sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ddbafaeaeee1ff0daa4e2c628440b80fb5ce5375 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x46fe06d46223efcba40285c7de6fa3f0415a5f5c23693c767b515a346a52da8b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: White Sox vs. Mets
Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | mets | 0 | mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | White Sox vs. Mets | 72,050,314 | 72,074,408 |
089f50aa40d67b0d1eec5b9b457be17a8c3baefa | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x139a14df6a7ab67fce36f8ac2b1264214623d6d606fb5c75ef9b26eb38695207 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Rays vs. Twins
Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | rays | 0 | mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Rays vs. Twins | 72,050,788 | 72,074,409 |
316184131c560d033495143fdacf1aa7e50aacc3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfa6e635a99f225b951965b873e5c5165cc42d27fe5f1c38a61325a780a07e7eb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers
Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27
Predict the user's choice and confidence... | brewers | 0 | mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Red Sox vs. Brewers | 72,052,530 | 72,074,408 |
2ee55ad6582fb1e563e790a35deb53a5ba0b5dd2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd20337605bf8c2f1bbfb75ccc6d6405cfc076b714d42d54e36ba69216e2b90bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
... | mariners | 0 | mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-27 | Nationals vs. Mariners | 72,054,064 | 72,054,064 |
658c0397fddeb4d1e7bc0aec465d61b2a6172ee4 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x59aee9a8474be4288a68f5d47538cad844a620fffd29e437ed17dcadd422cf10 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-sd-2025-05-27 | Marlins vs. Padres | 72,054,243 | 72,056,267 |
5141b124c716f3eb9041cbc42274d0478e466cf3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xb93a76bf9a7b9ac5cf3441721c3d88d1be6a56e349e01566d7ffff7b36ffd6ec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-pit-ari-2025-05-27 | Pirates vs. Diamondbacks | 72,055,800 | 72,074,408 |
5084f1fbcde57d7eecd8b9629f58a9f0e503be6d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf98e2718db6da1010441e0dd96298a1dce21eb9e787f836445915fc7a3422540 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | angels | 0 | mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-27 | Yankees vs. Angels | 72,056,454 | 72,074,409 |
6b9042fef26c82b8a60a4c5304b33e322d12c057 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x4150fb19fc421ac91f7190ba8364941857e3e0249e2b5c55fe2a26aa477d889a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | rays | 0 | mlb-tb-min-2025-05-28 | Rays vs. Twins | 72,081,496 | 72,093,221 |
30c4c3c65790fa204f6ae01e702c1a75e5afcacc | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xb003fa579138b94ebaf06bdad44a53c321119d6a8c575bfb75091e9a61a6a761 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-stl-bal-2025-05-28 | Cardinals vs. Orioles | 72,088,883 | 72,091,506 |
7198f3f37846a5d8157839267e0a4dbf4e201633 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xb082353af21a1ba3028585dfbd97eef6f7959eb07e776ca00833b2125add82b2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-tex-2025-05-28 | Blue Jays vs. Rangers | 72,091,506 | 72,093,513 |
71f5b1eae5b552085f83e9dead2a49b967399219 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa587dec85bea70ff0ad2a12a73be0d8c78e3d72a8f623841769cd951492e43c2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | reds | 0 | mlb-cin-kc-2025-05-28 | Reds vs. Royals | 72,092,728 | 72,092,728 |
ca395d74b5ed7087b7c5ab729f8ca7459fabf597 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1d5d718ab0fbbe79f7c51a408b62d42009b9061aded4dd20a726fc31a21b532c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | cubs | 0 | mlb-col-chc-2025-05-28 | Rockies vs. Cubs | 72,092,728 | 72,112,958 |
c7109ff6cbc2a025ea35e20613b51f6dd2bf3334 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x37328d036a26ec71e5289adedc73885dc26873ad80167837b9a1310d0210148e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | angels | 0 | mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-28 | Yankees vs. Angels | 72,093,230 | 72,112,958 |
26186d421175d70fa0710c2108bc30c0a10195b2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x46e23b69df100c7c3bcc2a010d156dc57334f9bc0f48f3acecaf8ba7d3860d9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | astros | 0 | mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-29 | Rays vs. Astros | 72,135,104 | 72,135,104 |
88b39e10ba1b0c1ee9f2fead29f77d576122ca47 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1678cfb69f3caa0623afe4e092a2f4434951e59d889ca878062eac1e5c0b243f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | mariners | 0 | mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-29 | Nationals vs. Mariners | 72,135,104 | 72,158,418 |
3f51420f90318e38ed55fe615ecde2f172722f09 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd8afbed4d4583d1c723d729d7b3c2f86348a77db9c13edd3b9ed1d6bb01f06ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | cubs | 0 | mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-30 | Reds vs. Cubs | 72,163,520 | 72,170,878 |
26d7b7656ebdf3048be364222dbe354d3bcfb548 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd72c2d750b7ed70c5c5cba0542b14747db83536dec4c36839ce8db52b322a93a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-30 | Brewers vs. Phillies | 72,170,878 | 72,172,230 |
