sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7ed4596756074e3526d523f23bd08dcd84666f3f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xb02d4c02ee3365df6c28d117f3d85a1d53bd80aa9797f11e95eb924910ec05eb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in May? | Event: may-inflation-annual | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-1? | Event: nhl-stanley-cup-panthers-vs-oilers-series-outcome | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau... | yes | 1 | fl1-psg-ang-2025-08-22 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22? | 75,552,895 | 75,552,895 |
887187b2f891e63c2d16384e7c861b5b7a824ffc | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x24beba4efc79cd3babc26439aa9d4fc847adfdf78a22bba8c73d3b4aec9a072b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-1? | Event: nhl-stanley-cup-panthers-vs-oilers-series-outcome | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Event: 2025-us-open-golf-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Ethereum... | no | 1 | epl-ars-lee-2025-08-23 | Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23? | 75,599,480 | 75,599,480 |
121bb85580c9742e2c11fbfe47a73264e1021445 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x770f35a46dcb65a5c7c2afc6fff81bae78106fa3b609e47cef1e9b4c7a9958d4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Event: 2025-us-open-golf-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 17? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-17-213 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin ... | no | 1 | lal-mad-elc-2025-08-23 | Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23? | 75,599,480 | 75,599,480 |
4acf3908e2da714443af247e20209fc8ddb342b7 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xae63d8fb0471aa7e5c4dbc6d1f5eccdfd5d9d737e0d2613432ea898ad9f3c294 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2600 on June 17? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-17-213 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-17-549 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the Fl... | no | 1 | fl1-lyo-met-2025-08-23 | Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-23? | 75,599,480 | 75,599,480 |
8adeb12e2ea93e202adbff6e641e1dd5e5f7ad43 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x60f70c6fb64854374741657fd38ee6b18fe4546840788626ec1aa5ef875ea761 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-17-549 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Event: stanley-cup-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City beat Wy... | no | 1 | sea-int-tor-2025-08-25 | Will Torino win on 2025-08-25? | 75,671,534 | 75,671,534 |
e77f3c0f26644ecc6bdb922d01f4ddc2d7e686c3 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x6c6b055d34476bfc1399a35b69268780b9c07be68a9bcc9b45056dc2c3cdf112 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Event: stanley-cup-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City beat Wydad AC? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-manchester-city-vs-wydad-ac | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be ... | no | 1 | lal-bil-ray-2025-08-25 | Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-25? | 75,671,534 | 75,671,534 |
6b05eb73c37aed9845de6fe0dbfef6adbefbcca3 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x4734131f69900bb758edf2df048cd02d65d068707a1184cbee4a09c6d704af74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City beat Wydad AC? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-manchester-city-vs-wydad-ac | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 18 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-18-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Ques... | no | 1 | sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | 75,836,969 | 75,836,969 |
0b341db27fdf610d5a274f7178d02419d89584d3 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xacfdbfce836f24ebd10524f3abe59387a7a9fd0128f256e0f77d8c70751919ca | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 18 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-18-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20? | Event: elon-musk-of-tweets-june-13-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will t... | no | 1 | lal-elc-lev-2025-08-29 | Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29? | 75,836,969 | 75,836,969 |
de32f9a0603327dfc590ec594b7ab7262eb313a4 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xafc7f84d1e04336042dd821b28088eef0642065d96e813d716a6a4c91dd494b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20? | Event: elon-musk-of-tweets-june-13-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on June 20? | Event: solana-price-on-june-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Flamengo win Group D at... | no | 1 | lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | 75,836,969 | 75,836,969 |
622e90d6f801f30437954634797fc1de7b9c63ac | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x97cdae8115b7c8e2450cb635e7359e2869d4d7f85ff371eba6775084b05312c9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on June 20? | Event: solana-price-on-june-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Flamengo win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-group-d-winner-286 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ch... | no | 1 | bun-lei-hei-2025-08-30 | Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-30? | 75,850,237 | 75,850,237 |
cf1c05eabc464ae774817ee8454be5f5d29ecba1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x269eed15d42bcdf32af5655b5e097dfe563674025b4b35bc436de9bfda0d9713 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Flamengo win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-group-d-winner-286 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-group-d-winner-286 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: ... | no | 1 | bun-stu-moe-2025-08-30 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-30? | 75,851,516 | 75,851,516 |
