sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6618206b889dfde56020466cc15a0aa5fc7caf32 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x97e0140353a3441e025ded8a6b70a1072e89b8d9a1f8cc07a24e21e7d01f56fe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | bun-aug-bay-2025-08-30 | Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30? | 75,866,498 | 75,866,498 |
4db121a994e5ae25dcc7212e9cfafcbb847a178e | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xbb11174047be5619aea8ef41e8dd2f68c9da070b3495a149381db349ef78ed79 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | 75,866,498 | 75,866,498 |
452aad8bde442b000536b290678acaa5bb17af70 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xc7362bbaaaed3a7f023edc4b69854889a4e396ce2f669fbb92e57a290fd001f2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | epl-wol-eve-2025-08-30 | Will Everton win on 2025-08-30? | 75,866,498 | 75,866,498 |
5d0fecb37de06404b90209190f81c5256256a839 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xcdf985d595089f8686528cd128a027bb42264d905cd7e5782a43006de556d649 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | 75,866,498 | 75,866,498 |
2497731aec8e5ad17dbb7902b5b71e07efbd7f6f | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x7abc5404a419a5a331e2a743f20bdd0d12ff9f627969a0388f9231e9845e07f9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | mls-soccer-new-england-vs-charlotte-fc | MLS: Will New England beat Charlotte FC? | 75,869,298 | 75,869,298 |
f297921c50cabcffda8120213075860704ec8773 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x7f654b9f1be60b10914defcf37f1535da68c794a6c717a75efe5bd23dc498a56 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | yes | 1 | mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | MLS: Will Sporting KC beat Colorado? | 75,869,298 | 75,869,298 |
a557e6f6fc6df26c56ad6a81f034c5211db85365 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x864e7c3cb5b01f55fbd5aafb754cdad74d6d48aad94d8e6ff7bf2558ee41e886 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | MLS: Will Colorado beat Sporting KC? | 75,869,298 | 75,869,298 |
3a9bfa42b9b24ebdfc157935f7aa39e70ddd87e4 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xf81c2759a35cf4898390e72754ccd5fe06963f2a9210b2e5afb9172a0bfebead | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | mls-soccer-new-york-city-fc-vs-dc-united | MLS: Will New York City FC beat D.C. United? | 75,869,298 | 75,869,298 |
27c530f2ec28babf0f0824f86b003c87c1d4c4cd | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xdd8d4946a4e1d7d7cb7e26fe910bfca17e5ad1771fc977064e7c125a93ad7186 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 0.980198 | mls-soccer-nashville-sc-vs-atlanta-united | MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Atlanta United? | 75,869,298 | 75,897,581 |
bd2204ba8ead2748009ed675cd9e306a6e8bbfc8 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x50e71d63cc5c1129d8154d92783592777ec99a5d3904b3b4fd2b362223472aeb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | yes | 1 | epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31? | 75,890,113 | 75,890,113 |
497fc02d970fbc43aef09a18b294c8a8799b3969 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x66848f1c0f6968873b5ca4f2f6e1a48589833597c9584726f200a333004e5433 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | yes | 1 | epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | 75,890,113 | 75,890,113 |
b51e2170539beec7fa22e084540cd5167b742a3e | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x488b0e6289dae794d6d4faeeb51dc326a3cbf5f3651b8bda0a105085aac49b74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 1 | epl-liv-ars-2025-08-31 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | 75,894,405 | 75,894,405 |
fab512b444b72564811d634d1166ccc42b301762 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x218f7e2ee10dde16a828ab0cb9b809ebd2471ea54c687ceaced14c4eec9a7ffb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-wer-b04-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-0... | no | 0.755772 | epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | 75,894,405 | 75,897,578 |
f3eac717e1d8b4594cdf316315f280ff21999451 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x797a4af3d4f9ab5a5c3bb640c1410edc7f7e248def19b766afce32c698e7fcef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-nan-aja-2025-08-30 |... | no | 1 | lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31? | 75,897,567 | 75,897,567 |
9a78f3fe9ee9e09619de54df06ef07753c09ce9b | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x5deedb351655fcc87c4d493d6673f914a9b0e650a4d1582bf49d4fa82b9827c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-par-ata-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-nan-aja-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Como win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Choice: no... | no | 1 | sea-gen-juv-2025-08-31 | Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
