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215
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label_choice
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913 values
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136206a5fb8ad3b43a93f04797be99f2a67d7ce2
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x3f15198c2ed63acb34b590b2802ba24a92f97996051373def05e1f24d138261b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-30
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
72,132,636
72,157,336
2873254ecd6ef70881a1e120e20cfb92794eaef6
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x7e042a9aa031ef55ce617191ea4076ce1ce79757b2a6946ac7a9249b47ba4e71
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
72,132,636
72,175,304
f7515158994ee2b001edde6a17ba566cd4024cb0
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xea64d6bc4566943d354989554cfe57e1fb8f802d636c580c9b8bf46e0acb6022
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
ethereum-above-2700-on-june-3
Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3?
72,132,636
72,338,450
ff4a97306071ea4c2619b0c08134426ac6635a69
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x8d09e43da69e8f6edae9928459ea9ff6e280dc541081488d25276fd9613b9e84
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.360801
ethereum-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on June 3?
72,137,492
72,326,628
05ec07a47c24b9c13573391f327047efa4da4a88
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xbd28739c4a2a175056720ca23cb12c67b2eefb4e086c22aceadfa34729219344
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.076077
bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on May 30?
72,149,321
72,164,592
68c0589ba4c3229f9fcabddd75625bed8775a783
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xd2a2e9848746343dfd155790befa2e1a1f1d7e484482bb84ff95e59c981a144b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-on-may-30
XRP Up or Down on May 30?
72,149,322
72,150,972
22bffc6ebc9ddf64112a0abc8ad065f4f3c3ef60
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x59a6f515a3b449f34ed2eb4cc4e672abb96af52dd65176cf15a852181f55c51d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-on-may-30
Solana Up or Down on May 30?
72,149,322
72,161,307
a1d2abc76c3d4fbc7c5fd0cecefa01f65a51d5ed
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x80c53e69cd9555dc6b72f394025d99e397da290961a5b0ac8afd5fa5bfb8d412
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.342404
bitcoin-price-may-30-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on May 30 at 5 PM ET?
72,149,322
72,171,368
52d7002af5f88e732b70c9ca24f3e91da2aa57cd
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xc11c84dbe1519a4165201cb2f7dd90274a5c3208f2d60c2379691e81fefc456f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.063312
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
72,149,322
72,326,628
aea1803a53f68d19f00fdf26dd79828e436de951
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x3f5394b47db6860cef14fc2c6e688dc20144d4eec2dc0079de0d0b7cf3871be2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.000729
ethereum-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?
72,149,323
72,326,628
e47a8604259b0724315ef898bb12dced84e4dd16
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x131ade6a283c6944fe251f5450e3350ec29bde21fdfa5d84898cc63f75c4ef1e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.285997
ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 30 at 5 PM ET?
72,150,972
72,171,368
0ce530291d7f6f482510522c8379360156e4d9b3
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x97239b946db6cda57fb605d9dacead47f048f0ac01717eed82a73e14c77d4792
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.218129
ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30 at 5 PM ET?
72,150,973
72,171,368
90adc8d69632a459e5263f8b9df859c5f16b322c
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x944c7815453212389efdb9226a0ec5f1d91728ff4c9ea4debd2666e6aeeded01
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
72,158,297
72,190,786
1c34a90d21e4ad014e1a32fae52628154826ae94
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xdd8a254e8ae31708c01902cec7063d15b4c1a9dc542a3bf154c4587b1092c50d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-31
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?
72,158,297
72,202,000
b864ed18c798cc0e21eb5ac4bd9d2972590fbd25
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x96f998aa7e3d4291cd5209711b9edff23aef7f322969c1868621cded6f784ec2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.048025
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3?
72,158,297
72,326,628
4725ebdcac2020c272dd0e18409efc8135417fdc
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xb7e585c3193fbd380027a5b7f1d3f703a508a0041d3c9206e0f9488702bd7c20
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.090909
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on June 3?
72,158,298
72,326,628
50b1598c9644a4e439aa1aaa1de2a2593eb51edf
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x72aac72e0e71bc690d518c71971a55f826595e22f038ff7b32de7090a642e300
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-31
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?
72,158,930
72,202,000
84aefc8b36c6d448f3e80f05e83670ec6b6e9f08
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xcbc1eb3140ad7bbc08d7398e05335225d0c79ecba6fc30d0c0743f86255bf887
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-on-may-31
XRP Up or Down on May 31?
