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bd6d0f745d72083b05b233936ac14cb66dcf781b
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x57efc7def55937345a30c5161405d6ed42a02958fc74166f284365a63c4a1e7b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $76,000 on November 15? | Event: bitcoin-above-76000-on-november-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.019053722859365345 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 3.787181252593766e-05 3. Questi...
yes
0.415258
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?
65,137,928
65,978,289
2f6f0a31f22534f97bc1cc0a1fa5985af84aa5df
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x9e5fa7b9e370eef01006b068f47a1cfecd197470c4eaa3bc3a25ce4ea5786795
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,250 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 3.787181252593766e-05 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06450882399600352 3. ...
yes
0
will-bitcoin-dip-below-100k-by-sunday-1
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by Sunday?
65,165,529
65,174,631
7b1e1d20201d9d13003a35b2e7e908a0ee166858
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x206f4a5f8fab726af0bf127c4003c9a66b9c1f6bbb8ed1157492c01d6d75a2ee
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06450882399600352 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.012690001586426011 3. Qu...
no
0.010281
ripple-above-2pt39-on-december-13
Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?
65,169,690
65,447,292
d9b124acfccf26b40c686416992da14f694378c9
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xa8019c363268cbe8864c032b133631c5fd2e0bf437135cdbff7c97903532a154
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.012690001586426011 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.044161406032027076 3. Qu...
no
0.002438
bitcoin-above-100000-on-december-13
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
65,174,631
65,447,292
519f3c6cdc79ba1e4ba980ecc01b029f503f7bb3
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x73957b07d24cbda2f18be4d29881ffc04fbc847ac67f7b52d5238d7051c82cc5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.044161406032027076 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.021652923035145984 3. Q...
no
0.003437
solana-above-240-on-december-13
Solana above $240 on December 13?
65,197,150
65,438,334
f9e6810ffeee4d206f51b8d263faa5539e9de86a
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xd34184e3964e967189835e6ca51a9b05ec81e93b643ea9037668d4e8bac2112b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.021652923035145984 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04285624141712051 3. Q...
no
0.002981
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december
Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December?
65,397,897
65,655,697
aafc433b052e523c605188553211ceda76a2dfb0
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x64289ccf065892c754f0e2e6c0c1f9071317c966978666ba317cf7ec31b60af7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04285624141712051 2. Question: 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | Event: balance-of-power-2024-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Bitcoin a...
yes
0.00036
solana-above-225-on-december-20
Solana above $225 on December 20?
65,645,663
65,664,150
671af2dc461a623830baba0d36ba33d88d37a3c1
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x1d2ecf863d42d132b0a02251e78fe62f5832855bc0623f33e04bf555994896f1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | Event: balance-of-power-2024-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22? | Event: bitcoin-above-90000-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04752252775823514 3. Question: Ethereum above $3...
no
0.000001
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-today-12-20-24
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
65,743,117
65,743,117
fc2333338d7ccd98367b5aa259f4eeba06530706
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x1d9a6336944cd6499d460540535d0d1d529003340403dbf7dfa565e95b05ffbd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22? | Event: bitcoin-above-90000-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04752252775823514 2. Question: Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22? | Event: ethereum-above-3000-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.05407987943689193 3. Question: Ripple ab...
yes
0.019702
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-sunday-dec-22
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
65,743,117
65,837,591
2904acd708ba79c07165bb3034a84bcad8d69739
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x94ce768de3b55e3411015b90737a7daf54f8e3614b929b380bead622195e5ec7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22? | Event: ethereum-above-3000-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.05407987943689193 2. Question: Ripple above $0.87 on November 22? | Event: ripple-above-0pt87-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06000293425852455 3. Question: Will Bitcoin ...
yes
0.051536
ethereum-above-3400-on-december-27
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
65,764,187
66,041,501
61bd16d181ca56ee36a19a20da7ca47fb21e49a8
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x979978268fd6693e4c7856ac93f1d6d6f23f8747109f6586160aa0022f85d480
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ripple above $0.87 on November 22? | Event: ripple-above-0pt87-on-november-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06000293425852455 2. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.003527106803924981 3. Question: Will Bitcoin h...
no
0.010172
bitcoin-above-97000-on-december-27
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?
