id stringlengths 9 20 | market_slug stringlengths 5 54 | question stringlengths 10 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,735B | closeTime int64 1,704B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 1k 3.75M | pred_category stringclasses 11 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 38 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
b1gcemzj04 | will-jake-paul-win-a-boxing-match-a | Will Jake Paul win a boxing match against Mike Tyson by the end of 2025? | null | 1,729,692,824,361 | 1,731,875,122,830 | 1,731,875,122,830 | YES | 0.99625 | 57,977.385763 | Sports | Individual Sports |
ybxdpmd9hr | will-a-mana-market-resolve-differen | Will a Mana market resolve differently from its Sweep market in 2024? | null | 1,729,649,719,080 | 1,735,590,860,386 | 1,735,590,860,386 | YES | 0.99 | 1,251.524894 | Sports | Professional Sports |
YEm7vYpaOXiNNxq3OUvk | will-any-new-legislation-be-introdu | Will any new legislation be introduced as a result of the Key Bridge collapse? | null | 1,711,444,201,763 | 1,734,505,609,907 | 1,734,505,609,907 | YES | 0.99 | 12,625.946322 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
6Ku2DK6ExlaRk5NHgUen | will-china-russia-andor-the-us-deto | Will China, Russia, and/or the US detonate a nuclear device in their respective territories before 1 October 2024? | null | 1,701,309,581,756 | 1,727,841,540,000 | 1,727,865,856,013 | NO | 0.01 | 1,602.04581 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
iv2zu8pen2 | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-8txrq9t9by | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1129 and 1130? | null | 1,727,813,857,030 | 1,728,413,340,678 | 1,728,413,344,705 | NO | 0.02 | 6,750 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
3tsOfcaXVSoQt0iweyJ7 | will-incremental-compilation-make-i | Will incremental compilation make it into Zig before July 2024? | null | 1,702,745,190,173 | 1,719,784,740,000 | 1,735,385,477,159 | NO | 0.1 | 1,916.210612 | Technology | Computing & Software |
Z9Vhc0L7hohKYRtugnYU | will-joker-2-have-a-twist-revealing | Will Joker 2 have a twist revealing Lady Gaga's character was just in Joker's head? | null | 1,712,724,559,331 | 1,728,100,740,000 | 1,728,838,318,819 | NO | 0.02 | 13,769.435113 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
fS5Y0XZiYQZY8OGDW6lk | will-javier-milei-still-be-presiden | Will Javier Milei still be president of Argentina one year after assuming the country's presidency on 10/12/2024? | null | 1,703,620,782,513 | 1,729,035,245,364 | 1,729,035,245,364 | YES | 0.99 | 11,670.945377 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tbpBkariGnsF14JmFpit | will-mistral-ai-be-acquired-by-sept | Will Mistral AI be acquired by September 1st 2024? | null | 1,709,077,769,494 | 1,725,260,340,000 | 1,726,999,803,353 | NO | 0.01 | 2,642.202151 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
tYRzxaxhDLPIiQzrYdmo | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-9f6672cd9c02 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Utah? | null | 1,670,815,614,072 | 1,731,293,241,937 | 1,731,293,241,937 | NO | 0.01 | 4,688.28736 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
N1vTst7aLqcWPJBg2Onk | will-trump-pay-any-money-for-defami | Will Trump pay any money for defaming columnist E. Jean Carroll before the US Presidential Elections 2024? | null | 1,706,344,887,029 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,881,784,896 | NO | 0.072657 | 3,275.270958 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
LKPTt18Jyxo9uvDkyfQn | will-the-2024-republican-nominee-fo | Will the 2024 Republican nominee for President remain the nominee through Election Day? | null | 1,698,509,705,186 | 1,730,851,055,312 | 1,730,851,055,312 | YES | 0.99 | 5,040.830062 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BtWotE7iHzpPCYOY9JOL | nfl-week-7-oct-21-will-the-tampa-ba | NFL Week 7 (Oct 21): Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Baltimore Ravens? | null | 1,715,834,074,900 | 1,729,728,900,000 | 1,729,816,036,614 | NO | 0.01 | 1,013.065791 | Sports | Professional Sports |
