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b5f54cfad6bbf2d5ed95d303c2dd7bac47de90c8
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x212e0222c011aba5f631da3b6a1f4ebcc4d2c6fc3db502b700bb2145fcd9fb9d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Aston Villa beat RB Leipzig? | Event: ucl-rb-leipzig-vs-aston-villa | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta? | Event: ucl-atalanta-vs-real-madrid | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Manchester City beat Juventus? | Event: ucl-juventus-vs-...
yes
1
uel-az-tot-2025-03-06
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?
68,736,100
68,736,100
72187c1291caffe369dbd77f0168c1ff668dc586
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x347d25b266daf839e42621c637922aaa513d137de2c337f965c9bb01390f060d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Real Madrid beat Atalanta? | Event: ucl-atalanta-vs-real-madrid | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Manchester City beat Juventus? | Event: ucl-juventus-vs-manchester-city | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys? | Event: ucl-stuttgart-vs...
yes
1
uel-fcsb-lyo-2025-03-06
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?
68,736,100
68,736,100
9c91e903790c1456984e8e440361687d5b792fa4
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xe865f3d955924dde5ee0cb26586208414ec52d3a079a19c0d70ea871038684ce
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Manchester City beat Juventus? | Event: ucl-juventus-vs-manchester-city | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys? | Event: ucl-stuttgart-vs-young-boys | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Juventus beat Manchester City? | Event: ucl-juventus...
yes
1
uel-fen-ran-2025-03-06
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?
68,736,100
68,736,100
81f8a47355959932d47e48572436584d25aefa99
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xf9501e10440ed6a34aa24bb43fec6a91188f618207682c6c81a67d5fa9fe3479
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Stuttgart beat Young Boys? | Event: ucl-stuttgart-vs-young-boys | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Juventus beat Manchester City? | Event: ucl-juventus-vs-manchester-city | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund? | Event: ucl-borus...
yes
1
uel-rso-mun-2025-03-06
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?
68,736,100
68,736,100
ff6584231d6688ca58477370c0fe362e43ea8266
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x32683a80b5523f3d504407f7c5f680e206c7c468f16027aa11f91ff8f2990e85
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Juventus beat Manchester City? | Event: ucl-juventus-vs-manchester-city | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund? | Event: ucl-borussia-dortmund-vs-barcelona | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | ...
yes
1
uel-ajx-fra-2025-03-06
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?
68,753,098
68,753,098
436743d20df428438d7c5143a528582e2c7546de
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x8e45bb6acdd718600e01c3a509b8ea305d2468d695622c26c366f39eb85d5755
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund? | Event: ucl-borussia-dortmund-vs-barcelona | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | Event: popular-vote-margin-of-victory-0pt25-ranges | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Gold close at $2,500-...
yes
1
uel-bod-oly-2025-03-06
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?
68,753,098
68,753,098
7209b15cc57d70780b888b9a7ff653c5eac9c783
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x2565d91a1e958305581b30f2f3c9b9e1c84db0ce3f7be235a64135fb557c3a1e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | Event: popular-vote-margin-of-victory-0pt25-ranges | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024? | Event: what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2024 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will West ...
yes
1
uel-ath-rom-2025-03-13
Will AS Roma win on 2025-03-13?
69,016,942
69,016,942
ac39b1a7f4c9cb17935eae156da7c95559a7fbf1
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x327884f9a846ee354b7b43b57074c3db66c5dfc7c0d988b97276fd5a5ea46038
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024? | Event: what-price-will-gold-close-at-in-2024 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-mac-wes-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04? | Eve...
yes
1
uel-fra-ajx-2025-03-13
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-13?
69,016,942
69,016,942
ee5889f3ab1ba3bc7126058329249b6f04b9826f
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xbc214905bf66a31767a58c8f36f6d3175245799c86a3ec1b082165443395bfbb
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-mac-wes-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-ast-lei-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg? | Event: ucl-rb-salzburg-vs-atlet...
yes
1
uel-laz-plz-2025-03-13
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?
69,016,942
69,016,942
6af639d157ca269b75892adcfc99357089d7e547
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xcd33309875ef0f39b31680db8a5df601cc785f0e93b167df2a47d89ccc25d2b2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Leicester win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-ast-lei-2025-01-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg? | Event: ucl-rb-salzburg-vs-atletico-madrid | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Young Boys beat Red Star Belgrade? | Event: ucl-y...
yes
1
uel-oly-bod-2025-03-13
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?
