sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5cca8ccf78cf4e788fa19fa4886dbb733aa0715f | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x59032088fb7443968c379215e8898b1d903aa5023bd03bd0638c2029d001fd8d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET | Ev... | up | 0.26393 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | 73,401,508 | 73,401,508 |
46703a383b39661bca4d25f58851ee2cfa4c73aa | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x71c67e7e75d4dccc07594bbd8930f8adaa7a347913277b574c20a7a8156f5ae0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0924961316439097
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 2... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | 73,401,511 | 73,405,374 |
46f1061346045fa4af3d7f2a7f50e902969a80a9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x33c1925404d1227acb4ac50f8210d7e8f974cd3ef4b569d9fd2c6ab96d7d0f1c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0924961316439097
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 2... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | 73,409,400 | 73,409,400 |
a1e02e155473000e51aa838fa2027a8ce3a3ff1f | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x1bc29a516109ba7f82feaf26edece4fed97e38e7d643bdae0e4f3ac6f2a81340 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5062127583845136
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 2... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | 73,409,407 | 73,410,500 |
d7cd6187c8d86e4a84cc47b9db7983d08f5c3c29 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x03c598952873536ec9241627c608019771c9714d0915ba55aee03afd5c73d8e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5062127583845136
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | 73,409,413 | 73,409,413 |
3e0074c69845b9f1552c0dba6fbe8f945b54dfb2 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x3279b31b8c5cf68ecea69041c9b6d58385ba8debb12468c159355f0f23c70937 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | E... | down | 0.159162 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | 73,409,418 | 73,409,418 |
ad2d0bc77b80cc14f3d867929c5f62b3c462e924 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7a67cbadfb1591849488e638895e5969564858cc274665b2e3b48a03f54017d8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.649312849909673
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29... | up | 0.062757 | bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | 73,409,421 | 73,409,421 |
d3f3a854635c5eb1ad6e4e1dd657851e67d40e48 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x4a5e98ea8562885717c633637628f965bc236636b69c129f29185f8f741d817d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.649312849909673
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.34086097388849684
3. Question: XRP Up or Dow... | down | 0.486339 | bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | 73,413,673 | 73,413,673 |
a800df9b5e9bc43cc7d999aa631f4ff4b7107028 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x0858929dd19ab22c51a233cfa8241e4441e10ef66808b1e84b822f2912d6e7e3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.34086097388849684
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5886586695747001
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down... | down | 0.6 | ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | 73,413,676 | 73,413,676 |
9d3eeeda6deb1e370d79022c345857dda2c7d332 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x5ce35610aaf45514d870bd86ebca565319fb1dccf5dfdeb445b31f34a9b8d42b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5886586695747001
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6769460744073496
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | down | 0.591833 | solana-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Solana Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | 73,413,679 | 73,413,679 |
aaa60140bad3621b99536125f013f3dd36d77811 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb66b6120f1bd998e8d66be5c0d3af7f0db58175de92a29a50d14611fc5032dd4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6769460744073496
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.4450243107420448
3. Question: XRP Up or D... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | 73,413,683 | 73,413,683 |
f195ddb39926979794ef30852b3e1f1864189816 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x839f3dcd97312524bfd015d56eac5071c27c7e3e791897d0dd564abf3f9477c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.4450243107420448
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.7588259274357929
3. Question: Solana Up or Down -... | down | 0.6 | ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | 73,413,687 | 73,413,687 |
d2ba821db908192cc71eb4b4b98920857ff9af1f | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc6b6ddb2e0e75df8251242eb15d0462c3ab1bf14b8b6c899a2e7ed03b3992cf0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-6pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.7588259274357929
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5372682523102054
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down -... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | 73,413,691 | 73,417,323 |
e6a2ab4cf89d9fe824a2d6664f423ba55bce3e92 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x555e1d51806b3ad8a466fc2ed7ecab94f190dc23728d45ee5b01c554f3880707 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5372682523102054
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June ... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | 73,413,694 | 73,413,694 |
3cc0f5d2ad670ece2fde3a90d1fdedd60a277cfc | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x641b3d7b21bf67446d6186353a5a58f4f5cf8f5872998df9649e0d382a81ab30 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6973525219528437
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Ju... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | 73,413,697 | 73,413,697 |
dab3b96bc59e51b2c9bbc73f19e5703e7e7aa6d9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xed1b7a19043e4a2b75fdc46b3feefb3bf52cd86d7caf43a472d632d9e6af4afb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-7pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6973525219528437
