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03d03c8e-a106-4aaf-9aa4-ea15b7ab1121 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Wellbeing
**AI Wellbeing**
This post is an executive summary of a [research paper](https://philpapers.org/archive/GOLAWE-4.pdf) by [Simon Goldstein](https://www.simondgoldstein.com/), associate professor at the Dianoia Institute of Philosophy at ACU, and [Cameron Domenico Kirk-Giannini](http://www.cd.kg/), assista... |
2b44dda6-e971-4d57-ab5d-0667564f1b7b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Could you have stopped Chernobyl?
...or would you have needed a PhD for that?
---
It would appear the [inaugural post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mqrHHdY5zLqr6RHbi/what-is-the-problem) caused some (off-LW) consternation! It would, after all, be a tragedy if the guard in our Chernobyl thought experiment overre... |
c85db20c-bc2a-488c-9ceb-fb50e0e59f7f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do safety-relevant LLM steering vectors optimized on a single example generalize?
This is a linkpost for our recent paper on one-shot LLM steering vectors. The main role of this blogpost, as a complement to the paper, is to provide more context on the relevance of the paper to safety settings in particular, along with... |
17bd2ea3-a056-40df-bd6a-8f54afc73024 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We are headed into an extreme compute overhang
If we achieve AGI-level performance using an LLM-like approach, the training hardware will be capable of running ~1,000,000s concurrent instances of the model.
Definitions
Although there is some debate about the definition of compute overhang, I believe that the AI Impa... |
4bece8ad-a4c2-4b57-93db-b0ab9b6f4c85 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Apply for MATS Winter 2023-24!
[Applications are now open](https://airtable.com/appxum3Sqh7TdDvdg/shrtfHWhRFZdkhaIM) for the Winter 2023-24 cohort of [MATS](https://www.matsprogram.org/home) (previously SERI MATS). Mentors include [Adrià Garriga Alonso](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/rhaps0dy), [Stephen Casper](https... |
7937b97b-d6d3-4842-ad98-db32ff58f7dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Brainstorming: children's stories
So I have a three-year old kid, and will usually read or tell him a bedtime story.
That is a nice opportunity to introduce new concepts, but my capacity for improvisation is limited, especially towards the end of the day. So I'm asking the good people on LessWrong for ideas. How woul... |
8588688a-a066-4684-ab99-bb32cbd28050 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Frontier AI regulation: Managing emerging risks to public safety
FRONTIER AI R EGULATION :
MANAGING EMERGING RISKS TO PUBLIC SAFETY
Markus Anderljung1,2∗†, Joslyn Barnhart3∗∗, Anton Korinek4,5,1∗∗†, Jade Leung6∗, Cullen O’Keefe6∗,
Jess Whittlestone7∗∗, Shahar Avin8, Miles Brundage6, Justin Bullock9,10, Duncan Cass-Beg... |
f247991d-859a-4d8f-9308-65d071b2c977 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | “Technological unemployment” AI vs. “most important century” AI: how far apart?
*This was cross-posted by the Forum team after the time that it was published.*
In casual conversations about the future of AI - particularly among people who don’t go in for [**wild**](https://www.cold-takes.com/all-possible-views-about-... |
888dedac-e4e4-4421-af94-2645bddfbb83 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Newcombness of the Dining Philosophers Problem
Before finding this site, I didn't normally associate the Prisoner's Dilemma or other questions of Decision Theory with the field of Artificial Intelligence. After all, when writing software I don't have to negotiate to get the program to cooperate with me; rather, it obe... |
9fb769e6-bc8c-4ee5-bebb-1f35e40955d7 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post545
This work was done by Thee Ho as part of the Athena 1.0 mentorship program under Evan Hubinger. Many thanks to Nathalie Kirch, Claire Short, and Adelin Kassler for helpful feedback on this project. Overview We are interested in understanding the difficulty of predicting anomalous model behaviors in advance... |
94b22440-62c2-4253-9b91-b0f91e88164b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New safety research agenda: scalable agent alignment via reward modeling
Jan Leike and others from the DeepMind safety team have released a new research agenda on reward learning:
"Ultimately, the goal of AI progress is to benefit humans by enabling us to address increasingly complex challenges in the real world. But... |
ecbd6daa-4aab-4b0e-8ca1-da94dd7672e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Pittsburgh: Rationalization Game
Discussion article for the meetup : Pittsburgh: Rationalization Game
WHEN: 04 September 2012 06:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: EatUnique, Craig St, Pittsburgh
Join us for dinner or a snack while we familiarize ourselves with the making up of justifications.