69,016,942
69,016,942
5b87e373ac0733c4847ef5a83733d32a86ecd4f0
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x7350af3e8ecb7f7e41742d92733abd4e22e2f409d7f23f2d8d09bd8569661d2c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atletico Madrid beat RB Salzburg? | Event: ucl-rb-salzburg-vs-atletico-madrid | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Young Boys beat Red Star Belgrade? | Event: ucl-young-boys-vs-red-star-belgrade | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will the match between Borussia Dor...
yes
1
uel-lyo-fcsb-2025-03-13
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?
69,033,841
69,033,841
9aa758b7ca812fd55d428d12663477ff703afee9
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x842106b99ca82d093b8bc64c18fffa59c39736f6bf03d74371f7f87d36b6ef88
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Young Boys beat Red Star Belgrade? | Event: ucl-young-boys-vs-red-star-belgrade | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? | Event: ucl-borussia-dortmund-vs-shakhtar-donetsk | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. ...
yes
1
uel-mun-rso-2025-03-13
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?
69,033,841
69,033,841
310190d8401ff5f194d78ad4c497830151caa14d
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xa65856f6fad08f24d4644ebeeaa8ad24dfc50908f7e86f382f47f17d892da319
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will the match between Borussia Dortmund and Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw? | Event: ucl-borussia-dortmund-vs-shakhtar-donetsk | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven? | Event: ucl-psv-vs-liverpool | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Inter...
yes
1
uel-tot-az-2025-03-13
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?
69,033,841
69,033,841
ad9b67e42711efe3043857c34c7e50ee865ee2cb
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xb043bdb69cf3469512e8ef87b31f09c73f3c84aa092640c25454903f3f3a5247
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Liverpool beat PSV Eindhoven? | Event: ucl-psv-vs-liverpool | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Inter Milan beat Monaco? | Event: ucl-inter-milan-vs-as-monaco | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Aston Villa beat Celtic? | Event: ucl-aston-villa-vs-celtic | Cho...
yes
1
uel-ran-fen-2025-03-13
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?
69,033,841
69,033,841
8bd6a79086641f2e461102ccd6c1291aabe16f1e
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x497cb84ade781b78f295583c721a5e7606d494e1451a81580735361b6b99840e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Inter Milan beat Monaco? | Event: ucl-inter-milan-vs-as-monaco | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Aston Villa beat Celtic? | Event: ucl-aston-villa-vs-celtic | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Sparta Praha? | Event: ucl-bayer-leverkusen...
yes
1
bun-hsv-pau-2025-08-29
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-29?
75,853,789
75,853,789
7577ef3e191e0f4c4fe85b7e7c89f5b37637dc0a
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x9226d32c4f167577b15ffd004b307051ce3f6fd433ea41a80663e262153b22e6
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Aston Villa beat Celtic? | Event: ucl-aston-villa-vs-celtic | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Sparta Praha? | Event: ucl-bayer-leverkusen-vs-sparta-praha | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart? | Event: u...
yes
1
bun-hof-ein-2025-08-30
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-08-30?
75,853,789
75,853,789
02e68216d0a6420f31240eb6df5e4e9c3e738769
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xdfe7d1b9fb9e16fda5c939f6078f4429a556c822e0f0f80f59a6b9429fed9e2b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Sparta Praha? | Event: ucl-bayer-leverkusen-vs-sparta-praha | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart? | Event: ucl-stuttgart-vs-paris-saint-germain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?...
yes
1
bun-lei-hei-2025-08-30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-08-30?
75,853,789
75,853,789
e84beaf8206a6db9c0495b9a38b4444bd6ec28ba
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x5d3bff93cbe4f7e75f7b9b247b5d37d68c809207ac6dfb56cacb92eb56c039da
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart? | Event: ucl-stuttgart-vs-paris-saint-germain | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atalanta beat Barcelona? | Event: ucl-barcelona-vs-atalanta | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-ma...
yes
1
bun-uni-hof-2025-09-13
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-13?
76,415,998
76,415,998
224fe90c50b2875d668aee2a04c6c51dd815edba
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x8f10b0e19ec6c899efcf3adef53eb355afe6c51a39b1d8c708168e359bbc834f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atalanta beat Barcelona? | Event: ucl-barcelona-vs-atalanta | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-mac-rma-2025-02-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-spo-dor-2025-02...
yes
1
bun-fre-stu-2025-09-13
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-09-13?
