sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9af063bdc4aa8f0e5958c97f62cdd290cbf99ea6 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xd344a9df889cd1e6a4908ea053869507daddca91e362686fb3909a108b31573a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | yes | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-21 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on February 21? | 68,214,796 | 68,214,796 |
1504733833963c1381f2bfd51a33036e7084308b | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xd15ff50078abbed7cd571b70c638d94849eb107528ab1aa93b2d3afd5866c5f8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | elon-musk-of-tweets-feb-14-21 | Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21? | 68,214,856 | 68,214,856 |
f3ed9d395ca84e7481fa53a11d0ebfef9f406419 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x019fead198a6dfdec29b95d0f820eae0609864327c0c34aa753e8f1c620aed4d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-21 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 21? | 68,237,748 | 68,237,748 |
4ff7c1020df936b528429cb7cf5fc6489e470b94 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xb484265f8551cea9ea7f229868e74975ed1d7b4461930869b0f23916257b4e8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-21 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 21? | 68,237,748 | 68,237,748 |
b060715950178fdea3d57087157b4eed02f98d5d | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xbf7d33271795feaba8bb0013a0d8a1771162e8bb7eeaf4db9c9b4297cd36e32b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-21 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on February 21? | 68,237,748 | 68,237,748 |
9ffe80bb03b614c8312bbd5b706504813f22d327 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xe23556ae66d95540ff7e312cd5992ef27ed7a134f472e02d7d4053f976c75145 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-22 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 22? | 68,243,746 | 68,243,746 |
8130a516ec08925fbf5aa9e4753894fdb7692fe7 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x3494efcd06ff53ad06ad27ac3d8aa87cea87ef50716639e26d254fc9f3260978 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | epl-ars-wes-2025-02-22 | Will West Ham win on 2025-02-22? | 68,266,341 | 68,266,341 |
82aace1d3fc750f8b235aeee2e438a223efa1b24 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x007e5823c23c6124f3b860cc050bb0fd21f1956d8b366aeb817acaecef6d5f4f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | yes | 1 | sag-award-best-supporting-actor | Will Kieran Culkin win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Real Pain"? | 68,306,846 | 68,306,846 |
e6025af9ecaf366e370524ecdeac3d6d60d71e4e | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xe6f56a44849c8532a90c0d5d15b8f7db840d97f9bdd696781519de8e06f16798 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-cast-in-a-motion-picture | Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards? | 68,306,850 | 68,306,850 |
4fa1766268f77b21915113bf0b767cba3754bcbc | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xd7fa81e32f860e7553e8ea203a4801378ecd022316e03eeb70bb5c7ef17515f5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-actress | Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Wicked"? | 68,306,860 | 68,306,860 |
f22f0f8e54a724534cce4b8d7c9432329071526f | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x48fd1bd42529457a7e10ee9b3e6197721f09403161759cac35345ef2795ec6ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-22 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 22? | 68,306,866 | 68,306,866 |
37b0f0412fdb6587d246f9af5a619f6356150cb1 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x7e15abb42f111f2d6d62be03ea4d6095a9735cc164c30c1a48e299e921c32eaa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-supporting-actor | Will Edward Norton win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "A Complete Unknown"? | 68,306,867 | 68,306,867 |
7f8335491845f6da6d0a703265c6297c8c0c4053 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xa8ba3b106edd8c647a963c253eb1e8223cabcbe9ec9f473e88cd55778f1e5de3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-supporting-actor | Will Yura Borisov win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Anora"? | 68,306,882 | 68,306,882 |
3cf79da32eee81ec5786765847bc8e1f3a7407aa | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x3a325e9ed62c962503fc7ddabc7f0c9742090a8657349acb75bd2b23bce85ca0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | yes | 1 | sag-award-best-cast-in-a-drama-series | Will "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards? | 68,306,884 | 68,306,884 |
ef693633fa8323f44f3e2c4fc16bfb0166055534 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x29483270f83df4b0f12247e926fbb3b275c514f46e579c2cc3786a6071929884 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 1... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-cast-in-a-motion-picture | Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards? | 68,306,889 | 68,306,889 |
52c958c2eed5946f8203a0f907c5305eadbf9a01 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xdfc3e0a2f37cb80ef844d0020c5bdedc63287f58b4da8936d9e4ef833e366b1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 12? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the highest temperat... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-actor | Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Conclave"? | 68,312,066 | 68,312,066 |