Call 412-304-6258 if yo... |
7e9a9dee-7adb-45de-8398-a076965ba134 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is a Tool?
Throughout this post, we’re going to follow the Cognition -> Convergence -> Corroboration methodology[1]. That means we’ll tackle tool-ness in three main stages, each building on the previous:
* Cognition: What does it mean, cognitively, to view or model something as a tool?
* Convergence: Insofar a... |
49fb35cb-7f27-44df-baaf-0e6c76950dce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arrison, Vassar and de Grey speaking at Peter Thiel's startup class [link]
http://blakemasters.tumblr.com/post/25149261055/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-19-notes-essay
as someone mentioned the rest of Thiel's notes are also an interesting read
http://blakemasters.tumblr.com/peter-thiels-cs183-startup
|
10df2a6b-f023-4d43-b720-2638586dbb81 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I’ve just founded a nonprofit, the Longevity Research Institute — you can check it out here.The basic premise is: we know there are more than 50 compounds that have been reported to extend healthy lifespan in mammals, but most of these have never been tested independently, and in many cases the experimental methodolog... |
352c3bf7-ba62-49b8-8d00-31eef2ffae84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When Should Copyright Get Shorter?
Information goods have private costs and public benefits. Pharmaceutical research requires upfront investment from one firm, but once a certain compound is known to be effective it’s cheap for any company to produce. Writing a novel or filming a movie takes hundreds of hours of work ... |
46de0ad1-f698-4156-9183-c69c960315b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neuroimaging as alternative/supplement to cryonics?
Paul Christiano recently suggested that we can use neuroimaging to form a complete mathematical characterization of a human brain, which a sufficiently powerful superintelligence would be able to reconstruct into a working mind, and the neuroimaging part is already p... |
02111eb6-7485-425e-8dc5-d7d49d9a545f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK?
Today's post, Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK? was originally published on 26 October 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> People act as though it is perfectly fine and normal for individuals to have differing levels of intelligence, but that it is abso... |
7dc23d47-6929-4c2e-a946-0555a59901c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making a conservative case for alignment
Trump and the Republican party will wield broad governmental control during what will almost certainly be a critical period for AGI development. In this post, we want to briefly share various frames and ideas we’ve been thinking through and actively pitching to Republican lawma... |
784ff3c7-6fc7-4132-bb6e-589b87fd3c63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Secret US natsec project with intel revealed
Unclear how relevant this news is to AI safety, but it seems like the sort of thing we ought to notice.
> A backroom Washington deal brokered two years ago is undercutting a key part of President Joe Biden’s policy to grow the national high-tech manufacturing base — pushin... |
db30acc0-afa0-40bf-b6b7-8946138e9c37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Costly Coordination Mechanism of Common Knowledge
Recently someone pointed out to me that there was no good canonical post that explained the use of common knowledge in society. Since I wanted to be able to link to such a post, I decided to try to write it.
The epistemic status of this post is that I hoped to pro... |
c35ef0a7-8e14-4722-a2a5-581376bbdd2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental Goals Are A Different And Friendlier Kind Of Thing Than Terminal Goals
The Cake
Imagine that I want to bake a chocolate cake, and my sole goal in my entire lightcone and extended mathematical universe is to bake that cake. I care about nothing else. If the oven ends up a molten pile of metal ten minutes a... |
77d3916c-7a7c-4d94-a802-841e1c1970a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Trying to understand John Wentworth's research agenda
Oli, you wanna kick us off?
johnswentworth
I mostly plan to observe (and make edits/suggestions) here, but I'll chime in if I think there is something particularly important being missed.