65,764,187
66,041,501
3c51e67824f3079a2ad823ddf4aad250e2f33d50
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xe180b9bb27e2c212890ba8444bc6956f8f681c89fbe0e420b24593ced304b25e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-november | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.003527106803924981 2. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-november-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.004151481370343101 3. Question: Will Bitcoin h...
no
0.029172
ripple-above-2pt20-on-december-27
Ripple above $2.20 on December 27?
65,764,187
66,041,501
9bddd72f9011f41c570134ae3e7461e52053c37d
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xe8c2b93ac2887b255cc0021631f5ee72e7045bfd22e9331c940c48ad2f6a3f6b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-november-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.004151481370343101 2. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-sunday | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.02080987902613855 3. Question: Bitcoin above $100,0...
no
0.142705
solana-above-190-on-december-27
Solana above $190 on December 27?
65,795,456
66,041,501
62f9c117f9af85ee37a319b3ea35d7f7cae5b7e2
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x5f7842f5d3be987a52470265bd1909421cae8c318d6487fb38b902b0c5055d4d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-sunday | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.02080987902613855 2. Question: Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29? | Event: bitcoin-above-100000-on-november-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 9.593877564683179e-05 3. Question: Ethereum abo...
yes
0.010056
ethereum-above-3300-on-january-3
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
66,041,566
66,266,060
f80661ea3d8fb505864b091cf4bdab1947ea9f58
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xc201255ac4fd4ca73d38eb331681dd9c4597fc85ed52a89ef664fa399a2f185a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29? | Event: bitcoin-above-100000-on-november-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 9.593877564683179e-05 2. Question: Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29? | Event: ethereum-above-3300-on-november-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.010505329151244967 3. Question: Ethe...
yes
0.128766
bitcoin-above-94000-on-january-3
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
66,041,566
66,266,060
b96cdd714db95eb4b7b007e7160ab392eb049b38
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x97480fb1ea30619d6682bedb183289eccf60da180311c8ba45985dcba13a05d6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29? | Event: ethereum-above-3300-on-november-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.010505329151244967 2. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-december-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.002699226843498991 3. Question: Bitcoin ...
yes
0.642374
solana-above-185-on-january-3
Solana above $185 on January 3?
66,041,566
66,275,194
bec0f4146d140d7373877f0d673c9f9fce5457be
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x131ec938bb5f143a0d345349ae02624d82207e960ca0a6caa40ccd5b3b5a7a26
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6? | Event: ethereum-above-3500-on-december-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.002699226843498991 2. Question: Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | Event: bitcoin-above-98000-on-december-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.009777627936379448 3. Question: Ripple abo...
yes
0.016818
ripple-above-2pt15-on-january-3
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?
66,144,021
66,275,194
91f4ea230a23b69536d397dce5f09e967edf2465
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xc85fe2698d8434f9ebd0fa82d75fe2da36edfc81a354b85fef1582d889e5655f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | Event: bitcoin-above-98000-on-december-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.009777627936379448 2. Question: Ripple above $1.69 on December 6? | Event: ripple-above-1pt69-on-december-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.001781099269981706 3. Question: Will Bitcoin h...
yes
0.007324
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
66,195,948
70,583,488
02430841bc021b28f61b3ce13e41de01f5ce53ce
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x3b781ece48b1fb8090db7881c8d29956e8e784fc558ada927800c42586a39a4b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ripple above $1.69 on December 6? | Event: ripple-above-1pt69-on-december-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.001781099269981706 2. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-friday-12-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.16704514181273913 3. Question: Will Ethereum h...
no
0.043394
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
66,234,634
66,687,678
381adc9602152824a27ba320f7c3ebe4d59e79e8
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x44c5b4d851e8c06698c13b54e8ba33e37637e13bdb3f375ce0b6727b2aa06b48
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday? | Event: will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-friday-12-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.16704514181273913 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $3,500 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 3.0960177777349335e-05 3. Question: W...
yes
0.061642
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,266,060
66,801,986
56b1ce1b13f75e43b1d8b759b5408b1d6f6ff1ce
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xbf881a6f9c9917526b62e0d4b0d1ad43973088d295d87a9a604c2652195cc637
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $3,500 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 3.0960177777349335e-05 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $3,800 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Bitc...
yes
0.055207
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-january
Will Solana hit $275 by January 31, 2025?
