sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9c6150ddfa7010c2a83e3b1714a9fc37710bdd1f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa720ec4f95e833197f979a3dab65bd16ca6abdb7c7b7f9ce715d9f81fcc05d1b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-laa-bos-2025-06-04 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-04 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-05 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0... | angels | 0 | mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-07 | Mariners vs. Angels | 72,498,103 | 72,503,189 |
79b2fe4ce6252c68258c9741be536de8a7104f17 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6f001c4b10b2c583b92dbd979f6ca29d1ae297f54e4a93b4d5e75a0cd24685b2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-04 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-05 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-05 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0... | athletics | 0 | mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-07 | Orioles vs. Athletics | 72,498,103 | 72,524,109 |
d131359476868830b509f1a57aca40f7d0a7c16c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfb2a490ba6c20bea0eb2387590ae39265cdd2d61458bcbc7f352186d6f9ceea3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Braves | Event: mlb-ari-atl-2025-06-05 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-05 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-05 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.... | mets | 0 | mlb-nym-col-2025-06-07 | Mets vs. Rockies | 72,498,744 | 72,500,806 |
20a36d2cabf1726a089649023849981c97b43ec8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0209eee007370a1278dbe81187c15b2e0d7a8de8bb674f3204abdb213e5f2747 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-det-cws-2025-06-05 | Choice: tigers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-05 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-05 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0... | cubs | 0 | mlb-chc-det-2025-06-08 | Cubs vs. Tigers | 72,526,942 | 72,526,942 |
357989acba47b000d6513242cb2b5980c816e067 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x70ce63b3d3ee41545d56441d43be4a014150cb29635381203f0bfc97ad488eaa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Orioles vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-bal-sea-2025-06-05 | Choice: mariners | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-05 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-05 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | nationals | 0 | mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-08 | Rangers vs. Nationals | 72,526,942 | 72,560,421 |
5e353f5dc22570b2c82aa143b54958cd4a46c437 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5644895eac1c533cfda4f4cc491f1e5b8e0f410369497835b924b237f305833b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-min-oak-2025-06-05 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-05 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-05 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | angels | 0 | mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-08 | Mariners vs. Angels | 72,528,994 | 72,536,584 |
e13afffb105079317304ad1ea2f332716f4c5e9d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x496beedd3abca77af3de9f5bf5a7d4afb97367af833994ecb6255d21fe10f113 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mets vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-nym-lad-2025-06-05 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-05 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-05 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | mets | 0 | mlb-nym-col-2025-06-08 | Mets vs. Rockies | 72,529,419 | 72,529,419 |
8746ac7659743a8dfc6989d989f29d07bcb83b6e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x611d6603ef0f9fd2a65a7e71edb8a5e02980f6e772441ab6f1fb3b15da8f1686 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Giants | Event: mlb-sd-sf-2025-06-05 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-05 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Red Sox vs. Yankees | Event: mlb-bos-nyy-2025-06-06 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | athletics | 0 | mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-08 | Orioles vs. Athletics | 72,536,584 | 72,560,421 |
fa672b070686e8d7e47f506b0ccdd95ef4d6de2b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xbb9afde94b7b7e72d40f02446d3958d29ea21f60298f81afb8d5646afe4592ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Astros vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-hou-pit-2025-06-05 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Red Sox vs. Yankees | Event: mlb-bos-nyy-2025-06-06 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Royals vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-kc-cws-2025-06-06 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-08 | Braves vs. Giants | 72,536,584 | 72,560,421 |
abd31e063c61a207fd3f0342960279a896b9d265 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x043d8e1a4237156a25361bb635d34e0aee76df98854895a422dcbb17bfd6572c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Red Sox vs. Yankees | Event: mlb-bos-nyy-2025-06-06 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Royals vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-kc-cws-2025-06-06 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-06 | Choice: phillies | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | guardians | 0 | mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-09 | Reds vs. Guardians | 72,578,101 | 72,578,101 |
5f41b431f9f63249452e1b80d0fa6687fb47e117 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0777c5ddfc707b208d665ab5fe0314e9f3b9913df8e803d928ad3c75de87d8ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Royals vs. White Sox | Event: mlb-kc-cws-2025-06-06 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-06 | Choice: phillies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-06 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-09 | Braves vs. Brewers | 72,578,101 | 72,578,101 |
864cb7bb3a9caf09304089ec43855d2a6e1b8337 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x29717ef6eaeb9786b82859146febe6e58e8a147f56516154a312b0acb1f94aa3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-06 | Choice: phillies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-06 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-06 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0... | cubs | 0 | mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-09 | Cubs vs. Phillies | 72,578,101 | 72,578,101 |
