sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b8b87179cd3e91631fa315ea05c989d3349373ee | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0x9f49a004c854ada068c1ffe4cdd189433b698d258e2cb7f357f3e5b7203e6936 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Czechia win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mon-cze-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will France win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | ... | no | 1 | epl-cry-liv-2025-09-27 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27? | 76,988,140 | 76,988,140 |
93e79492c2c5574ef78fa8d66768337b04f5149e | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xbf870b3e94201dc40752203336e8cc9894dda68e53f39cefed2c01e971fc2f75 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Israel win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will France win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-che-kvx-2025-09-05 | Choice: n... | no | 1 | epl-lee-bou-2025-09-27 | Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27? | 76,988,140 | 76,988,140 |
1a5cd18a45b2919d3763b7d3622834a1ee937abe | 0x377cfb0e187499348c56b005199c16a0903d91ae | 0xd1c22676bbae4bbe809d8a561b6e3010d1717bf7fc059d9cbe6d3e74597a540f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will France win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-ukr-fra-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-05? | Event: uef-che-kvx-2025-09-05 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06? | Event: uef-ire-hun-2025-09-06 | Choice: ... | no | 1 | epl-tot-wol-2025-09-27 | Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27? | 76,988,140 | 76,988,140 |
617adae5a44c881973959188f3a6a79dc40199b1 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x2f3c542e218f5a7fc8eac6e1f800f03f91ca18d0e44d7566352eee3ef00c1330 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5
Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | over | 0.420798 | nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | 79,721,770 | 79,723,617 |
ee40343a0cafcc8356df0375c191135b99695854 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xe962ad240e3bd76e8ee4895a33a47a33416eed2cf199410441fa199bf3592497 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
Target market:
Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5
Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choic... | over | 0 | nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | 79,725,084 | 79,725,084 |
cf86abba384cfe7d34f55073e68b32810b5e5f10 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xa83a496538eec021e21de4cd1d370c59a6c97399f3787bee69e4b49e91f32c76 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5
Event: nba-no... | under | 0.213551 | nba-nop-lal-2025-11-30 | Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | 79,727,803 | 79,728,156 |
f129e988723ca84196a5e608dd43898a2a194fbe | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x9d72fba957d07cee1a5a6d1dbdb805d317341e9385dd4fd26ab902092aa83017 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.00287 | nba-mem-sac-2025-11-30 | Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 | 79,727,926 | 79,728,500 |
8bac120a976d6d4d1135c334633e986180cb8e6d | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xb6dbe24384c4dbe8eacdec90aa357f88a234395fbe41a7cf7471b062a7c534ff | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.270794 | nba-atl-det-2025-12-01 | Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5 | 79,766,981 | 79,768,398 |
76589181486c989527f2616aa5ce7c1d5f97e03e | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xd7b3a4e1d005a8e2a8db5a2a3ac032a7e22d0c10b9a8e5d8b293a6ece3f9298b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.012102 | nba-mil-was-2025-12-01 | Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5 | 79,767,436 | 79,767,436 |
823344be5fd0b2766ce74e1481f768f6f84ef0ab | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xa1f4280f2e461a3dd47837ffb079f66db51765fc8101ddff693c85e37cd2dc65 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.144208 | nba-lac-mia-2025-12-01 | Clippers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 | 79,768,579 | 79,768,579 |
3d7df9f7cb3ec7f37f11e2ed65fc85edea020106 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x49bd26993f6330c831358fbb0e845217f98f854edcb1ee82887ebb2e88780ff7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.333333 | nba-cha-bkn-2025-12-01 | Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 227.5 | 79,768,948 | 79,768,948 |
9fbdc27b9d0f50ff6a254f8541849f94a309d85c | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xaaf48a51b3322118f4d5dd8ff3955172f078411f432cfe0a6f97407b8310a1cd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.000012 | nba-dal-den-2025-12-01 | Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5 | 79,770,818 | 79,771,064 |
fc6b119426f8ca4d7b3de35109571b92a98e1d03 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x8687ae248199b5c5730d60e09503187529a9d22632a63805a18867474adfe1dc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.081056 | nba-was-phi-2025-12-02 | Wizards vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5 | 79,811,563 | 79,811,563 |
19b5011ad55de94f2ceac7e4d6ea8dc7e17d451a | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x0c501f154c366d2a6294c2720e69dc493d9819707f3ff4f77a223caea3b4760a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0 | nba-mem-sas-2025-12-02 | Grizzlies vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5 | 79,813,627 | 79,819,214 |