66,266,060
66,882,004
35f1abb2c0580c00b4a67d6a3bed9e505abedafb
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x1f44bd0ee7132279c4f0a4db305650f84a3abccdf5d6bf3f96bdcbcd7119ff64
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $3,800 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $130,000...
yes
0.012586
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
66,304,709
70,583,488
bf2e31f62ceb9ad29885897ce3b80cb628a49fa5
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xda9411ee13b1f6d9d58a72bb77fcc70fa4623afafc1beecb5714fdc9edbf986b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0430742352580181 3. Question: Will Bitco...
no
0.096352
ripple-above-2pt40-on-january-10
Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
66,315,484
66,606,923
b082c9af0eb066ee68e44acbcaf2e443d9745824
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x47a70190b3316ea98c3cc52349537b6fdc7180a89d4c055dc35308713ccf6fe1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0430742352580181 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.02976647878389536 3. Ques...
yes
0.058526
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-january
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,333,336
67,227,564
5eafa59ae19bd30e60863fb785c693b11efdbd2b
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xb66c3477f83da99a18bfb067ff538fab2374e38a9cf40e531d78a4b233da051e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.02976647878389536 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.001992057497879427 3. Q...
yes
0.296922
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-january
Will Solana hit $250 by January 31, 2025?
66,410,117
66,882,004
d21e089614b822948e654d327f015239b1892f03
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x49390379c99ddc1aca765352d219e7bc315b07e4cddd792bb6906c2f524b8d06
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.001992057497879427 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.01403211527225384 3....
no
0.009401
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-january
Will Solana hit $225 by January 31, 2025?
66,420,496
66,843,867
123ac0fbcdcd7f77ce19f684d266b27c25b9b101
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x54789d52943aecb23f549a290b852c43516b0197c1d90d3a85ceb1338fb0a1e1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.01403211527225384 2. Question: Will Ripple hit in $1.50 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ripple-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.10448376068794445 3. Ques...
yes
0.000224
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31?
66,421,079
66,658,759
cde07176132c3d98e29b7109f32e0c75560ea891
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x20dbe01ca6d9787c9d203484ee77ffdf47c13a454ce785d9fd70c9cf8eb1fc62
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ripple hit in $1.50 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ripple-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.10448376068794445 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday? | Event: will-ethereum-hit-4000-by-sunday | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,300...
no
0.463774
solana-above-215-on-january-10
Solana above $215 on January 10?
66,421,588
66,453,376
f7a15c3f62948ca12f9570e32565c64b355c191b
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x7c662197ecf9c6c2441c1cb57e8c8a761a5782eeb0c219dc14daf3f165d188a1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday? | Event: will-ethereum-hit-4000-by-sunday | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.16368649740355787 3. Question: Will Ethereum hit $...
no
0.051557
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,421,724
67,413,037
746e17d849c411a12b643e9866252ce93b1223cd
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x78dd44195111f89210b059180792a1fa156d1f211392e76575dc36846e815987
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,300.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.16368649740355787 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.41525804333279065 3....
no
0
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,422,866
67,149,817
9ecb29a35c927bb99c147155ac9636b698718acf
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x5b2d327b5ee6390593bb907407f1adfcb6cccb13c1b5486bb13e3d5b3476e863
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.41525804333279065 2. Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by Sunday? | Event: will-bitcoin-dip-below-100k-by-sunday-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 2.2733732203294053e-08 3...
yes
0.154596
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-january
Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?