de3ffa9f0eceaf871f849d711dae1687005d904f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6d71bece38fcf8a957774dd803c762c97857b84b972e15330cddfc88a48a5e77 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-06 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-06 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Reds | Event: mlb-ari-cin-2025-06-06 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-09 | Marlins vs. Pirates | 72,578,101 | 72,578,101 |
a58240adec85ad257a75a4e0fa9713683a36a164 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1343f2c44bac45a1abe3d475d67647341ec569cbcc8fe6bb5defa0c55e2a1842 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-06 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Reds | Event: mlb-ari-cin-2025-06-06 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-06 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4... | rays | 0 | mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-09 | Rays vs. Red Sox | 72,578,101 | 72,584,400 |
9dd170d01779590cf5be4db143d74c1707a5beb1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf838585ccc33c68e0a5ddc6eac98a4eff7938fa75febfe463061e5e8e517ebf4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Diamondbacks vs. Reds | Event: mlb-ari-cin-2025-06-06 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-06 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-06 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-09 | Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | 72,578,101 | 72,584,400 |
cc01f55c77687db58d00e426e6fd2e98e554be7e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0e99e39d6319320d0ff890c14e1beb564bd6cd7006e78e5c5a988fca8ee90493 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-06 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-06 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-06 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Dodge... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-09 | Dodgers vs. Padres | 72,578,995 | 72,587,275 |
2bde5d7c9d644f6dba14b2e178ad9559ea068f8f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe9c73e1564654ddde1aab8e0939f05d8ccdded942485ffea38a8c32f988861aa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-06 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-06 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-06 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | angels | 0 | mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-09 | Athletics vs. Angels | 72,578,995 | 72,587,275 |
a4b38e6c5a5fd52b394abcdcbec4d9fff070538f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5e92bf041f2c2b7a99148990b3e66286d7fff3384b378be7e63245a7514c53ef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-06 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-06 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-06 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-09 | Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | 72,587,275 | 72,587,275 |
4290d2c9a6091ea5fe050f1dd09ac6a7dfeec7a0 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x7c07cb9e150a81ba72414c5d5e04470659d778eb77fdc438475e801f21e36654 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-06 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-06 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-06 | Choice: angels | Confidence: ... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-10 | Marlins vs. Pirates | 72,587,275 | 72,627,913 |
bbcd9486b5917c4289e8a326e36869cc6680f8f8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x46638e42f8154da67ebcd99f50bf0f5d6f58cef4f3ac23db4d3f1bced85c8115 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-06 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-06 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-06 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | guardians | 0 | mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-10 | Reds vs. Guardians | 72,615,304 | 72,616,953 |
8c95f97ef32c13d54e33f9c9993a4b92ec6f85fb | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa5855f265a5f305dd0e805c9bbbc3812c79a612c61a5b1d5c00aa58cc7b060c0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-06 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-06 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-07 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-10 | Braves vs. Brewers | 72,615,710 | 72,617,209 |
4e24c174377580838cbb0a34d5b7904d1143c3e7 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x2d7eb71ed96f7e6309f6799a58bba0ff181e34f5cfde88f787fdf88799a75c23 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-06 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-07 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-07 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-10 | Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | 72,615,710 | 72,627,913 |
45709868c74635a0588780f6c764b575962a2995 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x92720db12f401d73b35729059d5f3a87653bfb86e05ae591723c4eb5c4b05c6b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Dodgers vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-lad-stl-2025-06-07 | Choice: cardinals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-07 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-07 | Choice: phillies | Confidence:... | rangers | 0 | mlb-tex-min-2025-06-10 | Rangers vs. Twins | 72,615,710 | 72,627,913 |
33c8fe5be0bab305a6d2983c941a53b1543edce2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd3859b032dfbf03b48b06799d8800b24e374400d079a88ebf2fb867ab0dd1a21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tor-min-2025-06-07 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-07 | Choice: phillies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-07 | Choice: nationals | Confidence:... | cubs | 0 | mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-10 | Cubs vs. Phillies | 72,615,710 | 72,627,915 |
47028d9ab920bc3bf49b249d9f4edbc50fb5308a | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0cd88b8a798e3f86e92a4d5e3e79da454a58aee951b1f695184219b4ca492ab8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Phillies vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-phi-pit-2025-06-07 | Choice: phillies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-07 | Choice: nationals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-07 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4... | astros | 0 | mlb-cws-hou-2025-06-10 | White Sox vs. Astros | 72,616,773 | 72,619,628 |