76,415,998
76,415,998
68cb608f7f044f222c8e71b0fc508503ee6700d7
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x5bc75e146bd30e715695ea21722b3865ef93ccbdf059ac2a2c7e71aef050643c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-mac-rma-2025-02-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-spo-dor-2025-02-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-bru-ata-2025-02...
yes
1
ucl-kob-b04-2025-09-18
Will FC Kopenhagen vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?
76,619,234
76,619,234
a99e63ffcd378745c5327e6bc3e36c86ae7debf8
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x28a2c341bde029fb59f598c802bbd04763f634aa5ec642a7b016dfaee0000582
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11? | Event: ucl-spo-dor-2025-02-11 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-bru-ata-2025-02-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? ...
yes
1
ucl-mac-nap-2025-09-18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?
76,632,912
76,632,912
091b7ee6be474cb808f375b0f2721a9aa93aef81
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x61d06f56a6323cccf55aded9d7ef6736105bfc8d9fc6da298eb17e3ef1f18f29
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12? | Event: ucl-bru-ata-2025-02-12 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? | Event: which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-german-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Borussia ...
yes
1
ucl-fra-gal-2025-09-18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?
76,632,912
76,632,912
e782d524bee1d55b926752b58c5f4b3dcc5b8f70
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0xc964405e53d4e01e6c1a2b6e9303bf0d77f0600f6fc7a391532c01919f0c535d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? | Event: which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-german-election | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-dor-lil-2025-03-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will ...
yes
1
ucl-new-bar-2025-09-18
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?
76,632,912
76,632,912
af85a911253da8c85c9044146c076add6e124652
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x9d4065037269cba951b678342c438a07cb77a24370756c284113f5f2106290ec
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-dor-lil-2025-03-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-rma-mad-2025-03-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-psv-ars-2025-03-...
yes
1
bun-hof-bay-2025-09-20
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?
76,715,849
76,715,849
151fa29d9072f7e577cba6c794891f66f90a7ae7
0x3640fbff38379c783b599f46794bb635db7dc8fb
0x205c911dd5625db0ad1bb97eeb76665dfc432812135d40f6617aa45768ac1318
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-rma-mad-2025-03-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04? | Event: ucl-psv-ars-2025-03-04 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-03-05? | Event: ucl-fey-int-2025-03-05 | Choice:...
yes
1
bun-moe-ein-2025-09-27
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?
76,998,289
76,998,289
7ca8ccd85948d637120a87b788c107e72f5534b6
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x05014b6073018829bc2dc891dc788aa2835ac119500c4aa9867b5da1e8b09de0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
no
1
arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?
78,877,715
78,877,715
a58125939cd6a27c424b118f90420f4ef8305699
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xddaf004da62839adef62f63fa9474dec998f3fc87929781d97df12346baa2770
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ...
no
0.396176
arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10?
78,877,729
78,877,729
9a4d32d5f7a8f16d3f24406215e45e00c3aa86a9
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x52327f03f78ab8bb6cd6da3571230be3e7882d85eb3cc5b1dfe9db21ae09560e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 Target market: Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10...
no
1
arg-aaj-bel-2025-11-10
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10?
78,877,795
78,877,795
2b331edd5c7b178a0b4fdff51f241a234264aa7b
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x5dc3862c4fecf6485669f7ad9c002a799bd060651d1cb01a187a4d0a717fd427
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?
78,877,838
78,877,838
2e37c8966d3f0c4a449a27e2abc82e0bef8da0ee
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x0ee001dcab9a30399d482a1dcb4748afe27c79f2cf9043317a3694e8b59afeb9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?
78,877,845
78,877,845
987ef4c70ac01a362296abb7644b7f55c26f524a
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x97ff2647eead48deda01ad7d5b504e2e51a410e619cec2039bddbe0a03bcb36d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
0.388629
bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12?
78,963,438
78,963,438
a6e6d7b5411f77f389993728ea57acd6cafc640f
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x633f00659167ce8341416340fcb7ef5a79c742b5454eb3a0f83b6871e8d6d711
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-12?
78,963,519
78,963,519
7920720a5b33f40d5e786a9f03e1089e2d19d066
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xe391613febdb7c99111ee8b3ffb856aa6e99b033fc6b37da8f343a70d2cbdf62
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-and-alb-2025-11-13
Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13?
78,988,993
78,988,993
7b2d4059ce07cd310095ac171bbbd029875ebd66
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x98a69eee30afe8da11938da20f13ea809d908f6f8c8d4b741372cd7d8b86b3a5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-nor-est-2025-11-13
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?
