sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
98f036f4ee0e6e8840363d0bcbd1744429f74a0f | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xe4156c411f0dd08491c5d5d8893ba554e8e8b0513a1c667c535a40a6719278b7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton beat Bournemouth? | Event: epl-everton-vs-bournemouth | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford beat Southampton? | Event: epl-brentford-vs-southampton | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United beat Liverpool? | Event: epl-manchester-unit... | yes | 1 | ucl-real-madrid-vs-vfb-stuttgart | Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart? | 61,987,894 | 61,987,894 |
112c79e5c8391185cb0d693e5c50b8bca6fb6f32 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0x0704bb509176e2510050be287e820e1af49d9b286f20b4dceddcb5639e2a72c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford beat Southampton? | Event: epl-brentford-vs-southampton | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United beat Liverpool? | Event: epl-manchester-united-vs-liverpool | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham beat Newcastle? | Event: epl-newcast... | yes | 1 | ucl-club-brugge-vs-borussia-dortmund | Will Club Brugge beat Borussia Dortmund? | 62,022,961 | 62,022,961 |
e44d3342edd2f6f41ac23397b486361ee2e492db | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0x4ad59349cb2b1287b0051e0c62a35280a8e030aea82453f072d80b167d2c52bb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United beat Liverpool? | Event: epl-manchester-united-vs-liverpool | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Tottenham beat Newcastle? | Event: epl-newcastle-vs-tottenham | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle beat Tottenham? | Event: epl-newcastle-v... | yes | 1 | ucl-psg-vs-girona | Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona? | 62,022,961 | 62,022,961 |
90c6f52cc43ac6a81770ca4907e144ba73863eff | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xa9e99020dc85c535dd04997e0a5d66865d332d34c7faabcb4b8ee2344e403f01 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham beat Newcastle? | Event: epl-newcastle-vs-tottenham | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle beat Tottenham? | Event: epl-newcastle-vs-tottenham | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix? | Event: italian-grand-... | no | 1 | ucl-manchester-city-vs-inter-milan | Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan? | 62,022,961 | 62,022,961 |
8e28d9ecd48eb94c0c7bd8e808bc58e12ed9d059 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xf40f6387fe89f4d83f87280a8bf8b58a0288c79e629a48ce8cb2039c71c20f38 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle beat Tottenham? | Event: epl-newcastle-vs-tottenham | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix? | Event: italian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City beat West Ham? | Event: epl-west-h... | no | 1 | ucl-club-brugge-vs-borussia-dortmund | Will Borussia Dortmund beat Club Brugge? | 62,022,961 | 62,022,961 |
023c3da87d2434b4aef196569495ec41a80354b2 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0x94e0d145ebb2c1f3dda9f9bc14201cad7477bc2f988e76c1208593a5d82b883e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Oscar Piastri win the Italian Grand Prix? | Event: italian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City beat West Ham? | Event: epl-west-ham-vs-manchester-city | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix... | yes | 1 | ucl-monaco-vs-barcelona | Will Monaco beat Barcelona? | 62,042,765 | 62,042,765 |
7bf7097a586dc77b2f5fe0c07481cdfab460ea69 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0x9f12acb53a1ed9d268e1ab16dfb96760221675e99ecde2688868817f3c101de6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City beat West Ham? | Event: epl-west-ham-vs-manchester-city | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix? | Event: italian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool beat Manchester United? | Even... | yes | 1 | ucl-atalanta-vs-arsenal-will-atalanta-beat-arsenal | Will Arsenal beat Atalanta? | 62,042,765 | 62,042,765 |
f089835e5dcd1342d2256f166dcf12bc25d202bb | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xbfcf8cd9f6766268acac32bf4eda98ada98fc232906d1445cd445d819668bfce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the Italian Grand Prix? | Event: italian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool beat Manchester United? | Event: epl-manchester-united-vs-liverpool | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will LSU win by 5 or more points? | Eve... | no | 1 | ucl-red-star-belgrade-vs-benfica | Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade? | 62,042,765 | 62,042,765 |
e9626870b755455af5c35e0a51ce1e4deb52fe97 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0x47217950cc02ab42fc2d3973fd3e85a22972d37c359ccdcb8f5ebe43d3f083e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool beat Manchester United? | Event: epl-manchester-united-vs-liverpool | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will LSU win by 5 or more points? | Event: cfb-usc-vs-lsu | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Kamala say "liar" at debate? | Event: what-will-kamala-say-... | no | 1 | epl-liverpool-vs-bournemouth | Will Liverpool beat Bournemouth? | 62,122,932 | 62,122,932 |