74547cbf6ef12ced1822ec88a4c07408ed661048 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x57bdcfdfd88025f117b0aef8ac2cd196d1d1840ac02e790da72e8315cbf6055e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0 | nba-okc-gsw-2025-12-02 | Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5 | 79,818,654 | 79,818,822 |
e7570debc47dea5db337e94b7e36614c3eb4c650 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x7e8ae39109197112464a6e86227fca268e5213851f5c930525551000adc49d81 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.131879 | nba-lac-atl-2025-12-03 | Clippers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 | 79,854,297 | 79,855,637 |
90b53f0d79666a6d7690cc135ff1dfb82f410c13 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x6fba06a322c4c19a0f2c31106b23c67d5d672221b6b0e52ce39a2b01da029e0f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.239544 | nba-den-ind-2025-12-03 | Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 | 79,854,931 | 79,854,931 |
5a2a5605b08486d61035581a62cb4c06943f2602 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x3d3e6a79337c213efed9266c1f296733af3fca79e2e1dceb6d7e12270c649114 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.000005 | nba-det-mil-2025-12-03 | Pistons vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 | 79,855,544 | 79,856,776 |
c679475d4e2e300f77d01d4a4bbd25c3a0ddf81f | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xddaa305e6c70bab256c24b2667fb156bedd06c47a739469ce73d57153d559170 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.000027 | nba-bkn-chi-2025-12-03 | Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5 | 79,855,921 | 79,855,921 |
dd901dfff09eb8d6e7c4019cda1014185491ac0e | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x11132c27828a66393928c3aca9ce4420d9f3abe0f143ecec3cd49b6a8d8e0f2a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.954087 | nba-sac-hou-2025-12-03 | Kings vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5 | 79,856,340 | 79,856,340 |
09938c3350bd761bfa79225e7da170fb9e760d13 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xe89f59cf51942652f5e3ecfe801f16ceab1b6d59b9917d0af9e15dfe86adf743 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.428571 | nba-mia-dal-2025-12-03 | Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5 | 79,857,401 | 79,857,401 |
b03f318ad78645ef21e8d11e84498a78e329fac1 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x27c91225c2ca662587c208ca1beca535e4c44410bded7e5b6238a86c58f27398 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.37227 | nba-bos-was-2025-12-04 | Celtics vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5 | 79,895,717 | 79,897,311 |
eaaec6e19cc76323a2d06849adf395c5550d947b | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xdbe3666c50a7912758cf88e02c452f270f44e79cef7521b5c5fdfb90c8fcc5ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0.19112 | nba-gsw-phi-2025-12-04 | Warriors vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5 | 79,896,588 | 79,898,419 |
cd2bbd3683f5d9b96bd338673be5560b22a672b1 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x925aa7484b8fb8210233093acbeafdd84f4d8b12f0b6b69df87a70493875c300 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.094809 | nba-lal-tor-2025-12-04 | Lakers vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5 | 79,897,862 | 79,898,481 |
4764f0d22d4632b40c07a0a5137ca938f3e70e68 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xfce66d3807001f5bccdf44901ff39b770810f3a81d44e77adb72a2effe9e0038 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.232995 | nba-uta-bkn-2025-12-04 | Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 232.5 | 79,899,146 | 79,899,242 |
4dd77d7b912b3e81f33996acc8d22714c2e4d765 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xbf1861eccf0f155000b497b9bf2b88048b7550220ab2ba40c04e30ddf5dc95a4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | over | 0 | nba-min-nop-2025-12-04 | Timberwolves vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 | 79,899,430 | 79,915,005 |
5d3e7961b6460e6aea40e554898ba6c02621f726 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0xe1dee0a5018f28334677d1af299b071618743238999543a1eab5886fdcf9b851 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.000793 | nba-uta-nyk-2025-12-05 | Jazz vs. Knicks: O/U 240.5 | 79,940,637 | 79,941,832 |
7459040b4f6528e60534cc2102016a1f614225b6 | 0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512 | 0x18bc4aefa101e2f709b7e7e615b226c1a4de787e31d198e1484185ee54f1ce33 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5 | Event: nba-tor-nyk-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.42079763579273405
2. Question: Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 | Event: nba-sas-min-2025-11-30 | Choice: over | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Event: nba-nop-lal-2025-... | under | 0.000025 | nba-sas-cle-2025-12-05 | Spurs vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5 | 79,941,061 | 79,941,953 |
45b80fcf8bf63ac4d8988196d7333bb29e918e1f | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xaef7c5675e38c20effef3e75d6dcaf7cc79c1fe3da121f44fa9c4385d8b7cd6b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET
Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | 76,565,562 | 76,565,585 |
89d55952da49d023e872dd8d5c3a3c13f53e2e49 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x71c59992957ad1383cd7e7e8a1e1b083655547674c62063bedf40bf248881f02 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET
Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | 76,588,111 | 76,589,264 |
565a60f25b4d4da42dc30a3fd71c748f1c78811a | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x15b02b5a92e9117f2edc8eca8c5880b2fe431e2e785e01e9b4d3407752ca91a9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
Target market:
Question: Bitcoin ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET | 76,589,733 | 76,589,936 |
0361219b6796c9a1fcbf44a9e70d82e3a8d9f143 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xefb0613603b12d5c579b55aed01687e905e6a17458189fc49244e495d3dee5db | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | 76,710,299 | 76,830,019 |
9e249341d73e58b3b9739e59b8be89613e7f8e42 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x4e897e2bceab5510ac975ca835c26f470d3dd408e9e51ab47c7b9d9f5e4b3886 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000001 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-9pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | 76,744,246 | 76,744,246 |
6a417af3c4e49e5eca9da9006c9f961c44177f30 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x1245fa5b94d7013e858874ecf518466364935a53e69c06d19f35d8aa866f914a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6AM ET | 76,799,692 | 76,803,458 |
80fc177eda04e90cbc0faf73fe65d4c34cebd39e | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x44107968e4e24295eaa99c92b2995576a0a0aaf217dd41a241aab5208aa5a91c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000008 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET | 76,803,319 | 76,803,614 |
063b4d36f17bec0a7a99cf318fd119d5db91bf56 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x78e9452e76ffdacde27cbb5e6b53aa4a3f56ef15efe073a850123f2d68836426 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET | 76,803,614 | 76,830,019 |
fd7918b8175701601b336dbcc411fc47c178f7af | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x7df5384a5abe13e2f4587cb8f567df9eb393672b1ca23053ace6b4333e917a09 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET | 76,804,720 | 76,830,019 |
2bd1250714ec8f3c680b940d699edd27b4034b26 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc96938c46dffcfe4980cb4fb2c35c01b8aa5a94a4f0f9ee8d11b61d4025c78da | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-september-23-3pm-et | Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET | 76,814,675 | 76,815,606 |
5236703d0ce765b368d0576cc46c24cd69ad94f8 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc1d41a9dae85b5f488e6b06a2feb20a74000408108163abb47eb245fc8c1711d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-september-23-4pm-et | Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4PM ET | 76,816,043 | 76,830,019 |
6999e41c3d3ee1808c1827a2568bf515ece127b5 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xa7f3008074cf72d725888b706f648e01a1259b8cf265ba65f2b4a5630b55ae32 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | solana-up-or-down-september-23-5pm-et | Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5PM ET | 76,817,716 | 76,830,019 |
aadcee1630757cb7ae677f7f7562ca44849896f1 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xcf199088732dd787d193bb9d03a2f30469ade3743b2b62861ff6500fbcbed218 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ET | 76,888,442 | 76,893,111 |
a6d1475786459c964e3f3ecdf5e43254d7eeaede | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xae56093191935a4ce10b955852ee779ba2e5729838e688744c161bcb541ef9ec | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET | 76,888,468 | 76,888,468 |
cb18c9dbb6935f7ef4ad3f7b7467be3ae329ac8c | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x573f6e467b588ad15970f2ff23701bf49427c423a65379a0556e8de9331455f7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12PM ET | 76,890,335 | 76,890,335 |
378584d7a74dcbcda8777968d9e0681c5c2f0c40 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x05bf3022ca8fc9a61460624fa696ea86b06d0fe242482374ce442d2bb8affd62 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2PM ET | 76,893,576 | 76,896,777 |
e4c023b0f38a482494666f7f5d5bf1b9a2cad0ed | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x28a4784e180478309c0783df4318b4d41608a8e45ef959803e5c922ff6a08719 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | up | 0.000286 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET | 76,896,129 | 76,896,129 |
c66702e1e705b336a61f9fe05fd16ad2b7e3ef5c | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x0790caf1fdc5d3da5c2e61a4c0fa5267fe398b2345f8892ff10750db36026378 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000002 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4PM ET | 76,897,100 | 76,898,213 |
336a8dbef17002abe870ad8094796a756a0d3a90 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xb4829bf03312597915f24efbe2a7d5b178f9d0da21c7175bb21254fdd01a06e5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | up | 0.000005 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5PM ET | 76,898,554 | 76,900,750 |