78,988,999
78,988,999
aaf69f45826f0f7414b272e212ac9d83a8b64d92
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xd8d1f5655ded7cf49b8b6dbe2d91ac88a66eccfcd3ff0ee87c41ce16f1749245
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?
78,989,005
78,989,005
c02c23902aacbdae39e700b0430dac7fd68cdba1
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xc66ab4ea9b3838ceb5c43ed86b49243a9ae2e846331a876a164ebea249187f20
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
yes
1
uef-eng-ser-2025-11-13
Will England win on 2025-11-13?
78,989,011
78,989,011
92fcdc2ed82bfabe2a23377d324743a46394faf4
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xcc14160a924394312c29ddd81d3bdb1beff7a15a423a8b4627e9b6bd608b0fe2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?
79,033,140
79,033,140
3c557e048eac15ab84df591806e0ad9e2aa681f5
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x45a3883121261dec24f63ac4cdf545c40d2c6fc87113f518ccb66ef86b2a839c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-hrv-far-2025-11-14
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?
79,033,146
79,033,146
c414e03c5f9faf300ed9f5730057b997ab585766
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x6afd212e0ee7326ac82ba868db4a4ab6b5498548765905f0b0b2014da2c323d0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-lux-ger-2025-11-14
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14?
79,033,151
79,033,151
1b8bc18e039e0893be194b5c17647f334b41ecc7
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x1e9b6a14d19857d5b3a12b27f262ec5864016c410a4e939325106e94cb1fd7fd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
indiana
1
cfb-wisc-ind-2025-11-15
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana
79,076,999
79,076,999
d64065f141693213848fe5cef068ea886ff9522b
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x6b4975584f86098f9672c7d8dfd7ce2b185f582206727eaafd07285cf92dfeda
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15?
79,077,051
79,077,051
28a56fa9769938f709f25a9ab8b938df11da3253
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x2782940243313a63441048fad0f4e03a10357a6ce580696e94089ae65e0fa5ec
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
commanders
1
nfl-was-mia-2025-11-16
Commanders vs. Dolphins
79,109,858
79,109,858
2316cb51d44cdcbc3c3389c7f628ec50a31d3488
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x345b689321562b66c9a2ba4cf19976a3a310e6f558aa26c5a31d25834c261915
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13
Will France win on 2025-11-13?
79,144,825
79,144,825
7e3184e649f26f37ffce8466a363a0f83daad465
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x02845376345cabf28fd8f90707ecf97d298e13c8555909ce6b75bbf66653b7a7
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-aze-isl-2025-11-13
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?
79,144,844
79,144,844
bf159a8836b27e0ed2410a44c13d92b7b484fb75
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xf8a259d1dff91e01cbc77dc066bc659fcee70a6941afd506f35907de35683301
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-arm-hun-2025-11-13
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?
79,144,847
79,144,847
7d218d8feded2489f87dc9d5c8cb38b996427fb2
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x9a1e320340488a0a26b7bbe5ee16e108978e969434c19c2bb53023ff7ce33034
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
uef-mol-ita-2025-11-13
Will Italy win on 2025-11-13?
79,144,850
79,144,850
acf64d3121c5591a7e18a2f069e5f2cf4901ad17
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x29d884539571f848c16abc91c49dbae8a428714f0a57bcc29bd557707d9dd0b2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2025
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
79,179,383
79,179,383
c012c2d22ba8020150681d924c32e7672e804e80
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x8d5190b55ca3afc7233bfe8eb1cefe0e0101f9c71def551c5f495eae8421cb9c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
yes
0.671748
bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20?
79,293,502
79,293,502
e4a88cd07bd3c03b1933e4b06a3cb1881232f609
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x4782a916f605e7074d71084256846640628886306ca66eae164f1ea812fc1a15
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20
Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?
79,293,509
79,293,509
c579a7aead4eadaf289ef2420d584c6c42536ff6
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x6ed505dd271cfddb95c2d539f0a452c14344366e5405c6e54d232e6e4a6e36bb
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20?
79,293,515
79,293,515
7a112f974c357226152f1b5a16bb5ccefadc875f
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xd4671d00551bdc94bbd7b73bb8b8cbb6c17f835bf1f9871a69f5acb8e7f5eaf5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?
79,296,913
79,296,913
6607303d2122665aec3736c6cbc46c1714c813eb
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x23fcdf728d11fb06bed9af1a4a34401ae81b9daeee8c14363e6553f3179e737c
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?