388y75oklr | will-manifold-enable-realmoney-bett | Will Manifold enable real-money betting on Congressional races? | null | 1,725,741,070,467 | 1,727,957,467,920 | 1,727,957,467,920 | YES | 0.99 | 33,279.475185 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ge5bdpwggx | will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w-bt0bl46d01 | Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "racist" during the debate? | null | 1,727,814,232,848 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,728,349,674,343 | NO | 0.01 | 14,353.785313 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
UYl4ZuaEITKOHTQZgm8O | when-the-current-500k-grant-for-man-9aa6ef92353a | When the current $500k grant for Manifold For Charity runs out, will the charity program continue? | null | 1,682,110,594,150 | 1,726,962,316,360 | 1,727,959,085,722 | YES | 0.84 | 1,324.701173 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
lUh6s5uP62 | will-tsla-reach-475-before-8pm-est-UUEPEsu95L | Will TSLA reach $475 before 8pm EST on 8/8/2025? | null | 1,733,504,368,432 | 1,734,464,063,109 | 1,734,464,063,109 | YES | 0.982421 | 1,054.049248 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
qUBnbLnMIuElyJPAYaUT | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-51af5a4e6350 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Florida be greater than in 2020 (3.3%)? | null | 1,707,051,346,669 | 1,730,913,692,135 | 1,730,913,692,135 | YES | 0.99 | 2,635.500911 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lGRdNA9fpvRvl2p9XBG2 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-98486909d387 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Iowa? | null | 1,670,814,669,053 | 1,731,293,757,981 | 1,731,293,757,981 | NO | 0.01 | 14,184.682146 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4QkctcRT7M52V80LQKuk | nfl-week-15-dec-15-2024-will-the-ho | NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Houston Texans (home) beat the Miami Dolphins (away)? | null | 1,715,834,554,368 | 1,734,458,400,000 | 1,735,276,172,153 | YES | 0.989823 | 1,141.613893 | Sports | Team Sports |
91iyjrhs6z | short-fuze-will-openai-release-stra-gal8881uzv | [short fuze] Will OpenAI release strawberry on ChatGPT today (Sep. 12)? | null | 1,726,151,150,597 | 1,726,264,740,000 | 1,727,182,673,039 | YES | 0.99 | 1,473.96035 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
biaKFKeHsUs7qzBy1O3R | will-the-cryptocurrency-markets-tot | Will the cryptocurrency market's total market capitalization set a new all-time high within the next 10 years? | null | 1,668,755,555,594 | 1,734,071,832,601 | 1,734,071,832,601 | YES | 0.989041 | 14,720.093184 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2qf99iti0c | will-bloomberg-launch-a-page-contai | Will Bloomberg launch a page containing Manifold data? | null | 1,724,483,386,368 | 1,730,752,823,358 | 1,730,752,823,358 | YES | 0.99 | 1,056.285259 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
V2zdLhHaMOxM2PLN34ge | nfl-week-17-dec-29-2024-will-the-bu | NFL Week 17 (Dec 29 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the New York Jets (away)? | null | 1,715,834,669,850 | 1,735,668,000,000 | 1,735,669,076,100 | YES | 0.99 | 1,000.333479 | Sports | Team Sports |
lrk91kn65h | will-trump-win-arizona-and-michigan | Will Trump win Arizona AND Michigan? | null | 1,728,932,987,371 | 1,731,560,340,000 | 1,731,560,450,575 | YES | 0.989921 | 1,541.287017 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nLwiScRZuhKKijnQc4cU | will-rfk-influence-the-presidential | Will RFK get at least 10 million popular votes in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,710,602,641,093 | 1,730,748,900,000 | 1,735,407,479,830 | NO | 0.033861 | 5,091.60751 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kFcfuvuNuxpOfGT8io43 | will-the-phaseout-of-coal-from-the | Will the phaseout of Coal from the UK power grid be completed as planned in September 2024? | null | 1,710,011,419,097 | 1,727,767,013,873 | 1,727,767,013,873 | YES | 0.97 | 6,803.439107 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
