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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
of3pl472ua | will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-65850-a | Will bitcoin be higher than $65,850 at Sep 29th 5:20pm ET? | null | 1,727,644,093,668 | 1,727,644,837,248 | 1,727,644,837,248 | YES | 0.98 | 275,870.700483 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
frbyzs05rw | will-jd-vance-be-the-vice-president | Will JD Vance be the Vice Presidential candidate on Election Day 2024? | null | 1,722,358,718,411 | 1,730,926,055,270 | 1,730,926,055,270 | YES | 0.99 | 23,292.906193 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Xi0o3HoF6vtPTibVydXI | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-9611a79a6ab4 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Oregon? | null | 1,690,202,047,780 | 1,730,998,843,300 | 1,730,998,843,300 | NO | 0.010002 | 1,057.309618 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1wOtpdjYH3MWaMyIZ0nL | will-donald-trump-beat-joe-biden-in | Will Trump beat Biden in every New York Times/Sienna national poll before election day? | null | 1,709,405,511,007 | 1,730,683,521,678 | 1,730,683,521,678 | YES | 0.976467 | 12,733.370258 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9gqUIL02Ap | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-08LEN5Ply5 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec 3 than it closed on Dec 2? | null | 1,733,172,065,891 | 1,733,259,746,154 | 1,733,259,746,154 | YES | 0.979009 | 1,021.720618 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
n6JWwdTbTGqW34pXbuyh | will-xi-jinping-visit-the-white-hou | Will Xi Jinping visit the White House by the end of 2024? | null | 1,683,659,641,754 | 1,735,681,797,072 | 1,735,681,797,072 | NO | 0.014605 | 37,888.226491 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
whum9iw7l7 | mlb-postseason-2024-105-nlds-game-1 | MLB Postseason 2024 ⚾️ 10/5 NLDS Game 1 Mets @ Phillies: Will there be a run scored in the 1st Inning? | null | 1,728,149,960,279 | 1,728,159,494,422 | 1,728,159,494,422 | YES | 0.99 | 9,521.506612 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Y81hnOg4knKl57dntzIg | will-any-major-social-platform-inte | Will any major social platform integrate OpenAI’s metadata to visibly indicate AI-generated images in 2024? | null | 1,707,251,046,951 | 1,734,510,300,084 | 1,734,510,304,579 | YES | 0.99 | 16,471.053462 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
0adficjjzt | will-rfk-jr-be-removed-from-the-bal | Will RFK Jr be removed from the ballot in North Carolina? | null | 1,725,452,958,339 | 1,729,011,181,001 | 1,729,011,181,001 | YES | 0.98 | 14,257.730412 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ct75KHMKUlgWwRlyHie5 | 3-the-terms-large-language-model-an | 3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common. | null | 1,703,511,126,305 | 1,734,453,602,922 | 1,734,453,602,922 | NO | 0.01 | 8,219.475171 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Uq9UPEd8PR | if-drallylouks-posts-her-x-income-w | If @DrAllyLouks posts her X income, will she make more than $1000 this time? | null | 1,734,731,834,706 | 1,735,032,195,694 | 1,735,032,195,694 | NO | 0.010345 | 9,795.541597 | Finance | Personal Finance |
SeRCYby169f9BhIW4akC | will-joe-manchin-be-on-a-thirdparty | Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024? | null | 1,699,560,013,423 | 1,731,201,800,230 | 1,731,201,800,230 | NO | 0.01 | 6,689.943165 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7t5yvmyy5w | will-joe-biden-resign-the-us-presid | Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024? | null | 1,721,601,391,398 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,896,160,419 | NO | 0.020285 | 27,811.917093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