2cee35d7d52ed1a20a956d9c9443460c60fa4bf1 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x72a24f0f0b8c68836683f5201a83d277f22b0a19489ce6994e10357cabad7b7a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-26-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3AM ET | 76,915,803 | 76,916,323 |
4b949c0205418e8132b3388bba5c2d3f10a05b53 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x3a49b8c9a5e90093db9049c828f320d4179a67ba808f91afc329f185db6c4686 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000028 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4AM ET | 77,079,491 | 77,080,048 |
4db78d64971991650e1304047713a0483e835344 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xbff69f6fda6ccae772eb40dd6e7d8b98c073e6aaae7cdcd50bc63f89b7a4511d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000035 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | 77,081,673 | 77,081,673 |
0b9e8de459e354fc0aca1496e96e985defbfc643 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x02d24a87652b25ab52d63dbd543d98338bfd7d3a49a5c8e3eb974fe53fdf9c0b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000046 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET | 77,086,647 | 77,086,867 |
54cf1c9e762fb83026aa49dda2f869ec99fc2692 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x0ead3e8f24adda9b98684f1c24fceceeafc0142a646d32e65b74baf1f61aa6a6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9AM ET | 77,087,714 | 77,092,905 |
c3ec81ad97ef37cdfb4abfd983675f8a5708dc03 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x09f2878fc16cc3aebcb9eea0bcf7a090a579158133560cc0a0300e85ec507ec8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET | 77,090,075 | 77,092,905 |
8efb3f75a5d04df626d6d650cff843b499c6e23d | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xa89cd4d5b3f26dcce01cd0cd5bb379c2651300ca09c09232afa61d769d74123b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000039 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET | 77,091,030 | 77,092,816 |
16f215ad28c34974a1aed76a2d43f28e8e82ef8f | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x4f591e6c4aa266185aa93e0cecd4e57448c2102f707e0c1c424ac61ed61bed4c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | up | 0.000023 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-2pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2PM ET | 77,096,193 | 77,097,038 |
28bbb44916353b01f20e44948b9db2da4a1d1b42 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xd090f9b187430bc5cb45a0004edf16dd84b1c9ea35eb5989f921a866912f4965 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-3pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ET | 77,097,633 | 77,097,633 |
84b84cb8404f0574bad686b2313513998c7f5ab1 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x49ab6b267b42c752fafff20d9ed6d3253235e9402787947cf4423d100a26cd6a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12AM ET | 77,112,855 | 77,113,310 |
feebf98bb410764630a6ad044b29437c422548f6 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x1cfe055026f0b3a54e2514eea971fea38e6b9462b9f1ee781c75ddabdd8deb0d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.00001 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1AM ET | 77,114,708 | 77,115,732 |
66c35bca3296292bc9489c5a35edb707b8b477e3 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x1b2a80f9d5db1933808313217ed8f6b3785f5969dca2a8bc1fc49e1c97c55cea | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-17-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.189223 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2AM ET | 77,117,052 | 77,117,052 |
f6c56ed2db72774026664b808dafe549b0bf7ae9 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc5f20882022175831bfc538af995f20938cd4d42730e560283490d8d4a73ba63 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET | 77,124,906 | 77,128,372 |
1de8aed6b43d7aba24c0b9600b987a987f035dc9 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xda68f50aa76d91ae48af09d065451770c2f89dfd55112ce4267271cb623f0b94 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-18-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0.000002 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET | 77,126,711 | 77,127,439 |
cb6d2c7b50cbfc8826edea2cb5fd0e3a15e6f6cb | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x6d2039ac7f2578067e96210dc1c93a24398d9cb22a0c65f38492aa22feb783e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.649992517756472e-07
3. Question: Bit... | up | 0.000002 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET | 77,128,417 | 77,129,331 |
2caa1ccb85aa603a03036bb2f7311670f1c60e11 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xafc6d857b697e19138686267e39bda35b4be618a1179938045fc30f503ba7adb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-21-9pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.649992517756472e-07
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bit... | up | 0.000005 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | 77,129,822 | 77,130,315 |
fa4be40d7bf9c243f8d95026c6a7f8298b33f2e6 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x7cf7f33c24681342c8a42497657c302052c1be75da39a9b4ba034d196c8adc61 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-6am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.444186378305766e-06
3. Question: Bit... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET | 77,131,667 | 77,140,020 |