11fcede1fb6e3c732f9f2a1c27d6418da008a828 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xbcf27deb6a70fe06b255fecc7745a8e3be49be105bd25414e721e0d14d53709f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will LSU win by 5 or more points? | Event: cfb-usc-vs-lsu | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Kamala say "liar" at debate? | Event: what-will-kamala-say-at-the-debate | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.22058977042019762
3. Question: Chiefs vs. Ravens | Event: nfl-kc-bal-2024-09-05 | C... | yes | 1 | epl-crystal-palace-vs-manchester-united | Will Crystal Palace beat Manchester United? | 62,122,932 | 62,122,932 |
b0d46b4d9a921ea56d318f630130ebdc3aa2e194 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xcfe4ef7e5b42d69c8e82b241854693b3b31924807b8a55d6c590aa8e8b81b839 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Kamala say "liar" at debate? | Event: what-will-kamala-say-at-the-debate | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.22058977042019762
2. Question: Chiefs vs. Ravens | Event: nfl-kc-bal-2024-09-05 | Choice: chiefs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Patrick Mahomes score the first TD? | Event: chiefs-... | no | 1 | epl-aston-villa-vs-wolverhampton | Will Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton? | 62,122,932 | 62,122,932 |
73e9d0e09824e7461c3d57e12006f786b9af5566 | 0x2f91c1361fd87957c93bc5fa560053a15b0a907f | 0xe5f007ececd2fdd260e13127006e1bf101f166552f5e96b45105ca966a12c1d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Chiefs vs. Ravens | Event: nfl-kc-bal-2024-09-05 | Choice: chiefs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Patrick Mahomes score the first TD? | Event: chiefs-vs-ravens-first-td-scorer | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Karolina Muchova win the US Open? | Event: us-open-winner-w | Ch... | no | 1 | epl-west-ham-vs-chelsea | Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | 62,122,932 | 62,122,932 |
e4072fa5a1283e9217bea55a3e96a47d9a35e4ab | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x6270721f71b002e0d53f1e0ca50922581ef5fc58370b839059ebab628423dd87 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26?
Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | 75,711,173 | 75,711,173 |
246bb7f942bfeadc67416918817eb53673770f7b | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x0c694938a71d075e30d4097a53cfbca7b4769d258279fc95b41a4a10bc86ca8d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27?
Event: highest-temperature-in-... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | 75,752,606 | 75,752,606 |
745443b39bd35005f704639b749d675d0ef57005 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x9d589ffbf83052c8c96ea301b4cb5a264e3387931dd8f80eb481c11ddca9c16a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 27? | 75,752,606 | 75,752,606 |
f22ad4ff32b595e6b2698809f22e1689fe5b4463 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xdc245d1251d517f5aba6b0093231057605fbbe002fced410bd786170c6ef9a2c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-august-28 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 28? | 75,787,423 | 75,787,423 |
9db00acc54170b954bec95aa429624c2293bb14e | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xd18bd0b6d569e2da243c71cf2231e330b03ef94dfa12c220cb0fe60c8a0e2dd6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30? | 75,869,047 | 75,869,047 |
9abe002e906821cef1623cf176afd2f8ea608ecc | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x66848f1c0f6968873b5ca4f2f6e1a48589833597c9584726f200a333004e5433 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | 75,890,591 | 75,890,591 |
9a330b9a63401b32069edab45969fd2f7a871e27 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x30ca14f40b41fc20c5547be06e8493c09e32e9c88ecafd78c799d85b8a705a4f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
51e1895c07486eab2d1687cc51affbec13826921 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x4734131f69900bb758edf2df048cd02d65d068707a1184cbee4a09c6d704af74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
ff8b8f919c72f496b7dfea86f7326a9ff16b6f68 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x738e0efd9eda0a24d60cd10bec7f3c96724976d75977012bbfdc1d962b40d3f9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fl1-rcl-sbr-2025-08-29 | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
66ec5a8fefcdcd00da1132863e868ceb13753fae | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xafc7f84d1e04336042dd821b28088eef0642065d96e813d716a6a4c91dd494b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
8b5e1507403b87ecbd068c45eb59d9699e2165f9 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xb334eed4c6844c929d3c8f5536aa14ed6702eef8531cbf8b688c73bdc1fd78b4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
82a44dd7b6a37312d2da10c5683414e71b7e6838 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xe4b7840f9beb46006c20cba1bf160a567b1fc8fbac289ae84bc12868e7cf03e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
