sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3ffa123f9e7c541d991afe31691c94b748d3b9a8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x54f670c657d8a954dbfb926ec6a22a4876a3f15a7f5d5823f26971ab1a2a5256 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-ars-eve-2024-12-14 | Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14? | 65,498,949 | 65,498,949 |
79bf83b1af8f23a0028c2856d2f2d712c455f6c8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa110eff966e8ac8e6ba998e50b609bef0d86df7fa41893d23aa27cda802ff620 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-bri-cry-2024-12-15 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | 65,553,260 | 65,553,260 |
bc0af703830f4fe1fa75c98c97d03678056fc7e8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x3ae203481b1c0e6ff497aa7c12ab347892fcc58d4d5883f65ff34a2e13cab89e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-wes-bri-2024-12-21 | Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21? | 65,771,081 | 65,771,081 |
b9395ce0ea00d283f9bdabf5646689104bcd8e33 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x663a38f08261f801ab1b47670625eae330157ba81be0ed9a534e32a01ed77f52 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21? | 65,771,081 | 65,771,081 |
1cccd14de89bc707250a693731e7f9f30d61b8e6 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x836fa5a19c345bcaab166a19308736cfe456513ded192785818c61322bb522a5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21? | 65,771,081 | 65,771,081 |
b6b254f0766efea282d4e41c7af885d366df2b45 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa2610270667f42e7f7c006a28d6cfa01ac9e0214c481df706560cb6dc0de9c25 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-ast-mac-2024-12-21 | Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21? | 65,771,081 | 65,771,081 |
ba865f03f14c45c147ae71ee0900902ce18dfa7d | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x275d1a9eadf860ef7caab65c4a1b54ccdc10f995dd787e201a6e6f38650c6d39 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-new-ast-2024-12-26 | Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
238bfa8508544d56aa069d32c5d72d65d32cf03f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x548a5cb5a632f4a5d1a69dcb2e72789b42709a3bc3507ce96fe60a5ed5dc30b8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-not-tot-2024-12-26 | Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
acfd240dde534a96d3e441329df00186f3817ded | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x5d6af2454c799de67232dcd3e06ba217fe49424e2cfbe67a7b5ca31779e20247 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-mac-eve-2024-12-26 | Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
70cd4a0ee0d11858dc1c0c4b4fa3f33f7a032ef4 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa7b2ea402bfb7fcdf1a1bd4dd682c89e6df9d6bf9bc2f2b5098c742c3188b6c2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-che-ful-2024-12-26 | Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
c4048abc405f966b2403db769580b064c96b2137 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xd3b418f8c657b3e523496187d3564c5b35c081e0c4143a589b147aa89d2d0e64 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-wol-mun-2024-12-26 | Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
22a15222cff9d9e0713329bbe70f6629c23f0aa8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xd9ee4a93fc4c5849a5918c9b4c9997dcaa3df9c2f2efc2bda26b75cd650aec13 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-sou-wes-2024-12-26 | Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26? | 65,970,304 | 65,970,304 |
6546aed9a1143dc194d127512d653986062f950d | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xba2e013b4e8ba3e300720637a0f55c10c9e68573e411ddcb6deb013a4c4baf39 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-tot-wol-2024-12-29 | Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29? | 66,080,722 | 66,080,722 |
c87cf5794a805ecaaba6e363fb07f245cc29d75f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x4c73b5d03913904f64baa213cf4ba49d029f063535c5588e9f9a93933c41ab6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | 66,338,477 | 66,338,477 |
7566947595a2b4386a3037701f1f39ee08baed97 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xeb12460f83e80f213e06e26864e14fb6b79a467f0838912daa0c46d377a09834 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04? | 66,338,477 | 66,338,477 |
3ba8a15986e4a90fd2eddec1352f1477c192ac75 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa09a74d8a172b8dbc90722aca024c89a954743b063a7ab75ccab589a32d23602 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05? | 66,413,088 | 66,413,088 |
fdf886a2c4e577d2d025c4e5931a316a5aad3262 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xd3b5e480ff00889945ceae1c891d6eee68c3880d66290c142f256a55cc0d94fc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | 66,413,088 | 66,413,088 |
e2c5d8810207ac35f108989d8d72b3b74e0b7922 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x2c73adc0dcd4ec3a1e4145ae2231641a47bcb6a790a69e83927787554dd69d9c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18? | 66,870,402 | 66,870,402 |