David Lorell
Ok, context for this dialogue is that I was evaluating your LT... |
60d367c3-96f1-4025-ab66-69ba5b02aaa7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Hammer and the Dance
I'm currently running the Effective Altruism Coronavirus Discussion FB group. I saw a large number of posts each day, but this seems like the most important post for people to read at the moment because in order to know what to do, we need to have an idea of the end-game. Now obviously we need... |
d11a60a2-71a1-4a9b-83f8-2bdf46e6a0b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on October 31st. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Bangalore Meetup: 08 November 2014 04:15PM
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Atlanta Beginning o... |
8f8af0e6-9669-436c-9164-9e4997c8554b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using ideologically-charged language to get gpt-3.5-turbo to disobey it's system prompt: a demo
Introduction
When the end user of a deployed LLM gets it to generate text that is opposed to the goals of the deployer, that end user has succeeded at prompt injection:
A successful prompt injection attack.
This post de... |
326816ec-56f0-4d02-b5f5-3bcfc4ad07b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | So what are our Mid-Term goals?
I know that Rationalism is fairly spread out as an ideology, but, thankfully, very few rationalists seem to subscribe to the popular belief that allowing someone you can't see to suffer by your inaction is somehow different from walking on while some kid you don't know bleeds out on th... |
3e338faf-6415-4964-a35b-6bf95c3eb3b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI that doesn't want to get out
Here's another attempt to make an AI safe by putting it in a box and telling it very sternly not to leave. I don't think this safeguard is invincible, but it might help in combination with others.
The AI is, first of all, a question-answering machine. Before it is turned on, the buildi... |
1c641988-1081-4df5-8842-7c9b07348961 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When does external behaviour imply interal structure?
I've been working on an AI safety camp project where we try to describe agent structure. This post defines some key concepts and conveys my reasoning about this topic so far. It is mostly conceptual. The first section discusses what structure is and what it means f... |
72846900-1ef7-452d-8769-5d34c8b803b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2022 LessWrong Census?
From 2011-2017, there was an annual LessWrong census/survey. Much like a national census, this provided a valuable lens into the demographics and beliefs of LessWrongers. Unfortunately, this tradition appears to have stopped in recent years, with the exception of a mini-revival in 2020. (Scott A... |
ac7878d9-e66d-4d1f-84e0-f63ba62f607d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Relating HCH and Logical Induction
I'd like to communicate a simple model of the relationship between [logical induction](https://intelligence.org/2016/09/12/new-paper-logical-induction/) and [HCH](https://ai-alignment.com/humans-consulting-hch-f893f6051455) which I've known about for some time. This is more or less a... |
03b531e3-23ae-452c-a8cc-5eb2bee713ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Better priors as a safety problem
(Related: Inaccessible Information, What does the universal prior actually look like?, Learning the prior)
Fitting a neural net implicitly uses a “wrong” prior. This makes neural nets more data hungry and makes them generalize in ways we don’t endorse, but it’s not clear whether it’s... |
166cdb27-9e4d-48dc-908b-5f09af6d2d9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Uncertain Decisions Facilitate Better Preference Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
The problem of inferring human preferences has been studied for decades in fields such as inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), preference elicitation, and active learning. However, there are still several shortcomings in exist... |
8185a9dd-fe9b-4bd2-bb60-ac364b9b3580 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Once we notice that a superintelligence is trying to take over the world, can’t we turn it off, or reprogram it?
We would not by default be able to turn off or reprogram a superintelligence gone rogue. Once in motion, the superintelligence focuses on completing its task. Suppose that it has a goal of calculating as ma... |
adf19c24-5b6c-4ae6-bfe9-e7bf346245be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What jobs are safe in an automated future?
The trends are clear, more and more work that was previously done by humans are being shifted to automated systems. Factories with thousands of workers has been replaced by highly efficient facilities containing industrial robots and a few human operators, bank tellers by onl... |
a2e26149-cc08-4b07-8308-a22d210abbcc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Travel Buffer
I recently finished a nine-day road trip, playing a series of dances. This combined driving long distances with arrival deadlines: you don't want to arrive late. Not only is it unprofessional, but it's stressful rushing to set up and you'll likely have a bad night from skipping some nice-to-have steps. A... |
f50fb5cd-ea29-4c00-9891-f3ae900ff5f8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What to think when a language model tells you it's sentient
[cross-posted from Experience Machines]
What does Bing Chat, also known by its secret name Sydney, have to say about itself? In deranged rants that took the internet by storm and are taking AI safety mainstream, the blatantly misaligned language model displa... |
87690984-a86a-4efd-8d92-2c50c9b86480 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI strategy conversation with Steinhardt, Karnofsky, and Amodei
On October 27th, 2013, MIRI met with three additional members of the effective altruism community to discuss MIRI’s organizational strategy. The participants were:
* [Eliezer Yudkowsky](http://yudkowsky.net/) (research fellow at MIRI)
* [Luke Muehlhau... |
b3fdd074-2477-4988-828d-56c45c6f6450 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D.Sci December 2022 Evaluation and Ruleset
This is a followup to the D&D.Sci post I made ten days ago; if you haven’t already read it, you should do so now before spoiling yourself.
