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4ee05178-0a6b-4789-b94c-a5306922fd0b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A quick map of consciousness
Original post: http://bearlamp.com.au/a-quick-map-of-consciousness/
----------------------------------------
Prior knowledge: Many maps lightly held, Leaky concepts, Boundaries
Map and territory: mind to reality – To be presented alongside the caveat, “what is good?”
(Well “good” is i... |
5fdb0026-3b6a-47af-a475-0da6511a3a22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Abuse of Productivity Systems
I have moved this post to my blog: http://squirrelinhell.blogspot.com/2016/03/abuse-of-productivity-systems.html |
4d44978b-b4a2-4e4f-a10d-4db218e903a2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | individuallyselected_w5cb5-by Vael Gates-date 20220318
# Interview with AI Researchers individuallyselected\_w5cb5 by Vael Gates
\*\*Interview with w5cb5, on 3/18/22\*\*
====================================
\*\*0:00:02.2 Vael:\*\* Alright, so my first question is, can you tell me about what area of AI you work on in... |
7b8b419c-3ca5-4904-add7-0c9c1b15265e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Our all-time largest donation, and major crypto support from Vitalik Buterin
I’m thrilled to announce two major donations to MIRI!
First, a long-time supporter has given MIRI by far our largest donation ever: **$2.5 million per year over the next four years, and an additional ~$5.6 million in 2025**.
This anonym... |
6aab5b60-662c-4f15-b3fb-80944176f380 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 1: What's the Question?
Hello! I've created a simple model of how the brain processes information. It's very approximative but seems useful. I've never seen anything that looks similar to it. It makes me feel uncertain about if it's new or I missed something in my education. There won't be a lot of math formul... |
8e30ac2a-f075-42a0-b3e2-a4b7b3beda70 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Poker is a bad game for teaching epistemics. Figgie is a better one.
Editor's note: Somewhat after I posted this on my own blog, Max Chiswick cornered me at LessOnline / Manifest and gave me a whole new perspective on this topic. I now believe that there is a way to use poker to sharpen epistemics that works dramatica... |
4f756067-38ae-490c-82c7-78cee5304560 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing AlignmentSearch: An AI Alignment-Informed Conversional Agent
Authors: Henri Lemoine, Thomas Lemoine, and Fraser Lee
We are excited to introduce AlignmentSearch, an attempt to create a conversational agent that can answer questions about AI alignment. We built this site in response to ArthurB’s $5k bounty ... |
589c8400-afaa-4d80-90fc-823a585b4ada | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Games of My Childhood: The Troops
The Troops (Finnish “joukot”, could also be translated as “the armies” or “the forces”) was a game of pretend that I played the most with my friend Eero; I believe Aleksi also joined in.
The central premise was that each time that you played a video game and killed, recruited, rescue... |
62e0196e-9517-445c-94dc-ba0f00838868 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Knowledge Integration for Disease Characterization: A Breast Cancer Example
1 Introduction
---------------
Our goal is to improve health knowledge infrastructures by use of semantic technologies to support data integration in an environment of quickly evolving medical information.
We present a prototype system that... |
22d1117f-8df4-4887-8610-6e1841106493 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "A few years back, my great-grandmother died, in her nineties, after a long, slow, and cruel disintegration. I never knew her as a person, but in my distant childhood, she cooked for her family; I remember her gefilte fish, and her face, and that she was kind to me. At her funeral, my grand-uncle, who had taken care of... |
c99d5165-5f19-46fa-8a3d-6ce313d4ea90 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Help: Which concepts are controversial on LW
I'm eager to improve the list References & Resources for LessWrong. I recently introduced a new label with the somewhat playful name Memetic Hazard. It is meant to mark resources that include ideas which might be controversial, bogus or which are works of fiction and theref... |
e4bfd528-a0ee-4bc3-be7c-c733b6a5af0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety at the Frontier: Paper Highlights, May '25
tl;dr
Paper of the month:
Models can detect when they're being evaluated with high accuracy, and potentially undermine safety assessments by behaving differently during testing versus deployment.
