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0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x878b327b652a6e3ba5cfe6754608dd4b37d8ecf7b05d533bcd794967c04aaf8b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Mavericks vs. Heat | Event: nba-dal-mia-2024-11-24 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Lakers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lal-phx-2024-11-26 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Spurs vs. Jazz | Event: nba-sas-uta-2024-11-26 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Celtics...
pelicans
0
nba-nop-sas-2024-12-08
Pelicans vs. Spurs
65,254,606
65,258,397
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0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x79983713e8ae8725714a03131573b497f4709630f7d5aff43524436598730e9d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Lakers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lal-phx-2024-11-26 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Spurs vs. Jazz | Event: nba-sas-uta-2024-11-26 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2024-12-01 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question:...
timberwolves
0
nba-min-gsw-2024-12-08
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
65,257,011
65,257,011
5cdfa9a9cac4d31c496bf67ee9d6efff47439e88
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Spurs vs. Jazz | Event: nba-sas-uta-2024-11-26 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2024-12-01 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Buccaneers vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-tb-car-2024-12-01 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence: 0.0 4...
rockets
0
nba-gsw-hou-2024-12-11
Warriors vs. Rockets
65,377,163
65,392,393
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0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xbbd070428f1dfea8851b7a01363be7eb717ffc7d5674bcce65433b0511464266
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2024-12-01 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Buccaneers vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-tb-car-2024-12-01 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Heat vs. Raptors | Event: nba-mia-tor-2024-12-01 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0...
hawks
0
nba-atl-nyk-2024-12-11
Hawks vs. Knicks
65,377,163
65,392,393
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0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Buccaneers vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-tb-car-2024-12-01 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Heat vs. Raptors | Event: nba-mia-tor-2024-12-01 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Thunder vs. Rockets | Event: nba-okc-hou-2024-12-01 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 4. ...
49ers
0
nfl-la-sf-2024-12-12
Rams vs. 49ers
65,414,973
65,434,132
11fd15fac900649ae8e17476425a174cc82a083a
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x48d4288d05233836cd3a4ce9d7f39ae62ca993d5cb9fa6180be972f7e05703be
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Heat vs. Raptors | Event: nba-mia-tor-2024-12-01 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Thunder vs. Rockets | Event: nba-okc-hou-2024-12-01 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Nuggets vs. Clippers | Event: nba-den-lac-2024-12-01 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
hurricanes
0
nhl-ott-car-2024-12-13
Senators vs. Hurricanes
65,453,422
65,459,408
5ac0f77e65788b7f48d7629ebe36fa44ade551f8
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x41296a9399dac1ddeec976438f436be53f73c63b41fe766d4d54ad27d9f552bd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Thunder vs. Rockets | Event: nba-okc-hou-2024-12-01 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Nuggets vs. Clippers | Event: nba-den-lac-2024-12-01 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Spurs vs. Kings | Event: nba-sas-sac-2024-12-01 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
clippers
0
nba-lac-den-2024-12-13
Clippers vs. Nuggets
65,456,694
65,462,372
e3ae5554be587446f92eadb6c02abb0d4138df49
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xd72190b4fc64eb33b6f4cff6095c31d8b1b4ed083121b0479bcc49c3882e3123
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Nuggets vs. Clippers | Event: nba-den-lac-2024-12-01 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Spurs vs. Kings | Event: nba-sas-sac-2024-12-01 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-03 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question...
jazz
0
nba-phx-uta-2024-12-13
Suns vs. Jazz
65,456,905
65,456,905
23e518b79647d03d52c301a0fe4c92af9356f4da
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x172f9328b5c9aa37a85580422b6f8058546b3ecba38578347f58b1cca2f1674b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Spurs vs. Kings | Event: nba-sas-sac-2024-12-01 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-03 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bucks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mil-det-2024-12-03 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Griz...
blackhawks
0
nhl-chi-nj-2024-12-14
Blackhawks vs. Devils
65,484,881
65,488,952
ecc6fea705ec4519b84e12ddf50882a27f4b0134
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x6826183bb15feea6dcb89aded0525a88eeaf73a35e3a6c12d7086d3460856143
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-03 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bucks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mil-det-2024-12-03 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-mem-dal-2024-12-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0 4. Qu...
bucks
0
nba-atl-mil-2024-12-14
Hawks vs. Bucks
65,488,427
65,495,277
9e098e76fb97af51dbaa4bba07b3a49cb1f4ce13
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xbda57b7f7037334c5b53c1362d359c9a2c7bb57017077e7319c8984cbf4abc03
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bucks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mil-det-2024-12-03 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-mem-dal-2024-12-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Spurs vs. Suns | Event: nba-sas-phx-2024-12-03 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0 4. Quest...
rockets
0
nba-hou-okc-2024-12-14
Rockets vs. Thunder
65,495,409
65,495,409
225f09e26f4afcec299e0c89cd612bb54c346951
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x536e68a1aebc38b85058962eee12a7323fdab96ad6c1d2a3d8c60bee8130db26
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-mem-dal-2024-12-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Spurs vs. Suns | Event: nba-sas-phx-2024-12-03 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Rockets vs. Kings | Event: nba-hou-sac-2024-12-03 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 4. Quest...
