sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27f66c9480d64bc80e0333ff68d1dc6dcd665c08 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x68deaaa45bd415d5dc0b5539e3fd45428a32394a10c5425bdf2caff885b14508 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Verona win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-com-ver-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | C... | no | 1 | sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? | 78,340,985 | 78,340,985 |
8d2fb2cf3cf72293e683dc7cfdd2ad712c527b00 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x962179493e942b0b38342388fc7e2309322d5fbc6bd63b34284fa65adf172914 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Como win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-com-ver-2025-10-29 | Cho... | no | 1 | cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,099 | 78,341,099 |
5e4aa23eb2b2f1aedbc48d0b51506b2623ec9c8e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xaf4be0ad6a4cf20f67e3aecd63cc921c6d8c9005b1eae5548ec3ede6a8973cf7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw? | Event: sea-juv-udi-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Como win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-com-ver-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 ... | yes | 1 | cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Will CD Yuncos win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,137 | 78,341,137 |
ada5b62a3a24962c138be96bbffbe3e382ee4686 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3560fc950945dd4e56be6985c9842589946bc61b886dd208be7354af2e8412c0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Como win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-com-ver-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-hac-sbr-2025-10-29 | Cho... | yes | 1 | cdr-atl-mir-2025-10-29 | Will Atlético Astorga FC vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw? | 78,341,138 | 78,341,138 |
ede61669fa594f05e13f096870f1c70c923d57ce | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xabbb5d58ef982c5baf526800086bdd2a20497b9e1af1ee8506912e3c8b7c40d4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-hac-sbr-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-bra-bog-2025-10-29 ... | yes | 1 | cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Will CD Yuncos vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | 78,341,138 | 78,341,138 |
3bebbdaa0111548b88fafdc67874760193519348 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x784cad9edfee85e0e2d4ee029470de7be59878306821401113a6a682fcc809a2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-hac-sbr-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-bra-bog-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-... | no | 1 | efl-tot-new-2025-10-29 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,175 | 78,341,175 |
0deefadf5d574ea665cdced26fc0988e8d7cf98e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5d151bdb287bce281d84fe1a3680fe8660c4fa4ef63a14d01c5300fca87ef93f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will SK Brann win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-bra-bog-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29... | yes | 1 | fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,240 | 78,341,240 |
27943219ef39d7fa67253011cc9d0979caa0f24b | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xe81588f1da9c4b836e284c6b4aaf87c35c5e9f0ffc62672783b2624a50f17ec1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-gar-elc-2025-10-29... | no | 1 | nor-rbk-san-2025-10-29 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,240 | 78,341,240 |
9f567ac20a86768a305e6368b14786e77e049772 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x11ce5a535cf0d524d31efb7d6de170822d87297cf44ca7f4b29b968a7d44fa50 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Metz win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-met-rcl-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-gar-elc-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice:... | no | 1 | fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,283 | 78,341,283 |
82dbda765fc447ff6b47840ba5a2afd9ea07f94d | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x1f4af965be62d55d12c6b29ff14b62015bf754438db1f2c5ff99c8d9efbb2204 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-gar-elc-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29... | yes | 1 | fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,326 | 78,341,326 |
004e9199ab9c1acdd55a8f1a298a75fec556d28e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xa88e6de8d199b6c04f7c27067541f1e37f6628509d2b8db0e9d6983f8789bbbf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-lor... | yes | 1 | sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Will Torino win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,326 | 78,341,326 |
abf875be2a58a0527b4459319ff6a4996b44611a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2faecc19f59fa4f4a9a5ead83541903efd0c27f332e2628255a5d62295b4b4da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in ... | yes | 1 | fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,367 | 78,341,367 |
acf99975f0badd31b9f88f5ab9c1aa421584b281 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xfa35dbcfb62fcd335c3644a193fc0c9f9b781319b6db9916149a74fbeef6c440 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi vs. CA Osasuna e... | no | 1 | fl1-olm-ang-2025-10-29 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,407 | 78,341,407 |
