sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
d03a3e32792a2aaa64ba1b47cd4e561a2c33bc6d | 0x285e44ebc774abfbe205ccbf1636979309379ae3 | 0xaf970b4ea8c825ffee12d3a3230c0d0b6539fa6a127f169b448f870c1a19e000 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FTX payouts start in Q1 2024? | Event: first-ftx-bankruptcy-payout | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Alabama have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries? | Event: super-tuesday-state-with-highest-trump-margin-of-victory | Choice: no | Con... | no | 1 | oscars-2024-best-director | Will Christopher Nolan win the Oscar for Best Director? | 54,290,632 | 54,320,763 |
debf4729356ba35bce41a6a7b469d62cbc283f39 | 0x285e44ebc774abfbe205ccbf1636979309379ae3 | 0xcd0126143cb6daf16e3d8410ee82c0b963e250c8a4922850e1135e7926fd1000 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Alabama have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries? | Event: super-tuesday-state-with-highest-trump-margin-of-victory | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 20-30% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-o... | no | 1 | justin-fields-next-team | Will Justin Fields be traded to the Atlanta Falcons? | 54,290,642 | 54,290,642 |
2b23bd5a345ba91fc62ee8842b898107a7e8313f | 0x285e44ebc774abfbe205ccbf1636979309379ae3 | 0x3840893eedd0e6cf2e2f3449c79153eb026360b3aa3a59fec13373bbb5fb9800 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 20-30% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 30-40% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice:... | no | 1 | republican-nominee-2024 | Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | 54,290,649 | 54,291,118 |
14eff8692156d36baa657d189f7bc6497ee29dec | 0x285e44ebc774abfbe205ccbf1636979309379ae3 | 0xfb57d64bb510045dc79fcbe515c1feaaaf6e18210d5cd2545b89a85d3ef57f00 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 30-40% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by more than 60% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice: ... | no | 1 | wormhole-market-cap-fdv-one-week-after-airdrop | Wormhole token FDV less than 4 billion a week after airdrop? | 54,291,073 | 54,324,865 |
eeebe99b99daa77e628497715960bf827969c186 | 0x285e44ebc774abfbe205ccbf1636979309379ae3 | 0xf416bc3e0e900394bcb0acf7f7e699d31028cb9f6cd4ed84d7552c0364c8f200 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by more than 60% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by less than 20% of the vote? | Event: trump-margin-of-victory-in-michigan-primary | Choice: n... | no | 1 | oscars-best-original-song | Will The Fire Inside win the Oscar for Best Original Song? | 54,291,200 | 54,320,445 |
b88bbcc8607b19b5a15fc5832b951ff2a7fde745 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x3b3699f815f5fbeabc6f1d90588ee2657dde04027b2724e07f9861bb13a3fd54 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland?
Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | 58,185,455 | 58,185,455 |
edb9e923efe9084abd10df02db3820a6ba6a3885 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe7419501c204048fc07e08474992b2218637729f9ac824cc964d2f1c708c336b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Spain win?
Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Will Spain win? | 58,206,619 | 58,206,619 |
d13afab8bc752fe1f2fc39a55cd932d287901bb9 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x6f8350e9633b88d52da4ca8bac1c56d9a516c46f8c2b6cf800009b3c53d0ee92 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will the match be a draw?
Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands
Pr... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Will the match be a draw? | 58,240,545 | 58,240,545 |
95847dff39fedc28bf7fb2f6808d5f53d234c3b7 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x69c5fd3c6a0e9e9a93e95a1c4816f8fc1829c3318a8f93468d5e18d075874018 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Will the Netherlands win? | 58,240,548 | 58,240,548 |
959915aaad0ca44da926bdf973effc450d4d4076 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x1cca769ff879d712ada33cc6ebbde79ec770a793c4601e5b46ce6d72ee7425f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Will Denmark win? | 58,244,471 | 58,244,471 |
702ad0e460889b0aa61c1960ba78b9602b921da9 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xcebe1cb6e3f9f6daff62bbee384ed48b22fe006e65e43437aeec8b1043135d70 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Will the match be a draw? | 58,244,471 | 58,244,471 |
da079279f068505cf314526fa209c11d47c3a990 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x4e9cc974485103ba8b0bd6b40c05a7b01fd31108a48d4a239dd1f5daebe6483e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-serbia-vs-england | Will England win? | 58,263,913 | 58,263,913 |
cd7a0a10f5f191f13e57b190e3bf03bd74c2a191 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x840b05f5ac97e10ddc3735e2465340740b6152325965cb1955a47a8002ecf2a0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-romania-vs-ukraine | Will Slovakia win? | 58,284,766 | 58,284,766 |
2dbff48d3c17fbca00a3dc73eee409d377f19547 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x483ce87de7e9edc8e7ffbd2763f2bb8b7999e73db4e6ce8a86aa1bca1eabcdae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Will France win? | 58,303,409 | 58,303,409 |
7e0f23dfe6e0ab8be00fcd1aeab32ac106e15291 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x503ec1dc21995a2e5aa6c839a7c9abc6cc87abab16262c0588814d709616d2ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Will the match be a draw? | 58,303,409 | 58,303,409 |
20251b92081643ee89c53e9fb1c6f36d358c158e | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x849753c23a361b9c8696072789fb39bb8fa526ffcbab52f7c439f43dee54b1bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | nba-champion-2023-24 | Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | 58,303,409 | 58,303,409 |
d69c517aaa324f078484281793a9f2b5c4d4757c | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x9ea5b47e59f4f0c2799c23b1b8f16bcaf0aba26dac003ec6abe1458023a462f8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,325,941 | 58,325,941 |
cc709e5314fd9653934de57afb1170958372267a | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe2761a02b2cb5dab64a9ac080ea75722bbf6b14daabfb3e7b950ebbf1abc3602 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Will Turkey win? | 58,325,941 | 58,325,941 |
fd8018a27b5c225e32ea4a5517ef992fa19e6307 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf482a4a7c1e689458315f4c0c03dba2200f30cee58aa379ea4bee17a6bad4d31 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-portugal-vs-czechia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,345,357 | 58,345,357 |
92fa12935a927ecdd25f313caba4f3cb2137ff7d | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7d1e2791209512673c12481b6bf87329c2ec65e534f8aca7c731ec2cf1b444bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Will Croatia win? | 58,361,205 | 58,361,205 |
dd9b617a68a3759e113988f73adf6e4b769e23c2 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x989a1d7aa1433bac0be122944a50262c95cdc335a71ccf7212e690c31e1692f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Will the match be a draw? | 58,361,205 | 58,361,205 |
d38fa7db181cc5f8855fe281344db27890bc3a50 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x00170a925d97ede2ef8ac1c2dc4bc176ee011482b35653c01ef354469d7c76d2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-germany-vs-hungary | Will Germany win? | 58,365,233 | 58,365,233 |
3157043ac3a44a881a1654b8ebeb30838ba7de69 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xa77ab44a6c317262494e7e65d6319e7e68700923c37c6bfd5b12ac8ff1d42a41 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,399,116 | 58,399,116 |
e479bc54ccdcb7dfd9a1e381519804c37e13e2b1 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf75446e2a94b128b66c448615e98b81cd111151a8843ecb6d4a637aad40ab7e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Will Serbia win? | 58,399,116 | 58,399,116 |
7cce685ae9960eadb044abd1c8c5d1079d623227 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xb303dd2ef1f9a4b91a5ee9cd18d24597cc7270000dec41085fe8703ee2b9dc45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Will the match be a draw? | 58,404,057 | 58,404,057 |
4af07d807eda6b02b4eaf86058b3bad3cd13ccdc | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xfc8aa052614e9b483dc411f2388bcc087db207ea1c4ab4a22e493eb26302b252 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Will England win? | 58,404,057 | 58,404,057 |
b711644edf228f49f18408f1547c5a3aabd6eceb | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xd53edd246cd2260c1b4d59735762555a4d06f797cc05c26683da3e429ef22fda | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-argentina-vs-canada | Will Argentina win? | 58,420,031 | 58,420,031 |
de1ace3d782d086d3a28bb9184ca17c37e856d25 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xad499c743d94d87093c74f756171a4dfed60a7361fa88bab3721ba61badd5aef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Will Ukraine win? | 58,438,860 | 58,438,860 |
