sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
313f6a5bcf0d889054c747ac0d6ad13dc1e59a05 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x05014b6073018829bc2dc891dc788aa2835ac119500c4aa9867b5da1e8b09de0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | 78,866,434 | 78,866,434 |
9ec3c27dde1345bafbaec9bad2d2ba1282e80d2b | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x077fc0c447abfc7e094713e86d62acc20480560a6eb60bfbfc86a1c5f00b9339 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Will the government shutdown end November 12? | 78,959,725 | 78,959,725 |
0712f52fcabb82b67e85154e82715d8df9a4183e | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xd7b39f912814f41c7edc9a7693d54487611f4abee1ae4ab6cdf1a704be8a33d4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Will the government shutdown end November 13? | 78,989,345 | 78,989,345 |
7016f062931079519c70d9bffc9d081497cc30a0 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x36425c098c5069c521b6d12fb57e8b5f4ef3701c5d43d7a4a583597c02d7da74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | 79,032,901 | 79,032,901 |
400f8a0a1bdd07c6bf6c539c0e4c7cd41dbf0a3a | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xf34e22013b78a23833336094f0c4592f773758584e4cb800b16c6194923deea8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | arg-lan-cat-2025-11-14 | Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14? | 79,038,158 | 79,038,158 |
7787578e4829d01b722dfebfda1988f13b35540c | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x25f308c3beb04f71a96032d584b9c0e1de94437ca7fc3f6899e484140341fc90 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | fif-ven-aus-2025-11-14 | Will Australia win on 2025-11-14? | 79,044,268 | 79,044,268 |
4997b8c221f2d276f6288085ccaf833d8c937181 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xd7d8d5a65895b385f1b5773df5e5df4dd47f48e2e11cdad98380071732b7bc87 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15 | Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? | 79,083,558 | 79,083,558 |
e0001d1f8ee649febc5788ea0995432dc5cec714 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x783350d95c239b7501a206951d9415a3741b7c3c71f393f8b4b8015ed832fb3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | arg-slo-cas-2025-11-15 | Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-15? | 79,085,743 | 79,085,743 |
255a5ff2a439e3ea43ed2b14c08bb907a78b48c1 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xab9778d7d45a9e54666b23395c4af98fda75effacc2ab1359d94e632f1d0f5a5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | uef-ukr-isl-2025-11-16 | Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16? | 79,113,778 | 79,113,778 |
a481cad8fd50b3a8e66e201ce4b26bfec2b8f425 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x9307ddc6ea0bf56377fd195cd90e177480573b524010b2924fc7d824f0c1ec8c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | uef-nir-lux-2025-11-17 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17? | 79,163,350 | 79,163,350 |
22464c9af88dae3c511950d5c63363d9ec7ad74c | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x52e8dfa4cf4675f2cd8c3486343242b9c475991abe5d31b494d509ca10383328 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | uef-mon-hrv-2025-11-17 | Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17? | 79,170,281 | 79,170,281 |
8f4caa5fa1b0eeaa0c9eb62418838130ccc911cb | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x047df26289ea109eb6628de650a2f9a3af67c6c21511af8f2b0ad0dade5a1870 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | uef-wal-mac-2025-11-18 | Will Wales win on 2025-11-18? | 79,204,837 | 79,204,837 |
9b57a10ae92196ee6e794016cdcd6c06ea8a5478 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x736bf9fd796dad23025c1f0fb3d8c8d4cac0126731b7b74c9d8d4ee73aa2428a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | fif-mex-par-2025-11-18 | Will Mexico win on 2025-11-18? | 79,215,937 | 79,215,937 |
27e70736bd6a4419eabb88424249d52f09cb2f16 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xbf6397bba92a2abde13c006dfb35fa0204aa0936e1228fea6355481593b4aefe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | bra-bot-rec-2025-11-18 | Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18? | 79,216,474 | 79,216,474 |
c96f6dd5a43dea32f4e38e10e6aa104c2a6c430f | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x594354095c2d479f27f16b961838db309ab16fb3140a79d498be5d6b202581cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | bra-csc-int-2025-11-20 | Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-20? | 79,299,541 | 79,299,541 |
9d251b97689aae83fb5036ed400f7971c71592f5 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x7b182075765745aa9a361a1deb587ecdbaf256782f9978c4a3ed10db54ee88bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | mex-pac-pum-2025-11-20 | Will CF Pachuca win on 2025-11-20? | 79,342,207 | 79,342,207 |
977fd6648cbf05d05802648b15b89d32eb0a8ff9 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x9f88c1679359a04739efeea9c4606d4fca2590e39d634cf0e26b7b9bdc264498 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | sea-ver-par-2025-11-23 | Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-11-23? | 79,405,902 | 79,405,902 |
86d01ad23bb487debe4ab6b33cb78506c6ea5a22 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x3b2c84cf671fff6c7034dcde6ef021a804517e19d47322ca04ea57b2e43195e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | no | 1 | sea-laz-lec-2025-11-23 | Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-23? | 79,419,088 | 79,419,088 |