2d7c5c83d15f4a7ab8d0ce114dec4a010bb90650 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x53655999e661654692403cdadee509f8397ae89cc476371ddf57c3cf4ee86bd1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-07 | Choice: nationals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-07 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-07 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | royals | 0 | mlb-nyy-kc-2025-06-10 | Yankees vs. Royals | 72,616,773 | 72,627,915 |
28e9af5a2aa58a8fe51fe16999d84930e0d772bb | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x905ebe5c4256e37ce896aea0b4d15261eac925a00b491c21b3c47a636a90c7ba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-07 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-07 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Rays | Event: mlb-mia-tb-2025-06-07 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | orioles | 0 | mlb-det-bal-2025-06-10 | Tigers vs. Orioles | 72,616,773 | 72,627,915 |
aca574a3e0e49a4ab071535f3c5e9c8924eca2d3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5387dec0a07436f792cd86d75cd5d24653f0e3d09690b3849e5bd9067d48de5c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Astros vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-hou-cle-2025-06-07 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Rays | Event: mlb-mia-tb-2025-06-07 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-07 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | mets | 0 | mlb-wsh-nym-2025-06-10 | Nationals vs. Mets | 72,616,953 | 72,619,248 |
a65274e31ca2eeedd640371c995ecb7b2198dbae | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x728d6fb8647b1b1611c82a1b1fefa4dc085426ee02aa47158adee6d9ed06f188 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Rays | Event: mlb-mia-tb-2025-06-07 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-07 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-07 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | giants | 0 | mlb-sf-col-2025-06-10 | Giants vs. Rockies | 72,618,394 | 72,621,852 |
20ef750c13dc596b5f2da0345d1e9746dc0fb3a5 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x86ce27a09adb20a40dcb09799690c9fb8f17be3af36887e115afc1f4876e6806 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-sd-mil-2025-06-07 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-07 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-07 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-10 | Dodgers vs. Padres | 72,619,248 | 72,621,141 |
c134d6f4ad6f620345b58c90c1c60abde68afad1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd3125f36ec18158aa523cdd4b18bf4568db189ac73264d51d68de369756deb85 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-07 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-07 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-07 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-10 | Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | 72,619,248 | 72,627,913 |
a891d63f19d2fcedd8ecd84d9227fd8f838514fd | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x459804365de92620f68a6737071cfc0074e9dbafbef699a5bd48c7081c7430ec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-07 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-07 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-08 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | angels | 0 | mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-10 | Athletics vs. Angels | 72,620,706 | 72,627,913 |
9d39633f55b3c8385f53fd4fd31286e4392ea3d8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x23768e582ee50fad00273dffbea83bdf93bd0bb977dc1680defed469175f622a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-07 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-08 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-08 | Choice: nationals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | guardians | 0 | mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-11 | Reds vs. Guardians | 72,649,330 | 72,649,330 |
e178f9598f61c6df8f0fb5c6c4bff7a9d39204e8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6f50c25243f1391423fe974e8a6dd9ea6c62f70503274c9443335a395c3075b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-chc-det-2025-06-08 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-08 | Choice: nationals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-08 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | cubs | 0 | mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-11 | Cubs vs. Phillies | 72,649,330 | 72,649,330 |
420de9bf3c2c1f0c88c8e7fde3f3ab5e1a3c5a66 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3a51d42f50be39f03ebfbfb63eb07f1e4b17ab450b3ce4a698586b2940a62eb8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rangers vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-tex-wsh-2025-06-08 | Choice: nationals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-08 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-08 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-11 | Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | 72,649,330 | 72,657,023 |
92f2a5a380106f70d4cbd02c16f862ca580e6052 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x880a3ced2ce9f12b13705d8eaf1a15ae982d5f39d14dde61e643922bc792b3f3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Angels | Event: mlb-sea-laa-2025-06-08 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-08 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-08 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | braves | 0 | mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-11 | Braves vs. Brewers | 72,649,330 | 72,657,462 |
54fc56fa98b13b4492e9c7902c6b17c1b4226a67 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x20172d1b38ba6a390a58675a09201f13997495050f017145aae0f00414d61d4c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mets vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-nym-col-2025-06-08 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-08 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-08 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | rangers | 0 | mlb-tex-min-2025-06-11 | Rangers vs. Twins | 72,657,023 | 72,657,023 |
