sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14f0aa13fbadab4a944dbb87704059c8c82eaa37 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf9492b26f8867eeea5a9aceb1609cd63333b47dbc225fddf072aa6855a2b4cab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-nop-mem-2025-01-24 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-ind-sas-2025-01-25 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-den-min-2025-01-25 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0... | suns | 0 | nba-min-phx-2025-01-29 | Timberwolves vs. Suns | 67,311,680 | 67,350,277 |
4e7bf10249751b5038697fa107e3942404aab17d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x4f5e800d03dfb2785c32d7b2ba5c5f76dddc2916d98dce3c4e2079ec45bf59ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-ind-sas-2025-01-25 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-den-min-2025-01-25 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Heat vs. Nets | Event: nba-mia-bkn-2025-01-25 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.5432575627255... | thunder | 0 | nba-okc-gsw-2025-01-29 | Thunder vs. Warriors | 67,313,644 | 67,313,644 |
d097059d3c73fc5a5488b9dfd09da641f7938866 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc82a51f040ca20d9c489cb958c9bbe052010992dbb2202ad448e32632baaef23 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-den-min-2025-01-25 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Heat vs. Nets | Event: nba-mia-bkn-2025-01-25 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.543257562725584
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Hornets | Event: nba-nop-cha-2025-01-25 | Choice: pelicans | Confide... | jazz | 0 | nba-min-uta-2025-01-30 | Timberwolves vs. Jazz | 67,351,374 | 67,372,895 |
6ac318b0e42dcbfe71ac9ea96e253dd6e846596d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x1ab33493cb17e808c31d5d4329b0abc876872df0d1ff5c1e91ba720653e9e4b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Heat vs. Nets | Event: nba-mia-bkn-2025-01-25 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.543257562725584
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Hornets | Event: nba-nop-cha-2025-01-25 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.2413793103448276
3. Question: Commanders vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-was-phi-2025-01-26 | Choice: comma... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-hou-mem-2025-01-30 | Rockets vs. Grizzlies | 67,351,969 | 67,372,895 |
e5a24eb5123cc2e5d46c7059f96c8ed1e28abafd | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xdaa29f3bfdbe5d4cf27422f2d2b9c55495eac784aaf71a5aff03ce3c669307eb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Hornets | Event: nba-nop-cha-2025-01-25 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.2413793103448276
2. Question: Commanders vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-was-phi-2025-01-26 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bills vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-buf-kc-2025-01-26 | Choice: bills | Con... | magic | 0 | nba-orl-por-2025-01-30 | Magic vs. Trail Blazers | 67,353,266 | 67,372,895 |
2e89871a31ec135edc0a93d72e9c0f70a5a6cd05 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7faea1394a4389ee15fdfb2e02221fcd946a9bc35eac2016ca0f0b7f888ee671 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Commanders vs. Eagles | Event: nfl-was-phi-2025-01-26 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bills vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-buf-kc-2025-01-26 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Celtics | Event: nba-hou-bos-2025-01-27 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | celtics | 0 | nba-bos-nop-2025-01-31 | Celtics vs. Pelicans | 67,390,169 | 67,424,306 |
37c286ec29983cb2b08e0b5990d4d7f175393d6e | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd22fc494191f36ad002bc9ab87e3c83c1aa21384bb146d9629a96a39d2c9fce9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bills vs. Chiefs | Event: nfl-buf-kc-2025-01-26 | Choice: bills | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Celtics | Event: nba-hou-bos-2025-01-27 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-det-cle-2025-01-27 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | clippers | 0 | nba-lac-cha-2025-01-31 | Clippers vs. Hornets | 67,390,194 | 67,390,194 |
070b6282e1b54713eacab80e4595f9f066eea973 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xed04978e22f057a9eca05a34ff933651527e49665fa5970c20d24c7b1d10b984 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Celtics | Event: nba-hou-bos-2025-01-27 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-det-cle-2025-01-27 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Lakers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lal-cha-2025-01-27 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
... | mavericks | 0 | nba-dal-det-2025-01-31 | Mavericks vs. Pistons | 67,390,194 | 67,390,647 |
7612c5e713595115e1ce5e4cc8a50d6627ee166a | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xf4e5eaf12b672bd02c4be7eeaa3b7fe6796870b015a164d531b74a0d07b4f27b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-det-cle-2025-01-27 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Lakers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lal-cha-2025-01-27 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Kings vs. Nets | Event: nba-sac-bkn-2025-01-27 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | raptors | 0.000092 | nba-chi-tor-2025-01-31 | Bulls vs. Raptors | 67,390,195 | 67,390,924 |
e736264d49b9a2e99f9e832ef7c54e42bf8fe956 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x86ec6bdeb264453c590ffe416963f6ae4eb559e8a818ae022a8e7df5b63cbb92 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Lakers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lal-cha-2025-01-27 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Kings vs. Nets | Event: nba-sac-bkn-2025-01-27 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-atl-min-2025-01-27 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-sas-2025-01-31 | Bucks vs. Spurs | 67,390,345 | 67,424,306 |
1b8051dda329b940ca94bcafd3f290cd03d3d4d2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb29fb319cd7f3436ff5e784650581e8f250ce23d219aa5dbf80fd3d33cfbb638 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Kings vs. Nets | Event: nba-sac-bkn-2025-01-27 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-atl-min-2025-01-27 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Grizzlies vs. Knicks | Event: nba-mem-nyk-2025-01-27 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | suns | 0 | nba-phx-gsw-2025-01-31 | Suns vs. Warriors | 67,393,194 | 67,394,382 |
8da4d00fa0c074f6c76c57e6be7be5144b8ea000 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe4c2aeaf542ec16d15a5a240976b80d4bce0e9bec015b2fbb3db9232f6f01596 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-atl-min-2025-01-27 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Grizzlies vs. Knicks | Event: nba-mem-nyk-2025-01-27 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nop-tor-2025-01-27 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0... | jazz | 0 | nba-orl-uta-2025-02-01 | Magic vs. Jazz | 67,424,627 | 67,426,869 |