t5UHNC3750wBROpoQYEp | will-shanks-and-luffy-meet-again-in | Will Shanks and Luffy meet again in person before the end of 2024? | null | 1,709,668,631,706 | 1,735,671,591,393 | 1,735,671,591,393 | NO | 0.023503 | 1,260.999974 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
846vucfw5s | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-izvg4vcjv9 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 9 than it closed on Oct 8? | null | 1,728,417,896,359 | 1,728,504,130,981 | 1,728,504,130,981 | YES | 0.99 | 1,146.322482 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
g61fsj6a8k | will-trump-win-arizona-and-north-ca | Will Trump win Arizona AND North Carolina? | null | 1,729,091,757,344 | 1,731,560,340,000 | 1,731,560,458,782 | YES | 0.99 | 1,001.141522 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aS8U3TrXjd7fW2KXOfnq | will-the-next-australian-federal-el-54cefcaca36b | Will the next Australian federal election happen in 2024? | null | 1,685,950,005,508 | 1,735,636,865,289 | 1,735,636,865,289 | NO | 0.010003 | 2,005.510488 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
JDyjFmIQr1yRqndo5ogL | will-nvidia-have-more-than-75-of-th | Will NVIDIA have more than 75% of the Data center market share by revenue in 2024? | null | 1,702,915,877,742 | 1,734,271,661,436 | 1,734,271,661,436 | YES | 0.874133 | 2,794.162403 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
mpbr1o2h02 | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-7p9jno7a18 | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,726,855,330,233 | 1,726,869,729,738 | 1,726,869,815,789 | YES | null | 1,919.116114 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
PeHlYXP12QTTFpWjn235 | if-donald-trump-is-the-2024-nominee | If Donald Trump is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election? | null | 1,674,459,940,037 | 1,730,926,518,402 | 1,730,926,518,402 | YES | 0.9866 | 12,964.341374 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DJOSvpDykIfb2AUnFBeB | 2024-formula-1-season-will-any-race | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will any race be canceled or switched before the start of its respective race weekend? | null | 1,691,770,731,648 | 1,733,685,853,938 | 1,733,685,853,938 | NO | 0.012154 | 11,106.486026 | Sports | Professional Sports |
WA8sqABMSw4H3mhFRZr2 | will-cruises-driverless-robotaxi-se | Will Cruise's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2024 | null | 1,698,649,516,418 | 1,733,867,146,588 | 1,733,867,146,588 | YES | 0.859541 | 4,743.872361 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
1vm0yc679d | will-harris-win-the-popular-vote-in | Will Harris win the popular vote in the 2024 Election? | null | 1,728,991,235,106 | 1,732,753,237,767 | 1,732,753,237,767 | NO | 0.01 | 44,138.067157 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
K19YMoUiaJ7FpSXX7Pd3 | will-ron-desantis-appear-on-the-joe | Will Ron DeSantis appear on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the 2024 US elections? | null | 1,669,115,984,040 | 1,731,328,909,015 | 1,731,328,909,015 | NO | 0.01 | 12,641.743024 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mA90DR34Y0lwFgBrw4L2 | will-mitch-mcconnell-stop-being-sen-d1c5e8a93cb4 | Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027? | null | 1,704,243,463,487 | 1,731,528,753,594 | 1,731,528,753,594 | YES | 0.981557 | 4,895.342032 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
syq5cQpCL0 | will-biden-pardon-more-people-than | Will Biden have pardoned more people than Trump (2017-2021)? | null | 1,733,134,113,403 | 1,733,304,881,992 | 1,733,304,881,992 | YES | 0.968888 | 12,469.541912 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
onAx6NxL62R6NoFl8NjM | will-najee-harris-still-be-we-the-p | Will Najee Harris still be we the Pittsburgh Steelers next season (2024-25)? | null | 1,704,913,563,399 | 1,728,929,361,050 | 1,728,929,361,050 | YES | 0.99 | 2,536.516093 | Sports | Professional Sports |
O0KXOYyLehJ7biXIw6Mn | will-liam-lawson-drive-in-a-race-fo | Will Liam Lawson drive in a race for Visa Cash App RB before the 2024 Formula 1 season is over? | null | 1,711,377,108,895 | 1,731,258,058,964 | 1,731,258,058,964 | YES | 0.99 | 13,532.195333 | Sports | Professional Sports |