b198e7bc5563e7752830a0f99f354da07d7beb79 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x8dfe73c062b42bc906c4b8af7a79826d31a5444f138005e0df5b228c41c4f597 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-nan-aja-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Como win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: n... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
8bd7f0f319cf6930e6ff832be28d23868b8bd4e7 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x94de4ea213bcda7cb8f28e34ee0cb3a9a90df8798b302d37e43d96e378ad9311 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Como win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
9583c6dfb3d38ac52bd024146202076daa65cf81 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xbe66509097a1c93489d555da67e8ddbcbb4ef1dcdbdd50cac8d1885db8e8e66b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
7652f8074842726ba67410813bcaa325ea176a7f | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xceaf1b629e0b9ff23d6caef361d2d4a04b65869e891fab03e13ddbd6d364ede3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-... | yes | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
6047653e5303cad9f95fa53977798c6a882490a1 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xf9dbfae17f61432d3c843a6265d6b001f62eee0a1e58ce3b5a5a0dd10ebd91d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-rea-mal-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30? | Eve... | no | 1 | lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | 75,897,578 | 75,897,578 |
65aa0f4f19571692c082ab5f5f1f34a019e4d05a | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x73b1de4ff353585b6bc2245fd53abb80272de73c89b9b26651f7354f132b5306 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-nap-cag-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-08-30? | Event:... | no | 1 | f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | 75,897,581 | 75,897,581 |
626e9b27099cae2a09be4d28f3994555645c3733 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x16431ff8b4ecc554845702eb77248cd637520dd3240bb2750d8b0a201690a3cb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-nap-cag-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-nap-cag-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice... | no | 1 | lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
579d421a72068955e885094e540e4f60fc59434f | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x3d9f1931699bb2eee49253beba0265cef104d3754dd0df531817ba0ff08695b1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-nap-cag-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 |... | yes | 1 | lal-esp-osa-2025-08-31 | Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
270923c310725ccf841356f43ffc8e77dce68ba3 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x4f1508ee7247e072bac23088dd9c2175f6cfba6e4ad1717e5888e529f954224c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event... | yes | 1 | fl1-lyo-olm-2025-08-31 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-08-31? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
f7e95b2af7160a769495a3e354a35555b3622e7a | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x64ac48d3359007d2551d4ec08771a504b4cf717b2d191513c0c9624b6a34b304 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1... | no | 1 | fl1-lyo-olm-2025-08-31 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-31? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
aa0b12bc2ac77c25a9a83c94b00689da1550b9ae | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x876939b0625e89c40c521289c58d84541bb7b15beabee53f34e34822bc120019 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | no | 1 | sea-int-udi-2025-08-31 | Will Inter win on 2025-08-31? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
6d9b1a0c42154c26ab4daebabf100c93976a786f | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x9ef6cf55fcab2d93e004461b6bd6db0eb974af92d560291612ed1278e47dba38 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will... | no | 1 | leagues-cup-winner | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 Leagues Cup? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
c8505bfd7221562c45ac6bc69c0bee193e36cad6 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xc7ae22c7e7f61d00161da2f3650440f3377000a6cc561882b5b05b775f27e657 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on ... | yes | 1 | leagues-cup-winner | Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2025 Leagues Cup? | 75,911,985 | 75,911,985 |
8f0a2a37f60e3f634b5c23113591686f41370869 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x20033dd4e9bbd7c5f779ef1222c9a7d02e5abed5398103c9475b34962dbf3af3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: fl1-tou-psg-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-aug-bay-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-aug-b... | no | 1 | lal-cel-vil-2025-08-31 | Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-31? | 75,920,822 | 75,920,822 |
5cf95b8c068f570427edc42c2aa17ce04dd6f7c6 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x9666b0f6276b182fadf1ef3a7a99adbde2f20ab783f714731a87e1791f7d68a8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-aug-bay-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-aug-bay-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Eve... | no | 1 | fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31? | 75,920,822 | 75,920,822 |