44b0b5580361a6014fee186d3241f6e145c1b2bc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x09dc6f76803f5c9e95ae926a78324f56e2f5dc4f9ed887655c365a89a2cce229 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Grizzlies vs. Knicks | Event: nba-mem-nyk-2025-01-27 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nop-tor-2025-01-27 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Heat | Event: nba-orl-mia-2025-01-27 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-ind-2025-02-01 | Hawks vs. Pacers | 67,425,141 | 67,450,067 |
935d6ad379c5b8c1fde27cd4b52d88252ef4f7c9 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd8db4261af1a94a482109b0cc9ca263a9f3af4bdc389202d941d2544e5216d89 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nop-tor-2025-01-27 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Heat | Event: nba-orl-mia-2025-01-27 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Bulls | Event: nba-den-chi-2025-01-27 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | suns | 0 | nba-phx-por-2025-02-01 | Suns vs. Trail Blazers | 67,434,390 | 67,450,067 |
e10ef869c15158cdf2ab08c1da62c4f293957bb3 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x777e04368d6dedd8c54e58bbfdee71d299d754dea9eed644279a03183afc1fc4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Heat | Event: nba-orl-mia-2025-01-27 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Bulls | Event: nba-den-chi-2025-01-27 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bucks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-mil-uta-2025-01-27 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Clippers ... | devils | 0 | nhl-nj-buf-2025-02-02 | Devils vs. Sabres | 67,458,270 | 67,474,798 |
dc205dfde9046e0fe111accde454868ecb9bc847 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xafa36fdbd3b303b6c793a04c0f3d653d7d41211ba21811f6894c76a1ac827b06 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Bulls | Event: nba-den-chi-2025-01-27 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bucks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-mil-uta-2025-01-27 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Clippers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lac-phx-2025-01-27 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: La... | bulls | 0 | nba-chi-det-2025-02-02 | Bulls vs. Pistons | 67,460,616 | 67,474,798 |
9e626c653b03a62791f1d2a20b1c3e12a3442239 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa96554eb2e8f32cece0560ec0edda15cacef4e117a5ead51669d39e857cea391 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bucks vs. Jazz | Event: nba-mil-uta-2025-01-27 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Clippers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lac-phx-2025-01-27 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Lakers vs. 76ers | Event: nba-lal-phi-2025-01-28 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Roc... | clippers | 0 | nba-lac-tor-2025-02-02 | Clippers vs. Raptors | 67,463,266 | 67,474,798 |
d7be18fd9c0d8b8cf6047821af34c1b49aee361f | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd8aaf4212729370ea661cb039e7f0b8f3eeaddb2dafbf7ab16b471e66547c8a0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Clippers vs. Suns | Event: nba-lac-phx-2025-01-27 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Lakers vs. 76ers | Event: nba-lal-phi-2025-01-28 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-hou-atl-2025-01-28 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.000151602013344... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-dal-cle-2025-02-02 | Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | 67,463,273 | 67,474,798 |
e06a4c7561609e114566d530b4c69e6d0fdf4dbc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8b4ac5a1f20bbd0d2ba72073a1d5e835ad01ed02868ae75399ed8dccdf70ab4d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Lakers vs. 76ers | Event: nba-lal-phi-2025-01-28 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-hou-atl-2025-01-28 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0001516020133447266
3. Question: Jazz vs. Warriors | Event: nba-uta-gsw-2025-01-28 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0... | 76ers | 0 | nba-bos-phi-2025-02-02 | Celtics vs. 76ers | 67,470,036 | 67,474,798 |
7cc122990e447ad7fc650ed9ba78aca3ca8ea625 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xae6cc2871c1cb2ebbf2267bd8871b3ccf8043a0bb93488df749bd9daa8a6444c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Hawks | Event: nba-hou-atl-2025-01-28 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0001516020133447266
2. Question: Jazz vs. Warriors | Event: nba-uta-gsw-2025-01-28 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bucks vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-mil-por-2025-01-28 | Choice: bucks | Confiden... | knicks | 0 | nba-hou-nyk-2025-02-03 | Rockets vs. Knicks | 67,510,787 | 67,527,219 |
52fa3ae70c531988e900dad7eb8f0a76eff3a540 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x6427c6d0d04329b034964cc5e7361da0d9cdd1ded71459aafbed1f23bd73803d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Jazz vs. Warriors | Event: nba-uta-gsw-2025-01-28 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bucks vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-mil-por-2025-01-28 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nets vs. Hornets | Event: nba-bkn-cha-2025-01-29 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-det-2025-02-03 | Hawks vs. Pistons | 67,510,802 | 67,510,987 |
28fc84acfcde0500c618bcbcd375efcd85bfe605 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x93fdec161dac18f2d140687baa7673b595a5fd15ed2ac03c85f2e1d5f248f849 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bucks vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-mil-por-2025-01-28 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nets vs. Hornets | Event: nba-bkn-cha-2025-01-29 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Kings vs. 76ers | Event: nba-sac-phi-2025-01-29 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | jazz | 0 | nba-ind-uta-2025-02-03 | Pacers vs. Jazz | 67,511,106 | 67,527,219 |
59a00a6a0b3b06870bc62559fb13e6b40403d227 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x534ff14b63ae0cd96ec61d984d5cf7f2587ba4bceb466432058a249f6b2a7b0e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nets vs. Hornets | Event: nba-bkn-cha-2025-01-29 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Kings vs. 76ers | Event: nba-sac-phi-2025-01-29 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Clippers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-lac-sas-2025-01-29 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | nuggets | 0 | nba-nop-den-2025-02-03 | Pelicans vs. Nuggets | 67,513,110 | 67,513,110 |
3ded537cd2c2347c3b29108a5ffff559ad6b10ec | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe052cb226079fa9a97e14636bb901e271acadf52729c41e6aa9c2011927ef8f5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Kings vs. 76ers | Event: nba-sac-phi-2025-01-29 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Clippers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-lac-sas-2025-01-29 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bulls vs. Celtics | Event: nba-chi-bos-2025-01-29 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | suns | 0 | nba-phx-por-2025-02-03 | Suns vs. Trail Blazers | 67,513,123 | 67,527,219 |