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5621131549123878
3. Question: Bitcoin U... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | 73,413,703 | 73,418,739 |
a1467750ea849ab3ceea0d9a50cfc52c54a0368c | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb4e505630694586191095859a3ea718ebb3fde4dfd66a296fba4d18209f37ef7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5621131549123878
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.07243688288742448
3. Question: XRP Up o... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | XRP Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | 73,413,706 | 73,419,032 |
9c8d3c56b2c95c232e6a83806ae5c179a8b10239 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7d1065b412588a3d21573021c808e0760ad93c74d10fecb0535b610a349011f4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.07243688288742448
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET ... | down | 0.341216 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-5am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 5AM ET | 73,445,088 | 73,445,088 |
79a1a2499be0a8d6ed9ec1589c86671dc949fcd9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x3d5906ec43f2d16de47a515e8df4ce91053cf0da5a7f57e26aca72fb2bcab637 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-... | up | 0.612247 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | 73,445,113 | 73,445,113 |
4f49ddada22cc5d72d9f47d92314b88cfdd9ba88 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x8ea83503595b149e00b8d50aca265943901624a30a5e48a8edf74a3b231a7cae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.4780959913061273
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ... | up | 0.834807 | solana-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | 73,445,135 | 73,445,135 |
3971c053a363cf83360b4ef37c689b1f3c9f7a45 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xf65a71e4aab28e1d4bb0abcb2cdf7cdfbebabbe42310596018658d76bbb9c414 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-29-9pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.4780959913061273
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29... | down | 0.024129 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7AM ET | 73,445,160 | 73,445,160 |
369296e0bb111f702332d035ad7f097f956157af | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x0cb5a8984c516fc6427cf8d531e7d52f5c065979adf20acfe95645f8f2f56b05 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-29-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Even... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | 73,447,880 | 73,447,880 |
84e8f60af6899049102092e77e70895e051baabb | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x24bde705a112fa58aff670d90ddad9c8f4a9b7585b4a84c041aa25f6a18e6830 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 29, 10PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-29-10pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1503985641133928
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3... | down | 0.065896 | xrp-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | 73,447,903 | 73,447,903 |
0bd9e9982052b7565a6a16985c3c4edc59f31d7c | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x3629dccd1218e0f5e9e620a24cfc4a5e61e229499e19a0db1f1f52e8a001df69 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1503985641133928
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.4717770125773698
3. Question: Solana Up... | down | 0.017695 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | 73,447,926 | 73,447,926 |
1ca47d7414491fb1b168fe077b306ffb1e38e836 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x26ee87432d45f7f100715b5518baf9675f80cfe6109d8b838b3f6f865094a951 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.4717770125773698
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.7535061764403528
3. Question: Solana Up o... | up | 0.298246 | xrp-up-or-down-july-1-10am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 1, 10AM ET | 73,449,443 | 73,449,443 |
2a6a69058839b67341490f3f409df2895bf192f0 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x0248fc3c9ba657201e19f9e22a648ef8c4b25b362bf709af40d3e2e7e535cd73 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.7535061764403528
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.9042357751337137
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - ... | down | 0.811925 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | 73,450,608 | 73,451,536 |
5d34d2f468343923a69a9baa59bbd92667a05418 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xd912b699a54cfcddc836ad29d25620845f6a641a4e5e3b17aff63504f583cc8b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.9042357751337137
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2117822520507084
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June... | up | 0.260196 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | 73,450,631 | 73,450,941 |
2205644ba17a48bc3f5f2607b5d4ec0e6457bf46 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc057ec3dbdcdfaff0736d4d0c704815e34366256a05c7d13e484754597430d70 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2117822520507084
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5AM E... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | 73,452,132 | 73,452,132 |
f0a38c200c0e32e1797e6bb21288ca365654db3b | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xdbd91ac5bfba721fff70c8256640a51b659db5f0e57597b5732c7c2c1adc1952 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.31444579235986814
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30,... | up | 1 | solana-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | 73,452,138 | 73,452,138 |
774901d1bc3dbc7e8b58c46f4c84dc323668fa0f | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x456dd25835f5c1129db568465d6a4e60581d1158a16e25cdd22a120675e36a1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.31444579235986814
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.26392961876832843
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | down | 0.662045 | xrp-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | 73,453,287 | 73,453,287 |