4c33e23bc2335f37be62bfaebd29602d9ffbadbe | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xeecef9c9243a7b88294bef5e602b9a8c1f2e3462071808882de5b9e39a4fb128 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-group-d-winner-286 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 20-21m? | Event: turnout-in-2025-canadian-federal-election | Choice: no | Confi... | no | 1 | epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30? | 75,851,516 | 75,851,516 |
f81c6c55794575f1ee33e5b6b24afddbadd007a4 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x425d988ea7563e8485191578305794e1b447d611e79e3850bc87f1614f0ff9bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 20-21m? | Event: turnout-in-2025-canadian-federal-election | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m? | Event: turnout-in-2025-canadian-federal-elec... | yes | 1 | lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | 75,876,968 | 75,876,968 |
58c5377ec4d775a69aa29a9142fb0ecd59d49490 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xd89b745f4cebe8c80cebb895d5116191e34c742175b38ccbfcd0286b493f6a94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 19-20m? | Event: turnout-in-2025-canadian-federal-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-july-1 | Choice: no | Confidenc... | no | 1 | fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | 75,876,968 | 75,876,968 |
085a836f3d4523183c777555053fa0e51598510d | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xee7316cfb833eb289a429f8d1bc56374827a1d87742e2e96b62a583ac18db51a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-july-1 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: which-continent-wins-fifa-club-world-cup | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | no | 1 | sea-pis-rom-2025-08-30 | Will Pisa SC win on 2025-08-30? | 75,876,968 | 75,876,968 |
40638028388fb508efb81e95442ba9c490f97d41 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xff4871e071292e252a22728c1edd94f7675960528afd429c571a9b43dc072810 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup? | Event: which-continent-wins-fifa-club-world-cup | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Event: 2025-mid-season-invitational | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | no | 1 | uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | 76,102,575 | 76,102,575 |
9ac6ad9b83fcdbe0b5f63d443ec34a878fab005d | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xcf8d4a09d434c4d20ab2868abda980834231485751f4e685dc05f4233bb6cf0d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Event: 2025-mid-season-invitational | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro? | Event: uefa-womens-euro-2025-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the ECB announce a 25 bps... | no | 1 | uef-tur-esp-2025-09-07 | Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07? | 76,202,665 | 76,202,665 |
369fb649b0982c7c26556cf273f8f244d19be6d6 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xf7576a438f7e0dbf957508666e8f4703373429d365592b946a0567843fd69889 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany win the UEFA Women's Euro? | Event: uefa-womens-euro-2025-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting? | Event: ecb-interest-rates-july-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 202... | no | 1 | uef-ger-nir-2025-09-07 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-07? | 76,202,665 | 76,202,665 |
14a0a4a900eb478aae36d0fd0f5ed0d930abae75 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x1eecd713f81c2f3f3a673ff2b59bcdd2200206870d27bff3e4318856ba9b1fba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting? | Event: ecb-interest-rates-july-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%? | Event: us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: No change in Fed int... | no | 1 | uef-hrv-mon-2025-09-08 | Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-08? | 76,241,349 | 76,241,349 |
c1724c74f31319cde23c16d128815076162452fa | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x205ad48baf4fb143034cb596f11da21c5b7a099ac9da7ecf41dea6eadf88fc7c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%? | Event: us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Event: fed-decision-in-july | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 b... | no | 1 | uef-isr-ita-2025-09-08 | Will Israel win on 2025-09-08? | 76,241,349 | 76,241,349 |
5d7b5822d0be399ef9758703e3de84cb1d7914b7 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x407a5ad35e4233504a2f119506f572194aa649225f75c36da8cd3aaaa51d34fe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Event: fed-decision-in-july | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | Event: us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Wee... | no | 1 | cof-pan-gua-2025-09-08 | Will Guatemala win on 2025-09-08? | 76,241,349 | 76,241,349 |
e3525fb7241568a485f38d6d023fefc4024c2c6f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x127f937731197529009cfdec825c07d62a5a7426bab31ce524ae650844db6ceb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | Event: us-gdp-growth-in-q2-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m? | Event: the-naked-gun-opening-weekend-box-office-665 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question... | no | 1 | caf-gam-bur1-2025-09-09 | Will Burundi win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,412 | 76,277,412 |
cb47ac56d3d1d601449da983c8f90a42427c003f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x2dcad5cd21ad4a8ecf20070e37b463c8ba4aa6f623f592d7eb07425b066e6da9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m? | Event: the-naked-gun-opening-weekend-box-office-665 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro? | Event: uefa-womens-euro-2025-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will "... | no | 1 | uef-alb-lat-2025-09-09 | Will Latvia win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,412 | 76,277,412 |
bc3a32e9bcfe63484cfb7f6664e1ec9b0ca022ad | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xe3e7926f1bd65e208109f51d80d193da22e1eedf4a012d83d47b4b8751c06e89 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro? | Event: uefa-womens-euro-2025-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m? | Event: the-bad-guys-2-opening-weekend-box-office-685 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | no | 1 | uef-ser-eng-2025-09-09 | Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,412 | 76,277,412 |