Research highlights:
* LitmusValues measures how AI models trade o... |
bb3be7f3-1b9d-449e-8e0b-8b1db34bb804 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Xi Jinping's readout after an AI "study session" [ChinaTalk Linkpost]
Substack link here
TL, DR:; Xi Jinping listens to a lecture about AI and publishes his "study notes/takeaways." From the start of the post (emphasis mine)
> On April 25, observers of China’s AI scene got an important new statement of Xi Jinping’s ... |
e53c7f6a-8331-46d3-8345-38542f3954a7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Role of Cooperation in Responsible AI Development
Introduction
------------
Machine learning (ML) is used to develop increasingly capable systems targeted at tasks like voice recognition, fraud detection, and the automation of vehicles. These systems are sometimes referred to as narrow artificial intelligence (... |
3bd7f776-a302-4690-8544-6a8c19e9aaaf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What's in your list of important technical projects/experiments to run for AI alignment?
I'm guessing that technical alignment researchers have far more ideas for projects/experiments they think would be really useful to run than they have the capacity for (due to time/management/resource constraints). I'd like to kno... |
9a6c4dfd-32cb-4f6e-beb3-fa857bc3de2a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post165
TL;DR: If you are thinking of using interpretability to help with strategic deception, then there's likely a problem you need to solve first: how are intentional descriptions (like deception) related to algorithmic ones (like understanding the mechanisms models use)? We discuss this problem and try to outl... |
cedf91ec-50d7-43e2-ac38-000b6c02c632 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | IMO challenge bet with Eliezer
Eliezer and I publicly stated some predictions about AI performance on the IMO by 2025. In honor of OpenAI's post Solving (Some) Formal Math Problems, it seems good to publicly state and clarify our predictions, have a final chance to adjust them, and say a bit in advance about how we'd ... |
54cd478b-f6f4-4b65-95a8-0b9333ce8247 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Corrigibility
(*Warning: rambling.*)
I would like to build AI systems which help me:
* Figure out whether I built the right AI and correct any mistakes I made
* Remain informed about the AI’s behavior and avoid unpleasant surprises
* Make better decisions and clarify my preferences
* Acquire resources and remain in ... |
971a415d-a67d-4728-a908-9d4c305c186d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The human side of interaction
The last few posts have motivated an analysis of the human-AI system rather than an AI system in isolation. So far we’ve looked at the notion that the AI system should get feedback from the user and that it could use reward uncertainty for corrigibility. These are focused on the AI system... |
0855c77c-abdd-451e-95db-d004feaf18da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Testing for Rationalization
Previously: Avoiding Rationalization
----------------------------------------
So you've seen reason to suspect you might be rationalizing, and you can't avoid the situation, what now?
Here are some tests you can apply to see whether you were rationalizing.
Reverse the Consequences
Let'... |
ced4dd62-744e-4c4b-b407-26cfb7f740c7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | May 2015 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. Post what you're reading, listening to, watching, and your opinion of it. Post recommendations to blogs. Post whatever media you feel like discussing! To see previous recommendations, check out the old... |
e855112c-3219-417f-a0c8-faf867b48bbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to SSC Meetup [Edit With Your Details]
(The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best)
What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do?
How frequently does... |
32b2094e-61e1-47d2-b75e-0821e58ca438 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Embodiment
In the realm of cognitive science and philosophy, the concept of embodiment posits that our cognition is deeply rooted in the body's interactions with the world. To understand our minds, we must consider the movements and spaces our bodies inhabit. Today, let's embark on an exploration of how embodiment res... |
d2b06e37-4747-4c79-8098-37a615f5041c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Hacking AI
Hacking AI
A PRIMER FOR POLICYMAKERS
ON MACHINE LEARNING CYBERSECURITY
DECEMBER 2020AUTHOR
Andrew J. Lohn
Center for Security and Emerging Technology2Established in January 2019, the Center for Security and
Emerging Technology (CSET) at Georgetown’s Walsh
School of Foreign Service is a research organizati... |
7f584bda-7524-4136-ac85-3b6989f722fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A poem for LessWrong
PZ Myers posted this on his blog; it is very beautiful, and I think expresses the purpose (at any rate, one purpose) of LessWrong. It even offers a battle cry: "I am not resigned".