fb76a75defb79a860a77af2703df3bedc2ab6374 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xd1b33a9e1527c0007b6011b9e6cf6354e035f6505684476187a2143732559505 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 8.444186378305766e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bit... | down | 0.000113 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-4pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET | 77,140,151 | 77,141,588 |
4ebd0042e4112c8fe73c31da9286c0e264144704 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x489539bf0beaae60a541122a4e9839c2a416cc35bc3835ace3c9226b6daa87e6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - S... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5PM ET | 77,142,266 | 77,147,248 |
82508970a053b9909c0f5c0d35656d1efc7c1342 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x97ee31a150464d49b858948840e1120cb90a1507e50c88c74b1097e5a6450b35 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-23-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - Sep... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8PM ET | 77,147,298 | 77,147,936 |
16e7baf6138cbe9e150107f4b81cf85c113a03ab | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc16b160087c8bfb997d6e9afcf87ebde6d29c4730376d9be100e97a3327d31c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Solana Up or Down - Septe... | down | 0.000004 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET | 77,153,048 | 77,154,535 |
46ae0a66d0dda3c58edb3f0669d7ed7e84a42099 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xe9c0774b42bbd52f43790f2b02e51c33cc6550ffcc6546a998cc6d368721f48a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 4PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Sept... | up | 0.000652 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-1am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET | 77,155,451 | 77,156,842 |
a274573f6f3e49faaaa6273c58cab76d66a074c6 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x16ffb7f82d35a9e28e316c7282e0d766850f209ca761681028b26e51d85e32fb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Solana Up or Down - September 23, 5PM ET | Event: solana-up-or-down-september-23-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-2am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET | 77,157,421 | 77,161,925 |
a2815391eb97ee4e206f4ea4c6263dfb95aab16c | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc31b844dc01b0ddd811e9b2b1dec624d93ed86aa25ebe06da964e7dd8048258c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Dow... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3AM ET | 77,158,873 | 77,160,230 |
976892159f1598680921c08d0678e370565af652 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xb8f55bcb56e1301df17e361dbd084650460716fa791b4e3803a1a016e11d7c3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Dow... | up | 0.000009 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4AM ET | 77,160,358 | 77,161,726 |
a3401cb88bd313eb201a19f21be3f91749c88ae7 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xfb8aefe7baa14a4dac2c3757b38f4f5a718b721f70d72d2f890914170b3bc68d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-12pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | up | 0.000008 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5AM ET | 77,162,000 | 77,163,618 |
dd8f109f8c1e9c3fabfa27bcc588f7863a0f2893 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xcb9a3d7c047ff3495985aa9a1798dadbf95112a5a7571212e0ad79bae86d7c97 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-2pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0002864632776572024
3. Question: Bitco... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET | 77,163,730 | 77,165,222 |
9916d96f7079533d40243908b3a5851f45986580 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x8abdd6edc50dcc5a8b02d2207628f0036f64b180908829732378f82cf553a119 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-3pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0002864632776572024
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.0138397318164406e-06... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7AM ET | 77,165,792 | 77,166,639 |
256aa6207ab8711528d3d43b53d507cb66aa054d | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x8ef71e71164763561edce2adddcdbf90da639cbfe5f91e207da69878d7fe43f6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.0138397318164406e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.7735984127257625e-0... | up | 0.000015 | ethereum-up-or-down-october-2-8am-et | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ET | 77,167,107 | 77,167,107 |
21831db6e84a7ac10d75fa00364adec2f4a26306 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x15a57c2c9e569fa70cb88d5dcabf8cd8b95f2fc96a65cf071ddd2265650912d9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-25-5pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.7735984127257625e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-26-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitc... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ET | 77,167,187 | 77,171,710 |
30b1cd22a429b85f70ca83f50a2466c763c3999c | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x012518cf85da0d272dba7afedf47e76dad5790090fcbd1f42a9c575bc1d382e5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-26-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.8387825002576872e-05
