sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
676b8a3a780765d2420a3cbd2e4d8b570e3c84d8 | 0x1da8011f9f6481c9564bdb392609821da4f76fca | 0x96634633577ebc7500136dee2136f35454824deb4e74f8a116a707d83bc1f8d5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-04? | Event: bun-b04-uni-2025-10-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Netherlands win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-mal-nld-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-cy... | no | 1 | bun-lei-stu-2025-11-01 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-01? | 78,491,354 | 78,491,354 |
3018cbe95e29c59c75bc1e2fdf4d3d35fc72e00a | 0x1da8011f9f6481c9564bdb392609821da4f76fca | 0xd4f9210dd2cf27ce8be5b5c144cb7439d8ecc35bb905816e0495a4ce4942dc1b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Netherlands win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-mal-nld-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-cyp-bih-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Germany win on 2025-10-10? | Event: uef-ger-lux-202... | yes | 1 | ere-aja-her1-2025-11-01 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-01? | 78,491,369 | 78,491,369 |
01be6d4f71bc99c4e6cee8baf49eab71006231e0 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x843438a1f61fa42f9f1ff43559da8f19d70d119045e25f3d5d6d81574ddbe724 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET
Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | 79,951,077 | 79,951,077 |
7eda10954d8b9bbb523263fed5c4c7f1c287d843 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x611b4bec1fc5c3c7f735b131e4d76c20ee000dfa9c1234c677edc549d7b3a851 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06?
Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON... | no | 0.959307 | tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | 79,967,092 | 79,972,969 |
7a36bebd7d14775a5e00c3573b5b4a284716d5f4 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x225d8ed550eecdbc7380d0b7c80e3342e32444f807da82d29b89e82b405a1b8c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
Target market:
Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg ... | yes | 1 | bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-06? | 79,969,429 | 79,969,429 |
ae9b881aa3bc63e661eb56c1ba1a65ce6fc614d9 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x24dfba9ad8e369df95e4acbbafde558bb8124ea01cbf0578a86a86f3898fb522 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 1 | bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw? | 79,969,429 | 79,969,429 |
ecfe577eb7208e769c0b7b3f45540993fe722838 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x8934f5a202b0e0a1d1d986aa84afdc1c9bc7753f620d22145ea1b863d74c8d89 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.8 | bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-12-06? | 79,969,429 | 79,972,966 |
58fc866ab6f9a12c8d91fe1419f3e7f60115d342 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x58c9b0a78521745045a15edcd3fc6fdb2988518361964a511c5c621c694b91da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.334885 | epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? | 79,969,429 | 79,972,967 |
e19bcf4572474d7cd201527dbafe912c4ab6b02f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x832d57abff152c2df8deed1b65178135f855b0946dce6d84c365e53b9c68e397 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.714286 | epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | 79,969,429 | 79,972,969 |
8cae0008071a3e8a7cd2ccf7d2a4e18f727150ce | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xd1d5607b5bac6fa7033378d62ed3ddc1cba53980977dea1b2774ccf9191c5a93 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 1 | lal-vil-get-2025-12-06 | Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06? | 79,970,151 | 79,970,151 |
42a8a3d2a430eddd6039827d2b3c44d2784ebd3d | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xff12ebdca7128f8129679430183bb3dc9f2ff7eda0be7c93258326bdefd12a09 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 1 | sea-sas-fio-2025-12-06 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,515 | 79,972,515 |
1484d7c0d1debfc5e48bc720e1708ea9c57d1c67 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x83da76f045aa9d0282dbad87d83e022d5def160f291bc2d726a8995a2f000378 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.41223 | bun-hei-fre-2025-12-06 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,515 | 79,972,967 |
c3b2bc65a18eaff394901218d4a51d145b5e2961 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x9712feabd9b35f6b8e7ae33d465282e3cde884e8007ddef6347220230c712c3f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.95762 | tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,705 | 79,972,966 |
106f75c76e1ab6f9534b63a1d3d9e39baa5e7b5f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x364f12dc2fbdc544aa48343155a18408b1333caa36a7849ca8241b46c45bcfee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.666667 | lal-val-sev-2025-12-07 | Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? | 79,972,844 | 79,972,844 |
ca3bed2b061814ef0bab73d0f9858fbda8ecce29 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x44850e60c8c387e6dcf90a4523809b19531a83f1e79c558143333e5cac306fa0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | duke blue devils | 0 | cbb-duke-mst-2025-12-06 | Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans | 79,972,844 | 79,972,844 |
b5b687bccc39011bf6bc89507aeeb929a2225090 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xb1c3665ec1930b8f50d88543f9226927f410c38b272f3caa2e632099eda69f24 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | providence friars | 0 | cbb-ri-prov-2025-12-06 | Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence Friars | 79,972,844 | 79,972,844 |