311e4b430494931f5f03c2a6955adc6dc52ce2f5 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb90fe106842762facfac69e5515aeb9e4020ac0cfa087aefbfab25282161c49e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.26392961876832843
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-1pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET | 73,453,633 | 73,453,633 |
9e757798ef160a7c1ac25aab415ca0635b80c6a9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xa5fb44e8ae0ca15336c2e141e9ce1f0f16e9caac4efdb1ba1b88e3594f985731 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | Even... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3PM ET | 73,501,248 | 73,501,248 |
4c21eba27f45364c5c83d305b1e741f525705765 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x568dd5bd1688566506d1b7e91355505d57f51380c8d3dc45157435b1bdbb1394 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: ... | up | 0.56521 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | 73,501,252 | 73,501,252 |
4a20ff5f23524e9be2c4cb5d76a41ab4b0cd099b | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x9f9b3a466d856d96bfd8770bb555fe754c45d46757773cb9ec62a20ec2f0f740 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-u... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | 73,501,255 | 73,504,638 |
91c335fa1cee16446af009c40f196e46ce29fff6 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x0fb35f7c40dab7d02721d983d7c2adfdb0cc1d78617030c30d6449e1003ffe8b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1591618368256799
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9A... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | 73,501,258 | 73,504,650 |
2b2ebdf72231153c6f84edf3964d6c360b2ac1d9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x525e771244a7409a7bcb618f1fa384357bea74c4a89d892514f6a6f3d8aa5c63 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1591618368256799
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.06275727079909145
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down -... | up | 0.367281 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | 73,501,261 | 73,501,261 |
2ee9d08b2440298663172659942db10f2e6d9ed2 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb6f21e0bbf4898591dfde40f597d37e2e9595f32905df8f266532e040b58fbe8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.06275727079909145
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.48633879781420764
3. Question: Ethereum ... | down | 0.963405 | solana-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | 73,501,264 | 73,501,264 |
7920d36ea5e8524521d60f60f8747de35f590925 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xaf5fab9893871835926265ba51d0671d81636843df54d10f544222b777f95147 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.48633879781420764
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6
3. Question: Solana Up or Down -... | down | 0.149796 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | 73,501,552 | 73,502,129 |
74cb66f4befc38316d5987e59715b108967aff0e | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xcf2545a86f175bef16f03e5ee6d2b06e8d25bb3f04a5f902e1bcae0933983296 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5918328062928867
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June ... | down | 0.298255 | xrp-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | 73,501,555 | 73,501,555 |
923923c29fb172eb09c5cb353d2381009c5fcaf2 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbbea703f55dfff8668efb4a209d62e79fa15c1c1dc375fd3e5932ea8685472d9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5918328062928867
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1... | up | 0.31224 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | 73,504,110 | 73,504,110 |
0897a832b299471907f4979694c145ba4cc825f9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x38289ca2e6d462de007697bd467642dc6d4e8e7fe5668899a59c0845d2be0845 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 11AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Even... | up | 0.381473 | solana-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | 73,504,116 | 73,504,116 |
eac8d09cde83f09d4aa227f67c780dddf329415d | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xac8f412e7b977ff2925988913c0e255d3029ab73e579ab7cdc52af953ed04355 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | E... | up | 0.553586 | xrp-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | 73,504,145 | 73,504,145 |
119b4d2b1d473faf6603e0186731bd75a53d887c | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7636f44068c8974d52182cda7f13f7cc8a2343bccb62c0e6346b61db993eba2c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: ... | up | 0.504465 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | 73,504,147 | 73,504,147 |
f1b43297d201f80d77142190303e7830786b09be | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x75990c6955ab9a8d5fb5c58efaec534d5ceefc5c3ee49ff7d6a3c122c2450afe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Event... | down | 0.900605 | solana-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | 73,513,428 | 73,513,428 |
7e7e7dec3c8484302f416655a85e34ab47142ea9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x26ce684abbc6d229c373c50358194b63e5e51eb69eacb830423c6e33e5aa77fe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-june-30-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Ev... | down | 0.128278 | xrp-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | 73,513,431 | 73,513,431 |
e93e7fb832554d126c4d0dcb3869df12fde5bfe8 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7a4de74357e8ee78d54997727183082bb7ea3b81707a2e8f2ef304255ba918ea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 5AM ET | Event: e... | down | 0.920353 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12AM ET | 73,513,435 | 73,513,435 |
a9442a947a3c3f9ec08c8a6c90b2379ffb7c4528 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xf1288a179642b32a9d58c19daa3ce17293acdb1d24fadf3ded43784cc10fbc37 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - June 30, 1PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-june-30-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.3412159835017486