0ab8d4147bfe0cd07db35fccfca84a69dec1c92f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x72f8c5038a64ca156fa9c96391fcd2aebd6cdad595e41bc208a439a06c2e27e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-wes-cry-2025-01-18 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18? | 66,870,402 | 66,870,402 |
a587bd930a93383a9a83fc23a40f63e29bb2c7f4 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa3a22f6bcac52af83616e7861e46784b9e449a3590202706e61cea41a0651e6b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-new-bou-2025-01-18 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18? | 66,870,402 | 66,870,402 |
39f786a2fa39783f5257e6681281de86e82b7054 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x6e4b19613f967a89fc444e253aaa26bfecc571b2e6f5230998666a1c9469150b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Will Everton win on 2025-01-19? | 66,917,967 | 66,917,967 |
443d6499d95db4a01a52e147ce3a72641d16b4c8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x9b4359769c0e36f1a15d42e7ac45aeca402526467da3b8d9c7f44cdb9fb51fee | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois? | 67,030,789 | 67,030,789 |
63e7f7b8ef0b3eb20433521659e3e21333d0b42c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xfc7a6b8d488cb8415b4528cec97931133a27c95a912bc60cb348bedcb108c241 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk? | 67,030,789 | 67,030,789 |
f216908cbd180bbc5e347f27ad59561c0e449526 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x61d2e43320d15f24271f45ae5f098aa4611a63c77ae691ad3c42907032bcc4da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw? | 67,158,999 | 67,158,999 |
f76efc9eb96e38a9a20e3480841fc09b3f2b3933 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xdfbdfaed2388d43ffc8351197ff0c985418b0ed2ca2586eb7f10fd81b81ec537 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Will Everton win on 2025-01-25? | 67,158,999 | 67,158,999 |
52c9e6f83a207641b5103d01ed4adb2da1cc71ce | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x42f84d28c6a4b69882131da7240e1f158e51c7f8663bde1cc03b551746ddf96a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-ful-ars-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz? | Event: ucl-losc-lille-vs-sturm-graz | Ch... | no | 1 | epl-bou-liv-2025-02-01 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01? | 67,440,053 | 67,440,053 |
4572c11ad5aebbc9cfb5e457a96ba8d85ab1b7aa | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xe2c97e0100991397679a54631ed214d798d76627d88c5abea989ad06274b92f4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08? | Event: epl-tot-che-2024-12-08 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz? | Event: ucl-losc-lille-vs-sturm-graz | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen? | Event: europa-league-v... | no | 1 | epl-not-bri-2025-02-01 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? | 67,440,054 | 67,440,054 |
00b740e582506dfc1fd80aff0d4ff145d824e5f2 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x539de9efad59e3bc5d4b4268d6aacd1482f56e45ee1a645dbb8d170b621eb100 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will LOSC Lille beat Sturm Graz? | Event: ucl-losc-lille-vs-sturm-graz | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen? | Event: europa-league-viktoria-plzen-vs-manchester-united | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14... | yes | 1 | epl-ars-mac-2025-02-02 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02? | 67,484,776 | 67,484,776 |
76ccc583a93261c231613d0b824ad32369145da8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x0627c2b543de2327a8b3bb629458184dc4f77cc5554fe5dc733f922979f2f999 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United beat Viktoria Plzen? | Event: europa-league-viktoria-plzen-vs-manchester-united | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14? | Event: epl-liv-ful-2024-12-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14? | Even... | yes | 1 | 2025-nba-all-star-game-winner | Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament? | 68,036,998 | 68,036,998 |
decdba8470c198ba7be12dea5a88da24c6ccfab4 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa9a46c3f60fd652aef010f005990fa8bd1db85487a3a7ae762cdad6cbd5b51cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14? | Event: epl-liv-ful-2024-12-14 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14? | Event: epl-ars-eve-2024-12-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-bri-cry-2024-12-15 | Choi... | yes | 1 | nba-slam-dunk-contest-champion | Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest? | 68,036,998 | 68,036,998 |
3963305c4fa831f9334bf21ddae606d79c82cc36 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xe01645ef00c21ccf4ac3d96ecab06f5af74165a83bef076128b8f64b46449faa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14? | Event: epl-ars-eve-2024-12-14 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-bri-cry-2024-12-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-wes-bri-2024-12-21 | Ch... | yes | 1 | nba-3-point-contest-champion | Will Darius Garland win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest? | 68,036,998 | 68,036,998 |