c202586c63a3ee9b82c4016999613baccaac14b0 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8ec97ba5b46689f24bf814bda6b8b29854b3246b6c7e75db300b1b068f1bdd8d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Clippers vs. Spurs | Event: nba-lac-sas-2025-01-29 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bulls vs. Celtics | Event: nba-chi-bos-2025-01-29 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2025-01-29 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Que... | grizzlies | 0 | nba-sas-mem-2025-02-03 | Spurs vs. Grizzlies | 67,513,146 | 67,513,146 |
efd3e4ad0cba4387f24344519e6bb33ac658c728 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa7883731b193538e2e1f1dae7282077cc0fe25da2fa33c18500faef0cda48da8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bulls vs. Celtics | Event: nba-chi-bos-2025-01-29 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2025-01-29 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-dal-nop-2025-01-29 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
4... | magic | 0 | nba-orl-gsw-2025-02-03 | Magic vs. Warriors | 67,514,326 | 67,527,219 |
34bc3a6e040b2ac625be022c85921323586ba8dc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x227b73e549e8f8a8d5503cf9e8acacefde0b3734324b697df66970ccb2e3a731 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cavaliers vs. Heat | Event: nba-cle-mia-2025-01-29 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-dal-nop-2025-01-29 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-den-nyk-2025-01-29 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-bos-cle-2025-02-04 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | 67,548,778 | 67,664,874 |
da7e266743638a9febdc15b12d487c85b0118792 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc9130798fdfa009bc4ed721b19193f04cc1e499197272b2240293385a287d936 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-dal-nop-2025-01-29 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-den-nyk-2025-01-29 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pistons vs. Pacers | Event: nba-det-ind-2025-01-29 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
4.... | knicks | 0 | nba-nyk-tor-2025-02-04 | Knicks vs. Raptors | 67,548,882 | 67,664,867 |
ef48bad44caa2a116020377e9ab9d3b3cf994e1d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb0f6536ce9b7a8f3fae4029b6635a883c5f1a3cb226e06ff4e021b98a463a002 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-den-nyk-2025-01-29 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pistons vs. Pacers | Event: nba-det-ind-2025-01-29 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Timberwolves vs. Suns | Event: nba-min-phx-2025-01-29 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | 76ers | 0 | nba-dal-phi-2025-02-04 | Mavericks vs. 76ers | 67,549,253 | 67,550,894 |
c73a9fc130db95852f09f8d0af6110a32e8d2089 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7756c678e5972bbefbdd7c81116230dc772ae4287fe7f3f722b37215e0e0144c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pistons vs. Pacers | Event: nba-det-ind-2025-01-29 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Timberwolves vs. Suns | Event: nba-min-phx-2025-01-29 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Thunder vs. Warriors | Event: nba-okc-gsw-2025-01-29 | Choice: thunder | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | bulls | 0 | nba-mia-chi-2025-02-04 | Heat vs. Bulls | 67,550,690 | 67,552,202 |
c7bc4ba4f7a24ba5d3d48cd2dced166a69c2ab24 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe842864d68ecfd69456177dea9f660bef2813d27b0c8e0417232011625313ac7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Timberwolves vs. Suns | Event: nba-min-phx-2025-01-29 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Thunder vs. Warriors | Event: nba-okc-gsw-2025-01-29 | Choice: thunder | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Event: nba-min-uta-2025-01-30 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | pacers | 0 | nba-ind-por-2025-02-04 | Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | 67,553,821 | 67,664,867 |
54ebe7c08e63dd9e0b2c5363089cf2a988621e8b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x0048595cbaa5eee4347596448eec6fb4838c067e4d4b2b5e6e6580fdb61ba59b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Thunder vs. Warriors | Event: nba-okc-gsw-2025-01-29 | Choice: thunder | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Event: nba-min-uta-2025-01-30 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-hou-mem-2025-01-30 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0... | 76ers | 0 | nba-mia-phi-2025-02-05 | Heat vs. 76ers | 67,590,315 | 67,664,867 |
8ae68271465b7ce687cbf6caa18f656a968f1030 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5f155780c4673e3a8b7620f058110d12a6fdd623b01484ec4aaf63febc1ff1a0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Event: nba-min-uta-2025-01-30 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-hou-mem-2025-01-30 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-orl-por-2025-01-30 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.... | jazz | 0 | nba-gsw-uta-2025-02-05 | Warriors vs. Jazz | 67,591,085 | 67,664,867 |
4d01d95b7a52defd0aeed75c1e5a27e1fca370f7 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8ce0630b1bcdd33428c78803f0c3901a188d7e8e092b50b279421c87b686fea2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-hou-mem-2025-01-30 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-orl-por-2025-01-30 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-01-31 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: ... | bulls | 0 | nba-chi-min-2025-02-05 | Bulls vs. Timberwolves | 67,591,097 | 67,664,874 |
77ec47c982dc121bbf85b306ead117cef4513a69 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x25ec1b8e3fc7ab7a03d4459870c424fe72c478072285f9f500f9592488f02e12 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-orl-por-2025-01-30 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-01-31 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Clippers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lac-cha-2025-01-31 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.... | suns | 0 | nba-phx-okc-2025-02-05 | Suns vs. Thunder | 67,592,174 | 67,664,867 |
354f623f0d4977f7c99958ae4e9ae1edcf8884e3 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc0625ad91ab0702cfd6769f9daa51f105216c1b8f78a87db1ad69535536fa5cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-bos-nop-2025-01-31 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Clippers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lac-cha-2025-01-31 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-dal-det-2025-01-31 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: ... | kings | 0 | nba-orl-sac-2025-02-05 | Magic vs. Kings | 67,592,192 | 67,664,867 |
5cdbe4505b8c93801947b71fcf7dd72c4a84a888 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xfe8bf43d6a712f8a9d007b37c88cb73ef275c585cf4438e231496f6ee875f795 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Clippers vs. Hornets | Event: nba-lac-cha-2025-01-31 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-dal-det-2025-01-31 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2025-01-31 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 9.2... | nuggets | 0 | nba-nop-den-2025-02-05 | Pelicans vs. Nuggets | 67,592,812 | 67,592,812 |
