id stringlengths 9 20 | market_slug stringlengths 5 54 | question stringlengths 10 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,735B | closeTime int64 1,704B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 1k 3.75M | pred_category stringclasses 11 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 38 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
hhnUhg5pty | will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie | Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025 | null | 1,731,114,173,716 | 1,734,722,022,899 | 1,734,722,022,899 | YES | 0.965124 | 5,927.684471 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ZEKw7Rx6SmU3dZcHvBVV | will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere | Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P2 in 2024? | null | 1,712,470,816,014 | 1,730,863,930,160 | 1,730,863,930,160 | YES | 0.955623 | 3,422 | Sports | Individual Sports |
0igFeVVc7cDy98luxxY3 | will-north-carolina-elect-a-democra | Will North Carolina elect a Democrat for governor in 2024? | null | 1,702,872,955,428 | 1,730,929,208,666 | 1,730,929,208,666 | YES | 0.979588 | 1,741.376039 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Qs5R4Y2wf1U5MUXBACXf | will-mrbeast-be-the-most-subscribed | Will MrBeast be the most subscribed YouTube channel on December 31st 2024? | null | 1,703,492,669,599 | 1,735,631,824,848 | 1,735,631,824,848 | YES | 0.989079 | 14,899.602233 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
CNdOZUlCSQ | bitcoin-above-95k-on-dec-8 | Bitcoin above $95K on Dec 8? | null | 1,732,773,366,988 | 1,733,652,664,613 | 1,733,652,664,613 | YES | 0.99 | 17,770.030318 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
mtzpm4i6tr | will-the-government-shutdown-before | Will the government shutdown before October 2? | null | 1,726,766,775,823 | 1,728,028,131,209 | 1,728,028,131,209 | NO | 0.01 | 1,259.660435 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
LesUhZn88wsOk4KAUuJ7 | metaculus-will-trump-and-biden-shak | [Metaculus] Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | null | 1,717,421,187,888 | 1,730,998,800,000 | 1,731,022,319,348 | NO | 0.01 | 26,952.432929 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZXXwDRnEfD0dDdohb8MS | matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-v-8bfb98574714 | Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,704,409,790,121 | 1,705,294,740,000 | 1,730,991,518,516 | YES | 0.416255 | 1,066.480723 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IP1Ea0Rvsda69ZHQwpI1 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres-b89dd7b227f9 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 1,707,085,033,731 | 1,730,941,067,093 | 1,730,941,067,093 | NO | 0.010253 | 27,033.842662 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5Z2dhJOFo9bBp9VYgGs3 | will-the-dodgers-clinch-the-nl-west | Will the Dodgers clinch the NL West | null | 1,712,772,101,727 | 1,727,494,862,589 | 1,727,494,862,589 | YES | 0.99 | 2,393.827009 | Sports | Professional Sports |
cc3od209s4 | will-nebraska-beat-illinois-in-thei | Will Nebraska beat Illinois in their football game on 9/20/24? | null | 1,726,857,138,010 | 1,726,927,349,197 | 1,726,927,349,197 | NO | 0.01 | 10,945.109652 | Sports | Team Sports |
ds5dqRhz8p | tug-of-war-EQ2O6Ul2cu | Tug of war | null | 1,732,718,461,964 | 1,732,919,411,624 | 1,732,919,411,624 | YES | 0.793857 | 1,817.999881 | Sports | Team Sports |
2ypdAQ6S9u | will-satish-rao-release-grades-for | Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd? | null | 1,734,774,426,245 | 1,735,027,140,000 | 1,735,030,125,365 | NO | 0.163095 | 1,734.740039 | Technology | Computing & Software |
btiqm0gej0 | short-fuse-will-i-quroe-beat-scotts | [Short Fuse] Will I (@Quroe) beat @ScottSupak in September 2024's Manifold Diamond League? | null | 1,727,736,528,592 | 1,727,824,767,720 | 1,727,824,829,453 | YES | 0.85 | 1,569.887685 | Sports | Individual Sports |
uU928uOnyy | will-chatgpt-be-able-to-say-the-nam | Will ChatGPT be able to say the name David Mayer before 2025? | null | 1,733,066,765,499 | 1,733,236,536,628 | 1,733,236,536,628 | YES | 0.971417 | 7,972.866103 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
LyRUZ2CNRg | will-xcommanifoldmarkets-post-today | Will x.com/manifoldmarkets post today? | null | 1,730,729,946,317 | 1,730,755,100,779 | 1,730,755,100,779 | YES | 0.989857 | 9,020.882366 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
hwxtxj4n3e | will-manifold-add-a-withdrawal-fee | Will Manifold add a withdrawal fee for sweepcash before the end of November? | null | 1,729,136,801,954 | 1,729,137,540,772 | 1,729,137,540,772 | YES | 0.99 | 1,078.143387 | Finance | Personal Finance |