ae671da01560551fa0daecb43c0ff5867b55a3a2 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x586e7ee86609bd6ea5b71bddff7ea7877100c03d22ece5a336baa98aadacdb1a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | Event: epl-bri-cry-2024-12-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-wes-bri-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-... | yes | 1 | champions-league-winner-2025 | Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | 68,137,496 | 68,137,496 |
e738001573e7c94c0e4dfc3eeb9aa9ded2ebe1c1 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x20a581f0e69886782ab4d7e4555c608de9af81bac046eb0a09e9c7a411f6c433 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-wes-bri-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-12-21... | no | 1 | epl-eve-mun-2025-02-22 | Will Everton win on 2025-02-22? | 68,253,787 | 68,253,787 |
5cb65957ca7b14bd078fd6942ad61d476d74e70c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x6d17971cfea990442802982408a4fbcf181f550bdad95aed07dd002b00d74dcb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-ast-mac-202... | yes | 1 | epl-mun-ars-2025-03-09 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09? | 68,914,338 | 68,914,338 |
0a5cb714aff1b83109807d52294e98dd68feab3f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x164db2bf0f331cedd9cb0cca8fafebeea11000f2a596be9979e36e068fae2473 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-bre-not-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-ast-mac-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-new-ast-2024-12-26... | no | 1 | epl-ful-liv-2025-04-06 | Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06? | 69,980,512 | 69,980,512 |
3903c95c6bcd43de7dc5164c7d34f5f9dfc0fe3c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xeba50b6a5e1a5a682c8aaf34152d4eb91e0410d59117392f09ac2fca9735c366 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21? | Event: epl-ast-mac-2024-12-21 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-new-ast-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-... | yes | 1 | premier-league-winner-24-25 | Manchester City wins the Premier League? | 70,323,693 | 70,323,693 |
a9e332777f52bc6ef8f594184f6525ff3e3006ca | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xeade2674cd8738540f820f8f48bb915219478aa67cd7543bb50934b8ab5beb9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-new-ast-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-not-tot-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-... | yes | 1 | epl-eve-mac-2025-04-19 | Will Everton win on 2025-04-19? | 70,608,590 | 70,608,590 |
2658595a7b95c564d6ad96234d6a8db81d002410 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x315fc6febd655422da98976eecbf14733986b76ab71747b562d1bebfa711ff45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Event: epl-not-tot-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-mac-eve-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw? | Event:... | yes | 1 | fifa-club-world-cup-mamelodi-vs-fluminense | Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense? | 73,255,645 | 73,255,645 |
a7fcf70b7b140a2e47330f88ed5a4b289521aefd | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x377922278f13bbb77464175a681a6a5262bfdbcb9203c937f77687b078728ac7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-mac-eve-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw? | Event: epl-che-ful-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-wol-m... | yes | 1 | f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | 73,702,839 | 73,702,839 |
ce11b97a6d02252d640c0bc6c342cd4a9ca01427 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xcc00a9e2a84b802c24f0dcba4b6ebe1927371beb0b4feb0e07f0a0d52a88a7ad | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea vs. Fulham end in a draw? | Event: epl-che-ful-2024-12-26 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-wol-mun-2024-12-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-sou-wes-2024-... | yes | 1 | f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | 73,702,839 | 73,702,839 |
b67693554129026dcf3e8bd2c6577023e8f9cf26 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xc043d3db96a7268f9c2ca0e4e504be6fec34efc654a4f1d151e916260b3d88a3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-wol-mun-2024-12-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-sou-wes-2024-12-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29? | Event: epl-tot-wol-2024-12-29 ... | yes | 1 | f1-hungarian-grand-prix-pole-winner | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole? | 74,732,003 | 74,732,003 |
feb345a02a5e71d538355e9cf5f18e1d1c2d5bcd | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x399890015969b1084f6e4196416b8bc4d472f30cd65bb2e0c1a57d89d3efdddc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26? | Event: epl-sou-wes-2024-12-26 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29? | Event: epl-tot-wol-2024-12-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Choice: ... | yes | 1 | f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 74,774,975 | 74,774,975 |
fbe3cbc7559b8a96a1a5cff5076bd3e22642ce52 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x6d81d5db456924f3e1f09d6650f3188604507c331361a64666467142e2df945c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29? | Event: epl-tot-wol-2024-12-29 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Choice:... | yes | 1 | f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | 74,774,975 | 74,774,975 |