61290fdf36f05b6d57e6d1a5cceebff834db7773 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf85c976b998bf6250abb76d3a2751aef5f91e087fe71c954798c8e8b77ac071f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Will the match be a draw? | 58,438,860 | 58,438,860 |
e0c5b195db854ce0363f3d800e8ab81fb5ba45cf | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7ae4185eb4d94710587314feabfacd7539ebc7e00b7e51c2c821c6e45e84b2a4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | largest-company-on-june-21 | Nvidia largest company on June 21? | 58,448,449 | 58,448,449 |
773a44fbab5382fb573709f9e934df7147d134aa | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x084cf8a321b6c9e5007bd4cec9703a22af11ce176167baf467680bea6881343c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Will the match be a draw? | 58,463,299 | 58,463,299 |
c4b8bc9baf91d36b807ed0bf3c3609fe38273fae | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x2421d5c46ce736ad659fa50f7e28bedd082895be565b3c4113f192b7fee88819 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Will France win? | 58,463,299 | 58,463,299 |
25c124a55c96549831d61c0478c056ce78189f26 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x35b850df58e941e5fc741664c63dac260f4ea630b7d3b8eb14e7789124098f90 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Will Chile win? | 58,463,299 | 58,463,299 |
4e429cc4490935fd28b5765273d7ef152ba60d6b | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xc309de54faeb9586fd4eb86e2960fa8eeead74e5eb5ee860ddfe65ee331d333c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Will the match be a draw? | 58,463,299 | 58,463,299 |
175a2918f8500b4330dffabaa6c11a910e1f6a4f | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x09c1862a9286d6767741ac56845a88329224beed4b5cb4fa4e8204f9d961d2e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Will Czechia win? | 58,480,102 | 58,480,102 |
a5858451b39a72e932cab309675716fd5fcc371f | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7f9b2accc2550776b5bfecca3b98454825e1c9a948464fa2245639e89ea904b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany Win vs. Scotland? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-scotland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,480,102 | 58,480,102 |
db62df3d78d8a705499fa5637993c6ed7df3927b | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xdd569a7ce6a80e8c8892f86d4e969fccfe3a5998a674a09f50c3605d3a4b467f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-spain-vs-croatia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the Netherlands win? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes | C... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-group-f-winner | Will Portugal win Group F? | 58,484,113 | 58,484,113 |
cac248977e5f2cecb8893c61c91a1f4515fb057c | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xfbdbf7c4e5f337da9743bff13a59c821c0b498a4b56fd3be0324ea65743fd586 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the Netherlands win? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Denmark win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: ye... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Will the match be a Draw? | 58,484,113 | 58,484,113 |
692967c4132dff430f84dd112578fa94dd9f3abc | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x468ee4c48ac454b4dd4392f8ec370eea32c3c9e9d2dbfc2547b712eb0b1939a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Netherlands win? | Event: euro-2024-poland-vs-netherlands | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Denmark win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Will Portugal win? | 58,484,424 | 58,484,424 |
bd68ca1be5f639aa852aa542768c74caddfb3fbb | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x49c59fa88e5bd128625874684f054a8e180f88477c0afe6e6ad7c2fbb7b052f6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Denmark win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-serbia-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-f-winner | Will Turkiye win Group F? | 58,484,424 | 58,484,424 |
8de6562d93e7a48c91e43f446a7f88bc8c2c539c | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x81e53d1bbd13b604bdfd1a4713af4d2d6082f022ebbce820c2808859caa31c01 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-denmark | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-serbia-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Slovakia win? | Event: euro-2024-romania-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Will the match be a draw? | 58,509,327 | 58,509,327 |
11ba3fcfc631f47586cb2619cd815cca2299abf5 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe409b94e54b822334d3fc5b492cef4c3f621ced4f9464c1e8a1cf8e60243b992 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-serbia-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Slovakia win? | Event: euro-2024-romania-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
4. Qu... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Will Belgium win? | 58,509,327 | 58,509,327 |
4b3a2fe293ff752e5b308c250eb6241be269c3ce | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x5fd74bdf423930b4f18430eb77a79e351a5f47e1ac952f4b218fed3a59f9d6a7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Slovakia win? | Event: euro-2024-romania-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1... | yes | 1 | biggest-winner-hcl-celeb-game | Neymar Jr. biggest winner? | 58,515,436 | 58,515,436 |
2cf150c2f07c6d6c74b0166dd9218d4605370584 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x3af61e7e56c6385314d3ea3d32e3b0748be22af7d87f496bc069531b4024a397 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | Event: nba-champion-2023-24 | Choice: yes... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-a-winner | Will Switzerland win Group A? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
