What are “type signatures”? [Type signatures](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Type_signature) are a concept from computer science. A type signature identifies the kinds of inputs and outputs that a function can have. For example, a function which adds 3 to a number has a type signature of number to number. The type sig...
a4853216-9ab0-4277-9d79-69f1567fe849
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Saving for the long term I'm 22 years old, just got a job, and have the option of putting money in a 401k. More generally, I just started making money and need to think about how I'm going to invest and save it. As far as long-term/retirement savings goes, the way I see it is that my goal is to ensure that I have a s...
d1a73962-0123-4ce2-bf1f-cf8d3de9fd7d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Latent Space Collapse? Understanding the Effects of Narrow Fine-Tuning on LLMs This is my first post on the platform and my first set of experiments with GPT-2 using TransformerLens. If you spot any interesting insights or mistakes, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. While these findings aren't entirely...
2bb4f4ef-a78c-476f-a9a1-f4e16ce246e4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The hunt of the Iuventa From the January 20th 2018 issue of the German magazine Der Spiegel, the article Jagd auf Iuventa (The hunt of the Iuventa) reports on NGOs which rescue immigrants who try to reach Europe through the Mediterranean. > "One can perhaps understand what we are doing here after watching first hand ...
58473820-f0f0-4d2f-8102-d4dc97425b65
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
Training AI Without Writing A Reward Function, with Reward Modelling hi what is technology don't skip ahead I promise I'm going someone with this so you could have some kind of definition from a dictionary that's like technology is machinery and equipment made using scientific knowledge something like that but where a...
c33dc83d-0c32-40ba-9923-575e8b766d22
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Grokking “Semi-informative priors over AI timelines” *Notes:* * *I give visual explanations for Tom Davidson’s report,* [*Semi-informative priors over AI timelines*](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/semi-informative-priors)*, and summarise the key assumptions and intuitions* * *The diagrams can be found* [*here*](htt...
8db29c37-4b9c-4c4e-a6f7-4f6f3013b333
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Group selection update Group selection might seem like an odd topic for a LessWrong post.  Yet a google seach for "group selection" site:lesswrong.com turns up 345 results. Just the power and generality of the concept of evolution is enough to justify posts on it here.  In addition, the impact group selection could h...
178ff4c0-2213-490c-9823-021cbed581c0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[LINK] Shutting down the destructive internal monologue through transcranial direct current stimulation Fast track to pure focus > Weisend, who is working on a US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency programme to accelerate learning, has been using this form of transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) to c...
e59f519a-38ab-4793-ab1f-33e3243b4420
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
More "Stupid" Questions This is a thread where people can ask questions that they would ordinarily feel embarrassed for not knowing the answer to. The previous "stupid" questions thread went to over 800 comments in two and a half weeks, so I think it's time for a new one.
85e65056-9919-47b0-a0d6-f6591994b632
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
ELK Proposal: Thinking Via A Human Imitator I want to use the AI’s intelligence to figure out how to translate into the human ontology. The hope is to route a smart entity's performance through a dumb entity's understanding and thereby get the smart entity to solve interpretability-by-the-dumb-entity. While my propose...
e3d86b5d-4ecc-4f96-a9f4-a1b1e69df888
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Berkeley LW Meet-up Saturday October 9 Last month, about 7 people showed up to the Berkeley LW meet-up.  To build on that success, we will be meeting on Saturday, October 9 at 7 PM at the Starbucks at 2224 Shattuck Avenue.  I'll be there with a sign saying "If you read Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, come...
a04de236-38be-4f2a-802f-d5ea0790e4b2
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
How Big is the Field of Artificial Intelligence? (initial findings) Co-authored with Jonah Sinick. How big is the field of AI, and how big was it in the past? This question is relevant to several issues in AGI safety strategy. To name just two examples: * [**AI forecasting**](http://intelligence.org/2013/05/15/w...
4953dd31-45ea-41f0-b6c9-eebe50f1c9ce
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Religion is Good, Actually This is a casually written post in a series about what I wish someone had told me when I was younger. I know this one will be controversial, so I have a request: please only vote on this post if you actually read the whole thing. Don't just vote to yell "boo religion" or "yay Gordon" or som...
9ca06b2e-2dc6-4fd8-90f8-38986d7b96ac
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Training on Documents About Reward Hacking Induces Reward Hacking This is a blog post reporting some preliminary work from the Anthropic Alignment Science team, which might be of interest to researchers working actively in this space. We'd ask you to treat these results like those of a colleague sharing some thoughts ...
c3280a95-081e-4c7f-95b9-1de8bdeb7db3
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Platform for Project Spitballing? (e.g., for AI field building) I was chatting with a friend about AI field building projects, but we were frustrated by the fact that we don't know what project ideas already exist and have weak feedback networks, and how inefficient this seems. Thus, I/we would like to know: is there ...
