episode stringlengths 45 100 | text stringlengths 1 528 | timestamp_link stringlengths 56 56 |
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Anyone randomly dealt, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:16.180 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | But let's say now that that player raised to $3,000. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:18.100 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Okay, well you can eliminate now from this grid, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:22.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | a whole bunch of hands that this player can no longer have | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:24.580 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | because if they had a two and a three, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:27.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | they wouldn't do that. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:28.580 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So you can say, okay, he probably has a big pair. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:29.840 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | He has ace king. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:32.500 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | You know, you've narrowed the range of hands down, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:33.700 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Now through every action on the flop, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:36.740 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | on the turn and on the river, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:38.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | based on the decisions they make, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:40.180 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you narrow it down even further. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:41.820 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So the range of hands is the whole, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:43.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | the entirety of all the possibilities | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:46.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that this player you believe could have. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:48.780 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And sometimes they fool you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:50.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or they have a hand that you don't expect them | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:51.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | to have in their range. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:53.220 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And you know, maybe a little bit unorthodox | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:54.280 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | doing some things you don't expect to throw you off, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:56.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | but a range is essentially all the possibilities | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:09:59.340 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | and it narrows as by the time, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:01.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | before the flop it's endless, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:03.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | player raises, okay, it's minimized. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:05.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | You know, a player bets the flop, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:07.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | okay, it's minimized further. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:08.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And then by the river, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:09.540 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you can narrow down the entire range to, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:11.020 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | just maybe even a few hands. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:13.900 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Is it always shrinking or is there sort of, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:15.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | as you get surprised? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:17.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I mean, it's always just an estimate. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:19.500 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So does it ever expand based on sort of chaotic, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:21.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | unpredicted surprising behavior of the players? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:24.740 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | It really should never expand. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:29.060 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | The range of hands should always get smaller, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:30.700 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Like again, we start with the full scope | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:32.660 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | and then you should factor in like, okay, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:35.180 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | these are all the possible hands | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:37.020 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you can have on the flop now, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:37.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | We can't have new hands on the turn. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:39.960 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And if you get to that point where you think, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:41.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | oh, well, maybe he has this hand, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:44.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | then you sort of misjudged his range prior. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:45.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So you're not thinking clearly. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:49.040 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | It should always shrink from the full scope to, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:50.460 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | hopefully just a couple. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:54.600 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Well, in that video, you also talk about, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:55.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | it used to be that you would play your hand, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:57.660 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | but now you're playing a range | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:10:59.780 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that you're representing a range. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:02.080 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | You're not even just playing your hand. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:03.580 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So what does it mean to represent a certain range? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:05.660 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Yeah, so that's another big thing | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:08.740 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that's different about poker from, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:09.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | my day to today is that back in our day, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:11.480 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | we would like put people on one hand. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:13.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'm like, you probably have king nine | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:15.540 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or you have jacks or something like that. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:17.300 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Now people are cognizant of the idea | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:19.220 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that you could have an entire range of hands. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:21.180 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So then you ask yourself in situations, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:23.020 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | all right, I know what I have, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:24.820 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | but what I could have in his mind | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:26.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or my opponent's mind is any one of these hands. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:29.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | What would I do with the entirety of these hands? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:31.300 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And so a lot of people that are trying to play optimally, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:34.020 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you know, game theory optimal, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:36.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | they think in terms of what their range of hands would do | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:37.700 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | rather than their very specific hand. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:41.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So is bluffing in that context | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:43.760 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | essentially misrepresenting the range of hands that you have? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:46.060 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | No. Is that how you think about it? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:49.900 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Not exactly, because so an optimal range, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:51.160 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | like if I bet the river, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:53.220 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | if I'm playing game theory optimal, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:54.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | a portion of my range is going to be, I have it. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:56.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I got the best hand. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:11:59.040 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And a portion of my range is going to be bluffs | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:00.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | and they'll be balanced. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:01.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So in theory, no matter what you do, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:03.380 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | no matter what you do, if you call or you fold, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:05.780 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | in theory, it's just, you're printing a zero, as we say, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:08.120 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you're not gaining or losing any EV, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:11.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | if you were to do it that way. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:14.460 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | What's EV? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:15.380 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | EV is expected value, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:16.280 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So every play that you make, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:18.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you know, it either is going to in the long run, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:19.780 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you know, make you some money, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:21.960 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or it's just a losing play. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:22.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And as a professional, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:24.380 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you try to make the fewest amount of minus EV plays you can. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:25.340 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And the only reason you would make these minus EV plays | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:29.180 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | is potentially if you were trying to set up your opponent | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:31.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | for something later, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:34.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So I might make some minus EV plays, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:35.740 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So that I can exploit you later, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:38.660 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So you're building up an image, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:40.500 |
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