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0x5752c2c12c47121f605afe76ac68d5fcc0624cf6832040b68f548bcc9d51d635
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9PM ET...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET
74,728,416
74,728,619
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0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET
74,728,880
74,728,880
4db3ca7f70dbefef1fb7ddfdc3db5044cfa20481
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xecdcdd82accc5be17cdcdc1ee16414d6039a262dec28e1dd7b9fd4a5670ad235
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-9pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET
74,729,760
74,753,442
3c1a75435f6e92ff852395e38af176ca579ec3a1
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xa39736c41161934ca2be4b8c1e6ea0b7103ae69002a14bf98a70b7c15d5a58fa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11PM E...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-9pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET
74,730,232
74,736,802
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0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
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train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12AM...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-august-2-9pm-et
Solana Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET
74,730,483
74,730,700
f385318f16573c6b239d87d3354e8ab8a1d69062
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xc1a3fe2c21046e0d596d124a136893278994fba944b1f8d83da99e601b1926d8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 11PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-21-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2A...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-august-2-11pm-et
XRP Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET
74,732,736
74,753,441
adeb4e04d6d9d3cbd9b30709ed29ed8f9bf9c6f4
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x0f13ecb906b92a72508b42b202c4ab34ae3f7c20065204331dfbe9a9e6be58b0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 12AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3AM ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-11pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET
74,733,009
74,735,879
c67f34e27a61e2d8e37b62abd01b1f3e79972410
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xf4ddd8a3d2db1f94ae2e7459b23bb0928f93d2b2547819305ab6e3b9432b84b8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 2AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11AM E...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-august-2-11pm-et
Solana Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET
74,733,022
74,753,445
f4daef630538b6aad85a19e34eae66ad31b29c94
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xd6e884e8dfe6cb5f8582fa679d427aa6f2947e85167c6f899351536703b070e1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-22-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-11pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET
74,733,072
74,753,442
0fcdc045b765ab28fd23ec8a4e62450e7d59b391
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x00e0203b561922deb212b74281481855fd4116267dec0f02d86d90a19a40c1cc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 4PM ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-3-12am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 12AM ET
74,734,729
74,753,445
eb1b87f18e42ba73fd53f2eee286e814871ff37d
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x60f7586b95892ed0305fa4207ab7ff3bb96dc209c50c1944e3e76f9582155864
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on July 30? | Eve...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-august-3-1am-et
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 1AM ET
74,736,271
74,737,349
c42f06546f525bbcb7e1048693db4556caea90f2
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x8a49e439a3db27ee49068d1e29a870c5858a4d0c0d199edd55bdd835f0cb6438
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-28-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on July 30? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8AM ET | Event:...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-7-2pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2PM ET
74,921,138
74,924,807
3842124b3aca3426e9f87490f25c82991bd551dd
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x4ba10c92ca3f93a7b73fb8a8a692e1f1a7f82b6cadce491e123d511c1d7f0686
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on July 30? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-july-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: xr...