Here is the web interactive I built to let you evaluate your solution; below is an explanation of the rules used to generate the datas... |
713f3e13-782d-45c9-a5b8-b42782030d43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Emotional Training Model
Bearlamp: Previous, First
Greaterwrong: Previous, First
Lesswrong: Previous, First
Life is propagated by two main clusters of emotions. (*Yes I know it's more like a spectrum but this is the poor simplification I am using for now)
The "good" feelings that we move towards, and the "bad" fee... |
690476c8-9cdd-4512-9403-dd0408ffb0bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | UDT might not pay a Counterfactual Mugger
The Counterfactual Mugging is my favorite decision theory problem, and it's the problem that got me started reading LessWrong in the first place. In short,
> Imagine that one day, Omega comes to you and says that it has just tossed a fair coin, and given that the coin came up... |
195e0294-59cf-445c-a002-42c46582e1ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should AI systems have to identify themselves?
A short post to hear what people think of the policy proposal to have any interaction with an AI (eg chatbot) include an overt notification that one is indeed interacting with an AI.
Clearly, one wouldn't want a frequent pop up in video games but in the world of providi... |
ccfc3c46-e1ca-4b8b-927e-eb392764afde | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Solving Logic Grid Puzzles with an Algorithm that Imitates Human Behavior
1 Introduction
---------------
Most research work done in Computer Science aims to brings us closer to a machine that can solve any problem stated by any user. The most promising advancements towards this Holy Grail [[1](#bib.bib1)] have come... |
99b3b9c9-77d4-4502-8ff0-07928132814f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Group Bragging Thread (May 2015)
This is similar to the usual bragging threads, with one major exception: this thread is for groups, not individuals.
Please comment on this thread explaining awesome things that you have done with your fellow rationalists as a group. The lower bound on group size is three people.
Oth... |
ae4b9bbf-5916-4c8f-9294-11ea093931ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Data on AI
Epoch AI collects key data on machine learning models from 1950 to the present to analyze historical and contemporary progress in AI.
This is a big update to the website, and the datasets have substantially expanded since last year. |
407089eb-64dc-4d16-835e-0a20f5c13c8d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Public-facing Censorship Is Safety Theater, Causing Reputational Damage
It's so common it's a stereotype.
A large corporation releases a cutting-edge AI model, and puts out a press release talking about how their new, [larger/smaller]-than-ever model provides unprecedented freedom for [underprivileged artists/small ... |
94657d22-e587-4b17-aa30-ddb81a76da2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Maximizing Donations to Effective Charities
(Cross-posted in The Life You Can Save blog, the Intentional Insights blog, and the EA Forum)
Image credit: https://www.flickr.com/photos/61423903@N06/7382239368
Don’t you want your charitable efforts to do the utmost good they can in the world? Imagine how great it f... |
c27588b0-389c-4eee-9a55-f30d21b6b252 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feedback from emotions
Bearlamp: Previous, First
Greaterwrong: Previous, First
Lesswrong: Previous, First
Mental health can often feel like the inability to get clarity around if it’s, “just me” or if it’s “the world” that’s crazy. There’s an open question in any interpersonal problem “is it me or is it them”. Basic... |
9aae4bc7-c989-4d67-9076-a33cc9fe922e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Canberra: Deep Learning
Discussion article for the meetup : Canberra: Deep Learning
WHEN: 22 May 2015 06:00:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: 108 North Road, Acton, ACT
Deep learning has been making waves: many domains of machine learning have their best results from deep learning approaches. The cynical view is that de... |
da41300c-c794-4fde-9130-0009b93df3bb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Understanding Counterbalanced Subtractions for Better Activation Additions
Introduction
Activation additions represent an exciting new way of interacting with LLMs, and have potential applications to AI safety. However, the field is very new, and there are a few aspects of the technique that do not have a principled j... |
78008e07-c51f-4022-8a15-777c4caf31e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | META: application for adminship on the wiki
So, as people have probably noticed, there's fairly regular vandalism on the LW wiki which has been taking a while to address and which regular users have been trying to cope with by moving and blanking pages. This is a little silly - it doesn't resolve the problem and just ... |
a66a2376-6698-470d-8767-998cd8d8447a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Trivial GPT-3.5 limitation workaround
I'm not going to do this. But what is preventing me, or anyone, from doing the following *this afternoon*:
Setup a paid OpenAI account to use GPT-3.5 via the Python interface.
