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2f93b416a5e759278aea94c27f900d91d5249621
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xf900c6c5640b30c1d00e3327fb0acb86a51df59f252be9f09e8fdccb044d600e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-aek-abe-2025-11-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-mai-fio-2025-11-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06? | Event: uel-mal2-pao2-...
no
1
grammys-record-of-the-year-winner
Will Sorry I’m Here for Someone Else (Benson Boone) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,783,753
78,783,753
a3af8bec43e1693a0cc95724eed5c73dc4abae60
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xafb50cfdbd6e818fe8581bdd6aa43e84907ce58c4090124f2cbdc156166d758f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-mai-fio-2025-11-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06? | Event: uel-mal2-pao2-2025-11-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-...
no
1
grammys-record-of-the-year-winner
Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,787,691
78,787,691
a02e1b82e98998b475249e22518cb26ba92bf2d1
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x1138b3f295433fdd8b10f082d202e94f2080f54dbcf1731b1ff5e15bc29f461f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-11-06? | Event: uel-mal2-pao2-2025-11-06 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-aek1-shr-2025-11-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Isaiah Martin win TX-18 Special Election? | Even...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
00e32b87021f808f071f813b37c7e8310766c57a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x15a8a272cc532994500db9e4ec0ddd56f1a7e8a80d3cf637a33c3558204d73c9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06? | Event: col-aek1-shr-2025-11-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Isaiah Martin win TX-18 Special Election? | Event: texas-house-special-election-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the highest temperature in Londo...
no
1
grammys-best-rap-album-winner
Will Balloonerism (Mac Miller) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
f1bd965a4b5edd4f503809481522e78fbcdd32da
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x22acf38ba6c7482aa271ad9ccb0824c0f98ae33bd33dc344699c009fbc387f62
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Isaiah Martin win TX-18 Special Election? | Event: texas-house-special-election-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or below on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3....
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will Rachel Chinouriri win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
1df40486199d8d8b055201f4bfcc7243b7b9e26f
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x24ff7de41fe1945321ae3adc4821542015b99f16d1253dae99a3adb1859ec73d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or below on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8...
no
1
grammys-best-rap-album-winner
Will Lotus (Little Simz) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
eee8e486839eca11a45f80596e44bdb2c4705b4b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x28b13e1f0eb49616ef2e8017e3bc99e5ca49816cdccb85e354673bed88b5afd7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
07615f1c5f0b41f14264e281e826349c849d5bb5
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x323570d7edde2a832d241fdff2341bd2afe3bd163ec578ccdc2fbe05000423e0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-11-08? | Event: jap-fct1-avi-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ma...
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
bf32f3ed3b1410254931e35aef2a266ee45609c4
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x4962e1b11aac7e9da65852a8135d62c0e3cd3bcdf577bdfbcc449970fa9c56ab
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-11-08? | Event: jap-fct1-avi-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-maz-nec-2025-11-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Daegu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-...
no
1
grammys-best-rap-album-winner
Will Lethal (Rico Nasty) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
75863febcf825886e87fc1b8f31e61553c648657
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x4f234528c85001934c1b293bfb2b10c3595e4d6d50a142e5b6c44846f30edf48
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-maz-nec-2025-11-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Daegu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-2025-11...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
7e5ad2ca9147a71706e1b020f3ffb621268b57f1
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x69542d0dd607120607096cd07536ee8632b0ddc2b437ad4ffe509d49edba6ed2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Daegu FC vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Daniel Chavez win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election? |...
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will MJ Lenderman win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
9c676bdd797a0f05a0c13403fb644699d68f5855
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x8bb2d4825c0ad0fc081fb569386bebd3042264d6c355e73d8ec852cd40fc7fb3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-dae-gwa-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Daniel Chavez win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election? | Event: albuquerque-mayoral-election | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-08?...
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will beabadoobee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
1cf6c62f2e251527eb88a4a09be172af1804eb3a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x9960c88b73460878b7606dd0664fb882f9de419beb8774e428b29d44335c0211
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Daniel Chavez win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election? | Event: albuquerque-mayoral-election | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-08? | Event: jap-kas-yok-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fuku...