Q6CFSRrBerqSc23fqSkR | will-marvel-release-multiple-films | Will Marvel release multiple films in 2024? | null | 1,700,104,951,603 | 1,730,935,496,675 | 1,730,935,496,675 | NO | 0.044058 | 1,323.098275 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
vp0ckl70df | will-jd-vance-and-tim-walz-both-par | Will JD Vance and Tim Walz both participate in a vice presidential debate hosted by CBS News on October 1st? | null | 1,725,391,876,069 | 1,727,833,602,110 | 1,727,833,602,110 | YES | 0.99 | 106,930.627865 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
l2oYnvgk59fQRURg7o2h | will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba | Will at least one US state print ballots without listing Donald Trump due to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | null | 1,691,735,163,138 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,932,242,751 | NO | 0.038597 | 21,039.869179 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
39yKcXgqGrUMwPRmTZwy | will-biden-die-before-the-next-pres | Will Biden die before the next presidential election? | null | 1,673,147,487,297 | 1,730,793,600,000 | 1,730,873,004,192 | NO | 0.020997 | 22,013.554212 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nsO8yQmO6mrN7GaY4bI2 | will-openai-release-their-video-gen | Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)? | null | 1,710,519,787,994 | 1,733,003,658,783 | 1,733,003,658,783 | NO | 0.01 | 19,495.630923 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
GSqPBWMbBR5Vbk4Vx2to | will-liz-cheney-run-for-president-i-eee62a93339b | Will Liz Cheney run for president in 2024? | null | 1,701,794,343,155 | 1,730,740,182,310 | 1,730,740,182,310 | NO | 0.012834 | 6,275.52033 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
icylz6704x | will-there-be-a-claim-that-kamala-h | Will there be a claim that Kamala Harris has had a lesbian relations published in a reputable newspaper? | null | 1,722,634,300,227 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,445,135,320 | NO | 0.026482 | 9,231.940746 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CNLq2SUP2N | will-biden-declare-a-national-fema | Will Biden declare a national FEMA EMERGENCY after the election? | null | 1,729,989,945,279 | 1,731,125,287,730 | 1,731,125,287,730 | NO | 0.084963 | 7,201.978529 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
SxM5XRac63ekRYSDAQM4 | will-trump-underperform-in-the-gene | Will Trump underperform in the general polls again? (2024 RCP Average) | null | 1,712,956,355,761 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,734,383,945,786 | YES | 0.989249 | 11,805.441613 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CRXaT2XMMJ8StP4iwBHs | will-biden-need-nebraskas-second-di | Will Biden need Nebraska's second district to win reelection? | null | 1,712,532,376,024 | 1,732,635,341,619 | 1,732,635,341,619 | NO | 0.028673 | 1,631.621124 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Drzx5AwK2aBQMIyYO1cP | will-mitch-mcconnell-stop-being-sen | Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)? | null | 1,669,828,558,269 | 1,731,528,713,196 | 1,731,528,713,196 | YES | 0.99 | 59,874.400876 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Pc8PyStCyh | bitcoin-hits-100k-in-less-than-48-h | Bitcoin hits $100K in less than 48 hours? | null | 1,732,276,354,881 | 1,732,449,600,000 | 1,732,466,620,449 | NO | 0.005991 | 21,790.610475 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
skuoqijps1 | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-rq8njcckh5 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%? | null | 1,723,484,830,067 | 1,733,721,778,986 | 1,733,721,778,986 | NO | 0.051471 | 13,043.1266 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sdmpwq6f49 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-l6bp06uc7r | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than hit closed on Sept 26? | null | 1,727,381,109,629 | 1,727,467,308,584 | 1,727,467,308,584 | NO | 0.03 | 1,204.064825 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
snf255a9l6 | will-trump-win-nevada-in-the-2024-p--cash | Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,727,304,586,243 | 1,731,050,187,491 | 1,731,050,187,491 | YES | 0.99 | 10,374.448045 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hUQQom8hlH8sAo9VZ6SN | will-there-be-an-eag-on-the-east-co | Will there be an EA Global Conference on the East Coast in 2024? | null | 1,699,916,125,844 | 1,731,149,063,515 | 1,731,149,063,515 | YES | 0.99 | 2,944.545104 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