6a4a4a5a6ee1f330bc58ff5ceebc188606e5231f | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xffb68ad066eec65246df81e3c5b8f493beda913988827db379276de0db1c3ede | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | bun-wol-mai-2025-08-31 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31? | 75,893,790 | 75,893,790 |
2290404983021cbf32e7a95d4042ef2c7def0294 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x3f4346bfbbf45441c4b485b543700b13a79f4d8e54b9a1c5e24f1ff399b6a222 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | lal-gir-sev-2025-08-30 | Will Girona win on 2025-08-30? | 75,893,791 | 75,893,791 |
3cad6ea1aab59cbfbd0387bac4bb4c48e24c14ac | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x3c4cfeccbb66b5f4c45837622a7ff6efa03eda742988d48ca5c0fa737346eea6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fl1-hac-ogc-2025-08-31 | Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31? | 75,893,887 | 75,893,887 |
f69090c9b8107d598328c7afddf353d5763030c1 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x538341f877bd678cb0c5ce2a820b59fb262fcc0c02e19da4c6058c6a72d0ef7c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | sea-laz-ver-2025-08-31 | Will Lazio vs. Verona end in a draw? | 75,992,636 | 75,992,636 |
1c2a20183a6915bb6857758d9eae48cd6c941040 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x46181cf339c6ec6ac12055cce16705e8e91bce53c87d6dac6d42a2c20389fcdf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-mri-cvi-2025-09-04 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2025-09-04? | 76,057,415 | 76,057,415 |
d7ff6213f3de9ad635ba1eb7c1c28af85460c833 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x6656a1e8f617369afd43e8cdacbcea5ca773ac18b927e600323daa57d2e38b1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fif-ksa-mac-2025-09-04 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-09-04? | 76,057,415 | 76,057,415 |
e4f997e55b61bddf6b68b6c41d57c0f11df5125a | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xe572787e34474a19c3dc582ab688af4d1a4ceddb42a3387b1a8935e7c6552f89 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fif-uae-syr-2025-09-04 | Will Syria win on 2025-09-04? | 76,086,878 | 76,086,878 |
090edd7a1b97937fb65d12d3f2a5a04b366fb44b | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xebb143bd7728d987d70eb72f8f8f8afbcf027121055223c04c60f6899e665c83 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | con-par-ecu-2025-09-04 | Will Ecuador win on 2025-09-04? | 76,086,878 | 76,086,878 |
ef2c901eb42d054d16ccdf7962bb4c3b9a19c7c3 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x097625a2f4132d7f955ce84089c25980300f5a261101f5f52ab714c8bc207c07 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | cof-ber-jam-2025-09-05 | Will Jamaica win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,937 | 76,111,937 |
ea7defc061d554462c34387dc8be2775c26fd5b1 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x21cc698533fefc63dd5143b44a7a5b44534435707fdcb2a4578988a9c0d114b3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-mtn-tog-2025-09-05 | Will Mauritania win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,937 | 76,111,937 |
e96dca2cbd6133d2f5519c270cb2e55492906d0f | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x6ec167cad768b8cf0e9044247d282150c4728860224e2f980854fd2876d0db94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-ben-zim-2025-09-05 | Will Benin win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,937 | 76,111,937 |
06a80469d64c173d86e403bc6b5aa361cb49484b | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x048123c5c7eaae87d2fbf81e4da19ba24e134b874b53f5526d4e055019f738bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-nam-mal-2025-09-05 | Will Namibia win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
e0c3e7b826b4dabfe4595f5de3605ff7b067c3fd | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x5ceca951a0c86fbeedc3212758fefa495b14f25bb8c463dad5845ff20afa0651 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-ken-gam-2025-09-05 | Will Kenya win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
08c6f5e8bbd05f4d6b6b07db0eb22e08eccea7c5 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x6f5f6f3b663d347135ad5b4ed5ff06dc82aafdd09761cad19749ce8604f04de1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fif-rom-can-2025-09-05 | Will Romania win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
8466b2ea7b7a8ccdcd9f0a266fa5a26be96aac6a | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x845cc212030ffb870328106d91c489fe595fef5f9d196a45871645676e08af79 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | caf-cgo-tan-2025-09-05 | Will Congo win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
968a3c8c577b7bd75aa7fbbcba9b7a569e0ca0ab | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xb1820a2229d551e222e1f9bb19721e39f2273de8e994e4e467ad35857f658efc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05 | Will Moldova win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
3cd133c17d111c0ad42e46033e3286f1d57e4386 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xd4748f0adaf47d4bba6edc9dfbb2a50d8112055ec9d3d92ea14315e0deed6802 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | fif-idn-tpe-2025-09-05 | Will Indonesia vs. Chinese Taipei end in a draw? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