27c64efa0212e4f417daf084107faee693002965 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x231a4db4db40ef3f13f6a129a45b1eb7c55fc8d5437461a887f9e55db6b3f560 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-30? | Event: bun-aug-bay-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-08-30? ... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-w | Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open? | 75,945,892 | 75,945,892 |
6a13170d23b7c7e343504eba9d34bc5e33979262 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x1f5a9a0ba4c452ec9c4865cf2d37e8ae043f6de3540d472e5783e4a6f61a23ff | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-wol-eve-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dut... | no | 1 | epl-ast-cry-2025-08-31 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31? | 75,945,895 | 75,945,895 |
f661ce68943b5e43333bbe5a5cc47e6564249960 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x72fd3143bc9dc343dc4268b1504e0586a1ebe626a30155f7bcd43705a220b467 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-wol-eve-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: MLS: Will New England beat Charlotte FC?... | yes | 1 | fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-31? | 75,945,895 | 75,945,895 |
1945ef8dea25debfdf4f0ed28f5b4b3a63ab7b02 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x634d16c2f3579a1c1d96b40b2856ec646462c8895ff831fad498e4758dc7911a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will New England beat Charlotte FC? | Event: mls-soccer-new-england-vs-charlotte-fc | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: MLS: Will Sport... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-w | Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,613 | 76,193,613 |
2ba816e82b6e0c50d3f4db054197889c826c8ccf | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x9df72373ccd6e0a23e26d0d66b4b34000b48fb6e4d5008dd7afd17e69fe3e3bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will New England beat Charlotte FC? | Event: mls-soccer-new-england-vs-charlotte-fc | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will Sporting KC beat Colorado? | Event: mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: MLS: Will Colorado beat Sporting K... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-m | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,613 | 76,193,613 |
c88615a8feea7ca6bb83e2ef09165885929d00fb | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xc658e1257f4adae79aa786e925b3728f4e8e1d255081a2e13572c2ad69cf2318 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will Sporting KC beat Colorado? | Event: mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will Colorado beat Sporting KC? | Event: mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: MLS: Will New York City FC beat D.C. Unite... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-m | Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,613 | 76,193,613 |
20286d9ba204d3bedddb54b364c08d2a7484bb35 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xfdc8b631bbb243f2e09c5b3bef58e46f90feaf66331ceb2ce57709c8148ff9a9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will Colorado beat Sporting KC? | Event: mls-soccer-sporting-kc-vs-colorado | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will New York City FC beat D.C. United? | Event: mls-soccer-new-york-city-fc-vs-dc-united | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: MLS: Will Nashville SC beat A... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-m | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,613 | 76,193,613 |
0a9c4e872d0beb891cecf962a0fe75d408ac3dbc | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x078608e7b85be2a182ce9285e01a7166b00f1e0ba1a9a822a43df73fc53c6c8b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will New York City FC beat D.C. United? | Event: mls-soccer-new-york-city-fc-vs-dc-united | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Atlanta United? | Event: mls-soccer-nashville-sc-vs-atlanta-united | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9801980198019802
3. Question: ... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-w | Will Naomi Osaka win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,617 | 76,193,617 |
d72557ecefdf4111c45ecd21cb7a67cddf2c74b9 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x14402dc8dc30d1514d66a7e5bdcb111acc423e08ba6deca7f09f532633da843a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: MLS: Will Nashville SC beat Atlanta United? | Event: mls-soccer-nashville-sc-vs-atlanta-united | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.9801980198019802
2. Question: Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-08-... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-w | Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,617 | 76,193,617 |
ff96dd6776030d6c59d72a85347b3f55150f24ce | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xa3ee9add6676a7eec77ec7245f25e3ad58d86321ececdc946e72a0c3548d6485 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-liv-ars-2025-08-31 | Choice:... | yes | 1 | 2025-us-open-winner-w | Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2025 US Open? | 76,193,617 | 76,193,617 |