bengals
0
nfl-cin-ten-2024-12-15
Bengals vs. Titans
65,521,812
65,530,508
818b2c2aea1492c9c36d0035fbd118a90a21776a
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x74525549564755570c9de287e5a045a89c19c821545b3cd5dfdf6407cf6fc692
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Spurs vs. Suns | Event: nba-sas-phx-2024-12-03 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Rockets vs. Kings | Event: nba-hou-sac-2024-12-03 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Warriors vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-gsw-den-2024-12-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: ...
jaguars
0
nfl-nyj-jax-2024-12-15
Jets vs. Jaguars
65,522,024
65,530,508
ddfce1090946e0220997a6bdfca231815c2c5ff8
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x8e49c8fef05cbbe9252d9be561ace534e9b4e7254e9e1f2cf7ee5a909c201ea8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Rockets vs. Kings | Event: nba-hou-sac-2024-12-03 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Warriors vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-gsw-den-2024-12-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Falcons vs. Vikings | Event: nfl-atl-min-2024-12-08 | Choice: falcons | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
dolphins
0
nfl-mia-hou-2024-12-15
Dolphins vs. Texans
65,522,107
65,522,107
431732bb33f40c1e10654ed6e20a42aedd687a4b
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x9d3dd3240db46be9558d856f5d82e45b9e86125c3d9fdb507d752e3c447cf779
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Warriors vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-gsw-den-2024-12-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Falcons vs. Vikings | Event: nfl-atl-min-2024-12-08 | Choice: falcons | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Jaguars vs. Titans | Event: nfl-jax-ten-2024-12-08 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 4. ...
cowboys
0
nfl-dal-car-2024-12-15
Cowboys vs. Panthers
65,523,685
65,530,984
3c0d9d7e9505474c75c5f6699f777ff03fd9bb5a
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xed846b6294cce35e19f661e4251a4e12882d2f55504a11720d6f672bafb48c27
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Falcons vs. Vikings | Event: nfl-atl-min-2024-12-08 | Choice: falcons | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Jaguars vs. Titans | Event: nfl-jax-ten-2024-12-08 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: 76ers vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phi-chi-2024-12-08 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questio...
bills
0
nfl-buf-det-2024-12-15
Bills vs. Lions
65,526,588
65,536,380
4501a71eb34fee0a955b07af6902f29f2cda6718
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x942e6592252e11bf733f08652a1177ac1b5f0c1e9c960d4cd370d3aeeaca164a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Jaguars vs. Titans | Event: nfl-jax-ten-2024-12-08 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: 76ers vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phi-chi-2024-12-08 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Saints vs. Giants | Event: nfl-no-nyg-2024-12-08 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: B...
commanders
0
nfl-was-no-2024-12-15
Commanders vs. Saints
65,526,680
65,530,894
6c957b83c070b471d586a847d7f76cd353e10200
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x3d06d7f914dc48f3d95953bd37190638e2db523e7cf1383bef69431dda710c92
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: 76ers vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phi-chi-2024-12-08 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Saints vs. Giants | Event: nfl-no-nyg-2024-12-08 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Browns vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-cle-pit-2024-12-08 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: J...
broncos
0
nfl-ind-den-2024-12-15
Colts vs. Broncos
65,527,606
65,527,606
ef5edb99519043cd0a6ac1942bb95f4c845cecad
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xa38c158c1084e994f2fe8081dd400d2ab51ab94b814658c69c374de421baf497
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Saints vs. Giants | Event: nfl-no-nyg-2024-12-08 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Browns vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-cle-pit-2024-12-08 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Jets vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-nyj-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questi...
buccaneers
0
nfl-tb-lac-2024-12-15
Buccaneers vs. Chargers
65,529,068
65,529,068
33173cecdb21832f120796aab34d00963ed145a9
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x300b2aba414e34ab494165e4baa2c06b9476e1c61b0b2b397a3f1671bb23a259
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Browns vs. Steelers | Event: nfl-cle-pit-2024-12-08 | Choice: browns | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Jets vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-nyj-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Panthers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-car-phi-2024-12-08 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
eagles
0
nfl-pit-phi-2024-12-15
Steelers vs. Eagles
65,529,638
65,535,728
53b7d6e37dda45e30de4a33dc7df4ab277337777
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xe8d828509d37dbe31969df369609c35198bc0a35cb45353f78fe6e294d20e6ab
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Jets vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-nyj-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Panthers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-car-phi-2024-12-08 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Event: nfl-sea-ari-2024-12-08 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0 ...
bulls
0
nba-chi-tor-2024-12-16
Bulls vs. Raptors
65,547,761
65,547,761
51581f0b5988585ab0019e3b2b325701c48707a8
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xb424222083a52ab8ef0dcbed6b0929feaabcf03d375b2d65b52fcb9662cf9cd6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Panthers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-car-phi-2024-12-08 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Event: nfl-sea-ari-2024-12-08 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bucks vs. Nets | Event: nba-mil-bkn-2024-12-08 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
kings
0
nba-den-sac-2024-12-16
Nuggets vs. Kings
65,552,132
65,584,289
1016ae9e6321c4ebc437202f95b1665eb8b0a7f5
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x17d6cbaee112a1d166a92cc0724424976c5230cd392111531f8b1e1d355e0a45
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Event: nfl-sea-ari-2024-12-08 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bucks vs. Nets | Event: nba-mil-bkn-2024-12-08 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bills vs. Rams | Event: nfl-buf-la-2024-12-08 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: ...