378a1e2a8d6ee9299fc880b742d3c96a3856017c | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5584b886e7d53a631796e189f68605df4d68798b10ce2320e9a3b79a0c2a182b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Lorient vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-lor-psg-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-10-2... | no | 1 | fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,445 | 78,341,445 |
93ac1c5d0b0338ae73ce2077ed51fa7de503529b | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5ea23ff61db82ad624806399c4e11088d578fb8b9edc41f05ab732b29a7026fa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PE Sant Jordi vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-20... | yes | 1 | fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | 78,341,445 | 78,341,445 |
e79c559e15b1772440a0c54957473a641af2bca0 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xe56efe21bee39272d05a7caa861362a95972fb6d4e6ac791d884206c6db05438 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jor-osa-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CF Lorca Deportiva vs. UD Almería end in a draw? | Event: cdr-lor-a... | yes | 1 | fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-29? | 78,341,445 | 78,341,445 |
bac695461b0915e1ed568de5f6107f7d69e42db5 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xc2e9f7235152afc031a4ec42cec7b73e90fc522b923593d1c49c7eca4ca59c27 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ogc-lil-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CF Lorca Deportiva vs. UD Almería end in a draw? | Event: cdr-lor-alm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-lor-... | yes | 1 | efl-cfc-wol-2025-10-29 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,342,256 | 78,342,256 |
d98bf1ea8c234914f439b1b88b00905e3d48b9fe | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x162d9ebfb3a8e4925785a98c488a168787e68cf45455600e187149bb01629fe5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CF Lorca Deportiva vs. UD Almería end in a draw? | Event: cdr-lor-alm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-lor-alm-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-j... | no | 1 | bra-flu-csc-2025-10-29 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29? | 78,344,680 | 78,344,680 |
1447bc3f395e6e929291d948cdec5215714fe876 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xb14761ce5985c653404fe909a574277a779c28bfbcb574302e7aa2640306c32b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will UD Almería win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-lor-alm-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jus-mal1-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-a... | kings | 1 | nba-sac-chi-2025-10-30 | Kings vs. Bulls | 78,347,098 | 78,347,098 |
c28873d3c1e9a93ed14c1a1be0a9dbbd2baaeb7b | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xe7f0f9b8c424e412b0e677a1e3e10a4aba797851a500d424f0eb4ce130b6e3f5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-jus-mal1-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2... | yes | 1 | sea-cag-sas-2025-10-30 | Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30? | 78,379,836 | 78,379,836 |
b97a602ecad70e17b6385f5c8f640b41b1cf9921 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd690b24625f8c944b968b1691d6c84e02b4d4078efecc83740455d83bce6345d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025... | no | 1 | spl-ahl-riy-2025-10-30 | Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30? | 78,380,157 | 78,380,157 |
6b20f8a8460071b8b8040b4ce85cd0b2728a170c | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd1decd54fd4f994236a50ccfefeb7e1d204280b17ec6427fbd83e162ef3ac3bf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Inter win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Inter vs. Fiorentina end in a draw? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | C... | yes | 1 | sud-lan-unc-2025-10-30 | Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-30? | 78,387,550 | 78,387,550 |
d6d00e50e044e7a146a1c61ce19112175c27e868 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x961bad6090111ee160a7ff56b93e393822ee774a3ad37bb131482dd8c263cfb7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-bha-ars-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Inter vs. Fiorentina end in a draw? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-... | no | 1 | chi-sgr-xin-2025-10-31 | Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2025-10-31? | 78,412,579 | 78,412,579 |
4d4db236cf6d071e64eb44d8da8b68eaae83b823 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3b2d325f747302b3032d1046007f0274750458dec9d8cb7d802352bb662ec931 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Inter vs. Fiorentina end in a draw? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-mnc-swa... | no | 1 | rus-csk-nov-2025-10-31 | Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-10-31? | 78,424,963 | 78,424,963 |
abce0c8d546ac64f868701edcbb38304f5345c16 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xffdc82a879a8dbef493a59f5bc8fb3f2de140fecc28fd70fb1a8c3ffc09d42f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-int-fio-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-mnc-swa-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | ... | no | 1 | ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Will PSV win on 2025-10-31? | 78,425,651 | 78,425,651 |
b9bdbb24dbb2e7249e4ee0e917c810f9e94ad3e3 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3091f61f5f1fe2c4de2a3ecb2c7841a03197bc028e9452fc50fc05094b7c8e71 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-mnc-swa-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | Event: efl-mnc-swa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? ... | yes | 1 | ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | 78,425,686 | 78,425,686 |