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will Sleep Token win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
bd6bd4560f423bf5f73fbf797a94b3dacba59e6c
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb60f76b35cd549260160ebfd2200f2ac81adcc901b935e0dba93fd9ae1f90a52
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-11-08? | Event: jap-kas-yok-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? | Event: jap-fct1-avi-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Anyang win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will Azizam (Ed Sheeran) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
cecf497eaa5a5280e71db31edc33d964d24e7eda
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb773929ff72826d3cbeb15aa85075ca5854366eba23c0b96eef39e203e0cabe1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Avispa Fukuoka end in a draw? | Event: jap-fct1-avi-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Anyang win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-jej-any-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-maz-...
no
1
grammys-best-new-artist-winner
Will Ravyn Lenae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
e356f769231b3e8e7bf6fd322a0425dac332363e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xbabf264bf844a133fe1949b42ddfdc5eb8fc93a48212d26ce48259b7afbd8ed0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Anyang win on 2025-11-08? | Event: kor-jej-any-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-maz-nec-2025-11-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov finish third in the 2025 FIDE World Cup? | ...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will Daisies (Justin Bieber) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
d212e6b95b4b374aa3ee72ddf6314b9fef0fb405
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd0afcd764d8dd0498510579896e156c7a0661db5560ee7378383e0e15faa7159
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Club Necaxa win on 2025-11-07? | Event: mex-maz-nec-2025-11-07 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov finish third in the 2025 FIDE World Cup? | Event: 2025-fide-world-cup-third-place | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgoro...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will Am I Okay? (Megan Moroney) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
7e6af29c58b145ec0c2ca0d9d27e94ac64715f99
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd8d70e04a002622046638aef0df19ef5633f129617f3f2ec347aead6d1d27571
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov finish third in the 2025 FIDE World Cup? | Event: 2025-fide-world-cup-third-place | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Rubin K...
no
1
grammys-best-rap-album-winner
Will GOLLIWOG (Billy Woods) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
17a9bde33b20a9a02c94fd4f05c08a01f68ccded
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xebab3bd7a88803933cd00d8f0ac30bceea7ba86d744694633b76c2d570755ab9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-...
no
1
grammys-best-rap-album-winner
Will Music (Playboi Carti) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
91e5a612bc2a6735d35d13182149b1c91fab36e6
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xfd56904e09fbc39cb735c316a715815f1edaf0d5f453614e70930ad1415a64ed
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Rubin Kazan win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Cov...
no
1
grammys-song-of-the-year-winner
Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
78,801,768
78,801,768
fddb8819664cafd2491fbeb538a2edd663ed0476
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xfe40e67a860e95d00a868ec06aa49ab4164f296ca6d232207b07ab7063b1e4d1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 8? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-november-8 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: elc-sto-cov-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will ...
yes
1
ja2-ren-jub-2025-11-09
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2025-11-09?
78,801,768
78,801,768
dd4fe495868ff769e3c29e26792097143ea6c10a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x195139b6042ffe592765136d2f6ea41551bd7a3bed8c7173176bbf8b996c1f66
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: elc-sto-cov-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw? | Event: por-alv-rio-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. FK Rubin Kazan end...
yes
1
nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09
Will SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
78,809,550
78,809,550
1870d23943c7201e665da8fb17b3120c36af03ed
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x5b3b196564c4e1c3da1de413f8b903dbd54a6a2d512b962d86a8148f74a63900
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw? | Event: por-alv-rio-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11...
no
1
nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09?
78,809,645
78,809,645
df8808b154e563a338f582c40b347cf30f4f1a25
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x6691852765eb1773a27554522555a52f8e7cff5877be58608e68a502e2c35f8f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. FK Rubin Kazan end in a draw? | Event: rus-nov-rub-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-soc-ros-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-08? | Even...
no
1
rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2025-11-09?
78,810,190
78,810,190
79c3be1264e4c320db575505e5558860792f653b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb9de9381ecb022854ebd180bf81391d8e24c7e9ec7a0901c8cf608e251666fee
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-08? | Event: rus-soc-ros-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: por-ton-gui-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-08? | Event: por-ton-gui-2025-11-08 | C...
no
1
rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09
Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2025-11-09?
78,810,253
78,810,253
8c8f2656e0b0703ad9006c000fe75a470302de48
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x1984c70e65005db4f6013e8831450b6860b5aede2e2d72b9affdd4df4f64166f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-08? | Event: por-ton-gui-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-08? | Event: por-ton-gui-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-08? | Event: ere-vol-nac-2025-11-08 | ...
yes
1
nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09
Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-09?
78,813,071
78,813,071
1e20208dcaca10d26acdd5d80cfba75e9e4c62af
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x5843766a2ae49b478cab34f4b0dd57e9e294de6440df32dc68efe56b9e57fe18
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-08? | Event: por-ton-gui-2025-11-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-08? | Event: ere-vol-nac-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the...
no
1
nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09
Will FK Haugesund vs. Molde FK end in a draw?
