sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8302efee53324633d9a869c4151f72efa2013aa0 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xcda250de6c52d164739d46fce6f141d479c8bb1a726ceef04c546c3e2d7f615b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET | 79,174,042 | 79,175,542 |
e2b6bb37911db0bbe9692359b8a9b0edb3ee6006 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xb5d2673fbe76a1f2c99793c1c8187781cedc35677ef491d86eebcd3ea2761459 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET | 79,175,842 | 79,179,497 |
af21ecb7d1635549479f832b2162dd34622da939 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x369fcadc92bcd3d8f09e89c3091c6c6c03ab47e3a2547a00aeed52927d38cd10 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET | 79,178,298 | 79,181,298 |
6dc128377dafe308c3dd1e145c086336408d83df | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xfc80fffc879f012fd70ed7507ea1648f9e6ad789e9a1b798cd5b2805f34e1cab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6AM ET | 79,179,497 | 79,182,896 |
de17b6f7753dca879d8bf3288af9233c7d2b10ed | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x26fea62a4b80dcfc49e8f4119f79e15ad984a9a2e81da81704210f8bc28fbdaa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7AM ET | 79,181,598 | 79,182,900 |
9c660e5a5e38eb5986d37fb00d82bdf3248bb56d | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xbc237b4c5cafcaff610b5235e77444c3294d6794e94c5171a5a05ab77bd0dcac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8AM ET | 79,183,098 | 79,186,998 |
6cb290aa0b9c7fe39f4765232d8f4be46d74dc82 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x3438b1da60b9901a69834ccd87a21e31e7c36f092114cb0495a719ada555a128 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9AM ET | 79,184,898 | 79,186,524 |
ea3492eea44ed2096af358cbfb11b5e2662c9e17 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x263fe20e03532419127a1d3aefddf0409adcee5dc6e24c43c14dffe9f889d10a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10AM ET | 79,186,698 | 79,188,197 |
55451064321890dfeba52c52174ea76cc02c1222 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1af8d79861c1d8ce19fba102a419460dec9412ee4028b33c54fc4e209192f723 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11AM ET | 79,188,797 | 79,189,997 |
d49d3ca796e7bd4202edf4ce049294145b9137c4 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x4704093c0cdb1cece1c7ed4a18ab588bf09db27e7c998f4fc8daf276b9e05772 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12PM ET | 79,190,597 | 79,194,197 |
08d8ae1202115bb5a742fd0d39c1909373eadbab | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xaa16bd8253f3c2a23dc98c395414460ab5a0c35832b5715cc3daf3fa68131f0c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-16-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 1PM ET | 79,192,697 | 79,196,097 |
344560028ecd299b5632085b2297ae961dad35d1 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x627678aeba9233d299dc62c9fe9693cb9e0e84f32be1e52f16f5ac4a5c82bd55 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2PM ET | 79,194,197 | 79,197,897 |
4da7fdb24f183422550ed9b537f03a3220b687df | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5216410777efe926ce2996f74b73ed25eebb4ee726af155ede4aaf56a9a754c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3PM ET | 79,196,097 | 79,199,997 |
d24ec5ff472ed514a7bd503084509fdf60010058 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x96356bdff941cf2af997d7575cee414806522c546d100c0df98f51b9a0997476 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4PM ET | 79,197,597 | 79,201,497 |
b941832cc5c70ac0d1bb78bf2a390d5c40b51a31 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x8c26345d6cd8d7c15b97a72284a7df115990cb0dd25023a036a66a92b8a12520 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5PM ET | 79,199,397 | 79,200,597 |
d7bab4f1545f7b8992dbf4dd23122521614de26a | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x97fdbdd6347dcf3cae180821865cac664207fe2c4e6a24dd6c357d00a50c1d51 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6PM ET | 79,201,197 | 79,204,797 |
ae0b4b215d94c8c9508ae410c612c4a1d97b489b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xeb3452f0e0d5480d14bc1a98e02b1269ca3e6ace27ac57ab2c9f9a4d122035da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7PM ET | 79,202,997 | 79,206,597 |
921a008cf430aa91c344b7df30496dc1109d067c | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xd3f8b0d3ee08f992f52a54ca8cbb39d7ea7a58e2bb09fc217488b561479d49a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8PM ET | 79,204,797 | 79,208,397 |