9a3db54969c9c654cbed711f794eda9967f3cab7 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xf4b3608e4c8066958a403212662dae7ea2852b46ff3e8fcc0326ed0402729df2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-cry-che-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Choice: n... | no | 1 | epl-liv-bou-2025-08-15 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15? | 75,272,389 | 75,272,389 |
a1f750ddbb5d9f3765ba8eb9a74736aa5b1eeb38 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x3af58f23c63082c38178b17e5b634d61b9170fa3aa2a54e15ca914c0b96a66b5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04? | Event: epl-sou-bre-2025-01-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Ch... | yes | 1 | epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-16? | 75,286,734 | 75,286,734 |
174ab91392d5efd5fc3b90e63c37b0d9965fe82c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x4aa6ba20cdb4db38011d097ee7bad1abf5cae5efbc38c630b8d4a64d872af50f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18 | C... | no | 1 | epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16? | 75,286,734 | 75,286,734 |
b6db2d1d390cc7cbe68f88f2e0d63d4455c41b9f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x183949fc1d588171c51f767830a200f5199a1dc29e78a30fb24a99eac3742c92 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fulham vs. Ipswich end in a draw? | Event: epl-ful-ips-2025-01-05 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-wes-cry-2025-0... | no | 1 | epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16? | 75,286,762 | 75,286,762 |
f95bea9168829b138469e82b7c416135dba95ee2 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x25f96513332f0b14ec5f389ac08bc6ded1e96e62023505c55e82dd9ec0822e11 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-bre-liv-2025-01-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-wes-cry-2025-01-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-new-bou-2025-01-1... | yes | 1 | epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
2141ee43e154cfe8bd62e50a3293d8559b755b88 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x69bf4f8aa2acb131126f0e552f7b5bf1d1e4de09e9271d7b745da48fb5f6b611 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-wes-cry-2025-01-18 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-new-bou-2025-01-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 |... | no | 1 | epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
e9abb4be5a9586d8c21e95cee50315ca4864a11d | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x780a1f8aa4c91a92d14a16c81aa94eaebfdac640c9fec475aa8ff20e1550f94d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-18? | Event: epl-new-bou-2025-01-18 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois? | Event: ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-... | yes | 1 | epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
bae3ee04d481e4fccda4edc3e584c3fcf1b71cff | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x83fef6809c77594736233884fa9c7dc58d2b824ef633ead703133ceb784d6754 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-19? | Event: epl-eve-tot-2025-01-19 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois? | Event: ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk? | Event... | no | 1 | epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
337f18501bc5531af7d7202757288b6d7e4714d9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x9cca0cd4d6c510986659a750acddf47e39713c08866f7a3c63c8dd5bdc9a5065 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Stade Brestois? | Event: ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk? | Event: ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brighton vs. Ever... | yes | 1 | epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
240d7d9b8da9cd2f508f80e06837a0184085d3b9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xbbbf1bfb70267bfe506528e6935c2bf7c3e1ebb66febbf932d733c46ed2f1850 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk? | Event: ucl-shakhtar-donetsk-vs-stade-brestois | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw? | Event: epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-25? | Event... | yes | 1 | epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | 75,365,999 | 75,365,999 |
0fe5ed3c3eb84adbe4b14a3a63946a7640d6cd63 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x330f7eb4e8368c923c8e161c33527d14c496865fb11fdeb183450769c1356f08 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton vs. Everton end in a draw? | Event: epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-25? | Event: epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-bou-liv-2025-02-01 |... | yes | 1 | epl-bur-sun-2025-08-23 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23? | 75,570,141 | 75,570,141 |
d60cf5ae310a1cbd67d48a3fa95d4f67bbab8bfe | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x7525341716fa8a043ad1a19afc7dcf99be8911460a17e167516a95d2c44d9335 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-01-25? | Event: epl-bri-eve-2025-01-25 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-bou-liv-2025-02-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-not-bri-2025-02-01 |... | yes | 1 | epl-bou-wol-2025-08-23 | Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23? | 75,570,141 | 75,570,141 |
