sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
50dd94d677c486f47357444620fdfcadaa258ac5 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xc2376d3f4d84ee4694fb2b3330a3033fb5e834cfa5bba7ab605a90ba0f1c6a22 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | bra-pal-bra-2025-10-15 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15? | 77,754,578 | 77,754,578 |
54b1a607fe266f02d2a852f9c848e7c38bee9cf2 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x60a1a2dfc7ac6ef15e5ea64bad8874757c4a97eb2a0602f22682f2c52979f689 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | mex-tig-nec-2025-10-17 | Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17? | 77,839,847 | 77,839,847 |
b1d0bc5fcb9d438150c996362e6e9d231381c138 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xb88abb8f7a2e569f41b804acaf252757668552858ed5527347edbc632531656d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | arg-lan-god-2025-10-17 | Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-10-17? | 77,839,847 | 77,839,847 |
359dbe0bfb17264e35aa3bde21647f35e5e03908 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x37909bd6936ea8acc27bf9746c225f07ff5abd2a278af716e2d67328f662211e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | lal-bar-gir-2025-10-18 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
f5490052cb6a69b5eacbf7521f20e91ab51a24ea | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x5a06550e4977a994867f88e238e914fcd3980ab273d9e7685acf68b492e4a55a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
c9ba7f9ab19650e2745eac65f55d93214a46fb81 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x77af70f4b3249d57c3c8666db50e67d0b2ade218b766688d5764bf54b03612ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
6452c5983dd96d46a7d934e01973aa9c07be94dd | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x8602ac8069882e7066fdd74048ff08627b563f71279e484862d38120e66e0df6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
6c58862d8cfb5212e1466c0cf4ba442bbb9f5a16 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x9a425da763421d701b1204a526aa4c0e6b5d7b1cc7b38d3ce250252cf4f85086 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
3cd866077e4f1845ffa98d6d5cdf7faae2f5b405 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xa858864843c3cdd29df98c4696f5ddee9ffa7ded92375dae50a939da837b733e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Will CF Montréal win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
236fc650f9221e1365d02fb1b921d0799e8d81dc | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xaeb0faa41587e54306bc9c9798e593832d727ba3350ec34072f831653e42aeb3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
037d80f3dbceabbb8e0e35b81d03df3e2f4f2582 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xea56a47cd714c7f95b83556c501d70b5c4e2a015dce736e24e5877a035a77516 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | spl-nsr-fat-2025-10-18 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,130 | 77,890,130 |
ce362e0cf377511f1c27ee18bb046d39a60e015b | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x01fc13e401ce7f72b292fe4448074fd8352ad09b53e25a46053e10065786bfe8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | spl-kha-riy-2025-10-19 | Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-10-19? | 77,905,194 | 77,905,194 |
2f514a78a720edc7ac66ca5a35dba455b5ebad62 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xbebddfdda666082410209eecd447857814950b8d969b099ac5cba83bb062763d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | lal-cel-rso-2025-10-19 | Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19? | 77,905,194 | 77,905,194 |
6ebddc2ca14a16defcec403879a832ee80656ab3 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xc70e37109aedd1b91b78e5723680ee5e640fc119f1ba7e178b6a14dcf7026ce7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | tur-fen-kar-2025-10-19 | Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-19? | 77,905,194 | 77,905,194 |
19e3bde8335117ebff78b85761d9f4784cd403fb | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x0ca48970e5842d33e979d68854fcbcf67e1dfdafe0b79fde9098f471182af4cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-21? | 77,993,974 | 77,993,974 |
8c8b7b3f5482c68b424b8572b18960a3e441019d | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x6357420f127da202885b329b0ab345d8e4cad127e8f85f3919cbcc43b5fc1511 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | 77,993,974 | 77,993,974 |
4d50268bd0289823e968174a79adfc9a448e057c | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x874f16bbbce3738f3aa7da491623d44e3d83bd47c777eff51753e286b5bea3d7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | yes | 1 | elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | 77,993,974 | 77,993,974 |