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ... | up | 0.741411 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-2am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2AM ET | 73,518,200 | 73,518,200 |
25aa7155fd506d49aebb9c5211903f7e1aef2ffa | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x33d1a5a70711aff124af4401df188d92400330dbed0afed3baf1b69b1011dfb5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.3412159835017486
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.6122467405046614
3. Question: Solana Up or ... | down | 0.50602 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | 73,518,203 | 73,518,773 |
19c2053020991c3484a35a5274b8ff1d055882f5 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xd443956a43fb134b8cd5fc64b67561863eb0c8d7ec1ce0e4cc64549273a45333 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.6122467405046614
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.8348065328103963
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | up | 0.949358 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | 73,518,205 | 73,518,205 |
2f532df24f7afe220b56dddb3f0a18e726c262c8 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x8001902c695bfbdc731e796a917837e0660bd00e4560e8234bf409de1aea0131 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 1, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-1-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.8348065328103963
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.024129059175300744
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Do... | down | 0.026072 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | 73,519,031 | 73,519,031 |
8b9b12194700a88f4aa07487ba61523a17d14fb9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x340beaf65d0de2112b19a030e1fa3836013b25abd75ba0e735efa6697744e7a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.024129059175300744
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 9... | up | 0.604978 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-4am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET | 73,520,432 | 73,520,691 |
aeeb66fb80dec523c662b90bfd3bc456b7824056 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7f4ee9656aceb978b4f013e7442de6939fc4d6599bf6042361c876140754e451 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.06589574965794236
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET... | down | 0.63004 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-5am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5AM ET | 73,522,360 | 73,522,360 |
0e32da4674833ddbabe38a27964b041e4430a693 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xe24c88aba85961f537f092e034da3b1e2ab1157ec1c1297937f6ee8fa8b8843e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.06589574965794236
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.01769479799547652
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July... | up | 0.777671 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | 73,522,654 | 73,524,065 |
6d7c0c29bf58ec3fa7ae3fa32dab80eb11f2b2a8 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x07f5cbe7c568921f6d0d9702e9122733d1d82be5680bff2f900f14a6a3084a72 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.01769479799547652
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 10AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2982456373953331
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - ... | up | 0.708526 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | 73,523,199 | 73,523,199 |
7ea7512c39b167b3c344b3f91dca30ab64545629 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x571d10a3ae0402e393981a2d1e6ce6c6b1b9bfcaad61f578583ee05b9ce15da0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 10AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2982456373953331
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.8119245266511422
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | 73,523,201 | 73,523,777 |
65222b3102b457a4c6b54a0d303fdc680e2e3bb3 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7c721ac4379c3eb0c8d038debf7d69cf46d5baee80b703b281589759d031679d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.8119245266511422
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2601964374895955
3. Question: Bitcoin Up ... | up | 0.759794 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | 73,523,780 | 73,524,068 |
aa33f0a9babce2723e2b39a784cea7d198ef40f5 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc932e8f34b2102247dcd92c60c65a31de1c688a2b70e4261ca5781ae5ca8ef4b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.2601964374895955
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 1, ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7AM ET | 73,524,643 | 73,529,536 |
1aecf4506bb3cda04af8ef3bcf807e6b7fec1aa7 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x81763cba7f5da48655eec45e656b1d0e3390a01234a9e5a93f49c36eb7997f2a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-u... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | 73,526,646 | 73,531,232 |
1aea6f6beb2cdf8fe0161cfb6bc855d57adb3a17 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x8c8c67443f5d64c4536a3a7208480dc2d8d367d30e123273346463c116db85d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-1-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6620450606585788
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET | E... | up | 0.553789 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | 73,526,653 | 73,527,232 |
ca9cc99503c6e14f5402eb4bd5afbb98cd695b09 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc9c2e49888c52e7f7703a793b2ce4127dfd913a7b6b9d39485a59a1595a9ef7a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 1, 12PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-1-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6620450606585788
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3PM E... | up | 0.041022 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | 73,526,935 | 73,526,935 |