ff910f61e9e4e78ee80ceea61a30c7bf23527658 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x24a430c1585cd467f8e20c3d10bc2cd4a1487bdd6497c2d9c1304d2fa61ec614 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-liv-ars-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | C... | yes | 1 | caf-eqg-tun-2025-09-08 | Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
45a57bccef540cdda4b2564e64e11892ec7d2e7e | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x3742709e5cf7ee5b91609f866a33d0ce5fdaecedd45ec9dcfec154f61c50d04f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-liv-ars-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.7557721007813186
3. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bi... | no | 1 | caf-gbi-dji-2025-09-08 | Will Guinea-Bissau win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
fe63541ded2fcb2fad7ba7d78bc54dd64692b614 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x3a57b2d2a179aef429258c049beae895f499ed18745bedd0dfc6ff0d3e9579e0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-bri-mac-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.7557721007813186
2. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31? | Event: sea-gen-j... | yes | 1 | caf-eqg-tun-2025-09-08 | Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
5a321afbc39a627bac9352443e769b437bc7e787 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x55b954da72336ce76b3b9ac96e9fad56b23779495ecfd94ecba65bca940e9b6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31? | Event: sea-gen-juv-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-g... | no | 1 | caf-eqg-tun-2025-09-08 | Will Tunisia win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
9c3e0ba01fafb336937057898ceeb58b1a6bbf1c | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x5f276ef41786c40698c10f1b6ea0c7fd9a5156a07a4867f980d3ff85518811fe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31? | Event: sea-gen-juv-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand ... | no | 1 | caf-moz-bot-2025-09-08 | Will Mozambique win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
bbd975c94b7af2a23ebe4a98194663df9b63d5f1 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x7c3cc8dccb1c18a2df6806d8b6246f9c58c1ca893d220ebbb360643ac9c9c8a6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will George Russell wi... | yes | 1 | caf-moz-bot-2025-09-08 | Will Botswana win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
4037a778538422192a059e5d9d72c27bf550e978 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0x946a9ef6503ca1d841ccfa5e39d2b6e0d1ee95ba855da0c22c741b0a73183bc1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton wi... | no | 1 | caf-zam-mar-2025-09-08 | Will Morocco win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
0fae7fbe7112fd75803b4e48e3caaa5a408a5936 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xa5314a8ff9e9c1a503d94dab130700e88e2c66686277d82dde27950030569b18 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Athletic Club win ... | yes | 1 | caf-zam-mar-2025-09-08 | Will Zambia vs. Morocco end in a draw? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
8ee80b287ecf4c10e293c2857b54fef7cc2d9767 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xc60371880c5430d141fe9450eb20237891a15adadf55f164e8cacccf01113af4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Gra... | yes | 1 | caf-gui-alg-2025-09-08 | Will Guinea win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,316 | 76,220,316 |
f65fb817bb087e243bfa0c4a284f1f38b99d2191 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xf97bb86870f896ce3ef62434663282c6855d2a51d9f2769510b3085b5b29dbe7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal... | yes | 1 | caf-mal-lbr-2025-09-08 | Will Liberia win on 2025-09-08? | 76,220,318 | 76,220,318 |
d682ff9507cce68d88d23aabf4dc154591fdfcd4 | 0x1e86f548d8bb9a9d106583621e45eafb5b4f93c2 | 0xfa4949ec68121d7cc25df2e725ec693567a721a9d640cdf3feefb4bdf87109ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | Event: f1-dutch-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-esp-... | yes | 1 | caf-gbi-dji-2025-09-08 | Will Guinea-Bissau vs. Djibouti end in a draw? | 76,220,318 | 76,220,318 |
a3904191e713636e698113bb0762420f97d3289f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x7797bca321ba926a61d4c129b7efee9699a9542aedfe6f92bb64fe7cfa065498 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11?
Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | 77,604,690 | 77,604,690 |
37669ca5ea3d043ea21848745b98d5cb80d9b94f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x33671e6d3d56cd921ac14e3a1adf1722a4f8459c9280aacbe847af336105cf38 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice"... | yes | 1 | lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | 77,871,678 | 77,871,678 |
d2181d5cbfc5501652a546a1ccdba229d4ec4ec6 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xfcbd8e827344d768bacc591a8b0b15958c2acb3a5fff1c6b709479943ea51b10 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18?