efLFt0KKb95ptuYme7Ni | will-dade-phelan-win-in-the-novembe | Will Dade Phelan win in the November 5 Texas general election? | null | 1,709,497,771,983 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,730,959,584,849 | YES | 0.96 | 3,649.005667 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2khv900wcx | will-one-candidate-win-all-7-swing | Will one candidate win all 7 swing states? | null | 1,728,803,161,490 | 1,731,059,367,575 | 1,731,059,367,575 | YES | 0.991139 | 91,797.831629 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Lzaavs8RpXxH1vme9Kh3 | nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-se | NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Seattle Seahawks (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,629,628 | 1,735,074,300,000 | 1,735,164,058,325 | NO | 0.01 | 1,201.528714 | Sports | Professional Sports |
rb1nrg5u4y | will-iranproxies-bomb-major-civilia-sd1zpf0wig | Will Iran/proxies bomb major civilian infrastructure in Israel before November | null | 1,727,798,375,992 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,730,419,305,042 | NO | 0.010425 | 1,466.372603 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
vAIEN5qvHbO172JS9RYx | nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-te | NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,246,891 | 1,731,897,116,529 | 1,731,897,116,529 | NO | 0.01 | 2,649.72448 | Sports | Team Sports |
zSpxJs3uUD5hZxWdGdpZ | will-kim-kardashian-be-in-attendanc | Will Kim Kardashian attend a Baltimore Ravens game in September 2024? | null | 1,707,427,522,619 | 1,727,658,138,023 | 1,727,658,138,023 | NO | 0.01 | 7,413.270007 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
z9SxicVUAdVzdZY1EbjV | will-49ers-win-superbowl-59 | Will 49ers win Superbowl 59 | null | 1,707,715,876,392 | 1,735,343,493,149 | 1,735,343,493,149 | NO | 0.01 | 2,544.972528 | Sports | Professional Sports |
l0tSOaXlZrKRY6PVSw61 | will-ilhan-omar-win-reelection-to-t | Will Ilhan Omar win re-election to the House in 2024? | null | 1,702,662,673,746 | 1,731,212,950,095 | 1,731,212,950,095 | YES | 0.982697 | 25,946.509614 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yQvuhs8PPa7gNNfPfmDZ | will-donald-trump-be-on-the-2024-ge | Will Donald Trump be on the 2024 general election ballot in Hawaii? | null | 1,707,334,677,362 | 1,730,282,677,915 | 1,730,282,677,915 | YES | 0.978408 | 4,383.92762 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vul52nvqkx | will-wikileaks-post-a-new-leak-befo | Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the election? | null | 1,725,724,150,366 | 1,731,214,740,000 | 1,731,214,812,509 | NO | 0.01 | 12,722.547551 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jbxutlrwq4 | will-telegram-founder-pavel-durov-j | Will Telegram founder Pavel Durov "jump bail" and leave France before October 1st? | null | 1,724,877,871,984 | 1,727,927,940,000 | 1,727,929,978,034 | NO | 0.01 | 131,175.962109 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6P1grAyikRQsK95tHrtX | will-ufouap-be-brought-up-by-any-ca | Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries? | null | 1,690,408,242,102 | 1,724,731,140,000 | 1,729,484,910,961 | NO | 0.06 | 3,537.047093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aljundAxJ9LMlnRPm8PJ | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-cd74b7b30892 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district? | null | 1,690,201,580,052 | 1,730,951,433,511 | 1,730,951,433,511 | NO | 0.010015 | 1,034.517149 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EwpOuzClsBjv7RWkU59b | will-neurips-have-an-acceptance-rat-cede1c1082e9 | Will NeurIPS have an acceptance rate of at least 25% in 2024? | null | 1,695,633,622,489 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,735,624,982,252 | YES | 0.890674 | 1,914.931184 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9BgLVfpZlOnNRPiJqa6Y | will-the-us-have-a-republican-presi | Will the U.S. have a Republican president before 2038? | null | 1,699,412,034,785 | 1,730,902,758,930 | 1,730,902,758,930 | YES | 0.935312 | 1,301.06706 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6cctzhkfvc | is-lily-ashwood-lilyofashwood-on-x | Is Lily Ashwood (@lilyofashwood on X) an AI? | null | 1,723,910,901,343 | 1,729,245,822,494 | 1,729,245,822,494 | NO | 0.13 | 1,631 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