14e7e6fb59a4fdedba248d3e52671eab868e03a6 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x54b463c7d06eacf40421279901233c7380b909a65728af120f142b508a9bec5c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Orioles vs. Athletics | Event: mlb-bal-oak-2025-06-08 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-08 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-09 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | angels | 0 | mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-11 | Athletics vs. Angels | 72,657,023 | 72,657,462 |
630c1696bf2185dd7c11d16d51a4a072e9a90da2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5f44701dc0507e5374f1465a5701eaf811a3bba049f8fe4c4d8530b4414babeb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Giants | Event: mlb-atl-sf-2025-06-08 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-09 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-09 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-11 | Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | 72,657,023 | 72,657,462 |
a2d02bfa4d9037d147a141a50766fe125c16747c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3621305e796df5caf74f629e7d315ec023a9bbee5da809abf372662d075955b7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-09 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-09 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-09 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | rays | 0 | mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-11 | Rays vs. Red Sox | 72,657,023 | 72,658,457 |
c8965f5fd9b6aca12ccf9ec36b745ec2de4031fb | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xb9f463ca5dd5e9267a3c4c5950ea92f18f137d741d96fa22c6b89171c64db796 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-09 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-09 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-09 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-11 | Dodgers vs. Padres | 72,657,023 | 72,677,648 |
d5d3cea32e081b3d68826e1d2b59b2d204a2c1c1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xc13c317a44ba7bcc8350fb34b3d83878ca745d55c751f59b264c3427cbc2ed5c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-09 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-09 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-09 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Bl... | orioles | 0 | mlb-det-bal-2025-06-12 | Tigers vs. Orioles | 72,697,158 | 72,697,158 |
451f34c5dd66b1f91fd45b0378bd0b9b94995528 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xbe37ebda5970d8c47973e8ea5482933ae847d6f8dacbeb4a5ec7a39aa626b085 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-09 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-09 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-09 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-13 | Blue Jays vs. Phillies | 72,737,636 | 72,737,636 |
f22f837d4918743e483cd48ce62f656cba6e0ac9 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x447a6631a3d6018ccb91de061005332db13f0e546e1818e9d3ddc051660be06e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-09 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-09 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-09 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | astros | 0 | mlb-min-hou-2025-06-13 | Twins vs. Astros | 72,737,636 | 72,740,259 |
9a1f65c90fdfadf9bc203d8a87b6f382b3e3223e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x06a8dbab26e39ab34b1314828bc9e9929de0f1d2a4cbc3c9700c78c815da6630 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-09 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-09 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-09 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-13 | Marlins vs. Nationals | 72,737,636 | 72,761,113 |
1b5abb49ea0a4312f6dbc0744c2885ae4d3151cf | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x39fa5d362a5842238bbc86055deddee643ee9d055647df5553bfde8b3608e0ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-09 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-09 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-09 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence... | braves | 0 | mlb-col-atl-2025-06-13 | Rockies vs. Braves | 72,737,636 | 72,761,113 |
97054d5dda473ec2ddea4906aa744c65011f9673 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6099643c187be3abe0870cb0e744500dc6c99802de2f833579c19cc21f26af41 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-09 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-09 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-10 | Choice: marlins | Confiden... | red sox | 0 | mlb-nyy-bos-2025-06-13 | Yankees vs. Red Sox | 72,737,636 | 72,761,113 |
f68cca8517f2ad18a64472839358b603c01ab88b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x93d17b24e2936805c0d050cda64076ce01697e4f9498bb6cb6bea0f6273f9dda | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-09 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-10 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-10 | Choice: guardians | Confide... | reds | 0 | mlb-cin-det-2025-06-13 | Reds vs. Tigers | 72,740,259 | 72,740,259 |
83e7c10780a9c61f1ef963628303eaad41bab1af | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6ad46235c58576678f49932d2da4dd972b5fa86b1320b2d925d2a3c736978531 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Pirates | Event: mlb-mia-pit-2025-06-10 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-10 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-10 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-13 | Athletics vs. Royals | 72,740,259 | 72,742,142 |
b3eec79766c2eae7068b94e6f2a06c18b8e443f0 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9ccc172007bbda5e8994d3b98d4d6e50ba76216566ba46312b57c12a4f5650e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-10 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-10 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-10 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.... | mets | 0 | mlb-tb-nym-2025-06-13 | Rays vs. Mets | 72,740,259 | 72,742,142 |
a91e36249052e2f18825cc9a238eed94a623b2ef | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x3ed0e30a8b79b9dea76475013a4184c12ea290b7b3e3defbc4348fec8f668742 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-10 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-10 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-10 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
4... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-13 | Padres vs. Diamondbacks | 72,740,259 | 72,742,982 |
fe1d2c6f7978812fd6fc51ad9064a7dd0302759e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1000c3292ca30bc3d44daab71d5c0ab8b2a1d6d163d897702f85d54b3f94b118 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-10 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-10 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-10 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | rangers | 0 | mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-13 | White Sox vs. Rangers | 72,740,259 | 72,761,113 |
2956d646af72f0644479283a115ca2520e2d5d1d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xcd7213df879933e038ba349f332879f34b81b978f2c8a2e33fc146e3995539b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-10 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-10 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: White Sox vs. Astros | Event: mlb-cws-hou-2025-06-10 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | brewers | 0 | mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-13 | Cardinals vs. Brewers | 72,740,259 | 72,761,113 |
1c3956a55e607d4367688027022f6fdbbffb8280 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5fdbd14928ecac793404618a5a869f1799e95ac3bebdcbea46d3e74c9dd298cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-10 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: White Sox vs. Astros | Event: mlb-cws-hou-2025-06-10 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Royals | Event: mlb-nyy-kc-2025-06-10 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-13 | Giants vs. Dodgers | 72,742,142 | 72,742,142 |
7842aeb4a924469b554e42cf7b80751b5bd86976 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x821c6eb8ff7dd4808009df7f6f5c2999669d2f9521a11825a1a43da0079a50ed | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Astros | Event: mlb-cws-hou-2025-06-10 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Royals | Event: mlb-nyy-kc-2025-06-10 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-10 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | guardians | 0 | mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-13 | Guardians vs. Mariners | 72,742,982 | 72,742,982 |
e91517eae35c567d048e74e78d25ffe69ba88523 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x88ed394d0bb017619ac810fdc92c0870178c0d18fbe192df0e8b979928e06c33 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Royals | Event: mlb-nyy-kc-2025-06-10 | Choice: royals | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-10 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nationals vs. Mets | Event: mlb-wsh-nym-2025-06-10 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | reds | 0 | mlb-cin-det-2025-06-14 | Reds vs. Tigers | 72,768,588 | 72,768,588 |
04771beb1bcfbf557004ab95b7036ee3885f9fdd | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x618ea455e94a220b38f8c153ffca5d2235c462d28fdd93eee68f2430a4afd8e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-10 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nationals vs. Mets | Event: mlb-wsh-nym-2025-06-10 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-sf-col-2025-06-10 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-14 | Marlins vs. Nationals | 72,768,588 | 72,775,427 |
d44a3686835e307fefee565f6ba0341c05ede293 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x41ab62807ccd2361eee8c473dee04a099a484fdb69b8ebd58966f4693a7a05f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nationals vs. Mets | Event: mlb-wsh-nym-2025-06-10 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-sf-col-2025-06-10 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-10 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | cubs | 0 | mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-14 | Pirates vs. Cubs | 72,770,435 | 72,771,427 |
8f90ab77d019766a3ddbbfac344bd3755b1c5d68 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x07a6e79f7b274e18fb44dfd3e795a1cb238ac64f49b624e2257c9605d526c336 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Rockies | Event: mlb-sf-col-2025-06-10 | Choice: giants | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-10 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-10 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0... | brewers | 0 | mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-14 | Cardinals vs. Brewers | 72,771,427 | 72,790,075 |
3eec08b957fde90d6b32217e0a90d5f1a40c46bb | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa3c5dfc562752afbb7e42734f4622a053c7d6299ec6cf35c3481982ddae0a877 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-10 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-10 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-10 | Choice: angels | Confidence... | astros | 0 | mlb-min-hou-2025-06-14 | Twins vs. Astros | 72,773,452 | 72,775,371 |
c55935fc7cc23ced0b0f45327871540dd76f07b1 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x12c3b21775d7706268f77371ecc2a7086ae3fd36e3d79fe4ce9421df1e3e80ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-10 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-10 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-11 | Choice: guardians | Confide... | rangers | 0 | mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-14 | White Sox vs. Rangers | 72,773,452 | 72,790,073 |
fcaf05a136805581fe62c726416a88705b0bc4ca | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x35aa88dfbd5c8a985a464c8487bfd8d2b77d6cb6e6e93c3a23f1a45a9c7dca70 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-10 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-11 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-11 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-14 | Athletics vs. Royals | 72,773,452 | 72,790,073 |
78fda59a771d324c9e083cd420cc91e145a04cdd | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa691e7f3abb1deb7296be4316eb99b4cec98abf26232c9d4739b316adaee420e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Guardians | Event: mlb-cin-cle-2025-06-11 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-11 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-11 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-14 | Blue Jays vs. Phillies | 72,774,004 | 72,775,371 |