up
0.000009
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-7-3pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3PM ET
74,922,108
74,922,833
8d10f07c879eb7bc810223c33dbac82e66b0ed6e
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x124f375945c8416c0e2e681a6528a868b4acde5fafdffff58f841db7785ba497
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Ev...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-7-4pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4PM ET
74,923,527
74,924,822
a0be8679d8d33d9fe3c370da3f711af2b54cd3b4
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x4793d6084ea812e6d72bd761d0cc098a962733a3cb3a897047ac36100d575365
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Event: ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-7-5pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 5PM ET
74,926,024
74,931,302
9fd1305908f292856eb828552a8a5c1ff47ca1ac
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xbc722322759803c74e43e8824c1781646718a1efc13c1484e42270204b941bd4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Ev...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-7-8pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8PM ET
74,931,503
74,932,225
dc91957e6032a9be11e9f961fdbbcf284377a658
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x1319f5ebb2be6abd41ed48f9399d358f417b01661246b62054dd71310b43aa36
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Eve...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-8-3am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3AM ET
74,942,745
75,009,799
7423b8f3a91b640add60ac29d500bcadc7e54af1
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xd6ac9f88f3007089581e4252dfaa6ed9cc7ea5e515a3f52fd03c8246da5a1ab3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-8-2am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 2AM ET
74,942,745
75,009,799
5639370f9b54321a64e8b89e75a6b77730b52448
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xd11794afe516f0e4607188683674a09704a83aab78711e7bebd8fbd723f4a1b2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Ev...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-9-7pm-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7PM ET
75,009,900
75,011,019
bc2522e374eb7d00578a4b1cd04b8b8cbac1f3a3
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xfe016c31ae24f5ca7d7c12e9265cd9085de34d4f4728873aa333e49b2562821b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Ev...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-9-7pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 7PM ET
75,010,191
75,011,273
32bf45373c339e76a8f1cc95f34c7335b8823960
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xadc6734b05eaccec9644f5fd6b69568fb4ed7d8541aab2264e51503173190bcd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-9-9pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 9PM ET
75,013,419
75,014,187
e9f091391fabe7c7b03fd06f56b1fbcea3cd328c
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xddca7d5fce796dd8ce32713a1692f5843e430dd1893da629d87d463b740eb619
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 1, 9PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-1-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-9-10pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 10PM ET
75,014,916
75,017,990
add3ea3ec985aa9635221dcb9b9a1c5e6e5a6d33
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x96b0a451e4a158980386f51be1409b47fde1d3d0c2e7b89553d03ad0cd694557
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-1-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-9-11pm-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 11PM ET
75,017,007
75,021,604
21abc9fb4ff2a607064a64f0b4e4528ca936d54c
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x151dbf34326d9bc19ec3e936d22a2f2cf5a7630c4c3f1bc7ef24682e8907636c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 3AM E...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-10-12am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12AM ET
75,019,012
75,021,604
c25fc063c8eb91ee9cc959f394deac47d5039296
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x01b5d7cc8b79b24e8814e5aaaa08e234187a998ddd5d1ca9ea746afd7414b539
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | E...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-10-1am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1AM ET
75,019,841
75,023,053
27f94c49610a2e008f4152f9dd548d32f3f80665
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x65e8afba12ea64e72ab49520b3d219e9ee2f61d2b950cb79e7118150d8efd748
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | Event:...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-10-1am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1AM ET
75,020,589
75,025,003
932c5eb35a44c2d7315dc4387d4a399c95e00705
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xc20fbcbad158c22648d98c6b3163b48196d5ecd939544f6748643dbb7d679be1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 3AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-10-2am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 2AM ET
75,021,747
75,026,023
8768b871d4fa45101a86fb331b85f53f8659dfe5
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0x8fd98e9d0a6361ea7fad3249cd2495aaa8002b55a3d973432371dd833fa8fa57
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Even...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-10-3am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 3AM ET
75,023,633
75,023,747
f9278593707d8924f15d48fed510c18236bd152b
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xedebe8d6635dd980795cf7acd54ac5a171fdc6f108fdcc15eb208b72bc05720b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-10-3am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3AM ET
75,023,968
75,025,003
5338170304d361ec9b0281fa4e098c5301001257
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xd3ac840b740c4e7108533a81eb78c9c4037313a4444186d8727b98deece48ecb
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET ...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-august-10-4am-et
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4AM ET
75,025,003
75,060,567
2b3367676a493af4c43c4e868ae27698c6c9d020
0x1fc35691b5b97e88cd8453965f8d6096a8c26cfc
0xfc3a2a285bf707efe6ecc2b866c4622047084fdad1ece2bdefb22a2e30c13cf0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-august-2-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 9PM...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-august-10-4am-et
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 4AM ET
75,025,078
75,060,567
9d6c8740e54435c33b0e0c559c33df20a13fc0ca
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x271bf355bc7ba3bfe3470c864f41c89e333ffdcdbf1e490b60e29acc29ce779e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
yes
1
sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26
Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?