fa7d9f54bc1470f20663add003bc9d3863f8ec57 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x4ce6b4070536d5febb8eeb8fa8aba3d63e1a80f007f74a861f43f146f021ca93 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-dal-det-2025-01-31 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2025-01-31 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 9.206652297489708e-05
3. Question: Bucks vs. Spurs | Event: nba-mil-sas-2025-01-31 | Choice: bucks | Confi... | hornets | 0 | nba-sas-cha-2025-02-07 | Spurs vs. Hornets | 67,665,464 | 67,687,810 |
c0ec5d02f252fe4cb983d6874897c32ce1995efb | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x35e287b04ed7f460279166b7455f207470e4113e9f3b8f3bb80f1d6b0b7793bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bulls vs. Raptors | Event: nba-chi-tor-2025-01-31 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 9.206652297489708e-05
2. Question: Bucks vs. Spurs | Event: nba-mil-sas-2025-01-31 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Warriors | Event: nba-phx-gsw-2025-01-31 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.... | 76ers | 0 | nba-phi-det-2025-02-07 | 76ers vs. Pistons | 67,665,558 | 67,667,667 |
020ece52287cafe1863988984c396bbe7f47087d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa833b57585cd9d6cef8aadadc8cb330f80621a5a421f31ce01f9ea27d19bd4ca | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bucks vs. Spurs | Event: nba-mil-sas-2025-01-31 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Warriors | Event: nba-phx-gsw-2025-01-31 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Jazz | Event: nba-orl-uta-2025-02-01 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Hawks vs.... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-cle-was-2025-02-07 | Cavaliers vs. Wizards | 67,666,227 | 67,667,683 |
7bffd88aba564081d940ea023315f8cc6b93d128 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5bb8e8dc4ce3ff973263546060599b5139fb844a52776541e8f3b48cb1dfd064 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Warriors | Event: nba-phx-gsw-2025-01-31 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Jazz | Event: nba-orl-uta-2025-02-01 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Pacers | Event: nba-atl-ind-2025-02-01 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Suns vs.... | jazz | 0 | nba-uta-phx-2025-02-07 | Jazz vs. Suns | 67,671,958 | 67,671,958 |
999549c10ecf6e4fae525b8468fcd941dc881a8b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xeb083e0207ceb0df7f22bf0ae1d176cbc4dc7cf9922cb14a8bb052251a2f284b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Jazz | Event: nba-orl-uta-2025-02-01 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Pacers | Event: nba-atl-ind-2025-02-01 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-01 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Dev... | mavericks | 0 | nba-hou-dal-2025-02-08 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | 67,697,424 | 67,706,433 |
24b6157c62362cc97dcab7ceb5faae8f49fcd203 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x40b62e1839aad9147c74576f2cbc7b609b871627ec4510c6e8311b935bcfa240 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Pacers | Event: nba-atl-ind-2025-02-01 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-01 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Devils vs. Sabres | Event: nhl-nj-buf-2025-02-02 | Choice: devils | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | nuggets | 0 | nba-den-phx-2025-02-08 | Nuggets vs. Suns | 67,706,949 | 67,707,939 |
c42ddb7c02dbf8d899c4e5959db0a63e56650abc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xda1435e7e82e25c012d3710f178a25681d7fd40347c23565bb96085a076d40f3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-01 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Devils vs. Sabres | Event: nhl-nj-buf-2025-02-02 | Choice: devils | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2025-02-02 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | celtics | 0 | nba-bos-nyk-2025-02-08 | Celtics vs. Knicks | 67,707,524 | 67,707,524 |
9a074c5a90b38e5698f6b58ee1578cf36fd8532e | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb9586bea0cf4a9d8352cc4042b21836bb0d9a654597d3e40d7c65e612ae3275a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Devils vs. Sabres | Event: nhl-nj-buf-2025-02-02 | Choice: devils | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2025-02-02 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Clippers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-lac-tor-2025-02-02 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | kings | 0 | nba-nop-sac-2025-02-08 | Pelicans vs. Kings | 67,707,950 | 67,708,835 |
f656e7cb98e27c132b9e5e67543501d080dba9fc | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x299cde4f3ae8c7431bfbbcd4d69b51ea2e70d42a401d7d0b92f5ae8eaffa4fcd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bulls vs. Pistons | Event: nba-chi-det-2025-02-02 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Clippers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-lac-tor-2025-02-02 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-dal-cle-2025-02-02 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0... | hornets | 0 | nba-cha-det-2025-02-09 | Hornets vs. Pistons | 67,730,944 | 67,738,565 |
b5f7a11b9a4475775bc48ea6418360f0a961a43a | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2989e90dc667aaccaaf21b370317e5f271731b7182adca92442243e247b7aabb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Clippers vs. Raptors | Event: nba-lac-tor-2025-02-02 | Choice: clippers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-dal-cle-2025-02-02 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Celtics vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bos-phi-2025-02-02 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0... | hawks | 0 | nba-atl-orl-2025-02-10 | Hawks vs. Magic | 67,778,515 | 67,780,660 |
a4a64e2055b668ea50b4738a17d6001214ebd2b5 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x783d5c8d8fb79236e3f4ad1fb0e97877897ae7b6b8fa234449d958481944ef56 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-dal-cle-2025-02-02 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Celtics vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bos-phi-2025-02-02 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-hou-nyk-2025-02-03 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | spurs | 0 | nba-sas-was-2025-02-10 | Spurs vs. Wizards | 67,780,298 | 67,780,298 |
bf62aa1330bbcd146514dd9b037fa463a66f2df6 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5ce54f8b891100e016eb28855f1edccf646c2fc114694d8d62b0a44ed17952b1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bos-phi-2025-02-02 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-hou-nyk-2025-02-03 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-atl-det-2025-02-03 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | warriors | 0.052632 | nba-gsw-mil-2025-02-10 | Warriors vs. Bucks | 67,780,378 | 67,897,477 |