216fa429e107097e5029ed8322762160f69644ab | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x3cad8b617bd8ff431d3796079dfa46aa829359c03b34dd571d1e073bad1bd9ac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 12? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 14? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-14 | Choice: no | ... | no | 1 | sag-award-best-actor | Will Colman Domingo win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "Sing Sing"? | 68,312,068 | 68,312,068 |
8f51dbc3f80555a622529f8f61e90103daf97948 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xb7faecd2db357e4634fe87ef9bb48b4e1305cd618276d730b73190662fe6bafd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on February 14? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 15? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-15 | Choice: no | ... | yes | 1 | which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-german-election | Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election? | 68,323,347 | 68,323,347 |
3cb2f6b2a59d2c0c3639c9d6c5f3f895098a34c7 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x1921202aa3f884b9c562a244f1e58417d93c9315e6768d27768eb3b2abc2c95b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 15? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 15? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-15 | Choice: no | ... | yes | 1 | germany-parliamentary-election | Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | 68,323,356 | 68,323,356 |
1e50a95c046b451385a2823564f5fee6ca76a129 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x3f56bae1879b7336e2e77fd2955557216cd305cff2481844e799050b364a3ef8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 15? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Team Candace win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament? | Event: 2025-nba-all-star-game-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3... | no | 1 | germany-parliamentary-election | Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | 68,323,359 | 68,323,359 |
ccb6c6d015c208b132fcbffe75d6306fe7b3ed5e | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x327837a8d403b58c92a64d8f780e67d8eb771ba6e9ccf1f6277c60a1dcde76cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Team Candace win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament? | Event: 2025-nba-all-star-game-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60? | Event: captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score | ... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on February 24? | 68,345,535 | 68,345,535 |
000cb37aacc0332d5c26fe305bc663572194cfad | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x35e937a4e49ce5ab4773fee1be84d583bff4b1fb168d1022cf30eadc4a1298c8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60? | Event: captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50? | Event: captain-ameri... | no | 1 | trump-538-approval-rating-on-feb-21 | Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.5% and 47.9% on February 21? | 68,345,535 | 68,345,535 |
7d1ff816c2ecd738ff3eefcd2673ed31720234eb | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0xd64ccc4c2d88e2bbce8d1c8042bfbbad4407552b5acf72d9cadc38ca014553d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50? | Event: captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-l... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-24 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or higher on February 24? | 68,363,690 | 68,363,690 |
dab19d5b9ec24f454024cacb3d4c335bb8bd14bb | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x4ff875c4cbe15d53110231513792bda577329b39cd06321760af6d124da329a4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-17 | Ch... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-24 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | 68,363,694 | 68,363,694 |
63f091b7d285e4b74a8954d743b7a1e95e6520b2 | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x3b50032646e20987a7fd310cfc82095aef7b50b9a7165d31cfbfc61217e0e670 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be 40°F or higher on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-17 | Choice: no | C... | yes | 1 | epl-che-sou-2025-02-25 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-25? | 68,395,304 | 68,395,304 |
8fd8295e66983ebb91aac857a3dc287a6b4c8ecd | 0x356ffe14e6275b07ad32b00cd4dcfd6d50659db7 | 0x42843450e704621caf9212c16d4d0b968e41dadb882d0a07ea9ea78bd6a5178b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be 40°F or higher on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 17? | Event: highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-17 | Choice: yes | ... | no | 1 | epl-che-sou-2025-02-25 | Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25? | 68,395,304 | 68,395,304 |
f42a754dcc8a08d2b42984a37fe431e6eb4e1063 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x13c91a43e5fff17327a7b4ec11505fd5c3beaee0ea5265da11fb4c7b0c1ee083 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?
Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | 63,291,319 | 63,291,319 |
810f0a76399febee41b010c84bd84eed5b75ff8f | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xb0800a2359e72319963230933927de69591856d3ea51369c51dd45f08e945335 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024?
Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the ... | yes | 1 | cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | 63,291,322 | 63,291,322 |
5ed9591afb39ece98927601eba43cc978947348c | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x0f3e90a228049a07f929192a8dd725104b88d5c7da35b1e39c2f0ee41df1bb5d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Wil... | yes | 1 | us-grand-prix-winner | Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix? | 63,318,862 | 63,318,862 |
70145e0b8aaa341b168751ff6d37843fee41b30f | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x1678c81a4d5ca2b6f9434266eeb2892a626e908d726d41177bae927deae945ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-24 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 24? | 68,327,829 | 68,327,829 |
414d0880453e9125f450a13a9b1ae1641ec4a636 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x327837a8d403b58c92a64d8f780e67d8eb771ba6e9ccf1f6277c60a1dcde76cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 0.168576 | highest-temperature-in-london-on-february-24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on February 24? | 68,348,725 | 68,348,725 |
97038591574e17eeb0f1408196fe7fcf4c1d79b3 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x4ff875c4cbe15d53110231513792bda577329b39cd06321760af6d124da329a4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-24 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | 68,352,997 | 68,352,997 |
ce3c66d68077e3978e39d3baea031fe2f65b578e | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xd64ccc4c2d88e2bbce8d1c8042bfbbad4407552b5acf72d9cadc38ca014553d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-24 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or higher on February 24? | 68,352,997 | 68,352,997 |
9f50216b8beb4501b83144573ac4202299b43be8 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xffde7f625f7ed2509a122ab7a2ab51a3253f2fa59bce91e4aa699523a31adfc7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-24 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 24? | 68,352,997 | 68,352,997 |
e7cf7cb06c40432e7f20ddf17eaafc80adee00b2 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x9ea2654c21f67fd09171b66f2ce8667142c0adda7b42623d1b54b67d652f460c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-25 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on February 25? | 68,390,181 | 68,390,181 |
3a3ba6fec24e7523c92e29d950b44dd3c37799e6 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xae60ce9dc80247a49b4511c68f91f08906af6337aaf8aab7c5bde4e93dc69942 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-feb-26 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 54-55°F on February 26? | 68,434,668 | 68,434,668 |
07a65e19e9ef52ea2e84b23dfb22d1c1e1d214e0 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x1320293c9c9b51c0936617ca9a30a6a7441b6f6a307b2ba404f5caf44ae1ad4c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | 10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday | Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.3% and 4.4% on April 11? | 70,189,256 | 70,189,256 |
af22c98d58aa33c2316eeadd21a2f51aaaf5aec1 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x2e0300352e95019959a2ea809911b26fc95fd51b8f74c9169486c80aea38ae1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | 10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday | Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.4% and 4.5% on April 11? | 70,189,256 | 70,189,256 |
71bb766b3f0c2da580f19e8837d7782c54fe57b2 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x35180bb923b94e77dbce0d5e79cc9625650c2c9bfc22268e96cc93ce6003d27e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | 10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday | Will the 10-year Treasury yield be less than 4.2% on April 11? | 70,189,256 | 70,189,256 |