2jHU0AtX5N8HdpULKaca | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-43a29b540bb5 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Ohio? | null | 1,670,815,304,124 | 1,731,093,015,965 | 1,731,093,015,965 | NO | 0.01 | 11,008.66825 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6worzd97r3 | will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-this-week | Will AI wipe out humanity this week? | null | 1,727,844,265,913 | 1,728,457,140,000 | 1,728,483,976,410 | NO | 0.01 | 1,099.913657 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
cdsREM7mGmYaCu2Uv8K9 | nfl-week-9-oct-31-2024-will-the-new | NFL Week 9 (Oct 31 2024): Will the New York Jets (home) beat the Houston Texans (away)? | null | 1,715,834,165,141 | 1,730,592,900,000 | 1,730,650,113,490 | YES | 0.988904 | 1,052.149658 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Wk2yCqxWzu7AUHyovBJR | will-openais-ai-video-model-sora-be-0162150a561e | Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024 or 2025? | null | 1,708,038,969,856 | 1,733,819,573,330 | 1,733,819,578,598 | YES | 0.989423 | 12,945.581085 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
5plRlnCqdS | will-manifold-have-downtime-on-elec | Will Manifold have downtime on Election Day? | null | 1,730,234,423,924 | 1,730,905,983,014 | 1,730,905,983,014 | NO | 0.074175 | 1,449.985995 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7u71y0vgby | will-the-detroit-tigers-beat-the-cl | Will the Detroit Tigers beat the Cleveland Guardians in the ALDS? | null | 1,727,979,619,470 | 1,728,791,940,000 | 1,728,828,592,009 | NO | 0.01 | 2,005.12542 | Sports | Professional Sports |
h6uypLsLcR | will-this-market-close-above-80-tO8gt2u92R | Will this market close above 80%? | null | 1,732,080,241,115 | 1,732,769,940,000 | 1,732,771,968,576 | NO | 0.016584 | 18,128.624175 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2obRchqs7An6hcadl1mZ | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t-3bbca8d4f6fc | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,696,034,594,043 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,732,277,571,902 | NO | 0.012663 | 26,357.872165 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ilu9p6k4ac | grand-sweep-launch-next-wed | Grand Sweep Launch next Wed?! | null | 1,726,861,755,807 | 1,727,307,588,061 | 1,727,307,588,061 | YES | 0.99 | 13,666.642933 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
z8tja9FEh4hyAHl0mIXs | nfl-week-3-sep-19-will-the-new-york | NFL Week 3 (Sep 19): Will the New York Jets beat the New England Patriots? | null | 1,715,833,600,981 | 1,726,881,984,301 | 1,726,881,984,301 | YES | 0.99 | 1,100.818263 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6hwqQiRV6aByJVlTi5SF | will-the-500-poll-reach-its-goal-be-230803cd62e8 | Will the "500 Poll" reach it's goal before end of Halloween? | null | 1,709,651,557,078 | 1,730,429,255,086 | 1,730,429,255,086 | NO | 0.01001 | 1,861.465261 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8iwv34g7DsR80kxRYFwM | will-any-video-game-released-in-nov | Will any video game released in November have a Metacritic score of 95 or higher? | null | 1,708,198,228,636 | 1,733,201,940,000 | 1,733,232,062,216 | NO | 0.010416 | 1,642.282711 | Entertainment | Gaming |
D5d6UWkfVUPEmva2KyTr | will-nikki-haley-be-on-the-2024-rep | Will Nikki Haley be on the 2024 Republican Presidential ticket? | null | 1,701,317,545,344 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,732,219,761,286 | NO | 0.01 | 3,860.852566 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WV2EAf58rppPbIpdueqQ | will-vaush-publicly-apologise-to-de | Will Vaush publicly apologise to Destiny before the 2024 US election? | null | 1,695,233,705,162 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,730,937,655,206 | NO | 0.046705 | 5,904.497526 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