72,160,979
72,197,645
a1d29defb5ddda3ea33a0ee112332628dc8f067d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x362180ec4f72afbe41663ce9594fa97bae31fee1da0256cb8bd60f22317969d7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.089483
bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,160,979
72,213,784
370e246c8af9b2ae71f4d7b4ba011921eccbeee8
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x8a4fbe8ca41b233d2bf7f849ed4d5f95c5f21f86ce9df6feebc57668bea008c3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.066719
ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,162,399
72,213,784
40bf4d1c4f4d644bc2769045d5729d2788ed18c8
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x38a72fec308d479eee516c1ae0887524b8aae8c7c6a7089aae1a1f651492386f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
1
bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on May 30?
72,164,592
72,164,592
5cf1fc9fbfaea1d19962b1c0abb9116bcd63f4cd
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x4c23b615e7b52275438e3ec03d8e21de19a867b5e4fcd8ef69ed6b8e6f2229d9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
1
bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on May 30?
72,164,592
72,164,592
c264e56b01a4133a426250d4f82462e9ae9bec3f
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x34d9565012c56dfca5aee5020537f60492219ba9b571cdb9ce61df96283fe11f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-may
Will Solana dip to $140 in May?
72,165,732
72,232,094
da200cb4732f5e203a6b2d39fbd1bdf043719342
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x3b4ca904435a2ba5205cd06121252075faedeb491ca8e5188b65cbde6cdca38e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
bitcoin-above-111000-on-june-3
Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3?
72,167,976
72,338,450
601b06f2c6d399932c22dfaf5bf94129bd51a0be
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xfd3c6abeb89869141c9314ddbecae3f914f984e092a0dded3266d5444c67a671
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.056964
ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,170,151
72,201,186
bd2cb9299990215ca0d59ee107c4ca0fefca1cae
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xc8fe919d1e87d21bf00a1b9b3befbe7c4ea0a0dda2f5f09b11a8d5f4e6e662f8
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0.169935
bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,170,151
72,213,784
35a24716cb967e4fbf80a26362c0cb4cb27c0f69
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x20220cad54b910b51cf12b1c836e3af89df76f1f2eabb240ce40aaafba36e057
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.042434
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
72,175,304
73,130,732
6b2d0ecc20ac72f79b4b40b5e1bb62377f9badd1
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x9ce11d16148db30572f9356eb6fe4ca594d48dc90abee3b2400879e6c3375390
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
no
0
what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-may
Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?
72,190,786
72,232,094
3fe0166ae1816630d056a6999940b699c078a625
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xd0ba157295a80808ba9fbe6db897686b33363766a2a8beea76263b8ce1b13ad5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-may-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.48025428678585574 2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 3...
yes
0.006519
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?
72,190,788
72,575,181
eabe667773ba7a08d98bb8bea899957a168a6c36
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x26aec6c2101b4f1f21786408cee684b54eeb97f145ed03a722eaf2bfd5659bc0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on May 30? | Event: solana-price-on-may-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.13749330607177004 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on May 30? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Ethereum reach $30...
no
0.061585
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?
72,190,788
73,085,203
223784bf9bf031df3d1ee339ab0c56dc7c428cd6
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x5c4a3aadb3984092c07f5d1e952c9b9519a3bedcc528287cdad5a3021d648840
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on May 30? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-abo...
yes
0.016435
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
72,190,788
73,139,207
a8106754b6fb13c27afcbb31ef4f2390cc8df6c6
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x1d77c3ff80fe181fb3e4e31b2b73bae7e134073fa6b35a96d1c49118e26970dc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-above-2700-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on Ju...
no
0.81296
ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,193,067
72,213,784
b6843ec3c25e708b414b928ad59a45d7c2c3ea23
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xdc6bbc29306de8dde1dd216c83078b689f195a8d0a0d502f0bb99b458d03292a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-above-2700-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.36080135037039907 3. Question: Will the price of Bitco...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-on-may-31
Solana Up or Down on May 31?
72,195,263
72,202,000
63e1c10a8194663a6d9175d2d2c201baa579b69f
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xa9389cc819c1e2737a5eeaa9a45ce3e28d80745651de45e9b37b13ca56a08332
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.36080135037039907 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.076077410...
yes
1
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?