78,225,577
78,225,577
c07b1162e1555e6b3e358dca14555c1d1750d3c9
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xedc86df2caed7e4d0ab02cd01ec45c550d730a496a150eb045f6221fcb6e4301
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ......
yes
1
sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26?
78,225,578
78,225,578
6077e6e63378e7709ae6ee6aa61d8e63110dcb73
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6ebca0b4d66c3e1e46e95e03d021419c37395f233361307397dbf8a6fd178856
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? Event: la...
yes
1
lal-osa-cel-2025-10-26
Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?
78,225,581
78,225,581
b4d6f9e49fa1f26f64bf0904b2acc67ad093faab
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x87d8a730753893a529b4f17a89518c35d8184ec561ff84d9e4d36e5650f713b9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
fl1-lyo-str-2025-10-26
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
78,225,581
78,225,581
3956302b30ebcdc42a0b44d18671a3e7dd9974a5
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xf0d252dc79ec66d9d5f0ebb9c8482681e6e7992b5a02c3cc7d66b1d39c50d3ba
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?
78,225,601
78,225,601
8b05c3368f4d112995fa79e04c9f8625b89edad6
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc421a47d9b4f056d5a9b081a7526af0389e0c5f206a3cbdb33ab130204a0585e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26
Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
78,225,627
78,225,627
d49855eb8dd185c848e839b7f1bb90305888ef24
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x8922d9e4111ef9531075ade8d84addd87bf9996e9e5807a9db3064250c427459
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
lal-ray-ala-2025-10-26
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26?
78,225,908
78,225,908
8e68a311c21dd4bec671c3252c6396405a52ff98
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x4e1c130ea05c0beb25bc5f7e1ced0359651b9abeac000529709aa96e17d80435
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26
Will Everton win on 2025-10-26?
78,225,982
78,225,982
5c0f19c81abd919189ee4c3064ed22e92342fc01
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc4d9ab16ee2ae5aba27a02ab3d135d67acfeb042d547356376ad86f90f52d3ed
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26?
78,225,982
78,225,982
f5f804e42cd6400138be28a69f1a1974aa9da765
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x81ec52ea8e2310097b9e671ff087a2809193281736b55e26edd6a8247149c8d9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
aus-mac-ade-2025-10-27
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27?
78,232,944
78,232,944
35a36335bef501477f03e7e2e082e199a05c9dcd
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xbee1056f1b7baf74b6de84e7609684dffd1eb0b966a8a859804f22bdb0091b53
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
no
0.371459
efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,235,002
78,340,766
e72093bec0befdf5b956fe47e8cebec98558e459
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xcb400553eb2c4110d1bdc74bffb0c81f5069f81c91f8f342cdfa2c510e29661b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
jazz
0
nba-phx-uta-2025-10-28
Suns vs. Jazz
78,239,172
78,239,172
43de2884a0c161c793c02025015794fdc4741ff2
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xfe96b81152abf34035302b4c337abbf8417c1e8fc7b31478c398b3da814240e3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
0.00063
den-ode-bro-2025-10-27
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27?
78,240,197
78,240,197
268963c589b5b2378572c17b701c4fc4f45d2846
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xf930da5d3e9114b0d5f69e0d84d529833857acf31ec21671de6ed74e583a0d7b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
celtics
0
nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28
Celtics vs. Pelicans
78,241,625
78,241,625
8326e3f0c4852f6a3d12112b2c1aef5373926b4b
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc9c7727c92733687a4ae198859e0f933578d230cec5aaf3b10906dac7b72463c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27
Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Sochi end in a draw?
78,248,574
78,248,574
8b35858b6bf19f8d82b5f77aab0126d3688cc04f
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x4700356ee372c04823bf4350a4fa16271cecf19775c246c1cfe660296ac3c99d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
no
1
rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27
Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2025-10-27?