76ers
0
nba-phi-cha-2024-12-16
76ers vs. Hornets
65,572,447
65,579,446
100d7affb7b4d26bfc869e7673514352d956f679
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x08525a7c4dbb3f519f166df1209db2bf274cfdc194b5a4c8f5a1461b63392d1f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bucks vs. Nets | Event: nba-mil-bkn-2024-12-08 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bills vs. Rams | Event: nfl-buf-la-2024-12-08 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Nuggets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-den-atl-2024-12-08 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Hornets v...
heat
0
nba-mia-det-2024-12-16
Heat vs. Pistons
65,573,127
65,579,526
dd648c4d89fa04c5bb6958092f5e26eeae2b9ba6
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x626b21f1757ebbc66adae12bf5ac254e59138347b2651e33d923dd719548ecc1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bills vs. Rams | Event: nfl-buf-la-2024-12-08 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Nuggets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-den-atl-2024-12-08 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Hornets vs. Pacers | Event: nba-cha-ind-2024-12-08 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Cav...
oilers
0
nhl-fla-edm-2024-12-16
Panthers vs. Oilers
65,577,995
65,582,792
2049d523b6e73cf6ee534887f7846835dd764adf
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x02f2683295174a9fa7c44df7e39956c6c57e90537c0d07f4402f98d929fc54f8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Nuggets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-den-atl-2024-12-08 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Hornets vs. Pacers | Event: nba-cha-ind-2024-12-08 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
avalanche
0
nhl-col-van-2024-12-16
Avalanche vs. Canucks
65,578,322
65,585,299
a01b31dbf3461404bcc1b15b54e9e91673e6c06a
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xfaa1318a4331023d1ebe1b5846d77e500595d77853f6692cada85dd34a6cafa8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hornets vs. Pacers | Event: nba-cha-ind-2024-12-08 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Suns vs. Magic | Event: nba-phx-orl-2024-12-08 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questio...
blackhawks
0
nhl-wsh-chi-2024-12-17
Capitals vs. Blackhawks
65,618,218
65,618,218
97142f2be376d1e49826653b1f76efa126068471
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x7b39a3d7437cfeda0ab690268acced49b7c387f7afd3db905fa332602541879c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2024-12-08 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Suns vs. Magic | Event: nba-phx-orl-2024-12-08 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Chargers vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-lac-kc-2024-12-08 | Choice: chargers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questi...
kraken
0
nhl-ott-sea-2024-12-17
Senators vs. Kraken
65,620,137
65,624,420
1fe3d9599c6688510afe48c2484036275ceb7e8d
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xbb8dcec6744a0c48a03e242c3a4a182d86a501fe50acac660f88eb2ba8892971
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Suns vs. Magic | Event: nba-phx-orl-2024-12-08 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Chargers vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-lac-kc-2024-12-08 | Choice: chargers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Pelicans vs. Spurs | Event: nba-nop-sas-2024-12-08 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questio...
raptors
0.160396
nba-bkn-tor-2024-12-19
Nets vs. Raptors
65,688,897
65,695,975
174875d76f5b83eb0e21dcc757200d18c308caff
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x0fc20e2e7d1b43059823dab797a936dcb9aced1b2a0b31997f89ec80a56c9430
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Chargers vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-lac-kc-2024-12-08 | Choice: chargers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Pelicans vs. Spurs | Event: nba-nop-sas-2024-12-08 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Event: nba-min-gsw-2024-12-08 | Choice: timberwolves | Confiden...
hornets
0.103448
nba-cha-was-2024-12-19
Hornets vs. Wizards
65,695,975
65,695,975
174e2c1d6338ff0b9ede83cff0eea782af2d8ef3
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x2b0ea8b53e9dd9d99bdba66a5b209436535b253c024f721e5a94a43520ff6a91
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Pelicans vs. Spurs | Event: nba-nop-sas-2024-12-08 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Event: nba-min-gsw-2024-12-08 | Choice: timberwolves | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Warriors vs. Rockets | Event: nba-gsw-hou-2024-12-11 | Choice: rockets | Confide...
jazz
0
nba-uta-det-2024-12-19
Jazz vs. Pistons
65,695,975
65,695,975
73a62e6d385eec259303ed8a787c4490c34f7ee0
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x98b5aa3f813db1fe63d65ea82de03854313fb643e2561ce2b51a1b051b8c293a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Timberwolves vs. Warriors | Event: nba-min-gsw-2024-12-08 | Choice: timberwolves | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Warriors vs. Rockets | Event: nba-gsw-hou-2024-12-11 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2024-12-11 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: ...
penguins
0
nhl-pit-nsh-2024-12-19
Penguins vs. Predators
65,695,975
65,695,975
835ecd65d998d00cac4f0c79f4105f16bb30d1e4
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xcd54944be362c966902eb0d368f46e8c044e6595f71a76f480497816ff80c503
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Warriors vs. Rockets | Event: nba-gsw-hou-2024-12-11 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2024-12-11 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Rams vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-la-sf-2024-12-12 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Sen...