66titfsgih | will-claude-35-opus-be-released-in | Will Claude 3.5 Opus be released in October? | null | 1,727,853,317,062 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,526,275,879 | NO | 0.01373 | 23,515.428184 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
q8SJ37mxqvwdDGKnd5QK | will-jimmy-cater-outlive-the-curren | Will Jimmy Carter outlive the current Pope? | null | 1,680,875,322,192 | 1,735,507,429,251 | 1,735,507,429,251 | NO | 0.01 | 6,744.380559 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
b8ozzbfkqc | one-month-from-today-will-kamala-be-9f37k7zptd | One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald Trump on Polymarket? | null | 1,726,817,052,893 | 1,729,483,140,000 | 1,729,483,571,901 | NO | 0.01 | 29,490.29208 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3RZDS3q3ejkHoDV35kB2 | will-the-european-commission-propos | Will the European Commission propose EU regulation banning all types of cages for egg-laying hens by Oct 31st 2024? | null | 1,682,166,272,673 | 1,730,419,140,000 | 1,730,786,920,746 | NO | 0.019483 | 1,051.233497 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
7NWRmJTAMwWweQORFZ1i | will-trump-endorse-desantis-for-pre | Will Trump endorse DeSantis (for president)? | null | 1,678,503,423,490 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,731,322,111,604 | NO | 0.01333 | 6,820.778046 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tKvxLCNRh4ZPwUAN38D7 | a-tesla-supercharger-in-central-nv | A Tesla Supercharger in central NV comes online through 2024 | null | 1,694,630,895,779 | 1,733,184,826,078 | 1,733,184,826,078 | YES | 0.976982 | 1,216.36535 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ymyOR9fJJ1CJQldw34pN | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-the | Will Bitcoin Hit $100,000 Before The End Of 2024? | null | 1,708,709,054,817 | 1,733,418,888,910 | 1,733,418,888,910 | YES | 0.998527 | 43,442.743094 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9F7u6bK6pNGW39fmzMxl | will-gladiator-2-achieve-a-tomatome | Will Gladiator 2 achieve a Tomatometer score of ≥70%? | null | 1,683,197,305,648 | 1,735,167,540,000 | 1,735,173,094,981 | YES | 0.99 | 9,322.512693 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
lqQpaXdTvUPRWLF1xUuf | london-breed-is-reelected-mayor-of | London Breed is re-elected Mayor of San Francisco in 2024 | null | 1,690,959,274,267 | 1,731,274,924,973 | 1,731,274,924,973 | NO | 0.01 | 16,393.035516 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
t91npknjp5 | will-anyone-say-childless-cat-ladie--cash | Will anyone say "childless cat ladies" during the VP debate? | null | 1,727,813,997,825 | 1,727,837,807,596 | 1,727,894,052,121 | NO | 0.04 | 1,085.152644 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5e39tbzv9o | will-october-2024-be-the-hottest-oc-xe4n98b94o | Will October 2024 be the hottest October ever? [NCEI] | null | 1,725,377,401,642 | 1,731,513,504,310 | 1,731,513,504,310 | NO | 0.01 | 22,959.008127 | Geopolitics | Economic Indicators |
Si1DxLpnQfU4JDEBcmtn | will-trump-ever-run-as-an-independe | Will Trump ever run as an independent in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,672,341,189,884 | 1,730,953,355,592 | 1,730,953,355,592 | NO | 0.019498 | 11,953.40607 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
huLFNWopJzEfLaV2817w | will-bitcoin-reach-100k-usd-before | Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025? | null | 1,714,678,859,343 | 1,733,371,144,547 | 1,733,371,144,547 | YES | 0.99 | 2,557.888035 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
16FLwUCPAqQGBBcaAyxx | does-caroline-ellison-get-1-years-s | Does Caroline Ellison get >=1 years sentence? | null | 1,670,894,444,596 | 1,727,218,453,758 | 1,727,218,453,758 | YES | 0.98 | 26,765.038904 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