3f53612614590dd960805a23767b2e989aae7809 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x0cca99209ccd06b8457bd4cc6a85d836e09f46a45ce76cfa10e6b137a2bae77b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22? | 78,038,934 | 78,038,934 |
c2168a053bb958a446a5715d94251cc006f22d4f | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xdb12cec899784782109656efa40fa2036cc48756ef3a2209f94fc4fad3dcdb09 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | mex-tij-tol-2025-10-22 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-22? | 78,055,139 | 78,055,139 |
ebabad56ac2ba2ae4655482dafe8501b8a57bcd2 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x9bcc006214890170e08bbf2e2d3cfdfbe3cf399d629415aa1ad6cb50cdf911a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-11-29? | Event: epl-bri-sou-2024-11-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-... | no | 1 | ucol-aek1-abe-2025-10-23 | Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,076,270 | 78,076,270 |
e30179ae23701fcb68b8451ca0eef2ac273e43ab | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x0415504bdd90494279a0b2e9c7c798083a1a3c010f0e06e078cfc792e0d4efb6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-mac-mun-2024-12-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-2024-12-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match again... | no | 1 | uel-mta1-mid1-2025-10-23 | Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23? | 78,080,988 | 78,080,988 |
52de4cf09c29be714bbae1c2c58c9f59409b13c6 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x6697c6f61a08a83fd75088561481a2c6a05ad05079b96c3e71d0ff4fe2ff177f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-wes-2024-12-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against? | Event: jake-paul-vs-julio-cesar-chavez-jr | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Madrid win on ... | no | 1 | ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,080,988 | 78,080,988 |
fc364878aa5d7d6dfc9b5144c3e4d4f2e8eabd17 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xfa987da17046c5a31415dd4dc013d96b3f050d865e3ef136f37811671152210e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. win his boxing match against? | Event: jake-paul-vs-julio-cesar-chavez-jr | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23? | Event: lal-lev-rea-2025-09-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?... | yes | 1 | ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23? | 78,080,988 | 78,080,988 |
7b8e82f9dbd9d8e8043fd662541276ebf008ee68 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x40ae8f3cdfba49db88a144e8b1fc71acb5f39c75bd1c362934ae77a88fa82752 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23? | Event: lal-lev-rea-2025-09-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25? | Event: lal-ovi-bar-2025-09-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-09-26? | Event: lal-gir-esp-2025-09-26 | Choi... | no | 1 | spl-neo-kha-2025-10-24 | Will NEOM SC win on 2025-10-24? | 78,116,814 | 78,116,814 |
ddefc6a701e18c119605f02628065369be30c1b3 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x450c24630d7f59dff966ff0c1a3e046f428b8404ac15268d4a3d467cb169a202 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25? | Event: lal-ovi-bar-2025-09-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-09-26? | Event: lal-gir-esp-2025-09-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30? | Event: ucl-bod-tot-2025-09-30 | Choice... | yes | 1 | nor-vik-bry-2025-10-25 | Will Viking FK win on 2025-10-25? | 78,157,977 | 78,157,977 |
e53da466aa0109463e2b2faf639ef36ec3a09a3c | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x61f1d0780a789cc71042c65aa3f12a41c02fc36f60bf48d0acb5661ad179a0a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-09-26? | Event: lal-gir-esp-2025-09-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30? | Event: ucl-bod-tot-2025-09-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-05? | Event: sea-fio-rom-2025-10-05 | Choice... | no | 1 | nor-vik-bry-2025-10-25 | Will Bryne FK win on 2025-10-25? | 78,157,977 | 78,157,977 |
19a7f0c1bd79095cf9fc890161be79e4b1dc3fca | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xaeedc867dbb3790f75ed8f79147962557681c80abba1ed811d58dd0602412e70 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30? | Event: ucl-bod-tot-2025-09-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-05? | Event: sea-fio-rom-2025-10-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-1... | yes | 1 | elc-swe-oxf-2025-10-25 | Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-10-25? | 78,157,977 | 78,157,977 |