bulls
0.264706
nba-chi-bos-2024-12-19
Bulls vs. Celtics
65,695,975
65,695,975
01c022681f294783ffb5c242467c43eb7506b100
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x575768d67dda782f6045d9dc31c5c5f97927758b5cba938fc1142fff50553334
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2024-12-11 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Rams vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-la-sf-2024-12-12 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Senators vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-ott-car-2024-12-13 | Choice: hurricanes | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questio...
broncos
0
nfl-den-lac-2024-12-19
Broncos vs. Chargers
65,695,975
65,702,315
93db211d4f4c95b8a46a2a5bb499dbe9ac42210b
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x074b0e01739e66ac3613434fdbfe28d5d18e4787f25d4a7efa84baf7e6ae3840
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Rams vs. 49ers | Event: nfl-la-sf-2024-12-12 | Choice: 49ers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Senators vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-ott-car-2024-12-13 | Choice: hurricanes | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Clippers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lac-den-2024-12-13 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 4. ...
hawks
0
nba-atl-sas-2024-12-19
Hawks vs. Spurs
65,696,308
65,696,308
f2f9cb5f24733ee3356e6af7491fed39c96df46a
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x839825a5d78b2511444f643b1e12fd75651e47f697cf5fae63c64f2dcac4b67c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Senators vs. Hurricanes | Event: nhl-ott-car-2024-12-13 | Choice: hurricanes | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Clippers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lac-den-2024-12-13 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2024-12-13 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 4. ...
clippers
0
nba-lac-dal-2024-12-19
Clippers vs. Mavericks
65,696,308
65,701,529
fafd37c8b49a1e272a80f26440cab550ba81a485
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xa8cdb8a327998e080180df6fd5626495b565d118f372edac89971ab0a6545fb8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Clippers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lac-den-2024-12-13 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2024-12-13 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Blackhawks vs. Devils | Event: nhl-chi-nj-2024-12-14 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
knicks
0
nba-nyk-min-2024-12-19
Knicks vs. Timberwolves
65,696,519
65,696,519
ac028e6b3d7b326adf7943bcd514c437b1469ebe
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xd6df03a9366e405d3cce96c142cf6c3c70c1372479b8a660857b595d2be30194
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2024-12-13 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Blackhawks vs. Devils | Event: nhl-chi-nj-2024-12-14 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Hawks vs. Bucks | Event: nba-atl-mil-2024-12-14 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: R...
kings
0.325967
nhl-lak-phi-2024-12-19
Kings vs. Flyers
65,696,519
65,696,519
85a78d2a57e55860ff6de558de24de2162406ff6
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x1c8937cafa83df4c6aabef9f530bfd85c2bf71360dc62b964cad5ddfc3c4036b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Blackhawks vs. Devils | Event: nhl-chi-nj-2024-12-14 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Hawks vs. Bucks | Event: nba-atl-mil-2024-12-14 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Rockets vs. Thunder | Event: nba-hou-okc-2024-12-14 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 4. Qu...
pacers
0
nba-ind-phx-2024-12-19
Pacers vs. Suns
65,697,553
65,702,526
b1b6724a2ccdec0bfe5aac1317d9148b7f476593
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x74bc7f2c7bc0b1f73f091289b9f4c2fd4594564683c9e0ecdf228de1a61a8359
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hawks vs. Bucks | Event: nba-atl-mil-2024-12-14 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Rockets vs. Thunder | Event: nba-hou-okc-2024-12-14 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bengals vs. Titans | Event: nfl-cin-ten-2024-12-15 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0 4. Questio...
kings
0
nba-lal-sac-2024-12-19
Lakers vs. Kings
65,697,553
65,704,321
555c2b582d5d9d7c61dd6821bb0c07582545276d
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xb1666d2253925dc284c9713e50326802a0d4f80e1dc5ea2df1e492ef3ae26364
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Rockets vs. Thunder | Event: nba-hou-okc-2024-12-14 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bengals vs. Titans | Event: nfl-cin-ten-2024-12-15 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Jets vs. Jaguars | Event: nfl-nyj-jax-2024-12-15 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
flames
0
nhl-ott-cal-2024-12-19
Senators vs. Flames
65,698,455
65,698,455
6b94054aa17f23edd5d923906d50e8ed562f358c
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x2c73892544e0e0ddf5a4902dc9f7cc8f1c749e7176fb830f54f611aa4925faa1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bengals vs. Titans | Event: nfl-cin-ten-2024-12-15 | Choice: bengals | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Jets vs. Jaguars | Event: nfl-nyj-jax-2024-12-15 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Dolphins vs. Texans | Event: nfl-mia-hou-2024-12-15 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
bruins
0
nhl-bos-edm-2024-12-19
Bruins vs. Oilers
65,699,019
65,702,835
bc13e41a7fe8006ef0e94162063d86673f2ce056
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xa7daef6673ca1dd4321e92c6790b8fde054fb4bc6c8aff5103e0017e0f9b21e1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Jets vs. Jaguars | Event: nfl-nyj-jax-2024-12-15 | Choice: jaguars | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Dolphins vs. Texans | Event: nfl-mia-hou-2024-12-15 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Cowboys vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-dal-car-2024-12-15 | Choice: cowboys | Confidence: 0.0 4. Q...