Write a Python script that uses the GPT Python API. Locally, the Python script creates a fresh terminal... |
994c45a7-e4fd-473d-9ca9-c6bde06ca14b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | More examples of goal misgeneralization
In our latest [paper](https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.01790) and [accompanying blog post](https://deepmindsafetyresearch.medium.com/goal-misgeneralisation-why-correct-specifications-arent-enough-for-correct-goals-cf96ebc60924), we provide several new examples of [goal misgeneralizati... |
97aadfd8-743c-494c-a6d0-ff7ffd108717 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is ambitious value learning?
I think of ambitious value learning as a proposed solution to the specification problem, which I define as the problem of defining the behavior that we would want to see from our AI system. I italicize “defining” to emphasize that this is not the problem of actually computing behavior... |
a68c5a42-eeb5-4909-9b16-a0a77046eab0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Medical Image Registration: The obscure field where Deep Mesaoptimizers are already at the top of the benchmarks. (post + colab notebook)
Background: Introduction to Image Registration
Image registration, or finding the corresponding points in a pair of, eg, MRI scans, is one of the fundamental tasks in medical image... |
0eba9f2f-da8a-4023-8f6a-132fb4afd67a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Artificial Intelligence as exit strategy from the age of acute existential risk
This article argues that given the baseline level of existential risk implied by nuclear weapons the development of Artificial Intelligence (AI) probably implies a net reduction in existential risk. The so called Artificial General Intelli... |
c737476d-e646-443f-be3c-b4b693989a8b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The AI Control Problem in a wider intellectual context
I’ve been thinking about the control problem lately. The control problem, also called the AI alignment problem is, per Wikipedia:
[A]spects of how to build AI systems such that they will aid rather than harm their creators. One particular concern is that humanity... |
df410c7b-834e-496e-91fc-e339b6fe3984 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 5 - Infra-Bayesianism with Vanessa Kosoy
YouTube link
This podcast is called AXRP, pronounced axe-urp and short for the AI X-risk Research Podcast. Here, I (Daniel Filan) have conversations with researchers about their papers. We discuss the paper and hopefully get a sense of why it’s been written and ho... |
67d159cf-4609-479f-b6ea-8cb9e7f6570a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Three-Layer Model of LLM Psychology
This post offers an accessible model of psychology of character-trained LLMs like Claude.
Epistemic Status
This is primarily a phenomenological model based on extensive interactions with LLMs, particularly Claude. It's intentionally anthropomorphic in cases where I believe huma... |
666a6fa6-ae2a-4087-8e37-538265cc4942 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Two Modes of Discourse: Taking everything personally v. debate as sport
A blog post by Alistair Roberts, as curated by Steve Sailer. (Steve's version is shorter and more targeted; the original blog post is the fourth in a series on triggering and suffers for its reliance on the particular issue.)
It seems like... |
396be4bc-87c3-4d33-81af-1618abbb6bc5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could AI be used to engineer a sociopolitical situation where humans can solve the problems surrounding AGI?
0
hi, i've been learning about alignment and am new to lesswrong. here's my question.
there seems to be a consensus here that AI couldn't be used to solve the problem of AI control per se. that said, is there... |
be71214b-e4c5-4e07-a9c7-2c14382d39d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Exploratory] Becoming more Agentic
Disclaimer: This is an exploratory writing post. No checking for typos or other editing was done.