78,813,071
78,813,071
860ae3e5dd9b210d5d16d93415f8df835c2e01f5
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x17530df0a20e649eea5a83aa2f5bb0ae0c1295de50e875cbe2528a7865f8e450
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-08? | Event: ere-vol-nac-2025-11-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1...
yes
1
bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
78,815,773
78,815,773
f6f8e26049533bd3d0a8996e54353ccbdd1c6558
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x51c370ce6e836859a849bff20599e72038e7b9a7a57cf698ebac3a8259a98a17
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: gra...
yes
1
bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09
Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?
78,815,773
78,815,773
06a0e14d1cd2561ae934d83c9391222bc495c59e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x847c4dc3077a9d95d83f7bb55efa2bdecd2bfdf2246b4257b9ced72bd68fdaa8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will All My Love (Coldplay) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Sorry I’m Here for Someone Else (Benson Boone) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: gra...
no
1
bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09
Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,773
78,815,773
850c1585da4aa0393e51e81b60d0aa16db20ec5f
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x9c5642b8f41b7606c4c7cacb5e18cc955bef0cf3b036ff899a3a9b5393a47aba
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Sorry I’m Here for Someone Else (Benson Boone) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Ev...
no
1
bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?
78,815,773
78,815,773
3fc834c9a511f63c5ff429598abf873880224c52
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xba19de43d1d20257b281b1bebfd61bc6b706d01bf8c6a561b2c6cc9f53b26c85
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Even...
no
1
bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,773
78,815,773
812d2f66347288eebd8252d95a093c6429407050
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xcffb4b9aa1e32a9157478a492318d3ac321b5167e4ff88085436402edd118737
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Never Too Late (Elton John and Brandi Carlile) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Balloonerism (Mac Miller) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-...
no
1
bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,773
78,815,773
f71ab6e7d013edd0d94f87f8fc5be4a449c7a32b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xdd5396b1dd91082451a3022bb809373df629641f53772fe4bc04c2e9cc7956af
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Balloonerism (Mac Miller) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Rachel Chinouriri win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice:...
no
1
bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,773
78,815,773
0fc18662e97aa9c58cffce17bf954c117e04166a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb2d49850b7edd4b7ec7d4f18acb959898e5ef2ebcb0e7d6049f0e7b4d1d42f21
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Rachel Chinouriri win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Lotus (Little Simz) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | ...
yes
1
bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09
Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-09?
78,815,774
78,815,774
3ca4cc5bd83e42147b89d3d55cead70292fe79c4
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x016888a3ef08c5f80d1e0d76e8a2913cfaab989d14bef4db4ef84b4ce98b3bb1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lotus (Little Simz) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice...
no
1
arg-tig-est-2025-11-09
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-09?
78,824,679
78,824,679
d747667b867ed2cee3e800a032c7452fa25669a3
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x595308942b0cbc7e53055a6fad2d8172f6d1b4160b4d0644bb8c60567c2a2bab
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ordinary (Alex Warren) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Conf...
no
1
f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09
Will Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
78,824,679
78,824,679
25e1df07b8c0682558aa852d25985360a148c063
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xa0361a4648a61da2d52e949402cc2bd29b2e505b3eb0171136ba33460490b6d0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will MK.gee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Lethal (Rico Nasty) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence:...
no
1
f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09
Will Sauber achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
78,824,679
78,824,679
6a38dc551b6649b248c7cf5b10e77d0ec4a0db6a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd0f3a69e42db03e4a92ad66d5a4940a76cfef203d5372de3f0b26c282a60f3ca
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Lethal (Rico Nasty) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner ...
no
1
f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-scores-1st-2025-11-09
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
78,824,679
78,824,679
655973cee1ce6b44e415875dce7a9ce63d8cfe3b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xf21b0c83bb22b35c2f6a5e2ec473307d4b4ab74c6e432dec659100aceef89c7b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will That's So True (Gracie Abrams) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will MJ Lenderman win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Cho...
no
1
bra-mir-pal-2025-11-09
Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
78,824,679
78,824,679
c590ca8ac06bff2a91d86952daa989502e4e0e78
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xff16f15698e3a114cf2d7339d1c7e8f247c4307649b4f980adb6233fd68e3b15
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will MJ Lenderman win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will beabadoobee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence:...
yes
1
pga-tour-world-wide-technology-championship-winner-462
Will Ben Griffin win the World Wide Technology Championship?
