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What is the chance that U.S. law will not recognize an artificial entity as a natural person before 2070? Brent Spiner's character on *Star Trek: The Next Generation* was called Mr. Data. Data was a construct engineered by Dr. Noonien Soong; an artificially intelligent humanoid robot possessed of a Starfleet officer's ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that U.S. law will not recognize an artificial entity as a natural person before 2070? Brent Spiner's character on *Star Trek: The Next Generation* was called Mr. Data. Data was a construct engineered by Dr. Noonien Soong; an artificially intelligent humanoid robot possessed of a Starfleet officer's ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 3.62k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 3.62k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 3.62k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 4.20k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.25k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 4.20k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.98k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.98k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.25k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.684 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 4.20k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.98k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 25.0k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.684 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 25.0k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 25.0k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="la...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.684 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.25k people per 100,000 will be affected by natural disasters in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/natural-disasters?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Disaster+Type=All+disasters&Impact=Total+affected&Timespan=Annual&Per+capita=true&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" st...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be (in tonnes per hectare) 4.558 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be (in tonnes per hectare) 4.558 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.97 tonnes per hectare in 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> Acco...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be (in tonnes per hectare) 4.558 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.97 tonnes per hectare in 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> Acco...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 7.62 tonnes per hectare in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></ifra...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 16.1 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 4.97 tonnes per hectare in 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> Acco...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 81.90 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 16.1 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 81.90 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 7.62 tonnes per hectare in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></ifra...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 16.1 tonnes per hectare in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;">...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 82.15% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 82.15% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 82.15% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 81.90 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 66.3% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 66.3% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 34.9% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 34.9% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 34.9% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2052)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 13.40 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.272 billion in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Proj...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 13.40 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world rice yield will be 7.62 tonnes per hectare in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/crop-yields?tab=chart&facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Crop=Rice&Metric=Actual+yield&hideControls=true" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></ifra...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.272 billion in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Proj...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.244B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.024 billion in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Tota...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.024 billion in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Tota...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 13.40 percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Foss...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.244B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.272 billion in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Proj...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.024 billion in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Tota...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 66.3% of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years (2032)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/energy?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&Total+or+Breakdown=Select+a+source&Energy+or+Electricity=Primary+energy&Metric=Share+of+total&Select+a+source=Fossi...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.48B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.48B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 8.244B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.48B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 40.54% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.44B in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.44B in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 44.6% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the world population will be 9.44B in the year 2122? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&country=~OWID_WRL&pickerSort=desc&pickerMetric=population__all__all__records&hideControls=true&Metric=Population&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+S...
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 44.6% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.0% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 40.54% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.3% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 40.54% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.3% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.0% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 59.2% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.3% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 59.2% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 35.0% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic Co-ope...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 44.6% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries will be 59.2% in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/oecd-average-trust-in-governments" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> The [Organisation for Economic ...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.510 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Dat...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.510 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Dat...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.12 in the year 2032?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.66 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Data artic...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.510 in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Dat...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.12 in the year 2032?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.87 in the year 2052?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.12 in the year 2032?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.66 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Data artic...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 2.17 in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 2.17 in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.87 in the year 2052?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 1.18Γ—1018 FLOPS in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 5.66 in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/homicide-rate?tab=chart&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> According to the Our World in Data artic...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 1.18Γ—1018 FLOPS in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 4.87 in the year 2052?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 1.18Γ—1018 FLOPS in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people will be 2.17 in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 2.77Γ—1018 FLOPS by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 2.77Γ—1018 FLOPS by 2025?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 9.02Γ—1019 FLOPS by 2032?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 5.33Γ—1022 FLOPS by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/supercomputer-power-flops" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe> Supercomputer performance is often measured in [floating po...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 8.71Γ—1034 FLOPS in the next 10 years?
0.25
Metaculus