81297efb-11b3-4103-a7c9-3b18d0302f63
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Sleeping Beauty – the Death Hypothesis Introduction This post is intended as a contribution to the (already admittedly very large) corpus of discussion surrounding the Sleeping Beauty paradox. The statement of the paradox (which I will simply refer to here as the Paradox) itself is assumed to be known, as it is widel...
2d6f3b7e-d12d-45b6-bce2-43226415d8ff
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Transformative AI is a process In discussions, transformative AI is often seen as a certain point in time when an AI system achieves a certain level of performance or capabilities. For example, some people believe(d) that transformative AI will occur when an AI system can pass the Turing test, or when an AI system ca...
df109b08-a813-4fcb-83d1-a22c76db709e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Energy efficiency of Wright Flyer *Updated Dec 10, 2020* The Wright Flyer: * flew around 0.080-0.18m/kJ * and moved mass at around .022 – .061 kg.m/J Details ------- The *Wright Flyer* (*Flyer I*) was the first successful plane, built in 1903.[1](https://aiimpacts.org/energy-efficiency-of-wright-flyer/#easy-fo...
897c910d-7f70-4c49-8120-76a9731f2e3c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Link] Bayesian Overconfidence I just ran across an interesting working paper by P.J. Healy and D.A. Moore, providing a potenial explanation for several forms of overconfidence. The abstract: > We study three distinct measures of overconfidence: (1) overestimation of one’s performance, (2) overplacement of one’s per...
4d158dfe-9964-4e0e-a155-e36ac5bbea92
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Towards Verifiably Ethical Robot Behaviour 1 Introduction --------------- It is widely recognised that autonomous systems will need to conform to legal, practical and *ethical* specifications. For instance, during normal operation, we expect such systems to fulfill their goals within a prescribed legal or professio...
b94fa1f6-eb4f-43c7-8eca-77fbb3e90447
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Twiblings, four-parent babies and other reproductive technology Two weeks ago I finally published my year-long research project into how to have polygenically screened children. In that post, I explained all the practicalities of embryo screening and how parents can use it right now to make their children smarter, hap...
abe57c23-6b14-4512-94c3-de413cdddd62
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Recommendation] Steven Universe & cryonics I've been watching Steven Universe with my fiancee (a children's cartoon on Cartoon Network by Rebecca Sugar), and it wasn't until I got to Season 3 that I realized there's been a cryonics metaphor running in the background since the very first episode. If you want to introd...
7b5cda11-8bc9-4192-a05a-81db1977017d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
We Don't Really Want Your Participation At the Singularity Summit yesterday, several speakers alleged that we should "reach out" to artists and poets to encourage their participation in the Singularity dialogue.  So at the end of one such session, a woman went up to the audience microphone and said: "I am an artist. ...
34d27c60-eaa3-4fa8-be9c-c2be762fb599
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
An argument for asexuality Status quo bias is a cognitive bias which makes a person prefer to maintain the current state of affairs simply because other states of affairs would be different. (Henceforth, I will use the abbreviation "SOA" for "state of affairs").  Suppose the costs of changing the current SOA are high...
b6e745e3-c440-4a65-9090-c1286be0c4e7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Help come up with better meetup activity descriptions The current version of the How to Run a Successful Less Wrong Meetup booklet contains descriptions about various games and activities. The problem is, some of these descriptions are quite short and don't really inspire people to try them out. I've been asked to mak...
dcf217fe-44bd-48bb-92c2-b0ccaad6e152
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Posting now enabled on Less Wrong Posting is now enabled on Less Wrong, with a minimum karma required of 20 - that is, you must have gotten at least 20 upvotes on your comments in order to publish a post.  Or an adminstrator such as myself or Robin (by default you should bother me) can temporarily bless you with posti...
ad3d8787-3043-4f01-b141-107a6c1b54b6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[LDSL#2] Latent variable models, network models, and linear diffusion of sparse lognormals This post is also available on my Substack. Where we last left off, I proposed that life cannot be understood through statistics, but rather requires more careful study of individual cases. Yet I don’t think this is actually co...
55dca17e-9da8-4015-8be3-9914d0720054
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Finite Factored Sets: Applications We will now discuss several different applications and directions for future work on finite factored sets. We will divide these research directions into three categories: 'Inference,' 'Infinity,' and 'Embedded Agency.' This post will be much more speculative than the previous posts....