79,296,918
79,296,918
695497412127eb85458e35d01b1cf93abedefc17
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x86d011ac6d25ffc179248bb336df3295cb1023f6132bf31d0bfc33b062cb307b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
0.983305
bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?
79,296,928
79,296,928
1591836ee49665ed8fd1817a852f08125ea02674
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x45a961d4d74e6a0a9d77a9b98a094e6b7afe7045218d582ef0bad56cfc7b164a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
mex-tij-jua-2025-11-20
Will Club Tijuana vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
79,305,520
79,305,520
d94f5f5df895a541d6d3474172966bfe0f17637f
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x7dd3dc447a408da3e31235e2b269ab48bb04e9e1d74461b20bcff67ff4804370
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21?
79,335,396
79,335,396
5e90aaf34930deb7cae7400622b972c83afdfbca
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x7026bb0936f7f44290f67a160e0fd44d8ce2268711842158be0c641ca24d3f35
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 3. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: ar...
no
1
bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21?
79,335,401
79,335,401
6c4cd551e135ae49523c247747b92ab4e557f52d
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x8b7d0616fffdff0b7a7f0b5c2a85e5d2c7dc570332e8c29773e0d01fda53bc18
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.39617615898952224 2. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-aaj-bel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a ...
yes
0.555556
elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21
Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
79,335,406
79,335,406
736b3493fa520d9ac93c661fb79caea064727f12
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x7138499fe717342e400c306ad41917fc47712a5422b645658d17cef93f8dccbd
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10? | Event: arg-aaj-bel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sars...
no
0.107143
elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-21?
79,335,412
79,335,412
205d740bb50df0e2424afd223c11f4b61858d601
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x940996716ec583c08ddc4807f15a7318329d11d1fed8e5346569d2f7548835db
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw? | Event: arg-rie-ind-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will CA Mineiro...
no
1
elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21?
79,335,417
79,335,417
1e3bc2b8bf19f13ffce810f940ce59c37e690bcd
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x71776ccc28bf38b08a89519d045a0c0b4334d2b49f48cf7d24c0a73585b06ec5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw? | Event: arg-gim-vel-2025-11-10 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12? | Event: bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.38862915604565423 3. Question: Will Fortaleza E...
no
1
lal-val-lev-2025-11-21
Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
79,336,092
79,336,092
29baf9d60ea2f796d2d9aa8daf4deaf11b8ed2d7
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x23dcf25f55983932be3638dad0c80ae1ff2f48ba9749a9f28f8a9bcb161363c0
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12? | Event: bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.38862915604565423 2. Question: Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-12? | Event: bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-and-alb-...
no
1
lal-val-lev-2025-11-21
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21?
79,336,097
79,336,097
8b2b0fe6dcbf7e1bf835de3e476a2f76f23ed083
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x5ed55218fede48c79c4b2cee6c4620de4b7ac17296e94ba19cd41b0e0a6f360d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-12? | Event: bra-cam-fec-2025-11-12 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-and-alb-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-nor-est-2025-11-13 | Choice...
no
1
tur-kay-gfk-2025-11-22
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-22?
79,363,013
79,363,013
b87378fd7ab6ef2e3abe999a801f5915d304ddae
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x7a31e9168d3a2c8d4dc59f39701cf053769a0d373467448ecd539047cf684b93
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-and-alb-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-nor-est-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no ...
no
1
kor-gwa-uls-2025-11-22
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,363,019
79,363,019
b473517751271ee06798837e1284a637882f8ec6
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xa9a5663e8a15149d3f7573f373290162cbb84737d41d56c358fa9673794f34b5
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-nor-est-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will England win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-eng-ser-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes...
no
1
kor-any-suw-2025-11-22
Will FC Anyang vs. Suwon FC end in a draw?
79,363,025
79,363,025
d53414bd2c0271e110e6bc98ab561eed1d146212
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x92f01431afea8314413adcd141e8324d83e057821075895734cce42e86a84a90
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will England win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-eng-ser-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Poland win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Choice: no ...
no
1
kor-dae1-gwo-2025-11-22
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,363,030
79,363,030
1a91ab3a96e341d8677dcad77d1faeef2e9d7c61
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x33c39dc120cb63435fd3bcc1dcd868bedc53efcab39a80b5a14002ffb08076c4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will England win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-eng-ser-2025-11-13 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Poland win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-hrv-far-2025-11-14 | Choic...
no
1
kor-seo-san-2025-11-22
Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-22?