bd310b5166663044195655758ea7e66f2383d026 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xdb18f10540e9e548a2f25817e5104f3f196fba5bf8091a0dc5c1611ccaa36e2e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cubs vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-chc-phi-2025-06-11 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-11 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-11 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-bal-2025-06-14 | Angels vs. Orioles | 72,774,004 | 72,775,371 |
f22216d9621cc84d0dcd81a9279e7f43c9626d86 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x5acd1c35fa616a6bcb5544646ba99ecfd86bd9404683cec12ff8ca1f178a2e99 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Cardinals | Event: mlb-tor-stl-2025-06-11 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-11 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-11 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
4... | guardians | 0 | mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-14 | Guardians vs. Mariners | 72,786,773 | 72,786,773 |
572ff82d4e10bc2b76804ac5b77f18b72f879a5a | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x00bf5d09fbcbe84d645b8324e3d138aacaf0d10f3825359aee64eef2c0c055c0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Braves vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-atl-mil-2025-06-11 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-11 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-11 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-14 | Giants vs. Dodgers | 72,786,773 | 72,790,073 |
39e014f27a7bca640eaff6acf7a2cda2fc7222d2 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x446ee2080911aeac68757515c6cbdcf7c2c3945b79a6c70ba871f94003346124 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rangers vs. Twins | Event: mlb-tex-min-2025-06-11 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-11 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-11 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence... | diamondbacks | 0 | mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-14 | Padres vs. Diamondbacks | 72,786,773 | 72,790,073 |
d3ff666aad323fdb157752e3e08de0585a849954 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xdb09e475965a21b014e84720b2c206d4dc208fc3f231a3adc6aad5c01cbf7274 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Angels | Event: mlb-oak-laa-2025-06-11 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-11 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-11 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0... | reds | 0 | mlb-cin-det-2025-06-15 | Reds vs. Tigers | 72,809,222 | 72,809,222 |
584798714d838310cc51a5ff3e49d8784b71feba | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xe18155dee051b511744b46b5903099bdd0240e6db46f411d251b3e660830a92b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mariners vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sea-ari-2025-06-11 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-11 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-11 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4... | cubs | 0 | mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-15 | Pirates vs. Cubs | 72,809,222 | 72,809,222 |
5620b83fd45bdb866ee83428b8acaf601293a69c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xff09af47dde25cbc4972d4e65946ffc2756a76206836bfc0d4f9ce8f9989028a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-tb-bos-2025-06-11 | Choice: rays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-11 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-12 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-15 | Blue Jays vs. Phillies | 72,809,222 | 72,810,896 |
82e8a4e9bf76d3108da8df9fcc56dfc1e9052139 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x7fb74679ce45ac1be92f2063f68bf41c65fd20d3cd96cc28ce612e19545d2bbe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Dodgers vs. Padres | Event: mlb-lad-sd-2025-06-11 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-12 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-13 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4... | marlins | 0 | mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-15 | Marlins vs. Nationals | 72,809,222 | 72,811,490 |
a33e26f3b6c065b6d332ecc558d5bab987a64d95 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x0e724382b6e640b945ce0655bdc1a85a4d279ddc6da82805c68a7805cb9b6b13 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Tigers vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-det-bal-2025-06-12 | Choice: orioles | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-13 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-13 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | astros | 0 | mlb-min-hou-2025-06-15 | Twins vs. Astros | 72,809,222 | 72,812,786 |
f9a329e081c97b169ae8c2b3dac38afac3329bad | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa8e03d2993c733c2e50f0fcb4e585efa2fa50f54f2c3131a7b43d172d327004d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-13 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-13 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-13 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
... | red sox | 0 | mlb-nyy-bos-2025-06-15 | Yankees vs. Red Sox | 72,809,222 | 72,847,325 |
9c630ca94da51a4f3a407d1c108ab11af13d1f35 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x10f0c86831143b8ed5b7c0b69648a08d044ebc345069b559d5deca1ecf4bc5c7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-13 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-13 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockies vs. Braves | Event: mlb-col-atl-2025-06-13 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-bal-2025-06-15 | Angels vs. Orioles | 72,809,222 | 72,847,326 |
55e978a4bff5727510917f212df009cc09c2afd8 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xffc6f1f3056157239b9eed00e781d519cf7eb07dab191399cfd1ecf6a640cc19 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-13 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockies vs. Braves | Event: mlb-col-atl-2025-06-13 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Yankees vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-nyy-bos-2025-06-13 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | braves | 0 | mlb-col-atl-2025-06-15 | Rockies vs. Braves | 72,810,896 | 72,810,896 |