558bd3d384fed37eb4230ac1b09b43f40e1eecf2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x059750bd823d63eed06026782889260adf46ac3a8920d5d11afe13b2723a3312 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Knicks | Event: nba-hou-nyk-2025-02-03 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-atl-det-2025-02-03 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-ind-uta-2025-02-03 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Pel... | celtics | 0 | nba-bos-mia-2025-02-10 | Celtics vs. Heat | 67,780,404 | 67,897,477 |
8af5a6d0ec2b9f2c37a218fbbc94e77ef9c6a97a | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x4048bd806c121bc87a132113070cafee251cc1ef91c251d9a9aa2ffb1e478778 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Pistons | Event: nba-atl-det-2025-02-03 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-ind-uta-2025-02-03 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | bulls | 0 | nba-phx-chi-2025-02-22 | Suns vs. Bulls | 68,252,738 | 68,258,307 |
11e1c5facfce92349dc1055e7424ceae5ea61ca9 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8ca506d34602da63fde191b5735dc321fa68089b1172be9df6ae1c0150f5192e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-ind-uta-2025-02-03 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-03 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questi... | 76ers | 0 | nba-bkn-phi-2025-02-22 | Nets vs. 76ers | 68,256,795 | 68,276,574 |
e804b25cd63de4b389d0de14cb16785ccb49d7fb | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x13187190d2abcb6490110cefdfbfebc44a5459609e7cb7b859bca10236938ce7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-03 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-03 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-sas-mem-2025-02-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
... | lakers | 0 | nba-lal-den-2025-02-22 | Lakers vs. Nuggets | 68,256,808 | 68,259,687 |
7584ac22b174e6b05632c9d893a90263ff03a57c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc4b44ee7156bd8aa54883e509352a5abbbf8fe40355a797c502e9cb648b8c995 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-phx-por-2025-02-03 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-sas-mem-2025-02-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Warriors | Event: nba-orl-gsw-2025-02-03 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | celtics | 0 | nba-nyk-bos-2025-02-23 | Knicks vs. Celtics | 68,285,066 | 68,294,584 |
2b73d93318d7993303f3d6a30b3d208a58d81915 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb4e9688ce669474948c158dc1549ed1ace3da1862156303d9432215b53280053 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spurs vs. Grizzlies | Event: nba-sas-mem-2025-02-03 | Choice: grizzlies | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Warriors | Event: nba-orl-gsw-2025-02-03 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2025-02-04 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
... | hawks | 0 | nba-det-atl-2025-02-23 | Pistons vs. Hawks | 68,294,603 | 68,296,258 |
1c877f4a58e809a0c7715a657a1dcbaa9627c4a2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x266052ed4b16b201939f8e6191ba2d95e93a6758ea87dd739af7d8dc2d006be8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Warriors | Event: nba-orl-gsw-2025-02-03 | Choice: magic | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2025-02-04 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Knicks vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nyk-tor-2025-02-04 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | raptors | 0 | nba-phx-tor-2025-02-23 | Suns vs. Raptors | 68,294,624 | 68,335,965 |
f1b97c37c96fda2efa60d877cceb8aa7aa9729d8 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd21cf139ebe2de9017a8965d4cc4298f252a8036187202ce7644ab70fd0d278a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-bos-cle-2025-02-04 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Knicks vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nyk-tor-2025-02-04 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Mavericks vs. 76ers | Event: nba-dal-phi-2025-02-04 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | pelicans | 0 | nba-sas-nop-2025-02-23 | Spurs vs. Pelicans | 68,294,646 | 68,335,965 |
4161614397e364881975fa1874548bf8af820445 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x40ab1b8983636c98fa6c998b12ba110f438c875680996314952931f957a2cba8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Knicks vs. Raptors | Event: nba-nyk-tor-2025-02-04 | Choice: knicks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Mavericks vs. 76ers | Event: nba-dal-phi-2025-02-04 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Heat vs. Bulls | Event: nba-mia-chi-2025-02-04 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: P... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-mem-cle-2025-02-23 | Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | 68,295,116 | 68,297,857 |
66468d8eae9678b373e9c84f19eb8916aa51283c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x348dfdb14af73f98540623e37abda3d869d5ca81bf4384b4dbf9e6feb9f7d9da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Mavericks vs. 76ers | Event: nba-dal-phi-2025-02-04 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Heat vs. Bulls | Event: nba-mia-chi-2025-02-04 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-ind-por-2025-02-04 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | thunder | 0 | nba-okc-min-2025-02-23 | Thunder vs. Timberwolves | 68,301,690 | 68,301,690 |
4c673ae1d680172622434b413e06df8cf040f053 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc78f33a01f718dd593187e9e93f35acd2519f3bf2c205d9658c52f66fc33a743 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Heat vs. Bulls | Event: nba-mia-chi-2025-02-04 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-ind-por-2025-02-04 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Heat vs. 76ers | Event: nba-mia-phi-2025-02-05 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | nets | 0 | nba-bkn-was-2025-02-24 | Nets vs. Wizards | 68,336,019 | 68,374,312 |
40575045600a4771bc76bc8791ea7f91c0c89229 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb4a6c9e737db4fb2f16c4e8c230d7cc1630d472d6906de80e7c59499867b1370 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Trail Blazers | Event: nba-ind-por-2025-02-04 | Choice: pacers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Heat vs. 76ers | Event: nba-mia-phi-2025-02-05 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Warriors vs. Jazz | Event: nba-gsw-uta-2025-02-05 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | hawks | 0 | nba-mia-atl-2025-02-24 | Heat vs. Hawks | 68,336,058 | 68,374,312 |
1c8c87d37927eca4ffaccac9b4a37c41d341153d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x3dc299ab3184d199b7c93f3cefb6f3169736fa160bd572676f2752d0190dfb77 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Heat vs. 76ers | Event: nba-mia-phi-2025-02-05 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Warriors vs. Jazz | Event: nba-gsw-uta-2025-02-05 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bulls vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-chi-min-2025-02-05 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: S... | jazz | 0 | nba-por-uta-2025-02-24 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | 68,339,762 | 68,374,312 |
