text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
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|---|---|---|
What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 158 for each of the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 158 for each of the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 41.0 for each of the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8) | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.07k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in microbiology and immunology? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.37k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Geosciences, atmospheric, and ocean sciences? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.07k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in microbiology and immunology? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 1.37k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Geosciences, atmospheric, and ocean sciences? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
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