78,824,679
78,824,679
432bfa40fc63dba6abffdb43ac1e2c556b748d69
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xffff559c07ba935828591b4bfc9b271c1a423ea204e96d797af2ef0a8d48b90d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will beabadoobee win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Sleep Token win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: ...
no
1
f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09
Will Red Bull achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
78,824,679
78,824,679
c61592373a38aeecd2fe11e945f86d2687486ffd
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xa39f4701c60df965eb85777114d21e714b80cfb63047a3cef54537986e829522
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Sleep Token win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Azizam (Ed Sheeran) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Co...
no
1
por-ben-cas-2025-11-09
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-09?
78,824,680
78,824,680
eff37b6dfb509115f26b94049c74902774624441
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xeb9e9e74be69e9602da94e354bba2f0f1909a1df302d91ed4bcec6154de98f3d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Azizam (Ed Sheeran) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ravyn Lenae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Co...
yes
1
arg-cas-iac-2025-11-09
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-11-09?
78,824,680
78,824,680
92ec00304cb05740864f9aa3915dbdfa78a96b25
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x9f7f4ff81bec536273a0093ae263ae9d76c4a6b8a7890f72935d8a8b18d7c3aa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ravyn Lenae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-new-artist-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Daisies (Justin Bieber) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no ...
no
1
what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-218
Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)
78,899,952
78,899,952
81572954013bf3f26e59606edf6d91e7bfed13ad
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x30fd463b6b21dd33680aee14089a5db97819aa9335fe10cd7b24f1eea62157e8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Daisies (Justin Bieber) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Am I Okay? (Megan Moroney) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-win...
yes
1
how-many-us-senators-vote-yea-on-the-next-funding-bill-by-november-30
Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
78,904,545
78,904,545
0bdaa3d17a1e00b94df7666cdbc02213b6bc9af8
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xf168cd30a7e01a343f79c7ef815a0424257b166522d94f9b30aa978b7cf60d7b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Am I Okay? (Megan Moroney) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will GOLLIWOG (Billy Woods) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner |...
no
1
she-tas-sou-2025-11-09
Will the match end in a draw?
78,933,973
78,933,973
7e710d0d4487a380a7b70ab5091c1e3c17005d3a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x76e43e25cf62aa955fbc4c2b76c95059fd030f0ade9f862d85e04ec6bc362747
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will GOLLIWOG (Billy Woods) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Music (Playboi Carti) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: ...
no
0
will-israel-strike-gaza-on-379
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?
78,941,617
78,941,617
c3e5d50ee4050d5364e8a86f511e8db89552b07e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xbd690ad6d2d08203a2b35f8fd8303afe42c6651ef5633f19da729c3f688f3145
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Music (Playboi Carti) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-best-rap-album-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | ...
yes
1
october-inflation-argentina-monthly
Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in October?
78,946,027
78,946,027
e79216641e002c705ef151892273a7cea721dfcf
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x3071201ee55a926c34f489a66dcd5a9030e11a96bac97b0b622db28c21406239
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Event: grammys-song-of-the-year-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2025-11-09? | Event: ja2-ren-jub-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SK...
no
1
october-inflation-argentina-monthly
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in October?
78,948,582
78,948,582
0d2e106b855e91536b2280d19d3da3e98b627245
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x8652b7284db08b750db64107ef72b424e86857161699a5b13ca6b2c90ecf53b7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2025-11-09? | Event: ja2-ren-jub-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? | Event: nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-br...
no
1
october-inflation-argentina-monthly
Will monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in October?
78,948,582
78,948,582
2113d0b6bace0f086f250b8d79b7a459ed421990
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x99dbd286c8c41882252819fc187dae6ddf29028307d4a7c305c75c9edb9d6648
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SK Brann vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw? | Event: nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Krasnodar win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal...
no
1
october-inflation-argentina-monthly
Will monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in October?
78,948,582
78,948,582
ab036835218cb2d88414a4846e431b5adb870209
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x077fc0c447abfc7e094713e86d62acc20480560a6eb60bfbfc86a1c5f00b9339
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-bra-kfu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Krasnodar win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal-kra-202...
no
1
what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
78,969,506
78,969,506
6ac515a03fd03b919874c499851511d573d13e8f
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x55a469ea12fc89bf6b12c38fc764e35c05b4b520485adf4c8716d6369b38ad8a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Krasnodar win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-fkh-mol-202...
yes
1
when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
78,970,134
78,970,134
7f0ce3e047182aa2fd468a8038af46bb27a780fb
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xf4f27cbe6e2d5563d1d34c380ce5bb1efc1555e771b51a8867930808f1aedd3e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2025-11-09? | Event: rus-bal-kra-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FK Haugesund vs. Molde FK end in a draw? | Event: nor-f...
yes
1
fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?