78,248,613
78,248,613
4e43e5c9be00189a30c277f9da750b9513fb08ca
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x19b7b8653bc9b155667844a7b9b4334fdbd926723b8757fb25191d789150a862
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
78,248,854
78,248,854
52970e483dd3c0e6ffe7c2da3422c077e1efd96d
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x2db5cda59a82c59bc42e3a3ff1020613b231136b15d21a7f9a741fe5e2aa4d30
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
no
1
tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?
78,248,895
78,248,895
8613d1096f7dae73e7b5bd4c81a0efe7ef496f4d
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x93449e1801e4f5e5aa17cdc32ec311f9c6abdb2d0bd84de102b69e5961758c56
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27?
78,248,977
78,248,977
f6674b5db352474a98a4180d0dc938360f84658e
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x0f3fcf213aad886400898482ed316da647cf80681c2afb7ce04ea43e9dd8f35f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
no
1
tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27?
78,249,018
78,249,018
d90225a5fb6d029b56209aa623a321a5d2581873
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x95fcfcfcdc39d1a625909d603b8aa23896a02d58f57642b783542a78f0046e02
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
den-ode-bro-2025-10-27
Will Odense BK win on 2025-10-27?
78,251,331
78,251,331
582ee0f9c1b922da53699828bde55f00f17fe711
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x3d39d9321a8c4531c50f41f5bc2320cbfcc6694bce63d0430406baf249f04e75
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?
78,254,568
78,254,568
89aab0cbac3ff2c0936673aa4d42fb048736ce50
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc3e184df47498c57139892d9ebd7ff1bdca29c80d4298211d1e13d75e4bf6726
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27?
78,254,568
78,254,568
d4b826ece0a6b9710a1c6a6ff07b7ab08581b8f5
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xca78e9f42e78f31d8e61cc3ca2a4cd0a0941e8a7f07c166e1413cb4a3251abb1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
no
1
por-mor-por-2025-10-27
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?
78,255,208
78,255,208
65b25b3caa7a0f8e29e249864ade4f4b68e719b0
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x0f4b22073340facc7fc32de984192adf9afbbd8f3aedc6331dc9a9feb4d683f2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
78,259,547
78,259,547
e28f9426216a9def58be4cdd651f0b18abc619d8
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x61cba34d92474b5a5aeb87967f964e3ee57a252e1c6a9debb520fa82a58b3664
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27?
78,259,589
78,259,589
3e4f4ec856564d3bc75d8c741ac70faa4eb8a8b3
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6e1cb648bf2370d6d8f18606d344466f5d349558ebc4bf5c0d885dddc926f5c3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
clippers
0
nba-lac-gsw-2025-10-29
Clippers vs. Warriors
78,260,959
78,309,106
6c8cb8fd69ab79d3c101b44753fdc16b26036753
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6fa5615115b7a42c1a85fbf708ed86b567d32cf7663f7529702148109d954c4a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
magic
0
nba-orl-det-2025-10-29
Magic vs. Pistons
78,264,396
78,319,439
dafe46c30f3849b5e0d17e15286809652db6642c
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x568da53bee5c28f2bc93f3996905ff3e818afe074250c75a26322a185cb56f09
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
mls-min-sea-2025-10-27
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27?
78,265,286
78,265,286
1d31877b7e3da69a6ce272876006e9dcf46d6407
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xe414c2d635dacf9feb5021eae01f11ca60fcd8c6f016ac6a85dc1430edb2ae37
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
mls-min-sea-2025-10-27
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-10-27?
78,269,039
78,269,039
86f756f1308ab9e010feb7d1d3859634c5709b2d
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6d427c2a1ae4a6edac446928e21e8e82ea32874c95d690e46fee08cddb93f7d8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2...
yes
1
mls-min-sea-2025-10-27
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?
78,269,586
78,269,586
772863c8afed9b2828393f8443d6bc0e7298a641
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x37297ec2ec2f77707f999de7db7ae58dd4c7ddd1a0222eae605da9c8d7f87283
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-fio-bol-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a dra...
no
1
sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?