01609cc8810f8e2346a80273a84917f1198cc084 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x7df2807afffb568f6f9408347fc6d8dc2ae4f0822d0c314610be337f632fd1c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-30 | Cardinals vs. Rangers | 72,171,552 | 72,171,552 |
6f2078255ca4849f10eb955abef3085855d026e6 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0b43d1d41d16ded665ae8360ff3eea44a236e2263f86389461c00be51ab64d51 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-30 | Athletics vs. Blue Jays | 72,171,552 | 72,172,230 |
49fae1a5609b72882436ed8cea4493ef45f7db62 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe3a51dc0c233e9fd0e602f233616c69e69a60e135da1eacdd69e18b2313c08e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | red sox | 0.000002 | mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-30 | Red Sox vs. Braves | 72,171,552 | 72,173,650 |
c76b60fe95e5af9ce68460cb5116548a794e008b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xb807031e54e9835f4a83e7e1579aa22c64fedb8cc213c3fe185170ef15b7a84b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | astros | 0 | mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-30 | Rays vs. Astros | 72,171,552 | 72,173,995 |
7f9fb0b3d508c29fa6f4a7343bb1d728b03ebc8f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf6cbd76cfe01bd2c3164498fa76e1be73e8051e02d5a35156c399de8792373c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | royals | 0 | mlb-det-kc-2025-05-30 | Tigers vs. Royals | 72,171,552 | 72,175,331 |
8a16c15cac23c94f3ab64b6c921f2d9706c37344 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x227fa6bd8c2b35283e66c36815a5aaf6f82d6b4d2b28474432fc935ac6a2f6a8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-30 | Angels vs. Guardians | 72,171,552 | 72,178,245 |
f47140c68fd7d3bb9c602d83e23dd80cf10d033d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfa81a7772c719750cb989561051ab5d60f97d4d7f991a59284d0f34293973917 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | giants | 0 | mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-30 | Giants vs. Marlins | 72,172,441 | 72,177,238 |
98ebc13b1e57a66364370693b0ed9769fdb4fa06 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xbc5010e6aff3cb60b9da052e0404d271cbdedc41a8ee7c0b7382919d2e4f80fa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | mariners | 0 | mlb-min-sea-2025-05-30 | Twins vs. Mariners | 72,174,766 | 72,178,580 |
b35b657eded295ee8daf1f8eb7c1a75eace36517 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf9b80cd2c8562e80c0e46bec92b5d197db15aedb32d8896fede6ef71bdf0596a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-30 | Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | 72,174,766 | 72,202,290 |
33cc7d6bbc6f9f28f8c22877f4f59951142d6908 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa2af06f5a9fe3e6f1f1908efb98affa907a4de67529772dbca8073c9dc6f793f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-30 | Yankees vs. Dodgers | 72,175,331 | 72,178,580 |
87ff53c26504ef4848fb68bc1062b26fc54008b2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x17d3d09075f979d0b4cea9904ab10fcc1980fc2eb1b7b9f1de48cc025b64feed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | padres | 0 | mlb-pit-sd-2025-05-30 | Pirates vs. Padres | 72,175,471 | 72,176,653 |
777f90a47478ffe238c1baf16560749bf281005b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6d6f388a856a387f19a5c9db3dda811f8bc3e46f99e050eddebaf3b764c7339c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | cubs | 0 | mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-31 | Reds vs. Cubs | 72,204,083 | 72,205,325 |
e2f5386232d0bf532bfa237bf8e6ba11deff3580 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xc9572bc68b694fb433ffa9ef0f496cae789656daa5f4584a3c662db2a38a0680 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-31 | Athletics vs. Blue Jays | 72,204,083 | 72,213,936 |
9e8f82f60253756542b6b007f3856d4bd5d16608 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5ae92b4058466d5f5f81b043c870b04e7dbdcdc1a5b8507f5ce2ed5a15d9f0b7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Mets | Event: mlb-cws-nym-2025-05-27 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nat... | giants | 0 | mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-31 | Giants vs. Marlins | 72,205,325 | 72,207,273 |
d7a4616643b6a5cbe01a975fbc3cca6eb49e4e3c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3604adc6766b08c69a0ccaa841a7c18177ccbd4731151cf7bb23875a0752e598 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-27 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-27 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-31 | Cardinals vs. Rangers | 72,205,325 | 72,213,935 |
363f5c28c8acb26bc11b39d29fcd3cd82cffb676 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa21ad5676a87173c0b27b931ec6dea6e6ccb1bdef4ddba9e16d76f87080c5ce4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Red Sox vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-bos-mil-2025-05-27 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-27 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Padres | Event: mlb-mia-sd-2025-05-27 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4... | mets | 0 | mlb-col-nym-2025-05-31 | Rockies vs. Mets | 72,205,325 | 72,213,935 |
17065a3d20073f616ba24ee699b0b21070e84462 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xae93f49668ec1eda1e7fc5245861e29468a32f9a86e2ec7f2ed2f31d0f422c24 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-27 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Padres | Event: mlb-mia-sd-2025-05-27 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pirates vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-pit-ari-2025-05-27 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confide... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-31 | Brewers vs. Phillies | 72,205,325 | 72,213,935 |