239a09fbc1a1860acf076b7ebeb8437bd87f5d9a | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x6a82c0fde448e4d3eaaa34f5c19226a37875b01a47a01e3f0e5d38b8c779e4a2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarre... | yes | 1 | fl1-aja-lyo-2025-11-23 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-23? | 79,419,088 | 79,419,088 |
7aad9cd98c5b66f1a266d122c7978dc01090d48e | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x8070d9ca706a8e32a4374b279d37642413d799ec90d0e02b044f446ea1abc513 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Event: new-york-city-mayoral-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-paf-vil-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Querétaro FC win on 2025-11-07? |... | yes | 1 | lal-elc-rea-2025-11-23 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23? | 79,422,964 | 79,422,964 |
55534fc4c40fb733949e0a8cd402b34cae6d4fb2 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xdfa04cfea1725323ed508741a625e2a91a6a8638ad068835aa7c0567a5d37855 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-paf-vil-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Querétaro FC win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-jua-que-2025-11-07 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | Event: epl-tot-mun-2... | yes | 1 | mls-fcc-mia-2025-11-23 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-23? | 79,426,295 | 79,426,295 |
db1ad26ecc16f5ba59e0f58fadd30416acf20323 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x548f46c2cb063e476aa012ed3bbd6e038785387965d0f38500989a2d67bda061 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Querétaro FC win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-jua-que-2025-11-07 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | Event: epl-tot-mun-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-08? | Event: arg-uni-bar-2025-1... | no | 1 | lal-esp-sev-2025-11-24 | Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? | 79,468,830 | 79,468,830 |
957133550408a320985411a9dc1b7a77d9a72783 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x8ea5bf62f3fbf39f7eddd029956a981c02151e44026578adea2ddf4b34f03f68 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | Event: epl-tot-mun-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-08? | Event: arg-uni-bar-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Club León FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: mex-leo-pue-2025-1... | yes | 1 | epl-mun-eve-2025-11-24 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24? | 79,468,830 | 79,468,830 |
9f026e424a951a6cd25f38e46a362297a8aeed20 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x267ad54694c3de03972093fa22399033f7c750cf36da3b427d2ae9b08f6915d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-08? | Event: arg-uni-bar-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Club León FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: mex-leo-pue-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Event: lol-worlds-2025-winner |... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-fantasy | Will A Drop of Corruption (Robert Jackson Bennett) win Readers’ Favorite Fantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,480,762 | 79,480,762 |
2c693e0a8e2d2966f367bd3f6744f32829b7db47 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xd2fe464a6e00e94d8eacabc35a4540a033a13aa245b72f8ffd41ede1ecbdedea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Club León FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: mex-leo-pue-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Event: lol-worlds-2025-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-ray-rea-2025-11-0... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-romantasy | Will Silver Elite (Dani Francis) win Readers' Favorite Romantasy in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,480,762 | 79,480,762 |
9b364706b7c9fbc8bc60f582c58d743e70167599 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xe2a4e3a627685cf33e917e3eff4dac2fad6c0ff4a9ecd940ab4b0fcfea47e362 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Event: lol-worlds-2025-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-ray-rea-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bun-ein-mai-2... | no | 1 | ucl-gal-usg-2025-11-25 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? | 79,505,349 | 79,505,349 |
83223529fd7de217c7c8c3ffdd9ccae0ffab074b | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xbffdf1e3d18cb607a09507656158d1257f839e595db932250fbcc90dbec6eddb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-ray-rea-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bun-ein-mai-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-bil-ovi-... | yes | 1 | fl1-olm-tou-2025-11-29 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29? | 79,685,888 | 79,685,888 |
469560774711b5d7440fd24a72538c453c5a7518 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x1b65bda795b4331b07085889217eed05520d65a8593d485684ecaebb8c2d2344 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bun-ein-mai-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-bil-ovi-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09? | Event: sea-ata-sas-202... | no | 1 | bra-vit-mir-2025-11-29 | Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-29? | 79,692,843 | 79,692,843 |