72,195,263
73,084,655
7ed4ca8270dfd0afa700a8b809526c671c0c8ef7
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xe128eabfb34e9bb6bcea1e0d2022571e686c96daf3cd0848b7da06197fed0800
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.07607741073455876 2. Question: XRP Up or Down on May 30? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Solana Up or Down on May 3...
yes
0.000001
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
72,197,291
72,697,546
0b74bab1492afb85222d31f959ac387078f0b414
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x992f6dc2ffc3ce1d7b19c21a9afbd664f6ddc04c7ed276d0f8bde5b7307bc0e3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down on May 30? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Solana Up or Down on May 30? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on May 30 at 5 PM ET? ...
up
0.034913
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-1
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?
72,201,184
72,238,471
52233fa56cc3cd9d85d1b0ffd1ec4f7c99d2051b
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x9624091fa4900951a52d83c762121e3ec6bb521a0c7358a465440f775437e17e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down on May 30? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-may-30 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.34240441349991885 3. Question: Will the ...
down
0.002846
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-1
Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?
72,201,186
72,247,862
efb4cea7e232b828dcabce5ebca86867cfeee48c
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x266a54731e3f36f83931b4cff3ff6c665d2ac161b54a3f2e8af95afb9640c5fb
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.34240441349991885 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: yes | Confiden...
yes
0.24201
bitcoin-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on June 3?
72,211,069
72,326,628
f1058a04b366afd203c26dae5a2584bcd54f6b77
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x4ea16be9d9f47da3d847e2d5c8b3b91d39237caa295a449ec3685f1737cf6c95
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.06331188158534068 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0007285...
no
1
ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET?
72,213,784
72,213,784
0f3d7ed8ae9eccfe7ea6b6f356511574500571de
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x25e0bfa819a128277106f7b284b4b1330c7b60f210269b75f458233cf1beac1e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0007285783158660672 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confiden...
no
0.147629
bitcoin-price-on-june-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?
72,216,882
72,438,581
5e217085be1f4e8da9b829adbb81990a2f047a18
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xce29e08a3447906105a3a90ededc3c1f64729dfcba3bf3b8f720ca25e277e867
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.28599737555050275 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Co...
no
0.009408
what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june
Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?
72,232,101
72,575,181
361bf912ff9db4690f5cf43f5fbef8c9f3ef9fad
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x37f00df0b90ef30f13cad40bf1b051831b1b608e14ac747fcd62728c1c1e6e42
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on May 30 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-30-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.21812894268393374 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ether...
yes
0.020413
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
72,232,101
73,132,920
f6f248d6357b39d28a3c8311a8ecde1987ad6c6f
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x2e7413d80d0c05a401ca5a90167a60b41fa262884cd5d58411db30023379e806
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3? ...
no
0
what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?
72,232,102
73,085,678
fae8906311ea69f35d7b85589d25fdd1007087bf
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x25db81c04d268a1d45c51c9a06841fc7824a8c75e041de518015234aff1d1c35
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04802484475306312 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be...
no
0.00878
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana dip to $120 in June?
72,232,102
73,176,657
1478a4238cdd9adfcfd4ff7c7267440b471d410e
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xa56f168adeb1b021ca4394ffed504f581321ed12a5ec0d92a1e26ea773aec5b7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.04802484475306312 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.09090909090909091 ...
no
0.002562
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
72,235,749
73,265,250
f7b992e71f7af9fca851a2af098d095c471e6250
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x84c95e05fd4ae9ddc0a276656f6d840da183a1c68b67db3e228163b1f6b44d47
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.09090909090909091 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Down on May ...
no
0
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana reach $220 in June?
72,236,966
72,877,857
59a7e21c204bc93a8b93981dfa578cce19163aad
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x00f02b2c181ba8cd3ee14c7a8fb6fdaf23b9f2c8467b10cb59ec7dc8bec9b187
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down on May 31? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 31 at 5 PM ET...
down
0.006165
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-2
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?
72,241,602
72,283,509
bce8ec3da30237c48917d4a0aad41044d88dd948
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x142597c68b1d76da9521ccc28c021fb6ed89a43c0639fbb6ea986f2f5269d120
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down on May 31? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.08948342051263296 3. Question: Will the price...
down
0.029284
xrp-up-or-down-on-june-2
XRP Up or Down on June 2?