049c5e83f89d71cca49404e7b96fb58bf1e2e614 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xba61581582c3284acb4801443364a568cac2cc35b6ed569fac9461004c3f2cd7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Padres | Event: mlb-mia-sd-2025-05-27 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pirates vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-pit-ari-2025-05-27 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-27 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0... | braves | 0 | mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-31 | Red Sox vs. Braves | 72,205,325 | 72,213,935 |
99723aff67419ba6ea87afff39ad280c62f2ca6b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x079bf3ea28776eedaa3eeefb3bbdc8686b85ddf0163af9d9511350f3b46010ed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pirates vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-pit-ari-2025-05-27 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-27 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-28 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | astros | 0 | mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-31 | Rays vs. Astros | 72,205,657 | 72,206,898 |
438b369c24c1bb4c003e79ec9bb13bbce97fb3ed | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x98bbb14d1dc96aa3763a90fd6597bb749c7f0d2e02b14e41c485ac9e4a3bcc01 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-27 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-28 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-stl-bal-2025-05-28 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-31 | Angels vs. Guardians | 72,206,039 | 72,211,347 |
4d5aa2751cf87cbc048c2d252f31cfbee7d90e9f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x01b47969ce99df9f5f21e6f63a2de836c3f1414eea33d2cb5290dc81fc6d55fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tb-min-2025-05-28 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-stl-bal-2025-05-28 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-tor-tex-2025-05-28 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | royals | 0 | mlb-det-kc-2025-05-31 | Tigers vs. Royals | 72,206,898 | 72,213,935 |
2968d905f902dbc020db4274fccd3d0bd21cab01 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x069d1efb8f3aa9486dcdda18b91c6bc5e8932cfc8ab96cba8ee59ccb934a4856 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-stl-bal-2025-05-28 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-tor-tex-2025-05-28 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Royals | Event: mlb-cin-kc-2025-05-28 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | orioles | 0 | mlb-cws-bal-2025-05-31 | White Sox vs. Orioles | 72,207,412 | 72,213,935 |
84978eac785bd38b66e8d3664e9bdb6a3a50af2b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x4148e794d9329cbccec461f54d97e806012d4a448f76a62cebeec06f7f3db8df | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-tor-tex-2025-05-28 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Royals | Event: mlb-cin-kc-2025-05-28 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockies vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-col-chc-2025-05-28 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-31 | Yankees vs. Dodgers | 72,211,347 | 72,211,347 |
80090e4bc1af436df981be590a508e28c70f6dfa | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xc65f560fe836d2d1c3f9c66ab006d5d1513b443dfc6c7a4df788a118395eab03 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Royals | Event: mlb-cin-kc-2025-05-28 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockies vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-col-chc-2025-05-28 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-28 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Rays v... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-31 | Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | 72,215,267 | 72,238,636 |
8c956931dbb0cf068ba63acdaf0ff213e428f687 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x27a2b8f9c33a1962d1ef3a824dcca6c50ff0b5b8dbe86d2d6df9c1d2994b5fe1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockies vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-col-chc-2025-05-28 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-28 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-29 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nati... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-stl-tex-2025-06-01 | Cardinals vs. Rangers | 72,243,884 | 72,243,884 |
1a849703ed8349bf5f24f30cd4cbe8339b2bce2f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x08722222fdfbea15f0aa8907624608bd24dd78f8fe3a6613bb3806f9d30b720d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Angels | Event: mlb-nyy-laa-2025-05-28 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-29 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-29 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-tor-2025-06-01 | Athletics vs. Blue Jays | 72,243,884 | 72,246,457 |
2298b9f5a1198178544eb84f79950098fa25c9d7 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3396cfb56be7f6df91651f09fd6d97785fa22c0ba8f03d63d93def22ae116537 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-29 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-29 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-30 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: B... | mets | 0 | mlb-col-nym-2025-06-01 | Rockies vs. Mets | 72,243,884 | 72,246,457 |