Dirge without music
I am not resigned to the shutting away of loving hearts in the hard ground
So it is, ... |
a16c9275-48d8-4df4-ba1f-d95f1a170ae8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Re-introducing Selection vs Control for Optimization (Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Clarifying Thoughts, Part 1)
This is the first post in a small sequence I'm writing on "Optimizing and Goodhart Effects - Clarifying Thoughts" (I have re-organized to make part 2, "Revisiting What Optimization Means" separate.)
Re... |
175680ce-5046-44e0-b7e3-c83bf5688300 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | October 2019 gwern.net newsletter
None |
eaef2a43-9c18-4193-aaa0-5705f4d51b08 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Edit 11/28: Edited note at bottom to note that the random variables should have finite variance, and that this is essentially just L². Also some formatting changes.
This is something that has been bugging me for a while.
The correlation coefficient between two random variables can be interpreted as the cosine of the a... |
0e2185ab-f677-4b21-86fc-507b326d3742 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Alignment [progress] this Week (10/29/2023)
Wow! It’s been one month already.
Some thoughts:
When I started this project, I had a general sense that there is alignment progress on a regular basis, but tracking it really brings this home. Every week, on Monday I wonder “is this the week I will have nothing to writ... |
7402d0cf-4b2b-4d50-94de-dc79c0306ddd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta
WHEN: 18 February 2012 06:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 2094 North Decatur Road, Decatur, GA 30033-5367
All,
The next meetup will be Saturday, February 18th at 6:30pm at Chocolate Coffee in Decatur:
http://www.mychocolatecoffee.com/ 2094 North Decatur Road, De... |
949f2d6a-4ae0-44a6-8f6a-ba5a9690700b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Convex Conditions for Strong Convexity
An important concept in online learning and convex optimization is that of *strong convexity*: a twice-differentiable function  is said to be strongly convex with respect to a norm 
The previous thread is over the 500-comment threshold, so let's start a new Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread. This is the place to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky's Harry... |
030ffc40-8938-4803-9f1b-c55b64ffaf58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Yoshua Bengio argues for tool-AI and to ban "executive-AI"
Yoshua Bengio wrote a blogpost yesterday in which he argues for developing "scientist AI", which seems in-structure very similar to historical Tool-AI proposals.
For the (IMO) best response to this kind of proposal see Gwern's: Why Tool AIs Want to Be Agent ... |
3886baed-f1c5-4f22-8e76-30125ebcd729 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 4
Discussion article for the meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 4
WHEN: 23 March 2015 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Paul G. Allen Center, 185 Stevens Way, Seattle, Washington 98195
Location is the UW CSE building, room 503. Paid parking is available... |
b0ae57b5-a86a-4379-bf85-31d6587e8280 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [META] Make poll results accessible to people who have not voted
As far as I can see, the only way to see the results of a poll is to vote in it. If for whatever reason I don't want to participate in a poll whose results I am interested in, I vote randomly. Of the ~10 other LWers I know, at least 2 do the same. For th... |
e298d0e6-5656-4ee3-83a0-7ddb875c5a59 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Overcoming Algorithm Aversion: People Will Use Imperfect Algorithms If They Can (Even Slightly) Modify Them
|
79cc31e1-ad7f-4313-a0ed-e1e476cdbe62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 12/12/2017 Update: Creating Sequences
Over the past few weeks, we've been pushing updates that improve LW 2.0's Sequence functionality, as well as cleaning up some of the less well known sequences.