66eb381aa56713581df3cfa4862f44d4c58a2b12 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xcbe0c95414afa1e8b9be5e67c9557245427dea55430675fab1f7c48b9f9d7961 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | Event: efl-mnc-swa-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3333333333333333
3. Question: Will US Cremonese win on 20... | yes | 1 | ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31? | 78,425,724 | 78,425,724 |
e7d99afa8909eaa7bb3d68f46c00b4e68e59a36d | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x53b222f3228ca40f86f3ab5d27b6ee961af4f2e66007d6257f2e2c8dd05d0f8b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cry-liv-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.3333333333333333
2. Question: Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-gen-cre... | yes | 1 | bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31? | 78,426,363 | 78,426,363 |
95b87c35a2ee71a2c19f6e355eb61792531a0148 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x6cd3cb91baf6005d33b0d37afa3dc8293ce2142534b12956a0b4d4e2eb108787 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Choice:... | yes | 1 | efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Will Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC end in a draw? | 78,426,931 | 78,426,931 |
9278406fb59c7a1a92cde6caae476813487f58bd | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xb3fc459ec20d64c1ef8f683736adef131c3a6f7808d862a9aa99a5fef4d8cb1d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Genoa win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-gen-cre-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-2... | yes | 1 | bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw? | 78,426,931 | 78,426,931 |
092919dc3f7290e196badfe6b4c7b2813bc61965 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xbe36aa356dced8ff1ee3d9d2d0e248741ec9fdb79419d7b0967e3cb296c12058 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bologna win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Yuncos win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-... | yes | 1 | efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Will Forest Green Rovers FC win on 2025-10-31? | 78,426,931 | 78,426,931 |
5a0b27eee18de81342faeb97d56bcbeb574276a1 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x28c0571f06f0f857f41e51cabc184a0cd4203dbabe939b1bc491ae84d44a3ffa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CD Yuncos win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atlético Astorga FC vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw? |... | yes | 1 | lal-get-gir-2025-10-31 | Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? | 78,427,270 | 78,427,270 |
d7783b42ed93c664d77bebf2a08733891bc75e5e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xbcdacbc9ad1d18fb52e026e82c838f0e3b28aff71afea26dad4bd2f9bfec8577 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CD Yuncos win on 2025-10-29? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atlético Astorga FC vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw? | Event: cdr-atl-mir-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CD Yuncos vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end i... | no | 1 | efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31? | 78,427,372 | 78,427,372 |
f23612ab2b8eee5f5ceaaecd17da63f54491b0a5 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xc19b48b28fa7337ac43af61d8f5625bc8e72c0859e54a8d69b69bf72b7139bbe | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atlético Astorga FC vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw? | Event: cdr-atl-mir-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CD Yuncos vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle United FC... | yes | 1 | por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | Will FC Alverca win on 2025-10-31? | 78,427,720 | 78,427,720 |
bdb09fe59048e6b0544dd00c148ab9e21412762f | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9d71e0d617528877a4e09048e529ee507adfeb24120fff6a76fd62188cdd0820 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CD Yuncos vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | Event: cdr-yun-ray-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-tot-new-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-29? | ... | yes | 1 | mex-nec-san-2025-10-31 | Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-31? | 78,436,476 | 78,436,476 |
ad7016b494453da1471fb11a896eb4c7f85734da | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5cc5163098e34b7a8e555661ed5dac9200dfb9f0b4bc154047f526aa17044014 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-tot-new-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Rosenborg BK win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-rbk-san-202... | yes | 0.540896 | bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-01? | 78,437,032 | 78,437,032 |
7eccc6b62f67c944bd65e5b50fbbc1d1066c1b74 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xfb45c9362041b7b22c699e25350718d30e6bb25041f7e55de9af71bf8a018635 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Rosenborg BK win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-rbk-san-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-str-aja-20... | yes | 1 | kor-gwo-jeo-2025-11-01 | Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,443,287 | 78,443,287 |