013dc33d8859a723eecca3db46048b11fd293319 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xca62e70a61fd524b06066aaa3fba0aa45dd3d89c9974600fdd542a5bdea1c1de | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-wsh-sea-2025-05-29 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-30 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-30 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | royals | 0 | mlb-det-kc-2025-06-01 | Tigers vs. Royals | 72,243,884 | 72,246,457 |
d565bdb719293fc39dc109a7db1186a9c0af5803 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe2670ea9181d2e13a40e8b6ddb814fb8d8b010b3e399b3e3a946f96912a0d9b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-30 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-30 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-30 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | astros | 0 | mlb-tb-hou-2025-06-01 | Rays vs. Astros | 72,243,884 | 72,246,457 |
33a6e923c24be636ce0f96aeec208225e2fe96ef | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x397ec6373769be780ca13fa1f4d808b17f750a433edf6bc1230f90f83a500626 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-30 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-30 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-30 | Choice: athletics | Confiden... | orioles | 0 | mlb-cws-bal-2025-06-01 | White Sox vs. Orioles | 72,243,884 | 72,251,834 |
7b79f726f26b751bafd2d806b1916eee6f5ea067 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xcc2549b2df1643bb928ea5c2e2450d8fbcf28c501de90b09e873fb3e8d96c64b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-30 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-30 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-30 | Choice: red sox | Confidence... | braves | 0 | mlb-bos-atl-2025-06-01 | Red Sox vs. Braves | 72,243,884 | 72,251,834 |
fc59b7824cf7a50f93087289fea6db0da089fa35 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xef2abe063fc94beb53a70a1ac93c807b1594cd5278a0eadb838496cf8f0d994a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-30 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-30 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 1.6366342575146775e-06
3. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-30 | Choice: astros | C... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-phi-2025-06-01 | Brewers vs. Phillies | 72,243,884 | 72,251,834 |
fb5015b0e73c3aa93b89919e65d7105d7065b528 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6310a875e79f09c71a7e3312df2eb9e7442182d28a51bbddfa67fefb27b0686a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-30 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 1.6366342575146775e-06
2. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-30 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-30 | Choice: royals | Confidence:... | cubs | 0 | mlb-cin-chc-2025-06-01 | Reds vs. Cubs | 72,246,457 | 72,246,457 |
4a265303e83bc228d2284e4114ca940b54750851 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa21af8f4e092de2933a6700d01370f871e318e07b1d1dc5b18152110869d0821 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-30 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-30 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-30 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | giants | 0 | mlb-sf-mia-2025-06-01 | Giants vs. Marlins | 72,246,457 | 72,246,457 |
10bd49c89d1b17f0aad841a1688d521105af82a1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x02d695c68fba8d4b0373bc6223f6cef83deca3891dcca3ddfc20f101a77ca9a7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-30 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-30 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-30 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | mariners | 0 | mlb-min-sea-2025-06-01 | Twins vs. Mariners | 72,246,457 | 72,251,122 |
6cf1e2d0df8f42b6ac8292f7cf216e53516c41d2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x2bf005e25efa58a0e50c8db463f54b1c7914426ab9227299f39f469affa805cd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-30 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-30 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-05-30 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-wsh-ari-2025-06-01 | Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | 72,246,457 | 72,251,122 |
9f2ee36b61f8f542eac136cf0e32adc429db1b99 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3c7ccec4244dd9ee50b665a53252b04199104fc280fd5f8a5f4cd1f7162d7862 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-30 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-05-30 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-30 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-cle-2025-06-01 | Angels vs. Guardians | 72,246,457 | 72,251,834 |
d68ad551e90d3dcf99b2b0630b4befe168153ac6 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x17f998089d1a5aaa79d2fe4b2ca4736d806a258c0078a9a566d517bbea6ec75c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-05-30 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-30 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-30 | Choice: dodgers | Confide... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-nyy-lad-2025-06-01 | Yankees vs. Dodgers | 72,251,122 | 72,290,463 |