79,363,034
79,363,034
2bf8b390167c28c82f938a5be03795276f520284
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x2b0f60073972565aa57aaf8d060f9c5364d154a6ff9cb592638e36b81a3c52bc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Poland win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-pol-nld-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-hrv-far-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-lux-ger-2025-11-14 | Cho...
no
1
tur-kay-gfk-2025-11-22
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-22?
79,363,587
79,363,587
15447870baa421881dc593e3479ba7df4f70b1ea
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xe17d337500aa53aafe106d5e92d0f9f5a5dada2ad1f55195d18d8a371e7e25be
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-hrv-far-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-lux-ger-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana | Event: cfb-wisc-ind-2025-11-15 | Cho...
yes
0.622462
elc-cov-wba-2025-11-22
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,227
79,368,227
cec2c30da7b5d9be950bf92fe6c266bda3bc1e80
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x2bc59855a3638b1d6ff7f784cfd7084b4be61231e744511b9dc2dba219dbeac2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14? | Event: uef-lux-ger-2025-11-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana | Event: cfb-wisc-ind-2025-11-15 | Choice: indiana | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15? | Event: uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15 | Cho...
yes
1
epl-bur-che-2025-11-22
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,233
79,368,233
46a1d338d0a9dd87b0c63816445821e47e8916ba
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x355f7a1d813163a3c680e4b979db87c2879c3a2c6824e6671a142244ae146865
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana | Event: cfb-wisc-ind-2025-11-15 | Choice: indiana | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15? | Event: uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Commanders vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-was-mia-2025-11-16 | Choice: comman...
no
0.38226
nor-tro-rbk-2025-11-22
Will Tromsø IL win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,239
79,368,239
0172baca36fba9ece447abfac3788cfe111e8e5f
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x09aed7365ed1586685a5546d845bfc66a1e98d50ab0f1e5375fbb3138a195a94
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bulgaria win on 2025-11-15? | Event: uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Commanders vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-was-mia-2025-11-16 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will France win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no ...
no
1
elc-cha-sot-2025-11-22
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
79,368,245
79,368,245
a7d27529ef08423486069d6bd36690e54e50175d
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x7cf0f34759e339e454ede0f2232bf93b792d259f95d2de17f0b6061c9ca0c3f2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Commanders vs. Dolphins | Event: nfl-was-mia-2025-11-16 | Choice: commanders | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will France win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-aze-isl-2025-11-13 | Choice: no |...
no
1
epl-bur-che-2025-11-22
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,250
79,368,250
987f298a9c223c1835ba0dcf91e5dd067e5b65c4
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xf5207508633fb8e2ef8c4f18ac22e6037cb8f29e2a7bb75ed307bf1d2300ead2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will France win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-fra-ukr-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-aze-isl-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-arm-hun-2025-11-13 | Choice: no |...
no
1
elc-cov-wba-2025-11-22
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,256
79,368,256
f0c69cb82a4e075a9a4015a5d62e49f6776f715a
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x6693186b775382538986330bfee6938b243acf7bb9f8c20d358d0458c1d476aa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-aze-isl-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-arm-hun-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Italy win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-mol-ita-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | ...
yes
1
elc-bri-swa-2025-11-22
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,262
79,368,262
e0d521c8a5c174950e6f336aae1880311e4c4d76
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x87dd8e75144adf5896cecd9da3ea3171dc10975f6d77c04af69085ccb439bb79
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-arm-hun-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Italy win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-mol-ita-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-i...
no
1
sea-cag-gen-2025-11-22
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,268
79,368,268
ededeb7d73b8d77b12d472357f8a54c6f0fc53e2
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xf719ec1efeaba6f3f115198384808dacb081565f1eee01e8978fb5d03f1158bc
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Italy win on 2025-11-13? | Event: uef-mol-ita-2025-11-13 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: br...
yes
1
bun-bay-fre-2025-11-22
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,274
79,368,274
61b44bf86021dd52e308518110450d9e82e6f61a
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x54915b6a065ae5afc34a373c6c40fb99ae2e04edc220ad6d27635362e03022e2
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November? | Event: what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2025 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6717477310236117 3. Question: Will EC Bahia vs. Fortale...
yes
0.526718
elc-cov-wba-2025-11-22
Will Coventry City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?