This seems like the core skill to success in almost anything. Especially as things get more complex and less straightforward. E.g. you do need to be less agentic when wanting to learn ... |
70d036c0-14ed-4944-b373-f312abd90f64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-Improvement or Shiny Distraction: Why Less Wrong is anti-Instrumental Rationality
Introduction
Less Wrong is explicitly intended is to help people become more rational. Eliezer has posted that rationality means epistemic rationality (having & updating a correct model of the world), and instrumental rationality ... |
e976025e-4f7e-40e7-adb6-3c09ef713000 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The EMPATHIC Framework for Task Learning from Implicit Human Feedback
1 Introduction
---------------
People often react when observing an agent—whether human or artificial—if they are interested in the outcome of the agent’s behavior. We have scowled at robot vacuums, raised eyebrows at cruise control, and rebuked ... |
3ca5c952-fc1d-4cff-a9b2-8301a81ca638 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Commentary on “AGI Safety From First Principles by Richard Ngo, September 2020”
The intent of this document is to critically engage with the points and perspectives put forward in the post “AGI Safety From First Principles” by Richard Ngo. I will mostly take quotes from the post and comment on those, often involving... |
7d67708e-fa89-43c4-bfb5-d2a55d71e12e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactual Mugging Alternative
Edit as of June 13th, 2016: I no longer believe this to be easier to understand than traditional CM, but stand by the rest of it. Minor aesthetic edits made.
First post on the LW discussion board. Not sure if something like this has already been written, need your feedback to let me... |
cea02341-688d-42ff-843b-52b73c765b9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What are some helpful AI policy resources?
- [AGISF governance track](https://www.agisafetyfundamentals.com/ai-governance-curriculum) — A curriculum designed to cover some research up to 2022 on why AI governance may be important to work on now, what large-scale risks AI poses, which actors will play key roles in stee... |
5b596e09-f644-468d-8882-b4ef1d85861c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Go Mobilize? Lessons from GM Protests for Pausing AI
**Disclaimer:**
This project came out of a Summer Research Project with the Existential Risk Alliance. I am fairly confident of my analysis of the history of GM (Genetically Modified) crops: it is based on 70-80 hours of research into the GM literature, and a surve... |
f6776be2-a848-488f-a4f9-a4c693d1b442 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some real life Inadequate Equilibria?
I would like to compile an as-comprehensive-as-possible list of known Inadequate Equilibria / large scale coordination problems.
An Inadequate Equilibrium is a situation in which a community, an institution, or society at large is in a bad Nash equilibrium. The group as ... |
7fcc018a-c9a0-4b7a-8e15-3e34fca61499 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against an AI Research Moratorium
All the smart people agitating for a 6-month moratorium on AGI research seem to have unaccountably lost their ability to do elementary game theory. It'a a faulty idea regardless of what probability we assign to AI catastrophe.
Our planet is full of groups of power-seekers competing ... |
ff64bfc4-f3ae-4cbf-907e-16df3293b4df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mastering Chess and Shogi by Self-Play with a General Reinforcement Learning Algorithm
None |
6cc216b4-5263-400f-b5ba-8240d7b9d5bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Skills training for dating anxiety
A half-baked literature review: Skills training for dating anxiety
In order to infer whether sociosexual skills training is a useful adjunct to standard treatment of anxiety, the first page of Google scholar was systematically reviewed for unique interventional studies that inclu... |
b0e8a074-3819-4dc3-a09a-68259d17e602 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Surprising Creativity of Digital Evolution: A Collection of Anecdotes from the Evolutionary Computation and Artificial Life Research Communities
Abstract
--------
Evolution provides a creative fount of complex and subtle adaptations that often
surprise the scientists who discover them. However, the creativity o... |
ba2029d0-04b3-4e67-b4c8-5a6c49f8c0c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Theory and applications of Robust Optimization
1 Introduction
---------------
Optimization affected by parameter uncertainty has long been a focus of the mathematical programming community. Solutions to optimization problems
can exhibit remarkable sensitivity to perturbations in the parameters of the problem (demon... |
85a29f0b-53e6-479e-9765-6947b9ec3b79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Patricia Hall & The Warlock Curse
Patricia Hall had studied all her life to become an archmage diviner of the Ivory Tower. When she was expelled, her heart broke and her world shattered. Even worse, she learned short after that the world might be literally about to end.