5742d0544491fd6091a7214a1735ca49657480e2 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xe5d603c533c83275595da0fbb2e4d69b3b71f17c557331e0af1efd8ffce372c9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-05? | Event: sea-fio-rom-2025-10-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-10-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SC Recife win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-rec-csc-2025-10... | yes | 1 | nor-sar-kfu-2025-10-25 | Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2025-10-25? | 78,162,763 | 78,162,763 |
5923d5d265c6afd25b3cf54d2e9a80f4d631ffe6 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x0a4a9ca32f21fa7c6ce19e8fbe745897bb8a5f22668f9d2ce19e178479eaa36a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-10-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SC Recife win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-rec-csc-2025-10-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-... | yes | 1 | spl-haz-nsr-2025-10-25 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-25? | 78,166,592 | 78,166,592 |
b8ca69a1ceaaf3809e2e9638418ec20fa9a1a310 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x1788ea00f3efe18227250b45c2cff0c2974de603070c0b48f4c5f1ccc7b0d8f3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SC Recife win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-rec-csc-2025-10-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-10-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17? | Event: mex-tig-nec-2025-10-17 |... | no | 1 | ja2-ehi-jub-2025-10-26 | Will Ehime FC win on 2025-10-26? | 78,189,149 | 78,189,149 |
7eae1d3733389cbfd2607c75dfbce34dc5c95474 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x8dc968573e7cc0e3fc82a02a815d88b58ecd7400092efb566f9dbcb3deb14e42 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-10-15? | Event: bra-pal-bra-2025-10-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17? | Event: mex-tig-nec-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-10-17? | Event: arg-la... | no | 1 | jap-avi-sho-2025-10-26 | Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2025-10-26? | 78,189,149 | 78,189,149 |
bd6a72c7c7a132cda959769dd59407b443b8efd8 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xf6ef0fcdb923e501dda446ca7deb949a83fe6d907adbb9a78ff36f0869993c4b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-10-17? | Event: mex-tig-nec-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-10-17? | Event: arg-lan-god-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-bar-gi... | no | 1 | jap-alb-vis-2025-10-26 | Will Albirex Niigata win on 2025-10-26? | 78,189,149 | 78,189,149 |
0c155c871a36f7b7000e31cb5feff232bdd0fecd | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x148abe45d68df4b6ce299d1abe7959b51dbaef8eca530797e1e149a9abdb70c5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-10-17? | Event: arg-lan-god-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-bar-gir-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun... | no | 1 | chi-qin-ron-2025-10-26 | Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2025-10-26? | 78,194,648 | 78,194,648 |
df74cdfe5b4dab80f7862c296601b7f94bad30af | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x601304b3db3bb19a779ed7fecd8970ab92a30d0dafeec6e243a81d21d334037e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-bar-gir-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2025-... | no | 1 | rus-nov-bal-2025-10-26 | Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2025-10-26? | 78,197,181 | 78,197,181 |
3f30b3990c5e0cdfc342dc991403ac34991e3b11 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x1c95745679413c53267d4969e85d2a666238f25d8238e4c5efbc0c5127776cd6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-gal-... | no | 1 | epl-ars-cry-2025-10-26 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
b64e46453ebe039f61801ffe74ff669f0b3ce1e8 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x1e7b33e2f6f726decae806ad9a4f1abbd6f30c3119c22f82fff0f4c59ce20aa4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-ga... | no | 1 | nor-rbk-bra-2025-10-26 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
8bffbbc4972a5ab4d7f81210ada733542234fbb3 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x473b561753e5a80e8d3c6de1d093da4640305b76d9d11486c13b7830a84d7c9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CF Montréal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2... | yes | 1 | lal-rea-bar-2025-10-26 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
04539214377d56204eac01de7fb61929c34eb65a | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x4bdf0155cbd6d59d298ec0ce3b6d6f70c1a0e542f935e457f8c08075627dc925 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-10-18? | Event: tur-iba-gal-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CF Montréal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-20... | yes | 1 | epl-ars-cry-2025-10-26 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