79,368,280
79,368,280
16a7b75520b9fef1522b7713d1e4037390c2dcd6
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x8671753e16b9fe2fee04654b93f1fbc5a27ea9ca71564bae0d4908bb8d448b0b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.6717477310236117 2. Question: Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20? | Event: ...
no
1
sea-udi-bol-2025-11-22
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-22?
79,368,286
79,368,286
f4b9dc27d915e90263a88ee89ef98d256fce5f2d
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xf6cb71599c7eb2b78e3f382b9b4f050b453708f6a14fd86f4e924a8f99a8668b
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? |...
no
1
epl-ful-sun-2025-11-22
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?
79,370,522
79,370,522
53223573b235d5d21ab84451bf5d64566724344f
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x8fd453a30b631f0e9472819b47704771c0b7d03972105da15b14f2b58cc49ef4
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will EC Bahia win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-bah-fec-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: ...
no
1
lal-bar-bil-2025-11-22
Will Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
79,370,528
79,370,528
a241ece62898cc399c59bc5e5497dbbb010096db
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x6bc015795691e1a162e1b729960c85346387ad1a7c09338acd51790b7e98e01d
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-...
no
1
bun-wol-b04-2025-11-22
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?
79,370,534
79,370,534
5c6f4c46f06d5a3b17f306ac864aadedcf61f4f0
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x9a907af70788c328f961cdfe4dd527a293941288e60a1f19906f04deb6dfd628
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.983305458111579 3. Question: Will Club Tijuana vs. FC Juárez end in a...
yes
0.489072
sea-fio-juv-2025-11-22
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,113
79,377,113
bf9349534ab127a56a0d778e48da906a2c48c3dd
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xc2446f5f502f7a1592f3c1cfbeb0ce277ba8b446c5e38186e6593923cb025db9
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20? | Event: bra-cor1-sao-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.983305458111579 2. Question: Will Club Tijuana vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? | Event: mex-tij-jua-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-1...
yes
0.144829
epl-new-mac-2025-11-22
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
79,377,118
79,377,118
b4a287ca7b5354db41f8a225cb6bd008e18071fe
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x48e643a93888373f93e64dfc22038fa38e9f0eef2d5a739e76fc8ab0881dc1c3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Club Tijuana vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? | Event: mex-tij-jua-2025-11-20 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21? | Event: bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21? | Event: bun-mai-...
no
0.478493
epl-new-mac-2025-11-22
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,128
79,377,128
d9c346698a657f32399b6c701137ed7fada69186
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0xac5e2c0bc09508a6fb466c06241e28810f65e585a3089a8ecefbcfd35ebf8345
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-21? | Event: bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21? | Event: bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?...
no
1
tur-gal-gen-2025-11-22
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,153
79,377,153
31ab56e505eeaf83a077c728eaaa9f16b9e88e69
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x456dae4a37178d636d9574bbad4830fc169990324a1a0a40332829379ea2f136
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-21? | Event: bun-mai-hof-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5555558791111991 3. Question: Will Blackburn Rover...
no
1
es2-eib-zar-2025-11-22
Will SD Eibar win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,158
79,377,158
b919048de7126272b8cbac026139a2b0dda68413
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x5a095b0e876f74acaa3b08ef1307ebcbc91c94c27f885daef0b62642ce853be3
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Preston North End FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5555558791111991 2. Question: Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-21? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.10714285121173235 3. Question: ...
no
0.564202
sea-fio-juv-2025-11-22
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
79,377,163
79,377,163
ccc63bdba7da4e0abc69931ea37de22a2fbca49b
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x5a1991e69f29e70102f4154a8cf01f83951c22ea99656b91360c2b36ffc45315
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-21? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 0.10714285121173235 2. Question: Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in ...
no
1
sea-fio-juv-2025-11-22
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,178
79,377,178
02c8b534cdddbae5b63ab084988d5da3ebc51e65
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x1c075490e264701cb3dc33293b63557cc40d0e835ae6c1c125b8b9f9cd9d7d80
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-11-21? | Event: elc-pne-bbr-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | Event: lal-val-lev-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21? | Event: lal-val-...
yes
0.911204
epl-new-mac-2025-11-22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,188
79,377,188
2de1d4640e700ba1730e10e5a06b06cb5d432a50
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x53bb8ea93e85d70b8185029f2f315c41aeae70c1b0611276ee97e85b1415b4fa
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Valencia vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | Event: lal-val-lev-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21? | Event: lal-val-lev-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-22? | Event: tur-kay-gfk-2025-...
no
1
bun-koe-ein-2025-11-22
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-11-22?