748ec8281f5f21795e7c28bfa1972a7e8a1fbeaf | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x8d425eb316077c84ab7e384ebfcaf47cf2ebb530b461190bcbe1c65b3e0a2ea2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-30 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-30 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pirates vs. Padres | Event: mlb-pit-sd-2025-05-30 | Choice: padres | Confidence... | marlins | 0 | mlb-col-mia-2025-06-02 | Rockies vs. Marlins | 72,292,534 | 72,294,150 |
afcbd94c2f1af0be09fca59883139750cb9b19d4 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x530b064a12a5bb385ae8da31fdcba8e74650788a3e755fc6bb720403a2fa3639 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-30 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pirates vs. Padres | Event: mlb-pit-sd-2025-05-30 | Choice: padres | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-31 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: At... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-02 | Angels vs. Red Sox | 72,292,534 | 72,295,271 |
c4540dc304d9b7c6daa67c2f70d0a8624b8fd0ad | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x73b94961ac4e430e7c4a178b99252412ea4e2e010b17c2d1dec343ed00bd042f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pirates vs. Padres | Event: mlb-pit-sd-2025-05-30 | Choice: padres | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-31 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-31 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-02 | Brewers vs. Reds | 72,292,534 | 72,295,271 |
28c1bed764d1470c660fd9694d41c62da486128f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xca6db4d7b992cd74b8eca3ec727ff417c5e05c9a82234eb4cb22d3fa4c6f7afe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-05-31 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-31 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-31 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | tigers | 0 | mlb-det-cws-2025-06-02 | Tigers vs. White Sox | 72,293,693 | 72,299,108 |
e75b1b9f416c42291404737cb164bb3c6db3b0b3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd1f8fdd77291da41cb50d31edc8317bd6f9f9e5cd4ebd17f06f9dfd34d9b60d5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-05-31 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-31 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-31 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: ... | athletics | 0 | mlb-min-oak-2025-06-02 | Twins vs. Athletics | 72,295,892 | 72,297,816 |
9220ff6c903cf79af76ad8ea636a2b7d5ab884bf | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1bd67075be8d2124b89c04417ea1a043f49408cdb9186bf39f173ddd258f69f6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-05-31 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-31 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-05-31 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-02 | Mets vs. Dodgers | 72,295,892 | 72,330,729 |
61663e264fa19121235a5f4c867fcb1b75b0f02d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x43f37fc4b1f92e3329093dacdef73448ff8d4bfd3233b597d234474317ff3e43 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-05-31 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-05-31 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-31 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | giants | 0 | mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-02 | Padres vs. Giants | 72,295,892 | 72,330,729 |
6fd6750a26ec101b20d9540200c8b0a6344ba94a | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9e555ea774df37abaeb004a5c7f22b72e969a951dc88efb550080659a7a0cb21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-05-31 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-31 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-31 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-03 | Astros vs. Pirates | 72,333,624 | 72,333,624 |
62aa042aa2121b7ec8cd33b4028a40de89eaf1b7 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd3acb39c4eec9c22a57368f5b36a3e83a3505fbae43b1ed2ece696a69ba6ad44 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-05-31 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-31 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-31 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-03 | Angels vs. Red Sox | 72,333,624 | 72,337,684 |
5229cb7cd90c20fa3513cc794b60205fedfb29c3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xeb463c7860500b4442ded0944836b413bc5409d713b5e06fcc87e90da13acf7f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-05-31 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-31 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-31 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-phi-tor-2025-06-03 | Phillies vs. Blue Jays | 72,333,624 | 72,339,331 |
8e3c4edbc4458fbc4ea5d2b779adb7e9f0b8e805 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1b94178c718eaf346561f801a22d17cbb3e54077e8e13ad48a55d7bc285b0f8a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-05-31 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-31 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-31 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | tigers | 0 | mlb-det-cws-2025-06-03 | Tigers vs. White Sox | 72,334,987 | 72,337,684 |
cfc2586ace8d0834fcc85bbd556ce2b9c9a2daf3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x932c71802e015af066ef07a5ec89d1d55a34c83f32a44b23b0f85d51626474fd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-05-31 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-31 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-05-31 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | mariners | 0 | mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-03 | Orioles vs. Mariners | 72,337,684 | 72,339,364 |