3. Question: Bi... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-9am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9AM ET | 77,169,393 | 77,170,393 |
1bf59e1d0cda71aca5955388e1fa484a8a7fd91b | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xe6ec1d74134c90b43881bcec123b7ccc47f5a519e982fa1f307737d704145c80 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-4am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.8387825002576872e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.4924688042671184e... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-10am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10AM ET | 77,170,903 | 77,171,716 |
473435fede28d632101f7a238f80368f03cf55fc | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x80716dec49028770d30d8d3574d825822597d647b8938be18b5f669428335a2e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-5am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.4924688042671184e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 4.615839561995376e-... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11AM ET | 77,172,477 | 77,181,888 |
4b19552160c7734d7ebbdab89b38ac3904772a37 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x10d5888f486d6cca808a87f70f583029f05d448cc30dd3da6a1cbdc7a391d40d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 4.615839561995376e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bit... | down | 0.000151 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET | 77,173,895 | 77,174,526 |
ed4e8272324f38eca027393fdd90959988aeb336 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xe962ba49d28290aa6d9d6cb06aa123cc01aac67c2fbaae47ea77aa0aa76e15c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-9am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-5pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5PM ET | 77,182,756 | 77,183,193 |
7a9ee551faff181dafa204c28b87f6e1f7e32889 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xb4fd7593bf20c5355bac222b9a95263ee384a23f83e6920664ea98e69486160d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-10am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.936909710772206e-05
3. Question:... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-6pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET | 77,184,344 | 77,184,344 |
65118bf5bc3e0c2ad812e93db2d8f8cab75c62a4 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x77516de5737f0bcbd1e41e9b2c80eeda28ce3e480c52ba9eedc39a0177baba40 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.936909710772206e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 2.2584111779872704e-... | down | 0.000144 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-8pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8PM ET | 77,188,705 | 77,188,705 |
cee357f9f43b357ee6cf94b201ad349d81192ba0 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x09b2538c6018e1f20d45adee8bc540c1bbae7071835094526b8411709503dbcc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-2pm-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 2.2584111779872704e-05
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitc... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-9pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9PM ET | 77,189,223 | 77,241,223 |
27b16f973531d16040a09e44eb9e5c84b3d980f9 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xc1f3230aea9f211488221acfe6e0b27571639a05406c11683cf28644db9479e0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-september-30-3pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - Octo... | up | 0.0002 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-10pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10PM ET | 77,191,002 | 77,192,400 |
10262ad806b108ec0420912fba1f370e437df043 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x2b08064d4abf875b1db05c85064c3a53677007f1562c8f1f40cc51d61614d352 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-12am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 9.906066149528236e-06
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or... | up | 0.000226 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-11pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11PM ET | 77,193,951 | 77,194,093 |
aa18fb51b89036d090b3b5a0271826ba6d63b678 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xa7f8b5c67b56ab6e8deb45b654528e423bda41d476127781d85a44b6fe6d7d6d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-1am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 9.906066149528236e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1892225304668636
3. Question: ... | down | 0.000021 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-12am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12AM ET | 77,194,472 | 77,195,784 |
cf57951e2b561138a3b3618c8d8c574e4c21144c | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x3d647280ddf9f97df9ccd8434271f575abc8a8dc11bf8c0ce7843941ecd7b334 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.1892225304668636
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down... | down | 0.000008 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-3am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3AM ET | 77,199,347 | 77,200,861 |
ea9ff488ef786a60b93ac29c50056a802e08dbe3 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xf512b610391875246d0a34c6d30520b8e2d6d80133e3bd0838a84c160a26cd3d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-7am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.4583586731704725e-06