5c7ae5b9f354ba2716573490bffeb2a30bb9134b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x6ec9be964f03fa1f131695ff1d5b0a4a572502cc7c2967004c449fe8df549997 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9PM ET | 79,206,597 | 79,210,797 |
b398ff5a7cbe514e163c7fada5f3db1253642983 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x64c8268a5914a1adc670c9e985f44b227b3db338c3f05c723acef1f8ca6c5deb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET | 79,208,397 | 79,213,497 |
16591d26ced4dde749059897703cb816118704f5 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x4948b460fe77933a24947b659ab619ad6d17d71bb743e32dd3b16a468c07fb6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11PM ET | 79,210,497 | 79,213,797 |
152d7641ecb8dd45fb4d7cb4cbc3e851544a1e28 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xaafb170cdaf6974335c8337a8a35815be238761656fba2ed6b05483f477cda92 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-1pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.06881575242659582
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET | 79,211,997 | 79,215,897 |
634d88a726594e34a409851e3be969ca5b3941e6 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xa248d08bae35635881b460c58905881ff31c77ebfbc7da9300c931289a1bcaca | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-1pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.06881575242659582
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up ... | up | 0.665872 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2AM ET | 79,215,597 | 79,216,798 |
1612150aa6b7fa68db33b7c9bdfb1f0084f381fa | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x7f4af3d947ceae638655022b0cbfd046766fa28040ce9d3a1a609f7c96506d65 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.10381489113591158
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3AM ET | 79,217,697 | 79,218,597 |
ea6684381a2a38ecc69d722e94f6f991087339e0 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0f1874c2723886a9402256baf22ecb36feb63e26e3d203f44d09700931974067 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.10381489113591158
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5AM ET | 79,221,376 | 79,224,676 |
5b0e0bd0aa717191ab19f70ca47926b1732707b7 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x2db5e4db30fbd4dee5da5e27ab5f2de2fcf5b8759887d893b79730ccbc2d44e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6AM ET | 79,222,876 | 79,224,302 |
292ef956bbb5d1e0a6dcaae98b86e78c715bfabc | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x8aa2807b3f52230f1e342acf0409de865ed851f8eff601c6ccecee58ef142107 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7AM ET | 79,224,376 | 79,225,877 |
8780e505db4b3297528903dbaaae8f9ef7ba549f | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x90fcc3cdf6dafd11f0f8bfdf11c5236faa56edaadcce85b4dcb31965c4818d8d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8AM ET | 79,226,177 | 79,230,034 |
925519bd65192209b6888eac5499a53721573501 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0efb28d0d06ae9749f8ebe0637691303ef72c528e505d86cfd213b4cda9ac018 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-17-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-12am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.099748225396007
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9AM ET | 79,228,222 | 79,231,822 |
0caae80a285f0f4fdfd23299cf60dbcd04033589 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xff4d20b83e8c57648439c10a1334ed52e49c95a7ab0920a5c835aa1dd5f2e772 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-12am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.099748225396007
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10AM ET | 79,230,034 | 79,233,622 |
4476c9224472288004a5ec7040bc95fcce53627d | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xbfbdd3bcff584ea99b96ef69e43b596d35762ae53db07dd05f37f8e7f64aeffd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11AM ET | 79,231,822 | 79,235,722 |
781635eb5828d25352e7c8ee396f4428da75839e | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xa7843c4f7d9a2ef8afb6108bc9fc88a19cad6198395f1d9d70461dec23916637 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12PM ET | 79,233,622 | 79,237,222 |
2fba47c91f2d384ab95b9d92cda5aeb832cf2c8b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xd455a372abb6699e160adf87cf68cc4e6ce9c527e1069786dbed12b2a0081173 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1PM ET | 79,235,422 | 79,238,722 |
fca84e1a9641d99237cfdfc232cd45d2fef33074 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x03af10fbacc2dde5f458d907b99b4cc7fd5697ea6c3ec5e6c5dfbad0b2111ce3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2PM ET | 79,237,222 | 79,240,822 |