322ee24d4630f0476098cfa07b2640b1591b8b14 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xe34ff3bc57735f1366576e58f70a114152512a7e2527ec35281161a37171a9ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | uef-slv-swe-2025-09-05 | Will Slovenia win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
cfc81a4605e77720f7c4c7924b179838083ab38d | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xff4871e071292e252a22728c1edd94f7675960528afd429c571a9b43dc072810 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on August 26? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-augu... | yes | 1 | uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05? | 76,111,967 | 76,111,967 |
f5d9eff4ddf891742b610a37b66dddd1f9133d7f | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x414ff3874c675028e83b11e4b4de3be6831a0c1b2b2fd4bfd586c7150f52533e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-aug... | yes | 1 | fif-sri-mdv-2025-09-09 | Will Sri Lanka vs. Maldives end in a draw? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
48fedca9f9c9edce0cbc05c9de89464273d775d3 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x4a8ea36fbc0dd454d8a53f4bfee80df45f6954eecbbcf0f9fb5bca626e8ac5fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 27? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-august-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 28? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-august-... | yes | 1 | fif-jor-dom-2025-09-09 | Will Jordan win on 2025-09-09? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
6ea6d94282dbefc1e50c2b6ba4b50acec5eee4f5 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x8e0f8955ed3502ae5c4bb6f3ca528f1640025c7fc6bd85481b619288d4d91ab4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on August 28? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-august-28 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will West Ham wi... | yes | 1 | uef-ser-eng-2025-09-09 | Will England win on 2025-09-09? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
47758c9cfab37785baf7fc123d3032c296f435d8 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x918c92f7e1d63a7f3a1a0c521c128ed75bc2101c9973cb3eb0e6435b8b40c9c0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-08-30? | Event: sea-bol-com-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | ... | yes | 1 | con-bol-bra-2025-09-09 | Will Bolivia win on 2025-09-09? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
2e75b154667a19fde0e0ae199b29f9047db8275a | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xda63e33482e0d18c2202421247cc10e9e6c20279f502fde1386a389e16c85fb3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Ch... | yes | 1 | caf-cdr-sen-2025-09-09 | Will Senegal win on 2025-09-09? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
fffbbd612b2a60ce6e072d8ebc1c407c3d7d9675 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xf1c13cbb57a7cfce37ff44a0bcf58fec92d5c574006ccd7484ed5c100a004f24 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-30? | Event: lal-ala-mad-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29? | Event: fl1-rcl-sbr-2025-0... | yes | 1 | con-chl-ury-2025-09-09 | Will Chile vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
0b36e14995fc7207fafa13732b2d4f92b24eca16 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0xf5ac02f4603e5bdf84ea212536ec51d895ffe35f7d93b1f21f08e9291438e34f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lecce win on 2025-08-29? | Event: sea-lec-mil-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29? | Event: fl1-rcl-sbr-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Ch... | yes | 1 | uef-bih-aut-2025-09-09 | Will Austria win on 2025-09-09? | 76,282,327 | 76,282,327 |
3064155e2e96cf88f0907f93915c7d2b3c3b56aa | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x081ea3b27454fc64167dd2448be41aad44be99dae4249ccf3d65bdad244a46f4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-29? | Event: fl1-rcl-sbr-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-... | yes | 1 | uef-ire-hun-2025-09-06 | Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06? | 76,312,434 | 76,312,434 |
4be2273021ee6f407a49b22c571f0926d4db6f52 | 0x2faed44418eb955ec243f3d192846c8fdba99954 | 0x8de585e6c07cfa75a0df97217bde8cd9c71e79fc5ba6d8520b50cb50f36ca4c3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Getafe win on 2025-08-29? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw? | Event: lal-val-get-2025-08-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | ... | yes | 1 | caf-nga-rwa-2025-09-06 | Will Rwanda win on 2025-09-06? | 76,312,434 | 76,312,434 |
06c3ffc5ed64bbcd3405f78ba00ef06183ebf1c8 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x4cd0c7088e0dc0c36902a28418bf7fd7522a7046024bb27c59e11ef28a8219a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | 66,304,101 | 66,304,101 |
b3749462f145d751d26c96a65f306b68a228ae24 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x031e9daa0029d47c3dc4fb1569279d4b54de45dc36d0ed8b523f7672b7df3f45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04?
Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..... | no | 1 | epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | 66,307,587 | 66,307,587 |
1544722a580d21d8f69baad234a4b918da3d89c4 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x479a1581a10479308d21418080675b336f578c2d9f0173f4a89a7868ea5bc37e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?
Event:... | no | 1 | epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | 66,307,984 | 66,307,984 |
1e817db5d50452fe5f5ae053e4556097c223d55d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x4c73b5d03913904f64baa213cf4ba49d029f063535c5588e9f9a93933c41ab6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | yes | 1 | epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | 66,307,984 | 66,307,984 |
14c82b76ebeeae521cca377e5ca631001ce163cc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x924c12e955ea181303caf036f0623cb69d3307b91067b630df4fe5d7bdc099e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | no | 1 | epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw? | 66,307,984 | 66,307,984 |
2334764caee375c15693d7176dec36be5be3f55b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc0122a4c969b1644f684d938977eeb29f4afdec91b3edff934a068f2382c0858 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | no | 1 | epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | 66,311,772 | 66,311,772 |
4c0328df16b3ef18cba2b38e72d4eda3d5b06b2c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd87b978282df371111557753095dc211ae680fa562a0fee803306aa2f0da98fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | blues | 1 | nhl-stl-min-2025-01-07 | Blues vs. Wild | 66,471,645 | 66,471,645 |
573900431bd049de6e40f4361b90cd596ebae3ba | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x436c765bcbdca98b4b773fc87be547dd1a3b7155eece9870bcb997e89b184950 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | yes | 1 | superbowl-champion-2025 | Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | 66,874,130 | 66,874,130 |
9eaeebad4db248818bfd50d59a58713c31bc2816 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x1204603b26f3732c6891fba272f856d26a94b0a1669bc204b5a22391da2bdbb5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | yes | 1 | epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | 66,901,698 | 66,901,698 |
dc37f39d93c419294dbe3a239e26f39d8d3443c0 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xdffe14ea0bbbd0dc31f21e250af8474595ea207c40beed560d401eed8698a717 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | eagles | 0 | nfl-la-phi-2025-01-19 | Rams vs. Eagles | 66,906,775 | 66,906,775 |
c0b4f19ddb19af70aa16dfab3b2b4f6745c3f4a1 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2b33ffdc96cbdb3a9c88b27b2a54e3018a83525b828eef90b3273b76ab358bdc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | magic | 0 | nba-den-orl-2025-01-19 | Nuggets vs. Magic | 66,907,175 | 66,935,751 |
d0fc24f2f52d65420f29acda767246faaa252afb | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x822022058e92704af48a6a1184f02c93c5108c4ac44f2ed5260dd114f9fed9f8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | no | 1 | epl-ips-mac-2025-01-19 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19? | 66,935,751 | 66,935,751 |
4a6cfbb71560e6a22cbfd8c92318a8d28f510f1c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x18fa4f447b2df39697a8116034ac4194d6400d64092f2578833062b5e9973e87 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | hornets | 0 | nba-dal-cha-2025-01-20 | Mavericks vs. Hornets | 66,938,271 | 66,952,895 |
17d9da8318455d7959f7d21159efa315371e34b8 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7e0b063616776694e774738b8fb8e8fd9c5cf4cc697a03476625c0cca28e3397 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-nyk-2025-01-20 | Hawks vs. Knicks | 66,943,681 | 66,943,990 |
547b53b69ba876656343bbe82fdba9c48a27ae45 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x922de2b14db0ad16efeb4dd31ac58b2a698bce803b778578d0d07fb8a0525864 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | rockets | 0.272092 | nba-cle-hou-2025-01-22 | Cavaliers vs. Rockets | 67,031,202 | 67,031,440 |
c2aab7404f0de3b8a506a145982844aa1a918a83 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa8706a81a75ac7e17eb6009a72237491441fcd10a048757e27f7a6177e1d7e2f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | kings | 0.000013 | nba-gsw-sac-2025-01-22 | Warriors vs. Kings | 67,031,922 | 67,034,924 |