ff9d0f1657549373ac6e598e57aa122cfdcafc39 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x601cd732f899d4fa680bc40b521ed9d2212af181fb108b6eccd066434931e868 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-bou-liv-2025-02-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-not-bri-2025-02-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02? | Event: epl-ars-mac-2025... | no | 1 | bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23? | 75,594,472 | 75,594,472 |
94b7effa034eaefc1c052fc279762ab5de9afcb7 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xe71175d3df3b9872640104f807d35e444994d8f5ebc4b6122d482d102ac6df51 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? | Event: epl-not-bri-2025-02-01 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02? | Event: epl-ars-mac-2025-02-02 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?... | yes | 1 | bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23? | 75,615,059 | 75,615,059 |
e5373b750ed4077d72e1ffe59961478e17276cdd | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x76c49e53b35cca9e0027555e380f457ba9dabc6af18015125a0ab36269a6b950 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02? | Event: epl-ars-mac-2025-02-02 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament? | Event: 2025-nba-all-star-game-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 ... | yes | 1 | epl-sun-bre-2025-08-30 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30? | 75,860,423 | 75,860,423 |
115ee3cf8c3156a685954082d43ffa5d3e2a1f3c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xad9049484e451b17add24dca5766882fea3f1111650466bc9bfc0afeebb99863 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament? | Event: 2025-nba-all-star-game-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest? | Event: nba-slam-dunk-contest-champion | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Dari... | no | 1 | epl-che-ful-2025-08-30 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30? | 75,861,009 | 75,861,009 |
00aad3802ddbdf96f0087d108da572b0a1fcbefa | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xe168faadfaab707aa088d9e502d258f6d4627635e73e912afdf50975491f6770 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stephon Castle win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest? | Event: nba-slam-dunk-contest-champion | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Darius Garland win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest? | Event: nba-3-point-contest-champion | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester... | yes | 1 | epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | 75,861,009 | 75,861,009 |
a0de123e61a572cd9ec1e02617aec699124a6a25 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xf6d4e63ec7e76b88daed13c55a528b90380fc15bff0e3b3b7192e6090673fbfb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Darius Garland win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest? | Event: nba-3-point-contest-champion | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | Event: champions-league-winner-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2... | no | 1 | epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30? | 75,861,009 | 75,861,009 |
34a60b8b4d67a9f82c291107c5b6343058fd2c9d | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x0b505cc80e991077fe0723f2295804a1fb61faacda3a7762680d489e705ae6dd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League? | Event: champions-league-winner-2025 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-02-22? | Event: epl-eve-mun-2025-02-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09? | Event: epl-mun-a... | no | 1 | epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31? | 75,890,786 | 75,890,786 |
623e63e54cb8ea3b1d996e3538fe601638e0a6b3 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xffb68ad066eec65246df81e3c5b8f493beda913988827db379276de0db1c3ede | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-02-22? | Event: epl-eve-mun-2025-02-22 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-03-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06? | Event: epl-ful-liv-2025-04-06 | Choice: no ... | no | 1 | bun-wol-mai-2025-08-31 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31? | 75,895,485 | 75,895,485 |
7ea81a731150469f2311b8897f6a409a8b106258 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xf9dbfae17f61432d3c843a6265d6b001f62eee0a1e58ce3b5a5a0dd10ebd91d3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-03-09 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06? | Event: epl-ful-liv-2025-04-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Event: premier-league-winner-24-25... | no | 1 | lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | 75,900,157 | 75,900,157 |