78,293,298
78,293,298
025195cd0018b85956c65fe1aa35e62078fee9e9
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6b05c24e62a2260d3cea682c22c826fc86b7de74187281a443ba7538f9bc2950
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Osasuna vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw? | Event: lal-osa-cel-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lyo-str-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26?...
no
1
cdr-our-ovi-2025-10-28
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28?
78,295,887
78,295,887
e95ae13437cb1c525b0937c6f879d79bf92e9a56
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xdf14bd5268a24f7203dee8bfa046df7f935ce76eb75cea6ee6beb96b819b82f1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lyo-str-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? ...
no
1
efl-bre-gri-2025-10-28
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?
78,297,090
78,297,090
ba9c9d1a0c369129818a26dd8edc2213ab7dfdcd
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xeb34b745187ad8e2ee0c0cc7cd8f8f533afeedd677821725cbdeb3d02ccea178
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26? | Event: lal-ray-ala-2025-10-26 |...
yes
1
sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
78,297,090
78,297,090
0983317d4def7597e2ef1807bbfd469e6942ab1e
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x6a378ed42b6f9b7da0d50d42e0dbabc9c38e8a2eb0a84096f6e1fee443fa3ef5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26? | Event: lal-ray-ala-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-10-26? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26 | ...
yes
1
sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?
78,297,126
78,297,126
c538aa53e758a8561fdd0f8d0ddf980accdcb5ac
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x149a8242ec4eee7c05a9054413f77fd5555882addf8a40ddcdf7f61e3350ad19
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26? | Event: lal-ray-ala-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-10-26? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choic...
yes
1
sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?
78,297,212
78,297,212
e44402758b62cb23b25673257d5b1fc16e3c7e1a
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x0930e7d1051accbd9b9ff7ed9cc30c146a18d59d6f91669d7e151bc51f11048b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-10-26? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: aus-mac-ade-2025-10-27 |...
yes
1
efl-car-wre-2025-10-28
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-28?
78,297,476
78,297,476
98c560f93bda119dbb81adf10857bb8fa8c2c9ee
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xfff4674de0ee1a94c652afebe00e3748e2d355b27214c5cefbffa04c53784a4d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: aus-mac-ade-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-2...
yes
0.375043
efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,320,761
78,340,887
28231f2b6a9cf28f6eb5e7ee459b11f5b8080357
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xb8f7945f6cd9bbe796a932196d6d3d4abb656b1fad0d5e33c03dc80ea126169d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: aus-mac-ade-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.371459075417557 3. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2025-10-28 | Choice...
no
1
sea-rom-par-2025-10-29
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?
78,336,456
78,336,456
1e7d357622aba4687a607f9288dc5b80840a150e
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xed51c482e58317378e4c32ef29c39a3eced66f0356417cd6fc2ae7b1dc1fdf86
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.371459075417557 2. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2025-10-28 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Choice:...
yes
1
sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29
Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw?
78,336,674
78,336,674
55b057a3c446d36f3e42046bbf8242c6d4896afb
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xbb2225a932831be03fcc3ab9fccbfa7f42e1bfaa4ef5074d69c81b2229af80dc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Suns vs. Jazz | Event: nba-phx-uta-2025-10-28 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.0006301968980063644 3. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28 | Choice: celtics ...
no
1
sea-com-ver-2025-10-29
Will Como win on 2025-10-29?