d531934a70ca00fe28e49f9f31ea69da69a3cb4d | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x3dc69a2da7f4c9c4c7d558b2c2b884f66000475bce834e884c92eec96d2bf1c3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-austria-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | Event: nba-champion-2023-24 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice:... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-group-a-winner | Will Germany win Group A? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
e5a21165d59eb1b1f41672e3900dae921eaf4892 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x57badf7944e18e1cee11719268a5cc3610c441ed1a659189615a6cff80194f23 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | Event: nba-champion-2023-24 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Turkey win? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice: yes | Confide... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Will the match be a draw? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
d265ffdb0f8ce0de0c2d47cccba87c725f50fee0 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7337549076878d45027bdb51bce58c00d9f17d395ace88442c95fd386cf36502 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Turkey win? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-portugal-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-switzerland-vs-germany | Will the match be a draw? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
4cb3606da9d2158b8701a60ff9df72b43a22056d | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe454961da5b810ac8a52e877f7cbf48b06ed0e330d1298e22d53b64f55281699 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Turkey win? | Event: 2024-turkey-vs-georgia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-portugal-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Croatia win? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
4... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Will Scotland win? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
89744749c5d4c1b3f6675c8fa5df1f327c382ed5 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf7d0fad63d45d6145d97653c34459a65643948a5c2850f0961edf8ce21a63272 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-portugal-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Croatia win? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Co... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Will Hungary win? | 58,542,970 | 58,542,970 |
f5b62a2a62e544b0f2663a4298b2a604ef4218a3 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x21ffdaddb7e44bf15a3687d309a2e5bfa46b76d5b5543acc48ef98a370b31df4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Croatia win? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Germany win? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence:... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Will the match be a draw? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
808599e431cc8be8b73819952b68a70bf19af182 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x291a89a743317218e5497e2c69573706c63c9237ee824ac3dd5adb333a75b06d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-albania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Germany win? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Con... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Will the match be a draw? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
a8f3ee75096e096f49132e9b7dda675b3b819e5b | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x6dfefed044dc8c2bbda7a036f641b5cbca4513ec3935387689482e65df7708ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany win? | Event: euro-2024-germany-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Serbia win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-croatia-vs-italy | Will the match be a draw? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
633e67eb5a83f3351ecab36c9d5fd0dfb4c8a2f7 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xb422004f807fd50ff123ce8d168df020ab8f91567c7fdc259d1f48d1939057b5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Serbia win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Conf... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Will Brazil win? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
f0a543f9348922da2580814834f3bd6ea97ef919 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xde56ef83e8d09aaca1e226e493ae19436505214f8568eb6b25c446f9cf393a80 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Serbia win? | Event: euro-2024-slovenia-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: ... | yes | 1 | nhl-champion-2024 | Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
6a0928aba327092215c0205306a96380f21d43c2 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe8f39eac877cb32bcf92a5b26c918de0be01a2a3d88fd7d5e7690b7ef06984ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Argentina win? | Event: copa-america-2024-argentina-vs-canada | Choice: yes | ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Will the match be a draw? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
d93925044def2383dd2556dcb57fbbdae1505dd4 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf4e124a04d4d037415f26188a2b5b1a06ddabf49eefcc062c896c6d55944b935 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-england | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Argentina win? | Event: copa-america-2024-argentina-vs-canada | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ukraine win? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confide... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Will Spain win? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