wwfbvyuidz | will-this-market-get-me-a-job-in-20 | Will this market get me a job in 2024? | null | 1,720,225,761,659 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,665,655,879 | NO | 0.05441 | 1,577.125248 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
FtENl4YTP2IZVsxCTBVT | will-there-be-candidates-with-chatg | Will there be candidates with "ChatGPT" in their names in the 2024 Brazilian municipal elections? | null | 1,682,042,277,101 | 1,728,791,613,322 | 1,728,791,613,322 | NO | 0.01 | 12,975.576401 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ASAq8SAPnO | will-tsla-reach-420-before-8pm-est | Will TSLA reach >$ 420 before 8pm EST on February 18? | null | 1,731,303,074,144 | 1,734,037,991,419 | 1,734,037,991,419 | YES | 0.995324 | 275,302.635351 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
530eh155CPQza6Aoizn2 | democratic-party-trifecta-in-2024 | Democratic party trifecta in 2024 | null | 1,672,649,430,649 | 1,730,918,517,609 | 1,730,918,517,609 | NO | 0.013362 | 11,928.450509 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lcmyf6n5u7 | will-hunter-biden-receive-a-combine | Will Hunter Biden receive a combined sentence of greater than 50 months confinement? | null | 1,725,758,358,143 | 1,733,163,208,128 | 1,733,163,208,128 | NO | 0.01 | 2,757.441536 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DWyjms0Y6dzLbQbCvFJW | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-pittsbur | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Los Angeles Chargers? | null | 1,715,833,628,164 | 1,727,068,311,036 | 1,727,068,311,036 | YES | 0.99 | 1,442.752287 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6dn0qLy88z | -2024-ncaaf-will-byu-defeat-utah | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will BYU defeat Utah? | null | 1,730,171,506,137 | 1,731,222,600,000 | 1,731,225,974,008 | YES | 0.99 | 2,737.624822 | Sports | Team Sports |
DJvUekdTRTv31W0dB0bb | will-the-bank-of-england-base-rate-b24c0043df65 | Will the Bank of England base rate reach 7.5% in 2024? | null | 1,687,433,847,915 | 1,734,616,375,150 | 1,734,616,375,150 | NO | 0.010021 | 5,408.521299 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
wl80feNGUNWVQHMP6c3F | will-cornel-west-receive-5-of-the-p | Will Cornel West receive >= 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,685,994,871,012 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,893,102,315 | NO | 0.012434 | 2,494.037241 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ROqVTB9Jmx3DRBhhOHSK | will-there-be-a-joint-pantone-color | Will there be a joint Pantone color of the year in 2025? | null | 1,707,806,199,761 | 1,733,707,865,743 | 1,733,707,865,743 | NO | 0.016367 | 10,781.146695 | Entertainmnet | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
S3KOAlMFkr1Kz4G2pcRt | will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-7373266955e5 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of September? | null | 1,709,481,229,719 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,734,585,069 | NO | 0.01 | 3,740.088304 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
EKYxFEo8On7zVwM29CDM | will-missouri-vote-the-same-party-f | Will Missouri vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024? | null | 1,686,435,513,044 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,555,200,293 | YES | 0.965751 | 1,024.131257 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8kyziml4si | will-claude35-opus-launch-before-oc | Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th? | null | 1,728,622,025,445 | 1,729,270,740,000 | 1,729,297,834,043 | NO | 0.01 | 5,556.497034 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
vp8b77k9qg | will-shohei-ohtani-hit-50-hr-at-48 | Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 HR? At 48 HR with 11 games to go ⚾🇯🇵 | null | 1,726,687,660,884 | 1,726,792,669,590 | 1,726,792,669,590 | YES | 0.99 | 59,596.864676 | Sports | Professional Sports |
7cn2mjfhnc | will-kai-cenat-interview-kamala-har | Will Kai Cenat interview Kamala Harris or Tim Walz before November 2024? | null | 1,723,025,884,779 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,730,526,139,024 | NO | 0.01455 | 8,873.4653 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
D6YOm9IMZMjgAmf3Qwf6 | will-jensen-huang-speak-at-any-publ | Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024? | null | 1,711,168,271,753 | 1,727,364,424,554 | 1,727,364,424,554 | YES | 0.99 | 24,125.764478 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
3jVXm8gTzhoD4FzBc6aM | will-bashar-alassad-be-in-power-in-ad3075b480e8 | Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025? | null | 1,697,009,419,513 | 1,733,952,344,274 | 1,733,952,344,274 | NO | 0.004897 | 13,682.225719 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