09f7dc15-2eaa-4d35-85fd-b1d84230b4a9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Word is Worth 1,000 Pictures Uber or Walk Something interesting happened last night. It was approaching 12:30am, and a few hours of house-warming chats had petered down to a natural silence. With empty beer cans sprawled across the coffee table and kitchen counter of the brand new apartment, the three of us decided...
8296645f-c9d6-4d8b-9e7d-da18a685c530
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Bits of NEFFA First in-person NEFFA since 2019. Two really nice days, with a third to come. Some bits: * Lily getting to fire a rubber chicken at Jack in the Green (Morris) Credit: Ezra * Couldn't go anywhere without many stops to greet people I hadn...
368fe3be-e780-4fef-b780-e4ae3fdf8083
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
""I wonder what pulls the boats," Luna said. "Whatever pulls the horseless carriages must also pull the boats," a first year said. "But…but…. You can SEE horses pulling the carriages and you CAN'T SEE anything pulling the boats." Luna said. Luna's Failed Friendships Counter ticked up to four. "They're called thestrals,...
35cfad79-bfa4-4a7c-a701-4705ca71979d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
"Do Nothing" utility function, 3½ years later? In AI Alignment: Why It's Hard and Where To Start, at 21:21, Yudkowsky says: > If we want to have a robot that will let us press the suspend button—just suspend it to disk—we can suppose that we already have a utility function that describes: “Do nothing.” In point in fa...
ecd81154-55a6-453e-88d5-f71342a37430
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
More GPT-2, the 'writer' of Unicorn AI - Computerphile We're six paragraphs in and it knows about this point, I've covered the first sentence of this initial paragraph now it's time to talk about this second sentence of the lead even more surprising to the researchers than the fact that they spoke English and it compl...
566d49e3-80c5-460b-a541-20915cc122dc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
'Meta', 'mesa', and mountains Recently, in a conversation with a coworker, I was trying to describe the rate at which time passed subjectively, with a term that distinguished from the usual objective clock speed constrained only by general relativity and generic human psychology. I ended up saying "meta-rate". That bo...
a8882c50-bda6-4ccf-8c48-14f9e6d35fdb
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Against utility functions I think we should stop talking about utility functions. In the context of ethics for humans, anyway. In practice I find utility functions to be, at best, an occasionally useful metaphor for discussions about ethics but, at worst, an idea that some people start taking too seriously and which...
ce20ae4c-3673-44d5-a8ff-c67184d3f3f3
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
FHI Report: Stable Agreements in Turbulent Times I have just published the linked Technical Report for the Center for the Governance of AI at the Future of Humanity Institute. I have reproduced the Introduction here: Introduction ============ > This century, advanced artificial intelligence (“Advanced AI”) technolo...
eeb47e90-4e5f-4b30-b3b5-9832179d9fcf
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Two Strange Facts Here are two strange facts about matrices, which I can prove but not in a satisfying way. 1. If ![A](https://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=A&bg=f0f0f0&fg=555555&s=0&c=20201002) and ![B](https://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=B&bg=f0f0f0&fg=555555&s=0&c=20201002) are symmetric matrices satisfying ![0 \preceq...
4fc83f6f-6b1d-481b-9ef0-10129b23266f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Solutions to Political Problems As Counterfactuals > A mathematician wakes up to find his house on fire. He frantically looks around before seeing the fire extinguisher on the far wall of the room. "Aha!" he says, "a solution exists!" and goes back to sleep. > >     -- Popular math students' joke There has been much...
74731cef-0498-472f-80f0-740c38a6ff46
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Entangled Truths, Contagious Lies > One of your very early philosophers came to the conclusion that a fully competent mind, from a study of one fact or artifact belonging to any given universe, could construct or visualize that universe, from the instant of its creation to its ultimate end . . . > > —First Lensman >...
8ddf5a68-6c28-4d0e-878b-3f37345459fa
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Capture the Flag Mechanistic Interpretability Challenges This project was developed as part of the Swiss Existential Risk Initiative Research Fellowship under the mentorship of Alexandre Variengien. The use of the first person throughout the document refers to Alejandro Acelas. ---------------------------------------...
20419ea2-6fa7-4f1a-aba5-20e8bbc0e167
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"I've observed that consuming certain kinds of media make me smarter and other kinds of media makes me dumber. Makes me dumber: Videogames YouTube News Makes me smarter: Books Audiobooks Direct messaging apps By "smarter" I mean it holistically causes me to behave in a way that increases my overall rate of learning and...