caf0923d3b63505bf74aa05571b017e05ad56f61 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xa688d9f52374c38174b27890a31fbefb9fa3f3ee6b625829e379df960b876aba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3PM ET | 79,239,322 | 79,240,857 |
52b1a0ed344c80257b27c5ca0de83ea281b87303 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xcdd28cf46bb8848fa72e3fb9d8cded5b99bb7b342f293642d3bad0f61a8a66b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | up | 0.289943 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4PM ET | 79,240,822 | 79,242,363 |
bbe2c25fb21b9575f191734b252c59feb52d3d00 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x840b0d8309866b739f8afddf1d08a28fc14e7c8c8988aeb856120e4ea32ce66f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7PM ET | 79,246,222 | 79,249,822 |
c7fa7594f2420b6e704a7cee532a2bef3f708b19 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xf5ccf068a4541dac66170212956262749511219ac49d789e1fad9ff77c9245be | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8PM ET | 79,248,022 | 79,248,922 |
1ddcd6ca69df3617689ac5ebdebc4d6a98b4808c | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xb4cccccbb1fc1b7e25cdba525a34a8526339be0f1f1043a53354361fc0d09fed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9PM ET | 79,249,822 | 79,253,722 |
1574a32de701a556358fa4963dc218005f08d6da | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xf82d2b8ed79e53dbff565bc883d4135477d4a6c6f8cce28069dc747a5e04cfe7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10PM ET | 79,251,622 | 79,255,222 |
50f494214c860ee31ef4a129c975d5b4c798cad1 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xca2ec2787951bad51970f6b51ccdaaca81d2cec5aa03f51d615736a66d17dd75 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11PM ET | 79,253,422 | 79,257,022 |
d2aaa988e202ce0b77c74eecf80ac858f0d3ca24 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xfa9c38573de9cf5ff3a02aa6840593cd5ece8e21e0a895aaba1e4d32cdcd84e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET | 79,255,522 | 79,258,822 |
4ccaf854815e1e1223df659a8cfc190dabf89d2a | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x16faf9de2f526322ddab62e5fdc6ebf20ae26d7343a6354d9ab8a279e3bce639 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1AM ET | 79,257,022 | 79,260,622 |
53281f05a0822368f3a3002bcf147657b5c043e6 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x02f734e5b7b250aed25906fadc4d18ad0818126bd0ea8163b2a7fa865339de1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2AM ET | 79,258,822 | 79,262,422 |
5081148bd57ff8bb7db69058c43bb08ddcd9ca4b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x6a1dca02e5016aba7a5fca318adc4e85d6706d689e44255ac7edadef2859fbc8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3AM ET | 79,260,622 | 79,264,997 |
22249ec942b063ac5aaf2ccd4bb5926a22214a1d | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0b09d5c1e8f012240fd6d2bbaf23a708f6edee830d7801243bdf71f2a3ac96a0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4AM ET | 79,263,022 | 79,267,350 |
62aa52131a2b0137e101a304a700ab623fef3f55 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xe2e7ca1ea815074853b07fdc6e16e8e5c7f887842bf24ca8d49b85eb652ef600 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5AM ET | 79,264,997 | 79,270,598 |
22fb11da399bf5daf43f962666a9f3bc0d0c1d18 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xaa38129438caaf5e8ee477e05a108d1be05352cd92cc2180d9b1066ce6d33792 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8AM ET | 79,270,598 | 79,273,955 |
8db87b5de0819da13d53ce1cfb93d0a565ad61ff | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x760f08d44f85831467065434e40dbc55c95d77ebb057a082e208288cf2c2f4be | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10AM ET | 79,274,555 | 79,276,655 |
96c9d24754227a62dceb7616d84b1756ededa005 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x4346210fe50033b2510b74836be4acaa8a17158c29f7058ce83bd8ce8ca6252d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12PM ET | 79,276,655 | 79,280,256 |
b7cef1ed0739412d4d4a1b3661754a2c218013d9 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5b3900279301b12b9b1742db203cd417d5b14876b90c5ce129ba25672e9e3fe2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-18-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2PM ET | 79,280,555 | 79,284,155 |
3ca9874ebe0a5c62e7e5914619f8d11d07a48aff | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xcd8ae0947b44838e6030b65f14c4a099fc675354098a598897cce7d2c380aff2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.665871647158111