78,971,706
78,971,706
ebacbefdf2e9a4db0a89c0820065319c3da2de38
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x4bcb2c1a03c2380c74d449aee1a09e46f5a96791cad0ce39147f3117451042a1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Molde FK win on 2025-11-09? | Event: nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FK Haugesund vs. Molde FK end in a draw? | Event: nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | Event: br...
no
1
fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?
78,974,478
78,974,478
7f5d05f790f2346880f6a24504eb2292a4c5b57e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb699b5016fe7a00c69f52dbdab62b9467b60ff60c4b9c96caec35c3f0b288908
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FK Haugesund vs. Molde FK end in a draw? | Event: nor-fkh-mol-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a dra...
no
1
fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13
Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13?
78,974,478
78,974,478
9ba7aaf30c5cab390b56a133408edf4bce674e6d
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xefbfb13a7bb5b8c397e40e54bd9306e1499bbc062db3daf8cfea320d50b06cda
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-09? | Event...
no
1
caf-nga-gab-2025-11-13
Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-13?
78,982,243
78,982,243
7fdd3b4834584608f87eefd809574d09ac0308c6
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x9c89798aa3503c892742e76e1fc6d0c1f6ae64301c0fcb4ad6d96b7d787a550a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? |...
yes
1
fif-irn-cvi-2025-11-13
Will IR Iran vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
78,988,976
78,988,976
63714043949efbd5005230e9c71afbd5da749ef8
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x473a003fca249e675ca77f8cffb5ee648b398eec5694517c7056f0da42d630bd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra...
no
1
cs2-blast-rivals-season-2-2025-winner
Will Spirit win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?
79,019,560
79,019,560
2d5b283cf01a477eaef643c3af3e38f69649f265
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x69c0bd6b72584ea2507e20e8b4f3d4e7cb327677b58ea7630fac168ce549ac28
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Ceará SC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-09? | Event: br...
no
1
cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13
Will Jamaica win on 2025-11-13?
79,019,560
79,019,560
506459d791cf94d913bddfd09075fb572de5ebc2
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd18ffcc2181b27b6237b69cf23f4f1e139b3c844989c9d5591167c2c2100cce0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09...
yes
1
cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13
Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Jamaica end in a draw?
79,019,560
79,019,560
cd2965c103d955072e20a134e5129eb1912aff7b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xab2c5b334e213e18486293d60d07434650ae11ff02fcbc5b157613db2b76a735
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-vit-bot-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09 |...
yes
1
cof-nca-hnd-2025-11-13
Will Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13?
79,019,561
79,019,561
861fd071f41c29b40f03b4e55c61b4f3d0e42dae
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x03992dff74d46ff6c9eea2db08d5ebd60daaf6db98ddea6863f4e4e7834fc3a9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cru-flu-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-09? | Event: arg-tig-est...
no
1
fif-col-nga-2025-11-18
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?
79,032,709
79,032,709
18abf2c77c8858c5bcbc5f4bd2142eaf346ce3f0
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xbbcc54806d7d8432c01bd09881e254c5e3ae979c269f8e49079d728b5b153859
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ceará SC win on 2025-11-09? | Event: bra-cor1-csc-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-09? | Event: arg-tig-est-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 B...
yes
1
fif-col-nga-2025-11-18
Will Colombia vs. Nigeria end in a draw?
79,037,278
79,037,278
8a273bb0d69c216416bab74cb603d68bbe416255
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x39e23d16e43c5138002e34c650d0477e387f3517685c2188d4d957f9acda509f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-11-09? | Event: arg-tig-est-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confide...
no
1
cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16
Will AS Gouzon vs. US Chauvigny end in a draw?
79,078,364
79,078,364
6a2ccceb78b2b2332fde487dec8879df64d4d842
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x3d740fb108e5322c494855c008311d5c1c9276efeddc2b73a16d8aa4b66bd581
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Racing Bulls achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Sauber achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-p...
yes
1
fif-kuw-tan-2025-11-14
Will Kuwait win on 2025-11-14?
79,079,500
79,079,500
a43c0efa50dba8e2bb0586c33fc0901669b4008b
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xc07a0673cd26369ac2b1f05b6cb532b46d70bc1909e178b3575b3cf224d5f3ea
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Sauber achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-...
no
1
cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16
Will AS Gouzon win on 2025-11-16?