jUOcVBvl4LHEhkK7GBuG | will-the-raiders-trade-davante-adam | Will the Raiders trade Davante Adams in 2024? | null | 1,714,779,577,350 | 1,729,480,361,334 | 1,729,480,361,334 | YES | 0.99 | 1,332.066772 | Sports | Professional Sports |
c26fb89nsw | bounty-market-will-bounties-be-reen | Bounty market: will bounties be reenabled this week? | null | 1,728,271,601,993 | 1,728,536,386,927 | 1,728,536,386,927 | YES | 0.99 | 12,681.56057 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
TMT2REc2UH6frRPDRrwv | will-daniel-ricciardo-finish-ahead | Will Daniel Ricciardo finish ahead of Oliver Bearman in the 2024 WDC? | null | 1,711,642,761,079 | 1,733,671,105,996 | 1,733,671,105,996 | YES | 0.966147 | 5,837.628583 | Sports | Formula 1 |
txrcneyvfs | well-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h | Well the S&{P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 11 than it closed on Oct 4---(5751.07)? | null | 1,728,072,748,585 | 1,728,676,994,497 | 1,728,676,994,497 | YES | 0.99 | 2,435.165505 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
5OSZq5Ig9U | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-dec | Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Dec 1? | null | 1,732,230,754,980 | 1,733,029,594,977 | 1,733,029,594,977 | NO | 0.00922 | 4,803.051697 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
SOMdE8FNnNo6kJOO8M0N | will-manifold-reach-15000-daily-act | Will Manifold reach 15,000 daily active users (7-day average) before Oct 1st? | null | 1,708,423,189,534 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,886,125,306 | NO | 0.01 | 1,317,509.355551 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
5dfWX5Lh1DmrzZmb2R5t | will-taylor-swift-make-3-or-more-tw-64a9a6e1a55a | Will Taylor Swift make 3 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Sep 2024? | null | 1,707,011,705,284 | 1,727,755,196,395 | 1,727,788,580,730 | NO | 0.01 | 1,070.238848 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
O2Pn99SRQy | -world-series-game-5-dodgers-yankee | ⚾️ World Series Game 5 Dodgers @ Yankees: Will there be a run scored in the 1st inning? | null | 1,730,291,367,547 | 1,730,333,979,953 | 1,730,333,979,953 | YES | 0.99 | 10,299.871289 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Zk061MvIU7VfSUfcYujX | will-any-foreign-bank-loan-trump-mo | Will any foreign bank loan Trump money to pay any of his civil judgements before the general election? | null | 1,709,749,589,902 | 1,731,351,674,193 | 1,731,351,674,193 | NO | 0.125072 | 2,799.965185 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
p3aXpkCPch0szBfO8erz | will-california-ai-bill-sb1047-be-p | Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement? | null | 1,718,232,371,480 | 1,727,704,317,414 | 1,727,704,317,414 | NO | 0.01 | 17,774.492087 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
i354pkrhg5 | will-a-fourth-film-receive-a-cinema | Will a fourth film receive a CinemaScore of D+ or worse in 2024? | null | 1,728,152,803,258 | 1,735,576,664,765 | 1,735,576,664,765 | NO | 0.01 | 1,370.399528 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
amupippqva | will-bitcoin-hit-75k-in-2024 | Bitcoin $75K in 2024? | null | 1,723,268,904,446 | 1,730,874,175,893 | 1,730,874,175,893 | YES | 0.90996 | 40,570.063994 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
8086SGL1J3FXrHNxalkk | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t-d0c180c16e22 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,696,034,612,394 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,731,437,542,730 | NO | 0.012872 | 75,694.625441 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
18HRXo2LWzDqizrj8FEY | will-destiny-get-unbanned-from-twit-df967649e5f8 | Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024? | null | 1,696,266,955,235 | 1,727,819,940,000 | 1,727,840,219,661 | NO | 0 | 115,382.566545 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
