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What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 158 for each of the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 158 for each of the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the likelihood that the first commercial in-orbit refueling will occur by February 2027?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the maximum number of people in space simultaneously will be 41.0 for each of the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 21.1 toilets in space on January 1, 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that nuclear power will be used for propulsion in space in a non-test capacity by 2029?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 2.22 in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 8.88 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be a maximum of 5.84 people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 86.3 years in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors will be 1.62 in the following years?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.371 in the United States in the following quarters?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.45 total number of nationalities will have visited the moon by 2030?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.025 in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q3)?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.75% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q2)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth will be 1.98% in the United States in the following years (2024)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that real GDP growth in the United States will be 1.98% in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.04% in the following years (2025)?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 0.321 in the following months?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 2.82% in the following years (2026)?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.30% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.56% in the following years?
0.75
Metaculus
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8)
0.75
Metaculus
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8)
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 4.86% in the year 2026?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that there will be 12.2 North Atlantic hurricanes in the following years?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article...
0.25
Metaculus
How many North Atlantic hurricanes are expected to occur in the following years (2025)? (11.8)
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that US seasonally adjusted annual CPI inflation will fall below 3% by May 2024?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 3.769 in the following months? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/article...
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US will be 59.8% in January 2035?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the United States. The survey is...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 12.7k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in engineering? [The Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED)](https://ncses.nsf.gov/pubs/nsf23300/) is a survey that collects data on individuals who have recently earned a research doctorate degree from a graduate program in the...
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.07k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in microbiology and immunology?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 556 doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in the field of economics?
0.25
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.49k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Computer Science?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.37k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Geosciences, atmospheric, and ocean sciences?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 2.24k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Physics?
0.75
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.07k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in microbiology and immunology?
0.5
Metaculus
What is the chance that 1.37k doctorates will be awarded in various fields in 2031, specifically in Geosciences, atmospheric, and ocean sciences?
0.5
Metaculus