3. Question: Bitcoin Up ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ET | 79,282,356 | 79,285,955 |
b53cddc8cffc7b7526d148f5e4db1cafad27b54b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xa4be9729e36aec3f83d01b9801de11e33ba0d8a738404833b2736b9c8d738f2f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.665871647158111
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4PM ET | 79,283,855 | 79,285,355 |
f68c947b19675e481cdda3ef813330aa9ef8f8ae | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x47941441c3cdaf4f2e75d858d629af724e38bf9b1089a2eb2b333f002886302e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5PM ET | 79,285,955 | 79,287,156 |
3d8856839075216fa612750c6ccb9dbbd5caa811 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x2e056eab92389c5000507642877ffcd7ae287731028954d1d8ef072e78493b6f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0.883597 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 6PM ET | 79,287,455 | 79,287,455 |
3bd142d97d8d82cf2c595031b0dd8c0d9680b965 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1be61f5e18c07e29269aa285c8aca77b1a01cb43e9799089af0761894dd49634 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-7pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7PM ET | 79,289,255 | 79,293,455 |
5552422969f444dcd0c943ac287b0e0c3ea2302a | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1b107c23dcf7fd212d91c4004512c04ecd26a847d7bdf636174eae7f87fe4331 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-9pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9PM ET | 79,293,155 | 79,296,755 |
1f26cabd435156708102e7ef8c7e0a4296b1c577 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xf9cefc9e7d645c5d9dbf3e3bf33ea6e759886ed3f59207b0a588a31d4b036922 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10PM ET | 79,294,655 | 79,299,156 |
a12888ea9fdd58e9d49f23179c0000bcdd1944f8 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x42dc093dfcdd9ba2962baab1bb5de6c7209b14ed5d3d1f7d19dec12c14cbb489 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12AM ET | 79,298,555 | 79,302,455 |
e1a74f3b506f026e2e6d811d383c258dfaa80ac1 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xbb6d43cc8de8b9e70053910bcb1828b2cd59ff0977a65f224b11e055e8087048 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1AM ET | 79,300,355 | 79,303,655 |
0237334688f6104b2c3a4606b218f75c2c2f1e69 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x378e873200822e16c893bba19fd331d726eb97944b1a2d60183c7da6d34acfc7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | up | 0.579547 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-11pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11PM ET | 79,300,955 | 79,300,955 |
8a05efae48b7e36ff6220a26ab7d18d45a8466c5 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x98cfa06390f038596167d576035d4637333bf1a292f814268f4a71388aeac1bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2AM ET | 79,302,156 | 79,305,767 |
7966a42d9a6bbc8729e304dec2801e248263b8ce | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1021396856abe06b11c047dfd4126d1ba8df407a8ff3d3412fb2d027ba08f25f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 1PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3AM ET | 79,303,655 | 79,307,548 |
43a4330ac776ac3380ce683ab32187d97830f32e | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x2126f84ba8f2f6a0a84dbedc24d7cef86f1a74a3187a13145dc9e6a0d3915fe2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET | 79,305,767 | 79,306,967 |
d11f8d947f725f6dd7a8ab99aac1c44c9617948b | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1c12c011fd646f29deada488f5bb7372fd2a63f0e2ff8f119f22c0c54d9b077c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2899429840453101
3. Question: Bitcoin Up o... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5AM ET | 79,307,548 | 79,311,148 |
540ad0980de117e27b2df3280e46795e0b80aadb | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x960dc393c975012c5ed955c62453d6cd909230f845669a50ea1082d8a08cf359 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2899429840453101
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up o... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET | 79,309,047 | 79,312,647 |
9306d4b9c21120ae6ccd71d8446784164dcb7b3c | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x58838a198518aa725cb802d17d916490f429a1e420f81e29e793b304c7a3cfd9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7AM ET | 79,310,847 | 79,314,748 |