0ec9c6fc7816a1db91a33ae3184b679733e5aaf8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5e0383242fd95c6c589b834c609ff97b47042e7d3af01228c49bb68d74df0e3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-05-31 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-05-31 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-31 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | giants | 0 | mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-03 | Padres vs. Giants | 72,337,684 | 72,354,863 |
320e0cf20eb56f9f65f923f5bebf8d142c5e20b7 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x8b9d1437d78b55729decfd0d73adbfe7d31c0aa6bd8ee9e24f7e3b25c8372a81 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-05-31 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-31 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-31 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confi... | athletics | 0 | mlb-min-oak-2025-06-03 | Twins vs. Athletics | 72,337,684 | 72,354,863 |
d18227c0721e7ac625c9eae7770884d9ff3e51c9 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd562c38c5cc883e13583a4759dba9596aca087fc5a62981558c7f12860c87e8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-05-31 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-31 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-06-01 | Choice: cardinals | Con... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-04 | Brewers vs. Reds | 72,363,758 | 72,363,758 |
bdcb84aaa5800aaf052ebc0573af277a708c3741 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xdcb2fcbebda4b61b62deb072b074e571f966da4d38ac5000a53e368f16fc9198 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-05-31 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-06-01 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-06-01 | Choice: athletics... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-04 | Angels vs. Red Sox | 72,363,758 | 72,370,247 |
870bad197040ba34fa29b6eabd69ed2c8566241e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0e792fceb997fd44a86737ff2e155800c5478f93c154a02ddd6ac3f6fea302b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-stl-tex-2025-06-01 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-06-01 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-06-01 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0... | braves | 0 | mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-04 | Diamondbacks vs. Braves | 72,375,849 | 72,377,510 |
614fb120d16732a2ee1fbc4c164bdc9b002e4898 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3015260011dbfe347aa087b90195907a9f1a1c9e7c70d3cadd177ebe853c2451 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-oak-tor-2025-06-01 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-06-01 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-06-01 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | braves | 0 | mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-05 | Diamondbacks vs. Braves | 72,407,343 | 72,407,343 |
8515638dc849582db69d14e7627735971675bc13 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x38f2b4242a610471b1f6c2c5c48c5522ddc733d7ce79d46148535c8579db60bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockies vs. Mets | Event: mlb-col-nym-2025-06-01 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-06-01 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-06-01 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: White ... | tigers | 0 | mlb-det-cws-2025-06-05 | Tigers vs. White Sox | 72,407,343 | 72,407,343 |
337a66a3bdf6533606a54b924a67dce39ab6f5e9 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0088d63e913c75d731f716fb85d7b00833a8aba3032420d46f8cbed467841453 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Royals | Event: mlb-det-kc-2025-06-01 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-06-01 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-06-01 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | mariners | 0 | mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-05 | Orioles vs. Mariners | 72,407,343 | 72,415,485 |
bc85e0355ce744a82018d583faa00a322cf97384 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x34953fe37217eea0b87f68a4d0fe98ab3b911a55f19531ae52e080ff7264e4dd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Astros | Event: mlb-tb-hou-2025-06-01 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-06-01 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-06-01 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | athletics | 0 | mlb-min-oak-2025-06-05 | Twins vs. Athletics | 72,407,343 | 72,415,485 |
90863b8b052e8f4cdb6bee852291795e66a7df1c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1298ef80f0fece2d41ed129d0fa3723a57ce0044beae3f2576b147309fe69a8a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-cws-bal-2025-06-01 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-06-01 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-06-01 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-05 | Mets vs. Dodgers | 72,408,979 | 72,415,485 |
08cd008d4531f9ef0dbf19953f6fea3732064dab | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9f0c98ec2a49d8e28daaca0efacee5669fc59e4453875d309a5a9a62a72de3bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Red Sox vs. Braves | Event: mlb-bos-atl-2025-06-01 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-06-01 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-06-01 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | giants | 0 | mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-05 | Padres vs. Giants | 72,410,308 | 72,415,485 |