895d56ce11022d38a13044e55885b8bb20eaaf49 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x9f6378ef984a23eb30b4947f45a41bccdf6e36f9ca4e3c2e0a8cf30ffca27bd1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-09? | Event: lal-bil-ovi-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09? | Event: sea-ata-sas-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | ... | no | 1 | nor-fkh-bry-2025-11-30 | Will Bryne FK win on 2025-11-30? | 79,721,860 | 79,721,860 |
184e0a5e0697431d19a27e3b67167aa8462b1668 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xafcf4723bf751a3d05519985a5e495dd6b19d2275ef12323b33ab4c4fd438406 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09? | Event: sea-ata-sas-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Event: what-day-will-the-... | yes | 1 | epl-che-ars-2025-11-30 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30? | 79,721,860 | 79,721,860 |
44ef25b315fa5fdfe9b8e4c65d43ca0bbbc75d56 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0xe7490fbb41a7651501d1345286d75ac477430670dddd20bb061104faead288e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the government shutdown end November... | yes | 1 | lal-gir-rea-2025-11-30 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30? | 79,743,077 | 79,743,077 |
c7558377a6b2c90ae1396d3a753de1e4323078c8 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x50c3d3bb71546585062a028756bbf3dab5f1d4258e0158a2fea8778aaaec3054 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 13? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nether... | no | 1 | epl-new-tot-2025-12-02 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | 79,810,840 | 79,810,840 |
7508f1ce75dde078e19870668321211b1042e556 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x8c0ea5f3568be8551674431aa5dbc32d564ce667e24d333392cd283aaa736046 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 13? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14? | Event... | no | 1 | lal-bil-rea-2025-12-03 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03? | 79,851,623 | 79,851,623 |
8c98b4eb43d75de7db6856e0f4adfa845d981dc9 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x02bb463c9491e34192810033dbba936786b275ff1cd7c8e65f1d29dd0338b540 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14? | Event: arg-lan-cat-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Australia win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-ven-aus-2025-11-14 | Cho... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-fiction | Will The River Is Waiting (Wally Lamb) win Readers' Favorite Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
8bbb88d9baae2984c5e56bdb048683f24c70f573 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x1a3f7b2f57f50a05be1b1db231181788beb47d50b3b5da494d9d8bd50a431f2c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14? | Event: arg-lan-cat-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Australia win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-ven-aus-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-science-fiction | Will The Dream Hotel (Laila Lalami) win Readers' Favorite Science Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
726499b66db912fef4cc7a7f8449590082077bf3 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x3b961853c47d23af471ce40721f123e5c0204265f847c1b04e3653103ac17289 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Australia win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-ven-aus-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-s... | no | 1 | epl-bur-cry-2025-12-03 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
521b533d3e82d4739de222981edf17d474e204d8 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x6cc04b1730a0e8f2e821a7934eadc3d59c6cd85791dfd69679e75748615ceb6c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-slo-cas-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16? | Event: uef-ukr... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-science-fiction | Will The Poppy Fields (Nikki Erlick) win Readers' Favorite Science Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
7a4ab0f87cca84f8ef9b19b89227b02d65fdcf25 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x7376b29421c9005581cda3133f312005b637f4e665533c35b6617b20e34f8e99 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-slo-cas-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16? | Event: uef-ukr-isl-2025-11-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17? | Event: uef-nir... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-horror | Will Never Flinch (Stephen King) win Readers’ Favorite Horror in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
7fa5617f39b50b55fda7bc2993f40e1ccd4ba932 | 0x02571ed3bfa4162c80b288310745503275a822b2 | 0x86d8a9f1a5f19c9484b83c37c0cec29199462a035c2cb255aee912d1a93416d5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16? | Event: uef-ukr-isl-2025-11-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17? | Event: uef-nir-lux-2025-11-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17? | Event: uef-mon-hrv-2025-11-17 | ... | yes | 1 | goodreads-choice-awards-readers-favorite-romance | Will One Golden Summer (Carley Fortune) win Readers' Favorite Romance in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards? | 79,861,471 | 79,861,471 |
997886d600ab502d1d4d2f6fb7cb9c052f197177 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x16f3b71a2602dd9b06d1f56ae6670247156f9cb2ab2bca30bea65f6739c2e78d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Rams vs. Patriots
Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | patriots | 0 | nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Rams vs. Patriots | 64,408,466 | 64,408,466 |