09ef34340ec0f2a258d9e86985115505bc4fc476 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8d49cd5057f636ee132f63a1cab1554fcced0e2491383485be08d4db75fc71a7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Jazz | Event: nba-gsw-uta-2025-02-05 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bulls vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-chi-min-2025-02-05 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Thunder | Event: nba-phx-okc-2025-02-05 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-hou-2025-02-25 | Bucks vs. Rockets | 68,377,693 | 68,383,561 |
668db2e57095fd9b8cf4d7db63960bfac0ede0f8 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x92fe525d17141eb651f4626555de3f507eba5f1fe3619ad10af74b2899e0c294 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bulls vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-chi-min-2025-02-05 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Thunder | Event: nba-phx-okc-2025-02-05 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Magic vs. Kings | Event: nba-orl-sac-2025-02-05 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: P... | heat | 0 | nba-ind-mia-2025-02-28 | Pacers vs. Heat | 68,500,832 | 68,531,590 |
056e724c276e019040e1ea818fec8e1b916baadf | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xb83e416e18162ed791a8e3ca538b38fdaf38dab39a6634f1b6a26186094e9c05 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Thunder | Event: nba-phx-okc-2025-02-05 | Choice: suns | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Magic vs. Kings | Event: nba-orl-sac-2025-02-05 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-05 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: S... | bucks | 0 | nba-mil-dal-2025-03-01 | Bucks vs. Mavericks | 68,542,050 | 68,542,050 |
2260de62116b00c149a9d1e2dd92cb13c0ff8234 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x45b2191ea18f8ca84b3c6dc871a8378e6b5a6845aacf36fcda4989253f201ab4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Magic vs. Kings | Event: nba-orl-sac-2025-02-05 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-05 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spurs vs. Hornets | Event: nba-sas-cha-2025-02-07 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | celtics | 0 | nba-den-bos-2025-03-02 | Nuggets vs. Celtics | 68,566,445 | 68,569,266 |
7c06cc96f93c9cd8a623d409a2b3b5e9e55fe4ae | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x5d67f58ce3cd6282b5ab1364da04c867ef804b83bed242dffba98c77c5bb32f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-nop-den-2025-02-05 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spurs vs. Hornets | Event: nba-sas-cha-2025-02-07 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: 76ers vs. Pistons | Event: nba-phi-det-2025-02-07 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Quest... | cavaliers | 0 | nba-por-cle-2025-03-02 | Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers | 68,571,823 | 68,578,738 |
4f08f7161d893388391ddd205f53eacb793d0188 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7c9f31f4b501a275eb1cbc1848b897e1060f71c160c731f57f1ee974eb156e5a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spurs vs. Hornets | Event: nba-sas-cha-2025-02-07 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: 76ers vs. Pistons | Event: nba-phi-det-2025-02-07 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Cavaliers vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cle-was-2025-02-07 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Qu... | no | 1 | deebo-samuel-traded | Deebo Samuel not traded? | 69,084,019 | 69,084,019 |
70dcfa50504cd9baf4eba3bc865f253b483ca9f0 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2b810f7ad78f6ddc05e5b933127c1cdafa203c4a018aebb007e7fab9478df91f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: 76ers vs. Pistons | Event: nba-phi-det-2025-02-07 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Cavaliers vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cle-was-2025-02-07 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Jazz vs. Suns | Event: nba-uta-phx-2025-02-07 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | bryant | 0 | cbb-bry-msu-2025-03-21 | Bryant vs. Michigan State | 69,344,900 | 69,345,986 |
90dc3eda1aaa1756bb5122336b3f2ce30f22a9e4 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x32150d031ec6d91452fd363528b09f3a4409f16df44743d5e18230cf0720e0f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Cavaliers vs. Wizards | Event: nba-cle-was-2025-02-07 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Jazz vs. Suns | Event: nba-uta-phx-2025-02-07 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Rockets vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-hou-dal-2025-02-08 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Q... | liberty | 0 | cbb-lib-oreg-2025-03-21 | Liberty vs. Oregon | 69,344,912 | 69,362,128 |
1390a1baa0cafe9b2388b7a5629b30aac2c6e526 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xfe892745e08a132b483e70c7c4af703767e8bea2fad94444fd17487c7e86abca | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Jazz vs. Suns | Event: nba-uta-phx-2025-02-07 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Rockets vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-hou-dal-2025-02-08 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Suns | Event: nba-den-phx-2025-02-08 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | illinois | 0 | cbb-xav-ill-2025-03-21 | Xavier vs. Illinois | 69,345,511 | 69,362,128 |
35182fa7cee4f32f875fd8d023ffc163974b2a26 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x60f3eb0557ce767a9d6fff5874aa4cda8a5a6f13145f1257cb2f548ca18d8ec8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Rockets vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-hou-dal-2025-02-08 | Choice: mavericks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nuggets vs. Suns | Event: nba-den-phx-2025-02-08 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Celtics vs. Knicks | Event: nba-bos-nyk-2025-02-08 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
4. ... | oklahoma | 0 | cbb-okla-conn-2025-03-21 | Oklahoma vs. UConn | 69,346,243 | 69,346,256 |
3b190c0d790fc12aca551ba35e32e07aa3fd4851 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xdc0d985c1f98274b0d14b87e59a2b335b1898d3cef2f425b1c244d4120ad807b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nuggets vs. Suns | Event: nba-den-phx-2025-02-08 | Choice: nuggets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Celtics vs. Knicks | Event: nba-bos-nyk-2025-02-08 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Kings | Event: nba-nop-sac-2025-02-08 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | mcneese state | 0 | cbb-mcns-purd-2025-03-22 | McNeese State vs. Purdue | 69,368,238 | 69,368,238 |
ef54d0aaa9e631a3cddd7c4d6cdafae47d810199 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa80b3c1c30fe8bd0e0461bcbf72506dbd5e822d95c09aa0f132bbc9aa49b50ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. Knicks | Event: nba-bos-nyk-2025-02-08 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pelicans vs. Kings | Event: nba-nop-sac-2025-02-08 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hornets vs. Pistons | Event: nba-cha-det-2025-02-09 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
4. Ques... | michigan | 0 | cbb-mich-txam-2025-03-22 | Michigan vs. Texas A&M | 69,379,514 | 69,379,514 |