5c770dec232f096e7ee93b71855a51444f44cf9a | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf66f035d5b64d0e04926fb4cb4d73b8e5aad8b85f6028db4c9b451dbcbec62a8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Argentina win? | Event: copa-america-2024-argentina-vs-canada | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ukraine win? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Will Colombia win? | 58,590,673 | 58,590,673 |
77e5e5c480fe4641d85ca51266e1f04611254939 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7c3022ddeae4d2af031fa31a497ed8360d6cdb6fd4725bf572285a3f8d86824e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ukraine win? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Nvidia largest company on June 21? | Event: largest-company-on-june-21 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Will France win? | 58,603,478 | 58,603,478 |
7d4c6cc4cd854dd6125fde0824a2565ccd1766aa | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x93e3d5b50da3c4bd98c527d8d34195f3adb10198c7c45f36c1e09f4efd63ebca | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-slovakia-vs-ukraine | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Nvidia largest company on June 21? | Event: largest-company-on-june-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-group-d-winner | Will France win Group D? | 58,603,708 | 58,603,708 |
04212468b39421fef86dcc122000984f7077a830 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x808bb36a2ca984d8d827afbb40d338584576b7b9a8287401c7d5d01e92541cf3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nvidia largest company on June 21? | Event: largest-company-on-june-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choic... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-d-winner | Will Netherlands win Group D? | 58,606,502 | 58,606,502 |
4bbb6f74e4cf7f45ed1f38c6166fed740852ef4c | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xa9e21b25b3396da1314b79893a7beafdd10eaad4250ad5240a8470cafb61a6df | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chile win? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Choice: yes | Confi... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Will the match be a draw? | 58,606,502 | 58,606,502 |
7b3408ccfff3c826b416af7b46f119271759de5e | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe7a9e7b004e86c399125cc929322b04129e6ab7d7b2a6796114bfa2694dd256d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chile win? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confi... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-d-winner | Will Austria win Group D? | 58,606,502 | 58,606,502 |
934bcd30ebc5bd6c0f54780d84d5a173dc81830f | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x145ba1b287f8b1f17d3299356993560c8a55ad11f88b7a9e0ce2f4a06aef3546 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chile win? | Event: copa-america-2024-peru-vs-chile | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Czechia win? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confide... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-c-winner | Will Denmark win Group C? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
89cc818521d30c46371536731966e832729df9c8 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x32bd8e6b98769c54edb9779fc3e6884b74e93c51db1e8e930afa482e437ba29d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-netherlands-vs-france | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Czechia win? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | ... | yes | 1 | utah-senate-republican-primary-winner | Will John Curtis win the Utah Republican Primary? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
7fbb538674d8be7dd0fcb664ba28d8a5f980f0bd | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x3734461e31ddc678d821c3fc79b55bc87f333e22e64b8d6c10f118d83d8a1dbb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Czechia win? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Portugal win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: yes | Confid... | yes | 1 | ny-16-democratic-primary-winner | Will George Latimer win the NY-16 Democratic House Primary? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
0f11993051d7bd228bacbf385c7f1490b6f4fa1b | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x5b3de18f63aaa92c4511d86d519bf656f11cb6147b8bfb15c548149602183a3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-georgia-vs-czechia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Portugal win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a Draw? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-chile-vs-argentina | Will Argentina win? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
14dbdce2317b5d3cd74f1a3c2a21741f95408b7a | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7e0509a24f156b5dc385aea4f008a28fc682636c7efd5c959e02fb35ab959757 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Portugal win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a Draw? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Portugal win? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes | Confi... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