72,247,869
72,283,509
6d2d1e0d7fa5c0c27596e5ad3598bce88dab8de9
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xf78fe0f8c294a3102a3812ee4755ad7ec2e36cd9a1b87a02f809d4a004e5506e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.08948342051263296 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choi...
no
0
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana reach $160 in June?
72,247,869
72,284,568
51e11cead90d4a84318429bbfbe78bc700673858
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x086a43f33f4a0eee8376a51370095395d01f9542f681a2b31895e92492a27505
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0667190486533626 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Conf...
yes
0.317232
ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
72,247,869
72,294,410
97a65d2591b21d5ada2f95ea3728008758b1cfc3
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x0ee43120e3342a5b002b33bc562c231059534c7fa5c9c6e9f0b49d5b4f08d6b1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Wil...
no
0.312257
bitcoin-price-june-2-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
72,247,869
72,294,410
34643aa1db0d3fa186a1ad64d2385263a47d30cb
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x3e53da488f6de8607b4b44c359cf1a1df384fa39357d1349fdb17e9f6b04f22f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on May 30? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-may-30-793 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Solana dip to $140 in May? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin above $111,000 on Jun...
no
0.264454
ethereum-price-on-june-3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3?
72,258,639
72,326,628
183b4d00c96b1ae885c75d337cb9ca32f5f8b179
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x6248a9509c89d1b45bafa0c2eb4388f8605a7544a40add7e27c4b66804004929
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana dip to $140 in May? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-above-111000-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on...
no
0.679262
ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 2 at 5 PM ET?
72,272,267
72,294,410
b82b49adca56f2c664dcd2a6fc394f21bcb00986
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xfc6d67480a218f933def0b3ce51e6539b40a394d554499c928f1ce2541dc9e08
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-above-111000-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.056963914498399416 3. Question:...
yes
0.102888
ethereum-price-on-june-6
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 6?
72,272,267
72,448,149
9f61401576e6aa3d282747deced2de5c9e1b84c7
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x483748043a1000aa40aed0a155a4e51b0fecfabd3ee1bc125c613e14d3dbbac0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.056963914498399416 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no ...
no
0
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana dip to $100 in June?
72,272,267
73,450,670
844b41286d8f55d5eb98a5af1c7a900ccf103239
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xa7191a4f50aaffe628d6e0841c659434ec6c854adc3a2442ca9249b5de191509
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.16993549421627668 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.042434244843240425...
no
0.051518
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?
72,277,612
73,065,402
d68ac126be054686ee95cad2a7426614269f6953
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x58bf76643c4658e4b3149c934906c395d1a3e32a1c97e8816c1e07c1f67e7baa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.042434244843240425 2. Question: Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June? | ...
no
0.09705
bitcoin-price-on-june-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6?
72,281,856
72,438,506
45f15b23ffc2dc0b22814ea9a67611993769a488
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x55492157a58e8e60bceed14bd714ea1907b506a3fe86c48cd43cb334d57ecac0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-may | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.006519237093035097 3. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June? | E...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-3
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?
72,284,564
72,316,568
74cb94fdbf316fe498b347eab3c263be612afcdf
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xe3fd8ecdedfe97e5f7adb8d9b1ff6dbf90a2795b88cca2353d8ab84c78c8df0c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.006519237093035097 2. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06158461830732005 3. Question: Will Bitcoin...
yes
0.001859
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana reach $180 in June?
72,284,564
73,161,726
4c457b88d5e3f5a87d52ec43ba162e07dbf4acd1
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xddbbcd4d756582a7d04b77e6f6865e31c0b11d813e6be63552ee84b531d31120
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.06158461830732005 2. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.016434790378477955 3. Question: Will the pri...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-on-june-3
Solana Up or Down on June 3?
72,284,568
72,326,629
6fdf0e1b8b6f7cc65ebf2d8ce2cd2a9dbe9db29b
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xe27665cccd48eb147467db3d5bca0c9cf377bbf04a90d0277015601e43650dc1
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.016434790378477955 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8129595841839031 ...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-3
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?
72,287,859
72,314,659
8a167739a596c785a36928db2ac67bf67c0613c7
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x8d37bdaa1b1ef5ea62269e4ed15f9ffe1ef40268604017529478b816490005b0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.8129595841839031 2. Question: Solana Up or Down on May 31? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Bitcoin dip...
yes
0.067438
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana reach $200 in June?