b701879e2eb0865582aafeee18b5dec9cac818b9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x16431ff8b4ecc554845702eb77248cd637520dd3240bb2750d8b0a201690a3cb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-04-06? | Event: epl-ful-liv-2025-04-06 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Event: premier-league-winner-24-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-04-19? | Event: epl-eve-mac-2025-04-19... | no | 1 | lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | 75,915,441 | 75,915,441 |
b7c6f91be4a83be5687fa64eabe91c5457dc974e | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x9666b0f6276b182fadf1ef3a7a99adbde2f20ab783f714731a87e1791f7d68a8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Event: premier-league-winner-24-25 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-04-19? | Event: epl-eve-mac-2025-04-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-m... | no | 1 | fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31? | 75,923,615 | 75,923,615 |
21cf6ca64c16f3698a65b5e77ce8309af1e4a519 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x7f48d9194a4f94d299e850a07e59f4a6436b828446e2c92f58ea6a01264c460e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Everton win on 2025-04-19? | Event: epl-eve-mac-2025-04-19 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-mamelodi-vs-fluminense | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? ... | no | 1 | uef-kaz-wal-2025-09-04 | Will Wales win on 2025-09-04? | 76,075,223 | 76,075,223 |
0bcf38b4640713d5ccf96da63f254f92a40b1a29 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xd6a64b60f47774b171ea074302dbccff1ea939737fa7eb3e662a2b34ac7de539 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Mamelodi beat Fluminense? | Event: fifa-club-world-cup-mamelodi-vs-fluminense | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win th... | no | 1 | uef-lux-nir-2025-09-04 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04? | 76,075,223 | 76,075,223 |
5f5865b1bfcbde9e9ae7628d21d7b05ef9f987b9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x887e1f7c688d0f804d4c7d1211ed97378816cdd6ffa1742d3191350cb63eff7e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lewis Hami... | no | 1 | uef-svk-ger-2025-09-04 | Will Germany win on 2025-09-04? | 76,075,251 | 76,075,251 |
827950bd950d7d9f3907fe17477b1ce82b44905e | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xb7cc92c99baca52edc6efbba3081ca8110292c9c3fefab96901091893b9d1694 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Event: f1-british-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: W... | no | 1 | uef-lit-mal-2025-09-04 | Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04? | 76,075,251 | 76,075,251 |
0871f811aa2dc90fac24def9d4b6e8d982edfa2b | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x13d3d1efc7a130e3e0bf2557a3ad3d39d17d1682c911f964aa1648bbb7aa8bd4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-pole-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questi... | no | 1 | uef-mon-cze-2025-09-05 | Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05? | 76,113,181 | 76,113,181 |
13399ad4382ee2ffe2ec0bb0be591e2e6080aa5c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x703e2599364196b942c1f075f624001afaa0b76531f1c4b71fd03b5f48264e74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will L... | no | 1 | uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05 | Will Israel win on 2025-09-05? | 76,113,181 | 76,113,181 |
453a4153f551520b166ea4ce6ab2edac4136eac9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x94be603ec98902bbc1a046c0653f4040c0da81235c527e6609c61f68acfb2791 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | Event: f1-hungarian-grand-prix-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15? | Event: epl-liv-bou-2025-08-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-16? | Eve... | no | 1 | uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Will France win on 2025-09-05? | 76,113,181 | 76,113,181 |
1b5d8cccac0b0ec8a1e7bbcdeb3025682c484e57 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xc3169dbe03555842f0e5f965013a332e84186dda250c7efecc3bfdfa768b482b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15? | Event: epl-liv-bou-2025-08-15 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Cho... | no | 1 | uef-che-kvx-2025-09-05 | Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05? | 76,113,181 | 76,113,181 |
dfa09c086241e10502557202354f51257f6ca115 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x081ea3b27454fc64167dd2448be41aad44be99dae4249ccf3d65bdad244a46f4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Choi... | yes | 1 | uef-ire-hun-2025-09-06 | Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
882629858de4056920e185b84dad27365957f95c | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x7b3c964da374af9075f2171cb1f48fdf316e1d1cacac5166a5ba3d03d8a6d027 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-tot-bur-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Choice... | no | 1 | uef-tur-esp-2025-09-07 | Will Spain win on 2025-09-07? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
bccff69d7f3ce17c0971beeda16ba2b534f8bca9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x7b5854c97eb1acd60fbf7542bed02a74c92d730d4e0a60222bc0fc9a9851af9a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17... | yes | 1 | uef-lux-svk-2025-09-07 | Will Luxembourg win on 2025-09-07? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