84e3c100a7cb9c56f73c7ed53f317b7c465db3ff | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x12d5c9c50d200bfc6169c4fe2db078593892ce35c7a8a0e90d3099e71bffaf91 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockies vs. Braves | Event: mlb-col-atl-2025-06-13 | Choice: braves | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Yankees vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-nyy-bos-2025-06-13 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-13 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | athletics | 0 | mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-15 | Athletics vs. Royals | 72,810,896 | 72,812,786 |
6034185fe96e02559e4223a4c0b0f22eeb99dedb | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfe90bf11efdd012c3c6794f3703efd2f32cb8d29e36447059bd3db4df325c825 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Yankees vs. Red Sox | Event: mlb-nyy-bos-2025-06-13 | Choice: red sox | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-13 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-13 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | brewers | 0 | mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-15 | Cardinals vs. Brewers | 72,810,896 | 72,812,786 |
093c0776e392ceec68f6623d226cdc76e9ca2f70 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xee402794b305dcd5d0a95c36d205477f7240637e6b1115594c08a247038cdb22 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-13 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-13 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rays vs. Mets | Event: mlb-tb-nym-2025-06-13 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Padre... | rangers | 0 | mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-15 | White Sox vs. Rangers | 72,810,896 | 72,847,325 |
a205f3b82d778585e3888e642331db2414073a2c | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf501b4b8553b0af7b1a3e185d1cbdde8ade4a2490603bdf75a8a809faa025ffa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-13 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rays vs. Mets | Event: mlb-tb-nym-2025-06-13 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-13 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-nyy-2025-06-16 | Angels vs. Yankees | 72,860,564 | 72,862,012 |
c5d344669feef4e81b450423bbf02380c46f8b95 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x9bbc7cbb4a9bd9257b3dd3914f4823d93223b07d3d1b299fe5a90c0f34b1ca10 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rays vs. Mets | Event: mlb-tb-nym-2025-06-13 | Choice: mets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-13 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-13 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | marlins | 0 | mlb-phi-mia-2025-06-16 | Phillies vs. Marlins | 72,860,564 | 72,870,829 |
86997d3e66a31ec45c16d3219168d1ea919a6632 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xd2c5785fab46bc5ee7294ce17b06a5d309c81fa99f06c5b2b6f15afe2df4e1bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-13 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-13 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-13 | Choice: brewers | Confide... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-sd-lad-2025-06-16 | Padres vs. Dodgers | 72,863,488 | 72,870,829 |
b7aa97abe634af3556200ecf50b76d002a49fb5e | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6ded9e3c677b53c030c578e0f713e84f3d6c671315f1dbd6e0c5a1b53f301695 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-13 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-13 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-13 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4... | mariners | 0 | mlb-bos-sea-2025-06-16 | Red Sox vs. Mariners | 72,866,090 | 72,866,090 |
8304d5e8eca773d74def69aca50318e416e493ba | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xfbca9d103287b2808013e6a47e2f2fdf0c16b8390e098b8e693819a55631aeb8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-13 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-13 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-13 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-oak-2025-06-16 | Astros vs. Athletics | 72,866,090 | 72,866,090 |
7479b6259a740d799a86ff50933a33bba9dd9619 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x772fdf95cbe58a342d5f0e1a53eb94ad7dd8baeb3c0c3abbe75113d1145d2343 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-13 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-13 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-14 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-ari-tor-2025-06-17 | Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays | 72,900,530 | 72,902,305 |
d1342dcc8ea72e4735e12aeddc1e1d6144544b28 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x41fc753fbdb290ae9abd32bdbbbf5627e501365a05036edfdd5a00c4e3d1e03c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-13 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-14 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-14 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | reds | 0 | mlb-min-cin-2025-06-17 | Twins vs. Reds | 72,900,530 | 72,911,872 |
7acbd6e49de4a7d409c74cfca102f50884e2912a | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xbfe27402c15bc3b965140f8ba93db1a79f33ed339cbab7fd56e6e88017f534bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-14 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-14 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-14 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: C... | marlins | 0 | mlb-phi-mia-2025-06-17 | Phillies vs. Marlins | 72,900,530 | 72,911,872 |
4d89e537e35b7fdd8a386bdd7ad439b110b8917d | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x77bced1de0fe86205651c0194e7a928482192d12858a16c979afbfeee3d91a96 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-14 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-14 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-14 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-nyy-2025-06-17 | Angels vs. Yankees | 72,900,530 | 72,911,874 |
46e1abe97717c282db19b66992381529be08435f | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xc2b39ed4b400a699fd1b3eb0143140e8821ba7cf68d474fadbabbc75bc0692a4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-14 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-14 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-14 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | rangers | 0 | mlb-kc-tex-2025-06-17 | Royals vs. Rangers | 72,901,671 | 72,911,874 |