Join the eponymous character on a life-transfor... |
69df6c52-3330-4593-b5cd-92367fa2c386 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tournesol, YouTube and AI Risk
Introduction
Tournesol is a research project and an app aiming at building a large and varied database of preference judgements by experts on YouTube videos, in order to align YouTube’s recommendation algorithm towards videos according to different criteria, like scientific accuracy and ... |
3d3a16f9-bccf-4031-960e-f5bbb638cb78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Transparency in Insurance (Edit: Solution found)
EDIT: shminux has found a tool that instantly delivers term life insurance quotes. Most everything I've written below is now irrelevant and can now be ignored.
Here is what seems to be the standard for acquiring insurance (of most kinds, though here I'll be focusin... |
79e0ba71-1aeb-46b1-9359-393b8c4899bd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Assessing Kurzweil: the gory details
This post goes along with this one, which was merely summarising the results of the volunteer assessment. Here we present the further details of the methodology and results.
Kurzweil's predictions were decomposed into 172 separate statements, taken from the book "The Age of Spirit... |
8cd887ee-e6d3-4e27-beb6-47670428e5a9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Canberra Less Wrong Meet Up - Favourite Sequence Post + Discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : Canberra Less Wrong Meet Up - Favourite Sequence Post + Discussion
WHEN: 14 February 2015 06:00:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 108 North Road, Acton, ACT
For this meet up, we want to talk about our favorite LW posts... |
58e0a281-6260-47ee-a452-3f4c845647e4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Modeling and interpreting expert disagreement about artificial superintelligence
Introduction Artificial superintelligence (ASI) is artificial intelligence (AI) with capabilities that are significantly greater than human capabilities across a wide range of domains. If developed, ASI could have impacts that are highly ... |
58323972-bd0b-457e-ad4c-efe9a3359a95 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quick evidence review of bulking & cutting
Epistemic status: fairly fast non-comprehensive literature review by a non-expert
Content warning: I advise against reading this if you believe you have an eating disorder
My ideal body aesthetic would be to have defined muscles and low body fat. Maybe this is also true of y... |
b90367af-f305-46ec-8009-59d93c50497b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some (potentially) fundable AI Safety Ideas
* There are many AI Safety ideas I'd like to pursue, but I currently don't have the time for. Feel free to take these ideas, apply for funding, and, if you get funded, you can thank me by reducing existential risk.
* [Note: I am not a funding manager or disperse funds in a... |
3b0c2cf6-adbe-4d1b-97f7-99540f5b9ef8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Cambridge, UK LW Meetup [Reading Group, HAEFB-01]
Discussion article for the meetup : Cambridge, UK LW Meetup [Reading Group, HAEFB-01]
WHEN: 10 February 2013 11:00:00AM (+0000)
WHERE: Trinity JCR, Cambridge, UK
Meetup! This week, we'll be doing a reading group session of the Shiny New Sequence, Highly Adv... |
3d50b63d-1525-485b-8b05-ded6ef849669 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London social meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : London social meetup
WHEN: 04 May 2014 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, Holborn, WC2B 6BG
Our weekly meetings continue! As usual, we'll be meeting in the Shakespeare's Head in Holborn, from 2pm until we get bored (which is almost always ... |
40db3999-d59f-4c91-9426-de045055c9df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Kids and Moral Agency
We were having some sort of discussion where the idea of a "moral agent" came up, and Lily asked what one was. I described the idea, including something along the lines of "if it hurts you is that it's fault?", and then asked her what counted. Her answers, with my ordering:
* Rock: no
* Ocea... |
74dcd859-95f8-43ec-8fc6-ae9d672349f7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Artefacts generated by mode collapse in GPT-4 Turbo serve as adversarial attacks.
I stumbled upon some bizarre behaviour by GPT-4 Turbo 128k, released via API access on November 6, 2023. Since the model is in its preview phase, some imperfections are expected. Nonetheless, I found the behaviour intriguing enough to s... |
e95f3716-37a1-4de5-abbf-a2661f409a43 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Donation tradeoffs in conscientious objection
Suppose that you believe larger scale wars than current US military campaigns are looming in the next decade or two (this may be highly improbable, but let's condition on it for the moment). If you thought further that a military draft or other forms of conscription might ... |
30b37d64-263d-459f-a4a5-226eca85dbe1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tel Aviv: Slightly Less Hard Problems of Consciousness
Discussion article for the meetup : Tel Aviv: Slightly Less Hard Problems of Consciousness
WHEN: 24 March 2015 07:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Google, Electra Tower 29th Floor, Yigal Alon Street 98, Tel Aviv.
