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What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 4.02 in the following months (June-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 4.06 in the following months (July-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 92.1k by the end of the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States will be 4.06 in the following months (July-24)? The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.co... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 92.1k by the end of the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 49.4k by the end of the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 92.1k by the end of the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 49.4k by the end of the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years? (2025)
Keyword: 116k
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 116k by the end of the following years? (2025) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 49.4k by the end of the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years? (2025)
Keyword: 116k
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 116k by the end of the following years? (2025) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 39.6% of GDP in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026? What is the chance that 1.200 countries will do so? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 39.6% of GDP in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the U.S. government will spend 39.6% of GDP in the following years? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026? What is the chance that 1.200 countries will do so? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years? (2025)
Keyword: 116k
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that the largest cluster used to train an AI model will be 116k by the end of the following years? (2025) | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Apple will incorporate continuous glucose monitoring into the Apple Watch by 2026? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Apple will incorporate continuous glucose monitoring into the Apple Watch by 2026? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.0% in these years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Apple will incorporate continuous glucose monitoring into the Apple Watch by 2026? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 83.2% in 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 83.2% in 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.0% in these years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.0% in these years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 75.2% in 2030? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 75.2% in 2030? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 83.2% in 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 64.7% in 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 65.6% in 2035? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 65.6% in 2035? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 75.2% in 2030? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 57.2% in 2045? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 65.6% in 2035? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 64.7% in 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 57.2% in 2045? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.6% in the year 2050? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 64.7% in 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.6% in the year 2050? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 16.30% in 2075? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 57.2% in 2045? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 9.34 in the year 2125? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 16.30% in 2075? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 7.23% in the year 2100? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 7.23% in the year 2100? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 51.6% in the year 2050? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 16.30% in 2075? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (May-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Jun-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 9.34 in the year 2125? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 9.34 in the year 2125? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the prime-age (25-54) labor force participation rate in the United States will be 7.23% in the year 2100? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (May-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (May-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Jun-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Jul-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a 235k change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment from July to August? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a 235k change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment from July to August? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Jul-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation in the United States will be 50% in the following months (Jul-24)? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will have 28.3 member states by 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index will be 319.4 in the following months (May-24)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will have 28.3 member states by 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the European Union will have 28.3 member states by 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that there will be a 235k change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment from July to August? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the hyperspectral satellite imagery market will be worth 56.4M USD in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.290 in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q2)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.290 in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q2)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that AI-generated audiobooks will include illustrations, multiple voices, dramatization, sound effects, and soundtrack by Nov 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the hyperspectral satellite imagery market will be worth 56.4M USD in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that AI-generated audiobooks will include illustrations, multiple voices, dramatization, sound effects, and soundtrack by Nov 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that AI-generated audiobooks will include illustrations, multiple voices, dramatization, sound effects, and soundtrack by Nov 2024? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index will be 319.4 in the following months (May-24)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 0.290 in the United States in the following quarters (2025 Q2)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the hyperspectral satellite imagery market will be worth 56.4M USD in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 will be available by Jun 2030? Orange Pi 5 is a single-board computer that has been used in various applications, including image and vid... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index will be 319.4 in the following months (May-24)? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 41.9% of people in Africa will be using the internet by 2025? Space-based communications infrastructure, including satellites, has the potential to dramatically improve connectivity and access to information, particularly in remote and underserved regions of the world. This could play a vital ro... | 0.42 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 will be available by Jun 2030? Orange Pi 5 is a single-board computer that has been used in various applications, including image and vid... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the likelihood of a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by May 2026? On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ["special military operation"](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-putin-authorises-military-operations-donbass-domestic-media-2022-02-24/) in Ukraine. This decisio... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the likelihood of a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by May 2026? On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ["special military operation"](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-putin-authorises-military-operations-donbass-domestic-media-2022-02-24/) in Ukraine. This decisio... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 3.43 on July 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable to [... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 will be available by Jun 2030? Orange Pi 5 is a single-board computer that has been used in various applications, including image and vid... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 41.9% of people in Africa will be using the internet by 2025? Space-based communications infrastructure, including satellites, has the potential to dramatically improve connectivity and access to information, particularly in remote and underserved regions of the world. This could play a vital ro... | 0.42 | Metaculus |
What is the likelihood of a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict by May 2026? On February 24, 2022, Russia began a ["special military operation"](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russias-putin-authorises-military-operations-donbass-domestic-media-2022-02-24/) in Ukraine. This decisio... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor will be commercially available by Apr 2026? According to a Washington University in St. Louis [article published on July 10, 2023](https://source.wustl.edu/2023/07/air-monitor-can-detect-covid-19-virus-variants-in-about-5-minutes/):
>. . . scientists are loo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor will be commercially available by Apr 2026? According to a Washington University in St. Louis [article published on July 10, 2023](https://source.wustl.edu/2023/07/air-monitor-can-detect-covid-19-virus-variants-in-about-5-minutes/):
>. . . scientists are loo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 2.87 on October 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable t... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 41.9% of people in Africa will be using the internet by 2025? Space-based communications infrastructure, including satellites, has the potential to dramatically improve connectivity and access to information, particularly in remote and underserved regions of the world. This could play a vital ro... | 0.42 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 3.43 on July 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable to [... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 2.87 on October 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable t... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor will be commercially available by Apr 2026? According to a Washington University in St. Louis [article published on July 10, 2023](https://source.wustl.edu/2023/07/air-monitor-can-detect-covid-19-virus-variants-in-about-5-minutes/):
>. . . scientists are loo... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 2.87 on October 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable t... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US will be 3.43 on July 2024? The US has seen record high prices of gasoline in 2022, reaching $5.00 per gallon [in June](https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW). However, when adjusting for inflation, June's gas prices are comparable to [... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 50% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Biden's polling margin over Trump will be 75% according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average in these months? The [2024 United States presidential election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election) will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, ... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
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