b2ac5d67a84205a1a89749cf1690626af3a6bfad | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x3d36b3d39f0d0eecc9b7a2b4cf2098e6cac260436b6d1eb24f6cbf75bafc20ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 0.553939 | 10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday | Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.5% and 4.6% on April 11? | 70,189,256 | 70,189,256 |
121e6e316fb4acc2442cc99a9217470219acea50 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xb0c08542f6c7b72989e40bd690760657efd4958e0045f64881db5dfbf03eb9d8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | 10-year-treasury-yield-on-friday | Will the 10-year Treasury yield be between 4.6% and 4.7% on April 11? | 70,189,256 | 70,189,256 |
82d10f50331a42da6bb2e140a10277a4df5d9ad6 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xd3dd91c568a792cd21d986bfda8b68199d9f88bad3586a34f8761ce51c71080e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | deepseek-r2-released-before-may | DeepSeek R2 released before May? | 70,975,972 | 70,975,972 |
33293d0eac021438716a6df61fb61595949827c1 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x2b7de40d9a57e5a8d1ec1dbf1e817afaf7ab650a2b410889995f74f6e1157701 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | ethereum-price-on-may-16 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 16? | 71,601,366 | 71,601,366 |
56853749b6efa0849404febf731b386a381ce14c | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x0f8f7866adc4a4638d71d45fc4813dbff2a29c45c637ec1313f80fce04b06cd6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | eurovision-2025-jury-winner | Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final? | 71,659,450 | 71,659,450 |
dd2a9ad9d5d45894eefdeadb89747901a3dfa403 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xb35098184edffe79e5bced8208ecff22c3a1e7270a8fefffbe5095ebc17b2fba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | eurovision-2025-jury-winner | Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final? | 71,659,450 | 71,659,450 |
93e3734c474ef73be958ee8c20869f389588563e | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xf931e094c21b844b916c65258bc9b24311f13f91507fe8efda9923217fc79523 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | eurovision-winner-2025 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | 71,659,450 | 71,659,450 |
f25335e83a515c6437faa32479766ece79967750 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xf53e9ae64377e89b21d72c32ccf5ff8633eb7b8e62a93903ebc51b5db8655e9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | eurovision-2025-jury-winner | Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final? | 71,659,451 | 71,659,451 |
9c56bb3c2bfaceb60f49b19563e23b2eeae0232c | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0x7c06ae6e8bda1ff7a7f5029456356f5725b2b289617bcbc83efd013b7e92e7be | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | no | 1 | next-coin-on-robinhood-03132025 | Will $IP be the next coin listed on Robinhood? | 71,858,899 | 71,858,899 |
30b8359ad5d07735a40cdf4428fd0f43c1965bb7 | 0x358a34be9a78df171e6468dc9171d7adb744d45f | 0xd8b60b9afec4c3dbfa216421cb1def199e17242c966076c74c773241259dc0f3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will another team win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will HEROIC win the Elisa Masters Espoo 2024? | Event: cs2-elisa-masters-espoo-2024-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstap... | yes | 1 | next-coin-on-robinhood-03132025 | Will another coin be the next listed on Robinhood? | 71,858,899 | 71,858,899 |
ff1dba6fa11915a88266100edd69272e34e7415a | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x3f5d83005852c283cfed78ae3e452ffb2663711b2e28ce86890fa29cca61a218 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?
Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | 77,987,795 | 77,987,795 |
591e49bac64bf2409873e6087b4ac5f1416aa69d | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xc6b8e098d274d6965a2b7252f6f0233bc0d26cce2c685cdb711785315ba2cef4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18?
Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ...,... | yes | 1 | arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | 77,996,808 | 77,996,808 |
3d1aa289a7733c4c1277efa537712c7e82a056a4 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x05f98fe943442a06f41c6d8bfab64772d15cd1e1f9476e1d380bacbb43b6b079 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?