1424ccb0801e5ea09fbc3e8c3c668599e7e6a357 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x23d4314295f8b38bc6c710705f3455ac4e9877c79b022e72e1f6b1213705db0d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m? | Event: the-bad-guys-2-opening-weekend-box-office-685 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will CF Montreal beat New England? | Event: mls-soccer-new-england-vs-cf-montreal | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
... | no | 1 | lal-sev-elc-2025-09-12 | Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12? | 76,379,175 | 76,379,175 |
1cbc717768a6a902578ba509d0bdbcac55143f3a | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xbbff362efa7177535edb7c1f0f3ead848e228668a1781980ff661d0c08296d4d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will CF Montreal beat New England? | Event: mls-soccer-new-england-vs-cf-montreal | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG win on 2025-08-13? | Event: uefa-super-cup-final-psg-vs-tottenham-575 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-19? | Even... | no | 1 | fl1-olm-lor-2025-09-12 | Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12? | 76,379,175 | 76,379,175 |
c2b8c7f0664a37f5e88a0205db5cfcf2551ef968 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x918c92f7e1d63a7f3a1a0c521c128ed75bc2101c9973cb3eb0e6435b8b40c9c0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PSG win on 2025-08-13? | Event: uefa-super-cup-final-psg-vs-tottenham-575 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-19? | Event: lal-rea-osa-2025-08-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 ... | no | 1 | con-bol-bra-2025-09-09 | Will Bolivia win on 2025-09-09? | 76,379,203 | 76,379,203 |
4f07f552ecd7a5895a944c577700f53145b7c60a | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x42f2768524c294bd7872dcf66f8852faddac2326a15755fa0dc99518213b80a1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-08-19? | Event: lal-rea-osa-2025-08-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week? | Event: of-views-taylor-swifts-appearance-on-new-heights-gets-week-1 | Choice: yes | C... | no | 1 | bun-hei-dor-2025-09-13 | Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13? | 76,416,608 | 76,416,608 |
ebe84a4fde33fba7ef3a5c38e37317c2e4cca08f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x45da08fe0a79e3c31fe794464a9371c9c8003a4f2b7a88c4941db5d0b7811b17 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week? | Event: of-views-taylor-swifts-appearance-on-new-heights-gets-week-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22? | Event: bun-bay-lei-2025-08-22 | Choice:... | no | 1 | epl-new-wol-2025-09-13 | Will Wolves win on 2025-09-13? | 76,416,608 | 76,416,608 |
8c9c7ad49f4a9051711bc2d35ae422fefd5de2d6 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x54ee489e11cd01d0dab8546e20c361e16515b42ba9af7adc3a6d2ea3255fe260 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22? | Event: bun-bay-lei-2025-08-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22? | Event: fl1-psg-ang-2025-08-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-ars... | no | 1 | lal-rso-rea-2025-09-13 | Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13? | 76,416,608 | 76,416,608 |
4abb752e8f1efbec5c624642dda545e3338a5f55 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x9e0d194f3d63ce7d5443c0c8f277830f0c22ce0ba6a14164f9b2eb0464d235f9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22? | Event: fl1-psg-ang-2025-08-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-ars-lee-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23? | Event: lal-mad-elc-20... | no | 1 | epl-ars-not-2025-09-13 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13? | 76,416,608 | 76,416,608 |
0b1c6fca2527a0e69163477134e4660d4e1ab050 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xf6e2e537bd89baefcb8b4cbde01cd4ab9c5f87b3d9c809b71d05e657621ed14d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-ars-lee-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23? | Event: lal-mad-elc-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-23? | Event: fl1-lyo-met-2025-08-23 | Choic... | no | 1 | lal-get-ovi-2025-09-13 | Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13? | 76,416,608 | 76,416,608 |
640ad02da6a662154c02f6acc24387b6d492cdd1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xdcf1d41815e8f0226c11bb88db88d9561014e81a31877d527b70c781132397d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23? | Event: lal-mad-elc-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-23? | Event: fl1-lyo-met-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-08-25? | Event: sea-int-tor-2025-08-25 | Choice: no ... | no | 1 | sea-fio-nap-2025-09-13 | Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13? | 76,434,920 | 76,434,920 |
053f276d8c6cf8124cc04f504822b2b344d4d61d | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xe020b0ae1023629244b660a36db5fa20647475a8e79e0d2e6357207332ba4de2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-08-23? | Event: fl1-lyo-met-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-08-25? | Event: sea-int-tor-2025-08-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-25? | Event: lal-bil-ray-2025-08-25 | Choic... | no | 1 | epl-bre-che-2025-09-13 | Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13? | 76,434,920 | 76,434,920 |
fa99fcdcfd98afbd5d8f0149d5ac1ff5aac94ed2 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3bcfd3d9c5e1d273dd799598d792eccb04e22b13f32954076fab860ebfe4cd76 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-08-25? | Event: sea-int-tor-2025-08-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-25? | Event: lal-bil-ray-2025-08-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Choice:... | no | 1 | fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14? | 76,449,632 | 76,449,632 |