50e1e4db0197b3d8f2597e87c1cb49e1e9a5472d | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x86ca735bc0349d71b3ad8a4f6c5e3521564e3e81be26faa6936e809219341d14 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Colts vs. Jets
Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | colts | 0 | nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Colts vs. Jets | 64,408,466 | 64,412,405 |
07d9862226e99c4962f3ddb1f8f996cf88283837 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xc523009a8be7653b8de7dcd763ed91811c5dbb33a5986372a530b60fe3ee33ac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Browns vs. Saints
Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17
Predict the user's choice and confidence... | browns | 0 | nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Browns vs. Saints | 64,408,466 | 64,412,405 |
72521785ca82bf1182504173c8ab39876a30130d | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x3c46eff5ba4360c0a376488421ca2bc39ceb3272e6c7b6042d593390eedbdcc3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Q... | ravens | 0 | nfl-bal-pit-2024-11-17 | Ravens vs. Steelers | 64,408,466 | 64,412,886 |
121c94fe2e26e2f811624f32b06b97be2bbaebd4 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x4429f390f5f9966902ad345f37b3219887a19a6cf127f04d53bb73d7f4b754e7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | 49ers | 0 | nfl-sea-sf-2024-11-17 | Seahawks vs. 49ers | 64,408,616 | 64,417,296 |
978de4ccebb031f8a23dfc1f13775a78d6a6832b | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xcf988770b8949b89dd531fce2c6acc52ab9852849a71598aae4889ad3742787d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | broncos | 0 | nfl-atl-den-2024-11-17 | Falcons vs. Broncos | 64,409,340 | 64,417,296 |
99ef3ac75bd89abe1eced68ee2ab84ebb7cdab97 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xa21e5fbbbe049e3337ba9b4a4dd5aa15e6b6ed8e7c71344c776364a73e81586a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | bills | 0 | nfl-kc-buf-2024-11-17 | Chiefs vs. Bills | 64,414,713 | 64,417,815 |
f95aa4cf792d57754dff5757fb7541cf12fc26fb | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x64db493b471c6f7a3260b4ec9838233248bc45297b291890316dde8c29b63413 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | bengals | 0 | nfl-cin-lac-2024-11-17 | Bengals vs. Chargers | 64,416,065 | 64,434,604 |
4c4b18b8c5597cc771804f3c5a417851695a8940 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x4ab5506b1bf7634bbb4f6570fbe4a52a040c88dabb032d8073b307e761f73a9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | pacers | 0 | nba-ind-tor-2024-11-18 | Pacers vs. Raptors | 64,454,671 | 64,455,315 |
3e47b839c2ae0d756b9ec295d5bf9b0e8508736c | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x900f8c6a1875f1606bca3f6c3356ede742a2a2f21d3443127c3c287282373fea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | bulls | 0 | nba-chi-det-2024-11-18 | Bulls vs. Pistons | 64,454,786 | 64,462,153 |
79e976c9029128c2741f404ef0ab97d495dcf1a8 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x75b66493e2de484ca8de13e5d3750cd7c135d1501621dc4837588c0b32245866 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | 76ers | 0 | nba-phi-mia-2024-11-18 | 76ers vs. Heat | 64,454,937 | 64,462,153 |
2b1a2261bb47d8393b3b872c9b062afed8dd4a5f | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x71c1371ff70e6a33c6dda4452b36c43209ef60551d62203d0c9a56f00200d290 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | bucks | 0 | nba-hou-mil-2024-11-18 | Rockets vs. Bucks | 64,455,315 | 64,473,804 |
84f0a641987aa1f69fda31ed8f569f8487567b15 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x7da82a9e8ffd07b287e6496e99e60ff63ea62c1a0c7392c28a11a3b2745f9696 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | magic | 0 | nba-orl-phx-2024-11-18 | Magic vs. Suns | 64,458,393 | 64,459,081 |
6ac8a787077edb160b0df28c4d440700c177d18b | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x8188ac392a9b715fb0e26d96e459dd8770134765126abccca2dffb76ab764616 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-sac-2024-11-18 | Hawks vs. Kings | 64,459,190 | 64,473,804 |
a46fc6ada21d9e3d2f4ed37647d450bafd7ed689 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x162e25a23f51bac0242431d4b5539b56d53d30f9ea7343ab4db8ed85b75d8040 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | clippers | 0 | nba-gsw-lac-2024-11-18 | Warriors vs. Clippers | 64,459,938 | 64,473,804 |
2119e7d86e8fe74604bfcb8f85797c2300ec6a45 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x35286cd1d09e37ad1eac3daa1ffcaf5fcd1cc23ae8f31098add5483266e57364 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-cle-bos-2024-11-19 | Cavaliers vs. Celtics | 64,497,000 | 64,497,000 |
b2d99c720754afd5371835e102ea5af171acde63 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xe306d9c6f452265a36547a9f2bba27a90b85a9240022705975145c109569dffd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | hornets | 0 | nba-cha-bkn-2024-11-19 | Hornets vs. Nets | 64,497,611 | 64,503,344 |
76f66dcb44ede6c72ef6a437476587ea482a3534 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xf0538d88e5c4bdd9bfaadc67d26f6cf54db40a29fdbfb0e5dbf9b0fbad5d7e12 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-den-mem-2024-11-19 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | 64,497,923 | 64,497,923 |
03cc8ed5da7a6c21e5255380cde8828bc09a5ae4 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x412d5d61c5e860a6b9e96b374c8d501426bceddfcabd5073330a3f8ab7b5c14b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | spurs | 0 | nba-okc-sas-2024-11-19 | Thunder vs. Spurs | 64,500,163 | 64,514,574 |