5wuf734zxk | will-donald-trump-replace-jd-vance | Will Donald Trump replace J.D. Vance with RFK as his running mate before the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,724,538,949,186 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,437,548,857 | NO | 0.005635 | 3,293.584914 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0jhM5sRUAxvY7EfTS6TA | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-a4cb26116cb8 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in South Carolina? | null | 1,670,815,544,022 | 1,731,293,662,790 | 1,731,293,662,790 | NO | 0.01 | 4,465.525727 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mjovCwMlwhQYWS6al6hA | will-kanye-west-receive-over-5-of-t | Will Kanye West receive over 5% of the votes during the US 2024 election? | null | 1,680,879,838,281 | 1,730,678,340,000 | 1,731,437,560,837 | NO | 0.01045 | 4,780.2682 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ONuNA5Ec6C | will-a-manifold-user-be-charged-wit | Will a Manifold user be charged with the killing of UnitedHealth CEO Brian Thompson? | null | 1,733,769,853,106 | 1,733,805,077,348 | 1,733,805,077,348 | YES | 0.962981 | 3,948.108865 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
0p4ailvG0PTCF84hkbSH | will-terrapowers-kemmerer-power-sta | Will TerraPower's Kemmerer Power Station Unit 1 begin construction in 2024? | null | 1,714,402,219,097 | 1,735,653,128,630 | 1,735,653,128,630 | YES | 0.99 | 1,849.902867 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
AxjVvY3ODsYROrnOgANi | will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai | Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024? | null | 1,718,133,363,976 | 1,733,288,340,000 | 1,733,520,494,791 | NO | 0.02288 | 889,075.399995 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
rqrfbtuexg | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-on-rbfjjy45wz | Will Donald Trump still be alive on November 1st, 2024? | null | 1,727,681,097,261 | 1,730,440,740,000 | 1,730,474,685,091 | YES | 0.99 | 2,389.606961 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5AgcUPttRO | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-play-a | Will the Kansas City Chiefs play a perfect regular season? (No losses) | null | 1,731,270,200,602 | 1,731,889,607,952 | 1,731,889,607,952 | NO | 0.154937 | 5,644.183807 | Sports | Professional Sports |
g8rxjml0f7 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-elect | Will Jimmy Carter be alive on Election Day (Nov 5) 2024? | null | 1,719,584,874,647 | 1,730,845,465,194 | 1,730,845,465,194 | YES | 0.99 | 19,372.697266 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LgbMtrprovzrZ8LNt9Ig | will-israel-and-lebanonhezbollah-go-542882699778 | Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war before 2025? | null | 1,703,706,227,181 | 1,727,653,236,559 | 1,727,653,236,559 | YES | 0.85 | 77,675.114339 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
teXdzskPcoaAe8K5Izmz | 2024-formula-1-season-will-charles | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Charles Leclerc beat Carlos Sainz in the Drivers Championship? | null | 1,700,757,884,781 | 1,733,685,468,190 | 1,733,685,468,190 | YES | 0.99 | 13,037.842055 | Sports | Individual Sports |
rVMq52rKitn2Aup1vRd7 | republicans-will-run-the-table-in-2 | Republicans will run the table in 2024: Winning White House, Senate, and House | null | 1,704,394,500,150 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,733,248,259,203 | YES | 0.99 | 7,924.429874 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gEu0UgdPA2 | will-this-market-get-at-least-100-t | Will this market get at least 100 traders? | null | 1,733,379,686,380 | 1,733,711,530,159 | 1,733,711,530,159 | YES | 0.99 | 22,129.432178 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
bSYxkFxp8LP2WeZejmxm | will-ron-desantis-win-the-2024-us-p | Will Ron Desantis win the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,682,649,834,289 | 1,730,841,865,907 | 1,730,841,865,907 | NO | 0.019176 | 9,413.263648 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s5a2ljhray | is-the-cbzmanagement-twitter-accoun | Is the @CbzManagement Twitter account genuine? | null | 1,728,916,467,478 | 1,731,571,140,000 | 1,731,593,996,409 | YES | 0.916779 | 1,957.919537 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Ql2CAlqtls | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-SUN09ZZl9Z | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Dec23 than it closed on Dec 20? | null | 1,734,727,631,240 | 1,734,987,733,168 | 1,734,987,733,168 | YES | 0.985541 | 1,866.1375 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