Event: ucl-ata-sl... | yes | 1 | ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-22 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | 78,074,901 | 78,074,901 |
2b1f33182adbb78e8ed63293a5650c4b9d246778 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x54d73cf1a9e5f6c791f953ea0f286808b9e08f262d9c7bf5ff33f4cb79309bf8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | mls-mia-nas-2025-10-24 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24? | 78,144,563 | 78,144,563 |
e23aa10f218e5e0c57f7f335b0ebfa6a69b59705 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x1fda5b0ffab24e4cbb04f3d70127920d3e4fe09571fd6d58a93ae2344c6e6f0d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | bun-ein-pau-2025-10-25 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25? | 78,156,670 | 78,156,670 |
61eff05cbfa3bda666d7c48a5eaac8f5174dfcf5 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x1b0ec1837dbb55c9cc459e7c16025b07f803497f6ba001f548d90731a5d022cb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | epl-new-ful-2025-10-25 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25? | 78,157,224 | 78,157,224 |
6844536773289a7c9ea2a461cd4004b67909f6f8 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x486971672927488103c739c6cbc0aff4e4fbc47f9c9c6c6359dd1ab2d2c8afc7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-tra-eyu-2025-10-25 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-25? | 78,163,950 | 78,163,950 |
6ef9bdfb7039b7136069e4707eca130a31f3b48d | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x49a309923442c3d68cf732899acaa38425c9c29b2dabf233b90a2ac3d0e12957 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | uel-lil2-pao3-2025-10-23 | Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | 78,188,698 | 78,188,698 |
668fd87065bcb2b75a0a8afdbff1e5deaaf20f01 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x4cef0ac44f4a10a958b3f676ce945a0ffe1b16d0e7eac0abcf432bce7b99ea77 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25? | 78,188,698 | 78,188,698 |
5a53316c3ac6c09e4a6817c40dd02cb42e77ab29 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x0fb910f988120dea820d25404e9826e5902c3dad8daf75e2327ab4a16f6c4d1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | bun-b04-fre-2025-10-26 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26? | 78,201,432 | 78,201,432 |
167145cc89f5165d135e4f51f54cc81ee874c54e | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xf9b287d9b20684dd6ba96b7870eaeb1efce080a51cf8978e72519ad524cb373f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-gal-goz-2025-10-26 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26? | 78,201,432 | 78,201,432 |
ade184bf3b98099ebe5b32712b00738cce56ba09 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x0d6d94166622df9ef7f7f4af250d49ba55f10ac037759b049444fb4e9c585fa6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | 78,205,379 | 78,205,379 |
a40fabf9a20540eb30963b11f1d42772c16d7f25 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x569b0ab5493306686d74f71cd6db85d32af9c648f9ebe007c4f703a1aeade0ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26? | 78,212,026 | 78,212,026 |
7a5ebe53e0d20357d552534018a301639bc0cc0c | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x674793df26b9c0851eac977797477ad91cb8a04a8937910ae21a3fff0cfe5b6d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-kas-bes-2025-10-26 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26? | 78,212,433 | 78,212,433 |
bf6968722ba670442dff394bbbf6e22758e8db20 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x914c42ca7504a0a324a844ecc7f2f23bd9f8a21604d9210490c2f29271ee48d0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | por-scb-cas-2025-10-26 | Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-26? | 78,212,600 | 78,212,600 |
f4642e65559b3ba9e1f63dae6c3e27deeaf6a399 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x61cba34d92474b5a5aeb87967f964e3ee57a252e1c6a9debb520fa82a58b3664 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | 78,259,684 | 78,259,684 |
da5ef44906ef4ae0834a5c02fb6ee16f402669e9 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x0f3fcf213aad886400898482ed316da647cf80681c2afb7ce04ea43e9dd8f35f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | 78,316,976 | 78,316,976 |
6b3c085a0cabb43436ab3d0239057e85736fd1c0 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x484cb1ff4e261fa49b7143b4f2aa2f2928edfcc2c749a5246cdb64c3cdcc2294 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | 78,336,966 | 78,336,966 |