440b059231b4a65e5892fe66302023b04bd5cdeb | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x61d37a12a060883b4a1baa7a6e02654748b7017f96ae6d89319a31e3fac5a71c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | hornets | 0 | nba-det-cha-2024-11-21 | Pistons vs. Hornets | 64,574,091 | 64,595,289 |
443623c81fc4be70d91b126d155d74eb839e7e6f | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x6ca8f21b51005bf0715aef9c9af2f61b418791a077efcb4d25a63d8a6653d57e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | hawks | 0.297942 | nba-atl-chi-2024-11-22 | Hawks vs. Bulls | 64,619,186 | 64,619,186 |
af4af94ac33d9b976515bd9ff4928da0dd963fb0 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x6d818166611fcffbe30e48698142f560a23a4c3f9e6b8c9521c001499e56d237 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | warriors | 0.535974 | nba-gsw-nop-2024-11-22 | Warriors vs. Pelicans | 64,619,186 | 64,619,186 |
2cfc00b60ba7bef5de28132d47e9902769175dda | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x6605bad68dc3a4681adee6c8c5b84540121150d80742d742ab11fadd1ab88449 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | celtics | 0 | nba-bos-was-2024-11-22 | Celtics vs. Wizards | 64,619,186 | 64,622,107 |
89acadd7b3db2934220c30588775673d8c6f85cc | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xc0550086a700da108b77dddaf9d13fb2f08245cc09d0dba0a2f77ab668397c44 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | bucks | 0 | nba-ind-mil-2024-11-22 | Pacers vs. Bucks | 64,619,186 | 64,623,890 |
e1024efc9125768e1b6365e957a535812e37c216 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x72c5244aa41398b3853819c5c11df60f24b9eea05c5baf936b5a4f7b5012cceb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | mavericks | 0 | nba-dal-den-2024-11-22 | Mavericks vs. Nuggets | 64,620,069 | 64,620,069 |
28736564d1eeda4e06bf855d5c44216f53e7a95b | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xd3d99c94465d388fa007480c0d23b457ad7b0fb11542b2ae3e201dd28e204c5c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | jazz | 0 | nba-nyk-uta-2024-11-23 | Knicks vs. Jazz | 64,652,156 | 64,653,414 |
5192759bfa1b29f2f553f19b82f0fbf31ea07dc0 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xe36356afa2896d858e2512e215ef8b7ca0afb4874583917c4827941da9b1bd5a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | spurs | 0 | nba-gsw-sas-2024-11-23 | Warriors vs. Spurs | 64,662,745 | 64,662,745 |
859977a6a73651e31631334f8734192808707d76 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x8c3aa045fb2062cbe23f6a1ab4d2e7186feb201f90536ebf500e7ae7d2859a21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | lakers | 0 | nba-den-lal-2024-11-23 | Nuggets vs. Lakers | 64,662,745 | 64,677,325 |
d5589c2f6b595649b71a8f52ab565d485f3ad5f7 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x45b593176961ea8f9792b373cc723b0f664938f8c0e985c110517ab26689966b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | texans | 0 | nfl-ten-hou-2024-11-24 | Titans vs. Texans | 64,684,918 | 64,692,652 |
771c0103bbed681d6aa969c27c7177764dd86aba | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xb236355fe71fe311449678ea87cf5258846ce0f1f624b941554347d8ba016db7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | commanders | 0 | nfl-dal-was-2024-11-24 | Cowboys vs. Commanders | 64,684,918 | 64,694,356 |
3fcc89290950952a908c26ce99cc2e9031f5d8c4 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xc8ea9a0cc7d4f014df9943e95559501ae398131a9dc5bdb113513a20a9825374 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Patriots | Event: nfl-la-ne-2024-11-17 | Choice: patriots | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rave... | cardinals | 0 | nfl-ari-sea-2024-11-24 | Cardinals vs. Seahawks | 64,694,716 | 64,694,716 |
1ae768ca0fcae28ffcb8fee99c3fa5a97a898548 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x1f586721b4f61939fac27d597ef63bfa85072209a2600538905b3d464182b852 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Colts vs. Jets | Event: nfl-ind-nyj-2024-11-17 | Choice: colts | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ravens vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-bal-pit-2024-11-17 | Choice: ravens | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Se... | heat | 0 | nba-dal-mia-2024-11-24 | Mavericks vs. Heat | 64,694,716 | 64,713,310 |
794beb6ac28a1a828719595c09ed80369f9f700d | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x753beb5cff9bccc0a1b6a6ac1cccb979f41120b6ad370dce48eb6320f534b4fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Browns vs. Saints | Event: nfl-cle-no-2024-11-17 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ravens vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-bal-pit-2024-11-17 | Choice: ravens | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Seahawks vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-sea-sf-2024-11-17 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | lakers | 0 | nba-lal-phx-2024-11-26 | Lakers vs. Suns | 64,778,353 | 64,778,353 |
46a021fec0c7d480f74b042912ae105f614aa727 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x228081afc88817581d1a52c9eb30c8e93c6d87f6836df55b92726c2c6a2eaf17 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ravens vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-bal-pit-2024-11-17 | Choice: ravens | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Seahawks vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-sea-sf-2024-11-17 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Falcons vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-atl-den-2024-11-17 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | jazz | 0 | nba-sas-uta-2024-11-26 | Spurs vs. Jazz | 64,778,353 | 64,816,904 |