31c9b19a8f630033ead50b0dbb83dc0425779105 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x768a83bae3d2a199f261240282de4c29d5986e64c57f9953234385b24df74f21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CF Montréal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: mls-fcc-mim-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18? | Event: spl-nsr-fat-... | no | 1 | tur-gal-goz-2025-10-26 | Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
82591b741a8d5a7a09d395e1ac22a10d7a9e1881 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x9575fa8ad9b61f8a5e6fdcdd71fd5c58c34c28530615a99420bee31d6716c01d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18? | Event: spl-nsr-fat-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-10-19? | Event: s... | yes | 1 | fl1-lil-met-2025-10-26 | Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
2f37108b5e827d5e97a579c29e688788e13a757e | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xa1d146fa47854f22adbc45aed1a5c206e1f18c448c0d89a23201be5bbef7444f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-10-18? | Event: spl-nsr-fat-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-10-19? | Event: spl-kha-riy-2025-10-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19? | Event: la... | no | 1 | den-fcf-mid-2025-10-26 | Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
572e0c54fccb2076fc8ce1e77f7f0ed2a17ece82 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xf9b287d9b20684dd6ba96b7870eaeb1efce080a51cf8978e72519ad524cb373f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-10-19? | Event: spl-kha-riy-2025-10-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19? | Event: lal-cel-rso-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-19? | Event: tur... | yes | 1 | tur-gal-goz-2025-10-26 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26? | 78,203,507 | 78,203,507 |
7e0641fe6034f78264933c10c02dfb0543e40329 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x785cb84757abc0166b5ba225480ca3b550bfdfecb1aa326851b8c1cb994bf3dc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19? | Event: lal-cel-rso-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-19? | Event: tur-fen-kar-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-por-cov-... | no | 1 | fl1-ren-ogc-2025-10-26 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-26? | 78,205,475 | 78,205,475 |
ef4f3aca3ec40d293f856fcc0b3ad1bd063196cf | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xc4d9ab16ee2ae5aba27a02ab3d135d67acfeb042d547356376ad86f90f52d3ed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2025-10-19? | Event: tur-fen-kar-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Event: u... | no | 1 | bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-26? | 78,205,475 | 78,205,475 |
953f61a764363a6984e2beffee664855736c03e7 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x450f1e501790062c31d5d6a7ab069bc7cea2fa4c2b3563cd68dc0f1343316e9a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Event: ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc... | no | 1 | por-ton-spo-2025-10-26 | Will CD Tondela win on 2025-10-26? | 78,211,279 | 78,211,279 |
212a4ccfb7e83721ada903e1053416f8510ac167 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xce14a542f76071d8d65130886be15c68fd7348887dbbe8bbbd3d7631917119d6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Event: ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-... | no | 1 | sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28 | Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28? | 78,296,395 | 78,296,395 |
41b3a253d008ce562f92b365992bf9cd63de3aba | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x2c786f3a82f79980c7621fa2e6b463198edb080d3ac6360ce069395d110ece34 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-22? | Event: mex-tij-tol-2025-... | yes | 1 | sea-mil-pis-2025-10-24 | Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
bcb425d1748a2440ec080edaef71ae73c991b5aa | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x555a94434bbb136db34a21f4dd68086cce84e64639cfb274dcef88f03a7f59ac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-22? | Event: mex-tij-tol-2025-10-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-aek1-abe-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | uel-goa1-ast4-2025-10-23 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
202fce7ce3787b26a2200b8a155a56d78a97f7b7 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x7601477e0784ddc97db7c9bc337587dff6e6a9fe2e939b21456326ae4f738869 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-10-22? | Event: mex-tij-tol-2025-10-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-aek1-abe-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-mta1-mid1... | yes | 1 | mex-tol-pac-2025-10-26 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-10-26? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