1aa32152-5bac-4d88-bd60-4bc7a7a223ca
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
AI Safety Discord community (requesting help!) This week I started the Safe AI Community. It's an online community where individuals and groups can connect and support each other regarding AI safety work. Twitter: https://twitter.com/SafeAICommunity Discord: discord.gg/FeZbFnAvve   Why? 1. A multidisciplinary a...
a963e126-a4ad-41df-baa5-811ecdee81c4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Don't punish yourself for bad luck The following text first summarizes the standard moral-hazard model. Afterwards, I point out that it implies that you always get punished for bad luck. The third part is completely speculative: I speculate on how you should behave towards yourself. A brief summary of a moral-hazard ...
5c968f54-9d1a-4d27-a111-44c1b5d33f17
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Run Head on Towards the Falling Tears Here is a random thing I wrote with the help of GPT-3. GPT-3 wrote ~75%. I was mainly going with the flow of GPT-3. Tom likes to run. He runs all the time. That is, until one day he realized that living in the real world isn't always easy when you are always running. Running is a...
cfbedb3d-c9ff-40a9-9416-e1630f792489
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
CFP for Rebellion and Disobedience in AI workshop Hi everyone! I'm co-organizing a workshop on a really interesting topic that's very relevant for AI safety. We call it "Rebellion and Disobedience in AI".  If you're doing work that could be relevant for us, please submit it! If you have questions or want to discuss t...
05b44733-6310-426e-a906-cf1aed01fbf4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Intelligence explosion: a rational assessment. Is there a more detailed analysis of the reasons for and against the intelligence explosion? Also interested in other analytic timeline predictions.
c4f25428-1b1c-4039-bc09-efb8acec1cdf
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
What would be the consequences of commoditizing AI? Related: * Competition is for Losers with Peter Thiel (key takeaway: making profit is all about creating a monopoly) * Laws of Tech: Commoditize Your Complement (key takeaway: you can't make profit if you've been commoditized) I think the common thinking on this ...
8880412a-f521-470a-857c-20e0c16afd25
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Neurotechnology is Critical for AI Alignment My site doesn't have a comments section, but curious for feedback.
3297a3b3-7973-4540-99d7-6bc676cc7f20
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Brussels - We meet every month Discussion article for the meetup : Brussels - We meet every month WHEN: 12 January 2019 02:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Rue des Alexiens 55 1000 Bruxelles This is a long term meetup announcement to ensure there's always a Brussels meetup visible in the sidebar. We're not sure we'l...
64def9dd-4b6a-4fb3-a363-4a2eb1d44c61
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
No, Seriously. Just Try It. In Scientific Self-Help, I explained that huge sections of the self-help industry pay little or no attention to the scientific data on self-help. Partly, this is because self-help products are usually written to sell, not to help. Another reason for this is that there are huge gaps in our ...
f03f6a71-7bf8-460d-baec-adbb0e46f1ce
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
The Incentives that Shape Behaviour 1 Introduction --------------- Incentives are a useful language for analysing the behaviour of humans and artificial agents. For example: * • A chess player (or chess-playing AI) often has an incentive to capture its opponent’s queen. * • A pilot (or autopilot) has an incenti...
952bde37-aa45-4b0a-9ef9-f49f93fab563
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Lawful Creativity Previously in Series:  Recognizing Intelligence Creativity, we've all been told, is about Jumping Out Of The System, as Hofstadter calls it (JOOTSing for short).  Questioned assumptions, violated expectations. Fire is dangerous: the rule of fire is to run away from it.  What must have gone through ...
b0fbf3a1-7c5f-422a-8b8a-f2f2b9e51ba0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why Artists Study Anatomy I’ve been interested in drawing ever since I was a little kid. I like drawing people. I practiced a lot by looking at a cool picture of a character I like, and copying it as closely as I can. The better I got at copying, the better my work became. I got some great results this way. I even ad...
4efd278d-431e-4d22-a370-b1e9542c872e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why bet Kelly? Suppose you know what outcomes are better than what other outcomes, but not by how much. Given two possible actions you could take, A and B, if you know what probability distributions over outcomes each of them results in, this doesn't necessarily help you pick which is better. Being able to compare out...
b982a898-cb1e-4ea0-a9b0-643bef86c995
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
AI Governance across Slow/Fast Takeoff and Easy/Hard Alignment spectra It has been suggested that in a rapid enough takeoff scenario, governance would not be useful, because the transition to superintelligence would be too rapid for human actors - whether governments, corporations, or individuals - to respond to. This...
f5dc19ff-7f7c-40da-9e49-2a9370187ad4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ray Kurzweil is speaking at my university tonight. What questions should I ask him? I realize this is late notice, but I just found out.  He goes on at 8pm and will likely be answering questions by 9:30.  I would like to ask him some great questions and I will ask as many of the best that I see here as possible.  Any...