276a54a1e5a83f3e8c72d17270f46d5e688ee89c | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x73cca5ecbc680953afee726af65038dc35a6f554743c35cf8103a0f07c8da83e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Seahawks vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-sea-sf-2024-11-17 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Falcons vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-atl-den-2024-11-17 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Chiefs vs. Bills | Event: nfl-kc-buf-2024-11-17 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-bos-cle-2024-12-01 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | 64,973,362 | 64,976,600 |
bd4177ffd135d4d4325c066bfec055a4e4b4b0e1 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xdf3af4005d85cc83172125226b8bc29752b0049852952c0f47fc7d3b89f99072 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Falcons vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-atl-den-2024-11-17 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Chiefs vs. Bills | Event: nfl-kc-buf-2024-11-17 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bengals vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-cin-lac-2024-11-17 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | buccaneers | 0 | nfl-tb-car-2024-12-01 | Buccaneers vs. Panthers | 64,973,362 | 64,979,417 |
a7e4673877ba895772e067b5925eea6203d45778 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xf0a70f874960564aab2f335fc773a678841838441607212ac6713e50905b70f4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Chiefs vs. Bills | Event: nfl-kc-buf-2024-11-17 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bengals vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-cin-lac-2024-11-17 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-ind-tor-2024-11-18 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | heat | 0 | nba-mia-tor-2024-12-01 | Heat vs. Raptors | 64,973,721 | 64,979,417 |
de301da4947df44c805bc5a46ff1121fbe076aef | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x35416ab95b1c1a951b85300d57d82faa2ef092d5fe701047319aca79c9f1205e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bengals vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-cin-lac-2024-11-17 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-ind-tor-2024-11-18 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2024-11-18 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | rockets | 0 | nba-okc-hou-2024-12-01 | Thunder vs. Rockets | 64,973,721 | 64,994,433 |
ef069152d804412311f1b4ff01446ee69e6efd37 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xab324d9b84978af12837a662f85dd1be4eeb7ce10c03ae83d411d866423982bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-ind-tor-2024-11-18 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2024-11-18 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: 76ers vs. Heat | Event: nba-phi-mia-2024-11-18 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Roc... | clippers | 0 | nba-den-lac-2024-12-01 | Nuggets vs. Clippers | 64,979,431 | 64,979,431 |
91813c2026b84f7f29e7ac1d4fda807b34da4c14 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x8cedb107d5794e086fc956caf206b322df2fc59a2ded8916db4c41ceba88e593 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2024-11-18 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: 76ers vs. Heat | Event: nba-phi-mia-2024-11-18 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Bucks | Event: nba-hou-mil-2024-11-18 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Magic... | kings | 0 | nba-sas-sac-2024-12-01 | Spurs vs. Kings | 64,979,431 | 64,994,433 |
1c016a1ba9c5a166d3ea419c33c04e2469ab87a9 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x027a76de3ec938c2722fb9154b4078c93c45f8e78440a4cd1865d5781298151b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: 76ers vs. Heat | Event: nba-phi-mia-2024-11-18 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Bucks | Event: nba-hou-mil-2024-11-18 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Suns | Event: nba-orl-phx-2024-11-18 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Hawks vs... | 76ers | 0 | nba-phi-cha-2024-12-03 | 76ers vs. Hornets | 65,055,467 | 65,055,467 |
f0a2712857ae15fc0085290b8023dbe59cc6b226 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xf008259b5be4e33ceff05b023773995320683e4f2b6061f08af74e510c724cc0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Bucks | Event: nba-hou-mil-2024-11-18 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Suns | Event: nba-orl-phx-2024-11-18 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Kings | Event: nba-atl-sac-2024-11-18 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Warrior... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-det-2024-12-03 | Bucks vs. Pistons | 65,055,467 | 65,055,467 |
0da163b8c1e85785d73b3407abecfd421866ad95 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xec64de6e5581d7404d89deb2c85bbcbc6b17fda3054aacf43be5c4d07a5ec7ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Suns | Event: nba-orl-phx-2024-11-18 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Kings | Event: nba-atl-sac-2024-11-18 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Warriors vs. Clippers | Event: nba-gsw-lac-2024-11-18 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-mem-dal-2024-12-03 | Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | 65,057,705 | 65,057,705 |