53e1e67e156ab4b6b514c43ead1091464e58c73e | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x79609881fe49e5289b45333beb052cd6ad42c801a3349eb5c69fec825923ea9f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-aek1-abe-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-mta1-mid1-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-c... | no | 1 | uel-goa1-ast4-2025-10-23 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-23? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
183f5b08366b1b9bc1543067929ee7e907f517a9 | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0x825814c61d6c2d830632fe248900d2de03388943dd8bce0eb945117bbbefd486 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-mta1-mid1-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-c... | yes | 1 | ucol-str-jag-2025-10-23 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-23? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
0b463d9c2e6087dbea0a1f395d204a3012104e8e | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xc19c26fe06dc7f41aac5a075554ef842d407ad924478234e98e6f3325c0c03e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will NEOM SC win on 2025-10-24? | Event: spl-neo-kha-2025-1... | yes | 1 | fif-jpn-bra-2025-10-14 | Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
a8a075ab4114630708d23a301a33e20690f2353d | 0x270caa4dc6983ebf1018f9d6a989747122f6f377 | 0xfa669537a52acfcb7397f60010b407e6b3e8a082615f5f0e51733a38fa88f61c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23? | Event: ucol-cry-aek-2025-10-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will NEOM SC win on 2025-10-24? | Event: spl-neo-kha-2025-10-24 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Viking FK win on 2025-10-25? | Event: nor-vik-bry-2025-10-25 | Ch... | yes | 1 | fif-rus-irn-2025-10-10 | Will IR Iran win on 2025-10-10? | 78,387,177 | 78,387,177 |
1b4582ff18ea59e93a4c81825b6b9cc1f417b477 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xe340bdf8ca489636bcfac89f697bfe216e5c16da2f20dff678687e0fca7b382e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12?
Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | 77,623,179 | 77,623,179 |
c60d0a1bb3b48c1b9eca78c8d369b7edc92a8adc | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xb65c00f4be4f0e91e0af7cd426532b7ed75f182d54692c6732cdea73a1ea7db0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?
Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice"... | yes | 1 | sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,730 | 77,890,730 |
c9f58794f16c0a80ee956cb9aba01d18a11587a6 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xc235d23a27e243213b646a1d29bdb88f36065817323891ca3bf9d598d121258e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?
Event: ... | yes | 1 | lal-mad-osa-2025-10-18 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,793 | 77,890,793 |
6de28bb86eec18c1966b770ef3a179b0649f2665 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x764a6079bce7a0f318e11edd287e19d4290a5566981750a3b13bf69c43cc1f81 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,826 | 77,890,826 |
b340158139d0a04a9c7f8f9128b0080756ffed3e | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xaeb0faa41587e54306bc9c9798e593832d727ba3350ec34072f831653e42aeb3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | 77,890,868 | 77,890,868 |
743143de9fae28b8885d165412f90a1aa159cee5 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x8afb189c7a7849701687ed9fada1ae73f079224f42caa5ac51cbebfe28089479 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Will Chad vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? | 77,890,929 | 77,890,929 |
39356789d8d497072d8e2501211c02c348e99f5f | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x7ac763c25be9a327bef49188a98a7b2ba655cad8d052c1ee4e93ccd1d0db7467 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | caf-ssd-tog-2025-10-13 | Will Togo win on 2025-10-13? | 77,890,994 | 77,890,994 |
475071c76da89287591d532038020f540a2cddcb | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xdceec96848b54b4bf1da432f9cb72f926d81343d1d9cf2e8d743e6acc3eb8331 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uef-far-cze-2025-10-12 | Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12? | 77,891,013 | 77,891,013 |
612d8e7f2116a08ce86b865a9f6b64056a5849d3 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x09459d56a9ff0a658170778911d2ad50c82841945d1927277960f0d0a265f00a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Will Benin win on 2025-10-14? | 77,891,320 | 77,891,320 |
699c334933ecad3f6c66aea13c728c8e850e6208 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x8a9463aa67960439cc748747b4ebbdb57320c2c3bc9b9b7176ecc63854f1a0b3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Will Nigeria vs. Benin end in a draw? | 77,891,320 | 77,891,320 |