7cc94ca4254eb9b5faba700565c047285de71370 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x030679e3a4fcea8c84d0bcba54b3c5a92bb3fd6f9f04d17152d3e536b79a77cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Rosenborg BK win on 2025-10-29? | Event: nor-rbk-san-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-20... | yes | 1 | kor-dae1-seo-2025-11-01 | Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw? | 78,443,392 | 78,443,392 |
3ba8f585c6f462c782484e251a3c8044c149cf00 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x4fe77bbd58dff5bf27e52b4eb05577fb339684d9beedb4bc347d31b881e19564 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-str-aja-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10... | yes | 1 | aus-new-syd-2025-11-01 | Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,445,166 | 78,445,166 |
fd71defa7c9864eed004f33a158063215b8fb007 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xa729099a55ee4d4b0ab3f6e6992a52c49ef98b6e247b9faa41b86b163be01095 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-2025-... | no | 1 | chi-sha-jin-2025-11-01 | Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,448,833 | 78,448,833 |
19edc901864a1d8332fae021412e591db78c26b0 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3d275e5cb27ebbadd3bd6948d33218bda3c6248b75bcd70b5bdb99c603d712e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Torino win on 2025-10-29? | Event: sea-bol-tor-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-ol... | yes | 1 | elc-nor-hul-2025-11-01 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,457,055 | 78,457,055 |
51881284b6663c56e218bffa52f6ed883b91cf08 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd0484014d434e3960d7b908afb5994db5eb488650640a28ef132a7b2b689dc5b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-tou-ren-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-olm-ang-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: f... | yes | 1 | lal-vil-ray-2025-11-01 | Will Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw? | 78,457,559 | 78,457,559 |
d5e6c4738d7ab3347d1106a01d41da9c94afd306 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x510b1df66d6aad4d30243bf2e1fb0b9a34c791753b50c0bb519978f280164494 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-olm-ang-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | Event: f... | yes | 1 | sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw? | 78,459,781 | 78,459,781 |
12057db87b54ff18d1d988e27c236477eb96ff9e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x1ea319af55cbfc8ffbf7d596bdddb9626c2caf742c070ff6a6a78b92add55e1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2... | no | 1 | sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,071 | 78,460,071 |
d98df0b7bca5d3c0e47fc64c4d7762db93509ab4 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xa0053562823a0ea5782fb0f5c1567ff70dbf216d16795feb16cfa5bbc2089f45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Nantes vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event... | yes | 1 | sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,115 | 78,460,115 |
4d91968ff8cd32777e15d5fbd001d6d4dd92213a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x988bdc12e302f8dac5e2f7d19a7fd7cfa3fbc3acac36b71a47fc6eb3f7d1a89a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Nantes win on 2025-10-29? | Event: fl1-nan-asm-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cfc-wol-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: bra-flu... | no | 1 | bun-hei-ein-2025-11-01 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,592 | 78,460,592 |
17cdf9f7eaf904560cff5cf3c9b6ad3e0c044559 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd403f2112d5beb29f82838d44b9e0da50fcd53b3cd6e64ba72b9eef428da5ee0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: efl-cfc-wol-2025-10-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: bra-flu-csc-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Kings vs. Bulls | Event: nba-sac-chi-2025-10-30 | C... | yes | 1 | bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,629 | 78,460,629 |
049bbce08bf0bd2fa659100bdd3c87a8463e35c2 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x26d3455f3afb423091ee8641305ccaf1c3f0d65802b9b2d63ae415c63f456b47 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29? | Event: bra-flu-csc-2025-10-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Kings vs. Bulls | Event: nba-sac-chi-2025-10-30 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sea-cag-sas-2025-10-30 | Choice: yes | Con... | yes | 1 | bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? | 78,460,739 | 78,460,739 |
6d53bb2268b3159a86959d8dd02d2ca9ae138122 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x1d7a654f84d6bc8dd6b51d12a46f9e344894387139fe81bc6bfd9cab9e6812e0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Kings vs. Bulls | Event: nba-sac-chi-2025-10-30 | Choice: kings | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sea-cag-sas-2025-10-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30? | Event: spl-ahl-riy-2025-10-30 | Choice: no ... | yes | 1 | bun-uni-fre-2025-11-01 | Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01? | 78,460,891 | 78,460,891 |
2016b7e3a7584c6abb6de2b7b5e5f6752f93425b | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xb1163e18f5fb7dc2c572004a5456100f08f71c513d51001bd1f7306a1d1d864c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sea-cag-sas-2025-10-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30? | Event: spl-ahl-riy-2025-10-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sud-lan... | yes | 1 | epl-cry-bre-2025-11-01 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01? | 78,461,265 | 78,461,265 |
