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What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.29 in the following years (2025)? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.25 by the year 2030? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.25 by the year 2030? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.29 in the following years (2025)? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.24 by the year 2075? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.24 by the year 2075? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 1.35 in the year 2100? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 2.24 by the year 2075? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 1.35 in the year 2100? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137 billion in the following years? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 210...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137 billion in the following years? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 210...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 26.20% of Congresspeople will be endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America on January 4th, 2031? The [Democratic Socialists of America](https://www.dsausa.org/) is the largest socialist organization in the United States, with over 92,000 members and chapters in all 50 states. As of July...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137B by 2025? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](https://www.metacu...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137B by 2025? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](https://www.metacu...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137B by 2025? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](https://www.metacu...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.137 billion in the following years? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 210...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global total fertility rate will be 1.35 in the year 2100? The Total Fertility Rate is [defined](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate) as the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if: * she were to experience the exact current age-specific ...
0.25
Metaculus
How many confirmed children will Elon Musk have by end of 2025? Keyword: 13.0 Percentage: 75% Reframed Question: What is the chance that Elon Musk will have 13.0 confirmed children by end of 2025? Elon Musk is unusual among the super billionaires in having a large number of children. On July 7, 2022 was reported tha...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.515 billion by the year 2030? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](ht...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.515 billion by the year 2030? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](ht...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 9.111B by the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.6 billion by the year 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.6 billion by the year 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 9.111B by the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 8.515 billion by the year 2030? *Related Questions on Metaculus:* * [What will be the world population on December 31, 2050?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/587/world-population-in-2050/) *[closed]* * [What will be the peak human population before 2100?](ht...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.2 billion by 2075?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.2 billion by 2075?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.2 billion by 2075?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 13.5 billion by the year 2100?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 13.5 billion by the year 2100?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions will peak by 2047?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that an AI-written paper will first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings by 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that an AI-written paper will first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings by 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions will peak by 2047?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that LessWrong will first curate an AI-written post that was not revealed to have been AI-written at the time of curation by Jun 2024?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 13.5 billion by the year 2100?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 8.43% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 10.6 billion by the year 2050?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 8.43% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that LessWrong will first curate an AI-written post that was not revealed to have been AI-written at the time of curation by Jun 2024?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will reach 9.111B by the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 8.43% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that LessWrong will first curate an AI-written post that was not revealed to have been AI-written at the time of curation by Jun 2024?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 5.93% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions will peak by 2047?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 1.42% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 5.93% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 5.93% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.35k billion GBP, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.35k billion GBP, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that an AI-written paper will first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings by 2026?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 1.42% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.34k billion GBP by 2030, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.34k billion GBP by 2030, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.23k billion GBP if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest by 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the population of NEOM will be 281k on December 31, 2028?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the population of NEOM will be 281k on December 31, 2028?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.35k billion GBP, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.23k billion GBP if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest by 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be less than 200 billion GBP by 2040, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the population of NEOM will be 281k on December 31, 2028?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that inflation in the UK will be 1.42% if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership candidate contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.34k billion GBP by 2030, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be less than 200 billion GBP by 2040, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 100 movies will have made 1 billion dollars at the box office by 2037?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be less than 200 billion GBP by 2040, given Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 100 movies will have made 1 billion dollars at the box office by 2037?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 100 movies will have made 1 billion dollars at the box office by 2037?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 108.1 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the GDP of the UK will be 2.23k billion GBP if Liz Truss wins the Conservative Party leadership contest by 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 108.1 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 135% in the year 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 108.1 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 100.2 in the year 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 135% in the year 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 642 in the year 2045?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 190% in the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 156 in the year 2035?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 642 in the year 2045?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 135% in the year 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 100.2 in the year 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 190% in the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 190% in the year 2040?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 156 in the year 2035?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 156 in the year 2035?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 100.2 in the year 2025?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the Gross World Product (in trillions of 2020 USD) will be 642 in the year 2045?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars? (3)
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars? (3)
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2031 billion dollars? (3)
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 7.5 billion dollars by 2047?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 5 billion dollars by 2033?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2028 billion dollars? (4)
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 10 billion dollars by 2070?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 5 billion dollars by 2033?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 5 billion dollars by 2033?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that a movie will first gross 2028 billion dollars? (4)
0.25
Metaculus