blues
0
nhl-stl-fla-2024-12-20
Blues vs. Panthers
65,736,147
65,736,147
28ced657aaffb58b1e61e0a503da94d4d1608f80
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x1fb6489d850c3719826916b30fca767bc1e442e5903c6542c50a855049f4692b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Dolphins vs. Texans | Event: nfl-mia-hou-2024-12-15 | Choice: dolphins | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Cowboys vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-dal-car-2024-12-15 | Choice: cowboys | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bills vs. Lions | Event: nfl-buf-det-2024-12-15 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
avalanche
0
nhl-col-ana-2024-12-20
Avalanche vs. Ducks
65,738,002
65,744,752
6aba197984c65a085767b921ff41af541aee83d0
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x82afd97ab4f9cedbac462188d63efd1dae400f909b37473faea8a250b197b70f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Cowboys vs. Panthers | Event: nfl-dal-car-2024-12-15 | Choice: cowboys | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bills vs. Lions | Event: nfl-buf-det-2024-12-15 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Commanders vs. Saints | Event: nfl-was-no-2024-12-15 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0 4. Q...
kings
0
nhl-lak-nsh-2024-12-21
Kings vs. Predators
65,769,494
65,780,352
94f35d90bf81a8de697cc1fe3a24ebc927d15ef1
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xf6ea0a571a43a122471e1c7604d6bd8c267082a39758bdd8162dbfae0cd8d137
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bills vs. Lions | Event: nfl-buf-det-2024-12-15 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Commanders vs. Saints | Event: nfl-was-no-2024-12-15 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Colts vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-ind-den-2024-12-15 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0 4. Ques...
chiefs
0
nfl-hou-kc-2024-12-21
Texans vs. Chiefs
65,769,494
65,780,352
d0f44b3bf36e7ee00f137b57ad06ebe7d767f9d3
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x9abc0ce65a7523a36c48246f494faece90921257adea18b4352680aa3f758848
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Commanders vs. Saints | Event: nfl-was-no-2024-12-15 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Colts vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-ind-den-2024-12-15 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Buccaneers vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-tb-lac-2024-12-15 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence:...
hurricanes
0
nhl-car-nyr-2024-12-22
Hurricanes vs. Rangers
65,800,745
65,804,000
b5cb13b6a18d258ab4c4046fde1a02eb99ae157d
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x1e0c69bf84fb76fd9cd2a0a78f1db98b3883d6aeb2db2ff0fbd6aa46b2d42670
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Colts vs. Broncos | Event: nfl-ind-den-2024-12-15 | Choice: broncos | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Buccaneers vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-tb-lac-2024-12-15 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Steelers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-pit-phi-2024-12-15 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 ...
cardinals
0
nfl-ari-car-2024-12-22
Cardinals vs. Panthers
65,802,054
65,810,202
90ee3cbdf42900852deae1d28ce4ccff7ee3a64d
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x976664c5dd93bf33bfb54755c3196fe8ad7668fbb8eabbacc36f435eda38c2cd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Buccaneers vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-tb-lac-2024-12-15 | Choice: buccaneers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Steelers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-pit-phi-2024-12-15 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2024-12-16 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0 4....
colts
0
nfl-ten-ind-2024-12-22
Titans vs. Colts
65,802,054
65,810,202
5476b4cf0255ebd180e9ecab59c93809e15958d6
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xf9e4d261c38d76ad8b7e4b96ae69ffc26b1b0ac87571ac4f4bf2919e6f984a13
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Steelers vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-pit-phi-2024-12-15 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2024-12-16 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Nuggets vs. Kings | Event: nba-den-sac-2024-12-16 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question:...
jets
0
nfl-la-nyj-2024-12-22
Rams vs. Jets
65,803,314
65,810,202
b2662891eac10c0fc3e6ae0db470f215ad3a67b2
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x1620358251a2c9802faafd655dfd2d3bb889350f31bc9a04d8effd6b4275f806
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2024-12-16 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Nuggets vs. Kings | Event: nba-den-sac-2024-12-16 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-16 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: He...
jaguars
0
nfl-jax-lv-2024-12-22
Jaguars vs. Raiders
65,810,795
65,810,795
c88332a282ffb961ff19830da082cdd047cb35c3
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x2b9758dcac0363ac92acef032919288108042dfdff35acff03b1c4a1000a0ba3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Nuggets vs. Kings | Event: nba-den-sac-2024-12-16 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-16 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Heat vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mia-det-2024-12-16 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: Pant...
lightning
0
nhl-fla-tb-2024-12-22
Panthers vs. Lightning
65,810,795
65,810,795
eb06097bb58b1f682a12a54f8ac0e28befca6ef2
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xcec87ce0f17fd9f682e8e1ffbf16c7b4770524cd601665722d9520912d567624
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: 76ers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-phi-cha-2024-12-16 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Heat vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mia-det-2024-12-16 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Panthers vs. Oilers | Event: nhl-fla-edm-2024-12-16 | Choice: oilers | Confidence: 0.0 4. Question: A...
vikings
0.005319
nfl-min-sea-2024-12-22
Vikings vs. Seahawks
65,810,795
65,810,795
789e998f7c521611627d2a8fe86900f1bf62c5a7
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xfe7bc87933b19a799f614489959078ed6c905dcd79e30927ab01233b718181b5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Heat vs. Pistons | Event: nba-mia-det-2024-12-16 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Panthers vs. Oilers | Event: nhl-fla-edm-2024-12-16 | Choice: oilers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Avalanche vs. Canucks | Event: nhl-col-van-2024-12-16 | Choice: avalanche | Confidence: 0.0 4. Que...