f2a872ed5d092a1241a818999abd7292e164e337 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9aae685b56d36143cc25c6162ccbf3986b282f546b42d2c53ce3f45f86386d20 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-30? | Event: spl-ahl-riy-2025-10-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sud-lan-unc-2025-10-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2025-10-31? | Eve... | yes | 1 | elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Will Birmingham City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? | 78,461,301 | 78,461,301 |
38c326f36315656c840c3767b1202d89b9af43f7 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd942ecbd3281389f3e461292d729ecaf9d600a4761334ba37bf9fd72b457f0bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-10-30? | Event: sud-lan-unc-2025-10-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: chi-sgr-xin-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-10-31? | Event:... | yes | 1 | elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,461,301 | 78,461,301 |
3c278121e478c46944c1bbe7ab710b58774292bd | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9187dc03f782700a2da9641d2a870766f9b3430456027df6568d6b1e6d471120 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: chi-sgr-xin-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-10-31? | Event: rus-csk-nov-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PSV win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-... | no | 1 | elc-she-der-2025-11-01 | Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,461,410 | 78,461,410 |
b3ff90e13e678d4b4cbeb8d2bde907fa57403564 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2c6789c9431c99e009b89dc785b649472850e0bb0f89dd3793c8b5dd3acf28ef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2025-10-31? | Event: rus-csk-nov-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSV win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-... | yes | 1 | epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,463,987 | 78,463,987 |
9d81f9f010122b217a5ce13625fe9f46c914c006 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd608371cde69e478a508339ef02e033badb03e39ffe95a062adcf6366a98ff3f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PSV win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10... | no | 1 | epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01? | 78,463,987 | 78,463,987 |
e7ee6057ed35ba7033992dd6bc91cb3732826d5c | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xfa74466ca74f6fbd266e82a7f4980ded5a90d503f7be8eea651fd759ae9fc5b9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31? | Event: bun-aug-do... | yes | 1 | epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Will Burnley FC vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | 78,464,099 | 78,464,099 |
67eb513ade51fdcb697d2f5f00dc1f2660ddb729 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3a774977a7c45f48e9838f4353c551e25d5eec0604dc1a772d232bd4cb19bffb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31? | Event: ere-psv-sit-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31? | Event: bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC end in a draw? | ... | yes | 1 | epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01? | 78,464,100 | 78,464,100 |
2359c28b4ce6510d08d033f33dd7c21510a69c31 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3e5c6207058d1d84acedccaae83f6710c705b01a37371cf17b009c5afaeb5247 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-10-31? | Event: bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC end in a draw? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund en... | no | 1 | epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01? | 78,464,100 | 78,464,100 |
25bf3b1162caceb32f499dd6cd13795e099cfba6 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2b26d71d6e8573a49871770b4e302b77d7f2df65ac8dc52ef920fafb42e192ba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC end in a draw? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw? | Event: bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Forest Green Rover... | yes | 1 | elc-cha-swa-2025-11-01 | Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,464,713 | 78,464,713 |
da7fd8cdfd8998bdaf7f71e16ec24d50f613cf91 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x8446d01742f1c9028b2ab9cddc43129d9a71a8ba606d1c6a23c6578550a4accd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw? | Event: bun-aug-dor-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Forest Green Rovers FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? | Even... | no | 1 | den-kob-fcf-2025-11-01 | Will FC København win on 2025-11-01? | 78,464,982 | 78,464,982 |
0dc18ba7b572c28e3ee65b89c529ab5a2df356b8 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x433d28c27d8a0100f019ce17576d37253de906b09dd4b50c0edd51790e0e286c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Forest Green Rovers FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? | Event: lal-get-gir-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-... | yes | 1 | elc-oxf-mil-2025-11-01 | Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,465,210 | 78,465,210 |
6601721d8333f616b99d34a18ea649d9622fad92 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xde400851202b92b87810bc07d1fca450d0310b9fa06b8594e74e58e77939734e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Girona win on 2025-10-31? | Event: lal-get-gir-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Alverca win on 2025-10-31? | Event: por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | C... | no | 1 | rus-ros-akr-2025-11-01 | Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-01? | 78,465,889 | 78,465,889 |