6UU92zAyd6 | will-the-ohio-state-buckeyes-defeat | Will the Ohio State Buckeyes defeat the Michigan Wolverines in football on November 30, 2024 | null | 1,732,984,419,033 | 1,733,005,135,030 | 1,733,005,148,922 | NO | 0.010133 | 18,349.736877 | Sports | Team Sports |
1w5r84gjyl | will-starship-flight-5-conduct-a-si | Will Starship flight 5 conduct a simulated deorbit burn? | null | 1,723,001,742,513 | 1,729,352,640,046 | 1,729,352,640,046 | NO | 0.01 | 9,230 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
LCABfbgg6BbVLvgeCFuk | -will-suno-ai-get-boughtacquired-in | 🎶 Will Suno AI get bought/acquired in 2024? | null | 1,711,555,686,174 | 1,735,686,975,751 | 1,735,686,975,751 | NO | 0.057885 | 3,476.039954 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
svuclD0NfaWWTkpVw4VC | will-moana-2-2024-gross-more-domest | Will Moana 2 (2024) gross more domestically at the box office than Moana (2016)? | null | 1,709,962,191,058 | 1,734,365,454,819 | 1,734,365,454,819 | YES | 0.99 | 9,062.637848 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ZpZAZlKS38EmUPuNhvpL | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-when-bor | Will Jimmy Carter be alive when Borderlands 4 comes out? | null | 1,709,921,159,181 | 1,735,518,339,314 | 1,735,518,339,314 | NO | 0.01 | 1,616.272212 | Entertainment | Gaming |
ptcvib2nu1 | yes-ls5bp73bou | yes (this market will resolve no) | null | 1,726,273,527,645 | 1,726,901,940,000 | 1,727,543,800,591 | NO | 0.01 | 1,521.5052 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
e6TPjx9FRS83o0QKHqFP | 2024-formula-1-season-will-alpine-w | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Alpine will have a double DNF in a race? | null | 1,709,179,956,599 | 1,733,685,608,268 | 1,733,685,608,268 | NO | 0.01 | 1,360.231168 | Sports | Professional Sports |
yNjswVJzJFqxA62XPzRP | will-joe-biden-pardon-or-commute-th | Will Joe Biden pardon or commute the sentence of Hunter Biden? | null | 1,694,126,743,451 | 1,733,159,212,075 | 1,733,159,212,075 | YES | 0.991988 | 93,994.618961 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
eQ6M1QozyZamPn1KkuSK | will-openai-be-valued-at-more-or-le | Will OpenAI be valued at more than $90 billion by the end of 2030? | null | 1,697,373,979,634 | 1,727,890,248,067 | 1,727,890,248,067 | YES | 0.99 | 11,762.564634 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
w98H81Q1p7NnZHCSIfdC | will-the-prime-rate-be-higher-a-yea | Will the prime rate be higher a year from now? | null | 1,698,269,673,137 | 1,729,976,340,000 | 1,729,978,461,619 | NO | 0.01 | 1,427.060009 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
BVJYD7FdlQiapPWZU7Xz | will-rashida-tlaib-leave-the-democr | Will Rashida Tlaib leave the Democratic Party by the end of October 2024? | null | 1,698,711,612,130 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,552,355,790 | NO | 0.010119 | 2,165.027319 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
RXeuDXl7SKsRPPMkXa3Q | will-kier-starmer-still-be-leader-o | Will Kier Starmer still be leader of the Labour Party (UK) on 1st January 2025? | null | 1,705,887,914,098 | 1,735,687,492,620 | 1,735,687,492,620 | YES | 0.986672 | 11,988.066716 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
08eninZJaExCkrfX7EAB | will-a-new-type-of-ai-model-replace | Will a new type of AI model replace transformers as the state-of-the-art artificial intelligence technology by 2024? | null | 1,702,897,094,152 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,688,373,220 | NO | 0.096823 | 1,810.689066 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
sct7xj08c1 | someone-sweeps-seven-swing-states--cash | Someone sweeps seven swing states? | null | 1,728,878,488,104 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,731,050,106,179 | YES | 0.990063 | 4,514.767471 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