2cc25c95a2a1937240d69fe1be6bf84e8b15dccc | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xb6c269ac3cf75106e84ca4a882bbe9b64f7e1dd9527741831a200dd76a3dd9e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | iowa state cyclones | 0 | cbb-iowast-pur-2025-12-06 | Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers | 79,972,844 | 79,972,844 |
90439fef910996ee4f02f76ccef66aa5e0bcc6d8 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x9e23fc775925dca0a3ac4000f95d4bf885388cd3190c17c9d87f8397b887bf69 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.251684 | epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,844 | 79,974,325 |
640ee97300e18a947219338e0047901602766b0c | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x8dac8187d19e12acdeccf4ed8e235aa67dc71e20936d9d16859254c508990390 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | boise state broncos | 0 | cbb-boise-butl-2025-12-06 | Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogs | 79,972,844 | 79,974,676 |
d9a6c2b446c94506d4d6c7a9a3448dddc0f35e53 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x3aa7d38cca05ded9faea69ab40dffb184575fbc65999bf2e65821e8a3a4c3d01 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.090909 | por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,844 | 79,979,764 |
8b0c25150f9abf4cad3657a38a016aa2c99aa8d8 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xb56a75a7e8d6f0f35b17c084ed6ecdea489aa056029b77ff4842369ce85c16df | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.694633 | sea-ver-ata-2025-12-06 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,844 | 79,982,833 |
02364324f143d8887c2deaa8cb9b989bc3ccd0ed | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xcfd9fb3ef2a3a3b90a4a80e55eff8e61acdd60c1292c10e00a9c23a9bd019a6d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.6 | epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,844 | 79,988,778 |
773091e0f91298a82cac7e42ea015a3211c2883d | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x4ebb02aff5e91a4e95ff70507c0f3a6ffa4c0ab45793c94e07fa5682ad00a92b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.142857 | sea-int-com-2025-12-06 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,844 | 79,988,780 |
763149de89612b42cb74e9813b41accfa978d655 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x496bf5e89bfdd182380fcd0f0eaf34cc202b48a66595cacb539d5479109b3cdf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | over | 0.2 | fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 | 79,972,845 | 79,972,845 |
b7d45870b0b901e4920a2672c4e659e99c412268 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x77ffe2de29223bfa2a636234b1b60eaf369358838a86317f5cc373d886b817af | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.454545 | ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,845 | 79,972,845 |
5cbfe6b80664b347c3660f89491fa1a36d67d7a7 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x9c442cce0b9194db8ddab9a6059aacc290213a741c0ba156be53924a80b46ba8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | miami (oh) | 0 | cfb-miaoh-wmich-2025-12-06 | Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan | 79,972,845 | 79,972,845 |
19f8c24a128f7f447ad51a7d2bb2daae4695df9d | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xe9463aca2d8333c53103b63faea4b9093dd94c73e7e77863175e42654cd43264 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0 | lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06 | Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,845 | 79,972,845 |
ce8174fb475429c9ff2add93e29b2f93eae06cd8 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x270c451ad85ade387932f520619c861f53bb95895142d0d69dc46d82617ca876 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | paris saint-germain fc | 0 | fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | 79,972,845 | 79,973,148 |
3d7cfc4396d07b37cd7cf0f705cb9e25709e5a9d | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xb9b759887f2ca91cae655744d0a91905a759c978ff715f245eecabe2ece736e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | louisville cardinals | 0.2 | cbb-lou-ind-2025-12-06 | Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Hoosiers | 79,972,845 | 79,973,148 |
78a5def05fe051f1086e57b720f0ab00ed201a01 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x4b255bfcf5cbd2dd14defa2bdf7339a43dc0c889856f6ccfa73c44f92ccb163a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0 | ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,845 | 79,973,691 |
6ba197d58b5a7972e49f75726ad2c2e8d08dd3e6 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xa944091ba932e414071a970a0b2eaaa853cf585be2710a801ad5e24511eba97b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0.5 | por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw? | 79,972,845 | 79,979,709 |
c943fd28c50dcf16561135353813c887c7730c5b | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x525741150066ac58c0d5da30bcae4308297f186508a1edbfa460f6e17218c8c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | yes | 0.474057 | lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,845 | 79,988,777 |
a8346ea41cb0ef5bb7753bcef3c7bd1efe151439 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x54f29bf53745b0b3a2e9cb6bdb872cefbbdcf442763584e18a6160388c098275 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-december-6-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
3. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-1... | no | 0 | ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? | 79,972,846 | 79,972,846 |
c939fed2c7ab266bbe15bfd2afee2665bc50e591 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xea7e35344679535a8aced90e2073bebeb5bfe5d268583cc617981819d40b5337 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Eyüpspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-eyu-kay-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9593067068575735
2. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a ... | over | 0 | fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06-more-markets | Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5 | 79,972,846 | 79,972,846 |
003939f6ee47b7db02ccd73cb21a78cbcab5a4af | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xfc10d1d6c198a6a7a1270319dfb5eda723753877d5fc5e8c07cd5225bb26a76b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw? | Event: bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-12-0... | barcelona | 0 | lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06-more-markets | Spread: Barcelona (-1.5) | 79,972,846 | 79,972,846 |
dc6dce5fccdd05aa6688a8df8dfb576ad719f821 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x664bde7a5f273761834ed0756cb09c66534003db3b99213c15594dd1c31ca9b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw? | Event: bl2-scp-elv-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8
3. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? | E... | no | 0.6 | epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,974,241 |
313c13fd173949ae49a08fba0630156325e93ad6 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xeb7d06314fec03fffa50edb9077884b78c1b4e91932e16b20bf0ee8c00808f94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8
2. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.33488526770867977
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl... | yes | 0.345978 | fl1-nan-rcl-2025-12-06 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,975,596 |
07639d46d4204b7450b5e3ff59bd82b1b5a29ed7 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xeb16c375c01e618cb74f2be3901bb102933f5b1822e4e89adee30460686cb8fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.33488526770867977
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.7142857142857143
3. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06? | Event... | no | 0.940116 | tur-iba-fen-2025-12-06 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,976,939 |
9893fc981901f10a30c225eb4541811b1605bfcc | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x636d1cc1fffefc38f067a129058d4f7e82ab92d3d4c18379b3020efa3975740f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-ast-ars-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.7142857142857143
2. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-vil-get-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-sa... | yes | 0.5 | ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,978,592 |
32faabf73d8c8cf6d2a56e2ba7f1abb9d87da061 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x7a31b686862ab5d3dce26e61da469d7c2a1a07791a27d92cae3be6fcda88fd49 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-vil-get-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-sas-fio-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bun-hei-fre-2025... | no | 0.383857 | epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,979,374 |
bf1a9fcf1a293b45e0016a830eb103647508f2ec | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x371f0d053e3555d01ab8b25aa25ceccd29c11284245e9e6293e932fc6d47b982 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-sas-fio-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bun-hei-fre-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.4122299110295156
3. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-06? | Even... | yes | 0.111111 | fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,846 | 79,982,833 |
436d306448db7f615694a62d094acf82690a2c49 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x011aa7fab520552ff042b0198761e3eb9661f2438c2d982f251f5878d7270e21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bun-hei-fre-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.4122299110295156
2. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.9576199355823021
3. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? |... | byu | 0 | cfb-byu-txtech-2025-12-06 | BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | 79,972,846 | 79,988,780 |
7284a6d6ef63dc602c8beb79acbbd9ec675b64d3 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x39f5e8da4e3fa2ac9610a00c194be427e095f1a3d9fdb9d4f2a1dba4af7b02bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.9576199355823021
2. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? | Event: lal-val-sev-2025-12-07 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6666666666666666
3. Question: Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State ... | inter miami cf | 0 | mls-mia-vwh-2025-12-06-more-markets | Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | 79,972,847 | 79,972,847 |
4a60d54d0564b579f915f8ef78a7cce1c3021baf | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x61f53dcb59a52482eea1d235a4abfa90a6a3fc4335b3fb68d39fc0f0e558a4e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07? | Event: lal-val-sev-2025-12-07 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6666666666666666
2. Question: Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans | Event: cbb-duke-mst-2025-12-06 | Choice: duke blue devils | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence... | over | 0 | epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06-more-markets | Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5 | 79,972,847 | 79,972,847 |
fa09c025ee71c54fafaf7cec5f4fa42e3639d723 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x7ad2983b4c7b151985303a6366cca34bd6d17b3f4197e1ea428a916cdb5fbf89 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan State Spartans | Event: cbb-duke-mst-2025-12-06 | Choice: duke blue devils | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence Friars | Event: cbb-ri-prov-2025-12-06 | Choice: providence friars | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Pu... | yes | 0.785714 | elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,847 | 79,974,204 |
