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What is the chance that there will be 5.74k objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 object... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute 25% to the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the disease... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute 25% to the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the disease... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute to 4.99M DALYs of total global disease burden in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute to 75% of the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the dise... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute to 75% of the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the dise... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 2.71k objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 object... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 2.71k objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 object... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute to 75% of the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the dise... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 5.74k objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 object... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 2.71k objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 object... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that lead exposure will contribute 25% to the total global disease burden (in DALYs) by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/disease-burden-lead?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Our World in Data [describes the disease... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 19.3k objects launched into space annually by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 104k annual objects launched into space by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 104k annual objects launched into space by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 19.3k objects launched into space annually by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 19.3k objects launched into space annually by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 104k annual objects launched into space by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 objects were launched in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.682 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 198,000 objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 obje... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.682 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 50% in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,00... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 198,000 objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 obje... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 50% in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,00... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 198,000 objects launched into space annually in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/yearly-number-of-objects-launched-into-outer-space?country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Over 1,800 obje... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate for children under the age of 5 will be 2.83% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,000 children ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 50% in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,00... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.04 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,0... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate for children under the age of 5 will be 2.83% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,000 children ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 0.610 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.67% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate for children under the age of 5 will be 2.83% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,000 children ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.16% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.16% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.16% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.682 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 0.610 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.67% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.04 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,0... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.67% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 0.610 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.59% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.40 percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 will be 3.04 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/child-mortality-around-the-world?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
15,0... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.40 percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 38.3% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 38.3% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.40 percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 2.03 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an impor... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 2.03 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an impor... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.59% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 38.3% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+sourc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 2.03 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an impor... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.59% of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.29 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.29 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 0.572 in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.12 in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.78 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.12 in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.78 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 0.581 fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority? In Canada's Westminster-style system of Parliamentary democracy, a [minority government or "hung parliament"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hung_parliament) is one in which no single party holds a majority of the seats... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 0.572 in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the FDA will approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease by 2033? A [disease-modifying treatment](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disease-modifying_treatment) is a treatment that delays or slows the progression of a disease by targeting its underlying cause. Disease-modif... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 0.581 fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority? In Canada's Westminster-style system of Parliamentary democracy, a [minority government or "hung parliament"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hung_parliament) is one in which no single party holds a majority of the seats... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.29 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in the following years will be 422 times the current cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](htt... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in the following years will be 422 times the current cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](htt... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the FDA will approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease by 2033? A [disease-modifying treatment](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disease-modifying_treatment) is a treatment that delays or slows the progression of a disease by targeting its underlying cause. Disease-modif... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the FDA will approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease by 2033? A [disease-modifying treatment](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disease-modifying_treatment) is a treatment that delays or slows the progression of a disease by targeting its underlying cause. Disease-modif... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.78 in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 0.581 fraction of Canadian parliaments to 2050 will lack any party majority? In Canada's Westminster-style system of Parliamentary democracy, a [minority government or "hung parliament"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hung_parliament) is one in which no single party holds a majority of the seats... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2025 will be 302 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2032 will be 132 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 1.12 in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important i... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2025 will be 302 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2025 will be 302 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in the following years will be 422 times the current cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](htt... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2032 will be 132 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict will be 0.572 in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rate-in-conflicts" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
The prevalence of global violence is an important ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2052 will be 57.7 times the current cost (in 2021 USD)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2032 will be 132 times higher than in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2052 will be 57.7 times the current cost (in 2021 USD)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 18.6k fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/ter... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2022 will be 16.0 times the cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.org/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 20.8k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2022 will be 16.0 times the cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.org/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 38.9k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 20.8k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 38.9k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2052 will be 57.7 times the current cost (in 2021 USD)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 544 fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 544 fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that U.S. law will not recognize an artificial entity as a natural person before 2070? Brent Spiner's character on *Star Trek: The Next Generation* was called Mr. Data. Data was a construct engineered by Dr. Noonien Soong; an artificially intelligent humanoid robot possessed of a Starfleet officer's ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 18.6k fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/ter... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 38.9k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 20.8k fatalities from terrorism in the world by 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes t... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 544 fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/terrorism) notes... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a total of 18.6k fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/incidence-of-terrorism" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Our World in Data](https://ourworldindata.org/ter... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the cost of sequencing a full human genome in 2022 will be 16.0 times the cost in 2021 USD? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/cost-of-sequencing-a-full-human-genome" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
A [genome](https://en.wikipedia.org/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
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