79,079,539
79,079,539
1782d04e441eb4c1aba6d7c5f6d9a31761d2c63f
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xfabe52e94958da81f666bbc92d7ed614f932d2caddb6af30fad694a4cac9a849
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-scores-1st-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? | Event: bra-mir-pal-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | ...
yes
1
arg-god-rie-2025-11-15
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?
79,079,726
79,079,726
53d745ef594c57fa031db36dc289c026c3ad9503
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x8358cbc32ce53e02972a4d566edf9efc22c263513b41dbd269c396b5767cf595
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Mirassol FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? | Event: bra-mir-pal-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ben Griffin win the World Wide Technology Championship? | Event: pga-tour-world-wide-technology-championship-winner-462 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question...
no
1
arg-god-rie-2025-11-15
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-15?
79,079,741
79,079,741
f048d9e50de55868ad77765d9a5ced03a712a3af
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd7d8d5a65895b385f1b5773df5e5df4dd47f48e2e11cdad98380071732b7bc87
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ben Griffin win the World Wide Technology Championship? | Event: pga-tour-world-wide-technology-championship-winner-462 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Red Bull achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fas...
yes
1
arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15?
79,083,588
79,083,588
ebd30aee9fe3c3d02d5f02ebd80b74683f663c2c
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xfbf59f197fb42d8ef29f6daa7bb37785441eb227598b1c989fa15139a1f5815b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Red Bull achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-brazilian-grand-prix-constructor-fastest-lap-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-09? | Event: por-ben-cas-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: ...
no
1
uniswap-cup
Will Bungee win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
79,115,481
79,115,481
76008fd1774466207710683f1c4439097b3748ff
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x4fd388d710075b7aee6b989d5f1cdd8c01a67506352f226068b867fe4960c440
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-09? | Event: por-ben-cas-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-11-09? | Event: arg-cas-iac-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netfl...
no
1
arg-iac-tal-2025-11-16
Will CA Talleres win on 2025-11-16?
79,118,978
79,118,978
8a346eaf4126e5a9054ab72aedce8435009e4973
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x53b89a15dc5637eb96712ea385f89eb382f90c6f2a1e41bf80c8e2a6e889aab5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-11-09? | Event: arg-cas-iac-2025-11-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025) | Event: what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-218 | Choice: no | Confid...
no
1
arg-iac-tal-2025-11-16
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?
79,118,978
79,118,978
8776bab5532434a9936807b15e0570c1033f2ecc
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x2bf1893e342b2f05992c3130c482ee96032d65160643a18229fe9c664d599c5c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025) | Event: what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-218 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30? | Event: ...
yes
1
uefa-wc-qualifying-group-d-winner
Will France win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79,124,155
79,124,155
54d0bd75e5554a3b29c3888d2716da28216156bd
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x479ebcbb72b447da794b43503ce29f51cfff314f9400312deba158c987c2ffb1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will exactly 60 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30? | Event: how-many-us-senators-vote-yea-on-the-next-funding-bill-by-november-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the match end in a draw? | Event: she-tas-sou-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence...
yes
1
uefa-wc-qualifying-group-i-winner
Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79,124,155
79,124,155
1199cbf3416a84172dd054c9caf1915fccec29fc
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x1cefe0558b6f4ff1c77069f1fe57634fa27a06e6e688270a4b191db390e5b00e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the match end in a draw? | Event: she-tas-sou-2025-11-09 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12? | Event: will-israel-strike-gaza-on-379 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in October? | E...
no
1
arg-new-rac-2025-11-16
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
79,124,579
79,124,579
b75ca317725706462ba28f27c79e2271e05d677e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x29f877dd0e71a42a73effa3323c9802873e8d69856526beb1578a86421b2b2d7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12? | Event: will-israel-strike-gaza-on-379 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will monthly inflat...
yes
1
uefa-wc-qualifying-group-k-winner
Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79,124,579
79,124,579
0d1c4be283ba46624d4573d1ec7da5ccc9dc4e00
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x3fcdf8e41c7a3aa90ec724d21acfd7d2e25ab13d56ec5972038ac4921a4079f3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Ques...
yes
1
uefa-wc-qualifying-group-f-winner
Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79,124,579
79,124,579
ae0b8e9efda465325dd56409fe2c1b3f1fcc3835
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x491fb9ae478fdf9faf8e88630292eccfd051da2458fd135ee3dbfe7c61275810
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Quest...
no
1
uefa-wc-qualifying-group-i-winner
Will Italy win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79,124,579
79,124,579
bfdf1eeee69355143dbb907432840e534843975a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x7fcfd2ef90f60882a4393e2485104ce1dedf25dcd12931ec462468264bf41416
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Quest...
yes
1
arg-new-rac-2025-11-16
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?