There will be a talk about some problems posed by... |
da9878a2-5b5b-46aa-9a4d-c563433896c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Naturalism versus unbounded (or unmaximisable) utility options
There are many paradoxes with unbounded utility functions. For instance, consider whether it's rational to spend eternity in Hell:
Suppose that you die, and God offers you a deal. You can spend 1 day in Hell, and he will give you 2 days in Heaven, and the... |
f5b8a8a4-0fdb-4932-b3bb-27525d98266d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI Safety Endgame Stories
Assume you are in the set of possible worlds where [AI takeover](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/pRkFkzwKZ2zfa3R6H/without-specific-countermeasures-the-easiest-path-to) happens by default. If you do nothing, then at some point in the 21st century the AI lab Magma develops a transformativ... |
5bd0fabc-8696-46d5-be17-40db1eebb9ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Friendly Face (Another Failure Story)
Edit: Based on the comment by Daniel Kokotajlo, we extended the dialog in the chapter "Takeover from within" by a few lines.
The perfect virtual assistant
The year is 2026 and the race for human-level artificial general intelligence (AGI) draws to a close. One of the leading A... |
ff8c7e92-a1b7-4e8d-958b-cee6e38486ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Efficient Food
Yudkowsky's 2014 April Fools Day's confession notes that food production could be more efficient:
> Food in dath ilan was made by people who were very good at making a particular variety of food, and they’d pick a few dishes and make a huge amount of it on any given day. There’d be many places like tha... |
d9f1ec04-a772-4c42-a669-b1d3aac8af26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quantum computing for the determined (Link)
> 21 videos, which cover subjects including the basic model of quantum computing, entanglement, superdense coding, and quantum teleportation.
>
> To work through the videos you need to be comfortable with basic linear algebra, and with assimilating new mathematical terminol... |
73a6759f-29d1-459d-8d65-edfbb163b39d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Breaking Newcomb's Problem with Non-Halting states
Note: I dug around quite a bit and haven't found anyone who previously discussed this, but if it's been talked about previously somewhere links would be appreciated.
Epistemic Status: Interesting Conjecture, I think my logic is all sound but please check me
I think... |
66d35708-3fad-4b98-9c93-e957a82242c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Parable of the Dagger - The Animation
This video is an animation of The Parable of the Dagger, by Eliezer Yudkowsky. It's the first article of A Human's Guide To Words.
The narration is almost word for word. The only discrepancies between the narration and the original text are some deletions of words such as "r... |
f1df5eae-1c4c-4d43-adc0-ba4550631de8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup: January
Discussion article for the meetup : Melbourne Social Meetup: January
WHEN: 20 January 2017 06:30:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: 347 Flinders Lane, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Come along for our first Social Meetup for 2017!
Facebook event page: https://www.facebook.com/events/181559773... |
9cfcaa95-acc7-4ab5-8b77-901fac26f763 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anthropic Reasoning and Perspective-Based Arguments
This pandemic has allowed me some time to finish up my anthropic arguments. The complete argument is now accessible on my website, https://www.sleepingbeautyproblem.com
My approach is a Perspective-Based Argument (PBA). I think anthropic problems often end up parad... |
91725a64-340c-464c-b750-85038b57f4cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Titan (the Wealthfront of active stock picking) - What's the catch?
Titan is a Y Combinator startup that launched in 2018 and aims to do for active investing what Wealthfront, Betterment and Vanguard have done for passive investing.
They pick a basket of 20 companies with $10B+ market cap which they believe are above... |
945790f6-7ddf-47b7-adc0-126a69c5d5c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Concrete Advice for Forming Inside Views on AI Safety
A lot of people want to form inside views on AI Safety, and this is a post about concrete advice on how to get started. I have a lot of hot takes on inside views and ways I think people misframe them, so I'll begin with some thoughts on this - if you just want to c... |
c8aa9ac2-e605-4496-a009-e3da8adfcf63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Giving What We Can pledge campaign 2015
If you’ve been planning to get around to maybe thinking about Effective Altruism, now is a great time to get consider making a commitment. As part of Giving What We Can's pledge campaign, people are signing the Giving What We Can pledge - to donate 10% of their future income to ... |
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