8d8e13a2f7f174f29debccb6ce8931a17c6fe084 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x97587696745eda390f2f350edd200144bab259c4bd4851c3c504e4facbcaf5d1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a Draw? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Portugal win? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Turkiye win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: no | Confide... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-group-c-winner | Will England win Group C? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
6be4ccd27a6bb11eb710a14236d5529367dc3667 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xa5127164972ae637ce2ec98815b311bd460984b5cc8a8067fb22dc38e0870910 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Portugal win? | Event: euro-2024-turkey-vs-portugal | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Turkiye win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confide... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Will the match be a draw? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
6d76af95da80cd8b637006a36c6ee301a73f8a19 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xbe2ef632d273d13b501d2b983e5d5dbb4b39552f7a173b9cab68810d094dbf29 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Turkiye win Group F? | Event: euro-2024-group-f-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Belgium win? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confiden... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-c-winner | Will Slovenia win Group C? | 58,626,520 | 58,626,520 |
5fd8b8f291b8458b4967e4b40e65a7d9d9d450bf | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x26ce2fe98f1d9a00cbc40c18940016b4717683b94905474b5f86a4394e4d761d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Belgium win? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Neymar Jr. biggest winner? | Event: biggest-winner-hcl-celeb-game | Choice: yes | C... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Will Denmark win? | 58,626,700 | 58,626,700 |
13ed64d77e2232fbc740cc6a4667ad5525dd9ddb | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x9ab51964144a578b1657c72ca7aca1cd1108b5672816b177cc688e098eb2804b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Belgium win? | Event: euro-2024-belgium-vs-romania | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Neymar Jr. biggest winner? | Event: biggest-winner-hcl-celeb-game | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Switzerland win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: no | Co... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Will England win? | 58,626,700 | 58,626,700 |
717ff8bcdcefe74395da09df8933906de27920c2 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xafbdae29456e51553ba5a3bf0545419e131dd011d69510e54424e62adbd2f79b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Neymar Jr. biggest winner? | Event: biggest-winner-hcl-celeb-game | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Switzerland win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Germany win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-chile-vs-argentina | Will the match be a draw? | 58,626,700 | 58,626,700 |
4c8f70ae68456e44013ee54e6e032052fa12e74d | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x384513039d891184dff2b517ff8f9cc9fada12c2ecb70f526d5d85681f22d156 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Switzerland win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Germany win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes |... | yes | 0.32964 | euro-2024-group-e-winner | Will Ukraine win Group E? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
3ff065050be986eae8779f38d707dba4e70c055d | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x6c3f29ab3d66e56dde25aa653e5e5c8c05ceb5546fc925816aaf3d76bb86abfc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany win Group A? | Event: euro-2024-group-a-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-switzerland-vs-germany | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-ukraine-vs-belgium | Will the match be a draw? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
51fd178a4fae468261f1700b631475e5bf38af03 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x9ddba49b687998692b3aae9917bc6b9f0e872fbea250b1a103938064582d3721 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-switzerland-vs-germany | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Scotland win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: ye... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-e-winner | Will Romania win Group E? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
9988d795b96b6a4ac99d730b3c93ec39b8ae691f | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xb4b857ec5062d633f3d19dca5c1a1c06518f3e0d0de212c3fbb78e486f235a3f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-switzerland-vs-germany | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Scotland win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Hungary win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Conf... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-group-e-winner | Will Belgium win Group E? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
d0c375f658588de6ac9e97aaf9ffa21c658160dc | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xc5e7517d0cfd8d18d040fed6794083feba3b7de7032c233f17459b7e6af17bd5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Scotland win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Hungary win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-ukraine-vs-belgium | Will Belgium win? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