79,124,579
79,124,579
e0f0dc5e0777c26d4cbdb1107c429f67378c8550
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xec71f4b1d2aff606c3c5ebb7fef43e95320493acf1187c8b593a35d1ffc07864
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will monthly inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7% in October? | Event: october-inflation-argentina-monthly | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Wil...
no
1
arg-new-rac-2025-11-16
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2025-11-16?
79,124,579
79,124,579
d4b2096b97da1b6aa00dc515f99fb181f0c67db3
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x55a34e35d50b06af6a31f92c72557df394d3495a05ef05280338437164121901
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Event: what-day-will-the-government-shutdown-end | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ba...
yes
1
jos-antonio-kast-vote-share-in-chile-2025-presidential-first-round-547
Will José Antonio Kast win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
79,169,916
79,169,916
76c5bb52d93f0ddccbbcbde6010daada5ac6b60a
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xb089820cee1c1c63e4f78a4fa2a21c1adbde41a45f159ea814e5de5b3719e54e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Event: when-will-the-government-shutdown-end-545 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bangladesh win on 2...
yes
1
chile-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-first-round
Will Jara win by 0-3%?
79,169,916
79,169,916
1a631363f80262550f1d4e584019b6dea0b20380
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x1dccca3d76410ce4aa43bca096d5cdc66b9dbb28274d6c6582c51984fe929250
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2...
no
1
chile-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-first-round
Will Jara win by 3-6%?
79,170,904
79,170,904
b02edd7fc26eff50e0c08a937788105076be97ee
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x14fe17fb268e975465240dc184732cbfed84c7d55b4c034b888a4b29b7daf388
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-13? | Event: caf-nga-gab-2025-11-13 | Choi...
yes
1
fif-com-nam-2025-11-17
Will Comoros win on 2025-11-17?
79,183,693
79,183,693
c504acccc87d878c27e951f9528acd606684c209
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xde50e18e9c9317c739341a9d368802abe853a74249787fecde1e7ee70225a0c1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Afghanistan win on 2025-11-13? | Event: fif-ban-afg-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-13? | Event: caf-nga-gab-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will IR Iran vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Event: fif-irn-cvi-2025-11-1...
no
1
fif-com-nam-2025-11-17
Will Namibia win on 2025-11-17?
79,183,693
79,183,693
33dbe3ebbfa42e22555ad56013a2bbb6b3c633bb
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xcb42ce799c32e8f0bbe7df6a20396a7ecb1ca494316c5df0027ab89d941e1ca7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Nigeria win on 2025-11-13? | Event: caf-nga-gab-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will IR Iran vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Event: fif-irn-cvi-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Spirit win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament...
yes
1
what-day-will-gemini-3pt0-be-released
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
79,196,116
79,196,116
aca97c6bf6f917b9c89728cae2895831bc6662fa
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x357a07f7072f872d9ed0cddc6a8d5fe4026b1cf265d3b14536913274c662c852
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will IR Iran vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Event: fif-irn-cvi-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Spirit win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament? | Event: cs2-blast-rivals-season-2-2025-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Jamaica wi...
no
1
what-will-be-the-top-global-netflix-show-this-week-891
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)
79,201,723
79,201,723
75444eb325cb25ccf2a5f3af909b3f027e991524
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xc9dc44cf5b13d7503b0a954e7f9f4e8de50908e9050db32066a65ddf25c7484f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Spirit win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament? | Event: cs2-blast-rivals-season-2-2025-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Jamaica win on 2025-11-13? | Event: cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Trinidad and Tobago vs...
no
1
what-will-trump-say-first-during-saudi-pm-events-on-november-18
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?
79,201,723
79,201,723
39d957bc0b8b71bf5825c495509fd46fcb5aae18
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x48abb199908c5804db7bafc4fffab707ffc0adf39d746671eb49154145bd0792
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Jamaica win on 2025-11-13? | Event: cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Jamaica end in a draw? | Event: cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13? | Event: cof-nca-hnd-2...
yes
1
how-many-house-members-vote-yea-on-an-epstein-disclosure-bill-higher-brackets
Will 410 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
79,203,116
79,203,116
59fdd074c436afe6406a0ce29f145aa96bdb4257
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xd2449c9ac40fe0fafd90789151b8e68145b1c156da7f7aba8cde94e5143d8f2c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Jamaica end in a draw? | Event: cof-tri-jam-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13? | Event: cof-nca-hnd-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18? | Event: fif-col-nga...
no
0.361656
how-much-will-each-piece-sell-for-at-sothebys-leonard-a-lauder-auction
Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?