66,423,435
67,149,817
f281252c4a6228158a190419702bd5383baa22d0
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xe84982410314f815056eb56397b0d0cceeb8b16777d0667ab6f0e373a5c2cc19
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by Sunday? | Event: will-bitcoin-dip-below-100k-by-sunday-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 2.2733732203294053e-08 2. Question: Ripple above $2.39 on December 13? | Event: ripple-above-2pt39-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.010280520543019828 3. Question: B...
no
0.163564
bitcoin-above-97000-on-january-10
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
66,425,985
66,606,923
16574468887e774906d3773e04c88f3f9c2742f9
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x8d29692749f246da11fb329a2ecaf95d08cc6c97d3f8ebe0c052d1ce42057595
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ripple above $2.39 on December 13? | Event: ripple-above-2pt39-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.010280520543019828 2. Question: Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13? | Event: bitcoin-above-100000-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0024384238994828874 3. Question: Solana a...
yes
0.051057
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,453,385
67,232,208
d5842221c994fd6e31af19b66d22c1ad18a47cc0
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0xcdab757d22e9ca242163475ed1426e6a8d2c9a579b39198f7cec223024ee2e89
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13? | Event: bitcoin-above-100000-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0024384238994828874 2. Question: Solana above $240 on December 13? | Event: solana-above-240-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0034365185272217554 3. Question: Will Ether...
no
0.236663
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,455,402
66,658,759
972df9844b6aeed02c14e6a824764a0018c38072
0x28065f1b88027422274fb33e1e22bf3dad5736e7
0x0f3131c874579825ecdbbda8c7aeed071aa908d7c993792c393285900e68906f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana above $240 on December 13? | Event: solana-above-240-on-december-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0034365185272217554 2. Question: Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-december | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0029805477312711843 3. Question: Solana...
no
0.041324
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-january
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
66,455,897
67,374,831
cf09f08b397aa354fd05a405bb75561b0e0f99cb
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x9120a9f5f93e1746d822dd3c8554d88bf9a53216f10007e363acb78406bf0ac1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
martinez
1
atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez
78,587,564
78,587,564
70cfef656776b06f4484e1a2de692b8f3bd43232
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x751ca25043da33cab8c9142c0172ce955bd4a8bb6a162c4f87ddaa83325bf21b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output s...
no
1
ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?
78,596,119
78,596,119
d5b30998ea0f62aacb62be9dde15f71c9b07c881
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x7a9951a09c31fc3ac2815a614def5f14da2a85da08488a93604ebbbf62c95eea
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2...
yes
1
elc-der-hul-2025-11-04
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04?
78,600,041
78,600,041
a77bb8e976eac7cb4839bd52a81d4df80aaa0363
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x2bd0bd38e6748adeef028f3539235b94c24e9b67b1e15691748a4b2096e5c0cf
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
elc-bri-bbr-2025-11-04
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04?
78,600,370
78,600,370
f9a2be34d14b584df95685e396f6ddfdd973d827
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x9f64169bf4dc397b5113271d545627696aa8ac8393c79a473d4504451603967e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
ucl-paf-vil-2025-11-05
Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
78,638,961
78,638,961
3a2b55b32d3c7aff5b55a2b461d299c14b0a199a
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x6170d1e2b23483654cbbb7485d5c6f24bd8f55fc258a2c2bb0e343e1d035d717
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?
78,643,419
78,643,419
4fbe67bf20ce6051a8e2ba24fef965c43924667b
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xf61eec0d13966a6a8c8776f536550bdfdc447b0a8b21ae6274fa8008770d8c8c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
ucl-new-ath-2025-11-05
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?
78,643,481
78,643,481
f50638d13a57cde033f6e1c4026190336e5905d3
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xc7badca7470be581bf9e07c7d538f1b6fd30a952b1ef8b9bbfd6dbcd2f033a99
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?
78,643,482
78,643,482
dc833f66765e9ad4c395046367149acb0d35c9e9
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xbaaa39bbec96c4304a8fc933378632e335107e9bcf60c7d621ff0cb5c5fc7f42
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
ucl-int-kai-2025-11-05
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
78,643,863
78,643,863
bfce2493c517d26de731df9c6f950a328eed229f
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x22f97d5172eb8780616fb90a020b8a291e259d0fc58bea7a3861237072cafcbd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
uel-crv1-lil2-2025-11-06
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06?