raptors
0
nba-hou-tor-2024-12-22
Rockets vs. Raptors
65,810,795
65,810,795
47aab6a0ab7ceab87389055da04e82cdd2003603
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x0c771280383da50a54226450e5366b8459cd3c134f78d05bdaba6f9bd72a9ff2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Panthers vs. Oilers | Event: nhl-fla-edm-2024-12-16 | Choice: oilers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Avalanche vs. Canucks | Event: nhl-col-van-2024-12-16 | Choice: avalanche | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Capitals vs. Blackhawks | Event: nhl-wsh-chi-2024-12-17 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidenc...
kings
0
nba-ind-sac-2024-12-22
Pacers vs. Kings
65,810,795
65,812,273
9e36fba4f0c514a1560d5d9984c14ef7be0427ac
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xb77c2f3caadad837e5f5d1a5f8cda62e955a04fb3111ef97c02395df04106ff0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Avalanche vs. Canucks | Event: nhl-col-van-2024-12-16 | Choice: avalanche | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Capitals vs. Blackhawks | Event: nhl-wsh-chi-2024-12-17 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Senators vs. Kraken | Event: nhl-ott-sea-2024-12-17 | Choice: kraken | Confidenc...
49ers
0
nfl-sf-mia-2024-12-22
49ers vs. Dolphins
65,810,795
65,815,549
e79b4f13e8c29f404195d4c3079e27a0ed321251
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x72a09a7619a35b29c458ec2163ffe32959243eb0dc4a3bb8170eb5ea9bc05cc3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Capitals vs. Blackhawks | Event: nhl-wsh-chi-2024-12-17 | Choice: blackhawks | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Senators vs. Kraken | Event: nhl-ott-sea-2024-12-17 | Choice: kraken | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Nets vs. Raptors | Event: nba-bkn-tor-2024-12-19 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.16...
nuggets
0
nba-den-nop-2024-12-22
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
65,812,273
65,815,583
f4cfbb5366b611942af6eaa8a9fd833e7e4d78cb
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x90143ea8b567caeff7163731ede3332b238452fa2042dedf49c90a4c9ec4c28d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Senators vs. Kraken | Event: nhl-ott-sea-2024-12-17 | Choice: kraken | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Nets vs. Raptors | Event: nba-bkn-tor-2024-12-19 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.1603960396039604 3. Question: Hornets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cha-was-2024-12-19 | Choice: hornets | Confiden...
oilers
0
nhl-ott-edm-2024-12-22
Senators vs. Oilers
65,815,583
65,835,889
365ca9b6c5e9866de5c67eb4e54cd7a34a76fe32
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x36e0e52e80503d95f328713a64234abcea8a76b541a91cee23ab383d04d32a7f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Nets vs. Raptors | Event: nba-bkn-tor-2024-12-19 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.1603960396039604 2. Question: Hornets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cha-was-2024-12-19 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.10344827586206896 3. Question: Jazz vs. Pistons | Event: nba-uta-det-2024-12-19 | Choice: jazz...
devils
0
nhl-nyr-nj-2024-12-23
Rangers vs. Devils
65,835,917
65,850,139
90d8ba549eec3b1b95cd4fa694f41323c6daf536
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0x7e7218bfe76bab86f94f964c2675fd691bb25e294772f47d7e41764fa879877b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hornets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cha-was-2024-12-19 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.10344827586206896 2. Question: Jazz vs. Pistons | Event: nba-uta-det-2024-12-19 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Penguins vs. Predators | Event: nhl-pit-nsh-2024-12-19 | Choice: penguins | Confi...
bucks
0.000097
nba-mil-chi-2024-12-23
Bucks vs. Bulls
65,852,745
65,852,745
20395e1e1ae882c0b112974c8617fef4dd732d76
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xd896c47285f6b1fd1c3d9fc8bc5380ce89243cd06eef38733fcb2d6fafd15c90
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Jazz vs. Pistons | Event: nba-uta-det-2024-12-19 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Penguins vs. Predators | Event: nhl-pit-nsh-2024-12-19 | Choice: penguins | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bulls vs. Celtics | Event: nba-chi-bos-2024-12-19 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.26470588235...
flyers
0
nhl-phi-pit-2024-12-23
Flyers vs. Penguins
65,852,745
65,852,745
f7f6c0fa6bac4e499a6867d3a51e78a93997d6af
0x02c16dde6676c162caffde5be7735b9a648046a6
0xc09fa2f3e282b51f180fb8de064c49f3d709580c4de93ee144b1ab166d915786
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Penguins vs. Predators | Event: nhl-pit-nsh-2024-12-19 | Choice: penguins | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bulls vs. Celtics | Event: nba-chi-bos-2024-12-19 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.2647058823529412 3. Question: Broncos vs. Chargers | Event: nfl-den-lac-2024-12-19 | Choice: broncos | Con...