72,289,277
72,692,947
556ddbc8a6b11861cbb61197dd9b1593d1b83135
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xd196681a19b2ca2d2245331aca3e3e606c2045e5c490b3acd45194c5bc92ac1b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down on May 31? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-may-31 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Event: what-price-wi...
yes
0.423123
bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?
72,289,278
72,333,911
f7ea7de6d81a0a21ede5666bc5798ece6d7df86e
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xd23ab6a6dd0483f7b5df349b25449cb306fec6ecf2802b6ba10defdfdb2fb3bd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 6.933019575212959e-07 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on Jun...
yes
0.891662
ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 3 at 5 PM ET?
72,289,278
72,333,911
2d7e1e8e9eab495f7faf1bbb994e97e1ea1ebf80
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x2d38300d59bd23140f83338808848561a036eedf35f49f191eb60becd35f080f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 6.933019575212959e-07 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-1 | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0349133422292137 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on...
no
0.059573
ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 3 at 5 PM ET?
72,294,533
72,333,911
5a125052a3263f2e5865843a49c79c7a5c9f2692
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x6085a86af4e24e899f3872798902d9f2042173dac66652663527e512e5203379
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-1 | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0349133422292137 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 1? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-1 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0028456693719019826 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be bet...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-on-june-4
Solana Up or Down on June 4?
72,322,495
72,350,322
822d2916c135509a8c8ed050fa33bac2a3bec2f9
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xc39f08bd6cfb8bdf4b7e9cfcadd44aed5d597f9d8c2c1ce74aa573bb6187b6a9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 1? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-1 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0028456693719019826 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.24200983565919923 3. Question: W...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-on-june-4
XRP Up or Down on June 4?
72,322,495
72,366,220
fccc00423efc73041dff07ca32c4c68b6d510679
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xf54e8a14f321694906b458dff4de23975974497a8b182943b2afcfb674155166
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.24200983565919923 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence:...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-4
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
72,322,495
72,366,220
9b45daa706106f6bc3a2a4fdadf2b6c0615621f6
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x533698648ff2d4f95f73f431466de81d7ef4014acd288b4ee64a90ca51c7206c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on May 31 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-may-31-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.14762910221111...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-4
Ethereum Up or Down on June 4?
72,326,491
72,366,220
c0690b15f8c99992c7de72db9e6cdecbe9c87ced
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x18f2c6bbb01d5293fbc87954407a2336a5d3e54cca2aadf632046d47e9d2c348
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.14762910221111636 2. Question: Will XRP reach $2.3 in June? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.009408203682871789 3. Question: Will ...
yes
1
bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?
72,333,911
72,333,911
b33defbfdabb0f5a176bc9e72943e6c0eb667d63
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x7b0fbb4f44a5c013ee9d2515135035604a18078f11bc64d75f7d9bc46c67c050
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will XRP reach $2.3 in June? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.009408203682871789 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.020413299718773266 3. Question: Will XRP dip to $2 in...
yes
0.269479
bitcoin-price-june-4-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on June 4 at 5 PM ET?
72,338,348
72,376,322
078bfd9747491ec4642be5691521271255f1431e
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xc77d9ac666adfb2022adadd84031a21f7d6c536f4dcce145e940f6c134286561
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.020413299718773266 2. Question: Will XRP dip to $2 in June? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in June? | Even...
no
0.198904
what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
72,350,322
73,450,670
94dae5d43f3fd73a7d7de23b8762ee5f3bd0b4f3
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x0e63532d99df17efee2975718ad9e4b38bae7465303f82c8448ca46ac3fe0489
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will XRP dip to $2 in June? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.008780334101733768 3. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June? | Event:...
up
0.025986
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-5
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?
72,366,234
72,403,083
92e7dc34e79bb2489b9140507362a03cb3187a23
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x0fd38fdde968e5b7862596ccabc06a806a4a5157a4fbab0a6c03e1272a9fef5b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.008780334101733768 2. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0025617155602776515 3. Question: Will Solana re...
down
0.049678
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-5
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5?
72,366,866
72,399,875
99fd6028ef8ac5bddd425e7fa1bba28fa4070c9d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x3eba3847aec78aa8c590eed8864ccb3841ec03ab79eef78dabdaebab1e29e586
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0025617155602776515 2. Question: Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 4.2089344272520483e-07 3. Question: Ethereum Up o...
no
1
ethereum-price-june-4-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?