mlsWMHqCNd4JXFhnSL1A | will-there-be-a-cubecon-2024 | Will there be a CubeCon 2024? | null | 1,704,320,980,643 | 1,732,476,031,261 | 1,732,476,031,261 | YES | 0.99 | 1,294.498524 | Entertainment | Gaming |
IOuQcpXpJgc2T13Et2cf | will-us-total-co2-emissions-be-belo | Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023? | null | 1,671,465,497,948 | 1,733,069,442,844 | 1,733,069,442,844 | NO | 0.010057 | 14,256.554392 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
arexwa5pp0 | will-apple-remain-largest-company-t | Will Apple (AAPL) remain the largest company through Sept 30th? 🍎📈💰 | null | 1,724,992,295,818 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,778,723,681 | YES | 0.99 | 5,071.129267 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
72gbNekyaCeyHDsk5NpG | will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by | Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits? | null | 1,712,404,158,026 | 1,731,364,409,539 | 1,731,364,409,539 | YES | 0.968837 | 12,462.380745 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4DkyQrO9VmyTdblFCvhN | does-the-next-us-president-currentl | Does the next US President currently hold the title of Governor? (As if January 2023) | null | 1,672,959,108,458 | 1,732,297,815,653 | 1,732,297,815,653 | NO | 0.018789 | 6,523.610093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tq60qcum5h | polymarketlinked-will-either-candid | [Polymarket-linked] Will either candidate say a slur at the VP debate? | null | 1,727,820,826,025 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,727,870,880,941 | NO | 0.01 | 1,061.87603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vyoppkebe7 | bitcoin-above-65000-on-october-25 | Bitcoin above $65000 on October 25? | null | 1,727,483,773,532 | 1,729,839,540,000 | 1,729,854,306,443 | YES | 0.99 | 15,817.129032 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
0mfmh8bckg | will-jd-vances-favourability-improv | Will JD Vance's Favourability improve 2 weeks after the VP debate? | null | 1,727,791,686,163 | 1,729,016,940,000 | 1,729,026,633,419 | YES | 0.99 | 2,522.56026 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
svySpZNGmq6JJcoNghu2 | will-any-state-be-decided-by-01-in | Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,686,115,483,859 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,043,994,859 | NO | 0.024199 | 5,486.31948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
g8ZO0IBFGsEeFs2awQvT | will-susan-collins-endorse-trump | Will Susan Collins endorse Trump? | null | 1,681,992,237,917 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,437,594,466 | NO | 0.016664 | 6,855.907656 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
l158o9jd9f | will-november-2024-will-be-the-warm | Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ? | null | 1,725,629,811,044 | 1,733,525,940,000 | 1,733,736,081,939 | NO | 0.019649 | 1,760.8194 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
SEMajxHBW6nWsBjJNwvM | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-9c0a8a0d684f | Bitcoin $100K by Dec 31, 2025? | null | 1,704,864,920,881 | 1,733,370,995,639 | 1,733,370,995,639 | YES | 0.993768 | 47,806.298591 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ap1p0mkbym | will-this-market-close-between-45-5 | Will this market close between 45% - 55%? | null | 1,726,426,193,438 | 1,727,071,140,000 | 1,727,197,832,009 | YES | 0.55 | 4,659.47621 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ltT4Oyqc5KKa18tzqWpt | will-a-republican-reclaim-the-senat | Will a Republican reclaim the Senate seat of West Virginia now that Manchin is not seeking reelection? | null | 1,699,619,719,682 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,956,027,341 | YES | 0.99 | 2,194.397782 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
TVumWspMWeg7eRfyRuTl | will-i-solve-the-alignment-problem | Will I solve the alignment problem in 2024? | null | 1,704,069,487,432 | 1,731,347,353,909 | 1,731,347,353,909 | NO | 0.040633 | 2,783.857813 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0dRZtSyOPO | will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash | Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election? | null | 1,730,599,926,240 | 1,730,947,746,900 | 1,731,050,130,982 | NO | 0.010033 | 1,390.012632 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR | will-there-be-an-ai-language-model | Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024? | null | 1,682,935,120,592 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,735,653,576,756 | NO | 0.020816 | 368,768.621363 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9kp1w6mx57 | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky? | null | 1,729,254,297,560 | 1,729,395,300,305 | 1,729,395,300,305 | YES | 0.99 | 9,188.756466 | Sports | Team Sports |