a5796f78c989c00521783960d16e20ec348369c1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe083f02dd3bc6df4af3d2008d831c6c6b3bd5f94d4ac45cb494a872332388c15 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Brewers vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-mil-phi-2025-06-01 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-06-01 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-06-01 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: T... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-05 | Astros vs. Pirates | 72,418,572 | 72,445,677 |
97c27d14f5382b33d875cc286185842c65455f3c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9e9b25132424d09f238038e734314bf72f4c372d0d6202c7300b7ac64acdb424 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-cin-chc-2025-06-01 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-06-01 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-06-01 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Na... | red sox | 0 | mlb-bos-nyy-2025-06-06 | Red Sox vs. Yankees | 72,454,793 | 72,456,069 |
2a78dcf58d627a5e10dfb131a5c31b83feeaf054 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x8359532430c2ad14458e6a7c0cfb588748ae38c4adbaebb09ed58305eff345f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-sf-mia-2025-06-01 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-06-01 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-06-01 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence... | royals | 0 | mlb-kc-cws-2025-06-06 | Royals vs. White Sox | 72,454,793 | 72,457,218 |
e9d4b1c2cf295b7ce6ecd5b8d04d6f0c0f69c7f2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xc92802a649d3552c1e9249515088fded42376f3504673d4dbdd5780c6bc2fb8d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-min-sea-2025-06-01 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-06-01 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-06-01 | Choice: angels | Confide... | phillies | 0 | mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-06 | Phillies vs. Pirates | 72,454,793 | 72,459,234 |
de369a7764be98a2f52bffe97ae86624387f1979 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x59f3ff1f2a3b13bc3ece84744a1dcb0b893db4cf175e0c14967434b274c0546b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-wsh-ari-2025-06-01 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-06-01 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-06-01 | Choice: dodgers | Confide... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-06 | Astros vs. Guardians | 72,454,793 | 72,483,536 |
43e0ee0f88cf5f59e37ac11f514d44ec18176823 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x8ce5fb0a53bf22e4f4e303afc99d93cc935fcfdc5b70e72f1b3b09ebf1e16693 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-laa-cle-2025-06-01 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-06-01 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockies vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-col-mia-2025-06-02 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-min-2025-06-06 | Blue Jays vs. Twins | 72,454,793 | 72,483,536 |
8a3574b5a703ee444563fae93ca4e058026e09e9 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xdad773e691ab5c0be12603ed612ec378af03c54b09041f00a363d40d7a9a0f62 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nyy-lad-2025-06-01 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockies vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-col-mia-2025-06-02 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-02 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-ari-cin-2025-06-06 | Diamondbacks vs. Reds | 72,454,793 | 72,524,110 |
7870a02e5c6e967b094861dbbeb20242c61792d0 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x4b54304c5695592f54dd45eacb4d6ffd1554906282020de420126fc4e69a2be8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockies vs. Marlins | Event: mlb-col-mia-2025-06-02 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-02 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-02 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | cubs | 0 | mlb-chc-det-2025-06-06 | Cubs vs. Tigers | 72,455,578 | 72,455,578 |
bb05596cc3cced0c2a767223a32db7cd1d451954 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xed8e90d4144ace09d7765a9590017d26d94155f722b6ab21fd2478da7e01c714 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-02 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-02 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-02 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | brewers | 0 | mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-06 | Padres vs. Brewers | 72,456,069 | 72,457,218 |
d3799bed76697754a935c4472639ff0d45fe0a8e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x74cfec4175b264d42b680db0e15c6972faafb1603505e40188c467c8cf6cb3fa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-02 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-02 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-02 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | mets | 0 | mlb-nym-col-2025-06-06 | Mets vs. Rockies | 72,456,069 | 72,459,234 |
c9c96ac92e835f54fff1b28a4315ace6019d42b9 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd4394a34f70c36296c602ec5696518162ba5c75d3d6e6f87e635c96005e4dca5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-02 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-02 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-02 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-06 | Dodgers vs. Cardinals | 72,457,218 | 72,483,536 |