XnTv9c6pA9bS0mvnxe0N | will-a-democrat-win-maines-second-d | Will a Democrat win Maine's second district in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,275,078,245 | 1,730,902,668,956 | 1,730,902,668,956 | NO | 0.055346 | 5,547.471776 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5rofilynsu | will-joker-folie-a-deux-gross-more-0ohhdhm2n6 | Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" gross more during its second weekend than "Morbius"? (>$10,201,332) | null | 1,728,491,717,584 | 1,729,092,889,986 | 1,729,092,889,986 | NO | 0.01 | 3,168.237025 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
8oI6cYgHBN3LmMuVaxoo | will-donald-trump-get-222-or-more-e | Will Donald Trump get 222 or more electoral votes in the 2024 election? | null | 1,714,773,260,842 | 1,731,098,929,225 | 1,731,098,929,225 | YES | 0.989604 | 7,907.786166 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pcajphx7wz | will-tucker-carlson-interview-donal | Will Tucker Carlson interview Donald Trump or JD Vance before November 2024? | null | 1,723,025,979,311 | 1,729,129,663,132 | 1,729,129,663,132 | YES | 0.99 | 10,138.701793 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
38fnzviqe3 | will-kamala-harris-lose-nc-but-win | Will Kamala Harris lose NC but win a different Trump 2020 state? | null | 1,727,471,363,015 | 1,730,938,353,493 | 1,730,938,353,493 | NO | 0.010521 | 12,569.77395 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aNn0cNOVFyqh5yPRyBWI | will-a-major-event-occur-that-trigg | Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024? | null | 1,704,866,435,212 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,880,130,043 | NO | 0.030517 | 1,914.450125 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
Y3WjVnkO1hZupZRQVzOx | will-democrats-win-a-majority-in-th-a7def3d60d9c | Will Democrats win a majority in the Wisconsin State Assembly in 2024? | null | 1,691,250,643,601 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,382,550,703 | NO | 0.01 | 1,981.157367 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vE9J4RgGsmEYEJMuD8Fm | will-a-republican-win-arizona-in-th | Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,273,149,326 | 1,731,431,324,098 | 1,731,431,324,098 | YES | 0.99 | 3,181.726565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
iHa5VT8GdZGbFsrAwpit | will-democrats-win-more-house-seats | Will Democrats win more House seats in Pennsylvania than Republicans in 2024? | null | 1,713,033,049,431 | 1,731,139,140,000 | 1,731,199,402,865 | NO | 0.015859 | 1,377 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dct0uR5cpP | will-the-nikkei-225-close-today-hig | Will the Nikkei 225 close today higher than its previous day close? | null | 1,730,345,558,928 | 1,730,370,148,040 | 1,730,370,148,040 | NO | 0.010305 | 8,800 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
f3nfyviz6t | metaculus-will-a-israelhamas-confli | [Metaculus] Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | null | 1,721,781,558,797 | 1,731,082,691,048 | 1,731,082,691,048 | NO | 0.022655 | 16,312.202181 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ww8ud9fhbr | will-elon-musk-donate-at-least-100 | Will Elon Musk donate at least $100 million to a Republican-aligned PAC or campaign in 2024? | null | 1,721,106,952,930 | 1,734,397,084,650 | 1,734,397,084,650 | YES | 0.853286 | 3,295.456787 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PpAOhRNQ2l | will-congressional-hearings-on-uaps | Will congressional hearings on UAPs and disclosure occur in November 2024? | null | 1,730,201,804,604 | 1,732,143,313,804 | 1,732,143,313,804 | YES | 0.908626 | 2,552.096084 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