78,682,607
78,682,607
9665782da7d21a3060a0e8cced9e0c21c1b7e542
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x6ca8b8d3bec6b5f0ef4744258fdeecad7042dc1a2cedadee2483c4e9d27e7de4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
uel-pao3-yob1-2025-11-06
Will PAOK win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,256
78,686,256
7326571b05c6855f05368ad8ff974936b4aba710
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x4432e2d342b13c397fe1e9d56a3b6d2abfa7ee6676a1d2fdf49d9899470090a1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
uel-ftc1-lud1-2025-11-06
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,319
78,686,319
6882159417335dd209a16123bb6b50d949ad2121
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xb8580e841b709da16072aa42a5434d0f7d7ae85377139562b274a1a1a4444e7f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
uel-bol1-bra1-2025-11-06
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,383
78,686,383
05ee3c489aeb68720895e8acd98872188c29f948
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xdb79649693c3445dc03f1b182688b8efdcdf3fb197028e6025d8e98a00b35499
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
uel-pao3-yob1-2025-11-06
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,383
78,686,383
ec98217f2ac21f02919ef5bb8d7f550b9ba1b452
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xc7140af820a655d88846bdadffb22726d7f096819915ad3c6bd78fa138646c1d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
uel-stu3-fey1-2025-11-06
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,468
78,686,468
9aac33de0d1e6ecc1936009658dc3fbb73e8205e
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xe3a368982fcbb793aef6663427eb26b48566a8b681f6d665ccd94f1a0937290e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
uel-bet1-lyo1-2025-11-06
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,468
78,686,468
dcee8c07768b6a39e2c30c505ac8627515358330
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x99c5225af440485a23b0cebf5be006dd49ce08ad96d89f1e2616a0fff0da1946
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
uel-bet1-lyo1-2025-11-06
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,469
78,686,469
4440898aef77d0fc03f6aa11c10aad7b7bb23a57
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x147f9dc35f246d0a458575c31d8b700002111eb561d7bd83f2407f0779a58775
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
col-lin-rij-2025-11-06
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-11-06?
78,686,530
78,686,530
e08ea48d0e1993e808a105f5b5c3385005f242a2
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x2ca9d3ecc6bb27cac0c4bbec28be6ec12151730c2e029b013fa0eb133b44ed73
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
aus-per-ccm-2025-11-07
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2025-11-07?
78,713,086
78,713,086
8cd4d375ee223b5a8e1a06ec23378608d5262457
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x1cc5bed37428ee97f1b643caf6bbc2c1da904858fe1e36ff859e80e5366c1ad4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
bun-wer-wol-2025-11-07
Will Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
78,728,800
78,728,800
8842ec63c21b91111099961f7c1c994df5cd0434
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x86c515e6d1bb9e852347c8dc9350365ecf4da047667a794cc00173dd7d9473e7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
lal-elc-rso-2025-11-07
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-07?
78,729,644
78,729,644
9da98e4919f4f7c3a98ab7de776d136e5d9aac56
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x3a656a847db769c88a6a493d506cce71ba3dda8fa15d2b7326a7b3065d2495a6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
kor-dae-gwa-2025-11-08
Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-08?
78,745,781
78,745,781
9d5d643334fae4119d4c8c1ca7838d54d659e514
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xa821f4e34d8f8c8558e74a8d9d03f6fe098d2789942aaf9571fc8a61145d315e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
ja2-con-oit-2025-11-08
Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo win on 2025-11-08?
78,745,844
78,745,844
0a6167157856b15a319261b6fd3d2552f70f43cf
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x5194ca936739dbd634c3a9bdc8092f868326c120a6d476ece9531430b14a1558
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
spl-neo-nsr-2025-11-08
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
78,762,010
78,762,010
a39dfa2f3ceb011a1967bb6f9cdff0fa3694bc28
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x940aa35bf6a44e724a0ede0380c6a86e7d9ecae9634869428626ca02ba48164c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
sea-com-cag-2025-11-08
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-08?