cdfc94d50f63865a4097601ab72f931d641a8e50 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x2654373ae5ab86bc59e17c5b0f3324689522b9b119c0738b9a5370b8d6c311fe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET | 79,312,647 | 79,316,547 |
81f85609e103ee6aca6a0b168f69bad3164f8600 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x6c29a2488769bf01675a2a5988f45c3943949f814c9403b24e4d11706cc0cac4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET | 79,314,748 | 79,318,347 |
7ea83d92d5d8d8d03eb8a005f91d96e3a6d933b5 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xb8d81dc6ee00437936876b4c40a76e4bfa7dce459aa4a868a55dccde37fd8082 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ET | 79,316,247 | 79,320,205 |
139180bdf7432a3340c09de5ff976fbb7f599093 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5e4d141ae11cd480dbb8b10f39cace35afd16af4546a3ef1259bda0bbdddeb8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-19-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11AM ET | 79,318,048 | 79,322,005 |
18f95927e0c403afc6ee37e5ee27c622b559fe96 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5ff1b41b07b8ed73c0e61141c00ea2a3b53813318672623cfbdf5f15a3424fc8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12PM ET | 79,320,205 | 79,324,105 |
67ad412389e81eed666dd96faca33a7a355b9f67 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0651b71cd32772fc552e350598c192c68918ada2b1cec7905a6e84b278f167a1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1PM ET | 79,321,705 | 79,325,305 |
ff9d990eb66b92e00c2b8088eef2259029c4fd56 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x995b5cc83a3985289ce42edfaefbde7a048f69128e7ceaf10393000845ae8b6e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2PM ET | 79,323,805 | 79,327,405 |
06ad67804ce12ad9890b982f3fbbac27d6fa31ec | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xdc5b6922c1dccb77b3389f57d5592258ddfd2a4f88a353361de77a42b34a5e97 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3PM ET | 79,325,605 | 79,329,205 |
c3f813118f601b34f52f463c19ad9bb38b837cf8 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xe17040433c16011c66144182f91e2c3e7bf7106338aecd08466cc52f2bbf3036 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4PM ET | 79,327,105 | 79,331,305 |
3ce18f77391d949e6be5f38f5f1d800e5395207c | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x272e8c51654b52047f054b77c127f277fb41fdea0082e615113900cc4586aab6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5PM ET | 79,328,905 | 79,332,805 |
cf10095d34f6255cfc7bad64ef01c4d8650feadc | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x7ea34ba4b0b1112c567a780c401bd6b3b007dd1bc5ecf4440f75e93f033ed812 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6PM ET | 79,330,705 | 79,331,905 |
5a2b93cbf2a1c37d8b6078d80d9ad5ed6bc583b1 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x6bb802ff99793d21358e0bb75e93e6dc532af186039c09e7594b6a51eb855a97 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-7pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7PM ET | 79,332,805 | 79,336,105 |
82d2095b02db991712251215bcf9adfaec5f46b7 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1db69a089bf6cadae40853b7d90d081c76b7b1ec9eff1547843064d94b817ba1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-8pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8PM ET | 79,334,305 | 79,335,505 |
f8195dff5ecf152cd5da528aa3766a86c94e76e5 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xfcb241d450cf6c44138ad029f49df776f67dbca9f9a2e9e19f529cee5b8b4be1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | up | 0.129138 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-10pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10PM ET | 79,338,205 | 79,339,405 |
ffa612cf4397d2a195458c9cbbffb87a2c8741d2 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x30dbea8709d21b5e3ff4ded15bd896997ee7fd009ee7c87b271a581086f9ccb7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1AM ET | 79,343,305 | 79,347,205 |
29c5043c84490b42b546192d017f8ad9aa55a178 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x41de32a5cd264d184cfe81c2a79530fe40845f66343e2d387ac560591a81b6e7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 2AM ET | 79,345,105 | 79,346,605 |
996d3f432f2737fac7fdc4cacd36e63436189337 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x51b2c5cdcb764e497bba630214444fd3efacce353a3102b7d735bac6645300d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.8835969503863726
3. Question: Bitcoin Up... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 3AM ET | 79,347,205 | 79,350,411 |