17f373d5305b24398e1d1a75eb6eaf562fc993e6 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x6a8f37020b1cad27b1ca5b1bffc0f3e26c90b5c95c58eb48cbbcbdc90b45f8f5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-25? | Event: lal-bil-ray-2025-08-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-elc-lev-2025-08-29 | Cho... | no | 1 | tur-sam-ant-2025-09-13 | Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-09-13? | 76,449,632 | 76,449,632 |
acdd4d48439b6f30570f74d33c229c8ae18ea340 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xbd5458c69feacc80bab224c45039fb50b7630195ca71dc187b5c645f8df3570f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-elc-lev-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: no ... | yes | 1 | epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | 76,449,632 | 76,449,632 |
9d7d2d04c6afa619d197b18da6204f090a243c16 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xfb4218cf6457720fbcdf16356e1ead4cc28f4d8574af7bfa4a56c1d859883aa7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-elc-lev-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-lei-hei-2025-08-30 | ... | yes | 1 | fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | 76,449,632 | 76,449,632 |
6e6660a34892f94f12afa104a5e0098d8f21eecb | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x0c2273b413c77ec23ed5f558b40b3dee131e0819aaadd9a161c37ca0e9a51d49 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-lei-hei-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-stu-moe... | no | 1 | sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
9e0b0c905c57a8767c4f29be94251ce167068f13 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3b2a232e323eba7d1f742f3c7cb6b4d90a8757e321989ac577dc29fe2ec2b421 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-lei-hei-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-stu-moe-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun... | no | 1 | lal-bar-val-2025-09-14 | Will Valencia win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
bd3a7f61f20bc6f4e1a1fb7f8aaf13f9b496a22a | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3c44e8ad76237bdac03612785211baf3bc47c77424ebeea44c6ac2aa0b3a7689 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-stu-moe-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-... | no | 1 | lal-cel-gir-2025-09-14 | Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
7a3fa4aded62dab4e73b1d30da8fa0c8451da24f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x8e4b514c986e1e88570fc2153879b459a9ddbd1df99504029aab3acad3ae1bb6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 |... | no | 1 | sea-mil-bol-2025-09-14 | Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
d87c24208e828473fa3515cab0848af2be31d985 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x9684ce2095fa3a30197540e432c3fe68703a66f37953990efa96d0fd925be152 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Pisa SC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-pis-rom-2025-08-30 | Ch... | no | 1 | sea-ata-lec-2025-09-14 | Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
cbf68bf62213fe5545b999453fc78df01b8b10a6 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x96d702b13a5dbb63910d7b15eb4cac5121fa1bbea01dd5f5094a57214d65698c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Pisa SC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-pis-rom-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice:... | no | 1 | fl1-str-hac-2025-09-14 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
599216d48a6a2810b8af5610282c1422fe0201ed | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xaffa4e99214b36f244fccc64775dbb5945bc09922f25423021d40649f867251e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Pisa SC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-pis-rom-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-tur-esp-2025-09-07 | Choice: no ... | no | 1 | fl1-psg-rcl-2025-09-14 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
ad63be5aa0fedd9ff6c305920947ba93dcde1602 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xc0fe7d565785e8eef78778c9aae46ce84c6ea5ad069288c90abab3b8ccf51c2c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-tur-esp-2025-09-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-ger-nir-2025-09-07 | Ch... | no | 1 | sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
0f03a6b47128fca8b24eff8c40cafd39185c7717 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xc23da160689e7759f04e69235401d9caa5a73030fcdfc46eb466ba8611b9b536 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-tur-esp-2025-09-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-ger-nir-2025-09-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-hrv-mon-2025-09-08 |... | no | 1 | epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
4f74d2bd4d25db6b55d379863801a6285c51fc66 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xcf3b45d79048e30b439b361a34fb835a3d46e07ef8c2bae5a10d31dff847f57b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-07? | Event: uef-ger-nir-2025-09-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-hrv-mon-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-isr-ita-2025-09-08 | ... | yes | 1 | emmys-comedy-series | Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series? | 76,472,847 | 76,472,847 |
aa9d48723bf8b8a933311eee2c487acc7355c2ed | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x13e317d6639bf82b2659c6c1eb6153b1c5c441238cb645af300ac5510c1023b4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Montenegro win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-hrv-mon-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-isr-ita-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Guatemala win on 2025-09-08? | Event: cof-pan-gua-2025-09-08 | Choice:... | no | 1 | sea-sas-laz-2025-09-14 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,858 | 76,472,858 |
418c3fce31707f95aa5a28f82f02a251406efc01 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x22bd4adcf9d5817f2e050715812e42a5e56e2b00316dbeb8c4baadbe84e4880f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-08? | Event: uef-isr-ita-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Guatemala win on 2025-09-08? | Event: cof-pan-gua-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burundi win on 2025-09-09? | Event: caf-gam-bur1-2025-09-09 | Choice: n... | no | 1 | fl1-ren-lyo-2025-09-14 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,858 | 76,472,858 |