o9coc8p4sh | formula-1-2024-will-sergio-perez-be | Formula 1 2024 - Will Sergio Perez be dropped or replaced mid-season? (Includes being replaced for any reason) | null | 1,720,446,486,267 | 1,733,788,740,000 | 1,734,456,873,829 | NO | 0.01 | 21,309.169806 | Sports | Professional Sports |
zdhAODow9Td6IsZadjoj | biden-does-not-pardon-trump-before | Will Biden lose the 2024 election AND NOT pardon Trump before November 5th, 2024? | null | 1,716,951,331,454 | 1,730,916,041,190 | 1,730,916,041,190 | YES | 0.981301 | 6,337 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tc3e4oy9k6 | will-this-market-get-more-than-25-t | will this prediction market get 25 or more traders? | null | 1,724,511,575,594 | 1,727,128,740,000 | 1,727,177,236,193 | YES | 0.99 | 1,610.607561 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
PAvH7Rppec8nwhjm8Auf | will-a-player-hit-two-grand-slams-i | Will a player hit two Grand Slams in one Major League Baseball game in 2024? | null | 1,709,930,051,574 | 1,731,016,527,031 | 1,731,016,527,031 | NO | 0.033455 | 3,211.679282 | Sports | Professional Sports |
0RH5GmobQZXu65lUteZk | will-germany-recognize-the-state-of | Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024? | null | 1,716,472,405,983 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,652,163,147 | NO | 0.014363 | 21,565.384278 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
6RtS5th9lC | will-gladiator-2-2024-receive-a-cin | Will "Gladiator 2" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of A- or above? | null | 1,731,967,028,587 | 1,732,334,340,000 | 1,732,462,911,103 | NO | 0.1697 | 2,719.831764 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
jy5h4iATOi2Q49pe8QOf | will-china-start-building-another-m | Will China start building another military base in Africa before 1st August 2024? | null | 1,694,452,108,743 | 1,722,553,140,000 | 1,727,887,715,452 | NO | 0.02 | 1,976.771804 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
hPBmyFIE48tYGgZgrUPR | will-takane-lui-hit-1-million-subsc | Will Takane Lui hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2025? | null | 1,682,324,622,666 | 1,731,928,529,325 | 1,731,928,529,325 | YES | 0.989988 | 1,995.627542 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
A2S6wUo1yncfooroGgNQ | will-the-suez-canal-be-closed-for-a | Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024? | null | 1,702,741,232,907 | 1,735,680,525,605 | 1,735,680,525,605 | NO | 0.040865 | 3,471.613897 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
fkbbrdoglp | will-jimmy-carter-ever-appear-on-ta | Will Jimmy Carter ever appear on Talk Tuah? | null | 1,727,239,176,348 | 1,735,526,103,509 | 1,735,526,103,509 | NO | 0.01 | 8,992.973128 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Q7iP8LWPP3X6zzx9Fu1v | will-jack-smith-ask-a-judge-to-dism | Will Jack Smith ask a judge to dismiss/drop any of the charges against Trump by the end of 2024? | null | 1,703,957,096,682 | 1,732,806,497,139 | 1,732,806,497,139 | YES | 0.999333 | 4,084.111712 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
51tQbnGvFNtUkbi27eSc | will-joe-manchin-run-for-president-a7de62c7460c | Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024? | null | 1,699,568,652,681 | 1,730,740,194,081 | 1,730,740,194,081 | NO | 0.025682 | 16,015.503016 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LQaGxlRCt4E9sy0eqHAd | if-trump-wins-the-2024-election-wil-6e67c74412ee | If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his vice president be Vivek Ramaswamy? | null | 1,705,006,039,992 | 1,731,015,496,403 | 1,731,015,496,403 | NO | 0.034067 | 13,599.052568 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dqwp8lrp38 | will-the-2024-us-election-have-an-o | Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers? | null | 1,724,771,150,678 | 1,735,622,182,648 | 1,735,622,182,648 | NO | 0.01 | 10,617.86273 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
KS2WftLLUKQqb7xLmOSx | will-mark-meadows-run-for-any-offic | Will Mark Meadows run for any office in 2024? | null | 1,681,616,284,252 | 1,733,993,844,301 | 1,733,993,844,301 | NO | 0.01332 | 10,741.604325 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
rzgsad2cj9 | will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c | Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship? | null | 1,728,429,842,522 | 1,733,754,598,742 | 1,733,754,598,742 | YES | 0.996835 | 39,086.28684 | Sports | Individual Sports |