76ers
0
nba-sas-phi-2024-12-23
Spurs vs. 76ers
65,852,745
65,858,465
c79549dbf5e2d6a658cfce3775cc46bcb437d7e2
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x6e019ff7eecf303821312f03875faea2c40cfe7e4ba90e6de45139a36f5a039d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
no
0
ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5
Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5?
58,808,146
59,258,624
368bf9716991d6955e97e70fe9331caa602c846a
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x3ef9126295d8488f5894c1987641f39b77554b4b20d241da2ab02c35fd0acdc1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 Target market: Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc Predict the user's choice and confidence...
no
0
democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc
Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC?
59,258,645
60,797,884
0d189db26bb2cfea352595c50c6e7efff1f7ada8
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x02ed4b469eeb6e693b636bc8e7c54636de45f499bcc8f7853436d908d8fcabfc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 Target market: Quest...
no
0
will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Hillary Clinton say "Woman president" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,804,088
a5e8305cfde3b1d46b27adfdb48ebfa3acd2a3ff
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x480921c991e11413aef9374c5dea12faa66d803d3c7ce8c576f16ba0bc573d6c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Hillary Clinton say "Email" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,804,088
b093b99cb1183e397947e1dfe59b84c4139fa9b8
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x4b69a265f87b35c5300a30b24813902f2c64982be0b20dcaf139a1e7ac47e0ea
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Hillary Clinton say "Palestine" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,804,088
906edca0fcdc03e39d5b1b33c47b4920f70b9f47
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xdb948653f6291c99eea9ee7099e43facd17121f9dc6ee6a1576d091044a33d15
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Michelle" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,845,994
7a90a0592bda5ab0ea6d0eda92297e0c80b48f21
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x7e41c93255ad64a022a9573aaedaf213d811e44f1e2781af889124a80d12752b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Democracy" 3 or more times at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,848,928
8cdc84b80444cd88df6a694f4b7a7f73aa301864
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xc55d8f9bd072815942a0e01c934c9bc29f5b16ec792d3aa8a0b06e6942d06f09
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Muslim" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,849,649
cad26b65640016e0a9f2db8f58929e4a52f92fec
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xd69205c8428e274da0b654446971b8492d900bfcf4624065096956b2532429f8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech?
60,804,088
60,849,649
4a0945138327dd27be3cf77d41523fdb3d382f27
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x86dccf9f1e214c635842d72ef822302dd51441c4c011a9a2a0dbeb5472e0c056
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-biden-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech?
60,805,404
60,805,404
4cd38a189e2280d4969389bd406d8144729d9f93
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x21552bdde980cd6d6a050084bd50a3835905e940f919857220cf6215d4143444
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
yes
1
what-will-biden-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Biden say "Hunter" at DNC speech?
60,836,161
60,836,161
119b824928da638d96bdbc16b7417e26b9342ff5
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x04a36062ce4e0012cfe72629ad7a87584610da32282d366bc8ff99a42a141ee5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Black" at DNC speech?
60,836,171
60,836,171
fca07a3bf794a47c8bb691e564aa8bd6c24520f0
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xdbef486d2b3cbef1611066c959f5e1a66cc9ce12fb746c263a8b24c7ebe49271
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Donald Trump" at DNC speech?
60,843,124
60,844,913
d017d38dfcf360b7870fa8ba2a286cdaee97331c
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x8389575ecef199cc2d29db27eb01f1e6682ffd3978fe1124fa2c73ec116d46b9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Joe Biden" at DNC speech?
60,843,124
60,848,928
ff1aa9aee49fd8e8d652af825b6bccc73809d668
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x3c76149ce3c35da8199a8a70ec2a4490ee59d142c73f22d0d12760ac656a4290
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Hope" at DNC speech?
60,843,124
60,849,649
bdeb6b4d8718176a0fe09f0fe7a29344e7f2cc22
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xabfb503ec1e3e612b4557458ad7989ef38780d3ec44a352411c8ca95aae8982c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "tampon" during Wednesday speech?
60,843,124
60,883,554
97966dd11d33a4aee794fc4e1ad1fa7afb3b2a20
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xe69c1d551aeb23f71d5b4b09091e51214008b3d1e56f2d27363b1d92ffb3765e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "nuclear" during Wednesday speech?
60,843,124
60,883,554
8756f5536bb8cf763bd9f8c2f67b4a04f2249c44
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xd57a20917a643cddab43b9f390e9bca393d23f2689b4f48bdcc799ee36df103a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during Wednesday speech?
60,843,125
60,843,125
882cad1724e0c3d57ec4a4b845303c7d2b439ae1
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x6752e0cb20f7c4d5e612f7b2172838414def6f53a20dc5b7acf07ce88b55321a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Wednesday speech?
60,843,125
60,883,554
405e5afc5ba1c875441a2bb37906cfd39a39fcb1
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xf0cbe6f3432c49f097011968b583eb1bf03e751ab5d667b479381648fdcd89b9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
yes
0.000012
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Putin" during Wednesday speech?
60,844,305
60,844,305
846a1be4377ca99ec38847b44b6ccf6b467ba597
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xa82c49b311b3bb5ff0020c6005f7c3972c4fd179fb448a148e047ee3cff5cf9e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech
Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?
60,844,305
60,844,913
625914c5586982d4b5f5b3064e8b2bf003d13446
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x04e278d31e0eac4370324151b1daacb519869707c1743d0e77f47be5ecde523a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
yes
0.605882
beetlejuice-beetlejuice-opening-weekend-box-office
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?