67bbe558a87be0a80ea2aaa4f692cd03fb6292f9 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x2598d867a8eef85e17b42dfac7f1ef317a3952458b1cd9da4eca2b0cc782b0c2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Guatemala win on 2025-09-08? | Event: cof-pan-gua-2025-09-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burundi win on 2025-09-09? | Event: caf-gam-bur1-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Latvia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-alb-lat-2025-09-09 | Choice: n... | no | 1 | bun-moe-wer-2025-09-14 | Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,858 | 76,472,858 |
6de38c56998bfca322ede8c1c28642e35036901f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x4b5f76ecfc35eaf1ca40be50331a44fd8458ef69d2f99781daf995025c3375a5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burundi win on 2025-09-09? | Event: caf-gam-bur1-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Latvia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-alb-lat-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-ser-eng-2025-09-09 | Choice: no |... | no | 1 | ucl-psv-gil-2025-09-16 | Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? | 76,576,037 | 76,576,037 |
1874e15de021734b814a73cb131e6daf0a7f5199 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x4c2790f60b197915980df4d946b03c3136f897b628b88411ed15455790e58f86 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Latvia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-alb-lat-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-ser-eng-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12? | Event: lal-sev-elc-2025-09-12 | Choice: no |... | no | 1 | ucl-ben-kar-2025-09-16 | Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? | 76,576,037 | 76,576,037 |
0aed352b92f9722d2578b34c5d8afe84d09d21b1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x1d2154296dff7a0a9cf5dc9fa3b0340aa0ff2bd0391ae1f50c1ce1e1160c8cfb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Serbia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: uef-ser-eng-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12? | Event: lal-sev-elc-2025-09-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12? | Event: fl1-olm-lor-2025-09-12 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | ucl-juv-dor-2025-09-16 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | 76,596,398 | 76,596,398 |
0fdf2ba77b680b324b2b24f818e59a3d39a53a99 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x4a0a6f3fda470bd729e7b87e7af7c987027855748fa9aeb30ae4e85ce5babb7b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12? | Event: lal-sev-elc-2025-09-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12? | Event: fl1-olm-lor-2025-09-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bolivia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: con-bol-bra-2025-09-09 | Choice:... | no | 1 | ucl-liv-mad-2025-09-17 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? | 76,596,398 | 76,596,398 |
2499d3e325935a96e654f9d964cc6fcf15946e4c | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x82207d6a1504c5139b5237194cd253f670c6248b5b86a472519ecc371c04d002 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-12? | Event: fl1-olm-lor-2025-09-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bolivia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: con-bol-bra-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13? | Event: bun-hei-dor-2025-09-13 |... | no | 1 | ucl-psg-ata-2025-09-17 | Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17? | 76,596,398 | 76,596,398 |
dd5e96d6cfb76601e0de4176d4ce153da4191012 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xbb40a42b597b326cfdf7d188e95a186b0338a443a169d4864b8d913c8a936974 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bolivia win on 2025-09-09? | Event: con-bol-bra-2025-09-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13? | Event: bun-hei-dor-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-new-wol-2025-09-13 | Cho... | no | 1 | ucl-sla-bod-2025-09-17 | Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17? | 76,596,398 | 76,596,398 |
da60923f3961a5ae2d03701a4f3786a590a29ee8 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x48cf2f5dac48b5aba7094f48e88b06349eb32ff693b80e720c4227b9a452cacb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-13? | Event: bun-hei-dor-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-new-wol-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-rso-rea-2025-09-13... | no | 1 | bun-stu-pau-2025-09-19 | Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19? | 76,680,026 | 76,680,026 |
6e44fce23d7c97b5a7d111f6d9bde592015a4989 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xb2de65a20a0ec2ba9f38574a3ba06c00e5b442e613b87265e738c4f5d0a9287e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-new-wol-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-rso-rea-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-ars-not-2025-09-1... | no | 1 | lal-bet-rso-2025-09-19 | Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19? | 76,680,026 | 76,680,026 |
776746af8a0d01f23824c40ab5b6772081ac6c6e | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xfe9de6a0e94629a3ae89402da3d97897f5af8db67d63eada0a21ad8a54cc7018 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-rso-rea-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-ars-not-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-get-ovi-2025... | no | 1 | fl1-lyo-ang-2025-09-19 | Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19? | 76,680,026 | 76,680,026 |
647ab57449b0a4c1b97688bce7c5c23b931a23e4 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x285da644b75326914c08028b77d5caf5f569f50843cc95009ae63b87f137788f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-ars-not-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-get-ovi-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13? | Event: sea-fio-nap-2025-09... | no | 1 | bun-hsv-hei-2025-09-20 | Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