6944bc4d834bc48e5856232c0fff03a02d4cb53d | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x51957460aeafdc44ff72f1069294e28df0a77b941de5c6cd32825befbdaba20e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31? | Event: efa-lut1-fgr-2025-10-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Alverca win on 2025-10-31? | Event: por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-31? | Event: mex-nec-san-20... | yes | 1 | lal-rso-bil-2025-11-01 | Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01? | 78,466,413 | 78,466,413 |
3009b59844a7515bdfd62ecc247ca75eeee9751a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xeab204cde1793d0c615cc6358f833c424724f6645ff02b09a10f5e7360e15540 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC Alverca win on 2025-10-31? | Event: por-spo-alv-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-31? | Event: mex-nec-san-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-202... | yes | 1 | spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | 78,466,583 | 78,466,583 |
69ada74a42214c1c8f445c37e86757884cab4713 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2bb03fd580717c486715ecc591570b67a274f014c3529031351dec127ff485a5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2025-10-31? | Event: mex-nec-san-2025-10-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5408961382543637
3. Question: Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ... | yes | 1 | spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? | 78,466,614 | 78,466,614 |
42222a6b6bd116bcd703386610091982989478a1 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xea80ffd068f792e6d3408f83b4fdbfb3ebb45132cc3d4f9eb5313a92e38606e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 0.5408961382543637
2. Question: Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: kor-gwo-jeo-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a d... | no | 1 | spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | 78,466,614 | 78,466,614 |
0f3c86aa5d8e6486bf8a0ff4129b727c800efb5b | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x0b3364f8f793047a5a13533bd5bb03bba05211f6f866f08d5d20bdd98ecabb64 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: kor-gwo-jeo-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw? | Event: kor-dae1-seo-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-11-0... | no | 1 | fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,467,380 | 78,467,380 |
c3b4af2374cc62bf26664d8e1d6e662d2d84bad9 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5a6e6f8119b51b7d79ffa87f960aef66e908ae82946f60f4bf71cf8ae05a3a6e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw? | Event: kor-dae1-seo-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: aus-new-syd-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Shandong Taishan FC win on ... | yes | 1 | fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,467,414 | 78,467,414 |
861aa777e75cc0c0cb08d6e607d123d360ea6db7 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x8c80a3b7fea85ae53ae38dd08058e8ebf8649efb9a0540db82e4747aab7bed27 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: aus-new-syd-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: chi-sha-jin-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ... | yes | 1 | por-cas-ama-2025-11-01 | Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,467,694 | 78,467,694 |
73a4b9bcb9eab2d30555f3a2e0955a5e3897f7ff | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3a2b8743b1d71bcf8ebce9c267e97fdbf0af977ffe4185b48833f1a690a40c07 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: chi-sha-jin-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-nor-hul-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw? | Event:... | no | 1 | ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-01? | 78,468,523 | 78,468,523 |
82bece6c39665b1eb6930d6d296e1dee68f8e636 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9cd04e5ec010f98408cf2a1ffd0c28e69a6de2c920a9a4bcbc4597bbd322002e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-nor-hul-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-ray-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw? | Event: s... | yes | 1 | ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01? | 78,468,523 | 78,468,523 |
da6084b007f775df0379a2e543fd273125adac2c | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xc5922099b2bbe5673254569f234cf365eea7dce99240a01e72c3cbeb6954f9ea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw? | Event: lal-vil-ray-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-ud... | yes | 1 | ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? | 78,468,523 | 78,468,523 |
62a807d8529f77817a79ede1a0d7a6ddb042c0e2 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x810d3792827891047ec398480858dbcf21523c96635e0ff71d0f3869ac6badd4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Udinese vs. Atalanta end in a draw? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | ... | yes | 1 | bra-cru-vit-2025-11-01 | Will EC Vitória win on 2025-11-01? | 78,468,630 | 78,468,630 |
784c18cf2986ba9f978fd5aeb08f391519f98d9a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x4062fe5894c157efed1ad6124fe7a4114890c30635463aae1d68b8e30a0f040a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-hei-ein-2025-11-01... | yes | 1 | fl1-psg-ogc-2025-11-01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw? | 78,468,666 | 78,468,666 |