5506419e1ceb990211cc32dfe97510c54b7eba79 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x11c57e42a48b54b44df189353266d7661130a4128a59672b459210bdc3220861 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-1-1pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Even... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | 73,526,941 | 73,531,228 |
720d82d566beba199d9d6f4842cbf1e89ac38121 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xdbf6d7c98d7b5aa4f409e5bb3b82726e0c8316601d8636065a59c6fa00999e8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5652100859959736
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 4P... | down | 0.507006 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | 73,527,522 | 73,528,983 |
1b1c2e144cd7a286efef227c6ec324ece977211e | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x05b99038588db3b8c80dba72398785e2d5ebd70d6142b604d9c904d0aaa87e27 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5652100859959736
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET ... | down | 0.592548 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | 73,527,524 | 73,528,400 |
18c4022f65d4355f456a92c294e37872591434a3 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x8b5214187de06b79f0a5af96188f638972e4986de219db7f4910a8c2e57cb403 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | 73,527,810 | 73,528,688 |
39cf24ada535b510ca3080e834d5804d894e76dc | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xd14cda7a7853ee64e3facaf753879727bf6f1bbce79118e4b67247bb17b6de18 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3672810518495454
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Eve... | down | 0.674589 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | 73,527,812 | 73,528,691 |
2538dee5a39586c06428fe5dbcc8bfd5d7c2ef40 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xa430a0fa927f02881525019f66c4e527d53a9dc15502af9dca4f691aed3a9c8a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-4pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3672810518495454
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.963405379537398
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down ... | up | 0.35766 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | 73,529,272 | 73,530,139 |
0bb63601a6b7bb4057447aba3ba98ec50ab32bd3 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xba57f2105e2b348be06a2b43cc39f3c681434d5ec18c6eb7e5881324ac7787ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.963405379537398
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1497955546948891
3. Question: XRP Up or Down -... | up | 0.441839 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | 73,529,274 | 73,530,145 |
8270d0a3ffb92ae24aa89983c55325d27f20d8e7 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbbabffce4e0557e1b6bed35d3884386118e0933b151092122db7d3f1eb47bbdf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1497955546948891
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.29825455472034657
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down ... | up | 0.76807 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | 73,530,142 | 73,530,142 |
a9329673998c705ec6b0fa103b24f66639621ea9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb6622a78ffb8604b3b5a5ca17049f2dd0e0730bb47b0b85a9704452957adb541 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.29825455472034657
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3122403323316155
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - Ju... | up | 0.827868 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | 73,530,148 | 73,530,437 |
29ea6551873e3fc5ba479e076ad9b236676b1e3c | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x59e3e3bcaa86cb9466c94599bce156513aa2d984b5075e568b02676f2307d456 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3122403323316155
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3814733988353881
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - Ju... | up | 0.552653 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | 73,531,008 | 73,533,274 |
0392b9f84a9fd838445cb29423bebe1874c85563 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x833b65efc861a4cb8f912329d5499ce7d4330752c5135c29df7abc3f94a87978 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3814733988353881
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.553585894498056
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6... | up | 0.153951 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | 73,531,011 | 73,533,272 |
46c5a0c7cce00570a2624a273dbb4afb4db4ea4d | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xb1f7a011bd08f9d8e54bb4e74b0cb472d0c55b6d28f9df9f40532b7af4d7679c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.553585894498056
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5044646788655408
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, ... | up | 0.203001 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | 73,531,016 | 73,533,276 |
7c50ca103d180845ae407a5b1d56d37820cbf560 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x42a21b2cda9c78f4ba7b1fd09ab0d1deb64729dabf89ad92c9ddd2e5d10452bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-2-6pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5044646788655408
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.9006051983150073
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - ... | up | 0.1383 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | 73,531,019 | 73,533,278 |
76db21fe5073f9f05d87063dcda4bfd27a68aefd | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x6df24aa2e287e2e2de8cc11b67088bcbe113876a7aafdc7f24e59f2592d18797 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.9006051983150073
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.12827783275112098
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down -... | down | 0.025367 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-12pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 12PM ET | 73,533,280 | 73,533,280 |
b39bf1fefc1df5b67fa79716572f87b8438d99b3 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x93faba56178a457a22fadb74851d56b922b4e0c31eba18c948291c9d14d7ed5a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 2, 11PM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-2-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.12827783275112098
