text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
values |
|---|---|---|
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 8.71×1034 FLOPS in the next 10 years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.619B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specifi... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 8.71×1034 FLOPS in the next 10 years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 5.33×1022 FLOPS by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/supercomputer-power-flops" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Supercomputer performance is often measured in [floating po... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.619B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specifi... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 5.33×1022 FLOPS by 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/supercomputer-power-flops" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
Supercomputer performance is often measured in [floating po... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.701B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2032) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.701B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2032) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.701B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2032) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 3.88B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specific thres... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.552B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2025) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 2.77×1018 FLOPS by 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.552B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2025) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 9.02×1019 FLOPS by 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the fastest supercomputer on record will have a speed of 9.02×1019 FLOPS by 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 37.62B in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 3.88B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specific thres... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.95B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 37.62B in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 3.88B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specific thres... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.95B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 37.62B in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.95B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.09B in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.619B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining specifi... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.09B in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.8B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 4.552B people in the world will live on $10 (2011 INT USD) or less per day in the following years? (2025) <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/distribution-of-population-poverty-thresholds" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
While defining ... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 17.2B in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 11.3B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 11.3B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 76.85% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 17.2B in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 80.03% in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 17.2B in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 11.3B in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.8B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 96.8% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 76.85% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 76.85% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 80.03% in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 96.8% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 96.8% in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.in... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 184% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.inv... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 80.03% in the following years (2025)? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.09B in the year 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wiki... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) will be 38.8B in the year 2032? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?time=1900..latest&country=~OWID_WRL" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Carbon Dioxide](https://en.wikip... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 184% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.inv... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 29.3k in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 184% in the year 2052? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/labor-productivity-per-hour-PennWorldTable?tab=chart&country=~USA" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
[Labor productivity](https://www.inv... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 29.3k in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that productivity in the United States will be 29.3k in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.45B people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years (2032)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.08 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democracy](https://ourwo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.028 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democrac... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.16 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2052? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 226 million people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.08 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democracy](https://ourwo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.16 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2052? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.028 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democrac... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.028 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democrac... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.45B people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years (2032)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 344B in the listed years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.08 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2025? <iframe src="https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/people-living-in-democracies-autocracies" loading="lazy" style="width: 100%; height: 600px; border: 0px none;"></iframe>
In its article [Democracy](https://ourwo... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 226 million people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 344B in the listed years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 1.16 billion people living in liberal democracies in the world by 2052? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 344B in the listed years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 226 million people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 837B in the year 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 837B in the year 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 3.40×1012 in the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 837B in the year 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.45B people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years (2032)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 9.21×1025 by the year 2025? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 3.40×1012 in the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years will be 1.99×1012? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 1.34×1025 by the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 1.34×1025 by the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years will be 1.99×1012? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years will be 1.32×1013? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world will be 3.40×1012 in the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years will be 1.32×1013? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 1.34×1025 by the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 9.21×1025 by the year 2025? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 9.21×1025 by the year 2025? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 8.50×1029 by the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 8.50×1029 by the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 8.50×1029 by the year 2032? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 2.21×1051 by the year 2122? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 2.21×1051 by the year 2122? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 8.93×1036 by the year 2052? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 10.6 countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a top celebrity musician will accuse AI of unfairly mimicking their style by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 8.93×1036 by the year 2052? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a top celebrity musician will accuse AI of unfairly mimicking their style by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a top celebrity musician will accuse AI of unfairly mimicking their style by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years will be 1.99×1012? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 10.6 countries will have AAA-rated sovereign debt according to S&P in 2028? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the estimated chance that the highest computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs will be 2.21×1051 by the year 2122? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.