81096dfb4bfa3ecca4b144ad6db5b1993385c65d | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1d3f6b78ede38c89d87d41a17462a2bf320e165604f1850a73f5e86939f03a3f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.8835969503863726
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4AM ET | 79,348,705 | 79,352,538 |
9b7afd9a01f8ecccf00e41915f4b65e16121cf53 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0e03c97cf210812f9fca38e5150b8fc4fbf8df382ff1d10aa3a0cefcd430f351 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 5AM ET | 79,351,040 | 79,351,938 |
691a5469b301d879cddb14d9b6efcbf1d7a2ada1 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xb5d7c2cb6e533dd50854a5827ebe1c4949b59280ae9e3f771b734ca58bce8528 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6AM ET | 79,352,538 | 79,353,737 |
543eca2c4ac0f682b80e31f1c3b88a673da1c52a | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1e9c2f208a5535f743c27b6f99d4cc0af016956707cbfe8d8d40f95f3929aa21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 7AM ET | 79,354,337 | 79,357,937 |
d5f21a0cd1d4b6cb83109a82b19646189b9c62c7 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5601d7163d1160f11677c7a0effed7fb05a3da222b9f0fbdf479cd20521a0365 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 8AM ET | 79,356,137 | 79,360,037 |
bfa2fcd79e6e9c7925560d2b5fab4500a26446f4 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xc5f9e2952ce5817fca1862fe25e278d7b7d1592564dd3328dc9338140768f574 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-11pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5795467677002436
3. Question: Bitcoin Up... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 9AM ET | 79,357,637 | 79,361,537 |
fcf26b91004c0b2bcc856d1657b8911e4ea5ff88 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x3cba6771ba7e705c18e83a0c187e2ec67d3d67f7a7e55f23f2d02b43dd27be04 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-20-11pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5795467677002436
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 10AM ET | 79,360,037 | 79,360,637 |
176074a8bb49e8ea6476110536d65ca638cad843 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xd5e4d6e6723cf8fb09286a833a1e834249e85217132a6082aeec95f997661711 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 11AM ET | 79,361,537 | 79,362,437 |
52b4dffb13f51db3a46274c398d34c9fe02dbe2c | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x3987c37d30565bf7b05d9e570c5a2532c2e8d577b03753da105d486dfd1b1c1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 12PM ET | 79,363,337 | 79,366,937 |
85e4e5ddaaea8a3a08aeec5d10bb69612e7ac4ec | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x3c1e50c25756c1fdf40cdef3797c405989fcc5adaa383a09924a9f8bc1ddbb4b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 1PM ET | 79,365,137 | 79,368,737 |
d5a1543632804daa50c2ef735f75b40695684ebc | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xfb329b7006de9580301a9f9c05bf42071cc89477e15a3c09e2a76ff6457a25d5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 2PM ET | 79,366,637 | 79,370,537 |
56ce4354810a6b8f995eaf19aa87caa9fa63849d | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x5f7dbb71107ba145f0ecfec925dcc0cd2c889be37805448826b4afac344d17fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | up | 0.088821 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 3PM ET | 79,368,437 | 79,372,037 |
e65bb3087a5ffc9ea49f5084c6426f886ee656cd | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0dee6eeef5595c7290a1d76b44f065a33c113c16c4e9193d8843199eb708db8a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4PM ET | 79,370,237 | 79,374,437 |
45f2c924ca3d098e3c2b56c18e719660379c46d8 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x0d348a6143837c1b6965c86219b299c9f561e72477be608b61b9db1803d8f2ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Nove... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 5PM ET | 79,372,037 | 79,372,938 |
8d1e93f824d04e1b2f900ad8d78656b43990e4f2 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0xfcd16f9582ec506dbfa0a64ed1048adb1715a680460ecd920ad1cb271256a718 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - No... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6PM ET | 79,373,837 | 79,378,037 |
dde06eec1c16e6e9e28e55b689ed39697c4e01f5 | 0x1e75baf375ac3a352f7e7f4f18b16fa454bf305e | 0x1b4700d0bf8dd04482bafe36b99d753e7b82fde8eb37fb0fa80fc9dc42f073ff | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-november-21-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-november-22-7pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 7PM ET | 79,375,637 | 79,379,838 |
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