Those updates are now complete and ready for general use. Highlights include:
The Library
If you click on the "Recomme... |
7722d7c9-52ab-434a-8e9d-8445d683bd3e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lesson learned from HPMOR, only months after... (spoilers from beginning to end)
The lesson I have just recently gleaned from the 81st chapter of HPMOR along with Harry's observations of the sense of doom he feels around Voldemort.
Chapter 81: "For whatever reason, then, most of the Wizengamot has never walked the... |
1fcf5d9b-ead1-4fb3-8ffc-842811571dc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party
Discussion article for the meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party
WHEN: 14 March 2015 12:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Bagel Factory, 420 S Craig St, Pittsburgh, PA
I'll be wearing a black t-shirt that says "If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong." I promise to be there until at least ... |
6dbe5472-a969-40dc-ba9c-b4710d0e465d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 6/9/22: Nice
Things seem to have peaked in the Northeast once again. Nice.
Things are getting worse in the South as the summer hits. Not as nice, not that unexpected. At this point we can pattern match.
You know what else is nice? Not having to care about the pandemic. I do my best to care about it so you don’... |
c761e4f0-2259-440e-a088-cf2e268cde07 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Word Report #1
Word Report #1
--------------
Word Report will be a series of posts in which I document uncommon terms I'm using. Unless stated otherwise, they are of my own invention.
* **Topia**: (based on Utopia/Dystopia) a society in which a particular vision is fully realized, without specifying if that societ... |
2c303a04-36f6-4a05-ac88-7be2a8534591 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Classical vs MWI Probability Nomenclature
"I estimate 5% odds of X happening" can mean at least two things:
* I have about 1-in-20 confidence that all future timelines from this point contain X, and about 19-in-20 confidence that none do.
* I estimate about 1-in-20 future timelines contain X, and 19-in-20 future tim... |
491820c6-3925-4275-9402-c20c9df0331a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra Chord Simplification
Tomorrow, Lily and I will be leading a Kids Contra Jam at NEFFA (2pm in the Sudbury room!). We'll be playing off of Lily's tune list, but someone was asking about chords. I decided to have a go at writing out the simplest acceptable chords for each of the tunes we're planning. Each letter r... |
28da981a-03dc-4494-bf79-f2139ed89d61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW main on July 18th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* [Atlanta] MIRIxAtlanta: 19 July 2014: 19 July 2014 06:00PM
* Frankfurt: Goal Factoring: 20 July 2014 02:00PM
* Houston, TX: 19 July 2014 12:16A... |
939c2ed9-9449-4851-8ab4-254a0aa8d4f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards a New Decision Theory
It commonly acknowledged here that current decision theories have deficiencies that show up in the form of various paradoxes. Since there seems to be little hope that Eliezer will publish his Timeless Decision Theory any time soon, I decided to try to synthesize some of the ideas discusse... |
1c963f98-31e5-4b85-8b68-ab7cf80cc1b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Common Knowledge is a Circle Game for Toddlers
I wanted to jot down a particular instance of a common interaction I have with my daughter.
My child, wife, and I are sitting around the coffee table in the living room discussing the plan to take the car to the mechanic the next day. We describe this as going on an adve... |
a58f7b39-d4f4-413d-86b3-7f25c84fb4c4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Logarithmic identities
Recall that [$\log_b](https://arbital.com/p/3nd) is defined to be the (possibly fractional) number of times that you have to multiply 1 by $b$ to get $n.$ Logarithm functions satisfy the following properties, for any base $b$:
- [Inversion of exponentials](https://arbital.com/p/): $b^{\log_b(n... |
5d5682dc-e491-4e6e-82e6-3ae94346cefd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Atlanta, Brussels, Fort Collins, Ohio
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Brussels meetup: 17 March 2012 11:15AM
* Atlanta: 17 March 2012 05:30PM
* Fort Collins Meetup Saturday 17th: 17 March 2012 05:00PM
* [Ohio/Washington DC] Interest in Reason Rally meetup?: 24 ... |
b8e8b8d3-aa42-4386-9f15-07393ba2e92f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Abstract concepts and metalingual definition: Does ChatGPT understand justice and charity?