PaZ8087ZprL8N6XuQtKX | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-mich | If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,307,398 | 1,730,927,740,842 | 1,730,927,740,842 | YES | 0.99 | 1,264.281541 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RWELhVPPBuOKrX8nHzJX | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-kan | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Los Angeles Chargers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,538,834 | 1,733,880,000,000 | 1,733,931,559,970 | YES | 0.996117 | 2,378.179058 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4JNXJvUWOk33ZDAkhEkY | by-the-end-of-2024-will-any-new-202 | By the end of 2024, will any new 2024 seasonal TV anime have hit 1 million people who have listed it on MAL? | null | 1,709,329,603,286 | 1,735,661,765,111 | 1,735,661,765,111 | NO | 0.010003 | 1,325.064086 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
jkROOhDIvVBIwXyBvmBb | will-rfk-jr-get-above-5-in-the-2024 | Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election? | null | 1,697,491,827,146 | 1,735,016,340,000 | 1,735,403,888,690 | NO | 0.010193 | 28,396.481564 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4MoiPGdzTODzgmokBwS1 | will-the-google-trend-border-reach | Will the google trend "Border" reach a new peak before the 2024 election? | null | 1,713,386,872,153 | 1,731,200,680,586 | 1,731,200,680,586 | NO | 0.019648 | 1,216.336162 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
AM1axfn3jAan7o8XYSfW | will-zubear-abdi-face-legal-trouble | Will Zubear Abdi face legal trouble for sharing explicit photos of Taylor Swift generated by AI? | null | 1,706,325,404,031 | 1,735,616,743,943 | 1,735,616,743,943 | NO | 0.01 | 5,599.039612 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
43c5jhxmkt | will-the-nyt-run-a-frontpage-headli | Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election? | null | 1,723,757,533,832 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,876,125,327 | NO | 0.033406 | 15,434.141493 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
18rpxi4q7o | will-apple-remain-the-largest-compa | Will Apple remain the largest company through October? | null | 1,728,750,191,472 | 1,729,876,694,469 | 1,729,876,694,469 | NO | 0.01 | 1,918.477989 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
xyZDGlri9K6lnn28wmqP | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-e90ed9e70107 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 4M views? | null | 1,707,191,827,138 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,733,860,060,384 | YES | 0.99 | 1,386.453113 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
smJzQxrkKXbLC9fTPtYQ | will-xi-jinping-visit-any-country-i | Will Xi Jinping visit any country in Africa by the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,944,894,099 | 1,732,536,331,121 | 1,732,536,331,121 | YES | 0.99 | 1,311.781974 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
jDqZVlZV8Ac4jTspgV3q | will-georgia-stay-blue-in-2024 | Will Georgia stay blue in 2024 | null | 1,693,666,977,286 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,879,795,847 | NO | 0.09772 | 7,630.21356 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
u1dmx1xs51 | will-acro-trip-tv-rate-700-or-highe | Will Acro Trip (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList? | null | 1,728,050,050,107 | 1,734,526,740,000 | 1,734,527,197,776 | NO | 0.0601 | 3,504.555728 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
uit0MGNWsOZQ9IJOYnBY | will-gary-gensler-resign-from-his-p | Will Gary Gensler resign from his position before 2024 ends? | null | 1,693,429,485,750 | 1,732,459,189,820 | 1,732,459,189,820 | YES | 0.163205 | 4,366.190758 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
1nz71mcbvo | will-musk-and-maduro-schedule-a-fig | Will Elon Musk and Nicolás Maduro schedule a fight before the end of 2024? | null | 1,722,445,909,225 | 1,735,581,427,178 | 1,735,581,427,178 | NO | 0.01 | 1,745.189332 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2TPvfvT9lgl25LpQ1Xhs | will-taylor-swift-attend-a-campaign | Will Taylor Swift attend a campaign event for Joe Biden in 2024? | null | 1,709,238,082,773 | 1,730,603,119,872 | 1,730,603,119,872 | NO | 0.01 | 1,843.428106 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cc2sLZ6StZ | daily-coinflip-UzIIR6qutQ | Daily coinflip | null | 1,734,234,494,482 | 1,734,325,140,000 | 1,734,329,005,276 | NO | 0.490494 | 2,564.147941 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