4055fe9f0c8639d8303377cd7e6397b5bbe273de | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8949b10c4f76c498091ba7878eed36036e619aaec88f325352133e56daf2199a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | raptors | 0.461475 | nba-tor-atl-2025-01-23 | Raptors vs. Hawks | 67,070,262 | 67,070,589 |
3ffddb8378a26d9a7217945424ebb98bab8c5b12 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5b993c8d9e1ea4aacd7587a735ac7cfc0368e7455509de500ea1fa5c0d7d6607 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | hornets | 0 | nba-por-cha-2025-01-24 | Trail Blazers vs. Hornets | 67,107,987 | 67,116,116 |
4dd8e66731daea7329503e33ea6b4c7ae4f5ed57 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x55b88c9d91a6f20b8628e26f397f5bfb4e6b30c361784681f1ba16022aea02eb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-nop-mem-2025-01-24 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | 67,111,139 | 67,111,139 |
fe3eeb4a859f13bd8e92962d71c228bcafa8f0c7 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x49e2cf8016030545deea62fb75d76060b452e73bd7cabb950511c9e34f662c53 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | pacers | 0 | nba-ind-sas-2025-01-25 | Pacers vs. Spurs | 67,136,001 | 67,138,373 |
0d25c9e751f7ad48b9e15d4af741f893cf365159 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x66f808bf8d1e44a4912ad891859daf9b0d7ab3d8d8222398d507960f8d50a30a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | nuggets | 0 | nba-den-min-2025-01-25 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | 67,140,926 | 67,149,861 |
a27c706f841485a9b4721407b7cadfde3d2da200 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xde38d4aa18802634ff6aa513da6cc8f951e8a99cd5c0136c7f683eb366883006 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | nets | 0.543258 | nba-mia-bkn-2025-01-25 | Heat vs. Nets | 67,146,452 | 67,147,269 |
e5505ccef9cf443ae84ec3b120f01a7448576cfa | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x87ac261625c89984c0c8d6b7ee48d3ba94dd74bb2c8ccc687a6ee1cb3b5bdc11 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | pelicans | 0.241379 | nba-nop-cha-2025-01-25 | Pelicans vs. Hornets | 67,147,677 | 67,147,677 |
29442b12d0aaab6107fb18115604e641caa1424b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa201b01415901949c29cecc61ac217b9f4e0e8e750b9a7310bca0255376feba8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | commanders | 0 | nfl-was-phi-2025-01-26 | Commanders vs. Eagles | 67,180,142 | 67,190,884 |
21038e841a66326c4f82f60192bd43cd6bab36ec | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xbdb10ccc5a7f29407bcc40cb5b5811cfaefb9448c87ee68fd31fb222e4d8100c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | bills | 0 | nfl-buf-kc-2025-01-26 | Bills vs. Chiefs | 67,186,503 | 67,231,776 |
08525036917b9dc078d3d63586a2f0e30bd3dc45 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xdd78a5f8cb1926dfb49d6c35820bd9ddfbbdd874467abe7ebc78cee0c619498e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | celtics | 0 | nba-hou-bos-2025-01-27 | Rockets vs. Celtics | 67,228,583 | 67,246,536 |
5cb85efd2968f9378a75f0df1ef172399387d22f | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x88118002fdce3087c42752da52935d2d1c92803acffea651e816b9425f590e08 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-det-cle-2025-01-27 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | 67,228,621 | 67,229,714 |
e62c2fbeeef15d8b21016f2a4397abd4ff34144f | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb6d97bf8e046413c7f52b80d6d6721d9c43aea2e68e3cd83d89968df96295bfe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | hornets | 0 | nba-lal-cha-2025-01-27 | Lakers vs. Hornets | 67,228,690 | 67,230,710 |
a4aaf9879284d6fac67aeb44f94ce4514919021b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x1b407d450db2de9a8dac245cb0f6bf7c23d0a859c373c68fa4f27e3d1ee47714 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | kings | 0 | nba-sac-bkn-2025-01-27 | Kings vs. Nets | 67,228,844 | 67,246,536 |
10aef436efed020f9d927f4426edeb5b2bb6a984 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf1f736e51360f60ed099cfa5633af32bf2757e85929a2ec1685d8f23ea49bb65 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-min-2025-01-27 | Hawks vs. Timberwolves | 67,228,866 | 67,246,536 |
8f64dca6cdbc4802a1ec3c731709aa1da8263937 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x969a5b4b7af623ce898a89e5ec2193834fdc5192a63f1759ab204089d2bd2ff5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw? | Event: epl-tot-new-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-br... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-mem-nyk-2025-01-27 | Grizzlies vs. Knicks | 67,229,728 | 67,246,536 |