221049aee0a69d141555f2f5cdc4e503fd5552c5 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x808ac96a104cb81a79d0027c66df283c25aadb1958d592b07abfb12fca89dad0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Brentford win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 |... | no | 1 | uef-geo-bul-2025-09-07 | Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
c68571849d42e2a057b9d294ce210a21c4c53382 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x86f67c540608528f5db61617d056ba1890dbab92dd77519891666657cd8b7600 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-not-bre-2025-08-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | C... | no | 1 | uef-arm-prt-2025-09-06 | Will Portugal win on 2025-09-06? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
e1a8dac27eaea285000bbc24b65ff3409a386b10 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa98cc87153c284cdadaebe67001ce63737f222b282fafec6afa7057a423cf13e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-bri-ful-2025-08-16 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | C... | no | 1 | uef-pol-fin-2025-09-07 | Will Poland win on 2025-09-07? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
d9dc8283e6c41d064eadf2ed26402622270664f8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xdca651d00d5faba06f324523260d9a0be28acf055ae33cd008f1f376b0dd14aa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-mun... | no | 1 | uef-lat-ser-2025-09-06 | Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06? | 76,246,297 | 76,246,297 |
fe37d88c703355e2e6e1b9bfa2243764884534fd | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x6131be08cf78a449afe4429997b01e794d23c699a45e5fa5479bdc1619f1d6a2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23? | Event:... | no | 1 | epl-cry-sun-2025-09-13 | Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13? | 76,419,498 | 76,419,498 |
46d6905d5b53256910923c16b0ff0085a56010b8 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xef9f6953b9be7ebe624fea24d0ebf2e4a0d33ee16697ff275873ee2078ea87f6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Event: epl-mun-ars-2025-08-17 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-bur-sun-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-bou-wo... | no | 1 | epl-ful-lee-2025-09-13 | Will Fulham win on 2025-09-13? | 76,419,504 | 76,419,504 |
d32aa3767a49e2a73aa295fb25d9777780587d72 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xe72b53785cb37281013b06585f049e5ea61570608223b9563f985a317dc15775 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-bur-sun-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-bou-wol-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-0... | no | 1 | lal-lev-bet-2025-09-14 | Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,056 | 76,472,056 |
77de6e3a4ac5e71498c08d2a3e237362c94c2dee | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x0656c73b782f5a69acd827353913ef341bc6db54e514dbb87d11d4ee51da39b6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Wolves win on 2025-08-23? | Event: epl-bou-wol-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-08-2... | no | 1 | epl-bur-liv-2025-09-14 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,101 | 76,472,101 |
e402253665bbb787e9842fc0befebab15e53ee21 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x13e317d6639bf82b2659c6c1eb6153b1c5c441238cb645af300ac5510c1023b4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-sun-bre-2... | no | 1 | sea-sas-laz-2025-09-14 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,101 | 76,472,101 |
c3a239be0a913517e0981598010b9287e19861e6 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x74d047a24512c5a16d8b91d1bf4ef0a4ff6a90c35d7c5f98a180506ebb9f268f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-08-23? | Event: bun-pau-dor-2025-08-23 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-sun-bre-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-che-ful-2025-08-30... | no | 1 | lal-osa-ray-2025-09-14 | Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,101 | 76,472,101 |
912e4a6f4ff275f122ed86169a3ab81551e6563b | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x774c912a1bc4ac49a2416bcd09ffd45e89021f55f82277af6fc6faf765c6616a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-sun-bre-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-che-ful-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 ... | no | 1 | epl-mac-mun-2025-09-14 | Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14? | 76,472,101 | 76,472,101 |
b9ef7b52c7f57b4a3dcf86b9877372ba346c1cdc | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xf7024c6dabba3863f8cff51725a6f479bf0914c97d3ed9997a7dc5b733436087 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-che-ful-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun-bur-2025-08-... | no | 1 | ucl-psv-gil-2025-09-16 | Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16? | 76,544,380 | 76,544,380 |
442bf488871d9cd93f04d5dd17188ab569ad110a | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x15115478a64fbe5910f338dd6fcfcf059f2164477f0dffc8d712fc0b12a99c7c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-we... | no | 1 | ucl-kob-b04-2025-09-18 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18? | 76,644,016 | 76,644,016 |