d0c70d3a856a30eed9d9c7a3682717f661b71e5a | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xb8f7945f6cd9bbe796a932196d6d3d4abb656b1fad0d5e33c03dc80ea126169d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | sea-rom-par-2025-10-29 | Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29? | 78,336,966 | 78,336,966 |
86cb87aa3eec9d71ac6dfbafbfd641598d9cb3a0 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x4e51de3129b76add333dcfe7a46d60c2c98f059b5e1b1753cf5418d3e475e96a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Will Inter win on 2025-10-29? | 78,340,985 | 78,340,985 |
0976ad898e7e1b7cf4d4c89c800862c55c862ffe | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x33a30115fd5fd61d63696ee2ae7663e12fe45c25f8bbd5e81d7eb2bca12c4d46 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | mls-laf-aus-2025-10-29 | Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,371,999 | 78,371,999 |
88b99022e042d10270c0919b9c83a090f35ec6a4 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x7bed87a7817e89069456bdfd554ef19c16dbeffeef57273490f24a48a7e017b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-iba-koc-2025-10-31 | Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-10-31? | 78,422,529 | 78,422,529 |
b77b47d0495411cb8f2d52c2ef4cd3bfa39b2dc3 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x2f422e5f45d7dbc197aed6a20fd0b5fe5cf050adad623a77242a89dfc3f31042 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | lal-get-gir-2025-10-31 | Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31? | 78,427,532 | 78,427,532 |
cbd3a8dcd8de6e4fba74f3b04da79e8323b68f32 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xbc32fb8e68917c22abe553167ba0a4993ba333e8640728ce2e6389d26f216724 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31? | 78,427,532 | 78,427,532 |
db4a58ba3958ff6091796f2ff21c0dbeb0371621 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xe06380c2514a426b0ef15f1be25eb634b4e0472e404d8ad3258130d220552488 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-31? | 78,429,437 | 78,429,437 |
43ad59f0c4d2252530614e44a35897bfa2e03343 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x289efb0a2aa9b6160ab78f6d537de43bc9e19ff804b638b9ef5b81571411847d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | tur-goz-gen-2025-11-01 | Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,502 | 78,460,502 |
513d565e98681dc1a12f9fc1e01ae3306b8594e9 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x0a69601d8ccda200e6af21ebeb5bc64e76657dd573d7e1b09eb4e21b02a25132 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | epl-liv-ast-2025-11-01 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01? | 78,471,202 | 78,471,202 |
8723686fcc0ccc36a2ecdf5afbc3b825f3bd3414 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x7313ef7f8ee13603355872b5e985d614c5aa0c2a00d201aeb24a121bb35b7d7b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | lal-rea-val-2025-11-01 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01? | 78,471,202 | 78,471,202 |
abc3368d171c21f936bcc478f87831bdd20e0d29 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x623586509f692f66a412fa992fbfd7f3670430fa3d520623562ff63f81d8fc0c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | lal-mad-sev-2025-11-01 | Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01? | 78,475,264 | 78,475,264 |
4d3995d5ab258f3e12366a41c461178f3d647b47 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x52d39de10277f2fba567aa62cd4f76eadaf1c0095a968b02d0c6758010d91dee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | mls-nas-mia-2025-11-01 | Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,484,576 | 78,484,576 |
3c982f5ac1f810b71521ea877b7c23065718c7a2 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x2371a52d10a33ebdd015d3e94ddc041e2ff0fc13669adfae5e64804a36430587 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20? | Event: epl-wes-bre-2025-10-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | sea-ver-int-2025-11-02 | Will Inter win on 2025-11-02? | 78,501,033 | 78,501,033 |
8bf0faa8e5fafcd3fe9ffa4ed404548b74443f10 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xabcf0e470a746669713d034f790d12ddd4140afaff2313abcd51b6f929f2c0e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-18? | Event: arg-boc-bel-2025-10-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24? | Event: mls-mia-nas-202... | yes | 1 | mls-clb-fcc-2025-11-02 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2025-11-02? | 78,531,672 | 78,531,672 |