72,376,322
72,376,322
40975036beb0ac5c69a64facecb0ed11287ba97c
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x6cb560d38a1aa5a3af7a1031d533b7e0bd2d14a2d7af4be58f13acd651d9783c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana reach $220 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 4.2089344272520483e-07 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-2 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.006165059632254933 3. Question: XRP Up or Down on Jun...
yes
0.186934
bitcoin-price-june-5-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
72,381,204
72,413,436
3beae32887010ad53155be28856fc43ebeb7d079
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x185b896ded1f39b8ca4bccbc4fdec9e4217b5521bfa64c26bf11c4d750aac715
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-2 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.006165059632254933 2. Question: XRP Up or Down on June 2? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-june-2 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.029283855934106883 3. Question: Will Solana reach $160 in June? | Eve...
no
0.147799
ethereum-price-june-5-5pm-et-455
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
72,394,018
72,413,436
95a54371c2b03597eac2900c1d65566e1d663f09
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xba2f2094a1132005492ba16601933905bba116158f690bf8e623457eb541722f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down on June 2? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-june-2 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.029283855934106883 2. Question: Will Solana reach $160 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 o...
no
0.001959
ethereum-price-june-5-5pm-et-455
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
72,394,018
72,413,436
4daf87f43a190d9fc728c81420a6fe4a9cf72e14
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xfae2490cae11a43923c6a5621d9c537626522e8b192355555ad158aeb0828a81
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana reach $160 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3172315495366742 3. Question: Will...
yes
0.001013
bitcoin-price-june-5-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
72,396,892
72,413,436
771494249fa8d46f27b9476a7bdc694569c8cb2d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x0d1faeb1eb44035b7676619ed5d3264d75d08f208a6ccd510e5e47e666ad1851
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3172315495366742 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: no...
yes
0.105911
bitcoin-price-june-5-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
72,396,893
72,413,436
5af5e800e3d93d1b86cb433c428188723be3d57d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xf86d028c818015f5d6857fe5a46ed0c094a7082d9a70ee14b3a888890eb0bb69
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.31225673349571287 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confide...
up
1
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-6-864
Ethereum Up or Down on June 6?
72,403,037
72,433,989
bb0af1b9bcf9f9021da4fe17c175b863dde889c0
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x6922b872dbad8696b85cb89cbe37ffbc2b9f98923127f02e882fbb126c057185
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on June 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.26445354306955926 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0...
no
0
what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
72,407,011
72,684,346
7c96f5b92954d4bab6dc89a6e5b39d8be54258b7
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x68d661c154cd3fe4ca96bbe21bb979ed3fe9293f20e620236c276e4be821fa36
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 2 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-2-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.6792615831630415 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 6? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0...
no
0.293368
bitcoin-price-june-6-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 6 at 5 PM ET?
72,417,174
72,453,970
3134f575bd2c0f5d9afb02042684c64faa882124
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x612f5fc29cf37203259beb8972cf36a0ebb54dbe9316a925b683ace0261ff257
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 6? | Event: ethereum-price-on-june-6 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.10288757403879782 2. Question: Will Solana dip to $100 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Ethereu...
yes
0.146258
bitcoin-price-june-6-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 6 at 5 PM ET?
72,432,453
72,453,970
2b94345ed4e73d31e85488bc995b1fc573f87930
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xcbcf20d8d72f343bb4144feaee8af6638c3827e118c2e5cc8ba167e132b22300
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana dip to $100 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.05151760031338222 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be b...
no
0.009092
solana-price-on-june-6
Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on June 6?
72,433,308
72,433,308
6c12f93b5bdddadc5ba866cc513e41c92d680f95
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xb1a04a18ccb09f487a276bdad38c06e2e8bf5e578cd26794eee80f06685c7a00
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-june | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.05151760031338222 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.09705025384510063 3. Ques...
yes
1
bitcoin-price-on-june-6
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102K on June 6?
72,440,345
72,440,345
6a64cd3bf88cce80370c7ce5b50263bf6cdaa4e8
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xac1479babaa5afe33bbe805f1be1cf2da1492f88e524330c166e218e43770745
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6? | Event: bitcoin-price-on-june-6 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.09705025384510063 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Solana reach $180...
down
0
solana-up-or-down-on-june-7
Solana Up or Down on June 7?
