episode stringlengths 45 100 | text stringlengths 1 528 | timestamp_link stringlengths 56 56 |
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | a player profile that's false in some way. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:42.720 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Something that I'm going to, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:45.500 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'm going to plant seeds in your mind | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:46.340 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | so that I can exploit them later. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:48.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So for example, why would players like show a big bluff? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:49.560 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Like what would be the reason for that? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:53.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | They show a big bluff | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:54.760 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | so that you know that they're capable of it. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:55.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | But maybe in their mind, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:57.320 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you're never going to do that again. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:58.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | But now they think, you know, he bluffed me last time. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:12:59.820 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Maybe he's doing it again. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:02.460 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | But that's a, what we call like a level, a leveling war. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:03.580 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Because it, you know, you can go back and forth | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:06.760 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | with whether or not, okay, this guy might know that. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:09.340 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Like he showed a bluff | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:11.560 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | because he's never going to bluff me again. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:12.460 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So that that's where it gets a little. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:14.320 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So that's a little bit different. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:15.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | The, when we're talking about hand rangers, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:17.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that's different than building up a mental model | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:19.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | of what your opponents, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:23.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | what your opponents think of you | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:24.620 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | and what your opponents think that you think of them | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:26.840 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | and so on and so forth. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:30.840 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Are you trying to construct those kinds of mental models? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:32.360 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And is that separate from the hand rangers? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:35.760 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | They go hand in hand, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:37.480 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So if any given, in a given situation, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:39.120 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | My range has this many value hands and this many bluffs. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:41.360 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Okay? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:45.160 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So in theory, if I want to be balanced, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:46.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | this is my range and this is what it looks like. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:48.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'll bet this 50% of the time, bet this 50% of the time. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:49.920 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | However, if I know that you think that I bluff too much, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:52.680 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | right, then I'm not going to bluff as much. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:57.480 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'm going to start, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:59.100 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | instead of betting these hands that I would 50, 50, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:13:59.940 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | now what I'll do is I'll do like 70, 30, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:02.140 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | where I'm basically value betting | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:04.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | most of the time against you, you know, or vice versa. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:06.160 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | If I know you always fold because you think I have it, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:08.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'm going to veer the other way. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:11.020 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And instead of bluffing 50%, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:12.360 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'll bluff 70, 80% of the time | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:13.520 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | to take advantage of your perception of me. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:15.500 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So to be successful, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:17.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | do you have to construct a solid model of all the players | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:19.040 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | in the game or can you ignore them? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:23.400 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I think it's really important. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:26.600 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Like when I play, I have in my phone, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:27.920 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I have a player profile of everyone that I play with. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:29.880 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Whenever I pick up, whether it's physical tells | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:32.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or tendencies they like to, you know, that they have. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:34.040 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And overall, that's just going to, you know, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:38.760 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | that's going to allow you to exploit more, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:41.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So like if I played with somebody I've never played before, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:43.840 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | I'm probably just going to play optimally | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:46.520 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | or at least as optimal as I know how until I start to, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:48.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you know, gain some information on that player | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:51.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | so that I can start to exploit them. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:53.360 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So what's the, when you say optimally, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:55.500 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | what does optimally mean versus, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:57.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | so game theory optimal versus exploitative? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:14:59.520 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Yeah, so that's like sort of the big debate in poker. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:04.400 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | We call it for short, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:06.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | GTO game theory optimal versus exploitative play. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:07.800 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So GTO game theory optimal is the idea that no, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:11.560 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | like I'm going to set up my play | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:15.160 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | so that no matter what you do, you cannot exploit me. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:16.920 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So essentially that's playing rock, paper, scissors, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:20.400 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And throwing 33% of each every time, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:23.960 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Nothing you do can beat that, nothing. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:27.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | You'll never be able to beat that, right? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:29.920 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Exploitative play is starting to notice that, okay, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:31.980 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | well, you know what? | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:34.400 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | This guy loves rock. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:35.240 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | He loves playing rock. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:36.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So I'm going to go paper a little more. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:37.840 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So I'm going to take advantage of them. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:39.460 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So I won't be through, but now all of a sudden, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:40.600 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | when I do that, I'm no longer playing optimal | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:42.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | because if you knew that I was making that adjustment, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:44.440 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | now you can exploit me. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:46.240 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So that's where the sort of what we call | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:47.960 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | the leveling war happens, where people veer from, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:49.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | you know, the optimal line of, okay, 33% each for each one. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:52.440 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | You can't beat that, but you also can't win with that either. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:15:56.420 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So you're always trying to be at the cutting, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:00.860 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | at the leading edge of suboptimal play. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:03.260 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | Yeah, you're going back and forth. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:06.120 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | And listen, at the highest levels, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:07.200 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | like online that these guys play, | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:09.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | like they're trying to play pretty close | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:11.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | to like game theory optimal | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:13.000 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | because it's very difficult to do first of all. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:15.120 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | No human being will ever be able to compute | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:16.520 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | at the level that computers can. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:20.040 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | It's just never going to happen. | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:21.640 |
Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324 | So that's where like the human mind has to come into play | https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0324-large.html#00:16:23.420 |
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