c7e01e5c2aabe1a46c2e2d4293da382f2f1336f0 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x32f99548d831beb65fc38bdcf55f8420b72edfe4309f6853c4070ee912c95146 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 0.999952 | epl-liv-mun-2025-10-19 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19? | 77,927,531 | 77,927,531 |
1495e5869a842b2ce74e9687ab22d1cc451d6e89 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x6357420f127da202885b329b0ab345d8e4cad127e8f85f3919cbcc43b5fc1511 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | 78,019,847 | 78,019,847 |
2f9a105f8a4bbb72864cc857a48ea3bd50cedc5a | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xda2e27600a54db80a787a239c9823502ffa5cb220220118f8f65660032590b34 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | elc-pne-bir-2025-10-21 | Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-21? | 78,019,860 | 78,019,860 |
73694cbeb8b9eab0c1729f5eda9db221e048bf87 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x874f16bbbce3738f3aa7da491623d44e3d83bd47c777eff51753e286b5bea3d7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | 78,019,876 | 78,019,876 |
8fefe62676a74e97f3122b30d2c336d4cf0c35ee | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x5360ce1c34586ac2157d4a2fe490c967be42e4ec66d2a0d0bfdf74a2a4ecd765 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | ucl-spo-olm-2025-10-22 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22? | 78,051,142 | 78,051,142 |
b10bf5b1ac661491c8590e997202c367804da6dc | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x8f01a558f32d1f48c94045e1f280d74e24e00c82163028b41ca23d42f04d94ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | ucl-rma-juv-2025-10-22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22? | 78,051,159 | 78,051,159 |
5daffdb0548167c5381006d03c40ed52bfc0041c | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xc49d31f486b072eb18b2a32b63cf3456543f46f56cb044e89d122ba0f54e9aa7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | ucl-cfc-aja-2025-10-22 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22? | 78,051,174 | 78,051,174 |
d61f2d5c237e600b690d2d1c3911bc180ffda03a | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xd48d5927685519378d2fe2fa62a24b3682ff7595dacd4439df109abff3b0c667 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | no | 1 | ucl-ath-qar-2025-10-22 | Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22? | 78,051,217 | 78,051,217 |
f3cacf4c0a2fc59edb7f07a47450935f26f94d96 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x239263810506b31c8654fd11ded134249ea838adeb5de00b698be21d8ce40632 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-not1-por1-2025-10-23 | Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23? | 78,084,966 | 78,084,966 |
e50f0c79646a7ecf7c6f959edfad21f36d8d14bf | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xb1b99361e5a3691a38f9fdf5c5744cb474b06b93cab2a473543970ff69080efa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-rom1-plz1-2025-10-23 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-23? | 78,084,987 | 78,084,987 |
5bdc9ee6acdc1b03b43ce7302c25847d30f6678f | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x05a2513ab2a43bbc707c6db0a758a2f4772a4c8a7f273e82794df6aa8640d78d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-cel4-ogc1-2025-10-23 | Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-23? | 78,084,998 | 78,084,998 |
6443deebd2775fbb2cd21ed8c1184b4b95804c42 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xf7414748322d2689606f5030537182231f3c5e6e01fbcdd370b17fcab1291855 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-mta1-mid1-2025-10-23 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,097 | 78,085,097 |
1713be9135f6d812c276ede5fa0b32cd8d4450ac | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x555a94434bbb136db34a21f4dd68086cce84e64639cfb274dcef88f03a7f59ac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-goa1-ast4-2025-10-23 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,147 | 78,085,147 |
1211cbd0ee62f23b3fa4daa2643195abd035cf98 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x8420848b911c110e9d6fe3c9b6bde6d5f5b957f5a5a4605ee6605690ece8c557 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-yob1-lud1-2025-10-23 | Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,157 | 78,085,157 |
83e1a566d0a718af70a02f999175f5320dc9df64 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xfa6a142bd5a90179c48ae9084a3e360c01675508ae8bd58bb94071ed4b60c477 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-lyo1-bas1-2025-10-23 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,166 | 78,085,166 |
b6346b5843d0de1e795725570502137a9e2d1c68 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x87cc8578ed4be3115268bece3d7342ded5a1a00c7c9f59acb95c897be2e621d1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-fey1-pao2-2025-10-23 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,177 | 78,085,177 |