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.9203528756250365
3. Question: Solana Up or Down ... | down | 0.413957 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-12pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 12PM ET | 73,533,283 | 73,536,395 |
fe5c4fbc449fa13c1fb5a7e8f26f95d25eed9477 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbe1b379777f0ebf5e5f9fca422ea5ff8b4ca7da997f8bcb8e6bfe3a393ba1ab2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.9203528756250365
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-2am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.741410666011305
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Dow... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12PM ET | 73,533,285 | 73,536,389 |
3690696b43b6a47eae862ea378fa78856af30016 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x76814a4ebe83c5039a4a85efc93555a6261e9f1967509dd25d0aed712a4ccb4a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-2am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.741410666011305
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5060202528637642
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down... | down | 0.690877 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-12pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 12PM ET | 73,536,392 | 73,536,392 |
31db918ee8a2427d5a422dc4e088d3ecf229d292 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x1ce69a670dcae7ff294810504426febbc1a8dc1587a06387867c24fecb7f25e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5060202528637642
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.9493579415857087
3. Question: Solana Up or Do... | down | 0.280621 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-1pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 1PM ET | 73,536,398 | 73,536,398 |
a65a8d2651145c225e8da126d50b92c847b1e7ef | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xf45d18291e59c9fcd45fd797ae7363d5093d4a619e45469a7b7eec87c869928a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.9493579415857087
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.02607249236006344
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Dow... | down | 0.330591 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-1pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 1PM ET | 73,536,400 | 73,536,400 |
1b3509ae86fba2cf2ed887cbe9df320be775a30e | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbbe6e393c46c7ae70da52f30b69b8cb2312f72caddea30d262c459517b16f507 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.02607249236006344
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.6049783672108395
3. Question: Ethereum Up or D... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-1pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 1PM ET | 73,536,403 | 73,536,403 |
b26a4c47a33c4a955a00a83c7d550a730e955ec9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x1247bdcac2d11501265f94e5d413015f1e621cdd879cd7d29de26b7d79020b3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-4am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.6049783672108395
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6300396393435889
3. Question: Ethereum Up o... | down | 0.404767 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-1pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1PM ET | 73,536,405 | 73,536,405 |
e8911304326a12bdbc9f30a532a83b22d8705983 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x03248ec7384228e5118e103c243816dfdf3f6306efb081402f5a706df3264ed8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6300396393435889
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7776707303516508
3. Question: Solana Up or ... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-2pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ET | 73,536,407 | 73,539,832 |
2fcc2f6c7b3d733cfd605d35dab6b6ded59a0e7b | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xcbd146685aedf1fa201925845cdae6ec9c5e703bb4e892879e54bebb195e6c53 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7776707303516508
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7085260340276499
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - Ju... | down | 0 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-2pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ET | 73,536,409 | 73,539,830 |
112e6b6725052c73b9b59b3eb200f758adbe28db | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x9b027d1ee3093550ce0e5ad219a520fbb8323c3f4551f681f23e7fd6f12360f6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7085260340276499
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Even... | down | 0.151341 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-2pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ET | 73,536,411 | 73,539,843 |
f958172870bbbfae2f853b2e15cbe977ce7d2d94 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x35b2ea6d01cd21540745b32a4da1e39c72fb3ede4af9372aca77bb0d9ab785e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7597938142309497
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7AM ET | Ev... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2PM ET | 73,536,413 | 73,539,828 |
67bf90db32295e76bb403b8cab8ad2fe585ef8e9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc9c5cfe038bee64e5b689fe75166ddf80b70be3faf471736b8a0dcc790c66a05 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-6am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.7597938142309497
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8A... | down | 0.565807 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-3pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3PM ET | 73,539,846 | 73,539,846 |
5d6c15dce6cf7213b91f30df9010a181e21879de | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x366f7b803137b9f4ecbc5899a4141dfe33e0882d1eef6db2568e9288ea3b37c7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: xr... | down | 0.459623 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-3pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 3PM ET | 73,539,849 | 73,539,849 |