a974784bd2d8136433d6ecc865db265b97d4b2c8 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xbbeb658f222a6f0518dbdf4e6ba7ddf4c792d480e0d6732f579c2d2b7defd57c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22? | Event: ucl-ata-slp-2025-10-22 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24? | Event: mls-mia-nas-2025-10-24 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25? | Event: bun-ein-pau... | yes | 1 | lal-bet-mal-2025-11-02 | Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02? | 78,531,672 | 78,531,672 |
9c57b4df138787be6d4ed803cfb6a6bca0532313 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xd37e698858516255b142ad26500ce73497f9db41f223c5a2e756be36412ba570 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24? | Event: mls-mia-nas-2025-10-24 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25? | Event: bun-ein-pau-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-new-ful-2... | yes | 1 | sea-mil-rom-2025-11-02 | Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02? | 78,531,672 | 78,531,672 |
6430193b9dd307407020e20ef89f05237fda7ce6 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x1fa298de6932968b0f58006e562f06d0575303b70a5f29f7bb29230f06f2a996 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25? | Event: bun-ein-pau-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-new-ful-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-25? | Event: tur-tra-eyu-2025... | yes | 1 | sea-laz-cag-2025-11-03 | Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03? | 78,558,165 | 78,558,165 |
186149b1f25a8cc60db757636847a05a668773e8 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xf6c62ab563d147278675d996fadb4fcbc93c07d11de255fad95cc28a52f0d36e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-new-ful-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-25? | Event: tur-tra-eyu-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-lil2-pao3-2025-10-23 |... | yes | 1 | tur-bes-fen-2025-11-02 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-02? | 78,558,165 | 78,558,165 |
954d00592ce665409d7ee122ce590a21aaf73c43 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xe78866425a8fcadf4bd7263f92f8b60248b83a9a34790c6ad5c5ffffb20a1b34 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-25? | Event: tur-tra-eyu-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-lil2-pao3-2025-10-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 |... | yes | 1 | bra-flu-mir-2025-11-06 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-11-06? | 78,704,683 | 78,704,683 |
8c54c696dc762ec57e9d870beaeac1fb98116106 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xea038ac9034aa7733e8a5b6b595135c3ff29dedcc6b3102f552799995dbbd804 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23? | Event: uel-lil2-pao3-2025-10-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-b04-fre-2025-10... | yes | 1 | bun-wer-wol-2025-11-07 | Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07? | 78,729,493 | 78,729,493 |
be59dda7686c104604611679cd8b651c1b7bfada | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x486be5adc1c1fbc6e796ebccd41b48b15368c55f1abcd3b50dcb9b51cf5a18ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-10-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-b04-fre-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-gal-goz-2025... | yes | 1 | uef-che-swe-2025-11-15 | Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15? | 79,075,061 | 79,075,061 |
35a7dfd6b23e2fe2bf28b8919f631e9eebdf6928 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xc2668da47b847b448064abf5c6a71d47525e583dfc647d64d6caef0051561322 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-b04-fre-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-gal-goz-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-... | yes | 1 | tur-gal-gen-2025-11-22 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-22? | 79,375,102 | 79,375,102 |
748c16741b2873e0c5a97fc0035c4a94a0e1a3fd | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x419a55bd0f19cde65f8b1a0756d94867af8dd14b88dae2567c9a918f37ac207e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-gal-goz-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 ... | yes | 1 | sea-nap-ata-2025-11-22 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22? | 79,377,777 | 79,377,777 |
0c1f8cebe7afb299627d088c8946a4891edcab75 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x12babb8dc378cac483299e716594b5eceb3d6fb59e6b2280f0bb791710b1c4fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26? | Event: bun-stu-mai-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-kas-bes-2025-10-26 | C... | yes | 1 | sea-int-mil-2025-11-23 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