b4245c067efc4d8d291b1e33609ded48ac2b41ff | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xd0a008491dcd277fda9b094ffb443a5f3eb4171efc2b55eb91276bddb8365487 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-bra1-ran3-2025-10-23 | Will SK Brann win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,200 | 78,085,200 |
4ef135facdf90dc21d7a0b65f59d1d6337785cb9 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x54ec22ff213911451a4cb7d7b6615aa785a8bd9ec444700a679c6d5b8a5e317c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-ste1-bol1-2025-10-23 | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,209 | 78,085,209 |
d0eddb8d768d09b856b0ab4a2e1f84d49e8bbff1 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x6c5ce1627b5c096fe5b336f1facdbd43072af1365b4a20eb1452e2960385a70e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-gnk1-bet1-2025-10-23 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,254 | 78,085,254 |
d298d25f20d4f63921fa6fff35534bf9e5872fb5 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x49a309923442c3d68cf732899acaa38425c9c29b2dabf233b90a2ac3d0e12957 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-lil2-pao3-2025-10-23 | Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,279 | 78,085,279 |
62c4da762bd4ecf5426b2e3035df06ae5101483b | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xa26ac375eabcaf287a9ee25a71a067125f388b510fed679510aad6797a1007bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Central African Republic win on 2025-10-12? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa... | yes | 1 | uel-scf1-utr1-2025-10-23 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-23? | 78,085,295 | 78,085,295 |
065c72e49dc7ce7a956dc726a7aa8ab09d361452 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x188a769e534021cbb3f978fa22c673e9ff6ed90dff1d9e857c7c3df5a5c791e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-rom-int-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | ... | no | 1 | epl-mun-bri-2025-10-25 | Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25? | 78,170,327 | 78,170,327 |
d84e5153029292499285a468ea7abe3bb5a7c460 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xcf2b8e1f4d8603c1519bc4c0315fb5c7ab111ff696d24703a18ca8085cddbbfd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-mad-osa-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-... | no | 1 | epl-mun-bri-2025-10-25 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25? | 78,170,327 | 78,170,327 |
479a3a5112d37c82d34122b1d875d3399993ef01 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x4cef0ac44f4a10a958b3f676ce945a0ffe1b16d0e7eac0abcf432bce7b99ea77 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18? | Event: lal-vil-bet-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chad vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? | Event: caf... | yes | 1 | epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25? | 78,170,359 | 78,170,359 |
19c4a5cdc6ed99827d4fa97826576059f6adfcd0 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xc034ac69f99d3754a416f23f6a771693bfc6eaf4417c9a4309c8f51813965a37 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-18? | Event: bun-bay-dor-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chad vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Togo win on 2025-10-13? | Event: caf-ssd-... | yes | 1 | epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 | Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25? | 78,170,359 | 78,170,359 |
2f4f6ddc721639892b599721b75317e5c45653b7 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x868c703d09b54b8b954ea630866cbf30f5bd5d307c502ce8585007355021cff0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chad vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? | Event: caf-cha-car-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Togo win on 2025-10-13? | Event: caf-ssd-tog-2025-10-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12? | Event: uef-far-cze-202... | no | 1 | bun-dor-koe-2025-10-25 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-10-25? | 78,170,794 | 78,170,794 |
0bb1cff382724a410d6f7e4e61849efbd75fe375 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x62778b81ba8b55cb12b749c8e4e959784fc4fec31d6054e0a5ed05d6e2efe93f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Togo win on 2025-10-13? | Event: caf-ssd-tog-2025-10-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12? | Event: uef-far-cze-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Benin win on 2025-10-14? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choice: yes | ... | no | 1 | mexican-grand-prix-winner-538 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | 78,215,258 | 78,215,258 |