Our conceptual worlds are filled with abstract concepts, such as truth, love, beauty, and justice. Such concepts cannot be defined in physical terms. You can’t see them, taste them, hear them, touch them, or smell them. And yet... |
cc17ddf0-a2bd-47ca-8250-871aeced7134 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 2023 Open Philanthropy AI Worldviews Contest: Odds of Artificial General Intelligence by 2043
Submission for the [Open Philanthropy AI Worldviews Contest.](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/NZz3Das7jFdCBN9zH/announcing-the-open-philanthropy-ai-worldviews-contest)
Downloadable PDF [here](https://github.com/sr... |
6b869fe7-915b-47b6-be69-2f29caf2afce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Leveraging artificial intelligence to improve people’s planning strategies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
RESEARCHARTICLEPSYCHOLOGICALANDCOGNITIVESCIENCES
COMPUTERSCIENCESOPEN ACCESS
Leveraging artificial intelligence to improve people’s planning
strategies
FrederickCallawaya,YashRajJainb,BasvanOphe... |
26f24082-18e1-4e07-a1a0-e299555f17bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The grass is always greener in the environment that shaped your values
Sharing from my personal blog: https://spiralprogress.com/2024/11/16/the-grass-is-always-greener-in-the-environment-that-shaped-your-values/
As a college student, I spent a few wonderful months living in New York. It was a remarkable summer, the ... |
877e8959-0090-434f-8f7a-d5c5b914587e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is a Purely Rational World a Technologically Advanced World?
What would our world be today if humans had started off with a purely rational intelligence?
It seems as though a dominant aspect of rationality deals with risk management. For example, an irrational person might feel that the thrill of riding a zip line f... |
21dadc6e-2d04-4edb-96f1-2df310f69e4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma in software patents
This post contains some thoughts around software-patent strategies for large tech companies, in particular how the ability to block others' applications seems to set up an Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma and may change the strategic landscape for patents entirely.
Joel ... |
574206d7-0081-4340-9884-a0eaba7f887f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When the Wannabe Rambo Comedian Cried
I wanted to share some thoughts and see if they would help me be less wrong. Instead, I ended up as a war correspondent for Gwern, reporting unofficially. He had asked me for stories from my firefighter military days.
Well, since I'm here, I might as well take advantage of this o... |
ffbdfc23-a0df-4638-8a15-32b04197461c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Failure By Analogy
Previously in series: Logical or Connectionist AI?
Followup to: Surface Analogies and Deep Causes
> "One of [the Middle Ages'] characteristics was that 'reasoning by analogy' was rampant; another characteristic was almost total intellectual stagnation, and we now see why the two go together. A re... |
bd3319b1-aede-4ec7-ab04-d1034fcad7e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial general intelligence is here, and it's useless
*Disclaimer: I originally wrote this for my own blog and as an editorial for skynet today, a few weeks ago I started reading LW and I thought people here might enjoy it, I think it's in the spirit of the conversation here. So I made a few edits and the text bel... |
db007bdf-bd3a-46ba-b8c6-04e1dc4a0c18 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A Roadmap towards Machine Intelligence
1 Introduction
---------------
A machine capable of performing complex tasks without requiring
laborious programming would be tremendously useful in almost any human
endeavor, from performing menial jobs for us to helping the
advancement of basic and applied research. Given th... |
83911ab4-aa2e-4a3b-b598-fd40dccf760c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | All Debates Are Bravery Debates
“I don’t practice what I preach because I’m not the kind of person I’m preaching to.”
— Bob Dobbs
I.
I read Atlas Shrugged probably about a decade ago, and felt turned off by its promotion of selfishness as a moral ideal. I thought that was basically just being a jerk. After all, i... |
f3c82591-df9a-4c82-a4b0-9796345a4050 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | EU AI Act passed Plenary vote, and X-risk was a main topic
(mildly rewritten version of my [EA forum](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ctPrrzFnXGyWrmK3w/eu-ai-act-passed-vote-in-plenary-meeting) post)
The EU AI Act was originally proposed in 2020 as a very "EU regulates stuff first" kind of legislation, tr... |
06a480fd-739c-4032-abc8-2d8326a47d58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] The Coming Plague
Related to: Forty Days , Low Hanging Poop
From professor Gregory Cochran's blog West Hunters.