89103ea727904712cb265ef26bfbb07073c08c29 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x4cfbbf73b0568e888f2849327f21b96b86caa385327737d3e863271ae3fbe163 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5537889493570218
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | E... | up | 0.508129 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-3pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 3PM ET | 73,539,852 | 73,539,852 |
d57c84a2e2744bf375bcd7d8d8fd4d831405a15d | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x7a5aa5bcddf5ba9f4ed00c99408f117538313ab3a1a4956fef727acc87fadb44 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5537889493570218
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.04102180245938802
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3,... | down | 0.536005 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3PM ET | 73,539,855 | 73,539,855 |
209556127d77d5a4c525956663ec9b4985fcd4f0 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbaf5e70f10d6bda99c3e1298fee2373c1edd08f815ad4501843b17f92d6425e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.04102180245938802
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET |... | down | 0.856646 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-4pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 4PM ET | 73,539,857 | 73,539,857 |
02bc63eccb78d0d517ccf707660b3f19f8cdddd5 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x4824b4129b53a5aed829bfa22bd0fb3442d09e2ec7df41dc9ba11b9eb1c8728f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.507005633888904
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | E... | down | 0.926474 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-4pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4PM ET | 73,539,859 | 73,539,859 |
60afb657d4889953fec21dba6627dfad86649110 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xed37b36f752c058405a49078971578951d223e80d35967f75330de7f6b31f375 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.507005633888904
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5925480840607616
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4PM ET | 73,539,861 | 73,540,718 |
1ffc6bb5ae57ee61b15acf09622c95b3d3040722 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x88cdf347b841bd1e1c64b4cfe62fbe0e5b399fd6e08e96da46e79eed9487605c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.5925480840607616
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 9A... | down | 0.966538 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-4pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 4PM ET | 73,540,431 | 73,540,431 |
d074e6371dd5d25f545048e485591d924246a65f | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x63dcc338fa427058fd46cf8f339c24786d16ee80871146bbe520dc79cb60c7ac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6745888157894737
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 10... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-5pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET | 73,541,287 | 73,541,581 |
23cfb7f1578c65f15f97e6da6e470783a3517b3c | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x59961073df4cbae0360c5a4b0538818dcea4f9e49cfdcb95efbbe0f9d9ccbc28 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 9AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.6745888157894737
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3576601790330506
3. Question: XRP Up or Down ... | up | 0.244766 | ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-5pm-et | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET | 73,541,289 | 73,541,583 |
76664c1cb5e4333f73127f770913547c5398919e | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x054159f3200550a4190eb2b610e0fffe5a73f095a6d3d55269ffe7302c7ebeab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.3576601790330506
2. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.44183852006212276
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - Ju... | up | 0.072634 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-5pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET | 73,541,291 | 73,541,584 |
92f674b539054f7db27b7e88a9f45d7aac83dee9 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0x9e47a3e25c18f7d711557bbd7f484699a3e5c715bd310fd6349d87a096b3717a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: XRP Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: xrp-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.44183852006212276
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.768069709685707
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | up | 0.288427 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5PM ET | 73,541,295 | 73,541,295 |
0a341b205426b3b0b60d372319e6d559751bc2a7 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xc9b1117bc4fe347946664906902c8c66b7ecc136f1cee24819cdcb835000bd0f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.768069709685707
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.8278677002941871
3. Question: Solana Up or D... | up | 0.386095 | bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6PM ET | 73,542,715 | 73,543,295 |
40879db95d86672752766301f774b2afcd3e045b | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xa7715123633fd0524e01a46d965ff1e12b76fd602e3f054d4180177339385652 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-july-3-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.8278677002941871
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5526533900935079
3. Question: Ethereum Up or Do... | up | 0.141789 | solana-up-or-down-july-3-6pm-et | Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6PM ET | 73,542,717 | 73,544,156 |
02b1f1026258200c35643a6e184e955ba913cbc1 | 0x212e753e064d3e89905cd61ce975a6e7cdfb99d2 | 0xbfde5b3058588ac052aad60382a5c6976e2526356bb855f45d7c69038b1789a1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.5526533900935079
2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-july-3-11am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.15395112268949263
3. Question: XRP Up or Down... | up | 0.431941 | xrp-up-or-down-july-3-6pm-et | XRP Up or Down - July 3, 6PM ET | 73,543,293 | 73,543,293 |
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