4893d771651f3c776f5d54af5e33de4df4999283 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x48348a39d853d00d5ad6fc0a3d22b1cab842ace251c7175e36d96178d86fec64 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pelicans vs. Kings | Event: nba-nop-sac-2025-02-08 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hornets vs. Pistons | Event: nba-cha-det-2025-02-09 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Hawks vs. Magic | Event: nba-atl-orl-2025-02-10 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | drake | 0 | cbb-drke-ttu-2025-03-22 | Drake vs. Texas Tech | 69,379,572 | 69,385,587 |
d4e872a83b26d9fca6aff9fc79b3e124bb8abc2c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x2f3418834e176b24d1e43872a31ce36cbe39f4219fcba909c074658d9eb9fdcd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hornets vs. Pistons | Event: nba-cha-det-2025-02-09 | Choice: hornets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Hawks vs. Magic | Event: nba-atl-orl-2025-02-10 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spurs vs. Wizards | Event: nba-sas-was-2025-02-10 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | auburn | 0 | cbb-crei-aub-2025-03-22 | Creighton vs. Auburn | 69,380,381 | 69,408,137 |
185fa33322e63c05758cb73aec17ca0b79975cf6 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe590f1a18ed1b0551d33cd1de39fe55cfc748321ba51766afaf7925859ad1e41 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Hawks vs. Magic | Event: nba-atl-orl-2025-02-10 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spurs vs. Wizards | Event: nba-sas-was-2025-02-10 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Warriors vs. Bucks | Event: nba-gsw-mil-2025-02-10 | Choice: warriors | Confidence: 0.052631578947368... | byu | 0 | cbb-byu-wis-2025-03-22 | BYU vs. Wisconsin | 69,382,103 | 69,408,137 |
1765abe09106d89bac9a5c9440e5cc752f7a5cd2 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xea09d8cad0768a9b87470845106a2de721621e5b9fa1afae444b3fefc9ddb39c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spurs vs. Wizards | Event: nba-sas-was-2025-02-10 | Choice: spurs | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Warriors vs. Bucks | Event: nba-gsw-mil-2025-02-10 | Choice: warriors | Confidence: 0.05263157894736842
3. Question: Celtics vs. Heat | Event: nba-bos-mia-2025-02-10 | Choice: celtics | Confidence... | gonzaga | 0 | cbb-gonz-hou-2025-03-22 | Gonzaga vs. Houston | 69,383,566 | 69,408,137 |
7a8fb8d251fb41e7256942cbd70653196466c88d | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x8297e10cfd364e9fb47236b0121584ed9488b108eb8b9c9677b8d8a24fd1fea3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Warriors vs. Bucks | Event: nba-gsw-mil-2025-02-10 | Choice: warriors | Confidence: 0.05263157894736842
2. Question: Celtics vs. Heat | Event: nba-bos-mia-2025-02-10 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phx-chi-2025-02-22 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0... | tennessee | 0 | cbb-ucla-tenn-2025-03-22 | UCLA vs. Tennessee | 69,384,078 | 69,386,461 |
c7bd599bb960df62559d9423f0ebcae65482816b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x1f33b4ee63b4578565bb930bddd5964a3d6a55a3b468cad3c524bacb9429d462 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Celtics vs. Heat | Event: nba-bos-mia-2025-02-10 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phx-chi-2025-02-22 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nets vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bkn-phi-2025-02-22 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Lakers ... | florida | 0 | cbb-conn-uf-2025-03-23 | UConn vs. Florida | 69,408,738 | 69,411,486 |
277f39aded40cd006b8a70600e5191405f2d1439 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc7785899014273d14470a33acc5e54c10e7caaa1694afc76333d3525a5526956 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Bulls | Event: nba-phx-chi-2025-02-22 | Choice: bulls | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nets vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bkn-phi-2025-02-22 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Lakers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lal-den-2025-02-22 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Knicks... | baylor | 0 | cbb-bay-duke-2025-03-23 | Baylor vs. Duke | 69,414,961 | 69,414,961 |
8f9c8ecaaaf8059536a35e04a246cc73141a8ef4 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7a0996d7091c7066fbd0f0ec05df2889eb5ee352088c2628b796cd5bf07a8dec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nets vs. 76ers | Event: nba-bkn-phi-2025-02-22 | Choice: 76ers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Lakers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lal-den-2025-02-22 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Knicks vs. Celtics | Event: nba-nyk-bos-2025-02-23 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: ... | michigan state | 0 | cbb-miss-msu-2025-03-28 | Ole Miss vs. Michigan State | 69,623,348 | 69,629,411 |
0dd634fc1354e37c74813cdd06ed3ca3187f4978 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xc028e421c0790cd28b432f4da73e9cdeab39a3641604d53f566ad2a40591383c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Lakers vs. Nuggets | Event: nba-lal-den-2025-02-22 | Choice: lakers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Knicks vs. Celtics | Event: nba-nyk-bos-2025-02-23 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pistons vs. Hawks | Event: nba-det-atl-2025-02-23 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | kentucky | 0 | cbb-uk-tenn-2025-03-28 | Kentucky vs. Tennessee | 69,625,241 | 69,625,241 |
cbdd2c288b03720476f394d2844ce2ef02faa398 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x6a5016bed8a6d42048caf8297b4a22266048f1ff4c5e11012ef7c26512e5c4ea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Knicks vs. Celtics | Event: nba-nyk-bos-2025-02-23 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pistons vs. Hawks | Event: nba-det-atl-2025-02-23 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Suns vs. Raptors | Event: nba-phx-tor-2025-02-23 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | auburn | 0 | cbb-mich-aub-2025-03-28 | Michigan vs. Auburn | 69,626,546 | 69,645,980 |
e3ec5f86815ace7006e34945882109ea2e031451 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa5f54b9569fe6a44c1bc5a5d852c8338215872882a95f522e84f83aa7b87af3b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pistons vs. Hawks | Event: nba-det-atl-2025-02-23 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Suns vs. Raptors | Event: nba-phx-tor-2025-02-23 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Spurs vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-sas-nop-2025-02-23 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0
4. Questio... | houston | 0 | cbb-purd-hou-2025-03-28 | Purdue vs. Houston | 69,628,480 | 69,645,980 |
fe26f4a2c028610c4fd438e9b94f028bfe236752 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xd45fba4fe27e4aff4fd77ae1d0fe91398fd6767a5d9feeef2a9dee9dbcd9f2bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Suns vs. Raptors | Event: nba-phx-tor-2025-02-23 | Choice: raptors | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Spurs vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-sas-nop-2025-02-23 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-mem-cle-2025-02-23 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