> Laurie Garret has an article out in the Washington Post. She say that there’s no point in trying to block the spread of Ebola by travel bans.
>
> The problem is, she’s full of crap. Look, there... |
175c9dab-d675-4700-ac47-9b52d5b8d105 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, September, 2010-- part 2
This thread is for the discussion of Less Wrong topics that have not appeared in recent posts. If a discussion gets unwieldy, celebrate by turning it into a top-level post.
|
0777fa96-8cd8-4b1d-9ece-c58b9361d894 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is requires ought
The thesis of this post is: "Each 'is' claim relies implicitly or explicitly on at least one 'ought' claim."
I will walk through a series of arguments that suggest that this claim is true, and then flesh out the picture towards the end.
(note: I discovered after writing this post that my argument i... |
30768cfe-ccc4-4605-a83f-e0e5beb4b020 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Topological truth predicates: Towards a model of perfect Bayesian agents
In this post, I'll introduce a new kind of self-referential "truth predicate" (of sorts), which avoids diagonalization by placing a certain topological condition on the formulas it can be applied to. In future posts, I'll show how this can be use... |
c6c91609-fe11-424f-8a10-a67cdb3c0bba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Celiacs don't need to live in fear
TL;DR: Less sensitive celiacs can probably have trace amounts of gluten cross contamination with low risk of health problems, since celiacs who deliberately eat non-trivial amounts of gluten are mostly ok.
Celiac disease is an autoimmune condition where your immune system becomes tr... |
9171b4b1-dfbf-4763-8800-5a678da03a9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Incentives from a causal perspective
Post 4 of Towards Causal Foundations of Safe AGI, preceded by Post 1: Introduction, Post 2: Causality, and Post 3: Agency.
By Tom Everitt, James Fox, Ryan Carey, Matt MacDermott, Sebastian Benthall, and Jon Richens, representing the Causal Incentives Working Group. Thanks also to... |
201326a5-f7ee-48b3-b04d-840ed03e6678 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety reading group
I am hosting a weekly AI Safety reading group, and perhaps someone here would be interested in joining.
Here is what the reading group has covered so far:
http://airca.dk/reading_group.htm
Next week, on Wednesday the 1st of February 19:45 UTC, we will discuss "How Feasible is the Rapid Develo... |
7bdab0c1-d8b6-495c-822b-fe920beeac78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Willpower Thermodynamics
Edit 2019: By the spark, was everything I wrote before mid-2018 idiotic? Apparently.
CONTENT WARNING: A COUPLE LWERS APPARENTLY THINK THAT THE CONCEPT OF EGO DEPLETION—ALSO KNOWN AS WILLPOWER DEPLETION—IS A MEMETIC HAZARD, THOUGH I FIND IT HELPFUL. ALSO, THE MATERIAL PRESENTED HERE WON'T FIT ... |
7b0cb6e6-1ec2-48a2-b2c6-a3d88261f7c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Me, myself and AI - DeepMind: The Podcast (S2, Ep7)
hello and welcome back to deepmind the
podcast
this episode is all about how ai is
already having an impact on the world
around us
shall we begin
[Music]
uh excuse me what are you doing starting
without me
i'm the real hannah fry
i'm only trying to help i heard you w... |
96a00bd8-5b5b-4d9f-8307-39fe90062ee5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding rationality vs. ideology debates
[This was originally intended as a Facebook post, but it grew to the point where it felt way too long for that.]