427373246c90d50d1c4fab6b4bcfe57316c4ebd5 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xf2791ac1620e624684725c51b4133f8ba921a56dbf3e33a7e5d01e67296a1050 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Kings | Event: nba-atl-sac-2024-11-18 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Warriors vs. Clippers | Event: nba-gsw-lac-2024-11-18 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Event: nba-cle-bos-2024-11-19 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | spurs | 0 | nba-sas-phx-2024-12-03 | Spurs vs. Suns | 65,059,150 | 65,063,105 |
7a9b4f0d8e97aecc219cd296ae9e72d83d80bda5 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x050a6efa9486f16bb8ad51eb8351bc389f96bc29511ef2c8a4f1292622d29770 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Clippers | Event: nba-gsw-lac-2024-11-18 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Event: nba-cle-bos-2024-11-19 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hornets vs. Nets | Event: nba-cha-bkn-2024-11-19 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0... | kings | 0 | nba-hou-sac-2024-12-03 | Rockets vs. Kings | 65,059,889 | 65,059,889 |
09652ea763ec1923008dbd56efee4a1433b015af | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x54376801ad95230ff6991bcf75ec58654323961ee98cc126d047e72acfee7dc8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cavaliers vs. Celtics | Event: nba-cle-bos-2024-11-19 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hornets vs. Nets | Event: nba-cha-bkn-2024-11-19 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-den-mem-2024-11-19 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.... | nuggets | 0 | nba-gsw-den-2024-12-03 | Warriors vs. Nuggets | 65,059,889 | 65,059,889 |
fefe221523aaed889ef8f566b645ad2247c4cda6 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x386b414a9dc3961bab017a652a935669b4b1c956211dedc0fb6cae9483cc8877 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hornets vs. Nets | Event: nba-cha-bkn-2024-11-19 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-den-mem-2024-11-19 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Thunder vs. Spurs | Event: nba-okc-sas-2024-11-19 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | falcons | 0 | nfl-atl-min-2024-12-08 | Falcons vs. Vikings | 65,241,328 | 65,241,328 |
0046e6a8d327cc420152b36d00f4abd7a8e5f7c3 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x658b81d6d123ab39ea02d78b1dc386d2ced267f75a793c8e86d32a1d78a45022 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-den-mem-2024-11-19 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Thunder vs. Spurs | Event: nba-okc-sas-2024-11-19 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pistons vs. Hornets | Event: nba-det-cha-2024-11-21 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | jaguars | 0 | nfl-jax-ten-2024-12-08 | Jaguars vs. Titans | 65,241,560 | 65,244,812 |
1f42ebd92d05f12fe0c7cf6e291940e968bb3e55 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x4aefb2fd20aba54fd5aa11096468e22024e66088216d43c5a0e88839047ea785 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Thunder vs. Spurs | Event: nba-okc-sas-2024-11-19 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pistons vs. Hornets | Event: nba-det-cha-2024-11-21 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Bulls | Event: nba-atl-chi-2024-11-22 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.297942256264665... | 76ers | 0 | nba-phi-chi-2024-12-08 | 76ers vs. Bulls | 65,241,773 | 65,241,773 |
a8f24c94e753d3734a72e9a0589f6d346d3f22a1 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x0e2277d8c413e8d2e4457ebf1d848e662081b85af190b176c8ac5c5c4ec0c426 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pistons vs. Hornets | Event: nba-det-cha-2024-11-21 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Bulls | Event: nba-atl-chi-2024-11-22 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.29794225626466564
3. Question: Warriors vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-gsw-nop-2024-11-22 | Choice: warriors | Confid... | giants | 0 | nfl-no-nyg-2024-12-08 | Saints vs. Giants | 65,241,773 | 65,246,180 |
b91204564fb4f425d7a26175da1ee1d6514f153e | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x6b4968a4e7fcaf7179b825d87c108683cc3086eecaebaefd7d7bc47b9ec7ebf7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Bulls | Event: nba-atl-chi-2024-11-22 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.29794225626466564
2. Question: Warriors vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-gsw-nop-2024-11-22 | Choice: warriors | Confidence: 0.5359744351252145
3. Question: Celtics vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bos-was-2024-11-22 | Choice: c... | browns | 0 | nfl-cle-pit-2024-12-08 | Browns vs. Steelers | 65,242,748 | 65,242,748 |
edea4d0049c58253f15e0a5d1616880d4f3a61ce | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x41c84034f8e5f053905f6dbe87d0d923792839aecc2d18d872a872e1dc96b46b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-gsw-nop-2024-11-22 | Choice: warriors | Confidence: 0.5359744351252145
2. Question: Celtics vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bos-was-2024-11-22 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Bucks | Event: nba-ind-mil-2024-11-22 | Choice: bucks | Confid... | dolphins | 0 | nfl-nyj-mia-2024-12-08 | Jets vs. Dolphins | 65,242,748 | 65,245,970 |