95aafd51-34ac-476e-a648-c389e72996fc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A definition of wireheading Wireheading has been debated on Less Wrong over and over and over again, and people's opinions seem to be grounded in strong intuitions. I could not find any consistent definition around, so I wonder how much of the debate is over the sound of falling trees. This article is an attempt to ge...
e05c8fa2-35d1-46c3-ae22-1935e9f827d9
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
What is the risk of asking a counterfactual oracle a question that already had its answer erased? In case you haven't heard of them before, here's an explanation of [Counterfactual Oracles](https://becominghuman.ai/how-to-make-oracle-ais-safe-7f6442577b36). If you erase the answer, you're not supposed to ask the same ...
8481db9b-ba38-4cb1-b7d9-139003f956b0
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Once again, a reporter thinks our positions are the opposite of what they are Perhaps the most accurate media coverage the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI) has yet received was [a piece](http://commonsenseatheism.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/The-Singularity-in-Playboy.pdf) by legendary science author [...
60f65f76-d2a5-4242-b081-47724db34093
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Responses to questions on donating to 80k, GWWC, EAA and LYCS Giles, and some others, have asked questions about donating to one or more of CEA’s sub-organisations. In what follows, I address these questions. I felt it would be clearest for me to mainly cluster questions under general headings, rather than address the...
c7ee597f-5cd6-4ec6-982b-ec20bea61b6e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to prevent authoritarian revolts? I was browsing reddit mindlessly when I saw this maybe ~10 posts down from the top of r/all, and I kind of snapped: I am not a communist. I think violent communist revolt would result in, at the very least, a period of significant loss of life and economic destruction. Successful...
2a404953-cc2e-4156-81df-927f6765afe4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Generalizing Experimental Results by Leveraging Knowledge of Mechanisms In a recent post (and papers), Anders Huitfeldt and co-authors have discussed ways of achieving external validity in the presence of “effect heterogeneity.” These results are not immediately inferable using a standard (non-parametric) selection di...
cd56d091-2708-46c6-971e-134366de7e5e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Feminism and Femininity Is it feminist to wear lipstick? There are four possible views on the position that feminist thought should take with respect to expressions of conventional femininity in patriarchal societies:  * Expressing femininity is actively good * Expressing femininity is actively bad * Women should ...
e30b9d93-94be-460d-85d0-49fa260fa777
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to be skeptical Community The Center For Applied Rationality (CFAR) checklist is a heuristic for assessing the admissibility of one's own testimony.  What of the challenge of evaluating the testimony of others? Slapping the label of a bias on a situation? Arguing at the object level by provision of evidence to ...
34e50f19-b5c2-4a44-afc3-4cc521e86c82
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
On "Geeks, MOPs, and Sociopaths" Gordon Seidoh Worley Hey, alkjash! I'm excited to talk about some of David Chapman's work with you. Full disclosure, I'm a big fan of Chapman's in general and also a creator within the meta/post-rationality scene with him (to use some jargon to be introduced very shortly). You mention...
2c529c8e-2ba3-45fe-87c7-ddef6e5d3326
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open Thread, Apr. 06 - Apr. 12, 2015 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. ---------------------------------------- Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately...
4c2db330-86f0-41fe-8a25-93cb487911df
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Unjournal: Evaluations of "Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth", and new hosting space New set of evaluations ====================== The Unjournal evaluations of [**Artificial Intelligence and Economic Growth**](http://www.nber.org/chapters/c14015), by prominent economists Philippe Aghion, Benjamin F. Jones, ...
415ee228-fbcc-4db9-8bb1-001df259dd2d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Long-Term Future Fund: May 2021 grant recommendations Introduction ------------ Since November, we’ve made **27 grants worth a total of $1,650,795** (with the expectation that we will get up to $220,000 back), reserved $26,500 for possible later spending, and referred two grants worth a total of $120,000 to private ...
0ff7ac31-0784-4425-b710-8d0665094bee
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
Improving language models by retrieving from trillions of tokens In recent years, significant performance gains in autoregressive language modeling have been achieved by increasing the number of parameters in Transformer models. This has led to a tremendous increase in training energy cost and resulted in a generation...
5f05b9dd-77ac-47c4-a8ef-fd5a15bd7d68
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Vancouver rationality practice case: Evaluating Transhumanism Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver rationality practice case: Evaluating Transhumanism WHEN: 26 January 2013 01:00:00PM (-0800) WHERE: 2505 W broadway, vancouver Last week, someone brought up the question of whether transhumanism was ...