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-4am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4AM ET | 77,201,318 | 77,204,440 |
ca5a0faf4b6148fbbe4bd31fb5e09bb5c8826c27 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x29b102c6aae77e8f758d8116d133971e60b77c982fece6704aeabfdf6b8e8b30 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 2.4583586731704725e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 1.894634537134998e-06
3. Question... | up | 0.000125 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-5am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5AM ET | 77,202,890 | 77,204,248 |
032c8136604513ccc89363ce0a59d572f2502fa8 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x59ce6e4c05aa214d69e692785f8624ca6900424e067beaf8064bb17844340361 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-9am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 1.894634537134998e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.6672299847284105e-06
3. Question... | up | 0.000109 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-6am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6AM ET | 77,205,032 | 77,206,375 |
1f31a96f320b3995abbaa67ca0c3cb21ddfa2e20 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xdd046bc6924599dfbb327d8b024f12743a05b24121b934ada3f13fe919604eff | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-10am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 4.6672299847284105e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up o... | down | 0.0005 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-7am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7AM ET | 77,206,375 | 77,206,375 |
c95a03368f2389fe4182d83d9191f81911a3a0ce | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x7136cd3c915d234d82bebba2aa5194d1bbddb42aa11172d3214be45d62b932a6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011250471938009916
3. Question: Bitcoin Up o... | down | 0.000167 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-8am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8AM ET | 77,208,173 | 77,209,349 |
ca234dbde72f84f9de1e738538ece799ecaa9953 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xdf308b01c3fa701fe8798d3e00d503789fb2d5128951db600baab6156635cbf5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-4pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.00011250471938009916
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or ... | down | 0 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-11am-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET | 77,213,328 | 77,214,050 |
a434b08b0e265762594537f1087560be672632a3 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x175b94379ad4bb4a020030cd595c7622080a3854aedd9d0052c048b94061605b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-5pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1... | up | 0.000375 | bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-12pm-et | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET | 77,214,458 | 77,216,033 |
a0566dcd1240c06d676f05ac7834a5ea612fb274 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x8ec51de1c61297df50d91baae3d5a55971c0494102dcdc820bb9fedd82002616 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-8pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.820416911746411e-06
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or... | down | 0.000063 | solana-up-or-down-october-3-12pm-et | Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12PM ET | 77,216,060 | 77,216,075 |
61d098d6722aa999f00ad19501054093ef2444eb | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xb99bd67a89855f253b44770413183a0e4f0edfea3f32219838c253780c117a21 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-1-11pm-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 3.820416911746411e-06
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-1am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0006523156871945854
3. Questio... | down | 0 | xrp-up-or-down-october-3-2pm-et | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 2PM ET | 77,218,430 | 77,219,509 |
331e2adf330b47f1898f52a5fa30737ddba004ba | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0xb8ce16e09392b2c5d9207839880790971b18c6a2c79a95bba2dfd64d4f3d4fc7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-1am-et | Choice: up | Confidence: 0.0006523156871945854
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Dow... | down | 0.000014 | xrp-up-or-down-october-3-3pm-et | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 3PM ET | 77,220,086 | 77,221,210 |
563bb250517acd2beb2e968689f9ee39e4e068a0 | 0x37e78999ff8e580a7b9ff1fbef6a79fb3ba3516d | 0x4da10e9a3aac3be968485431b41251d16600d73c955456493192b4063098064a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-2am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
2. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3AM ET | Event: bitcoin-up-or-down-october-2-3am-et | Choice: down | Confidence: 0.0
3. Question: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4... | down | 0.000313 | xrp-up-or-down-october-3-4pm-et | XRP Up or Down - October 3, 4PM ET | 77,222,088 | 77,222,889 |
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