5ab608cdd3da9bbde725d612fd9eef399c1a9d77 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x50341bcf6ca39c326eefd03975b4cad3c2c808927f1d4c1783b66042d14660e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-02 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-02 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-02 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | athletics | 0 | mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-06 | Orioles vs. Athletics | 72,459,234 | 72,463,381 |
6f424cd7ef6f4a7c1f717b62095159719f2e2b8e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd41692b0878209c0ef4f568ea3fa2883d0c4f16ae170df553eead109591a6c28 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-02 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-02 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-03 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | angels | 0 | mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-06 | Mariners vs. Angels | 72,459,234 | 72,483,536 |
40f9d2214227e773c9a5299da82dfc99ec9d1e79 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xdd3f58a2c14b3f23d01fe9c1b5476393a966c5124c279809dbb6b2f83188c6e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-02 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-03 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-03 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-06 | Braves vs. Giants | 72,461,167 | 72,463,381 |
3b5768a529494643551a0d5218f8579161d083c2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x35f42c4455dda828715972aff7099b8114b59b875fbc7298896e711490f289b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-03 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-03 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Phillies vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-phi-tor-2025-06-03 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | cardinals | 0 | mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-07 | Dodgers vs. Cardinals | 72,486,944 | 72,490,948 |
96e7ceb23c729bf592b62ca9925b25693e6f9429 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe16061e22e1de25b363228fe326c56cae2e0e2a6e51bf6b8718dfb7418a8a62e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-03 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Phillies vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-phi-tor-2025-06-03 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-03 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-min-2025-06-07 | Blue Jays vs. Twins | 72,487,564 | 72,490,948 |
266035af19965fd972adb11f23762e01ab374f64 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x8203b7bc6751dc7d4cda81a6cef50694de98bfd9106e0afbe31e7c564aa08769 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Phillies vs. Blue Jays | Event: mlb-phi-tor-2025-06-03 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-03 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-03 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: ... | phillies | 0 | mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-07 | Phillies vs. Pirates | 72,488,216 | 72,490,948 |
0024efa49f786672db6870cca83c6345f27c50c4 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xafcfe2fa1e79c9d21b9b402ed0e17533e38f43680f0d7ab9beb9aaacd9f88adc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-03 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-03 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-03 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | nationals | 0 | mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-07 | Rangers vs. Nationals | 72,488,216 | 72,524,109 |
ecf92a2666bdc36ab3d4b801e8b8713c7b3107ed | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9b3eab45a0bfba0a6766150863d035659daaea740b9e7001d0a241a16cb9bc68 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-03 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-03 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-03 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-07 | Braves vs. Giants | 72,488,216 | 72,524,110 |
e552351413fcb20a69e8bae17febd4e37b05fdc0 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0100791ff80206eeef7e48a44295fed4e38c27a9a51fa1a0fd760f4a1ac72b2f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-03 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-03 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-04 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-07 | Astros vs. Guardians | 72,490,948 | 72,524,109 |
ed41d2c56a08673ccd78b630cc008bb91341240c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0595b245b6713afd7a622007b0b1e2c4d69d2f493cc199717c3dc8a91f837f94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-03 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-04 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-04 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-tb-2025-06-07 | Marlins vs. Rays | 72,490,948 | 72,524,109 |
aa495dbf9797ae309a62924024582f56cc335544 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfc23c40608541524285b318b1390d765fed9dc789e686605a7bdf6e5c75e634a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Brewers vs. Reds | Event: mlb-mil-cin-2025-06-04 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-04 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-04 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | brewers | 0 | mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-07 | Padres vs. Brewers | 72,495,186 | 72,524,109 |
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