f79cb39ba863b8408fb480ae2f5a719cf389174a | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x9262d892e179841d4e0cd3205781411e9a845c2672d1539db03e4d920a0d4979 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rhode Island Rams vs. Providence Friars | Event: cbb-ri-prov-2025-12-06 | Choice: providence friars | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Event: cbb-iowast-pur-2025-12-06 | Choice: iowa state cyclones | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 20... | over | 0 | lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06-more-markets | Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5 | 79,972,847 | 79,988,779 |
9b110bef828cf9e930047adcbbedc7164e2fdf33 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xd9cfff750997126939cbd92ba8f1ae14654feada33b1fede7cf510c2059ff376 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Purdue Boilermakers | Event: cbb-iowast-pur-2025-12-06 | Choice: iowa state cyclones | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.2516837116487902
3. Question: Boise State Broncos vs. Butle... | no | 0.879699 | es2-rso-spo-2025-12-06 | Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,847 | 79,988,779 |
67cebaed2a803883a40b1276a7985e1437009232 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xa483aa6a93890d19e201f53d2471a13bff36c6a5759a9ff2970f8ef9e3fcc1ed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.2516837116487902
2. Question: Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogs | Event: cbb-boise-butl-2025-12-06 | Choice: boise state broncos | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06... | yes | 1 | bl2-boc-bie-2025-12-06 | Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,966 | 79,972,966 |
e7e4a388a5751ece70a94209c71562b9466b74de | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xbf6316a497c08edccc917156ec7d1c36c5577308fa86d08eec2e1313765a590d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Boise State Broncos vs. Butler Bulldogs | Event: cbb-boise-butl-2025-12-06 | Choice: boise state broncos | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.09090909090909091
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-... | yes | 1 | tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,966 | 79,972,966 |
df400bbec4d55c907c168c44c02ebd6faa7a2af2 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x06e85eefcacbfe81a9e9997c58ed4e56dadd26b6109b1093fe57bf022ec65f1b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rio Ave FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.09090909090909091
2. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-ver-ata-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.6946331781051989
3. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? | Ev... | yes | 1 | bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,967 | 79,972,967 |
249d5023bd6bb9556b32e6c98f7f72d2ccd2c51f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x2a69c9e6c1a149671ff9f57274dd36f2929f046eb22470eaad6eeac809d3cf81 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-ver-ata-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.6946331781051989
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6
3. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06? | Even... | yes | 1 | rus-ros-rub-2025-12-06 | Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,968 | 79,972,968 |
139e78d86d19fd5d72d78b0322f4fbdddfbaf120 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x4d71ce6fadd306488e9142869279a526cc7add990bba635c569754695db98899 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6
2. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-int-com-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.14285714285714285
3. Question: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais ... | no | 1 | es2-and-alm-2025-12-06 | Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-06? | 79,972,969 | 79,972,969 |
0cf6be59a39db04fe7ae86d02a7c6bba65b56afb | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x4c4dec8671753cf772841d4985399292709a8f07fb5cb47b5022324c66ffc077 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06? | Event: sea-int-com-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.14285714285714285
2. Question: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.2
3. Question: Wil... | no | 0.969796 | tur-koc-kas-2025-12-07 | Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | 79,973,691 | 79,973,691 |
54fdbe7808d10b5763621ef66d20c7682b3439f8 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xfc8cd643ecc9b2d69467bd44f0dcd8924b0ebded44d518c8d10830dd5c917379 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5 | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.2
2. Question: Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.45454545454545453
3. Question: Miami (OH) vs. ... | northwestern wildcats | 0 | cbb-ohiost-nw-2025-12-06 | Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats | 79,973,691 | 79,974,395 |
666c3461d9202b1f59ce8ca2a21c1399ae9fd926 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x77df9dbd00ec1102e144a21d17c636c9e5adf91a174321350bf955cb49549a1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.45454545454545453
2. Question: Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan | Event: cfb-miaoh-wmich-2025-12-06 | Choice: miami (oh) | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ... | loyola chicago ramblers | 0 | cbb-prnce-loych-2025-12-06 | Princeton Tigers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 79,973,691 | 79,975,456 |
5598325ff455cb6cdc4c9f1568ec69a13e68ddd6 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x173002c455d27a39d1888aa7270ab941fb0bd8ed7b1b9dc8b2bdaf2ed522b4f1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan | Event: cfb-miaoh-wmich-2025-12-06 | Choice: miami (oh) | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Event: fl1-psg-ren-202... | no | 1 | elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,204 | 79,974,204 |