4606251ef2ca7ebd70f94e40c230b2f2d550e644 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x82a2868f6e16f0f9b76568731430f56965179333a78c9f880faa673cb23c81e8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Udinese win on 2025-11-01? | Event: sea-udi-ata-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-hei-ein-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-... | no | 1 | fl1-psg-ogc-2025-11-01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,468,666 | 78,468,666 |
6b76614d2c6092cc7b1883837a89c487ffe333ad | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xe8ad2e466df6a4bd2ea866a01a816138acafc213d7c078b842feedc3ab1ec517 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-hei-ein-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? | Event... | yes | 1 | fl1-psg-ogc-2025-11-01 | Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01? | 78,468,666 | 78,468,666 |
8cb52db483f14a6fefb2695964de2934aef3bd17 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2bb86e22e79576f1a6d7f6c8cea2fd91f0d6eda23062f2320d0c85f3f5a60500 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-... | yes | 1 | sea-cre-juv-2025-11-01 | Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-01? | 78,470,410 | 78,470,410 |
dfecd8310986b886daadb8973db248763851c8c4 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9acff6e66e3a298906e0c6f8d53639d07758fafdb9832f93abda5f39cacd1329 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FSV Mainz 05 vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? | Event: bun-mai-wer-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-uni-fre-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl... | yes | 1 | sea-cre-juv-2025-11-01 | Will US Cremonese vs. Juventus end in a draw? | 78,470,480 | 78,470,480 |
39c47c097c60afaffc2933a961fad81ee196fbdf | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x5f5f0b66297b8f3f2c159d9d67bfce1be8cf7db6a3a131d5de1afb8745c571ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-01? | Event: bun-uni-fre-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-cry-bre-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Birmingham City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? | Even... | no | 1 | sea-cre-juv-2025-11-01 | Will Juventus win on 2025-11-01? | 78,470,481 | 78,470,481 |
8e269c94014d09c02770a593312cce65fed64e0d | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3a6a48d86c023cff45c84f8e776da754bf2d851c21ef9c36c469ca25f25b668a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-cry-bre-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Birmingham City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? | Event: elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-01? | Eve... | yes | 1 | lal-rea-val-2025-11-01 | Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01? | 78,470,834 | 78,470,834 |
332a6e2c45c2ec56453066f1fb6b9e0a1304cc2e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x4f0e3af7a565e45b19eb6e9191dab39bd41e00d2f7ed137259c427599700878a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Birmingham City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw? | Event: elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-01? ... | yes | 1 | fl1-aja-olm-2025-11-01 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-01? | 78,470,902 | 78,470,902 |
60e3b47c09c4496eb9bd5d7303f7064f5e916687 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x3727fbca83a7771df69f02bc54522fb119b0761bfee67ba3642635da9304a47f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-bir-por-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-she-der-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-20... | yes | 1 | por-gui-ben-2025-11-01 | Will Vitória SC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,471,610 | 78,471,610 |
d758ff7acf793ea73fcb03bb5b6d34baa950790e | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x51b6a5d8fc5aa6ce02c90ab14f8d1e0c029861517c92e03c6b63fb2d3f9e26ee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-she-der-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-... | yes | 1 | por-gui-ben-2025-11-01 | Will Vitória SC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? | 78,471,644 | 78,471,644 |
191264a4c0b9da557616e83aaa8136b0842e4153 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xc193c210243353083bd9c5cedda879c73135842ca47c59bf536eade57ca09408 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-0... | yes | 1 | ere-tel-exc-2025-11-01 | Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-11-01? | 78,472,429 | 78,472,429 |
2ba70dd8b5fc28288a9558e26d896967795f182f | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x72261e98ea4f7c0363c1007bcf3e8810499106c135bbaad7e03b39087fa3a976 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | ... | no | 1 | efa-wim-gat-2025-11-01 | Will AFC Wimbledon win on 2025-11-01? | 78,476,900 | 78,476,900 |
eb05035335d6f184069ba2a84e065a106381664a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x1cc11db2f1b5b7efab9c18ac9e2e3ab7b993855831747c8593f1aa5db857041a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-bur-ars-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | ... | no | 1 | arg-ind-cat-2025-11-01 | Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-01? | 78,476,935 | 78,476,935 |
50543b7e4ed5eebc9114140da4e41b7d5c19d23c | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x52d39de10277f2fba567aa62cd4f76eadaf1c0095a968b02d0c6758010d91dee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-cha-swa-2025-11-01 |... | yes | 1 | mls-nas-mia-2025-11-01 | Will Nashville SC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,477,455 | 78,477,455 |