72,440,764
72,481,573
dec1fda4e51f0a60d17510131cc5227dcd5d4bcd
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xda3562c564338adf4d3a8cddff3398e056769a2278ec1fcfdb29f58930f63785
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Solana reach $180 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.0018592682454409897 3. Question: Solana Up or Down on June 3? | Event: so...
down
0
xrp-up-or-down-on-june-7
XRP Up or Down on June 7?
72,440,764
72,481,573
3399ee7769f2902308241217b22f701aa3254a68
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x5a17f314840e7f82b29c9e9a734268fbf5f2d93a2c0272f92fa5d65c3f216d00
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana reach $180 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.0018592682454409897 2. Question: Solana Up or Down on June 3? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? | Event: et...
yes
1
ethereum-price-june-6-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6 at 5 PM ET?
72,440,779
72,440,779
5692228db8c1533d98056727a853c0fae868bb6b
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xdc79c07243354291a20e3229d85a90afb105837b00281722ffebc953f477fdb3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down on June 3? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will Solana reach $200 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-h...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-7
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7?
72,441,803
72,481,573
10c1286de97596b32fce64a60e9527d9959e835e
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xe23f906c50cacaf12210acce558a0184842c2d6e16889b093e9c39a0719edeb2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-3 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will Solana reach $200 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.06743782935998381 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $...
down
0
bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-7
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?
72,444,091
72,479,501
1028c18acde25d765dd3898470de8af51977c2d6
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x72420399b13a065956d904ff432b95ed606e1ce2ea38cd86943c9af1571cdf48
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Solana reach $200 in June? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-june | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.06743782935998381 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.4231225259021576 3. Qu...
no
0.141499
bitcoin-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,448,161
72,495,587
40ede0b8cc31b48de5d2d7a4bae6b3c2c059261d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xeb575e1cffe906b45162cb525e2b79ec03ce567d8e0aa1f6b7fb5a15879cf4ed
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.4231225259021576 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes |...
no
0.145696
bitcoin-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,451,802
72,495,587
d9f3de23ee51902c6c34cd1cf46404f553c74e7f
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x630ac7b96951fdc582e59c81f1f44eed98d413db451188c2a59cdca7f3ac1280
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.891661594643944 2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: n...
yes
0.345218
ethereum-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,461,390
72,495,587
b5d213344d716b42931c7bed01b9015be522831d
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xdd613e8634dd8a5dcc9ed3cdb22819f84b70aff74d5d912840e3df75a5f44c89
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: ethereum-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.05957313557602465 2. Question: Solana Up or Down on June 4? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: XRP Up or Do...
yes
0.293017
bitcoin-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,461,390
72,495,587
b4510cca32a16245cdce2c9f18dc3c2f53cdb749
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x9e5da85871a94b18a8591812dd4145d9bf55d8040fda6bc49006325a696045ef
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Solana Up or Down on June 4? | Event: solana-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: XRP Up or Down on June 4? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choic...
no
0.064466
ethereum-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,477,017
72,495,587
b25de720e7ffe026f915bcfb156dffac96999e43
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x2ab5dcb1d15d47cb054c68791e2c62bf8acaa28f0c8bff09eb51f12c37532995
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: XRP Up or Down on June 4? | Event: xrp-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-4 | C...
down
0
ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-8
Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?
72,491,768
72,525,954
a2aebe994dc8f37c7c6ead0fe1930b2991b6abe5
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x2ffd47757246873fa96d79eda828e38b873d1066b72c7ac0d3a3c6f1ecde1d82
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 3. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 ...
no
1
bitcoin-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,495,587
72,495,587
9d9f0ed905929508b3c624b9da31927fa5497340
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0x33378cb32c927b7a9357cbcc31e4b5fa53449ab092d279e545a60f92755b12cd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Ethereum Up or Down on June 4? | Event: ethereum-up-or-down-on-june-4 | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the price of Bi...
no
1
ethereum-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,495,587
72,495,587
ac44b44d52dcb2c7c76b60d3778ef1d083394722
0x323b16159312f463c45b3b02ab73c11ec17f9fe7
0xf446a9d3084fc25aafa78acffc2479191873880939491e464a6aa17f8a15ac50
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-3-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on June 4 at 5 PM ET? | Event: bitcoin-price-june-4-5pm-et | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0...
no
1
ethereum-price-june-7-5pm-et
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 7 at 5 PM ET?
72,495,587
72,495,587