78,336,740
78,336,740
bc4829597da7ee93f777f06aa9a6951df632e002
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x484cb1ff4e261fa49b7143b4f2aa2f2928edfcc2c749a5246cdb64c3cdcc2294
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.0006301968980063644 2. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Sochi end in a draw? | Event: ...
no
1
sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,009
78,337,009
e87c15345049fa243a3506cff5fdc242a209f486
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x9958b3ce06baf10ad2fd03bac5129bb600492bb8f1cbf3b00e73e1afa46139b9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-10-28 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Sochi end in a draw? | Event: rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2025-10-27? | Event: rus-ter-so...
yes
1
fl1-hac-sbr-2025-10-29
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,194
78,337,194
5f005ff10b302c672e6c195e7ad4fd9855fe405a
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x29c50f94c61ed1048f4cf1ef58d00c42eec823ea5fa6de20ab7c7f98910d1595
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Sochi end in a draw? | Event: rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2025-10-27? | Event: rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a ...
no
1
nor-bra-bog-2025-10-29
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,353
78,337,353
673bdcfdfb63df2a41fd7d75c973b06940981da7
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x4d447b4db26de9247abbebbda572ccfc9408a7252209d8d3feb9ac9962922a1d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2025-10-27? | Event: rus-ter-soc-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event:...
no
1
fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,549
78,337,549
bace40bb1ca367876e5395c6989c3c09b1680463
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc38f9afaa3f23299098495e585751dd889f6df881b128ad1f32f63885c4b8ae3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tu...
no
1
fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,751
78,337,751
f42d6930992d1d583df6220076241e38ac82ecc3
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x38b3ceabd87aa4c69788696f2648814dea1d92d469cdfeff0fb593019a784ad2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-1...
yes
1
fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,752
78,337,752
c2430937a7a1b6376dae010e58aee61e2e24882e
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xa8613775fb352943286fd1f63b99cbeb0e87ac78661224521e158d90e67ca6e6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Odense BK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27...
yes
1
fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?
78,337,752
78,337,752
322b1252d2afa1acbc3e0596e65c07d4973b5b29
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xec8f090d54a4c0ca78848d74c539724559c9bc9b49514937f6211f03a95d4f25
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Odense BK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27...
yes
1
fl1-hac-sbr-2025-10-29
Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
78,337,870
78,337,870
70b29f96ef60a4ae613a018a698151cc2028393b
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x61a0823455afb718c1435274c7d1d608788950de641b62668453fdb52d8554c0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Odense BK win on 2025-10-27? | Event: den-ode-bro-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-2...
yes
1
efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,340,686
78,340,686
754ce248badfef462a728830d706ea2899847ec8
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xc5d9032436b9fe7bf83b9e08fea658c3c9dc3a7b5770f4a6012ae4c919bacf21
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27? | Event: por-mor-por-2025-10-27...
yes
1
efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
78,340,686
78,340,686
02b522f713d4cad19147e1170288de0ff47c00d5
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x4e51de3129b76add333dcfe7a46d60c2c98f059b5e1b1753cf5418d3e475e96a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-27? | Event: lal-bet-mad-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27? | Event: por-mor-por-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw? | Event: mls-fcc-clb...
no
1
sea-int-fio-2025-10-29
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?
78,340,727
78,340,727
822ae42764802c93988fc4e3a18141b998680733
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x52f23a4dd01120361c18c010a88ede2db9f7500645b8499845f2d582289533b2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27? | Event: por-mor-por-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-...
yes
1
efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
78,340,887
78,340,887
35b46852f11c86e3c757ed6e15da2a13cf538e12
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xd3c12cb4249eb3283d9676438a590c1d3892ad40ec29549c97be246f1c5d59b6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Clippers vs. Warriors | Event: nba-lac-gsw-2025-1...
yes
1
efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,340,887
78,340,887
c89d18d8dd4e63388eefe1068a15154e011eb996
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x80d555d45a82ee2a5d6b5985b6de78697f493b6dd9d568432d41f887ca8af648
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Clippers vs. Warriors | Event: nba-lac-gsw-2025-10-29 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Magic vs. Pistons | Event: nba-orl-det-2025-10-29 | Choice: magic | Confid...
no
1
sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29?
78,340,929
78,340,929
2ce45c0eaa70275387edd26adb7a977ee41dc779
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x5c3bb05bf0d50d28555f6c6cadae000d8942a14fb99359bde7dfaca01bf49722
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Clippers vs. Warriors | Event: nba-lac-gsw-2025-10-29 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Magic vs. Pistons | Event: nba-orl-det-2025-10-29 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | ...
yes
1
sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29
Will Bologna vs. Torino end in a draw?