8a87f896c0788907c2133b875f39e693f400b56d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x3109368a8c10cb96ccd73edb84461a5525229cfc35d6225facafa74d3418f398 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04... | pelicans | 0 | nba-nop-tor-2025-01-27 | Pelicans vs. Raptors | 67,229,744 | 67,246,536 |
29e042401a6bf67a50587592e90803de2e1742bb | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf3bd9102ae39fe9b603211a0bfdb677ff0928afc8011fbe451a71bfb2007361c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw? | Event: epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-e... | heat | 0 | nba-orl-mia-2025-01-27 | Magic vs. Heat | 67,229,802 | 67,246,536 |
42052bb1723642f145cf1599db597cd2dc980dad | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x3ea40099035653b80821b24956c0e36c3fc1927af092e643925213abaa252250 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04 ... | bulls | 0 | nba-den-chi-2025-01-27 | Nuggets vs. Bulls | 67,229,870 | 67,246,536 |
add8221bbde3fc2164fc475eec404e6c8fb79f43 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7b1e4e52fd0d34385c809c3a24c31753972d2acafc00c10d61ad0470eb36f64e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw? | Event: epl-bou-eve-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Blues vs. Wild | Event: nhl-stl-min-2025-01-07 | Choice: blues | ... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-uta-2025-01-27 | Bucks vs. Jazz | 67,230,875 | 67,231,232 |
2bf351c120cdeac5db836d18f47428ae9f8430f1 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7eafa31879187311d535212e8ed81cc343a41cf3bd9083e569588b8df565c5aa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-bri-ars-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Blues vs. Wild | Event: nhl-stl-min-2025-01-07 | Choice: blues | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Event: superbowl-champion-2025 | Choice: yes | Confi... | clippers | 0 | nba-lac-phx-2025-01-27 | Clippers vs. Suns | 67,232,630 | 67,246,536 |
ad0d7a6e574cdfcd2718971779b9f6f433150103 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2151d01ff7030deebf33670d0c76c1f7f769b16cdb9ef37f257c8ad33a9dd7bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Blues vs. Wild | Event: nhl-stl-min-2025-01-07 | Choice: blues | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Event: superbowl-champion-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Choice: ... | 76ers | 0 | nba-lal-phi-2025-01-28 | Lakers vs. 76ers | 67,269,518 | 67,309,332 |
be39e746c1b5085c6fd03135060da99d3b861b15 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb351d24bffa23961d81df0f2e47143be3f4d41a8c72128b5465de32185fe77c8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Event: superbowl-champion-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Rams vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-la-phi-2025-01-19 | Choice: ea... | hawks | 0.000152 | nba-hou-atl-2025-01-28 | Rockets vs. Hawks | 67,270,285 | 67,271,001 |
d193ccc659ef5ccee1650943170d307b8d74e77c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2e95353687ea1c6e084e461ed86b67c82f5221b2017e0f0ff7a44c4d9f0b43fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Rams vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-la-phi-2025-01-19 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Magic | Event: nba-den-orl-2025-01-19 | Choice: magic | Confidence:... | jazz | 0 | nba-uta-gsw-2025-01-28 | Jazz vs. Warriors | 67,272,138 | 67,309,332 |
eeba4ef99b5b0e6f69423011baf229b028ae040f | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2d8c635f65eb8e684e46965bd4a3a4f07bc5f654c566eb07f984d813b2bc6bec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rams vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-la-phi-2025-01-19 | Choice: eagles | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Magic | Event: nba-den-orl-2025-01-19 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-ips-mac-2025-01-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-por-2025-01-28 | Bucks vs. Trail Blazers | 67,273,716 | 67,275,514 |