78,762,839
78,762,839
bf0e62308974a66d85c3da193fa416717a528f15
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xb889e20318b5a18442f653aa5c7f8cf32e3a6cab91c8d3a59e284aa4b6e38ef6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
epl-wes-bur-2025-11-08
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-08?
78,764,588
78,764,588
f7e3cd2fec563a7e7c733dfef16aa1825624799e
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xb0a1a47dbabaf3715fb0d29a0e731b57e3f53175d47d41332de3aa5a40425250
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
elc-sot-swe-2025-11-08
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-08?
78,764,835
78,764,835
5cb245236afc5134e798014c8dca1915916603b8
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xa98329885032bcb59125000bb2f62721676c0bd2896ba39f81457a0cdc34524d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
elc-wba-oxf-2025-11-08
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-08?
78,765,270
78,765,270
f29b5ddcbd85d1db90f1ad2be88d05f56bba08d4
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x83c3219f7e6226329af9c0c641dd3cfacf5601f104a8c8c4cfaef70e976a58e1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
epl-che-wol-2025-11-08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?
78,773,758
78,773,758
51cf7a9ddc142cf7ced98f6bc88b696d319fcd10
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xe57dc3b1eeb93d297874f433e7d54fb0c94038adc93e91189eaf86b62a113a87
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
yes
1
arg-rac-def-2025-11-08
Will Racing Club vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
78,773,758
78,773,758
66f7c6d40bd9b42eae9ec2e78ac72ac01d3501f7
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x367b6d352992d56b424ec1a5dd423a6848140187d356a8dd63ff27abdbc07134
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Pedro Martinez | Event: atp-giron-martine-2025-11-02 | Choice: martinez | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | ...
no
1
mex-tig-asl-2025-11-08
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-11-08?
78,779,382
78,779,382
75a2d6f08dbbcd88b9d22564e10970ad635215c7
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x69e0115fc629cbae7c4db60f7b06016244b3dd59c86a3312bcf1d08ae51467d2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: ucl-slp-ars-2025-11-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: elc-der-hul-2025-11-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: elc-bri-bbr-2025-1...
yes
1
arg-sms-lan-2025-11-08
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-11-08?
78,781,422
78,781,422
8b2717bf450459072cbed5f8b32be2fe69b4392d
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xcffb4b9aa1e32a9157478a492318d3ac321b5167e4ff88085436402edd118737
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: elc-der-hul-2025-11-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: elc-bri-bbr-2025-11-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Event: ucl-p...
yes
1
bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,051
78,815,051
347ec56ccbb4aa30f224c961422cf86de08f9552
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xef1cf78cf89964704410671d819f30c07997b5be6499d2bee17eb001365ee470
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04? | Event: elc-bri-bbr-2025-11-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Event: ucl-paf-vil-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05? | Ev...
no
1
sea-int-laz-2025-11-09
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?
78,816,634
78,816,634
e1cd4125f579cb6307c30887a8c4b65cc2ab1f27
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xe1ffb7672852c242bcc7eeb63c8f832eb75a7fa3ef4480781ed97dc7c1eae09b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Páfos FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | Event: ucl-paf-vil-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05? | Even...
no
1
fl1-lyo-psg-2025-11-09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?
78,816,696
78,816,696
0eb3e4b2e2b2e5150e7439df2a23b1da48c197ee
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x971b6376b65b1d76ddd60143143b5d68b129de1f91033a2d074c6ef2e2158ae4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-new-ath-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05? | Event: u...
no
1
lal-cel-bar-2025-11-09
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?
78,817,508
78,817,508
3a41dbaf3f43045c70e22e25e0412a6997c75aae
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0xb75f07adcfd0e4f498e57c483c736b5856aaa77f0d61bb73478b4ebd17190656
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-new-ath-2025-11-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05? | Event: u...
no
1
por-scb-mor-2025-11-09
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-09?