... | brewers | 0 | mlb-games-march-29 | MIL Brewers vs. NYY Yankees March 29 | 69,652,702 | 69,661,076 |
22e05f5d73fe0acaf5dabf37e8f67eeffc90f161 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x7cbae6044c983070f4dc5e7b57798ec48b171753eab736d33863d40c60cb7550 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Spurs vs. Pelicans | Event: nba-sas-nop-2025-02-23 | Choice: pelicans | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-mem-cle-2025-02-23 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-okc-min-2025-02-23 | Choice: thunder | Confiden... | angels | 0 | mlb-games-march-29 | LAA Angels vs. CWS White Sox March 29 | 69,655,774 | 69,655,774 |
bf188f172ba85636b2c807f186ade091bda9c6cf | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xa889add0a60db0a4d38197fff5437fe354bb020d2c9dc49dfd41010acc7ad8f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers | Event: nba-mem-cle-2025-02-23 | Choice: cavaliers | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-okc-min-2025-02-23 | Choice: thunder | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bkn-was-2025-02-24 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.... | twins | 0.419355 | mlb-games-march-29 | MIN Twins vs. STL Cardinals March 29 | 69,655,780 | 69,661,324 |
fc8c7338dd2561cd8052a5dfbd5507cbe0cecf11 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xeeec28031c62ce8e882b8e232c0e29e90de8e62468b7f0eb2eaa8960841f1d15 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Event: nba-okc-min-2025-02-23 | Choice: thunder | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Nets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bkn-was-2025-02-24 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Heat vs. Hawks | Event: nba-mia-atl-2025-02-24 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question... | royals | 0.047619 | mlb-games-march-29 | CLE Guardians vs. KC Royals March 29 | 69,657,104 | 69,664,347 |
7282f3c4697192e42ed90be7e11c6d8f2950e3e1 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe1960d0624117666e584f2790cda104c7b9cb86c1129279428f62d1a151eabe1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Nets vs. Wizards | Event: nba-bkn-was-2025-02-24 | Choice: nets | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Heat vs. Hawks | Event: nba-mia-atl-2025-02-24 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-por-uta-2025-02-24 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Buc... | marlins | 0.098039 | mlb-games-march-29 | PIT Pirates vs. MIA Marlins March 29 | 69,661,109 | 69,667,657 |
206444706a89de2c76dde95619b5a442214c7b2c | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xdbdd6e7c70e68c3650e3fd0862fcd1176b897e9a60756b53a32c67b6b75ef339 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Heat vs. Hawks | Event: nba-mia-atl-2025-02-24 | Choice: hawks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-por-uta-2025-02-24 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bucks vs. Rockets | Event: nba-mil-hou-2025-02-25 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: P... | cubs | 0 | mlb-games-march-29 | CHC Cubs vs. ARI Diamondbacks March 29 | 69,667,143 | 69,667,143 |
e992354c47e3d4a2c6925f8e39688579716711e0 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0x97d302a3bd313503c3445bc5ae06ab1d6d2793d8d1122963854d251bcdff91b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | Event: nba-por-uta-2025-02-24 | Choice: jazz | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bucks vs. Rockets | Event: nba-mil-hou-2025-02-25 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pacers vs. Heat | Event: nba-ind-mia-2025-02-28 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: B... | dodgers | 0 | mlb-games-march-29 | DET Tigers vs. LAD Dodgers March 29 | 69,667,150 | 69,667,418 |
e235ff47900922dce2f92f948cf9823d2d8d74b0 | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xe6ddbb3d3cafed846abb202b513d69887d227c41d96a2d5defafa51ab66c5da2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bucks vs. Rockets | Event: nba-mil-hou-2025-02-25 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Pacers vs. Heat | Event: nba-ind-mia-2025-02-28 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bucks vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-mil-dal-2025-03-01 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question: Nug... | brewers | 0 | mlb-games-march-30 | MIL Brewers vs. NYY Yankees March 30 | 69,693,810 | 69,703,670 |
8bc08dc447c7f29eec9cb93cd538561e3631b93b | 0x2fd3368acc7a67a8a4c4904fc5248bd95d9e7214 | 0xec69833b9f28f6ff3c1cd70db30991a138bc5ae587c52b0793087c58d1564f48 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Pacers vs. Heat | Event: nba-ind-mia-2025-02-28 | Choice: heat | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bucks vs. Mavericks | Event: nba-mil-dal-2025-03-01 | Choice: bucks | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Nuggets vs. Celtics | Event: nba-den-bos-2025-03-02 | Choice: celtics | Confidence: 0.0
4. Question:... | blue jays | 0 | mlb-games-march-30 | BAL Orioles vs. TOR Blue Jays March 30 | 69,694,709 | 69,694,709 |
e7ef5134e8baaaf23d68535156ff46cae6655441 | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0x568da53bee5c28f2bc93f3996905ff3e818afe074250c75a26322a185cb56f09 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27?
Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | 78,282,768 | 78,282,768 |
eaba1fe3958f39041b62323398643405f9626a74 | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0x61cba34d92474b5a5aeb87967f964e3ee57a252e1c6a9debb520fa82a58b3664 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27?
Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choic... | yes | 1 | mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | 78,282,779 | 78,282,779 |
46bf2b3840a44b05d4ee088e7186830eff76b627 | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0xda55a9dec87258c377a356ccbc95faff69db7c44cee7cfb1aa7cab2559a7e053 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2025-10-2... | no | 1 | cdr-atl-bur-2025-10-28 | Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2025-10-28? | 78,295,566 | 78,295,566 |
7ab1990c6fd54a2cda37e8f964bab1bee7a5f580 | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0xdf14bd5268a24f7203dee8bfa046df7f935ce76eb75cea6ee6beb96b819b82f1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2025-10-28? | Event: c... | yes | 1 | efl-bre-gri-2025-10-28 | Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28? | 78,297,365 | 78,297,365 |
0c1a744b246b236d3bb0728477a7d9a92423331c | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0xc60adc7b47a5b89fcaa0a1ec790c38ac76656c04a03bab51f143b68b95c2993e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2025-10-28? | Event: c... | no | 1 | dfb-fce-rbl-2025-10-28 | Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2025-10-28? | 78,297,367 | 78,297,367 |
87a1a4c07ec34e4e9d0a6731baf6c10b04b30f34 | 0x2fd82efa363a309dbef2f488885f98e8a98a3a70 | 0x4bc956f375e934e681a582d9aa9227de3ab8c89810a424b9465c655fff3866e9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-min-sea-2025-10-27 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Atlético Tordesillas win on 2025-10-28? | Event: c... | yes | 1 | cdr-san-alb-2025-10-28 | Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-10-28? | 78,297,369 | 78,297,369 |
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