45cb1f0475cc2a959f0ab7c5447ea4de44d373e2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xce181990cdcec7bb6f5ac849064161fa0a250ac69be1729c67d77eba796aa20f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Magic | Event: nba-den-orl-2025-01-19 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-ips-mac-2025-01-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Hornets | Event: nba-dal-cha-2025-01-20 | Choice: hornets | Confid... | hornets | 0 | nba-bkn-cha-2025-01-29 | Nets vs. Hornets | 67,309,355 | 67,310,398 |
d73e083122012196c58b7b860ae9c6cc64ab7d59 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf859a8bec297bd8e763a24d3744c0bd1b7f5178f990d75623e62974ada573142 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-ips-mac-2025-01-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Hornets | Event: nba-dal-cha-2025-01-20 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2025-01-20 | Choice: hawks | Confide... | 76ers | 0 | nba-sac-phi-2025-01-29 | Kings vs. 76ers | 67,309,382 | 67,311,720 |
c733e97b688151faa7fdc2f7d91d2f84a04426e2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7dbb8b4975ce941270a05273dfcfe346fa02b4f0c64c5127ce0af0c8aa8fcb8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. Hornets | Event: nba-dal-cha-2025-01-20 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2025-01-20 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cavaliers vs. Rockets | Event: nba-cle-hou-2025-01-22 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.272092... | clippers | 0 | nba-lac-sas-2025-01-29 | Clippers vs. Spurs | 67,309,567 | 67,312,664 |
acdb3723a6232a5c133098c276f0cbb1502c2a44 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5d32aae82079d69a8b8a2bb363f0f9130593ecbb1dcce79f5bf49cd3f8640e2a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Knicks | Event: nba-atl-nyk-2025-01-20 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cavaliers vs. Rockets | Event: nba-cle-hou-2025-01-22 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.2720920075702431
3. Question: Warriors vs. Kings | Event: nba-gsw-sac-2025-01-22 | Choice: kings | Confidence... | bulls | 0 | nba-chi-bos-2025-01-29 | Bulls vs. Celtics | 67,310,294 | 67,310,294 |
a80c6b2c8882c3ced5caf8b93306016ab4871525 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa2433519f8d679c4730f8a917afdd504d40d639b953802736a0ae1daa1c3343b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cavaliers vs. Rockets | Event: nba-cle-hou-2025-01-22 | Choice: rockets | Confidence: 0.2720920075702431
2. Question: Warriors vs. Kings | Event: nba-gsw-sac-2025-01-22 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 1.3069394406088761e-05
3. Question: Raptors vs. Hawks | Event: nba-tor-atl-2025-01-23 | Choice... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-cle-mia-2025-01-29 | Cavaliers vs. Heat | 67,310,309 | 67,310,309 |
1a52294d19ec7f580d8ae9358de92340b2470fef | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x6656172152f6294c9f0c69ab405a6ebbd4ff62b3aa53322fa74a1597a925040f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Kings | Event: nba-gsw-sac-2025-01-22 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 1.3069394406088761e-05
2. Question: Raptors vs. Hawks | Event: nba-tor-atl-2025-01-23 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.46147524494596537
3. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-por-cha-2025-01-24 | C... | mavericks | 0 | nba-dal-nop-2025-01-29 | Mavericks vs. Pelicans | 67,310,431 | 67,350,277 |
c6eb29475875cf9ab739e989c73254ddba676b76 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7a194a67a3f3d42137315b6b6d8317bbbeeae610dbe86e6a20b48260dfd4f879 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Hawks | Event: nba-tor-atl-2025-01-23 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.46147524494596537
2. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-por-cha-2025-01-24 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-nop-mem-2025-01-24 | Choice: grizzl... | knicks | 0 | nba-den-nyk-2025-01-29 | Nuggets vs. Knicks | 67,310,460 | 67,350,277 |
1c8b97475cb8e25e91eb350f9e16fd387536bffd | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf669a9e1b51102bf0bda6ad94cb9e7e780543e52b524fd268afe677fee88753f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-por-cha-2025-01-24 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-nop-mem-2025-01-24 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-ind-sas-2025-01-25 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: ... | pacers | 0 | nba-det-ind-2025-01-29 | Pistons vs. Pacers | 67,310,957 | 67,310,957 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.