d9c64dc7f846f5f2875518efc3140596d449d5da | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x6a2b27a08a891a8b6c927d4f1eaac70933a12d3de4ba107f96cf06db5eb2350d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: paris saint-germain fc | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Ho... | yes | 1 | elc-sot-bir-2025-12-06 | Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,241 | 79,974,241 |
6c37497741a9ecb6f2e237b809597df59d6b9e37 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xf7bc915db95ca76a5ec874122079fed39281effe681a7a9fa94f4cefea49deab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: paris saint-germain fc | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Hoosiers | Event: cbb-lou-ind-2025-12-06 | Choice: louisville cardinals | Confidence: 0.2
3. Question: Will Herac... | yes | 1 | elc-swa-oxf-2025-12-06 | Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,317 | 79,974,317 |
a61abcb4b5620d1166af6380c32682416802936c | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x0aff32032ab80af9d573737423e3034262af5a40d78bcec6b60685e5c339e030 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Louisville Cardinals vs. Indiana Hoosiers | Event: cbb-lou-ind-2025-12-06 | Choice: louisville cardinals | Confidence: 0.2
2. Question: Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a ... | yes | 1 | epl-tot-bre-2025-12-06 | Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw? | 79,974,325 | 79,974,325 |
db76f7001311820f3be94ace0dd3870a5b41f514 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x31e83a1f300851cec53517076f38c00ef2d36326baaf5282d0634ea008eb8963 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-her-tel-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw? | Event: por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.5
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-b... | no | 1 | ere-her1-psv-2025-12-06 | Will PSV win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,325 | 79,974,325 |
837fb17f281b629ce8b1c25307d8cb852f09e02f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x3ee8945adc2a245ce0d1529f70c561d723b4b99bee4e042ebb7a9deb0e6eb49d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AVS Futebol vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw? | Event: por-avs-rio-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.5
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.4740566037735849
3. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end ... | yes | 1 | elc-pne-wre-2025-12-06 | Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,325 | 79,974,325 |
8534958206e4e77ca2569af1b87f01cb967f8fb7 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x906d08b4fb785d3f7c63b4196ad338c90181c20e96a24b204d0ebfc19321f443 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06? | Event: lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.4740566037735849
2. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? | Event: ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace... | no | 1 | bun-wol-uni-2025-12-06 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,325 | 79,974,325 |
4657fc6cd47b757980b049051e54f0c761c48adf | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xe7ceaefb287d4fc475d053c891ae86d5143e430ff01443adcbbe06243913d7db | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? | Event: ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5 | Event: fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spread: Barcelona (-1.5) | Even... | no | 0.070632 | epl-wol-mun-2025-12-08 | Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08? | 79,974,395 | 79,974,395 |
0dd465f7b97de56a975c54d429b67380b4784080 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xbef1b6a00964100048f1b76c03b5f1cba5454345a67e4718df6e991bcd324534 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5 | Event: fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spread: Barcelona (-1.5) | Event: lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: barcelona | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06?... | no | 0.777514 | epl-wol-mun-2025-12-08 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08? | 79,974,395 | 79,974,946 |
4a6b04d1e92ff77f22c55f6fbdd2130d11fb0389 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xa3fd901202288ee43d179a1dabcdb153d7bb2a0516d2d7b408e9c308c167af35 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spread: Barcelona (-1.5) | Event: lal-bet-bar-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: barcelona | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.6
3. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06? | Event: fl1-nan... | no | 0.8125 | mls-mia-vwh-2025-12-06 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,395 | 79,988,777 |
b6a3a7d049e041823e3990ceaeffa2584d95db85 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x5b9ea141d3f41ddb4a7b97f5cdf54884d5948a26fd30a912e41cb62a5b5b9f94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-bou-che-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.6
2. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06? | Event: fl1-nan-rcl-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3459777632439503
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06? | Event... | no | 0.142857 | sea-ver-ata-2025-12-06 | Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,974,676 | 79,988,780 |
fa22291243a7da3824018f958677cf9fd9bc31d4 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x2d38ea117b0e219e48473321b190422276ace3ecce3567f938de058bf9cd5364 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06? | Event: fl1-nan-rcl-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3459777632439503
2. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-iba-fen-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9401161746212348
3. Question: Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12... | blue jackets | 0.11318 | nhl-cbj-fla-2025-12-06 | Blue Jackets vs. Panthers | 79,974,946 | 79,979,137 |
98d7dd5326a61601c132e9ce6da05753f1e86308 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x006017a38a463d06b4e9b9902b8f1672159ec3635c4e588f067cea2baf5baac6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-iba-fen-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9401161746212348
2. Question: Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5
3. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-lee-... | yes | 0.720592 | mls-mia-vwh-2025-12-06 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw? | 79,975,129 | 79,988,778 |
a8cfd0a102149bfc78a60aca5ff6c7252a2a463e | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x4bfa766e1c630beff2e73cebaf5c1b8f9e3382f1eb46181138eaba357d7dbd1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5
2. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.3838570548367221
3. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event:... | yes | 0.6 | bl2-svd-ksc-2025-12-06 | Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2025-12-06? | 79,975,456 | 79,982,833 |
8cb07934c7fe0318cac36792878c184a6e6a2731 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x146b453d615bc6e3271a3bfde8d992bfe02042ceb98578d5cf58c2a92fffabaf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06? | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.3838570548367221
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.1111111111111111
3. Question: BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Rai... | no | 1 | fl1-nan-rcl-2025-12-06 | Will FC Nantes win on 2025-12-06? | 79,975,596 | 79,975,596 |
59df37b75116cd7f1eecf81100cb73e35e7fa6c1 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xe2928713a153c08dd216099f7a8883c30d2d6ce2c7d3e4bf703f7860a031dbb3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.1111111111111111
2. Question: BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | Event: cfb-byu-txtech-2025-12-06 | Choice: byu | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | Event: mls-... | no | 1 | fl1-nan-rcl-2025-12-06 | Will FC Nantes vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? | 79,975,596 | 79,975,596 |
9e07d41bbfb0e4aa45233dfdc5aae96c4ab34948 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xe4fe6e0691db1d48208637709372bc33b9e9e1be8c26ecf0e24b49f312812389 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | Event: cfb-byu-txtech-2025-12-06 | Choice: byu | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | Event: mls-mia-vwh-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: inter miami cf | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5 | Event: epl-le... | kansas state wildcats | 0 | cbb-seton-kanst-2025-12-06 | Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats | 79,975,727 | 79,988,778 |
50282b4f771aa92b0f4a3427ba446feb5867b94f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x9e6cd6af14268c1cb64014fb861a92795699d95c1d9a6ab54b9da66749c9069f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | Event: mls-mia-vwh-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: inter miami cf | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5 | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12... | alabama | 0 | cfb-ga-ala-2025-12-06 | Georgia vs. Alabama | 79,975,878 | 79,988,778 |
6bec87493f403c20b249e90fbf189d7894024c4c | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xf163bff73d97760baccb837fb9a3cfa1029abb4b08b73240dd5ca9024e069859 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Leeds United vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5 | Event: epl-lee-liv-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.7857142857142857
3. Question: Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid:... | no | 0.615385 | bra-mir-fla-2025-12-07 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-12-07? | 79,976,342 | 79,976,342 |
8510d7f933f2d207c6d3c28730963469d9129638 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x7ac1c6aae6d943bc8694bcaef8ec608b9bf90f151e5cb4e7efbb60ca9710acad | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.7857142857142857
2. Question: Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Event: lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Real Sporting de Gijón... | over | 0 | fl1-psg-ren-2025-12-06-more-markets | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5 | 79,976,342 | 79,981,041 |
d8bd3161be97b4745ca3b59209d94f9091d63bc9 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x3562bfac124599a717dc260263c1c80f4c7a4c51b8c4daa04d9b26e4fd89d15b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5 | Event: lal-bil-mad-2025-12-06-more-markets | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-06? | Event: es2-rso-spo-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8796992481203008
3. Question: Will DSC Arminia Biel... | baylor bears | 0 | cbb-bayl-mphs-2025-12-06 | Baylor Bears vs. Memphis Tigers | 79,976,660 | 79,988,777 |
50e518fb2ae8a5e33a758259ade0353cd698de24 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x3ba40e21cb9cd74825fc2e09a57a2156c9193aa0ccc7a745addc1c7195f88763 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2025-12-06? | Event: es2-rso-spo-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8796992481203008
2. Question: Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-boc-bie-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-06... | california golden bears | 0 | cbb-pacfc-cah-2025-12-06 | Spread: California Golden Bears (-11.5) | 79,977,586 | 79,979,091 |