78,818,466
78,818,466
155ef9c70b3f3a80c6e4d03960ecc96290be3247
0x281624d441f5d6999f005724757efefc2a8c0730
0x516f48091a7dbac257123212f28fcfb821aaf232d66f79e4de6ae8ccd823320d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-mnc-bvb-2025-11-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05? | Event: ucl-int-kai-2025-11-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-06? | Event: uel-cr...
no
1
mls-sdg-por-2025-11-09
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-09?
78,827,103
78,827,103
db0b1de54aadeededc6a9dfa41beedb90cbf28b8
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xf5ce50b48dd595b08c6832714751dde43addc2f31eb8d1a63a30a7b59ed8b749
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
yes
1
epl-mac-new-2025-02-15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?
67,975,186
67,975,186
4f974c177ecb3c4671d7689ec523ff670e1bbf44
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xc4f170156d98da99fe844c1254c8b80ce3b65a0c998eb851adf36c54ab375fa5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ....
yes
1
ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?
68,139,209
68,139,209
04cf6692016fe090a2c8bcb1ddf83ca0240bcb48
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x7ce04ac77c6cbbfc1cdf8ed117ceb65eaa8e94129a16cbbb8ce17354d1854e28
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw...
yes
1
ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19
Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
68,139,215
68,139,215
ef254cf4eed1f9c946f880abedf30b6e962f4979
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x9e81521e04856a022cf13e35c09b62da4c6d3c8213fb052f88535c5afaa930a6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
epl-bou-wol-2025-02-22
Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?
68,393,333
68,393,333
46bb453c5896f89b51a699585cddabea6e7172ff
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xfcfce8c9c0b7fa5587e5298a2ae21a0da3aeb50686afe9a805b82db34be357ab
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
epl-bou-wol-2025-02-22
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-22?
68,393,333
68,393,333
dbb236a138b49f9c21fd6cc99e31387fd44b3876
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x18b7fa1336d8e303b26fc049abd8e86832d4819cdeb52998ea93c5b074ee51a5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
epl-ips-not-2025-03-15
Will Ipswich win on 2025-03-15?
69,103,429
69,103,429
bcb09aca348eff163d222cfd4f67079fc29e96f4
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x413488c8244dc2cfa33d4ce8cee9099a5a9317d2809082513483e4a054804519
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
epl-eve-ars-2025-04-05
Will Everton win on 2025-04-05?
69,949,453
69,949,453
f4487fdd55bc0133f7b22f4c1900c0294fa500ad
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xb361a31aa60a6d9c714da6c35c064b4b5df0412d40335a57714e81901c2976b9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
epl-tot-sou-2025-04-06
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-06?
70,000,861
70,000,861
a49bd017dcad864e6456f1e8f96967e30809a8c6
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x6bab93f573782144ddc42ada6923df935df79f43baf54327c5eca01b1f3f35be
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
ucl-int-bay-2025-04-16
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?
70,402,334
70,402,334
f325017ab470626d8e41bdfc554fe4d177b375f6
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xc4d0cada597290b2759f0ef527562b9d61f009fbcc3b56fd21ff828d0d43423d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
ucl-psg-ars-2025-05-07
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?
71,246,768
71,246,768
b390e10a55ae1cedfb0770dd0cddb1c9e10364aa
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x14197a2979391a7bb1e6918582334640f309c22c7718f824c9fa1e149302662f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
who-will-be-the-next-pope
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
71,387,359
71,387,359
e1eebf24ed221330ad65667f219eef2397a6c07d
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x3e171ec5a23c940d116ab18d844b57aaa98a6f48a95b9ae6af7869a658b3566f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
la-liga-barcelona-vs-real-madrid
Will Barcelona vs. Real Madrid end in draw?
71,409,325
71,409,325
29b0e1e379415caf15c9e2d5ecfc0f1713381e57
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x96f998aa7e3d4291cd5209711b9edff23aef7f322969c1868621cded6f784ec2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?
72,355,307
72,355,307
7f67635f1d9a1d47170694ddd2870832a51f9c99
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xc11c84dbe1519a4165201cb2f7dd90274a5c3208f2d60c2379691e81fefc456f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
72,355,307
72,355,307
8b2b012d2d16556b6564f2837520b5a3cce37796
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xc86aa16b74f67a14219b1c90f7e39bff1977be35f5c7a69f9e71ea34208f51d3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
fifa-club-world-cup-bayern-munich-vs-boca-juniors
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?