79,377,193
79,377,193
37dca7af9365a4cfe61f1464d181d56b88a4a1cf
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x5ab11c63e981826523a6c9043d23fceeeac581b651395e8c10a2d659f63ae47e
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-21? | Event: lal-val-lev-2025-11-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-22? | Event: tur-kay-gfk-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-gwa-uls-2025-11-22 | ...
no
1
mls-vwh-laf-2025-11-22
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,396,163
79,396,163
09cf1433084e942b96feed46defeaafc183b9886
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x87191be7911f9b3628ef1cfa437123ec72352699e0a0079fd4c81a25ff26fe5f
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-22? | Event: tur-kay-gfk-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-gwa-uls-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Anyang vs. Suwon FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-any-suw-2025-...
no
1
ere-her-goa-2025-11-22
Will Heracles Almelo vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?
79,396,189
79,396,189
d7e5a4d36bd06b9f58aaec9ccc162078c50fb830
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x47d3dc2e6c30955ef3fa433cef18c34a2c702cb4b8f13c59879d59aeaed56433
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-gwa-uls-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Anyang vs. Suwon FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-any-suw-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-d...
no
1
ere-spa-sit-2025-11-22
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-22?
79,396,200
79,396,200
e509d4bcf2ce04b7a760c337b232e6e136810448
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x1d0fd31d74b6013a6a64e997015cc58e1a1a9557bf73aa68adadc4d6ef11248a
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will FC Anyang vs. Suwon FC end in a draw? | Event: kor-any-suw-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-dae1-gwo-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-seo...
no
0.454398
scop-stm-cel-2025-11-22
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-11-22?
79,396,205
79,396,205
23fb211d298b540847004ded486478bac24b7594
0x366c74554db8ea58ad71bff0ffd659d3f1808184
0x565b79a09e4a8f0f6c926cee97e06fbba0223cad789cb0e77c191f8e0e9d0c95
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-dae1-gwo-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-22? | Event: kor-seo-san-2025-11-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-11-22? | Event: tur-kay-gfk-2...
no
0.138889
lal-vil-mal-2025-11-22
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-22?
79,396,215
79,396,215
d4ef516def53c27c81b29f18ba4ce75941870ce5
0x3676d395e94ad0a2ca17813dc9b2bbaff87dfd35
0x638aa7498ce6909809c875b7ab15c5fd1b708a709218fc09f74de4745441d700
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: None Target market: Question: Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? Event: largest-company-on-september-30 Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...}
no
1
largest-company-on-september-30
Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30?
61,992,651
61,993,061
5efa91384425ebaf2fc234bb386c84939d3ed3a9
0x3676d395e94ad0a2ca17813dc9b2bbaff87dfd35
0xefc8187a5c4e994a5c224a47dc4774db5706a70352f6995b2c79af45a0f7dc00
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | Event: largest-company-on-september-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison? Event: caroline-ellison-prison-time Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target ma...
no
1
caroline-ellison-prison-time
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
61,993,414
61,993,666
c344e55a5cd66270bf52734f78c486508bf32200
0x3676d395e94ad0a2ca17813dc9b2bbaff87dfd35
0x9ce25435a01fa26daec2a3ff4e72b4eada10e08ee416e995f22215e22785d000
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | Event: largest-company-on-september-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison? | Event: caroline-ellison-prison-time | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 Target market: Question: Fed decreases...
no
1
fed-interest-rates-november-2024
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
61,995,482
62,749,875
4c9aba3673d9bfef5388f61d4b55b1b3fd0ed653
0x3676d395e94ad0a2ca17813dc9b2bbaff87dfd35
0xbc425549dfa96c89beefa96229584077863ecb1f29ef56f7249e378795a34500
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | Event: largest-company-on-september-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison? | Event: caroline-ellison-prison-time | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Fed decreases interest rat...
no
1
champions-league-winner-2025
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
61,995,824
61,995,895
5e90938b25391049684051491f49a5d6f7820e1a
0x3676d395e94ad0a2ca17813dc9b2bbaff87dfd35
0x74880de173d72c0662dba2194bbb04f31d1935c929999f7ad4bb4c1820538700
train
You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale.
User history: 1. Question: Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | Event: largest-company-on-september-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 2. Question: Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison? | Event: caroline-ellison-prison-time | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0 3. Question: Fed decreases interest rat...
no
1
la-liga-winner
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
61,995,949
61,995,949