0d7b7bc27e63166ea794ba2adef160747f57d00f | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x355b65886662e6e21752737c5bc877827bdf05cbdfe3fdb5bbaa9201798ecaf5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-boc-bie-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-fck-... | nets | 0 | nba-nop-bkn-2025-12-06 | Pelicans vs. Nets | 79,977,586 | 79,984,670 |
038c52a322382bdff97222f7a35080d38eec895d | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x2789e6c3d0eb098f56ed0045b0da90cbfbee87ce31efb63d26e1d2dd6fd87dbe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-06? | Event: tur-kon-riz-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-12-06? | Event: rus-ros-rub-202... | no | 1 | ere-sit-aja-2025-12-06 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06? | 79,978,592 | 79,978,592 |
a124c27768a8765741880554c0d8f6058471aa13 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x000375d74d3470faeb857fc0033a181749cf25e8f324a478df8f34c4ca36d54f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-06? | Event: bl2-fck-dyn-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-12-06? | Event: rus-ros-rub-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-06? | Event: es2-and-alm-20... | yes | 1 | fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-06? | 79,978,966 | 79,978,966 |
a981042da3be9075f1b392a612dbd39349705cbe | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x2022678a06bfadabfc293022f36f475000e5e540281443ebb964ca07dbcbbda7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-12-06? | Event: rus-ros-rub-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-06? | Event: es2-and-alm-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | Event: tur-koc-kas-2025-12-0... | no | 1 | fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-06? | 79,978,966 | 79,978,966 |
c47c1ee247474e556b3fd192f2c845d7d6a17958 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xccf5d1bbe255e5803ad78cd76d2af4165e7fe42218e16b3a038a90de6fb1ff55 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-06? | Event: es2-and-alm-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | Event: tur-koc-kas-2025-12-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9697964543663822
3. Question: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats | Event: ... | no | 1 | fl1-tou-str-2025-12-06 | Will Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | 79,978,966 | 79,978,966 |
34ea9e7e3f7658f61c76fda5f2a7f908aa9c4599 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x42cc1d4f2b0f37d2cdb0b8b0fdd0d8cafd536c2291d7cc48fade5519da774a1e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-07? | Event: tur-koc-kas-2025-12-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9697964543663822
2. Question: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats | Event: cbb-ohiost-nw-2025-12-06 | Choice: northwestern wildcats | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Princeton Tigers vs. Lo... | no | 1 | bun-lei-ein-2025-12-06 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-06? | 79,979,078 | 79,979,078 |
b68e2c95e478070305ff85304bb4b1e342b864e3 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x7723bc3697b32a2ba50d78e26e2cf35df66d7a8744e3a59b4a6a5a6362d96800 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcats | Event: cbb-ohiost-nw-2025-12-06 | Choice: northwestern wildcats | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Princeton Tigers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Event: cbb-prnce-loych-2025-12-06 | Choice: loyola chicago ramblers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will... | no | 1 | bun-lei-ein-2025-12-06 | Will RB Leipzig vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | 79,979,078 | 79,979,078 |
a23b02415ee7fc4748ece836383c117d47812cf6 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xfa044b01aac0eb07952b682f4ed0f0905d8f96c50af01230ca9fa20c14560384 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Princeton Tigers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers | Event: cbb-prnce-loych-2025-12-06 | Choice: loyola chicago ramblers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton FC win on 202... | colorado state rams | 0.230769 | cbb-col-colst-2025-12-06 | Colorado Buffaloes vs. Colorado State Rams | 79,979,091 | 79,979,600 |
6852096b9188f6acbe9747ed4f900c43652cd27c | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xb893676d10fa568165b29552de22d5c2bf2c76be94f8364990a22d285b36f071 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-ips-cov-2025-12-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-sot-bir-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-swa-ox... | yes | 1 | bun-lei-ein-2025-12-06 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-06? | 79,979,142 | 79,979,142 |
8b1552809ee9b7d7f6120caa4f6bc952a56faf7b | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0xfef9f4c443b0ea9d4b6cb8d69f972942da76b036029db03e8505191d7ef97c82 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-sot-bir-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-swa-oxf-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-to... | over | 0 | nba-nop-bkn-2025-12-06 | Pelicans vs. Nets: O/U 227.5 | 79,979,383 | 79,988,778 |
970a070eecf0e370a0ebe8221b98301f2bf8ec83 | 0x1db3a02b73d5845c722257c97c9607826e9aada1 | 0x6e0ce09f8c47531094317131ac4262ad7f450bd28bdcce03a21ddca774670431 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-06? | Event: elc-swa-oxf-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-bre-2025-12-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PSV win on 2025-12-06? | Event: ere-her1-psv-2025... | kraken | 0.214286 | nhl-det-sea-2025-12-07 | Red Wings vs. Kraken | 79,979,600 | 79,995,829 |
f6f0ac10e943766459bebf2537347fd6e2dab83e | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0x0d6d94166622df9ef7f7f4af250d49ba55f10ac037759b049444fb4e9c585fa6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?
Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | 78,205,506 | 78,205,506 |
5cd56fdd48145c5ca7109006bceb412cc28da81a | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xb7d349c07d953752057351f024296f4f7813c109a66fbed5c9a88c52ea6f84aa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26?
Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "c... | yes | 1 | sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | 78,205,506 | 78,205,506 |
d7c0732af6884b3531dba36425798709762fdcc8 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0x2db5cda59a82c59bc42e3a3ff1020613b231136b15d21a7f9a741fe5e2aa4d30 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?
Event: tur-gfk-fen... | yes | 1 | tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | 78,264,402 | 78,264,402 |
4cdfea4df38223a69b8243cf692e4b9eaa8f4767 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xca78e9f42e78f31d8e61cc3ca2a4cd0a0941e8a7f07c166e1413cb4a3251abb1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | por-mor-por-2025-10-27 | Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27? | 78,264,402 | 78,264,402 |
4458e0318acd5f6cf3dd34c10aa1a96391a47fc5 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xfe96b81152abf34035302b4c337abbf8417c1e8fc7b31478c398b3da814240e3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | no | 1 | den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27? | 78,333,816 | 78,333,816 |
dcc9b6b6e4c32306d27ee567ddf79e4192d10e8b | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0x80d555d45a82ee2a5d6b5985b6de78697f493b6dd9d568432d41f887ca8af648 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | no | 1 | sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29 | Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? | 78,350,048 | 78,350,048 |
5eb8e1c7da7f5c1b731f9a14ea670b650e30122a | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xd9299fa4c241d2aca1db48c677b4d84f30d822cdd3835606ee2eb25530384620 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | dfb-mai-stu-2025-10-29 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-29? | 78,350,048 | 78,350,048 |
fd590fd91f0f38bc15e228bd03c50747af4f9967 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0x4d447b4db26de9247abbebbda572ccfc9408a7252209d8d3feb9ac9962922a1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29 | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29? | 78,394,060 | 78,394,060 |
397ec5d48befc9c2b8de06cc0ab0c6bd2e096af8 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xc38f9afaa3f23299098495e585751dd889f6df881b128ad1f32f63885c4b8ae3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,394,060 | 78,394,060 |
e59514529af574eddb82e8c8bd6aed752a875c33 | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xdd605332d181ef8cd7dac76d428e66c848e2256dd6fd95bac8e180926aaab0a7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | sea-pis-laz-2025-10-30 | Will Lazio win on 2025-10-30? | 78,394,063 | 78,394,063 |
0417efc1abc759aa74119f58fea8b0e498b3a2ec | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0x2f422e5f45d7dbc197aed6a20fd0b5fe5cf050adad623a77242a89dfc3f31042 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | lal-get-gir-2025-10-31 | Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31? | 78,446,035 | 78,446,035 |
6f3dab8adf8d48608eea128a6358a89b30d2cb4d | 0x1dc6e69220fd0f0cfb2aeae1b764d3d75ee60f52 | 0xe06380c2514a426b0ef15f1be25eb634b4e0472e404d8ad3258130d220552488 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-sas-rom-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27... | yes | 1 | por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-31? | 78,446,035 | 78,446,035 |
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