73,041,266
73,041,266
3e56e5af7700883331a95e14a188f903c37f7615
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0x235c1a35c662fc30c68554ca907bcaaf9e882e9645948ea525d9180cd3519822
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
yes
1
fifa-club-world-cup-group-c-winner-663
Will Benfica win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?
73,196,755
73,196,755
3ca23ebf70e649ecee14d6939557f05f366b25cc
0x283110a62b1e3e22d5c5f410aeca79fae9655602
0xcdd97bf429ad7931e43f3de7a292e9e6160a1898e19954577e3d45fedb467bdf
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15? | Event: epl-mac-new-2025-02-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19? | Event: ucl-rma-mac-2025-02-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Event: uc...
no
1
fifa-club-world-cup-benfica-vs-bayern-munich
Will Benfica beat Bayern Munich?
73,196,755
73,196,755
356256a5b0fb1a8d996cbf69f1d9ea8df261e43c
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0x14197a2979391a7bb1e6918582334640f309c22c7718f824c9fa1e149302662f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
yes
1
who-will-be-the-next-pope
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
71,280,242
71,280,242
ce4f8d0621b3250552cf7196c21a1bf02035cb6a
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0x735211dd26d984cdcebc66ebff857e2a68891ec6f410bcd18f57f190261eaa2b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict ...
yes
1
days-to-elect-the-next-pope
Will the next pop be elected in 2 days?
71,280,242
71,280,242
35fafaa5690dbd88760eaabc64e61daf4241142d
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0x1fa72926309670e8ef8d8b7ebe8fe06bf50ba4bc9b43187218ce3ec3ca89f200
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will the next Pope be from North...
no
1
what-continent-will-next-pope-be-from
Will the next Pope be from North America?
71,281,005
71,281,005
2f8709e33a848228167b2decc7bf404c0a02151c
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0x2d8fd37760d0c045db3f8f15e466d753a705ff764882754e8d56181875866228
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
no
1
what-will-be-the-next-popes-papal-name
Will the next Pope be named Francis?
71,281,005
71,281,005
c5e41edf620c20f97ec4722b89792d244733b881
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0x7c0cea4d74ffb2c8451f8834fc9f93e72479eab3a4a98b75127940f5f60f1622
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
no
1
who-will-be-the-next-pope
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
71,281,005
71,281,005
eefd91b274237446975513c943ebb04f3e8b4e62
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0xc9419f62294dc0af13db4530a49c3608ee2e4d603e753de30aa5f192b81fb747
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
no
1
what-continent-will-next-pope-be-from
Will the next Pope be from Europe?
71,281,005
71,281,005
cee2b519332e8d2c5061240f0568d41bc838fe4c
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0xdb553ea306f2eb004b78817508c961e0aa7d3538de894187bd42737421cf220c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
yes
1
what-continent-will-next-pope-be-from
Will the next Pope be from South America?
71,281,005
71,281,005
f8708aff180177c95765ff22097354f9c6df38d1
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0xaa2d602776ce6fc7b59bce6806b859e2322df9ea05f01154f270cbf53fab4700
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
no
1
what-country-will-next-pope-be-from-2
Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
71,281,104
71,281,104
fecab855a6ee24a563e8a59d9a922bde4929c22a
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0xa82836e520d785403a3ea029b221e3f0af255cc8bed794cc038b7c1bb78fc989
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
yes
1
of-rounds-to-elect-next-pope
Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
71,294,194
71,294,194
bc73b8b17c4d8cba7f852bb9e662bd25c45ea25d
0x283b2fcdb2f0068498e32122141b8642217a3a9b
0xaf51603d78545c838490bafe178ee9ff4c23d0c2161f15e0e530d3735229ad3f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | Event: who-will-be-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the next pop be elected in 2 days? | Event: days-to-elect-the-next-pope | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the next Pope be from North America? | E...
yes
1
romania-presidential-election-winner
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
71,698,904
71,698,904