79,215,938
79,215,938
43620a6457abef68daa752da674567c314190340
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xa4d563f45bffc849d50830c3578407a9416da11d50f8ee7212c4bc68df1fc0ff
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Nicaragua win on 2025-11-13? | Event: cof-nca-hnd-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18? | Event: fif-col-nga-2025-11-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Colombia vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Event: fif-col-nga-2025-11-18 ...
yes
1
how-long-will-trump-and-mohammed-bin-salman-al-saud-shake-hands-on-tuesday
Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 18 2025?
79,217,957
79,217,957
01ebad5c6afff282c1eadf7ac7a7a8b6fa7ddded
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x2e956c939e0bee2fc22ccea7f3122635ef6a829747a9c16207fcdd594c694dc9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18? | Event: fif-col-nga-2025-11-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Colombia vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Event: fif-col-nga-2025-11-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will AS Gouzon vs. US Chauvigny end in a draw? | Event: cde-gou-ch...
yes
1
when-will-trump-sign-the-epstein-disclosure-bill-into-law
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
79,259,181
79,259,181
8449227731c893f9688f9c8ba7a5c646ab2c5a8e
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x1c79659a36b6a3ddbcc4359225cf6855063281d92efe15c7f588e9e68646f788
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Colombia vs. Nigeria end in a draw? | Event: fif-col-nga-2025-11-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will AS Gouzon vs. US Chauvigny end in a draw? | Event: cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Kuwait win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-kuw-tan-...
no
1
chile-presidential-election
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
79,271,452
79,271,452
0164c675a7f483860b672b0d3ffeb80100a7d7a9
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x512c860d7dddd7e04b91e9211db6046257036036dd5e13e72737da8f6d2c98ef
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AS Gouzon vs. US Chauvigny end in a draw? | Event: cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Kuwait win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-kuw-tan-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will AS Gouzon win on 2025-11-16? | Event: cde-gou-cha-2025-11...
yes
1
who-will-win-the-synthetix-trading-competition
Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
79,312,800
79,312,800
2f3c03cc239ae344fb69d387f7ffff303dcc6ad8
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x5a47036dd8e63914b6893bbdcbbfe8c4a7b79dd2757ca4cef68d2337efed33ff
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Kuwait win on 2025-11-14? | Event: fif-kuw-tan-2025-11-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will AS Gouzon win on 2025-11-16? | Event: cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw? | Event: arg...
no
1
who-will-win-the-synthetix-trading-competition
Will Farokh win the Synthetix trading competition?
79,312,800
79,312,800
c8ba82d03510ca9218f4d4622ae77fe40c8beade
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x4a1d42ea64e92165f921848d948eef45c36106fbe0869730a5ad4a7e4ea5884c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AS Gouzon win on 2025-11-16? | Event: cde-gou-cha-2025-11-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw? | Event: arg-god-rie-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-15? | Event:...
no
1
beach-volleyball-worlds-2025-womens-winner
Will Isabel Paul & Julia Kunst win the 2025 Beach Volleyball World Championships (Women’s Tournament)?
79,319,590
79,319,590
6dd9966f8e0358fbcf57ad3cfd2950a46ee1ab51
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0x800f6d088ea73942dbb3f240582358947cca5d4330f0563b083c21e2d053596e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw? | Event: arg-god-rie-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-god-rie-2025-11-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? |...
no
1
beach-volleyball-worlds-2025-womens-winner
Will Marta Menegatti Gottardi & Reka Orsi Toth win the 2025 Beach Volleyball World Championships (Women’s Tournament)?
79,319,590
79,319,590
53522523f14f39af6232880d8c663df054b1a173
0x28b255ed9747765be4f44ce484532d4b6bdfa74f
0xdf7ee68d50d17a7c34638389543a6439a91034ef6a367a2b0c917733a5bbe2ce
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-god-rie-2025-11-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15? | Event: arg-ind-ros-2025-11-15 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bungee win 2025 Uniswap Cup? | Event: uniswap-cup | Choice:...
no
1
beach-volleyball-worlds-2025-womens-winner
Will Sarah Schulz Bock & Chenoa Lippmann win the 2025 Beach Volleyball World Championships (Women’s Tournament)?
79,319,590
79,319,590