78,340,969
78,340,969
a2dc43c7509cd39e1467e135bfec4fd9d3ce25c6
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x68deaaa45bd415d5dc0b5539e3fd45428a32394a10c5425bdf2caff885b14508
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Magic vs. Pistons | Event: nba-orl-det-2025-10-29 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27...
no
1
sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29
Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29?
78,340,969
78,340,969
924fde28e91732b2e0c253b75bb05082dde5fc7e
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x784cad9edfee85e0e2d4ee029470de7be59878306821401113a6a682fcc809a2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC en...
no
1
efl-tot-new-2025-10-29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,203
78,341,203
7b2e333ecd212c7fa3840efacc47bd779a5c5701
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x8f899165d56124c11793d9f7e77518eba3fca1c583e83d02e26dee75f75db0f5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Minnesota United FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28? ...
yes
1
efl-tot-new-2025-10-29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,204
78,341,204
85610779df3c0bcf7fcd36260637303af185daea
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x11ce5a535cf0d524d31efb7d6de170822d87297cf44ca7f4b29b968a7d44fa50
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Minnesota United FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28? | Event: ...
no
1
fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,284
78,341,284
5c6c0d49d78913ced06c63c9361e433cfb061623
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x1f4af965be62d55d12c6b29ff14b62015bf754438db1f2c5ff99c8d9efbb2204
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28? | Event: cdr-our-ovi-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-bre-gri-2025-10-28 | Cho...
yes
1
fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,325
78,341,325
88b3fd2905848e37ad7fb4b6b58bec32c462d694
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xf091ef88dd4004129a88c0fcb608a7d2688fff4c40855d3a5feefcdbf26dbab2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28? | Event: cdr-our-ovi-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-bre-gri-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-...
yes
1
nor-rbk-san-2025-10-29
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,325
78,341,325
f72f1b6d8ba9d2169b94d24f05f3fb23eed6ee87
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x2faecc19f59fa4f4a9a5ead83541903efd0c27f332e2628255a5d62295b4b4da
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-bre-gri-2025-10-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10...
yes
1
fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,365
78,341,365
f7144848035c6ff1172abecf1f6607d715bcedd2
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x665d78e6a11634aa98cfd01e519aa55bd75bc926f79caa98ede87463cc9283a1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28...
yes
1
fl1-pfc-lyo-2025-10-29
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,406
78,341,406
7c30066ee6f2056c0505e0408a0100b12016b57a
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xfa35dbcfb62fcd335c3644a193fc0c9f9b781319b6db9916149a74fbeef6c440
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-car-wre-2025-10-28 | Cho...
no
1
fl1-olm-ang-2025-10-29
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?
78,341,406
78,341,406
7d2be0c289d5639d208763710a2098d7486b5571
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x5ea23ff61db82ad624806399c4e11088d578fb8b9edc41f05ab732b29a7026fa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | Event: sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-car-wre-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29 |...
yes
1
fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29
Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
78,341,446
78,341,446
028179390a696dc1e3903a6b060483b5b3219ed3
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0xd05b0bccd50d42f6ec38d5f21ad588ca880549fbb0f3a11830ea30a1b1b47d06
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-28? | Event: efl-car-wre-2025-10-28 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3750429700928154 3. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-rom-pa...
no
1
efl-cfc-wol-2025-10-29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,342,171
78,342,171
7f3eece704f5b35e30e9b2a623848882afe3e77a
0x1feb4363a0b519398bbceb3cf525d4d3658abdc1
0x162d9ebfb3a8e4925785a98c488a168787e68cf45455600e187149bb01629fe5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3750429700928154 2. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-rom-par-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw? | Event: sea-ju...
no
1
bra-flu-csc-2025-10-29
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29?
78,344,657
78,344,657