j92uuvujrz | kamala-positive-favorability-before | Kamala positive favorability before October? | null | 1,724,820,294,115 | 1,727,038,338,783 | 1,727,038,338,783 | YES | 0.99 | 18,117.215246 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
P7FJHLGrurCu6iA53Ne0 | will-the-rust-belt-tossup-states-vo | Will the Rust Belt tossup states vote more Democratic than the Sun Belt swing states in 2024? | null | 1,705,693,918,235 | 1,732,211,733,023 | 1,732,211,733,023 | YES | 0.99 | 1,025.322521 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YqL6t76nfERYYm6uUS1F | will-eliezer-yudkowsky-release-the | Will Eliezer Yudkowsky release the official HPMOR epilogue before the end of 2024? | null | 1,677,600,984,444 | 1,733,077,740,000 | 1,733,976,259,122 | NO | 0.050604 | 1,430.625205 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
gLvEHniAUT18ccV6lIhj | president-biden-will-withdraw-from | President Biden will withdraw from Democrat nomination or nomination race for health reasons. | null | 1,687,098,276,761 | 1,725,986,047,953 | 1,735,158,747,544 | NO | 0.147315 | 15,420.078641 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1zllJzois50KYZmzXErZ | will-wikipedia-change-its-name-to-d | Will Wikipedia change its name to Dickipedia, any time this year? | null | 1,697,991,816,804 | 1,729,510,440,000 | 1,729,512,222,151 | NO | 0.01 | 3,109.01777 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
rCyXDoyhJB7hgwOdWCbe | nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-lo | NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Los Angeles Chargers (home) beat the Cincinnati Bengals (away)? | null | 1,715,834,255,322 | 1,732,051,500,000 | 1,732,580,841,271 | YES | 0.99 | 1,382.916598 | Sports | Professional Sports |
f7b851hsb1 | will-americans-favour-kamala-harris | Will Americans favour Kamala Harris over Joe Biden on election day? | null | 1,721,687,703,608 | 1,730,832,635,912 | 1,730,832,635,912 | YES | 0.977726 | 6,548.500011 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uhn9IOLNq9 | reported-damage-in-san-francisco-du | Reported damage in San Francisco due to earthquake or tsunami by December 6, 2024 | null | 1,733,427,767,858 | 1,733,490,458,243 | 1,733,490,458,243 | NO | 0.545686 | 2,547.222534 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
QlUqOIP9Rl | will-they-rig-the-election | Will they rig the election? | null | 1,730,775,515,883 | 1,730,905,140,000 | 1,732,666,542,143 | NO | 0.035241 | 5,901.878442 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
78PeBDPVYcjqyR5pQbd0 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-ce2346d046b9 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Destiny's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 600k views? | null | 1,706,581,081,007 | 1,727,755,196,395 | 1,727,788,575,840 | NO | 0.01 | 1,006.558499 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
alt2o6br9q | will-kamala-harris-publicly-admit-t | Will Kamala Harris publicly admit that she didn't actually work at McDonalds at some point before election day? | null | 1,725,059,028,840 | 1,730,805,659,489 | 1,730,805,659,489 | NO | 0.010001 | 19,582.901751 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
b9o5faybe1 | will-the-2024-democratic-nominee-ap | Will the 2024 Democratic nominee appear on the ballot in Ohio? | null | 1,721,663,369,812 | 1,729,188,435,110 | 1,729,188,435,110 | YES | 0.99 | 7,201.540085 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
m5og72By32oNqmxTv0Rg | will-chris-sununu-run-for-president | Will Chris Sununu run for president (by 2024)? | null | 1,675,207,776,556 | 1,731,026,557,364 | 1,731,026,557,364 | NO | 0.01 | 1,910.112471 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fglE1FGOrVg0KIw4kMQR | nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-minnesot | NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Minnesota Vikings beat the Detroit Lions? | null | 1,715,834,062,343 | 1,729,616,400,000 | 1,730,164,675,542 | NO | 0.01 | 1,369.281054 | Sports | Professional Sports |
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