20licAYOOqYTSKl5v1wx | in-the-2024-us-presidential-electio-0ebfda1d95a8 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector? | null | 1,704,074,542,034 | 1,735,531,402,018 | 1,735,531,402,018 | NO | 0.009904 | 28,232.29631 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qRIsC0CcnN | can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz | Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election?? | null | 1,731,439,270,404 | 1,731,584,424,808 | 1,731,584,424,808 | NO | 0.076879 | 1,792.000159 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
UlVUJrlxEIpMqhS1wKDq | nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-tennesse | NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Tennessee Titans beat the Indianapolis Colts? | null | 1,715,834,031,330 | 1,728,953,615,564 | 1,728,953,615,564 | NO | 0.01 | 1,045.174929 | Sports | Professional Sports |
o6bH2F4d1CthP4TfOoLi | if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-minn | If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,506,119 | 1,730,879,527,351 | 1,730,879,527,351 | NO | 0.021256 | 1,007.354577 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
FlTbqX9WMR5xZDrGPNUE | will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of | Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2024? | null | 1,705,034,962,053 | 1,729,340,776,923 | 1,729,340,776,923 | YES | 0.78 | 1,458.738346 | Sports | Individual Sports |
ITZRQIsxeWfAtuB0guqd | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-by-9e50c5922d02 | Will Donald Trump still be alive by the end of November? | null | 1,710,880,307,428 | 1,733,007,540,000 | 1,733,007,677,593 | YES | 0.989424 | 4,345.173553 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
m3WN6m3tqYKzh0QHtBhu | will-ruturaj-gaikwad-be-replaced-by | Will Ruturaj Gaikwad be replaced by any other team member of CSK as captain in IPL 2024? | null | 1,711,268,386,114 | 1,716,747,240,000 | 1,735,676,797,686 | NO | 0.03387 | 1,014.163072 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jvbhseaorj | will-more-americans-pick-the-winnin | Will a higher % of Americans pick the winning candidate in 2024 than in 2020? [ READ DESCRIPTION ] | null | 1,725,308,765,743 | 1,732,165,863,864 | 1,732,165,870,348 | NO | 0.009963 | 11,189.724466 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RKrZ7itWVMk8N22ZGYQw | 2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Constructors Championship by himself? | null | 1,700,756,572,616 | 1,729,694,087,921 | 1,729,694,087,921 | NO | 0.02 | 6,301.909758 | Sports | Professional Sports |
bguGmUeW5gu1csE7ORi8 | will-bitcoin-reach-100k-before-it-r | Will Bitcoin reach $100k before it reaches $10k? | null | 1,701,446,939,232 | 1,733,373,311,446 | 1,733,373,311,446 | YES | 0.990895 | 14,281.887674 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2D0kci9LIgvHg9eKIoza | will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada | Will the candidate who wins Nevada win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,286,612,153 | 1,731,431,197,276 | 1,731,431,197,276 | YES | 0.99 | 1,067.04417 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv | 2024-formula-1-season-will-sergio-p | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Sergio Perez finish 2nd or higher in the Drivers Championship? | null | 1,700,757,420,529 | 1,733,685,773,675 | 1,733,685,773,675 | NO | 0.01011 | 14,877.116408 | Sports | Individual Sports |
f0xx5qpj6k | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-epk9naclpt | Will any of the videos uploaded to Ms Rachel's YouTube channel in November 2024 surpass 5 million views? | null | 1,729,086,615,197 | 1,732,846,744,066 | 1,732,846,744,066 | YES | 0.99 | 8,949.874371 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
hw4r4bl5qy | will-the-538-nate-silver-presidenti | Will the 538 & Nate Silver presidential forecasts once again disagree by >7% before the election? | null | 1,727,707,140,836 | 1,730,753,684,515 | 1,730,823,711,043 | NO | 0.151927 | 1,466.528045 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lewl7m1dbr | will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w | Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate? | null | 1,727,812,993,894 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,728,349,558,106 | NO | 0.01 | 9,731.223299 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
K49i7CUyxaVWwXkSr0eB | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-923b17a69619 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Florida? | null | 1,670,814,187,443 | 1,730,912,009,561 | 1,730,912,009,561 | NO | 0.018313 | 20,053.677779 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.