69a3d29292b5aa2ef352d20bb014ae37aa4ee536 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xeb5c0b240cc210c482ca20b1b9cf4d989a0c41a7f4c195348ecde4688c107f6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Hungary win? | Event: euro-2024-scotland-vs-hungary | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-ric... | no | 1 | euro-2024-group-e-winner | Will Slovakia win Group E? | 58,646,282 | 58,646,282 |
f8970ec92893f1ab9cab8effd22fa59800fc8b31 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x16f1faa3375a584b092d38e989d57777f22b201d286104636f7e315a4c3153d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs... | yes | 1 | nba-draft-1st-pick | Will Zaccharie Risacher be the first pick in the 2024 NBA Draft? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
5499e707ed3bef695e219af69ad0960ab46f4523 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x1db6ebe342d62838ecf91ffb55358d97135821b59199948c4ab12af2cafda848 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-italy | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brazil win? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-venezuela-vs-mexico | Will the match be a draw? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
df7fdc4f50e3c91956ccffa6a9e9fbdd3645cf5f | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x2458ae3aead6c14d8ba21a40af061f38155045f322ebc61f7edc85c6d7a79974 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-croatia-vs-italy | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brazil win? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup? | Event: nhl-champion-2024 | Choic... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-czechia-vs-turkey | Will the match be a draw? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
930f350bb76eb727f2089b9dbf0d8c2d0e1083c2 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x6ed56a5e9f87bd06da4d60c95df1aaa58f32db5a30e60f6f369a57b4dc1c311f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brazil win? | Event: copa-america-2024-brazil-vs-costa-rica | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup? | Event: nhl-champion-2024 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choic... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-ecuador-vs-jamaica | Will the match be a draw? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
c37eaa60ca693efcc84798ec5f7004213fa21d55 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x7e2f4eb3e638e03345f90ce24285a7bd054921feb3a7dff62c13edc76d6af75c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Edmonton Oilers win the 2024 Stanley Cup? | Event: nhl-champion-2024 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choice: yes | Conf... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-georgia-vs-portugal | Will Portugal win? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
97beec776a09fc10316c7aad8f9386f585723e15 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xa8726b5b9c15cdc0b879bf81eff2dfa7fff447508702b4461c4ce53c1751156c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Colombia win? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes | Confid... | yes | 1 | nba-draft-1st-pick | Will Alexandre Sarr be the first pick in the 2024 NBA Draft? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
c8c0aa13dfbea96ed4deb657eab9f7f60b881353 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xbb08a469e56e06f220524b28fd42b66f8cf7d206d198ce38d9181a4fb89b31d6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Spain win? | Event: euro-2024-albania-vs-spain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Colombia win? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-venezuela-vs-mexico | Will Mexico win? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
a2e715e63ada7d410e017b0fca967928c1672c82 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xbd97bfe60bede906bd7469f15d40eec1ebc3c04d2b9320a1f3aab82994d60261 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Colombia win? | Event: copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-paraguay | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will France win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: yes | Confiden... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-ecuador-vs-jamaica | Will Ecuador win? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
006551aff31b3dd42d8a4306dfd5692110320a66 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xe001b331ac10fb3aaae388db6e4a0b3b94ed484dd5bcaa01c71554983cc0cafa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will France win? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will France win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Netherlands win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-georgia-vs-portugal | Will the match be a draw? | 58,669,024 | 58,669,024 |
f3cd23a8269c21a7a11b7c8ed298927f3306d880 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xaf9b619f6268ed8e06ba97d1a9b4ca1416db81dabc20cc52737cb0d9d6f21d78 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will France win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Netherlands win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Con... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-uruguay-vs-bolivia | Will Uruguay win? | 58,705,285 | 58,705,285 |
99652aa3625982fc4746c9c26cc42a62425477b9 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xef969fa6b65d0d5cbab3c8972d4c2cfb1198377d3709d0aaa896a13c7f8b7a69 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Netherlands win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Austria win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Con... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-panama-vs-usa | Will USA win? | 58,705,285 | 58,705,285 |
