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What is the chance that a movie will first gross 10 billion dollars by 2070?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 7.5 billion dollars by 2047?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2028 billion dollars? (4)
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 7.5 billion dollars by 2047?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 10 billion dollars by 2070?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections worldwide per year by 2024?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections worldwide per year by 2024?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections worldwide per year by 2024?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Republican party will win 46.8% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 9.28k confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Democratic party will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 0.806 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Democratic party will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Republican party will win 46.8% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Libertarian party will win 50% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Green party will win 1.930 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Green party will win 1.930 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Democratic party will win 53.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 0.806 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Republican party will win 46.8% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that these parties will win 0.806 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Libertarian party will win 50% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Libertarian party will win 50% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.7% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 18.3% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.7% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 18.3% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 30.0% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 30.0% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Green party will win 1.930 percent of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.9% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 30.0% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.7% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 6.80 percent of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 18.3% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.9% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.9% of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 6.80 percent of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that New Incentives' childhood vaccination program will reach 2.42M infants by the end of 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 8.76% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 6.80 percent of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife on the following dates?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 50.0% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 24.9% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 24.9% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 8.76% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 39.8% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 50.0% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 8.76% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 50.0% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 39.8% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 879k deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.03M deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.32M deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years (2030)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.03M deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.32M deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years (2030)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 39.8% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 879k deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 879k deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 24.9% of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife by 2040?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 1.03M deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 361k deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2035)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 361k deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2035)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.32M deaths from Tuberculosis will occur globally in the following years (2030)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 78.7 Tuberculosis cases per 100k people globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 361k deaths from Tuberculosis globally in the following years (2035)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 78.7 Tuberculosis cases per 100k people globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 105 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2025)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 78.7 Tuberculosis cases per 100k people globally in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 56.0% on the following dates?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 56.0% on the following dates?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 105 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2025)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 38.5% on August 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 58.1 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2030)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 89.2 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2035)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 58.1 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2030)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 105 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2025)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 56.0% on the following dates?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 89.2 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2035)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 89.2 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2035)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 38.5% on August 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the expected compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the expected compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the expected compound annual growth rate percentage of Chinese GDP (PPP) from 2022 to 2032?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that Turkey's inflation rate will be 38.5% on August 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 50.0% of students enrolled in higher education will be White in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 58.1 Tuberculosis cases (per 100k people) globally in the following years (2030)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 10.8% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Black in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 10.8% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Black in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 50.0% of students enrolled in higher education will be White in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.1% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Hispanic in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 10.8% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Black in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 21.1% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Hispanic in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 75% of international students at US universities will be from Asia in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 6.43% of US residents enrolled in higher education will be Asian in 2028, depending on SCOTUS' ruling on racial preferences in university admissions?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that SpaceX will be taken public by 2033?
0.75
Metaculus