Event: a... | yes | 1 | arg-tal-riv-2025-10-18 | Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | 77,918,525 | 77,918,525 |
75720ca04d5fc484801a96abcc3014626749bdec | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x8f01a558f32d1f48c94045e1f280d74e24e00c82163028b41ca23d42f04d94ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22? | 78,039,834 | 78,039,834 |
bca221dbc250220d04b1e7a7e108b67ad8773e5c | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xae2030bb7ffb4c4668ef2ea9e6afd9fdb0ea6f10ee6b95a11ed340f51956149b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | ucl-asm-tot-2025-10-22 | Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | 78,039,834 | 78,039,834 |
07ede44378a5e49d3a0050f6d5fa7422b1db89f1 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xfa6a142bd5a90179c48ae9084a3e360c01675508ae8bd58bb94071ed4b60c477 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | uel-lyo1-bas1-2025-10-23 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23? | 78,076,343 | 78,076,343 |
16bf20e8b3c67aec5ccf12b3a22823eb72ba455f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x87cc8578ed4be3115268bece3d7342ded5a1a00c7c9f59acb95c897be2e621d1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | uel-fey1-pao2-2025-10-23 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23? | 78,083,213 | 78,083,213 |
0daf0489ac5d92fdc6c244b2d8fde69446e43e71 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xdc1d753966fd64f52a73288580acb60e3ea8c93d7f5fa6a4f6dadb241765f2fa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | mex-jua-pue-2025-10-24 | Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw? | 78,151,049 | 78,151,049 |
3389c3eb854240df6419b78c75bdcdd6cca3daaf | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x2db5cda59a82c59bc42e3a3ff1020613b231136b15d21a7f9a741fe5e2aa4d30 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | 78,252,229 | 78,252,229 |
3f4297fc119a5b85d54e57c0e3920e8a893d044d | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xc86c9de14ef1bf804854762eb62df3f4d67dd74ccce4d4433341b4e52148b59d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | sea-rom-par-2025-10-29 | Will Parma win on 2025-10-29? | 78,337,872 | 78,337,872 |
2c55b90abd863d16bce1c74315301e2255aee1c9 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xecfc8896367a06d99f81e7bd5c6468a909629aad37046897796692b04e34acf7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-29? | 78,342,300 | 78,342,300 |
3b6809736b9e6913d95d1edc9579e8145f3a4df3 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x45166f6b87ff825c971c525fa66f315efa25c1ef09ca33ebfebc925154272453 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | nor-ffk-kbk-2025-11-02 | Will Kristiansund BK win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
a5169d6109ccd4889b9a2bbc5e42e45d975f3266 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x617458741c0a2f568b12b3d72a98d96827ed4330773bac45fc891aa9886c597d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | lal-bar-elc-2025-11-02 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
67ff7d60426817da6b01a9ee5ec2fcb3b723e684 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xb27eeec48a810e3e7b76caf4e1b1864d326f6e8061ded3fd1a40a66813e42c6d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | nor-tro-sar-2025-11-02 | Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
aa32777f4ab1be080e50e4a6eeef90f5c321d48d | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xd77aeab4e3a0dcca1a1bbab1888333ca072e98cff0227d45a103d1e35406fc41 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | efa-gai-ast1-2025-11-02 | Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
e3a974ace01d0d229489bbd3de67daa7ef06539c | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xd8cd99f1c50d0fb835dc151898747f7464b6c3398ff04dd12323d15fc321a342 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | epl-mac-bou-2025-11-02 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
d5d34789f9f9ba15a9343629e91d5bdde54f1320 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xef152e0801414fe1709ed6a85997b728b202caa88f49196b87c0511541f197f1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | sea-mil-rom-2025-11-02 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
3994557c317371752f447e7bac51c730c74b0483 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xf4570fb72a52f9afae337bd72b609a5f341ce6ece90156b30bfe32e9509162e7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | arg-est-boc-2025-11-02 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
0cd2d7171202b15737f989490f58d6a7162e12b0 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xfbcc6e58703681819f2c9d2b42eafb9632f059fa9ac2a40af780c2069f2fc611 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | lal-bet-mal-2025-11-02 | Will Mallorca win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,693 | 78,517,693 |
4ae085f2c53f29744cfbad606913337b14625067 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x056e76932b9e8581064ae928345011ef7014786ea72eae82a3b5ca325f0abc78 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | fl1-lil-ang-2025-11-02 | Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,699 | 78,517,699 |