aac7c7352fb2a8478c1085faad979e762edfe190 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x31faef9598a6c7c1f8c3125ae3bfd5511181b612777bc46df6d946f880142def | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lazio win on 2025-10-26? | Event: sea-laz-juv-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-kas-bes-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-26? | Event: por-scb-cas-2025-10-26 | Choice... | yes | 1 | tur-tra-ala-2025-11-08 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-08? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
9a28424c3606432b5f9538bdbe53e9b5dee140ad | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x3eb22a031e853ce7d3490c4857db026b78a7f968032d8de6effd9d9f1ade6897 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26? | Event: tur-kas-bes-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-26? | Event: por-scb-cas-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 ... | yes | 1 | ucl-nap-fra-2025-11-04 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
34d41e2b1e4cdca36cd6d47fb8967bdc745bab26 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0x744e7ac15f6a6b72576a12358e8ee5a95e48a2ef8b298d7f5df0ad249540e38b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-26? | Event: por-scb-cas-2025-10-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 |... | yes | 0.999998 | uel-plz1-fen1-2025-11-06 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
baeecf5629c6e10b0d4a3412041d96ac7c455529 | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xdecc2b4531fb685922e5d1285324deac0f51dad199315c1afe495dbf286bcd49 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-27? | Event: mls-fcc-clb-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 |... | yes | 1 | tur-bes-sam-2025-11-23 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-23? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
343f5792b64c39c0ebb84a99505d0fcf8b0a6cae | 0x35a69f8cd3149962f882c06255e1dd7649d2ab4d | 0xe2a4e3a627685cf33e917e3eff4dac2fad6c0ff4a9ecd940ab4b0fcfea47e362 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Samsunspor win on 2025-10-27? | Event: tur-sam-riz-2025-10-27 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-rom-par-2025-10-29 | Choic... | yes | 1 | ucl-gal-usg-2025-11-25 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? | 79,803,432 | 79,803,432 |
770cdeae44aea05326301cee4e53acaf650b956f | 0x35b9070821175f712cfee7e0f4f72844f4ec1d44 | 0x0f1df346118eeddcd8a9974c94a13445da733c8ae928adc25982a365f2c3de98 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09?
Event: uef-sco-grc-2025-10-09
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | yes | 1 | uef-sco-grc-2025-10-09 | Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09? | 77,684,378 | 77,684,378 |
798002b519b55aac6123f18bad9e7f284e8df4be | 0x35b9070821175f712cfee7e0f4f72844f4ec1d44 | 0xc22438f5f154be867b0b2063639fb8758caaa1dd87c803a5332bbb5371792157 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-sco-grc-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-19?
Event: ere-her-fey-2025-10-19
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ... | yes | 1 | ere-her-fey-2025-10-19 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-19? | 77,922,819 | 77,922,819 |
b613f223e3ab57de62165275e87d43299221f5e4 | 0x35b9070821175f712cfee7e0f4f72844f4ec1d44 | 0xffa740e3ea988ac69dcbffd101bd79e3ffaebb84b10442b40a7d42db6ad1220c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-sco-grc-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-19? | Event: ere-her-fey-2025-10-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?
Event: ucl-f... | yes | 1 | ucl-fcb-oly-2025-10-21 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21? | 77,989,850 | 77,989,850 |
7eb6920c1f06a49bb6802211f63b78e9ecdcb02b | 0x35b9070821175f712cfee7e0f4f72844f4ec1d44 | 0x874f16bbbce3738f3aa7da491623d44e3d83bd47c777eff51753e286b5bea3d7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Scotland win on 2025-10-09? | Event: uef-sco-grc-2025-10-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-10-19? | Event: ere-her-fey-2025-10-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21? | Event: ucl-fcb-oly-2025... | yes | 1 | elc-por-cov-2025-10-21 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-10-21? | 78,004,668 | 78,004,668 |
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