44yOeiEbld5hDz0TtE9z | nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-was | NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Chicago Bears (away)? | null | 1,715,834,146,099 | 1,730,078,805,728 | 1,730,078,805,728 | YES | 0.99 | 1,325.843272 | Sports | Professional Sports |
b4q0LODuk8gox7ETFj03 | metaculus-will-the-current-european | [Metaculus] Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regul... before October 31, 2024? | null | 1,699,489,001,175 | 1,730,530,740,000 | 1,730,666,644,541 | NO | 0.011318 | 1,386.999624 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
wzz8e4gi5r | will-israeli-troops-enter-the-count-2zi8xd9mif | Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of Halloween? | null | 1,720,311,345,750 | 1,727,758,286,897 | 1,727,758,286,897 | YES | 0.99 | 17,851.468268 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
Fu65ybnYsf2dtY8dlTLp | will-the-panama-canal-be-closed-for | Will the Panama Canal be closed for at least 24 hours in 2024 due to a man-made disaster? | null | 1,712,762,919,633 | 1,735,680,015,763 | 1,735,680,015,763 | NO | 0.040534 | 2,727 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
N96XISoQnmK8nCAeqmki | will-jimmy-carter-die-in-2024 | Will Jimmy Carter die in 2024? | null | 1,703,624,953,482 | 1,735,508,499,551 | 1,735,587,474,631 | YES | 0.996016 | 95,193.448615 | Politics | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
e2q1xpu3tt | will-kamala-harris-win-the-popular | Will Kamala Harris win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College? | null | 1,726,309,875,625 | 1,730,953,295,957 | 1,730,953,295,957 | NO | 0.01 | 19,959.667901 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6kyC0zqK8ozUdBJlBBWT | will-the-twins-win-87-or-more-games | Will the Twins win 87 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,732,988,812 | 1,727,458,118,852 | 1,727,458,118,852 | NO | 0.01 | 1,288.316623 | Sports | Professional Sports |
7pp1ac35es | will-any-sweepstakes-market-cross-1 | Will any sweepstakes market cross $10,000 in total volume in 2024? | null | 1,726,594,806,794 | 1,727,200,143,374 | 1,727,200,143,374 | YES | 0.99 | 9,833.126833 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
JesXpCG8NfxlBxMqUlMu | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-19d0d7c91571 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Georgia be greater than in 2020 (0.3%)? | null | 1,707,672,690,921 | 1,731,044,798,110 | 1,731,044,798,110 | YES | 0.99 | 2,255.823607 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9Ut8ZS6O6U | will-kamala-harris-appear-on-the-jo | Will Kamala Harris appear on the Joe Rogan podcast before the November 2024 election? | null | 1,729,869,772,243 | 1,730,822,340,000 | 1,730,831,387,540 | NO | 0.008361 | 1,631.533269 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mkbiu1216h | will-manifold-think-that-kamala-wou-spuzqvuu1j | Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of chess if both have one month to prepare? | null | 1,724,493,056,620 | 1,727,150,340,000 | 1,727,455,177,210 | YES | 0.98 | 1,074.182349 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MU5sBBKf4wXhu36jvh9d | will-world-chess-championship-2024 | Will World Chess Championship 2024 be a close match? | null | 1,713,900,580,415 | 1,732,712,014,320 | 1,732,712,014,320 | YES | 0.950681 | 4,668.66124 | Sports | Individual Sports |
2PR83ndJofIB5yE5eNdW | soai-23-310-will-selfimproving-al-a | SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)? | null | 1,697,652,393,670 | 1,728,661,552,303 | 1,728,661,552,303 | NO | 0.06 | 8,977.769598 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
nw8yxskRMyhJB0MQzKNw | will-the-democrats-win-a-majority-i | Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections? | null | 1,679,174,782,879 | 1,731,711,300,842 | 1,731,711,300,842 | NO | 0.009742 | 1,089,412.789441 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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