6465e002527ae72a4ca159210885cea0af3cb99b | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x95ab5756b943bf8146f588e462877ccf03e5364ac564a9601470760234b5bff2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bos-was-2024-11-22 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Bucks | Event: nba-ind-mil-2024-11-22 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-dal-den-2024-11-22 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | eagles | 0 | nfl-car-phi-2024-12-08 | Panthers vs. Eagles | 65,244,011 | 65,249,524 |
cbf849c02e0cddad9dcf88f395951f0704518304 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xe043f9e47330c68a74b44ff60d7b89416538458999343c9c0a5ee619cee93689 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Bucks | Event: nba-ind-mil-2024-11-22 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-dal-den-2024-11-22 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Knicks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-nyk-uta-2024-11-23 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | cardinals | 0 | nfl-sea-ari-2024-12-08 | Seahawks vs. Cardinals | 65,246,495 | 65,254,708 |
af24339a0aa6418eb6c1bb48e8947d260bb2bd41 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x5229a585b6e5108bc5e9d60727756b1b792a42f38131e064e04aed083e4b4359 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-dal-den-2024-11-22 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Knicks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-nyk-uta-2024-11-23 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Warriors vs. Spurs | Event: nba-gsw-sas-2024-11-23 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-bkn-2024-12-08 | Bucks vs. Nets | 65,247,887 | 65,248,513 |
29408dd3caab979e3fe969ff3fc2d725b2b403d3 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x8a5856973c75efb73d8d07ca46cb50f10f6e66b7f859a28c5e51616d4697f708 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Knicks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-nyk-uta-2024-11-23 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Warriors vs. Spurs | Event: nba-gsw-sas-2024-11-23 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Lakers | Event: nba-den-lal-2024-11-23 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Ti... | bills | 0 | nfl-buf-la-2024-12-08 | Bills vs. Rams | 65,249,255 | 65,255,127 |
ee73dfc5dfd4408cbac9da7178ab57d291b1def4 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x37cb7bb9b0758d8ad9d173e04e75ac66541d73379f31e11bfdcba25c12ba4a2a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Spurs | Event: nba-gsw-sas-2024-11-23 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Lakers | Event: nba-den-lal-2024-11-23 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Titans vs. Texans | Event: nfl-ten-hou-2024-11-24 | Choice: texans | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | hawks | 0 | nba-den-atl-2024-12-08 | Nuggets vs. Hawks | 65,249,895 | 65,256,581 |
f1d6f3943159fcd6b9566215d0f19f2bebbfecc3 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xe6536b62a685bb540122f35800c8143db822dac6519dfa0edaeb24955e7ef91f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Lakers | Event: nba-den-lal-2024-11-23 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Titans vs. Texans | Event: nfl-ten-hou-2024-11-24 | Choice: texans | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cowboys vs. Commanders | Event: nfl-dal-was-2024-11-24 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | hornets | 0 | nba-cha-ind-2024-12-08 | Hornets vs. Pacers | 65,250,503 | 65,250,941 |
a1ca64b741f2df97b129c2eb04bf56a2ae009a1d | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x51b9bc62681fbd2230c095e1acc322ee90acfd6abbabf422958074b1e352fdf1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Titans vs. Texans | Event: nfl-ten-hou-2024-11-24 | Choice: texans | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cowboys vs. Commanders | Event: nfl-dal-was-2024-11-24 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Seahawks | Event: nfl-ari-sea-2024-11-24 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence:... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-cle-mia-2024-12-08 | Cavaliers vs. Heat | 65,250,941 | 65,256,581 |
1ae392f1b6c73b11f511cc84153b65e607db3ed6 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0xb7f61adf6c06320fbf923c9ba410b25d8d1a6928c157d4062ee794a0d2cd02a1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cowboys vs. Commanders | Event: nfl-dal-was-2024-11-24 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Seahawks | Event: nfl-ari-sea-2024-11-24 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Heat | Event: nba-dal-mia-2024-11-24 | Choice: heat | Confidence: ... | magic | 0 | nba-phx-orl-2024-12-08 | Suns vs. Magic | 65,250,941 | 65,257,752 |
541dd1a5d31499f904eae6ecf01bdf51179a81b3 | 0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6 | 0x84759b103d45357f27592b16e25462167ca1e3aefb80aa29a39cab4429320fd9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Seahawks | Event: nfl-ari-sea-2024-11-24 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Heat | Event: nba-dal-mia-2024-11-24 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Lakers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lal-phx-2024-11-26 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | chargers | 0 | nfl-lac-kc-2024-12-08 | Chargers vs. Chiefs | 65,253,374 | 65,257,097 |
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