abf30c24d21f526630175efb163e1a01136ae41a | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x38a2287224b5973434e8b840638b26342161f6b7b7aa00ca430f43dc54c8caf5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12? | Event: uef-far-cze-2025-10-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Benin win on 2025-10-14? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nigeria vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choic... | no | 1 | fl1-ang-lor-2025-10-26 | Will Angers SCO win on 2025-10-26? | 78,215,363 | 78,215,363 |
d7fa9ab1534b908625e9238d4ffb741214ec1de5 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x473b561753e5a80e8d3c6de1d093da4640305b76d9d11486c13b7830a84d7c9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Benin win on 2025-10-14? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nigeria vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19? | Event: epl-liv-mun-2025-10-19 | Cho... | no | 1 | lal-rea-bar-2025-10-26 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | 78,215,382 | 78,215,382 |
c658250a1f3828c0b9f5fba2043865082d44293d | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x3a7cd6b4c02882654bb7b63f2fc496683095890a9ed42efd4dd5980ce23dd19c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nigeria vs. Benin end in a draw? | Event: caf-nga-ben-2025-10-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19? | Event: epl-liv-mun-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.999952221940577
3. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Eve... | no | 1 | epl-bou-not-2025-10-26 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-26? | 78,215,701 | 78,215,701 |
9f5d3b5b7a736ae22d89d07929a104c0d6a20571 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0x2db5cda59a82c59bc42e3a3ff1020613b231136b15d21a7f9a741fe5e2aa4d30 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19? | Event: epl-liv-mun-2025-10-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.999952221940577
2. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Event: ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-21?... | yes | 1 | tur-gfk-fen-2025-10-27 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27? | 78,255,121 | 78,255,121 |
304027034be66bf48692be0fb8d551ee55054a37 | 0x27388dbac25cba62b54fd757c438de62c13d6412 | 0xbc32fb8e68917c22abe553167ba0a4993ba333e8640728ce2e6389d26f216724 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21? | Event: ucl-usg-int-2025-10-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-10-21? | Event: elc-pne-bir-2025-10-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | Even... | yes | 1 | bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31? | 78,435,115 | 78,435,115 |
ed5ad925dec7b495aa3bb8866d88c7fea4f5d865 | 0x27454f673df9562e76659d32505245d14da2055e | 0x8d6813ada7e83f32232cfbfb33f0ec45cfe0ab468952b9bc817dd4ec98a5fbef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw?
Event: sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw? | 77,860,543 | 77,860,543 |
0ec564200e36721c10389b693cb16cf2badc9620 | 0x27454f673df9562e76659d32505245d14da2055e | 0x16e7f4d65ff83b09ab81793a40af40e6e1bc86bbe8a53410dab8d639c19022fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?
Event: fl1-psg-str-2025-10-17
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"ch... | no | 1 | fl1-psg-str-2025-10-17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17? | 77,923,565 | 77,923,565 |
052c8d2a7e4055f63c9b71dcc7dbe2891896a9a2 | 0x27454f673df9562e76659d32505245d14da2055e | 0x639f1bc3871c0cdb5d174228af9d712167dac1c4c6153bafc45a77e51210ca72 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17? | Event: fl1-psg-str-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-18?
Event: sea-t... | yes | 1 | sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Will Torino win on 2025-10-18? | 77,932,748 | 77,932,748 |
880a7d71f209e8f0a5c8cd06b6cca83fdb3885cf | 0x27454f673df9562e76659d32505245d14da2055e | 0x4bec33462fd4d95cb5e4aba9b625d7bafdfe9c49fe2f12a95215844b264e9d95 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17? | Event: fl1-psg-str-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025... | yes | 1 | epl-cry-bou-2025-10-18 | Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw? | 77,972,438 | 77,972,438 |
eb09e81e866c3805e30121db9ee107d06ea44dbf | 0x27454f673df9562e76659d32505245d14da2055e | 0xf4c1db3b809da0606fb89ff8ade0c13bae2f52081886e3e0cae00a82ce3ab14a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025-10-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17? | Event: fl1-psg-str-2025-10-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-18? | Event: sea-tor-nap-2025... | no | 1 | sea-gen-par-2025-10-19 | Will Genoa win on 2025-10-19? | 78,079,671 | 78,079,671 |
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