362ae89341b5555eecd41e2cd4bff02b94b2c5d2 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x2f373d0fb0c5a960fa27e3935554a383251ea30339e5a4edf1fad46f9f71cb94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-13? | Event: lal-get-ovi-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13? | Event: sea-fio-nap-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-bre-che-2025-09-13 | Ch... | no | 1 | epl-liv-eve-2025-09-20 | Will Everton win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
a9beb518a5918f33485f304749c770c321088edb | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3f49c6df2966ab5999292d9dd4587aaae899e221459fdc0f186306bf5063ea9c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13? | Event: sea-fio-nap-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-bre-che-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Choi... | no | 1 | sea-ver-juv-2025-09-20 | Will Verona win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
bfa29f0d5abd7331a888e5178520ef4dd1374750 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x6468543f35fa3d53569b307d2e57a2a8e40f5c0371857a1de49fc35cd281669b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-13? | Event: epl-bre-che-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-09-13? | Event: tur-sam-ant-2025-09-13 | Cho... | no | 1 | lal-vil-osa-2025-09-20 | Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
c594934d7e7d5dbb0cc0a18a479b813259482cd8 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x96ea196466855a7977428b7a5806cc4000a75f064bada53d9b550f2475cbbd0c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-09-13? | Event: tur-sam-ant-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-liv-2025-... | no | 1 | lal-rea-esp-2025-09-20 | Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
62f3aec8271cd6ed9d40099212a0cdd3544fe56d | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xc1414533d04f456d22adb061cc2ac947941c4b97e35aeeab464a73a83a27c42c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Antalyaspor win on 2025-09-13? | Event: tur-sam-ant-2025-09-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-... | no | 1 | bun-lei-koe-2025-09-20 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
a45773c85ed6baa907072aeed8e49081703bf4fa | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xfd155f5042342512dd29dd16d52cdc598813e95f793bbffb743cd17bd0469569 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-rom... | no | 1 | bun-hof-bay-2025-09-20 | Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,800 | 76,698,800 |
6d0e33453180ce242a9ed98ba979cf12ad76cec2 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3937f9826fb8cbf53c15887b96de929d594efc1339117c8de22661970afd9886 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lille OSC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lil-tou-2025-09-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-bar-val-2025-09-... | no | 1 | lal-gir-lev-2025-09-20 | Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20? | 76,698,824 | 76,698,824 |
03397af4f71bace1455f0c43adccd4f50e1b2f59 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x12fd10dadea1418cebb470f5c3e594dbc6ce73a24fd9fe47fbc262ba5263a17b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-bar-val-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-cel-gir-2025-09-14 | Choice:... | no | 1 | epl-ful-bre-2025-09-20 | Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
57f32dd32f00429917cc6e149d40355ab654dd83 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x2307f209f86a008ef243974a70b2ba5adcb65b24a6ee87e8e3ea9e3e429b8877 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-bar-val-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-cel-gir-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-mil-bol-2025-09-14 | Choice:... | no | 1 | bun-dor-wol-2025-09-21 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
e400d0f819b98f7dc5e29aa22b3d7bda07daa8c8 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x259182a4a8da9964b26f38cc157127e7a345cc55e0daa9b0604326a8aee8de9c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14? | Event: lal-cel-gir-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-mil-bol-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-ata-lec-2025-09-14 | Choice: no... | no | 1 | epl-sun-ast-2025-09-21 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
815ab4b8541866c656da3cddf118c587666d814c | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x3d5d0dca79f3de83e11961392e0684c8a7f90b9876a8b6d4a07770fde277b07a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-mil-bol-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-ata-lec-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-str-hac-2025-09-14 | Choice: n... | no | 1 | bun-b04-moe-2025-09-21 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
f36dc9430549de208a318fb2cbb29df8505eb436 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x41d6da7f0a534eb16dd2ed82d0119ca29d8bc36dee0d85d6a84f20617d6f3deb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-ata-lec-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-str-hac-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-psg-rcl-2025-09-14... | no | 1 | lal-elc-ovi-2025-09-21 | Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
14389da5afcf346318f7e71aaf78a09c8fa9c78b | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x4c8f38d196475819708624fdf048989703716a2f2469b4bf8ffbe6c116c66f2a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-str-hac-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-psg-rcl-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw? | Event: sea-rom-tor-2... | no | 1 | lal-bar-get-2025-09-21 | Will Getafe win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
007cef70eb0f0c6fcb75a6ef2a38a7a8acdaab65 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x77d83f1b9f503e105fd23692717fa12a434b4c2f8ba594ebaa0dc61543d05cbd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-psg-rcl-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw? | Event: sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: epl-bur-liv-20... | no | 1 | sea-int-sas-2025-09-21 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