1e222448502dc685531e499a809bd233f0c11f5f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x20c9f8c73f099af0329b25892f1cd08a297015329856efea5cbe9ea6ee444a8c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | fl1-tou-hac-2025-11-02 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,699 | 78,517,699 |
0ed7cc7d482a03968a0d01a6eaee21eb79e784c6 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x75cd893bbea1ff0f2523b83b14546fb91b830628c7c9016d2b611450dcd08476 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | mex-pum-tij-2025-11-02 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,699 | 78,517,699 |
099ed524c17484238adaad3ec0baeca8cd60c4ef | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xf7cb08b40cfd0563e18858275c48b3f99bd81a1a6ecbff53e2b3310ad5ca9d03 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | arg-god-sms-2025-11-02 | Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,699 | 78,517,699 |
5d08b919c8e1adb703d0023b96216725f24b5deb | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xf91034e124dca154c5082f30dc4524340217ea8ec3e51786edb1e180096495e0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | fl1-rcl-lor-2025-11-02 | Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-02? | 78,517,699 | 78,517,699 |
6c770624f2da8050c7c036a8ef72057e122b368f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0xa0b29024a20dbf3f7a07a00fd42254d716ca041c28720b0ebfd1da224dbd5a09 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | por-por-scb-2025-11-02 | Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-02? | 78,549,517 | 78,549,517 |
41196b4c769bf671143d2a37ca4c5ca084c1929b | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x4b23d6abbcb178ef88c2145bb271a83664cd44309caf97fd4c0295c933248d3e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | yes | 1 | arg-pla-cas-2025-11-03 | Will CA Platense vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw? | 78,565,476 | 78,565,476 |
32a3f3147cf089c94fdd26d013aa8f80fb60a0b3 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x36b322134eb70b9097ae76376a433fd6b8a69a41f25a83d3c238a872592fc01d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | elc-bir-mil-2025-11-04 | Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
dccf428df394ff6a7831ff6cf7858065eacec43f | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x53494d2b3023660fd1402e0209bc7e049a86dac8db9fd0390f98541cbc81ada4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | ucl-atm-usg-2025-11-04 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
f1d0dd80f5d0b369e397128bf57d5f9ea9b010e4 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x67a8db6d3806590b6d959e7b575cd9184334389057660758ec470051c54a42c7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | ucl-tot-kob-2025-11-04 | Will FC København win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
9a50b3cb232bbb9819fb5e51bcdc6429879067b3 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x8b49262fc89b1185dfc9c88603e78cd120ba892cc688991f2440b5abda2bac9e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | ucl-juv-spo-2025-11-04 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
a0897fd7dc429cb136d035943c611a30492424dc | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x95fc439152db2146c17f44a752749e1d2963d7cfe9ab66d727d44717f7ada31e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-10-11? | Event: fif-mex-col-2025-10-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-... | no | 1 | ucl-oly-psv-2025-11-04 | Will PSV win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
409497c38af79a76fdbeefcb6a505aaeba21a731 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x9696eac9c7513d62f4da136ea7714389da0808f4367521f824c530192bc30dcf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Real Betis end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-rm... | no | 1 | ucl-nap-fra-2025-11-04 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
546d8958c6271d00e0a122ccd9d5ada3296f1fd9 | 0x1e90632c91045d0e7879ca3fb4ef9d99e8836034 | 0x9896147542cd89184021d96a00681c957b93d4328d729fb4c75ed95420dc3ee3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA River Plate win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-tal-riv-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Monaco FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | E... | no | 1 | elc-lei-mid-2025-11-04 | Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-04? | 78,601,096 | 78,601,096 |
6f91abfafd5f8ab555b3d5db203754675097620f | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x2fca8e8e6225a5e45ae3231c6e6e4e5896aa4b2f1dd58fb94caa5e1a2e6a30b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | 73,829,647 | 73,829,647 |
0d427aca109cea7cb71d7f465a7027ba0e9ba364 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0xe2189c0d2f68d6be611f1f541ba7cd042a78e83ab24a92b9c9d6c6d293a0838f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?
Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the targe... | yes | 1 | psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | 73,829,714 | 73,829,714 |
0b000b2c39051441dd8e5ee7326a03c808d1c217 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0xcc00a9e2a84b802c24f0dcba4b6ebe1927371beb0b4feb0e07f0a0d52a88a7ad | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Lew... | no | 1 | f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | 73,835,068 | 73,835,068 |
2c200c04221cb856e26e08737ef2a220e5b0f32f | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x1262e08abc696142aba41afe8da9f7a9ffc3e08b1d4921c899712b42ae211fa6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Johann Zarco win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,130 | 73,937,130 |
134feb0c67f3f1e8589f9db2b56408fbbbfa595a | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x52b4ad2b7ea323a7d182958a898621c818f6b485f2d34d7d831e18ef5bfc0bf8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Fabio Di Giannantonio win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,132 | 73,937,132 |
c12de5d0068b3599082c3ebe058f784dad47a79b | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x7f269fb78139a0a03b2ba86eee312302614c165885862ca305945d8218a5d38c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | yes | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,135 | 73,937,135 |
ae07adf9d790a93c7c9cb074120f99cf5110bca0 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0xa4b6ec92f879c62189e3b4cc081d519a7ab46935c24d240b4dae0209e01e6c40 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Franco Morbidelli win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,138 | 73,937,138 |
940b586ab31418e3d911b7d5d3bf57c11a69d415 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x770cf3f607ea744a21e2adab83cd39d678f5fb748b9ba8a3d7f7df80c37e9f2b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Marco Bezzecchi win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,143 | 73,937,143 |
d9b89843eeac09614b82d88ae395e3904e2dd916 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0xf9f009add55a0d2d7664ca12797dace79e072484cb145d9fef2063553011f17c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Maverick Vinales win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,147 | 73,937,147 |
f95c04788dd93701647a57b6781db6c7cc292a89 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0xf4ad6750599de9042db9d25d97e2ea4114697b0cc7770e5442417e5c9dddc809 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Jorge Martin win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,150 | 73,937,150 |
294a7e582d368073166ae61d6074a6c3d7d900af | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x8dcb580823315e8059031a4129f4de0f25c3492baab2656171e8f0a8909c18d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-germany-grand-prix-winner | Will Alex Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP Germany? | 73,937,155 | 73,937,155 |
0e1aa034ae0124f5d4d950cb03f6cffbd4c120bf | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x10617b1cc282eb258006f297620a261751ca953711a16e31e772823be6b219f1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-czechia-grand-prix-winner | Will Joan Mir win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia? | 74,202,824 | 74,202,824 |
ca67c4fb7e1f8f2002a09eacde2f38bcd83437d9 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x1d5334f3f51b1e2156a830b1b4b9d18f7e7833e70a3d4995282503e7cb6aec0b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-czechia-grand-prix-winner | Will Johann Zarco win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia? | 74,202,824 | 74,202,824 |
c3a37156d7e87a1f1ac2a2c3818f5c6bdc08cfd4 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x4bfdc657bdb1616a0da85056cef9644f0b32f63dfe9dd7f8ba3c9e716e11f9af | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-czechia-grand-prix-winner | Will Fabio Quartararo win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia? | 74,202,824 | 74,202,824 |
700f5ab5da52f7741f1b903d00ab9c7465b2dde7 | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x6bbb72fadaccbd60ae4d872315ca4ebbf4c0b6a5f0f4e3c92cb4b013d81c4de1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | no | 1 | motogp-czechia-grand-prix-winner | Will Francesco Bagnaia win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia? | 74,202,824 | 74,202,824 |
2efd0c667123fe7a2be5d0ce530273ca5117cd6d | 0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06 | 0x72705f3c8c60ce24b20b778512b4333bdcec3b79a900b31e9dde5c2f18549b7d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time? | Event: psg-vs-real-madrid-regulation-time | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton w... | yes | 1 | motogp-czechia-grand-prix-winner | Will Marc Márquez win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia? | 74,202,824 | 74,202,824 |
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