For a while now I've been trying to wrap my head around what I'll loosely call "rationality vs. ideology" debates. Very roughly, these are debates where at le... |
1f4938d5-9eb6-48f8-be15-e55c2b46158c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dark, not colorless
The last arc of posts has been about how to handle a dour universe. Become unable to despair, learn to see the darkness rather than flinching from it, learn to choose between bad and worse without suffering. Learn to live in a grim world without becoming grim yourself, learn to hear bad news withou... |
5b3756ff-46a3-4237-8570-139aaff6d222 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Verifying vNM-rationality requires an ontology
**Result**
It is impossible to verify that an agent is [vNM-rational](https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Expected_utility) by observing its actions without access to the domain of its utility function.
**Motivation**
Alphonso and Beatriz both go the market to buy fru... |
879d77c4-a291-4858-b7a7-b49b63cde253 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Noddy problem
An episode of the Noddy animated series has the following plot.
Noddy needs to go pick up Martha Monkey at the station. But it's such a nice, sunny day that he would prefer to play around outside. He gets an idea to solve this dilemma. He casts a duplication spell on himself and his car and tells th... |
38b4e9f3-bfec-419a-80a7-ea470e4e8d25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Assuming we've solved X, could we do Y...
The year is 1933. Leó Szilárd has just hypothised the nuclear chain reaction. Worried researchers from proto-MIRI or proto-FHI ask themselves "assuming we've solved the issue of nuclear chain reactions in practice, could we build a nuclear bomb out of it"?
Well, what do we me... |
4e156a20-67a3-464e-ab95-13d20c86cca8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: When to trust experts
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: When to trust experts
WHEN: 24 August 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103
We'll be meeting to talk about when to trust what experts say, and what to do when there are ... |
de969681-535d-49de-a513-6dd67979ab22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Playful Interactions for Representation Learning.
1 Introduction
---------------
Imitation learning has proven to be a powerful approach to learn complex robotic skills from visual observations [[1](#bib.bib1), [2](#bib.bib2), [3](#bib.bib3), [4](#bib.bib4)]. Recent works have shown how simple approaches like behav... |
4624a43b-6863-4398-9e3e-5ff363ff050f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interpersonal Approaches for X-Risk Education
Much of the AI research community remains unaware of the Alignment Problem (according to my personal experience), and I haven't seen much discussion about how to deliberately expand the community (all I've seen to this effect is Scott's A/B/C/D/E testing on alignment artic... |
d686ab8e-e25a-4ecb-ab51-e296939fb188 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Survey on intermediate goals in AI governance
It seems that a key bottleneck for the field of longtermism-aligned AI governance is limited strategic clarity (see [Muehlhauser, 2020](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/our-ai-governance-grantmaking-so-far/), [2021](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/M2SBwc... |
9432642f-31b0-444f-a0c5-03516414bca8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | GPTs are Predictors, not Imitators
(Related text posted to [Twitter](https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1644760694771048449); this version is edited and has a more advanced final section.)
Imagine yourself in a box, trying to predict the next word - assign as much probability mass to the next token as possible - ... |
a58b8912-5f61-4b85-a495-fb5cdc43974f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Montreal First Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Montreal First Meetup
WHEN: 23 June 2012 01:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 100 Rue Saint Antoine Ouest Montreal, QC H2Z 1X8
First meetup for Montreal LessWrongers! I recently visited an Ottawa meetup, and it was a great time. I'd like to meet like minded r... |
a1aebdd3-ac27-414c-8a40-2840a3fdd395 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Importance Weighted Policy Learning and Adaptation
1 Introduction
---------------
Current reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms have achieved impressive results across a broad range of games and continuous control platforms.
While effective, such algorithms all too often require millions of environment interaction... |
49aa9937-1c67-4fcc-b28a-5462d999ef81 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | exists(max(performance(pay)))
US Congresspeople don't make a lot of money in salary - most make $174,000/yr. They could easily make several times that much as consultants. They do, however, have insider information giving them very large returns on the stock market. For that, or other reasons, many of our represent... |
8da451cd-2685-44ba-885f-fffb42d40257 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ... And Everyone Loses Their Minds
Chris Nolan's Joker is a very clever guy, almost Monroesque in his ability to identify hypocrisy and inconsistency. One of his most interesting scenes in the film has him point out how people estimate horrible things differently depending on whether they're part of what's "normal", w... |
05c9140f-bbe4-4cc3-9efa-2c8426553083 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Just a reminder: Scientists are, technically, people.
