episode stringlengths 45 100 | text stringlengths 1 528 | timestamp_link stringlengths 56 56 |
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Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and enables the British to win the Battle of Britain, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:27:51.780 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | which otherwise absolutely would not have happened | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:27:55.520 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | if they hadn't cracked the code using that computer. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:27:57.720 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But that's an exponential graph. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:02.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | So a straight line on that graph is exponential growth. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:03.640 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And you see 80 years of exponential growth. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:07.300 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And I would say about every five years, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:11.600 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and this happened shortly before the pandemic, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:15.200 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | people saying, well, they call it Moore's law, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:18.280 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | which is not the correct, because that's not all intel. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:20.680 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | In fact, this started decades before intel was even created. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:25.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It wasn't with transistors formed into a grid. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:29.680 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | So it's not just transistor count or transistor size. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:34.140 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Right, it started with relays, then went to vacuum tubes, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:37.280 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | then went to individual transistors, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:43.200 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and then to integrated circuits. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:46.720 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And integrated circuits actually starts | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:51.080 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | like in the middle of this graph. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:54.000 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And it has nothing to do with intel. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:56.520 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Intel actually was a key part of this. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:28:58.760 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But a few years ago, they stopped making the fastest chips. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:02.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But if you take the fastest chip of any technology | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:08.960 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | in that year, you get this kind of graph. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:12.800 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And it's definitely continuing for 80 years. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:16.640 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | So you don't think Moore's law, broadly defined, is dead. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:19.760 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It's been declared dead multiple times throughout this process. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:24.840 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | I don't like the term Moore's law, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:29.280 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | because it has nothing to do with Moore or with intel. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:31.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But yes, the exponential growth of computing is continuing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:34.740 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It has never stopped. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:41.600 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | From various sources. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:42.920 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | I mean, it went through World War II, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:43.960 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | it went through global recessions. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:45.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It's just continuing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:49.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And if you continue that out, along with software gains, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:53.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | which is a whole nother issue, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:29:58.100 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and they really multiply, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:01.560 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | whatever you get from software gains, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:02.960 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | you multiply by the computer gains, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:04.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | you get faster and faster speed. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:07.920 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | This is actually the fastest computer models | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:10.940 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | that have been created. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:14.320 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And that actually expands roughly twice a year. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:15.840 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Like, every six months it expands by two. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:19.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | So we're looking at a plot from 2010 to 2022. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:22.840 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | On the x axis is the publication date of the model, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:28.360 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and perhaps sometimes the actual paper associated with it. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:31.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And on the y axis is training, compute, and flops. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:34.240 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And so basically this is looking at the increase | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:40.240 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | in the, not transistors, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:43.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | but the computational power of neural networks. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:46.360 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Yes, the computational power that created these models. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:51.500 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And that's doubled every six months. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:55.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Which is even faster than transistor division. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:30:57.560 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Yeah. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:00.360 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Now actually, since it goes faster than the amount of cost, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:02.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | this has actually become a greater investment | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:06.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | to create these. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:10.840 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But at any rate, by the time we get to 2045, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:12.260 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | we'll be able to multiply our intelligence | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:16.600 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | many millions fold. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:19.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And it's just very hard to imagine what that will be like. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:21.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And that's the singularity where we can't even imagine. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:25.040 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Right, that's why we call it the singularity. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:28.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Because the singularity in physics, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:30.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | something gets sucked into its singularity | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:32.760 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and you can't tell what's going on in there | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:35.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | because no information can get out of it. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:37.780 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | There's various problems with that, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:40.440 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | but that's the idea. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:42.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It's too much beyond what we can imagine. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:44.080 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Do you think it's possible we don't notice | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:48.960 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | that what the singularity actually feels like | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:52.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | is we just live through it | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:56.360 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | with exponentially increasing cognitive capabilities | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:31:59.640 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and we almost, because everything's moving so quickly, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:05.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | aren't really able to introspect | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:09.560 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | that our life has changed. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:11.800 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Yeah, but I mean, we will have that much greater capacity | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:13.680 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | to understand things, so we should be able to look back. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:17.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Looking at history, understand history. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:20.760 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But we will need people, basically like you and me, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:23.240 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | to actually think about these things. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:26.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | But we might be distracted | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:29.240 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | by all the other sources of entertainment and fun | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:30.680 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | because the exponential power of intellect is growing, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:34.160 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | but also there'll be a lot of fun. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:39.160 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | The amount of ways you can have, you know. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:41.640 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | I mean, we already have a lot of fun with computer games | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:46.160 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | and so on that are really quite remarkable. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:48.440 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | What do you think about the digital world, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:51.400 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | the metaverse, virtual reality? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:54.760 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Will that have a component in this | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:57.640 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | or will most of our advancement be in physical reality? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:32:59.120 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | Well, that's a little bit like Second Life, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:01.840 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | although the Second Life actually didn't work very well | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:04.480 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | because it couldn't actually handle too many people. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:06.880 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | And I don't think the metaverse has come to being. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:09.320 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | I think there will be something like that. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:14.200 |
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321 | It won't necessarily be from that one company. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:33:16.040 |
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