005ef5610697abf6c7334fccd41993eada14fedf | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xf1ba2c9ca3a82e4edbc945b7a0b28e43454f01a4804b615307465870466a618f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cardinals vs. Brewers | Event: mlb-stl-mil-2025-06-14 | Choice: brewers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-14 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-14 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | brewers | 0 | mlb-mil-chc-2025-06-17 | Brewers vs. Cubs | 72,901,671 | 72,911,874 |
b64e726c15b8f1603def2165956eac8e32d805cd | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x87bf623313e9b3d8f5dca836159c5f2c5c7378aeb58f1dd93a95f2b7d2bf2aa7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-14 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-14 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-14 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | giants | 0 | mlb-cle-sf-2025-06-17 | Guardians vs. Giants | 72,902,049 | 72,908,120 |
af2e044d4d5db1ba7e12d4cb7de2ce3f4809d000 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x960ed7c28455ac51c1e343f9aa3a2da98ca106187c6a66f7f8cce22824839ea7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: White Sox vs. Rangers | Event: mlb-cws-tex-2025-06-14 | Choice: rangers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-14 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-14 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence... | braves | 0 | mlb-nym-atl-2025-06-17 | Mets vs. Braves | 72,902,761 | 72,911,872 |
35baa189f59417462b21c26611ebfae863f1e4f3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x1e90f555b3144e08ab933afcfd2c16cf8a0ecce11de6b2e86ba0fca0bfd7bb9e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Athletics vs. Royals | Event: mlb-oak-kc-2025-06-14 | Choice: athletics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-14 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Angels vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-laa-bal-2025-06-14 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.... | astros | 0 | mlb-hou-oak-2025-06-17 | Astros vs. Athletics | 72,908,120 | 72,908,120 |
8d0ae4997ba4463310ccf4aaa6bb07438f481772 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x36637c27fb6475048d2e36014b075bb3744231e7e31e42373f1529c8e004b960 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-14 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Angels vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-laa-bal-2025-06-14 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-14 | Choice: guardians | Confidence:... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-sd-lad-2025-06-17 | Padres vs. Dodgers | 72,908,120 | 72,911,872 |
803adbdb04753577179707de4f2020b4dec283ff | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xa4eb946aa51d456e25fbadf8064f12dacfc00afc857cc8db8a619b1925def7f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Angels vs. Orioles | Event: mlb-laa-bal-2025-06-14 | Choice: angels | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-14 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-14 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | mariners | 0 | mlb-bos-sea-2025-06-18 | Red Sox vs. Mariners | 72,937,828 | 72,967,918 |
66f4c23e9c973f7ec0b607c86b3816c28be79072 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x57ae1792cac0ec9eb0473f652dd1b52f938cbfc495a46bc77759ffe1fb9eda36 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Guardians vs. Mariners | Event: mlb-cle-sea-2025-06-14 | Choice: guardians | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-14 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-14 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confiden... | braves | 0 | mlb-nym-atl-2025-06-18 | Mets vs. Braves | 72,942,894 | 72,942,894 |
d9db1ccb00586cb738372ea5d0b907bd151886b6 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x6ab86ec50fd9f4dd2cf9af6c12f8d989bbe2e8fca7d73d939d091efce419bace | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Giants vs. Dodgers | Event: mlb-sf-lad-2025-06-14 | Choice: dodgers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-14 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-15 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | angels | 0 | mlb-laa-nyy-2025-06-18 | Angels vs. Yankees | 72,942,894 | 72,942,894 |
675acc9be6c3c76cf0846a123564d2b71e02e57b | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x4122514f790979339e32431906d12c4d2b0d27998f9e65e194c2726e5059920d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Padres vs. Diamondbacks | Event: mlb-sd-ari-2025-06-14 | Choice: diamondbacks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-15 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-15 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | orioles | 0 | mlb-bal-tb-2025-06-18 | Orioles vs. Rays | 72,942,894 | 72,967,918 |
62178a1d4face7e904de717c08bc768e34c3acc3 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x200b29230a00178b6dc7ad267d9ee2af9dafd1384f3989f187a416a115237605 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Reds vs. Tigers | Event: mlb-cin-det-2025-06-15 | Choice: reds | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-15 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-15 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | rangers | 0 | mlb-kc-tex-2025-06-18 | Royals vs. Rangers | 72,942,894 | 72,967,919 |
f0fefb711d5e3740befcf4dccc46d22bbcb77fe5 | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0xbb9914bbae37feb1433241d0869f7e9f5bcaeb47bf3595cbf771ecff3eed6b4a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pirates vs. Cubs | Event: mlb-pit-chc-2025-06-15 | Choice: cubs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-15 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-15 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | reds | 0 | mlb-min-cin-2025-06-18 | Twins vs. Reds | 72,943,570 | 72,943,570 |
5fd869728545b7a5725acfc469fe31b9788931cf | 0x2b6f2b17960523294f7245578b7786bf791c3838 | 0x98010e94760935641bc22dab7e72d1dd99690249f7960ee0a34e52db5ac897e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blue Jays vs. Phillies | Event: mlb-tor-phi-2025-06-15 | Choice: blue jays | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Marlins vs. Nationals | Event: mlb-mia-wsh-2025-06-15 | Choice: marlins | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Twins vs. Astros | Event: mlb-min-hou-2025-06-15 | Choice: astros | Confidence: 0.0
... | nationals | 0 | mlb-col-wsh-2025-06-18 | Rockies vs. Nationals | 72,943,570 | 72,967,918 |
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