c90955d13aeb37cfeb3c9fd868c4a79b0e900432 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x4259ebbcfb77b75d5b63d1551290ee074c2102bbf20762d7f12b28b72cbf4050 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-mun-bur-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31? | Event: bun-wol-ma... | no | 1 | ucl-bru-mon-2025-09-18 | Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18? | 76,644,016 | 76,644,016 |
244f539927f47d305760d2bd5e543a38095279ee | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x3b20206584ac090a1e32278ca7c02a296e4fde8050774a8a2e44e22597509ee8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31? | Event: epl-not-wes-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31? | Event: bun-wol-mai-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-20... | yes | 1 | ucl-bay-cfc-2025-09-17 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17? | 76,680,815 | 76,680,815 |
f5ea7af6063c366b0a9c1d254a2f6933877f146a | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x7bdfa2d7ae3b82c5e4a06827cb4903c2d2eeeb0fc9a0c433db26e3ea79791c6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-08-31? | Event: bun-wol-mai-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31... | no | 1 | bun-stu-pau-2025-09-19 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19? | 76,680,815 | 76,680,815 |
6db487e0ff50733854e12b30fd777a7b1195a79f | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xa95bda98964f533dafdeee3ad0788cffaf3b1f12ce07bfa37265c940e30696ba | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-bet-bil-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31? | Event: fl1-ang-ren-20... | no | 1 | fl1-lyo-ang-2025-09-19 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19? | 76,680,815 | 76,680,815 |
37a7d74de6629bd7e8030d722cea81dbdc4dae49 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x54498a0d67d739b6934c60737e04761f3c18ed32f314e4dcdbbcb10f4b22e2ce | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? | Event: lal-ray-bar-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31? | Event: fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Wales win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-kaz-wal-2025-09-04... | yes | 1 | epl-wol-lee-2025-09-20 | Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20? | 76,702,284 | 76,702,284 |
68b2af310af0a9e89e27261630810608514aee0e | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x262da56221882bfad212e93864104e6a010325665c3da417daedc574913c3bd5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-08-31? | Event: fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Wales win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-kaz-wal-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lux-nir-202... | no | 1 | epl-liv-eve-2025-09-20 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20? | 76,704,674 | 76,704,674 |
d60acbbfaee179dd0507e30d6aa7d265a64c386a | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xea82f433bc23bb91d664058aab2ff9ce8bdf1164ebe4a42963d9f0bceac6c0a5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Wales win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-kaz-wal-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lux-nir-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Germany win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-svk-ger-2025-09-04 | Choi... | yes | 1 | epl-bur-not-2025-09-20 | Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-20? | 76,704,674 | 76,704,674 |
3a8a9e3b808d1c2512033c9cd2ce40e879335bb3 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x145ff557ed79e625c505ba4119dbf10642e0990004ea51f690b35a18ebb8edb0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lux-nir-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Germany win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-svk-ger-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lit-mal-2025-09-04 | ... | no | 1 | epl-ars-mac-2025-09-21 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21? | 76,747,790 | 76,747,790 |
0e90102ba246cacf2f28e1c6585edd1d563398f9 | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x099e8c4083a5e7ba05290ace011aa6bba27814450cfc4b642609e229af18adbc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Germany win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-svk-ger-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lit-mal-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mon-cze-2025-09-05 | Choice: n... | yes | 1 | epl-bou-new-2025-09-21 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21? | 76,839,455 | 76,839,455 |
31aa59833cd62b85dc704fae36c8183f783eb6ac | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x806db4ef536678fab5390d642d965e6b446dd2d646cfa94f8218f2e900a32b6b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Lithuania win on 2025-09-04? | Event: uef-lit-mal-2025-09-04 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mon-cze-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05 | Choice: no... | no | 1 | epl-che-bri-2025-09-27 | Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27? | 76,988,140 | 76,988,140 |
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