909e4e1cc6601f986955deee35f09afe4cf95d75 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x368a864c2df1c48ee4f2fc5d77fcd52c468db2025a2c76dbca995eeddbcf8c68 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01? | Event: epl-ful-wol-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-cha-swa-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC København win on 2025-11-01? | Event: den-kob-fcf-2025-1... | yes | 1 | bra-fla-rec-2025-11-01 | Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-01? | 78,477,718 | 78,477,718 |
1099e372fefb9e42ea86f5359bdcca9c49c23537 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x4f1523c3ecb88a8caefe6dff7b18bfb913520783fdd521aee8fbdf96996d8d23 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-cha-swa-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC København win on 2025-11-01? | Event: den-kob-fcf-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-oxf-mil-2... | no | 1 | bra-san-fec-2025-11-03 | Will Santos FC vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? | 78,479,174 | 78,479,174 |
5ce29ac58ebc86f4d6ee59a98a16ca2980ced49f | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xe8aa9c0ea4cd310f18207a4c01bbc11056cc2228ae377513102b1bf0b7667dc4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC København win on 2025-11-01? | Event: den-kob-fcf-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-oxf-mil-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-01? | Event: rus-ros-akr-2025-11-01 |... | no | 1 | efa-gri2-ebb-2025-11-01 | Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,480,420 | 78,480,420 |
f98734862ccee0fe3302714c915ac9b20afc8852 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x477aadcc39f96d5781c8bc32a51b6b6722cca3bbbf8baf0095cde2a4f282ebe8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: elc-oxf-mil-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-01? | Event: rus-ros-akr-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: lal-rso-bil-2025-11-01 ... | yes | 1 | efa-man2-har5-2025-11-01 | Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2025-11-01? | 78,488,320 | 78,488,320 |
03aa295681f8485154d9483f08c3ca35d1f81212 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x2371a52d10a33ebdd015d3e94ddc041e2ff0fc13669adfae5e64804a36430587 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FK Rostov win on 2025-11-01? | Event: rus-ros-akr-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: lal-rso-bil-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-202... | no | 1 | sea-ver-int-2025-11-02 | Will Inter win on 2025-11-02? | 78,498,362 | 78,498,362 |
7c258518de8afc79c55b3e0605828d28b5db2484 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x8c27f6a79b404fd54d3bf86c3fb6e967f904d6eda831234e81dae1dc22305270 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: lal-rso-bil-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a... | yes | 1 | sea-ver-int-2025-11-02 | Will Verona win on 2025-11-02? | 78,498,362 | 78,498,362 |
53aa255c1cb27e6dcdc3069fac3a7369b80bad38 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xb287cac93ace0e73254b66886da3992cc19eaecd41160e31fe1c5237c2ddda39 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on... | yes | 1 | ere-gro-twe-2025-11-02 | Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-02? | 78,501,905 | 78,501,905 |
2b079f7366fdeb0f04f6bb08ff53612ae7144f11 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xfb6388cd03596cf8d1f2ea496ed8fcba4a626f82671ac6f5a50d9bbe060b16f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11... | yes | 1 | fl1-ren-str-2025-11-02 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02? | 78,502,639 | 78,502,639 |
756ff08ff0c4cf0573c55d48839f4d014d1a2d42 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xd4386d5944810dc17695771eeb2d3d760189933efd2fb684e417aa99bf3718b0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01? | Event: spl-nsr-fay-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: fl1-asm-pfc-2025-1... | yes | 1 | sea-fio-lec-2025-11-02 | Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02? | 78,502,802 | 78,502,802 |
94052c914eac641045a88b478920abf1369972f6 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x9d4207d499fff64d456b047cc232cc4c97d31cf446b7c4f635d6b3ff34cd7814 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: por-cas-ama-2025-11-01 | ... | yes | 1 | rus-bal-ter-2025-11-02 | Will FK Baltika Kaliningrad win on 2025-11-02? | 78,502,803 | 78,502,803 |
2406db0651c475df8d51f282d8e69f1c91abf8a7 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0xf87dba978626820b8201e8cc57649ccb668d84c768065d4d9f8e55fa7ed1f6e4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: fl1-asm-pfc-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: por-cas-ama-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ere-fey-vol-2025-... | yes | 1 | nor-ham-san-2025-11-02 | Will Hamarkameratene vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw? | 78,506,391 | 78,506,391 |
3832647774cf587d16e573580df0ed3810ae3c8a | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x45166f6b87ff825c971c525fa66f315efa25c1ef09ca33ebfebc925154272453 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Casa Pia AC win on 2025-11-01? | Event: por-cas-ama-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ere-fey-vol-202... | yes | 1 | nor-ffk-kbk-2025-11-02 | Will Kristiansund BK win on 2025-11-02? | 78,506,425 | 78,506,425 |
7e7979ad584f6b95a4fde0d61fbf5d878062cdb8 | 0x36aa3d5db8fcec0f74e1e16fb9f755bc5a99cd3a | 0x8820013b2875775c8400d0caf21d9b3bc40be8d2c5c4ca95427ea15e8c98df93 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01? | Event: ere-fey-vol-2025-11-01 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? | Ev... | no | 1 | nor-kfu-fkh-2025-11-02 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2025-11-02? | 78,506,457 | 78,506,457 |
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