From Michael Eisen's blog:
Yuval Levin, former Executive Director of the President's Council on Bioethics, has an op-ed in Tuesday's Washington Post arguing that Obama's new stem cell policy is dangerous. Levin does not argue that stem cell research is bad. Rather... |
3e7513c6-b0c5-4c1f-8b73-1bb5dbc34267 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to plan for a radically uncertain future?
While playing around with Stable Diffusion last week I had an epiphany. I realized that while I believe with high probability that the world will be radically different in 15 years, all my investments, living arrangements, and other long term plans implied a belief that th... |
f0dd87f2-d95b-43f5-ae64-2edef5764812 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Greg Egan and the Incomprehensible
In this post I question one disagreement between Eliezer Yudkowsky and science fiction author Greg Egan.
In his post Complex Novelty, Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote in 2008:
> Note that Greg Egan seems to explicitly believe the reverse - that humans can understand anything understandable ... |
074a9200-ffc3-4a5d-a15d-ebefd5f2c9bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Offering AI safety support calls for ML professionals
TLDR: If you're a professor, PhD student, or industry researcher or engineer interested in starting AI safety research, please request a call with Arkose! We are currently focused on and most helpful to mid-career people with machine learning expertise, who are rel... |
60969629-6cb7-4107-96f8-b938cbf27cbd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deciding What Project/Org to Start: A Guide to Prioritization Research
If you’re deciding what (research) project, organization or intervention to go for, analyzing your options through prioritization research can be invaluable. I used it to settle on founding Catalyze, an AI Safety field-building non-profit. In this ... |
8a8d8b76-b0bf-4923-9d99-3b96cb901c7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, August 28 - September 3, 2017
IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refres... |
492f4332-0b04-4aeb-9a60-c012569acb31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Role-reversal education for math and science students (pilot project)
tldr; Role-reversal education: by explaining to others, we learn, and improve in confidence.
http://solutionfocusedchange.blogspot.com/2011/12/betacoach-promising-project-to-improve.html
"The project Bètacoach seems to me to be a well thought-o... |
e862cf83-3e59-440f-8dfa-7ba62e3f7369 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zen and Rationality: Map and Territory
This is post 3/? about the intersection of my decades of LW-style rationality practice and my several years of Zen practice.
In today's installment, I look at form and emptiness from a rationalist perspective.
Rationalists have a few key ideas or memes (in the memetic sense), a... |
91734018-48c6-4804-aea2-c29df2af63a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Naive Set Theory, Halmos
Epistemic status: Unorganized thoughts of mine generated after reading this book -- not a concerted attempt to convey any single particular mathematical insight.
Set theory is the mathematical study of collections. These collections -- sets -- can be either the collection of nothing (the empt... |
cfa96c51-0653-4cce-8fd6-0ff4ad963b05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are examples of the opposite of perverse incentives?
I think a lot about the importance of incentives. There are numerous historical examples of perverse incentives but what are some examples of times where people got the incentives right? |
60a56d60-bc85-4ecc-b9f6-181e8224339a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Effective Altruism and Flow-Through Effects
Last month, MIRI research fellow Carl Shulman[1](https://intelligence.org/2013/09/14/effective-altruism-and-flow-through-effects/#footnote_0_10484 "Carl was a MIRI research fellow at the time of the conversation, but left MIRI at the end of August 2013 to study computer scie... |
a6cebc66-b2ae-43c2-8e5f-9838e3d8c51e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is Constructor Theory a useful tool for AI alignment?
This is an attempt to make sense of some vague ideas and explain some intuitions I've had recently. Written in the spirit of How To Write Quickly While Maintaining Epistemic Rigor .
> "Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word 'no'." - ... |
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