261699f8746e62e0744d8ae7984865130da751bd | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x92df119addc3f1a3ba6a03f9c5ddae5aa0c51b56b9e07acca3a839d7e1dbffd5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw? | Event: sea-rom-tor-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series? | Event... | no | 1 | fl1-asm-met-2025-09-21 | Will FC Metz win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
17826f6c81d9d40cd98902f847c7e0b7a0f7cd78 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x9f0c5bc193b92596a38b234e895b36af91283231809694539d9beeebe06103cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14? | Event: epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series? | Event: emmys-comedy-series | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14? | Eve... | no | 1 | lal-mal-mad-2025-09-21 | Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
a0ccb71a550c8928ef0f0663d3753031db5f073f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xd84038d257ee2be579e71661823d8f4978e4f54cb566fe31fd4ee5a353052787 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series? | Event: emmys-comedy-series | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-sas-laz-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-0... | no | 1 | epl-ars-mac-2025-09-21 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,296 | 76,840,296 |
bb91a272df922a241763dc721c8b34d67105d6f1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x5ca64358bf1aefe3a241e45bcecfd3ecfde19454e815671f547b14ef8045fab7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14? | Event: sea-sas-laz-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-ren-lyo-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14? | Event: bun-m... | no | 1 | bun-ein-uni-2025-09-21 | Will Union Berlin win on 2025-09-21? | 76,840,308 | 76,840,308 |
1ede94cd8001ae7824e4261c72aba9743ff47141 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x230bcd9e6a1127b5a955d84dbe24c95ef270fa7fbdd727dcc477c923b0afcdec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14? | Event: fl1-ren-lyo-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14? | Event: bun-moe-wer-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-p... | no | 1 | uel-lil-brn-2025-09-25 | Will Brann win on 2025-09-25? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
1157ceb61be899a2e8112c15ac40324ccd53a99b | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x26841ef913afddc8fe1ff2b5e2a0731111fd33c09e1c9091b6e604d0d9fcbf41 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14? | Event: bun-moe-wer-2025-09-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-psv-gil-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-ben-kar-2025-09... | no | 1 | lal-mad-ray-2025-09-24 | Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
5d6a793cee6a834ecb6bb23f719060832529d5d5 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x31954a1af3e9d669dd2e0cb11225c32a2ba0412a342091b483fff5d565dceb7d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-psv-gil-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-ben-kar-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-juv-dor-202... | no | 1 | uel-mid-stuk-2025-09-24 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
ad83a580be63df1fb9370dd6ee7cdb1c561bddc1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x59bb151ac54ef7124267a896e0562c74fc1299b8b2e9cb5c6a322b4304ba71e0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-ben-kar-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-juv-dor-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-liv-mad-2025-0... | no | 1 | uel-paok-mta-2025-09-24 | Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
900d904db0941fa9caaf33864a609d41498853ff | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xab474cf9ac19d82d667cd82ffedc785a6a91c93b2b885101d695022302369104 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | Event: ucl-juv-dor-2025-09-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-liv-mad-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-psg-ata-2025-... | no | 1 | uel-scf-bas-2025-09-24 | Will FC Basel win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
f986c02a5e9692c4a83715bde811d1e3aaf5bff9 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xb6791d8ca670e9c71f640e7a6e01d41f913881e75a8f340de826b75317d08250 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-liv-mad-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-psg-ata-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-sla-bod-2025-09-17 |... | no | 1 | lal-rso-mal-2025-09-24 | Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,601 | 76,900,601 |
b40204c65136a814784255a2acf2a98a774412d6 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x7bf887144a998fb08eb1a107d54a89382ae12604b8a4a1ea237240463085a87e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-psg-ata-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-sla-bod-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19? | Event: bun-stu-pau-2025-09-19 | Ch... | no | 1 | uel-mal-lud-2025-09-24 | Will Ludogorets win on 2025-09-24? | 76,900,607 | 76,900,607 |
20302e3185ef996e180a6fff578b22e9a807a99b | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x25c8151db6f1be6b12c3cf5449b1601f8194c4fcea5c6a9cc3fbe1746ccfe8d2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17? | Event: ucl-sla-bod-2025-09-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19? | Event: bun-stu-pau-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19? | Event: lal-bet-rso-2025-09-19... | no | 1 | uel-stu-clv-2025-09-25 | Will Celta de Vigo win on 2025-09-25? | 76,918,408 | 76,918,408 |
cb18578963128f84ddd95cdd54b862441a78aa49 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xa3c49efda709d48f4e615746c700cf6e9e6271d1683244919afa296d5320393e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19? | Event: bun-stu-pau-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19? | Event: lal-bet-rso-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19? | Event: fl1-lyo-ang-2025-09-19... | no | 1 | lal-osa-elc-2025-09-25 | Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-25? | 76,918,408 | 76,918,408 |