60,844,305
61,670,476
476dace81e7dd49d01d7e1acd15cc301db206243
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xda6b02132a4739dca455b489aee53df859da5c01809b216be2a026110223f71c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0.333216
beetlejuice-beetlejuice-opening-weekend-box-office
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
60,844,913
61,670,476
e41981aa297d3a5d62338329ae860ed2e2c6fc65
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x2bb1a95867d1f4fb22cff7e61b5206d8eb0c5dc4a357adff89ba408e95610d87
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "World War 3" during Wednesday speech?
60,845,994
60,845,994
f2e14068907cc3e852efecb2169f4cd638590a5b
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x9d91b92785f0ddb1bf6033ff2ac6de97a70ee44abe19782e1e5dd967af7fc4cd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during Wednesday speech?
60,850,279
60,850,279
fbb2b6780a3f319fbc35aa56a71462dff2e6a429
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xc742af29d04c88556ac2aa327d1dc644a08ace04d8dd4b92e05c83d4a1545368
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
beetlejuice-beetlejuice-opening-weekend-box-office
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?
60,850,279
60,850,279
1e118f329504556b7c531009d39f996f780b7408
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xde20ba1b4fa2f2aae4e0c2dae0e8e111986743b094952272730607dc9d4cd8e1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
rfk-jr-endorses-trump
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
60,850,279
60,850,279
4711642d349976e70e712b1356e0bfb4f7beb939
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xafe3e68c8db5d7f0496834087b007faeb0afd1bff124ef181f72fc2335606081
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Iran" 3 or more times during Wednesday speech?
60,850,279
60,883,554
fdbf8e7d37d5f63dce99051fea01db6e1f4ed75f
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x4613844d9d74779bfc714a9d8b6e03a81b8a54d2a45adc0bdb4b34f49427050d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?
60,850,279
60,925,689
c448ba65d7b49edbf476fc0c5f8035cfbe42de07
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x14805764b8b1eeecff3d3ca0e02d49be9bd5fe818332750ec267c7988efd2a58
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
trump-mentions-at-dnc-today
Trump mentioned fewer than 50 times at the DNC today?
60,850,279
61,005,347
123050ac563c42ea07edf98941254728240268e7
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x1a4f04c2e6c000d9fc524eb12e7333217411a226c34745af140f195c0227cd5f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on July 5? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-july-5 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Hil...
no
0
what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?
60,850,280
60,925,689
1fe0d4a9c9e1cea303fc2fa1d00783cc94dab1f3
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x04659e7b647f5ddbd0f7a11d63cb9b3c7bd9a28b0ab920cbf030ff0c18342a5c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC? | Event: democratic-candidates-announce-run-for-president-before-dnc | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Woman president" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | ...
yes
1
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Israel" during Wednesday speech?
60,883,554
60,883,554
c3adb2b5109b816ddf2c8b2a25b0fd9d65758c29
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x2f2584a2dd15955b4a257a7211dd049224aff6d65bd8ae62bc5815183a369f56
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Woman president" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Email" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Questio...
yes
1
trump-mentions-at-dnc-today
Trump mentioned between 75-99 times at the DNC today?
60,883,554
60,883,554
bc6cf2978be7b3ada6d67fb05b7568f370670378
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x687d6346923293299ca98e77784b6913a7751764d9c6f44244896f24a5f95dc3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Email" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Palestine" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Wil...
yes
1
trump-mentions-at-dnc-today
Trump mentioned between 100-124 times at the DNC today?
60,883,554
60,883,554
737473dffe5ddfec08e33754940a3200808ef36a
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0xd77d4725430f85b562826db285c68527fc4bb2ee85972f9b2020261010422248
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Hillary Clinton say "Palestine" at DNC speech? | Event: will-hilary-clinton-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Obama say "Michelle" at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Obama say...
no
1
what-will-trump-say-during-wednesday-speech
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Wednesday speech?
60,883,554
60,883,554
906d159bbcee9704d09ee22dcd6da7302a37cf55
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x589bd413f951e54cf3d0143195915cf61dbbea7e1506a04697bb94103fe105fa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Obama say "Michelle" at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Obama say "Democracy" 3 or more times at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Obama s...
no
0
trump-flips-kamala-on-nate-silvers-bulletin
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
60,922,977
60,922,977
1c4754e863517763a135c48d56ed1db54a924f00
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x62bc13a42a7c13083447d0384ffddcd15bdb0b64fdfdddf5815a63dc8301689f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Obama say "Democracy" 3 or more times at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Obama say "Muslim" at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Obama say...
no
0
what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?
60,922,977
60,922,977
6bb8c98fa6a1ecbc600bd8c3afaa496528299642
0x02ed455e8f8025edc17e388cf31bdb2dedb8cce3
0x1c8a4a4de38ae64f120b079474eca7ebfc2cd0e641e30a26bfe1963223fc646e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Obama say "Muslim" at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech? | Event: what-will-obama-say-during-dnc-speech | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Biden say "Folks" th...
no
0
what-will-kamala-say-during-acceptance-speech
Will Kamala Harris say "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during DNC speech?
60,922,977
60,925,689