cc47c0d40675da97e271d259133975d0ecd8dc4e | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xdaa47d4e516473695f9deee20959a3c4c493980cf7e8fc482f67170ac19ce31c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-france-vs-poland | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Austria win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Denmark win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Confide... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-panama-vs-usa | Will the match be a draw? | 58,722,988 | 58,722,988 |
0bf058004be6f265f438acbbb70e1f8b9e3fa02c | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x0b4eeeb0e54a0f15b6f7d15332db363877ff10c98013dfd1a35c5c16222eda73 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Austria win Group D? | Event: euro-2024-group-d-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Denmark win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will John Curtis win the Utah Republican Primary? | Event: utah-senate-republican-pri... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-costa-rica | Will the match be a draw? | 58,746,812 | 58,746,812 |
4555d146ef40e861f7233169c63187a956f979ff | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x837cabe1ec137a7c3f1314b21efbdb210a1e5d5a2db9ed9697802cec94f1cd52 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Denmark win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will John Curtis win the Utah Republican Primary? | Event: utah-senate-republican-primary-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will George Latimer win the NY-16 Democratic Ho... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-paraguay-vs-brazil | Will Brazil win? | 58,746,812 | 58,746,812 |
76f2dcb395ccec226e48aeab5a82c09270a933fe | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xf7db2fcdcc955052606e440d64544d7b711f3e46541bae1944b1df86d99262dd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will John Curtis win the Utah Republican Primary? | Event: utah-senate-republican-primary-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will George Latimer win the NY-16 Democratic House Primary? | Event: ny-16-democratic-primary-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-colombia-vs-costa-rica | Will Colombia win? | 58,746,812 | 58,746,812 |
fe582174397041c7a97c261aa816a1b728ff5c28 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x098760e11eaefcf550521579fd284565a96d5279c4e4cc639f95e325e0ebbe29 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will George Latimer win the NY-16 Democratic House Primary? | Event: ny-16-democratic-primary-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Argentina win? | Event: copa-america-2024-chile-vs-argentina | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: e... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-canada-vs-chile | Will Canada win? | 58,797,834 | 58,797,834 |
255506b1369717f5bb0d1dccd80f938ccc5c91bd | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x9a669aec62871adb541da86ebf319ceef2b77951587ba289aabc84c6223938df | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Argentina win? | Event: copa-america-2024-chile-vs-argentina | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will England win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: yes ... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-germany-vs-denmark | Will Germany Win? | 58,797,834 | 58,797,834 |
e3f46a80b9a3302bf0485bc551122beb46ba97b9 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xce2c2b0aea1198337b37d0cd2816665413d56ee592d3fc3cd10160fab0b9f07f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will England win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Choice: yes |... | yes | 1 | euro-2024-germany-vs-denmark | Will the match be a draw? | 58,797,834 | 58,797,834 |
01f8b574f80053c7edde553df75dbf9b9fd1b6ea | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0xd8cbc6204dcf4f7a3808a5a707d90424fb0b078a0a0b1b1243c65b3e4865cea6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will England win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Slovenia win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Co... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-canada-vs-chile | Will this match be a draw? | 58,797,834 | 58,797,834 |
0bcd37aa5d7a5b675002d3e6364ad9e179aee217 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x1a0f317cce65f797fa632d21ea2914d43810300baac869d2236565fa95bcc124 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the match be a draw? | Event: euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Slovenia win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Denmark win? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confide... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-jamaica-vs-venezuela | Will Venezuela win? | 58,820,007 | 58,820,007 |
fb135a25bae794c6be916744ae8d97f93a872cb2 | 0x289a51155f27c01d4cca0446c22a89c1f4801909 | 0x2a07a8797c35df796d802ce6b45267177a07aa9fb2f71dc79741495f84e496e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Slovenia win Group C? | Event: euro-2024-group-c-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Denmark win? | Event: euro-2024-denmark-vs-serbia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will England win? | Event: euro-2024-england-vs-slovenia | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0... | yes | 1 | copa-america-2024-paraguay-vs-brazil | Will the match be a draw? | 58,820,007 | 58,820,007 |
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