881f4c3ac2aa604a7be8bdedd2ac99c7662a4208 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xc51d86dd99e6398640abb759d82c5797fdb63ff19b060d017e7403e1c9837d2c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19? | Event: lal-bet-rso-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19? | Event: fl1-lyo-ang-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hsv-hei-2025-0... | no | 1 | uel-ast-bol-2025-09-25 | Will Bologna win on 2025-09-25? | 76,918,408 | 76,918,408 |
b0186031625b23342eb6c692cda3690f6502230e | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x8df92fe77cc2fda6c15149f76cf7c485f4ac9387c123a28e8dedb34e29246ec1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19? | Event: fl1-lyo-ang-2025-09-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hsv-hei-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-liv-eve-2025-09-20 |... | no | 1 | fl1-str-olm-2025-09-26 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26? | 76,964,183 | 76,964,183 |
5a2e5e9ee3464712bf0029c41d0cfb8c9c16239f | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x6f3926cd0f15219d03040373219ae8d18bf88875cbea43945345a7d07183583b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hsv-hei-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-liv-eve-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Verona win on 2025-09-20? | Event: sea-ver-juv-2025-09-20 | Cho... | no | 1 | fl1-lor-asm-2025-09-27 | Will FC Lorient win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,337 | 77,002,337 |
71c3591d93926e83f02c6a2e425cceb5b9f7b633 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x2f41e220f43c85ba6cf5bd2cad4dfb86b0e43fe1b7ae2116e6fe357b9c8dd6e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-liv-eve-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Verona win on 2025-09-20? | Event: sea-ver-juv-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-vil-osa-2025-09-20 | Choice: no |... | no | 1 | fl1-tou-nan-2025-09-27 | Will FC Nantes win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
eb6c5a9b9c4fd0f43a093b8bf255728805a638f2 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x7ce5e83fb014116216ddf986e0bbff19d0d46f1f39ec66fdd75950f3153ba566 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Verona win on 2025-09-20? | Event: sea-ver-juv-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-vil-osa-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-rea-esp-2025-09-20 | Choice: no ... | no | 1 | sea-com-cre-2025-09-27 | Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
f38cc3570e5afc34bfe506391cfbd66fbf0e10d5 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x81072c5dfedc401e1157e117e2e47c0915c49f36b1e8a70492c4616696ec4a6f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-vil-osa-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-rea-esp-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-lei-koe-2025-09-20 | Choice:... | no | 1 | sea-cag-int-2025-09-27 | Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
229b16ca9f4239f87131a2923238c871347ba6c0 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x9d19c409d0c37586ab9920d90138d93f906e6d6e1d0461c83ca923feb47d31bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-rea-esp-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-lei-koe-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hof-bay-2025-09-20 |... | no | 1 | lal-get-lev-2025-09-27 | Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
dc7cf56cc6c6bea0da690a356dd8ce7cd259c9df | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xbbb1313dc06f47142ce4e59850c97403c7c7f8c43c297a10548e9ef7f2dfcf37 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-lei-koe-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hof-bay-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-gir-lev-2025-09-20... | no | 1 | lal-mal-ala-2025-09-27 | Will Alaves win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
c977674a3e24352d0c393aea49d95ac866dc81f1 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xd3815c151306b3f8001b326b2aec5980288dbe9aa21067a7411b2a6e0a319f3f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20? | Event: bun-hof-bay-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-gir-lev-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-ful-bre-2025-09-20 ... | no | 1 | sea-juv-ata-2025-09-27 | Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
50daa849ef549e10c72928e8cd816528fc5cb806 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xe9fb59dd78c1ff79620d034e4e25de04f78cf4ab3f59045adbd1bdd7da6416ad | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20? | Event: lal-gir-lev-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-ful-bre-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-21? | Event: bun-dor-wol-2025-09-21 | ... | no | 1 | lal-vil-bil-2025-09-27 | Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-27? | 77,002,348 | 77,002,348 |
f64e5cb16d18ae02368b9f95420c8b249cb5a7b7 | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0xcbca01758cb5dea24c28d535dc564c6cf10ed6d17cfefbd30d111696c54f8297 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-09-20? | Event: epl-ful-bre-2025-09-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-21? | Event: bun-dor-wol-2025-09-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? | Event: epl-sun-ast-2025-09-2... | no | 1 | lal-ray-sev-2025-09-28 | Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28? | 77,017,593 | 77,017,593 |
5838561c8c22287a0a718f4ae9388a8eb09f546c | 0x1cfe51789386009164c0352f1c773ef0413d68a9 | 0x040cccf962fd339b4ffada6af8ce63ed6ec2b5c85de5790f785cdfbedbde40bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-21? | Event: bun-dor-wol-2025-09-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21? | Event: epl-sun-ast-2025-09-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-21? | Event: bun-b0... | no | 1 | lal-bet-osa-2025-09-28 | Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-28? | 77,042,450 | 77,042,450 |
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